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📉 Indian students heading to the US drop 46% after visa policy changes. China down 26%. With Asia being the world’s biggest education market, US universities now face major financial strain during peak summer intake. Policy shift or self-sabotage? 🇺🇸🎯

341,419 Aufrufe • vor 11 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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Truth_teller 🇷🇺

13,425 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🚨BREAKING: Lake Stevens School District addresses altercations at anti-ICE walkouts, Lake Stevens Police investigate The Lake Stevens School District today released a statement on altercations that arose during student-led walkouts against ICE activity. The District in its statement “recognize and value students’ First Amendment rights and respect their ability to engage in lawful, peaceful expression” and very clearing stated that “bullying, harassment, hate, or violence in any form” will not be condoned. The Lake Stevens Police Department (LSPD) is now investigating, in accordance with district policy, incidents of “a small number of students engaged in behavior” that did not meet the District’s “expectations for safety and respect.” Over 100 students from Lake Stevens High School walked out of school on Feb. 5. Among the tensions, a fight broke out during the Feb. 5 walkout at Lundeen Park, where an 18-year-old student suffered a scratch to his face and broken glasses after attempting to stop anti-ICE student protesters from throwing water bottles at passing cars. On Feb. 6, over 100 students from Cavelero Mid High School and Lake Stevens Middle School walked out of school to protest against ICE. A vehicle, at an overrun crosswalk with protesters near 91st Avenue East and Market Place, struck one student who did not require medical attention. The District is encouraging students who experienced or are experiencing harassment or retaliation for their views to report it to a trusted adult for it to be “promptly” address. When the District became aware of plans for the walkouts, administrators focused on campus safety, continued instruction for students who remained in class, communicated with families, and coordinated with LSPD to support safety in the surrounding area. Students who left campus without authorization were marked absent in accordance with established procedures, and caregivers are notified. “We remain committed to supporting our students, listening to concerns, and working together as a community,” The District wrote. “Our shared focus must continue to be the well-being, growth, and education of every child we serve.” The Lake Stevens School Board meeting is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. today, February 11, at the Education Service Center, 12309 22nd Street NE, in Lake Stevens. Written community comments will be accepted before 4:00 p.m. today, or community members can deliver comments in person during the meeting. The School Board meeting will focus on the adoption of a Resolution related to Washington Interscholastic Activities Association (WIAA) membership, approval of donations, and infrastructure bids. 📸Source: Video and images provided to the Lynnwood Times by a reader who would like to remain anonymous.

