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In fact it has fired 5+ coronal mass ejections in quick succession that are Earth-directed. While the flares lead to radio blackouts, CMEs can cause problems for our satellites and power grids but also dazzling displays of auroras. (3/n)
95,856 次观看 • 2 年前 •via X (Twitter)
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Thought I would summarise why there is so much excitement in the space weather community right now. There’s a monstrous sunspot group on the Sun that’s massive enough to be visible to the naked eye (please use eclipse glasses) 🌞 👓 (1/n)

This sunspot group has been continuously producing strong flares (GOES M & X) and a multitude of solar eruptions (CMEs) for which Earth is in the firing line. (2/n)

We can model these CMEs to try and predict their arrival time at Earth. Currently we think they should arrive this evening and over the weekend (10/11 May). Therefore a G4 (severe geomagnetic storm) warning has been issued - the first time since 2005 (4/n)

As these are predictions are based on models we don’t know exactly how this will play out however anyone at mid/high latitudes should definitely watch out for the Aurora this weekend! 🌞 💨 💨 💨 💨 💨 🌍 🛰️ 🚨 (5/n)

It also looks like there is an ongoing solar energetic particle event. These are problematic as the particles arrive so quickly and the radiation can not only affect satellites but crewed space flight too (6/n)

Aurora in Loch Lomond (7/n)

Whilst I was busy taking photos last night we hit G5 (extreme geomagnetic storm) conditions - the first time since the 2003 “Halloween” storms. It’s worth watching out for Aurora this evening too 🤞 (8/n)

A lot of people have asked how big the group of sunspots is compared to Earth, hopefully this will give you an idea. ~14x🌎

If anyone wants to know more about the Aurora displays this weekend then you can watch me being interviewed on Sky News this afternoon @STFC_Matters @MSSLSpaceLab @DIPCehu

There have been some reports online of aircraft changing their flight paths and starlink satellite outages due to the ongoing geomagnetic storms (10/n)

Updated models by @mathewjowens show that more CMEs are on their way tonight and tomorrow but Aurora may not be as strong as last nights show (11/n)

High solar wind speeds but northward Bz means not looking good for the aurora right now (11/n)

You can find this thread along with some comments about the solar cycle and its relation to the aurora from yours truly in the @Independent

