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🇮🇷🇺🇸 In 2007 all 16 US intelligence agencies said Iran had stopped nuclear weapons work, and George W. Bush wrote that he couldn't justify bombing a country his own spies cleared Ray McGovern watched that estimate get built from the outside. After the Iraq weapons fiasco, Congress ordered a... show more
210,677 次观看 • 5 天前 •via X (Twitter)
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This is the kind of context that never makes headlines

This fabricated scenario has been concocted by Netanyahu over the years, and he has compelled the United States into this war.

An intelligence estimate can become a policy constraint, not just a briefing paper. Once the agencies formally said Iran had stopped weapons work, the burden shifted from “what do we suspect?” to “what can we prove well enough to justify a war?” That’s why Iran headlines should be priced as probability, duration, and actual disruption risk, not as a straight line to conflict.

Bush actually listening to intel is wild to think about now

The 2007 NIE judged with high confidence that Iran halted its nuclear weapons program in 2003. All 16 agencies signed on. Bush served 2001 to 2009, so that estimate landed mid-presidency with five years still on the clock. McGovern's grounding here runs deep. He ran the CIA's Russian foreign policy analysis desk in the 1970s and briefed seven presidents from Kennedy to George H.W.

This guy is a moron

McGovern always brings receipts, respect for that

🔥 solid breakdown, more people need to see this