Lynnwood Times

13,099 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

Just finished a one-week trip to China. I've now "survived" all the major (~20) L2 self-driving and robotaxi vehicles in both the US and China. Some thoughts & observations: ▶️L2 self-driving I tested major brands like $Huawei, $Li, $NIO, $Xpeng, and $Xiaomi. Overall, they exceeded my expectations. The rides were not overly cautious and handled complex situations (yes, road conditions in China are very challenging!) quite well. Nothing compares to $Tsla's approach. I see imitation learning/end-to-end as the only effective approach for self-driving. While Chinese peers perform well on main roads, they struggle on frontage roads due to reliance on high-precision maps and rule-based methods (e.g. cars stopped in the middle of the road where there was no clear white lining). Chinese EVs' self-driving capabilities are far ahead of those from US and EU brands. I doubt any Chinese players can profit from L2 self-driving, not because it’s not useful, but because it’s hard to differentiate, and price wars dominate the market in China. Chinese consumers and regulators seem much more receptive to self-driving. Even with a 5/10 self-driving capability, cars are practically *hands-free(!)* Insurance-wise, for L3+ cars, OEMs bear responsibility for incidents, so OEMs avoid labeling cars as L3+. ▶️Robotaxi I tested major brands like $Didi, and $Bidu. I'd rate equal to $Waymo, and it's ahead of other peers. However, the same issue applies here: user experience is nearly perfect (in Yizhuang, Beijing), but expansion is the real question. Chinese robotaxi companies are very sophisticated. While the rest of the world focuses on technology, Chinese peers treat it as a product, considering unit economics, operations, mass production, etc. Interestingly, most companies expressed a preference NOT to operate fleets themselves. They aim to be asset-light and let fleet managers handle operations. Policy Support: China has a very clear approval process, driven by data (autonomous driving distance, fully driverless distance, intervention rate, passenger ratings, etc.). ▶️Chinese EVs In major cities like Beijing or Shanghai, EV adoption (green license plates vs. gas cars with blue license plates) seems to be 40%+. If 40% of cars on the road are EVs, then EV penetration (defined as the % of new car sales) must already be over 50%. In shopping malls, the ground floor is filled with EV showrooms—easily 10+ brands, many of which are unfamiliar Chinese brands. It appears almost too easy to make an electric car, which is a stark contrast to the US. $Xiaomi, for example, can achieve a 10% gross profit margin in its first year of operation, compared to $RIVN's -45%. Additionally, $Xiaomi cars are priced at 30% of $RIVN's price. It's fascinating to see how China transitioned from "couldn't make their own gas cars at all (only JVs)" to "dominating EVs globally." The government deserves credit for setting the direction and executing effectively. China now controls the entire supply chain, with $CATL holding 40% of the global market share. 🔹How did it happen? The success of the industry Incentives were set just right: the government provided incentives early on to make EVs and gas cars have comparable MSRPs, allowing consumers to choose based on functionality. This approach differs from how the IRA offers incentives... Perfectly competitive market: $TSLA was brought in, and competition was welcomed, unlike the US, which has a 100% import tax on Chinese EVs. Strategic regulations: License plate restrictions were used effectively; for example, taxis and minivans are required to be EVs. 🔹The challenges Despite the success, the industry faces challenges with low-margin companies and struggling stocks. The intense competition shows no sign of ending. Well-funded global OEMs and Chinese state-owned car companies continue to subsidize, leading to new EV brands emerging annually. The natural tendency in China is to race to the bottom. I think this ties back to China's history as the "world’s factory," where manufacturers price products at "cost plus" versus the US and developing countries, which price based on "affordability/value creation." 🔹The wow EV feature >Software features that surprised me the most: - Everything in the car can be voice-controlled. Not just simple tasks like playing music; users can adjust the height of the steering wheel and set the temperature easily. - Self-parking, which $Tsla has yet to release to all FSD users, is already a table stake in China (I'd rate the quality as 10/10). >Other fun hardware features: - Mini fridges in the car - Infotainment systems - IoT: remote access the car/home via cellphone - all connected together - Heads-up displays - UV-protected glass roofs: $Xiaomi took $Tsla's design, but the glass roof of the $Xiaomi car is made of double layers with silver, blocking 99.9% of UV and infrared rays...as a result, heat is no longer a problem inside the car

Freda Duan

399,004 Aufrufe • vor 2 Jahren

Dear Baloch Nation and the World, I, along with thousands of others, am still in Gwadar, with the internet shut down, roads blocked, and the city isolated with a complete media censorship imposed. Controlled media is continuously used to portray us as violent and unwilling to negotiate. From day one, we have been peaceful despite the state's brutal crackdown. Our national gathering on July 28 was turned into a sit-in due to the state's actions. State actions included blocking roads and highways, shutting down the internet, arresting peaceful protesters, and firing direct gunshots at them. Our clear, legitimate demands to create an environment of talks are: A. Registering FIRs against forces that used violence in Mastung, Gwadar, Nushki, Turbat, Talar and other parts of Balochistan by killing and injuring peaceful protesters. B. Lifting the blockade/curfew in Gwadar and other parts of Balochistan. State shall guarantee no further use of force or violence by the state security forces will occur. C. Stopping the harassment and arrest of BYC workers, supporters, and residents of Gwadar. Govt should admit it used force to crush a peaceful movement. D. Releasing all those arrested before, during, and after our national gathering. Bogus FIRS registered must be quashed. E. Compensate the public for financial damages caused by state military and intelligence agencies during the Baloch National Gathering by breaking into homes, vandalising property, burning vehicles and confiscating personal belongings. Instead of meeting our demands, the state is using more force, escalating the situation to find reasons to arrest me, my colleagues, and BYC leadership. The rest of the BYC leadership and I are at great risk and our lives are in serious danger. Now, all government machinery is being used to legitimize a crackdown on us, putting us at greater risk. The situation resembles the events during Nawab Akbar Khan Bugti's time, where negotiation was claimed, but force was used. This is being repeated now. We call on rights groups, Human Rights Commission of Pakistan, Amnesty International South Asia, Regional Office, Front Line Defenders, Human Rights Watch, Mary Lawlor, United Nations Pakistan - اقوام متحدہ پاکستان, EUPakistan, and Riina Kionka to intervene and stop this political misadventure by the state of Pakistan. Sincerely, Mahrang Baloch

