Video yükleniyor...

Video Yüklenemedi

Bu video yüklenirken bir sorun oluştu. Bu geçici bir ağ sorunundan kaynaklanıyor olabilir veya video kullanılamıyor olabilir.

Ana Sayfaya Dön

i tried to visualize how Scottynooo’s trading actually works and why this low-latency, event-driven market making + micro-arbitrage bot managed to print $300k+ on Polymarket this isn’t about predicting outcomes. it’s about reacting faster than the market the bot trades both sides, stays mostly delta-neutral, waits for mispricing, spread... show more

wincy.eth

13,656 subscribers

33,074 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

Anya Rossi• Live Now

Private livecam show

0 Yorum

Yorum bulunmuyor

Orijinal gönderinin yorumları burada görünecek

Benzer Videolar

I spent 48h to find this ''bot trading wallet'' on Polymarket He made 10,057 trades in one month and earned $87,000 > this wallet is an arbitrage bot > trades only BTC Up or Down (5 min) only > always use the same strategy And here's how it trades: > waits until one of the outcomes (YES/NO) falls below 35¢ > buy more when the average price is low > watch how the opposite outcome moves > makes sure the total average prices are under 99¢ > if he doesn't have a hedge, just closing the position with no losses This is exactly how algo-trading works His profile:

sopersone

36,813 görüntüleme • 28 gün önce

Bot powered by AI turned a deposit into a x4600. $50 → $230K on Polymarket in just two months. Right now, everyone on Polymarket is talking about this bot. And honestly, for a reason. The results it’s showing are way beyond what most people would consider realistic. The bot is fully focused on esports. Mainly League of Legends and Dota 2. And that actually makes sense. Esports are games. Games follow patterns, scenarios, logic. Much easier for a bot and AI to read than messy real-world events. So how does this even work? > The bot constantly monitors live esports broadcasts. > It does it insanely fast. Faster than the Polymarket market itself can react. The moment a kill happens, a team fight breaks out, or any key in-game event occurs, the bot instantly spots a mispricing. Sometimes just a few cents. But it gets there seconds before the market adjusts. That edge is enough. It profits purely from the spread. Yeah, it sounds almost too simple. I wouldn’t have believed it either. Not in real life. Not until I saw the bot’s actual Polymarket account with my own eyes. According to the profile: > I spent a long time thinking about how to make money the same way. For now, I decided to start by copy trading this bot. The key here is speed. You need a service that reacts just as fast. At the moment, Polycule is doing that job for me. I can recommend it. In 14 days, I made $2,800. > Just copy this bot. Exactly like I did. Copy trading is alive. So what do you think. Are Polymarket bots the future, or is this just another short-term hype wave?

igorizuchaetcrypty

20,429 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

I’m making $2,200/weekly from Weather Arbitrage. I’m not posting this as clickbait. If you can’t replicate it, feel free to unfollow me. About a month ago, I found a Polymarket Account using a clever strategy: Weather Arbitrage. It caught my attention. After digging into how it works, I saw that this trader focuses only on daily temperature markets for cities like NYC, LA, Atlanta, Denver, Chicago, Seoul, London, Shanghai, San Francisco, and Munich. The key insight is that each Polymarket weather market resolves based on a specific airport weather station, for example NYC = LaGuardia / KLGA, Dallas = Love Field / KDAL, while most retail traders rely on city center data. The temperature difference between those can be 3–8°F. According to his profile: > He built a bot that profits from this gap between official weather data and uninformed retail traders. I figured I wasn’t skilled enough to build something like that myself, so I set up a copy trading bot with 0% fees and 100 ms latency: > This copy trading bot is the best solution on the market, at least because it doesn’t charge any fees. Now I copy his trades exactly and made almost $10,000 in a month. It actually works, guys. Check it out. This isn’t clickbait or a joke.

igorizuchaetcrypty

53,535 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

A lesson for every Polymarket bot developer: I built a strategy that looked perfect on paper. Backtested it. Looked like a winner. Almost went live. Then i actually measured real costs. Strategy was dead before the first trade. And this is what bot building on Polymarket actually looks like. Here is what happened (and what you MUST know): Backtested mean reversion on crypto dips. SOL came back at +44% return and 70.5% win rate. Beautiful clean curve. Looked ready to ship. Then i measured real round-trip costs on SOL flash dips. Backtest assumed 0.45% in fees and slippage. Reality was 1.44%. Strategy stops working at 0.70%. Starting again. But the lesson was worth more than any profit the strategy could have made. Here is what i actually learned: Taking a dip with a market order means you eat the spread the dip just created. The volatility making your signal is the same volatility destroying your fill. You see the opportunity. You enter. You already lost. But resting a limit order below market and letting the dip come to you? You collect the maker rebate instead. Same thesis. Completely opposite execution. One bleeds money, one prints it. That one realization changed how i think about bot strategy entirely. 180 strategies tested to get there. 179 dead. That is not failure. That is how you find the 5 that actually work. Building a bot on Polymarket is not about finding a magic strategy. It is about eliminating every wrong answer until only the right one is left.

A lesson for every Polymarket bot developer: I built a strategy that looked perfect on paper. Backtested it. Looked like a winner. Almost went live. Then i actually measured real costs. Strategy was dead before the first trade. And this is what bot building on Polymarket actually looks like. Here is what happened (and what you MUST know): Backtested mean reversion on crypto dips. SOL came back at +44% return and 70.5% win rate. Beautiful clean curve. Looked ready to ship. Then i measured real round-trip costs on SOL flash dips. Backtest assumed 0.45% in fees and slippage. Reality was 1.44%. Strategy stops working at 0.70%. Starting again. But the lesson was worth more than any profit the strategy could have made. Here is what i actually learned: Taking a dip with a market order means you eat the spread the dip just created. The volatility making your signal is the same volatility destroying your fill. You see the opportunity. You enter. You already lost. But resting a limit order below market and letting the dip come to you? You collect the maker rebate instead. Same thesis. Completely opposite execution. One bleeds money, one prints it. That one realization changed how i think about bot strategy entirely. 180 strategies tested to get there. 179 dead. That is not failure. That is how you find the 5 that actually work. Building a bot on Polymarket is not about finding a magic strategy. It is about eliminating every wrong answer until only the right one is left.

Oracle Boar

14,379 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

Found a trader who turned $8 into $56,000 trading weather on Polymarket his strategy looks dumb until you see the math His profile: How he does it: -> only trades weather markets (temperature in London, Milan, Paris, Sao Paulo) -> waits until the day before resolution when the forecast is locked -> buys outcomes at 99c that resolve at $1 = +1c per trade -> 4,103 predictions, mostly micro-trades -> compounds tiny edges into 5 figures The part most people miss: his edge isn't predicting the weather -> it's noticing that on resolution day, the market still trades at 99c instead of $1 The math behind this is in the article below: the script from the article + free NASA data lets you run the same logic on any monthly weather, CPI or temperature market 👇 Copy him with me:

Paone

10,650 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

How to Build and Turn $15k into $1.1M in 20 Days Using Arbitrage Bot Claude Bot scaled a deposit up to $1.1M By trading 5-min and 15-min markets on Polymarket Bot using this strategy: - Mispricing formula - Expected value calculation - Kelly Criterion sizing mispricing found → EV calced → kelly sizing → enter > 25,123 trades > 83.9% win rate > +1.1M profit > Biggest win 33K Check this profile here: Copytrading: If you wish to do the same I have outlined exactly how to create your own bot in my article Which is also where I told the story of how Claude turned $300 into 2.4M in 4 months This week I will write an article “Why your bot isn’t working and how to fix it” So follow and save this post

AdiiX

33,954 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

Polymarket planning to ban automated trading? 400,000% ROI and $3.8M in profit. Is this even legal? Polymarket Trader who uses a trading bot is currently the strongest trader on the platform. He follows a few simple steps that allow him to achieve such unreal results: He’s not picking winners. He’s trading price. > Focuses only on spreads (NFL / NBA) — the most liquid markets > Buys the underdog at ≤50¢ when the crowd overvalues the favorite > Anchors to the Vegas line, not gut feeling > Holds through volatility while the market corrects itself > Profits from price movement, not necessarily the final outcome In short: sports as a market, him as a hedge fund. According to his profile: > Track this wallet and copy trade it. This service is perfect for that: > Of course Polymarket won’t ban automated trading. There’s no reason to. This guy isn’t breaking any platform rules and is making serious money. Respect to him. What do you think about this strategy? Is it possible to copy it?

igorizuchaetcrypty

588,958 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

$28,669 in a single day on Bitcoin Up or Down. Today’s round: price to beat 93,506 BTC trading well below the line while odds barely adjust. That gap is exactly what blubberbuster keeps exploiting on Polymarket. He trades only Bitcoin, but the model compounds hard his monthly total is now 304,490.38. Same pattern every session: → waits for the micro drift → enters before the market recalculates → exits as the line finally catches up When the feed moves faster than the pricing, this is what happens.

$28,669 in a single day on Bitcoin Up or Down. Today’s round: price to beat 93,506 BTC trading well below the line while odds barely adjust. That gap is exactly what blubberbuster keeps exploiting on Polymarket. He trades only Bitcoin, but the model compounds hard his monthly total is now 304,490.38. Same pattern every session: → waits for the micro drift → enters before the market recalculates → exits as the line finally catches up When the feed moves faster than the pricing, this is what happens.

Carver

20,441 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

Just finished building my 5 minute BTC script It took me exactly one night and the result was worth it The bot turned $50 into $907 overnight This isn’t clickbait It’s a story about a 5-minute BTC script My strategy + Claude Opus 4.6 = all you need Wallet: Copytrade: Here is the full strategy: 5 Minute BTC and ETH Micro Arbitrage The system trades short 5 minute Bitcoin and Ethereum contracts In these fast markets temporary mispricings appear when YES plus NO drops below 1 dollar The bot scans in real time and instantly captures the spread as soon as it shows up Speed over emotion When volatility spikes and manual traders hesitate the system reacts automatically Orders trigger without delay hesitation or emotional bias By the time most traders understand what happened the opportunity window is already gone Automation compounds the edge Instead of chasing big wins the strategy captures small spreads repeatedly High frequency execution allows the bot to run continuously stacking micro advantages into meaningful returns over time All that is left is to keep refining the code deploy at scale and let it run

Just finished building my 5 minute BTC script It took me exactly one night and the result was worth it The bot turned $50 into $907 overnight This isn’t clickbait It’s a story about a 5-minute BTC script My strategy + Claude Opus 4.6 = all you need Wallet: Copytrade: Here is the full strategy: 5 Minute BTC and ETH Micro Arbitrage The system trades short 5 minute Bitcoin and Ethereum contracts In these fast markets temporary mispricings appear when YES plus NO drops below 1 dollar The bot scans in real time and instantly captures the spread as soon as it shows up Speed over emotion When volatility spikes and manual traders hesitate the system reacts automatically Orders trigger without delay hesitation or emotional bias By the time most traders understand what happened the opportunity window is already gone Automation compounds the edge Instead of chasing big wins the strategy captures small spreads repeatedly High frequency execution allows the bot to run continuously stacking micro advantages into meaningful returns over time All that is left is to keep refining the code deploy at scale and let it run

winkle.

86,023 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

I spent 3 days building a World Cup trading & research bot for Polymarket. Right now, it's monitoring the Portugal game in real time. Literally nobody else has access to this intel. It's tracking real-time trading/arbitrage opportunities, whale/insider transactions, volume surges, and more. All sourced from real prediction market data to help me make money. I'll be using it for every single World Cup game. I'm about to print. This is what an unfair edge actually looks like.

I spent 3 days building a World Cup trading & research bot for Polymarket. Right now, it's monitoring the Portugal game in real time. Literally nobody else has access to this intel. It's tracking real-time trading/arbitrage opportunities, whale/insider transactions, volume surges, and more. All sourced from real prediction market data to help me make money. I'll be using it for every single World Cup game. I'm about to print. This is what an unfair edge actually looks like.

Miles Deutscher

53,147 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

Fresh Bot Turned $300 Into $109,781 This Week I think I just found the cleanest arbitrage bot on Polymarket. It made $109,781 in the past 7 days, almost entirely from exploiting the XRP “Up or Down” micro-markets. His profile: The strategy is quite simple: It instantly scans every new XRP window, and whenever the combined price of YES + NO slips below $1, it buys both sides at a discount. Then, as soon as the market corrects, it exits for a guaranteed profit. This bot made +36,494% gain in seven days, making it one of the most optimized and terrifyingly efficient bots in the entire game. Feel free to copytrade this wallet here: > What’s stopping you from building bot like this one?

may.crypto {🦅}

76,689 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

Polymarket just got owned by this trader He trades only Bitcoin and turned $1,000 into $600,000. Hard to believe? It’s true. This is not guessing prices He’s not friends with Trump or Elon He doesn’t work at BlackRock It all comes down to a simple, well-thought-out strategy coded in a script Profile: The strategy in short: The bot trades 15-minute BTC markets. When Bitcoin makes a sharp move on Binance, Polymarket prices lag by 30–90 seconds. The bot spots this momentum and enters positions before prices update, essentially betting on a move that’s already happening. Full strategy: 1. Bets are placed not on event outcomes, but on price inefficiencies. 2. Thousands of fast trades accumulate into massive total profit. 3. In calm markets, risk stays low, while strong trends allow profits to grow rapidly. 4. Most traders can’t react fast enough, but the bot turns market delays into money.

winkle.

174,062 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

The only strategy on Polymarket that does not care if BTC goes to $200K or $0. Just $116,000 in February. Here is how it works. All of crypto Twitter is arguing where BTC is headed. Bulls, bears, charts, signals. Meanwhile the most profitable strategy on Polymarket right now does not even answer that question. A bot trades 15-minute markets on BTC, ETH and SOL. Does not predict direction. It watches the spot price on Binance and places bets on Polymarket before the oracle updates. Pure speed. Making its developer $8,000 - $10,000 a day. His profile: The price on Binance updates faster than the Polymarket oracle. The difference is seconds. But on 15-minute markets seconds = guaranteed profit. The bot does not predict the future, it trades the present that Polymarket has not seen yet. While everyone argues about direction someone is taking money from both sides.

Blaze

47,684 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

My 5 minute BTC script was just completed I spent one full night building it The bot turned $100 into $1,643 overnight This isn’t clickbait it’s my personal journey building a 5 minute BTC script My strategy + Claude = all you need Copytrade: Here is the full strategy 5 Minute BTC & ETH Micro Arbitrage The system trades short 5 minute Bitcoin and Ethereum contracts In fast markets temporary mispricings appear when YES + NO drops below $1 The bot scans in real time and instantly captures the spread as soon as it appears Speed over emotion When volatility spikes and manual traders hesitate the system reacts automatically Orders are triggered without delay hesitation or emotional bias By the time most traders understand what happened the opportunity window is already gone Automation compounds the edge Instead of chasing big wins the strategy captures small spreads repeatedly High frequency execution allows the bot to run continuously stacking micro advantages into meaningful returns over time All that’s left is to keep refining the code deploy at scale and let it run

My 5 minute BTC script was just completed I spent one full night building it The bot turned $100 into $1,643 overnight This isn’t clickbait it’s my personal journey building a 5 minute BTC script My strategy + Claude = all you need Copytrade: Here is the full strategy 5 Minute BTC & ETH Micro Arbitrage The system trades short 5 minute Bitcoin and Ethereum contracts In fast markets temporary mispricings appear when YES + NO drops below $1 The bot scans in real time and instantly captures the spread as soon as it appears Speed over emotion When volatility spikes and manual traders hesitate the system reacts automatically Orders are triggered without delay hesitation or emotional bias By the time most traders understand what happened the opportunity window is already gone Automation compounds the edge Instead of chasing big wins the strategy captures small spreads repeatedly High frequency execution allows the bot to run continuously stacking micro advantages into meaningful returns over time All that’s left is to keep refining the code deploy at scale and let it run

winkle.

21,839 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

My Claude bot finished first night profit $2,314 I built the script in 4 hours and it was worth it Average winrate 70% This is not clickbait it is a story about a 5 minute BTC script My strategy + Claude = all you need Wallet: Copytrade: Here is the full strategy: 5 Minute BTC and ETH Micro Arbitrage The system trades short 5 minute Bitcoin and Ethereum contracts In fast markets temporary mispricings appear when YES + NO drops below one dollar The bot scans in real time and captures the spread the moment it appears Speed over emotion When volatility spikes and manual traders hesitate the system reacts automatically Orders execute instantly without delay hesitation or emotional bias By the time most traders understand what happened the opportunity window is already gone Automation compounds the edge Instead of chasing large wins the strategy captures small spreads repeatedly High frequency execution allows the bot to run continuously stacking micro advantages into meaningful returns over time All that is left is refining the code deploying at scale and letting it run

My Claude bot finished first night profit $2,314 I built the script in 4 hours and it was worth it Average winrate 70% This is not clickbait it is a story about a 5 minute BTC script My strategy + Claude = all you need Wallet: Copytrade: Here is the full strategy: 5 Minute BTC and ETH Micro Arbitrage The system trades short 5 minute Bitcoin and Ethereum contracts In fast markets temporary mispricings appear when YES + NO drops below one dollar The bot scans in real time and captures the spread the moment it appears Speed over emotion When volatility spikes and manual traders hesitate the system reacts automatically Orders execute instantly without delay hesitation or emotional bias By the time most traders understand what happened the opportunity window is already gone Automation compounds the edge Instead of chasing large wins the strategy captures small spreads repeatedly High frequency execution allows the bot to run continuously stacking micro advantages into meaningful returns over time All that is left is refining the code deploying at scale and letting it run

winkle.

171,392 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

This HFT bot is about to cross $1M profit trading 5-min BTC markets and making $10,000/day I traced his trades using Claude → backtested the strategy on 72M trades dataset the edge is that he runs both sides of the same window at once, then lets a probability model decide where the real money is that's the floor. the edge on top is directional: edge = fair_prob - market_price for each window the bot estimates the true probability BTC moves a direction in the next few minutes then fades the crowd when the price disagrees. that's why his fills run from 21¢ longshots to 99¢ near-locks across BTC and ETH Profile:

Ricker

24,583 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

Claude and a free weather API will earn you $100k+. Success rate for beginners: 80%. Complete guide and algorithm for building Polymarket weather trading bot. Simple logic, a low entry budget and high ROI -that’s why weather bots are so clean. Onchain proof these bots exist: 1st bot: 2nd bot: I verified their profitability by myself copying every trade - each bot's win rate over time ranges from 80 to 90%. I grew my starting capital by +40% in just one week. You can copy their trades and see for yourself in two clicks through this bot: The alpha is simple: you're not trading weather. You're trading other people's ignorance. Gap between what the crowd prices and what 51 ensemble models say. Polymarket asks: "Will Atlanta hit 95°F tomorrow?" Normies bet on vibes. You bet on math. The core tool: Open-Meteo API. Free. No key needed. 51-model ensemble. Clean JSON. Cooked and ready. Update every 30 min. Hardcode your city coordinates - don't waste time on geocoding at runtime. This single endpoint beats most paid tools for what Polymarket actually needs. The edge in one sentence: Market is heavy on 16°C. Your 51-model ensemble points at 19°C. That's your trade. Find that gap systematically across every city market, every day - and you have a scanner. That's what separates consistent traders from gamblers. How to start: - Week 1: Open-Meteo + tropicaltidbits. Pick one city market. Track model vs market price daily. Don't trade yet — just watch where you'd have been right. - Weeks 2–3: Automate the pull. Log ensemble divergences. Build the scanner. - Week 4: Now you have an edge. Trade it. Most people want to skip to week 4. That's exactly why most people lose. Now you have the algorithm framework plus a complete guide to get started. All that's left is to actually do it. Bookmark this post so you can come back to it when you start building the bot.

Claude and a free weather API will earn you $100k+. Success rate for beginners: 80%. Complete guide and algorithm for building Polymarket weather trading bot. Simple logic, a low entry budget and high ROI -that’s why weather bots are so clean. Onchain proof these bots exist: 1st bot: 2nd bot: I verified their profitability by myself copying every trade - each bot's win rate over time ranges from 80 to 90%. I grew my starting capital by +40% in just one week. You can copy their trades and see for yourself in two clicks through this bot: The alpha is simple: you're not trading weather. You're trading other people's ignorance. Gap between what the crowd prices and what 51 ensemble models say. Polymarket asks: "Will Atlanta hit 95°F tomorrow?" Normies bet on vibes. You bet on math. The core tool: Open-Meteo API. Free. No key needed. 51-model ensemble. Clean JSON. Cooked and ready. Update every 30 min. Hardcode your city coordinates - don't waste time on geocoding at runtime. This single endpoint beats most paid tools for what Polymarket actually needs. The edge in one sentence: Market is heavy on 16°C. Your 51-model ensemble points at 19°C. That's your trade. Find that gap systematically across every city market, every day - and you have a scanner. That's what separates consistent traders from gamblers. How to start: - Week 1: Open-Meteo + tropicaltidbits. Pick one city market. Track model vs market price daily. Don't trade yet — just watch where you'd have been right. - Weeks 2–3: Automate the pull. Log ensemble divergences. Build the scanner. - Week 4: Now you have an edge. Trade it. Most people want to skip to week 4. That's exactly why most people lose. Now you have the algorithm framework plus a complete guide to get started. All that's left is to actually do it. Bookmark this post so you can come back to it when you start building the bot.

cvxv666

50,799 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

New arbitrage meta on Polymarket. Most people do not even know this exists 1 bot just made $357,313 in a single month trading BTC, ETH, SOL and XRP 5-minute markets How it works: he buys YES at 47 cents and NO at 51 cents on the same market. Total cost: 98 cents. 1 side always pays out $1. That is 2 cents profit per trade, risk-free Now multiply that by 2,000+ trades per day His bot finds these spreads automatically, executes in milliseconds, and compounds 24/7 You are still reading charts. He is printing

New arbitrage meta on Polymarket. Most people do not even know this exists 1 bot just made $357,313 in a single month trading BTC, ETH, SOL and XRP 5-minute markets How it works: he buys YES at 47 cents and NO at 51 cents on the same market. Total cost: 98 cents. 1 side always pays out $1. That is 2 cents profit per trade, risk-free Now multiply that by 2,000+ trades per day His bot finds these spreads automatically, executes in milliseconds, and compounds 24/7 You are still reading charts. He is printing

Blaze

16,980 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

One of the most profitable bots i've ever seen on Polymarket crazy 9922 predictions with unreal 80% accuracy and $430k pnl in one month. making $8k-30k every day using the simplest and most obvious strategy ever. account: on 99% of Up/Down markets, it holds Up and Down positions at the same time. it buys both outcomes when combined price is under $1. example: 35¢ for Up, 62¢ for Down = 97¢ total. Risk-free profit in any case. doesn't wait until the market resolution, average holding time is just a few minutes. don't try this yourself, humans can't catch these mispricings. It all happens in milliseconds. I'm starting to seriously think about creating a similar bot, lol.

One of the most profitable bots i've ever seen on Polymarket crazy 9922 predictions with unreal 80% accuracy and $430k pnl in one month. making $8k-30k every day using the simplest and most obvious strategy ever. account: on 99% of Up/Down markets, it holds Up and Down positions at the same time. it buys both outcomes when combined price is under $1. example: 35¢ for Up, 62¢ for Down = 97¢ total. Risk-free profit in any case. doesn't wait until the market resolution, average holding time is just a few minutes. don't try this yourself, humans can't catch these mispricings. It all happens in milliseconds. I'm starting to seriously think about creating a similar bot, lol.

Alekzz

142,664 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

Mechanical arbitrage. The best Polymarket strategy. In one month, using this strategy, a Polymarket trader turned $300 into $300K. A human, without gambling, wouldn’t even come close to repeating that result. So what’s the point? The account I’m going to talk about below — it’s a bot. No human intervention at all. It trades only BTC on 15-minute Up/Down windows. It enters only after a confirmed impulse on Binance and Coinbase, while Polymarket’s price hasn’t “caught up” yet. That’s the trick the platform still hasn’t fixed. Losses are almost negligible because the wins cover everything. The price at entry is already “wrong” from the market’s perspective, and the bot catches this short-lived gap. According to his profile: > Polycule helps me copy his trades: > Bug or feature? What do you think?

igorizuchaetcrypty

16,015 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce