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If โ€œ๐—๐—•โ€ has been โ€œ๐—๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—•๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐˜€โ€ the whole time, then this Mr Pool โ€œ๐—œ๐— ๐—ฃ๐—˜๐—ก๐——๐—œ๐—ก๐—šโ€ post featuring the Japanese drummer โ€œ๐™‰๐™ฎ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™œ๐™ค ๐™Ž๐™ฉ๐™–๐™งโ€ who was also in a YouTube video titled โ€œ๐™’๐™๐™š๐™ฃ ๐™ฎ๐™ค๐™ช ๐™ ๐™ฃ๐™ค๐™ฌ ๐™ž๐™ฉโ€™๐™จ ๐™ฎ๐™ค๐™ช๐™ง ๐™ก๐™–๐™จ๐™ฉ ๐™˜๐™๐™–๐™ฃ๐™˜๐™š ๐™ฉ๐™ค ๐™ช๐™จ๐™š ๐™ฎ๐™ค๐™ช๐™ง ๐™ฅ๐™–๐™ฎ๐™˜๐™๐™š๐™˜๐™  ๐™›๐™ค๐™ง ๐™ข๐™ค๐™ง๐™š ๐™“๐™๐™‹โ€ makes so much more sense. When...

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๐ŸšจWARNING: SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING TOMORROW!! The Bank of Japan will officially raise interest rates to 1.00%. Japan hasn't seen rates at 1.00% since the 1990s. And if you think Japan has no impact on global markets... YOU ARE COMPLETELY WRONG. Every time BOJ hiked rates, Bitcoin dumped by 20%+ in days. And this isn't just about Bitcoin. It's about global liquidity. It's about capital flows. And it's about a market that isn't prepared for what's coming. Let me explain. The last time Japan operated in this interest rate range, the global financial system was already showing signs of stress. In 1994, the infamous "Great Bond Massacre" wiped out roughly $1.5 TRILLION in bond market value. Then the pressure intensified. In early 1995, the Japanese yen went PARABOLIC. On April 19, 1995, USD/JPY fell to 79.75 - the lowest level ever recorded. Now here's the part almost nobody talks about. Japan tightened policy... Then was forced to reverse course. Later that same year, the BOJ cut its discount rate back to 0.50%. That single fact tells you everything you need to know. Because when Japan tightens into a fragile system, the consequences don't stay inside Japan. Japan is the backbone of global liquidity. Japan is the world's largest funding source. And Japan remains one of the largest foreign holders of U.S. debt. Today, Japan owns more than $1.25 TRILLION in U.S. Treasuries. Which means any major shift in Japanese policy will affect EVERY major asset class on the planet. THIS IS THE WARNING. Not because rates are rising. But because the last time Japan reached these levels, financial stress was already there. Markets aren't pricing that risk today. But eventually, they will. I've spent more than a decade studying macro and market cycles. I've called many market tops and bottoms, including the $126K Bitcoin ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I'll publicly post the next call here first.

0xNobler

201,029 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 2 Monaten

Japan is the largest foreign holder of US Treasury bonds at $1.2 trillion. For years, Japanese pension funds, insurance companies, and banks borrowed at 0% interest rates at home and invested that money in US Treasury bonds yielding 4-5%. This "carry trade" was essentially free moneyโ€”borrow for nothing and earn solid returns with minimal risk. They turned this into a $20 trillion global trade (with 1.2 trillion being US Treasury bonds). But the game is changing. In November 2025, Japan announced a $130 billion stimulus packageโ€”money the government planned to spend to boost the economy. Normally, this would be good news. Instead, Japan's interest rates spiked to 1.8%, the highest in 20 years. Why? The bond market was sending a clear message: with Japan's debt already at 234% of GDP, investors have lost confidence in its ability to keep borrowing. This reaction ended the zero-rate environment that made the carry trade work. Now Japanese rates are at 1.8% while US rates are around 4.2%. The gap is shrinking, which means the carry trade isn't as profitable anymore. Japanese institutions might start selling their US Treasury bonds and bringing that money back home where rates are now competitive. If Japanese institutions start bringing that money homeโ€”even a fraction of itโ€”the impact on US markets could be massive. When lots of people sell bonds, bond prices drop. When bond prices drop, interest rates go up. Higher US interest rates mean higher costs for mortgages, car loans, and credit cards for regular Americans. It also means the US government has to pay more to borrow moneyโ€”and they're already paying $1 trillion per year just on interest for existing debt. The world's largest creditor-debtor relationship is entering uncharted territory. PS - I've recorded a 22-minute video covering this in more detail, as well as which sectors (and stocks) will benefit/suffer when this unfolds. If you want access to it, comment "JAPAN" and I'll DM it to you.

Felix Prehn ๐Ÿถ

225,411 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 8 Monaten

๐Ÿšจ WARNING: SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING!! Bank of Japan will hike interest rates to 1.00% next week. Japan hasnโ€™t been at 1.00% since the 1990s. And if you think Japan doesnโ€™t affect global markets... YOU ARE COMPLETELY WRONG. Every time BOJ raised rates, Bitcoin dumped by 20%+ in days. But itโ€™s not just about BTC. Let me break this down for you: The last time Japan was in this range, the world was already in risis. In 1994, bonds got crushed in the โ€œGreat Bond Massacreโ€. About $1.5 TRILLION in bond market value was wiped out back then. Then in early 1995, the pressure kept building. And the yen went REALLY BAD. On April 19, 1995, USD/JPY hit around 79.75, a record low for the dollar. Now hereโ€™s the part most people forget. Japan pushed rates higher, then had to CUT again later that same year. BOJ brought the discount rate down to 0.50% in September 1995. That one detail explains everything. Because when Japan tightens into a fragile system, it doesnโ€™t stay โ€œlocalโ€. Japan is the CHEAP MONEY hub. And Japan is a MASSIVE global holder. Japan holds over $1.25 TRILLION of U.S. Treasuries. So if Japan decided to sell, the entire world feels it right away. THIS IS A WARNING. Not because โ€œrates will go upโ€. Because the last time we were here, the system was already under stress and it forced reactions fast. Markets are not pricing it right now. But they will. Iโ€™ve studied markets for over a decade and called nearly every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. Iโ€™ll post the next warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

0xNobler

197,590 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 4 Monaten

Population Collapse Problem Solved Hungary passed - Giving women a 25% reduction in income tax for EACH CHILD she has FOR LIFE - Large loans for new married couples, 25% of the loan is forgiven per child, 4 kids = 100% loan forgiven - Marriages have doubled - Divorces have halved - Abortions have more than halved Turns out people do want to get married and have children, they just canโ€™t afford it โ€œHungarians have done some interesting stuff. If you're a couple that marries before the age of 30, you get a large loan. For every child you have, 25% of the loan is written off. So if you have 4 children, the loan is completely written off. They're spending about 5% of GDP on this, very expensive, but if you eliminated stupid and costly climate commitment, lots of foreign aid to countries who hate us, and the money we spend on battery farming foreign nationals in social housing and asylum accommodation, we might be able to make it and it would be a much more sound investment. They've also said to women, if you have children, for each child you have, 25% of income tax will be knocked off for life. So that means that by the time that you have raised your kids and grown up, if you're running a little business on the side or you decide to go work full time, you are never gonna pay income tax again. So you get a second lease on life the moment your kids have left to go to university and had children of their own. โ€” The encouraging metrics for the long term is that divorces have halved, abortions have more than halved, marriages have more than doubled. And that was during lockdown where every single other country in Europe, all of those metrics were flatlining and decreasing.โ€

Wall Street Apes

1,296,020 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 1 Jahr

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต The U.S may be quietly approaching a โ€œwhatever it takesโ€ moment to stop Treasury yields from exploding America recently joined Japan in supporting the yen after the currency plunged toward 40-year lows. At first glance, that's a Japanese problem, but David Lin says Washington had a very American reason to intervene. The yen sits at the heart of one of the biggest trades in global finance. For years, investors have borrowed cheaply in Japan and poured that money into higher-yielding U.S assets. But if Japanese rates keep rising, that enormous carry trade starts to unwind. Investors sell U.S assets, Treasuries get dumped, U.S yields surge, and that's where things get dangerous, because America today cannot tolerate interest rates the way it could 40 years ago. David points out that U.S debt-to-GDP was around 31% in the early 1980s; today it's above 120%. So when people say America survived 15% interest rates in the 1980s, they're missing the point; the U.S had a fraction of today's debt. David warns that if the 10-year Treasury yield were allowed to spiral dramatically higher now, the effects would rip through virtually everything: Mortgages, credit cards, corporate borrowing, housing, equities, and even the enormous AI infrastructure boom, which depends on companies being able to finance staggering amounts of CapEx. And there's another problem making all of this worse: Iran. Japan imports huge quantities of energy through the Strait of Hormuz, which puts more pressure on inflation and the yen, so it may be forced to raise interest rates further. And higher Japanese rates make the carry trade even more vulnerable. So you get a potentially vicious cycle: Hormuz squeezes Japan, it raises rates, the carry trade unwinds, U.S assets get sold, Treasury yields rise, and America's borrowing costs explode. Which helps explain why Washington stepped in. But here's the problem: the U.S intervention barely lasted; the yen began weakening again within days. And David doesn't think the amount Washington deployed was remotely large enough to solve the underlying problem. His theory is that this may have been a teaser. A signal to markets that the gloves are coming off and Washington is prepared to intervene much more aggressively if necessary. And if this doesn't work, the next steps become much bigger. David Lin

Mario Nawfal

297,547 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 21 Tagen

It's over. In this video, Abroad in Japan flat out admits that he had been living in Japan for 10 years and does not speak Japanese. So after defaming a friend of mine (Oriental Pearl) and talking about how he is so in tune with the Japanese because he is a local, the whole time, his Japanese was so bad that he could not even understand the local news. This smug asshat had the audacity to call Oriental Pearl a lying grifter who is misrepresenting Japan when he doesn't even know enough Japanese to fact check her. Oh and then he cut the audio out of a moment where she was laughing uncomfortably because she was being sexually harassed and then pasted it with different footage to make it look like she was laughing at the homeless. By the way, this moment where he admits his Japanese is beginner level is at the end of the video where less than half the viewers will see it. You know, so that way he can go around masquerading as someone who can handle complex conversations with Ken Watanabe or Hyde followed by not showing the parts where he is having someone translate for him because he can't understand what they are saying. This guy is a massive fraud and I know he is intentionally hiding it because everyone and their grandmother thought he was fluent until I said something on my YouTube channel. Now he will use this term "conversationally fluent" which I think a lot of people believe means he can handle basically any conversation that you would see in your normal life. I think he purposefully says that to misrepresent his actual skill level to people who don't know anything about language learning. He even openly admitted in this video that he regularly misrepresents how long he has been in Japan so that people won't judge him negatively for not learning their language. S when Chris says "conversationally fluent" what he actually means is he has the language ability of a 7 year. Sure he'll understand you when you talk but if you say ANYTHING complex, he can't understand you. Also when he says, "I'm conversationally fluent" he is saying that he is illiterate. You know all of those videos of Kai Cenat humbling himself to become a better reader? That level of reading is vastly better than Chris's reading level in Japanese. I mean this absolute liar while go out there and pretend he is prepping for the JLPT N1 like he is a master of Japanese yet 2 years after that video comes out, here he is saying his Japanese is ass and he's basically a beginner and hasn't studied in 8 years. Then this year he says, "Actually I completely failed the JLPT N2 when I tried to take it 11 years ago but it was because someone's cellphone went off in the middle of the test. That magically made me forget all of my Japanese." Well, it's not like he's the only one in that friend group who can't speak Japanese. His terrorist supporting friend Connor can't speak Japanese either. Neither can Garnt. After 6 years. None of these people in this group outside of Joey, who grew up speaking the language, actually respects Japan enough to do the most basic thing which is learn the language. Yet they'll be like, "Yeah, I wouldn't go back to England. That place sucks."

Think Before You Sleep

143,724 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 7 Monaten

Chat: In your opinion, in your opinion, how has our fandom changed this year compared to the beginning? โ€œSo, weโ€™re definitely fewer people. And this is something that, even though it might seem negative, is actually positive, because it means that the people who have been following me for a year, itโ€™s a big deal. The people who have been supporting me for a year, following me, giving me compliments, supporting me in every way. For me, this is obviously the real community that has been created. I think different words exist precisely because they have different shades of meaning, right? Thatโ€™s why there are synonyms. โ€˜Fandomโ€™ and โ€˜communityโ€™ are two different things. I think that today the fandom has become a community, so people who were there, who were initially part of the fandom and then left, maybe because they didnโ€™t feel like an integral part of it or they werenโ€™t inspired by the community that was forming. So there have been changes, but in my opinion, positive ones. Even people who were overly fanatical, who werenโ€™t really fans, have left. For me, thatโ€™s a good thing, because itโ€™s healthier for a community when thereโ€™s a way of thinking that aligns with many of the other people who are part of the same group. So itโ€™s fine this way, thereโ€™s been a bit of a clean-up. The change that probably happened is exactly this. The people who are here today are fewer in number, but theyโ€™re worth much, much, much more than at the beginning. I always say: quality is better than quantity, thatโ€™s for sure. So a high-quality community has been created, instead of a fandom that was about numbers before, and sometimes thatโ€™s better. Also because some people who were in the fandom before caused issues and then left, so itโ€™s perfect this way.โ€ โค๏ธโค๏ธโค๏ธ

Korslayage

25,802 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 6 Monaten