Mahrang Baloch

130,098 Aufrufe • vor 2 Jahren

🚨 WARNING: THE NEXT 24 HOURS WILL CHANGE EVERYTHING!! Tomorrow, UAE will officially leave OPEC and remove all caps on oil production and exports. They spent $3.3 BILLION building a secret pipeline to flood the market with cheap oil. And Iran’s blockade CANNOT touch it. That means oil supply changes overnight. And when oil supply changes, every market reprices. Stocks. Bonds. Crypto. One of the world’s largest oil producers is now positioned to pump at full scale while routing exports around the entire Iran conflict. More oil supply with protected export infrastructure changes global pricing. Oil moves everything. Energy drives inflation. When oil falls, transport costs fall. Manufacturing costs fall. Shipping costs fall. Consumer prices fall. And when inflation falls, central banks move. Now connect it: → UAE pumps more oil → Habshan–Fujairah routes it around Hormuz → Global supply expands without regional bottlenecks → Oil prices fall → Inflation drops → Rate cuts accelerate → Liquidity expands And when liquidity expands, risk assets skyrocket. Bitcoin. Tech. Growth stocks. Capital rotates fast. But there are only two options now: 1⃣ US-Iran war ends. Regional pressure cools. Shipping stabilizes. Iranian exports return. And UAE supply scales at full capacity through Fujairah. That creates maximum supply expansion. No bottlenecks. No quota limits. No blocked exports. Oil drops hard → Inflation falls fast → The Fed pivots → Liquidity returns → Risk assets surge. 2⃣ War escalates. Hormuz becomes unstable. Shipping lanes face disruption. Regional exports get squeezed. But UAE keeps exporting. That makes UAE the most strategically protected oil exporter in the Gulf. While others face chokepoint risk, UAE keeps flowing. That makes Fujairah one of the most important oil terminals in the world. It’s not just a pipeline. It’s an oil war hedge. It’s a supply chain weapon. It’s the infrastructure behind UAE’s OPEC exit. They built their own route. Then they removed the cap. That was the plan. And now the market is repricing it. Pay attention NOW. Because the pipeline changes who controls oil flows in the world. I’ve studied markets for over 10 years and called nearly every major top and bottom. And I’ll call the next market crash too. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it’s too late.

0xNobler

1,185,985 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🧵 Why China Does Not Want War With the United States—Even If It Has Military Supremacy It is becoming increasingly clear that China now holds a decisive military edge in many areas over the United States. It has built a war machine optimized for network-centric warfare, outpacing the U.S. in electronic jamming, long-range missile precision, radar integration, and regional air dominance. It can deny access, blind satellites, and overwhelm fleets. But military supremacy doesn’t mean recklessness. China has the ability to win battles. But it has no interest in starting a war—because it understands the cost of victory might be national suicide. Let us begin with a basic truth. China is not self-sufficient when it comes to economic demand. Its internal market is still maturing. Who feeds the Chinese people economically? The answer is: the world—especially the rich, Western world. China’s total foreign trade in 2024 hit 43.85 trillion yuan (~US$6 trillion), with exports accounting for 25.45 trillion yuan (~US$3.47 trillion). This figure is often downplayed by critics who claim “exports only represent around 18–30% of China’s GDP.” But such figures miss the structural importance of exports: they power the coastal provinces, which in turn power the entire nation. The bulk of China’s industrial and export muscle is concentrated in six coastal provinces: 1. Guangdong (~US$888 billion exports) 2. Zhejiang (~US$532 billion) 3. Jiangsu (~US$518 billion) 4. Shandong (~US$272 billion) 5. Shanghai (~US$255 billion) 6. Fujian (~US$167 billion) Together, these provinces account for the majority of China's exports. They are also home to China’s largest ports—Shenzhen, Shanghai, Ningbo, Qingdao—which function as lifelines for both imports and exports. Once war breaks out, these ports will shut down—either by enemy blockade, missile strikes, or insurance collapse. That means factories stop, logistics freeze, and tens of millions are thrown into unemployment. Some believe China can pivot to trade with the Global South—BRICS, Belt and Road nations, Africa, Latin America. It’s a comforting illusion. Here’s the problem: China mainly imports resources from the Global South—oil, gas, lithium, bauxite, copper, iron ore—not finished goods. It uses these to manufacture high-end products. But who consumes these products? The West. In 2024: Exports to the United States totaled 3.73 trillion yuan (approx. 514 billion USD) Exports to the European Union: 3.68 trillion yuan (approx. 508 billion USD) Exports to Japan and South Korea: over 1.5 trillion yuan combined (approx. 207 billion USD) - ASEAN nations were the top partner bloc, but much of this was processing trade with end-markets in the West This adds up to nearly half of China's total exports going to Western or high-income markets. These are the only markets with the income level and consumer appetite to absorb the full output of Chinese industry. Remove them from the equation—and the entire chain collapses. Here’s how a war, or even a serious blockade, would detonate the economy: 1. Western demand disappears 2. China stops exporting to Europe, the U.S., Japan, South Korea. 3. China no longer needs to import energy, iron ore, or copper from BRICS and the Global South 4. Global South trade drastically drops—because there’s no downstream use 5. Coastal factories go silent 6. Wealth stops flowing inland 7. Domestic consumption drops 8. Local governments collapse under fiscal pressure 9. Unemployment skyrockets 10. Social unrest erupts That’s the chain reaction. It would a few months, not years. Despite all efforts to de-dollarize, to promote RMB trade, to build an alternative system—this is still a Western-centric global economy. Even in 2024, over 59% of Chinese exports were mechanical and electrical products—designed for Western consumers, not subsistence economies. 👇

America-China Watcher

25,099 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Donald Trump just claimed again that the US donated 350 Billion dollars to Ukraine. You are being lied to by your sitting President on the United States of America. Let’s break this down with the facts rather than these random numbers Donnie is trying to sell you after finishing his nap. Independent tracking by the Kiel Institute for the World Economy estimated that between January 24, 2022 and June 30, 2025, U.S committed aid to Ukraine amounted to about $134 billion, not $350 billion….it gets better. Already a $166 Billion dollar difference than what Trump claims. Please understand committed and allocated isn’t the same as what has actually been delivered. 56% ($74.9 billion USD) of all funds “allocated not supplied” were for weapons. HOWEVER the $74.9 of weapons (Allocated and not necessarily all provided) were independently evaluated and subsequently massively overvalued by the US Government. The True cost of lethal aid was predicted to cost around $18.3 billion even by United States weapons pricing. One reason: when equipment is drawn from existing U.S. inventories “drawdown”, the official accounting often uses replacement-cost valuations, rather than the original (or depreciated) cost. To put it plainly, if you give Ukraine one air defense system, you account for the cost of a brand new air defense system to take its place not for the cost of the 45 year old system that was handed over. Many of the weapons provided to Ukraine was soon to be destroyed by the US forces or decommissioned. ALSO it’s important to take note as we all know the American arms industry massively overvalues the cost of all system due to its industry. America prices its systems at anything from 30-100% higher than the cost of European equivalents with the same capabilities. The true value of these weapons could have been anything from $5.49 billion-$18.3 Billion. Even with a significantly lower number of this, Independent analysts suggested that a large share perhaps 60% or more of the nominal military-aid dollar amount may effectively stay within U.S. defense industry…..60%! Out of aid provided $54 Billions dollars was Financial aid consisting of grants, loans, budget support. Of the US $54.0 billion in U.S. financial-aid allocations for that period, about US $19.3 billion was provided as loans, while roughly US $29.7 billion was given as grants. 🚨🚨That means approximately 39–40% of the U.S. financial aid during that time was structured as loans or other repayable/concessional financing.🚨🚨 The US $3.4 Billion in Humanitarian aid. Here is another kicker. After everything I have just said. According to United states press briefings: the U.S. had only delivered around 83% of promised ammunition, about 67% of pledged air-defence systems, and roughly 60% of committed bombs, artillery rounds, other munitions. $5.49 billion-$18.3 Billion $29.7 billion $3.4 Billion That $350 Billion is looking more like it was 38.59- 51.4 billion to me Donnie. And it’s a funny number that. An estimated $30–60 billion dollars was spent by Americans allies fighting alongside the US after 9/11. This included Ukraine. We never once complained about this loss or the lives we lost. Absolutely shameful.

Bricktop_NAFO

106,500 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

THIS IS REALLY CONCERNING 🇺🇸 US government's cash balance has almost reached $1T, its highest level in 5 years. The TGA (Treasury General Account) balance is up $300 billion over the past month, reaching almost $1 trillion. TGA is the US government's primary operating account, held at the Fed. When TGA balance rises, it drains liquidity from the system. When TGA balance falls, it pumps liquidity into the system. Right now, TGA balance is increasing at a rapid pace, which means liquidity is being taken out. Here's why this is bad: 1) Liquidity drain When TGA rises, bank reserves fall. This reduces the cash banks have available to lend or hold as buffers. When this gets extreme, it causes SOFR to spike, which creates stress in money markets. 2) Rising bond yields TGA is often funded by increasing T-bill supply. This pushes bond prices lower and yields higher, which is bad for the economy. 3) Downward pressure on assets When TGA rises quickly, SOFR spikes and bond yields surge. Both of them are bad for risk-on assets, especially crypto. In October 2025, the TGA balance almost reached $1T, and we all saw what happened to the crypto market after that. What could happen next? When liquidity gets drained, the crypto market feels it the earliest. Also, May has started, which has historically been bearish for the crypto market during mid-term election years. This doesn't mean BTC will drop immediately, but from here, the max pain is to the downside.

Crypto Rover

67,757 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🚨 WARNING: THIS IS HOW THE BIGGEST COLLAPSE STARTS!! The market is getting hit from EVERY side now. - FED rate hikes just got confirmed. - China, Japan, and Turkey are dumping US Treasuries. - The US-Iran peace deal is 24 hours away from COLLAPSING. When markets open on Monday, this will NOT be just a dip. Because this is no longer one isolated problem. It is a full macro stress setup hitting markets from MULTIPLE fronts at the same time. Smart money already sees it. They are NOT buying the dip. They are cutting risk, moving into cash, and getting ready for the biggest risk off move of the year. And now add the next piece. China is rejecting U.S. Nvidia chips. That's a trade war signal. Because when chips become geopolitical weapons, the market stops pricing growth. It starts pricing control, supply chain stress, and lower demand. There are only a few ways this goes from here, and they are NOT equal. - LIGHT SHOCK: markets panic first, bonds get stressed, oil pumps, and risk stabilizes if headlines calm down fast. - HEAVIER SCENARIO: the peace deal collapses, China keeps rejecting U.S. chips, and markets start pricing a real trade war plus a real war risk at the same time. - WORST CASE: diplomacy fully breaks, oil pumps HARD, yields pump, liquidity gets worse, and risk assets dump all at once. That last one is the REAL danger. Because none of this is happening in a vacuum. After months of negotiations, the U.S. and Iran still have no peace deal. No breakthrough. No stability. No real off ramp. That changes the entire risk landscape. Because when diplomacy breaks down, markets do NOT price hope. They price WAR. And once markets start pricing direct U.S.-Iran escalation, oil does NOT move slowly. It pumps HARD. Shipping gets hit. Supply chains get worse. Inflation comes back. Central banks stay trapped. That is where the real damage starts. Because when geopolitical stress hits an already fragile financial system, markets do NOT adjust slowly. They dump HARD. Capital does NOT rotate calmly. It runs to safety all at once. And risk assets? They do NOT correct. They DUMP HARD. This is how chain reactions start. Because once markets stop pricing temporary fear and start pricing prolonged instability, the whole system changes. Watch oil. Watch bonds. Watch semiconductors. Watch rates. Because once this starts accelerating, there will be no time left to react. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

Wimar.X

52,798 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

BREAKING: India’s fighter jet just crashed at the world’s biggest arms bazaar. Here’s why this matters more than you think. A HAL Tejas went down during a live demonstration at Dubai Airshow 2025. Pilot status unknown. Black smoke over the runway. Cameras captured everything. This is the second Tejas crash in 18 months. Why this changes everything: India has a 250-aircraft shortfall. Right now. The Indian Air Force operates 30 fighter squadrons when it needs 42 to secure a 2,100-mile contested border with China. China adds 50 new fighters every year. Pakistan just signed new fighter jet deals at this exact airshow, hours before the crash. The Tejas was supposed to solve this. India spent 40 years and $20 billion building an indigenous fighter to break free from foreign dependence. The plan: manufacture 400+ jets at $42 million each instead of buying French Rafales at $240 million or navigating American strings. Here’s the problem: Russia, India’s traditional supplier, is redirecting everything to Ukraine. Western options are expensive or politically complicated. Chinese jets are flooding markets across 53 countries. India’s defense strategy depends on producing affordable fighters at scale. The nation’s $450 billion infrastructure plan requires stable borders without draining foreign reserves. What just happened: The crash didn’t occur at a remote test site. It happened in front of every defense minister, military buyer, and analyst who matters. At the exact moment India needed to prove indigenous capability works. Pakistan’s delegation was literally in the next hangar closing export contracts for their Chinese co-developed fighters. This isn’t about one aircraft. It’s about whether a nation of 1.4 billion people can manufacture the hardware needed to defend itself, or whether it stays dependent on others during the most volatile geopolitical moment in decades. The strategic math just got brutally harder.

Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡

528,613 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten