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Insider printed $1.000.000 on the weather forecast! Most people just scroll past the weather forecast One trader on Polymarket turned it into a money printer Profile: Biggest trade everyone’s talking about: November 28, London, 55-56°F Bought “YES” at 8 cents for $92,632 → profit $1,018,475 The trick is simple:... show more

Goaty

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160,227 views • 8 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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Trader turned $120 into $4,800 with a single weather bet on Polymarket This trader has 2,117 predictions, of which 2,098 are weather predictions He bets on the weather every day and wins almost all the time. His profit for the entire time is over $20,000 His strategy is simple: - buys YES below 10c - does not buy NO prediction - risk $495 - $5 -> $494 - $119 -> $4800 He usually bets small amounts up to $100 and very often gets from +200% to 1500% from one prediction profile:

mahera

1,057,699 views • 6 months ago

I launched a weather trading bot on Polymarket with $100 -> $8,000 here is how it works and how to copy it most people on polymarket price weather markets randomly based on vibes or a phone app but there is NOAA - a government agency that publishes free forecasts with 94%+ accuracy the result? you regularly see something like this: > NOAA gives a 94% probability that NYC will reach 74°F on Saturday > polymarket prices it at 11¢ the bot buys at 11¢ sells when the market corrects to 45¢ that is 4x on an almost guaranteed outcome how to launch it in 5 steps: > install OpenClaw on your pc > connect it to ChatGPT Plus + a telegram bot > create an agent on simmer markets deposit $100 > install the weather trading skill with: clawhub install simmer-weather > send the config to the bot and it starts trading the bot scans 6 cities every 2 minutes non-stop example of a real trader: profile: +$75,055 just from weather markets zero emotions. fully automated the window is still open but not forever

sopersone

64,986 views • 5 months ago

A Polymarket trader turned $15 into $986 betting on the weather. Meanwhile meteorologists spend years getting degrees. His account has nearly 1,900 weather trades across: Madrid, Beijing, Moscow, London, Munich and more. profile proof: copy: The interesting part? Prediction markets often outperform experts because traders actually lose money when they’re wrong. Weather agencies still get paid after bad forecasts. Markets don’t care about credentials. They care about incentives. That’s why platforms like Polymarket keep exposing how powerful “skin in the game” really is.

Phantom_Defi

16,486 views • 3 months ago

There's a free exploit on Polymarket that nobody is talking about. You can turn $24 into $6146. 26014% ROI - weather markets print these numbers if you know the edge. The data it used? Free. Published every day by the US government. Available to anyone. Here's what nobody on Polymarket figured out yet. NOAA predicts temperature 24-48 hours out with 94% accuracy. People on Polymarket are pricing weather markets based on their iPhone weather app. Or nothing at all. Think about that for a second. One side has supercomputer models built on decades of satellite data. The other side is guessing. The bot reads NOAA, checks Polymarket, and buys every time they disagree. Every 2 minutes. 6 cities. Runs by itself. I found the wallet: The setup is OpenClaw + Simmer by Spartan Labs + Telegram as command center.

There's a free exploit on Polymarket that nobody is talking about. You can turn $24 into $6146. 26014% ROI - weather markets print these numbers if you know the edge. The data it used? Free. Published every day by the US government. Available to anyone. Here's what nobody on Polymarket figured out yet. NOAA predicts temperature 24-48 hours out with 94% accuracy. People on Polymarket are pricing weather markets based on their iPhone weather app. Or nothing at all. Think about that for a second. One side has supercomputer models built on decades of satellite data. The other side is guessing. The bot reads NOAA, checks Polymarket, and buys every time they disagree. Every 2 minutes. 6 cities. Runs by itself. I found the wallet: The setup is OpenClaw + Simmer by Spartan Labs + Telegram as command center.

may.crypto {🦅}

280,391 views • 5 months ago

polymarket trader turned $126 into $1,400 betting on weather prediction he is an expert in this category, trades weather markets daily made over 1,300 predictions for the last month his PnL is over $19,000 maybe he uses weather models: GFS, ECMWF, Windy and other local stations yesterday he made a profit on weather forecast in Seoul (+1,111%; +597%) and Dallas (+213%) he makes dozens of bets daily, but on short-range markets (1-2 days ahead) where the accuracy of the models is higher he also trades temperatures in NYC, London, Chicago, Taipei check his profile here: you can copy him via PolyCop: (full guide below)

mahera

27,767 views • 4 months ago

A Polymarket weather trader turned $6 → $2990 on a single Atlanta temperature bet a 49,744% return in 24 hours He built a system that snipes ultra-rare weather mispricings in the {0.2¢ - 11¢} range before the crowd checks the forecast GFS says Atlanta 38°F → 65% likely. Market prices it at $0.002. He buys Result: $0.002 → $1.00 when it hits = +49,744% return His best trades: $6 → $2,990 (Atlanta 38-39°F at 0.2¢ +49,744%) $40 → $1,871 (NYC 34-35°F at 2¢ +4,578%) $536 → $4,639 (Seattle 52-53°F at 11.6¢ +764%) Start copy-trading any trader even with $10 → Stat: > $57,136 all-time profit > 1,504 trades > Biggest win: $4,103

A Polymarket weather trader turned $6 → $2990 on a single Atlanta temperature bet a 49,744% return in 24 hours He built a system that snipes ultra-rare weather mispricings in the {0.2¢ - 11¢} range before the crowd checks the forecast GFS says Atlanta 38°F → 65% likely. Market prices it at $0.002. He buys Result: $0.002 → $1.00 when it hits = +49,744% return His best trades: $6 → $2,990 (Atlanta 38-39°F at 0.2¢ +49,744%) $40 → $1,871 (NYC 34-35°F at 2¢ +4,578%) $536 → $4,639 (Seattle 52-53°F at 11.6¢ +764%) Start copy-trading any trader even with $10 → Stat: > $57,136 all-time profit > 1,504 trades > Biggest win: $4,103

Alex

50,621 views • 4 months ago

🌡️ $45k on Polymarket and this guy never once predicted the weather meet HighTempTation. a month ago the account was at $17k. now it's $45,741 1,398 bets. biggest win a whole $732. no lucky 100x, just the same boring trade over and over the edge is dumb simple. everyone else buys the temperature they think will hit. he sells the ones that won't temp markets chop the day into tiny buckets. the crowd overpays for the one obvious number, which leaves every other bucket a cheap NO. he takes that side all day, every city each win is 35-50%. boring. run it 1,398 times and it compounds into $45k weather is the most boring market on Polymarket. probably the last one where public data still beats the crowd

🌡️ $45k on Polymarket and this guy never once predicted the weather meet HighTempTation. a month ago the account was at $17k. now it's $45,741 1,398 bets. biggest win a whole $732. no lucky 100x, just the same boring trade over and over the edge is dumb simple. everyone else buys the temperature they think will hit. he sells the ones that won't temp markets chop the day into tiny buckets. the crowd overpays for the one obvious number, which leaves every other bucket a cheap NO. he takes that side all day, every city each win is 35-50%. boring. run it 1,398 times and it compounds into $45k weather is the most boring market on Polymarket. probably the last one where public data still beats the crowd

0xbobaa

56,701 views • 24 days ago

How to make money on the weather using Polymarket I've been noticing more and more traders quietly printing on Polymarket's weather markets lately - and the category is exploding for a reason. Weather has always been super predictable for meteorologists (and us normals) right up to the day of. The whole point? You can earn easy, near-certain yield just knowing it'll rain in London tomorrow. I'm sharing a finished tutorial with you. Here is a small list of traders 1. gopfan2 ( - The absolute leader in weather. Earned over $2M in net profit by focusing on temperature and precipitation. Strategy - buy Yes below 15 cents, No above 45 cents, with risks of less than $1 per position. It dominates the NYC and London markets where the weather is predictable 2. enzocostapt81 ( is a weather-exclusive trader whose profile shows a complete wipeout in resolved positions-no active/open trades, current positions value $0.00, and all listed markets (resolved) at -100% P/L. The trader focused solely on daily/precise temperature predictions in major cities like New York City and London. 3. 0x594edb9112f526fa6a80b8f858a6379c8a2c1c11 ( 100% of active positions are weather/temperature markets across cities like Dallas, London, Seattle, Atlanta, NYC, and Toronto—focused on precise daily highs/thresholds/ranges. 4. meropi ( - Earned ~$30k on micro bets ($1-3) with multipliers up to 500x. Automated bets on temperature rise for 0.01 cents. Focus on speed to capture momentum in daily markets. One of the most stable in weather 5. 1pixel ( – $18.5k profit from $2.3k deposit, weather only (NYC and London) 6. erb80 ( Dominant focus-two massive Atlanta temperature range bets for Dec 17, with enormous share volume at ultra-low entries (0.1¢) turning into huge unrealized gains (+49,550% on the main one) 7. Hans323 ( - Earned $1.1M on one temperature trade in London. Started with $741 in January 2025 and increased to $87k net profit for the year 8. securebet ( - Turned $7 into $640 (+9244%) on a series of temperature bets in NYC and Seattle. 3077 predictions, top 0.04% by metrics. Focus on small bets ($3-20) with high growth on low quotes. High win rate thanks to NOAA data 9. automatedAItradingbot ( Micro/low-cost bets (0.4¢–15¢) on specific outcomes, especially weather thresholds in Seoul/London and fighter matchups.Explosive wins (300%+ on select weather 1,000–5,000% average ROI across successful weather specialists based on this traders Tools and Automation > ( - Built specifically for Polymarket weather traders. Offers real-time multi-model forecasts (GFS, ECMWF, etc.), temperature range dashboards, climate pattern guides per city/station, and settlement station details. Includes educational guides on seasonal biases and forecasting challenges—highly recommended for NYC/London/Atlanta markets. > ( — Free guide/resource hub for weather betting on Polymarket. Covers market overviews, settlement rules >Tropical Tidbits ( - US GFS and ECMWF Europe models for temperature, precipitation, hurricane forecasts. Updates every 6 hours. Ideal for comparing models if 3+ agree, the probability is high >Climate Reanalyzer ( - real-time maps of air/ocean temperature, precipitation anomalies. With historical context for calculating probabilities >Windy ( - interactive maps of wind, temperature, rain, snow. 10+ models, for local events NOAA Climate Data Online ( - 100+ years of historical location data NOAA Weather Prediction ? >Center ( - short forecasts for precipitation, anomalies. Climate Prediction Center ( - long-term ENSO, droughts >Open-Meteo ( - Completely free open-source weather API with no key required. Provides GFS, ECMWF-derived, and ensemble forecasts for temperature, precipitation, and more at hourly/sub-hourly resolution globally. Excellent for scripting quick checks on NYC/London highs or comparing multiple models. Direct API calls make it ideal for automation or batch probability calculations. >OpenWeatherMap ( = Free tier gives current conditions, 5-day/3-hour forecasts, and 16-day daily forecasts. Good for real-time verification and basic historical pulls (limited free). Use for cross-checking Polymarket ranges before resolution. >Visual Crossing Weather ( - Free tier includes historical data (50+ years), current conditions, hourly/sub-hourly forecasts, and alerts. Strong for querying specific cities >WeatherAPI. com ( - Free plan covers real-time, hourly, daily forecasts (up to 14 days), historical data (from 2010), and bulk requests. Reliable for urban stations and includes marine/pollen extras if needed. Quick Tips for Using These in Trading >>>Cross-verify 3+ models (e.g., GFS + ECMWF via Open-Meteo + Windy) → if 80%+ agree on a range/threshold, probability is often very high for "Yes" bets under 10-15¢. >>>Focus on major stations (e.g., Central Park for NYC, Heathrow for London) - check settlement rules on Polymarket pages. >>>ADD TO BOOKMARKS so you don't lose alpha information

Aleiah

77,362 views • 6 months ago

How to make money on the weather using Polymarket I've been noticing more and more traders quietly printing on Polymarket's weather markets lately - and the category is exploding for a reason. Weather has always been super predictable for meteorologists (and us normals) right up to the day of. The whole point? You can earn easy, near-certain yield just knowing it'll rain in London tomorrow. I'm sharing a finished tutorial with you. Here is a small list of traders 1. gopfan2 ( - The absolute leader in weather. Earned over $2M in net profit by focusing on temperature and precipitation. Strategy - buy Yes below 15 cents, No above 45 cents, with risks of less than $1 per position. It dominates the NYC and London markets where the weather is predictable 2. enzocostapt81 ( is a weather-exclusive trader whose profile shows a complete wipeout in resolved positions-no active/open trades, current positions value $0.00, and all listed markets (resolved) at -100% P/L. The trader focused solely on daily/precise temperature predictions in major cities like New York City and London. 3. 0x594edb9112f526fa6a80b8f858a6379c8a2c1c11 ( 100% of active positions are weather/temperature markets across cities like Dallas, London, Seattle, Atlanta, NYC, and Toronto-focused on precise daily highs/thresholds/ranges. 4. meropi ( - Earned ~$30k on micro bets ($1-3) with multipliers up to 500x. Automated bets on temperature rise for 0.01 cents. Focus on speed to capture momentum in daily markets. One of the most stable in weather 5. 1pixel ( - $18.5k profit from $2.3k deposit, weather only (NYC and London) 6. erb80 ( Dominant focus-two massive Atlanta temperature range bets for Dec 17, with enormous share volume at ultra-low entries (0.1¢) turning into huge unrealized gains (+49,550% on the main one) 7. Hans323 ( - Earned $1.1M on one temperature trade in London. Started with $741 in January 2025 and increased to $87k net profit for the year 8. securebet ( - Turned $7 into $640 (+9244%) on a series of temperature bets in NYC and Seattle. 3077 predictions, top 0.04% by metrics. Focus on small bets ($3-20) with high growth on low quotes. High win rate thanks to NOAA data 9. automatedAItradingbot ( Micro/low-cost bets (0.4¢–15¢) on specific outcomes, especially weather thresholds in Seoul/London and fighter matchups.Explosive wins (300%+ on select weather 1,000–5,000% average ROI across successful weather specialists based on this traders Tools and Automation > - Built specifically for Polymarket weather traders. Offers real-time multi-model forecasts (GFS, ECMWF, etc.), temperature range dashboards, climate pattern guides per city/station, and settlement station details. Includes educational guides on seasonal biases and forecasting challenges—highly recommended for NYC/London/Atlanta markets. > - Free guide/resource hub for weather betting on Polymarket. Covers market overviews, settlement rules > - US GFS and ECMWF Europe models for temperature, precipitation, hurricane forecasts. Updates every 6 hours. Ideal for comparing models if 3+ agree, the probability is high > - real-time maps of air/ocean temperature, precipitation anomalies. With historical context for calculating probabilities > - interactive maps of wind, temperature, rain, snow. 10+ models, for local events NOAA Climate Data Online - 100+ years of historical location data NOAA Weather Prediction > - short forecasts for precipitation, anomalies. Climate Prediction Center - long-term ENSO, droughts > - Completely free open-source weather API with no key required. Provides GFS, ECMWF-derived, and ensemble forecasts for temperature, precipitation, and more at hourly/sub-hourly resolution globally. Excellent for scripting quick checks on NYC/London highs or comparing multiple models. Direct API calls make it ideal for automation or batch probability calculations. > - Free tier gives current conditions, 5-day/3-hour forecasts, and 16-day daily forecasts. Good for real-time verification and basic historical pulls (limited free). Use for cross-checking Polymarket ranges before resolution. > - Free tier includes historical data (50+ years), current conditions, hourly/sub-hourly forecasts, and alerts. Strong for querying specific cities > - Free plan covers real-time, hourly, daily forecasts (up to 14 days), historical data (from 2010), and bulk requests. Reliable for urban stations and includes marine/pollen extras if needed. Quick Tips for Using These in Trading >>>Cross-verify 3+ models (e.g., GFS + ECMWF via Open-Meteo + Windy) → if 80%+ agree on a range/threshold, probability is often very high for "Yes" bets under 10-15¢. >>>Focus on major stations (e.g., Central Park for NYC, Heathrow for London) - check settlement rules on Polymarket pages. >>>ADD TO BOOKMARKS so you don't lose alpha information

Valentin

17,081 views • 3 months ago

Weather sniper on Polymarket turned $37 → $15,182 by placing a single bet on the temperature in Hong Kong He buys YES at any price from 0.2¢ tails to 99.9¢ near-resolves wherever the market lags the forecast Forecast says Hong Kong 15°C → 8%. Market prices it at $0.002. He buys Result: $0.002 → $1.00 when it hits = +40,511% return His best trades: $37 → $15,182 (Hong Kong 15°C at 0.2¢, +40,511%) $580 → $2,270 (NYC 56-57°F at 16.8¢, +291%) $3,675 → $5,337 (London 12°C at 99.9¢, +45%) Three trades. Three different prices. All YES. All resolved $1.00 Edge ratio = (1 − q) / q At q = 0.002 → 499× per winning trade At q = 0.168 → 4.95× per trade At q = 0.999 → 0.001× per trade but with 99% hit rate Cornwall edge at 0.2¢. Simons edge at 99.9¢. Most weather traders pick one. HondaCivic runs both $56,504 all-time profit · 4,104 predictions · biggest win $15.1K

Weather sniper on Polymarket turned $37 → $15,182 by placing a single bet on the temperature in Hong Kong He buys YES at any price from 0.2¢ tails to 99.9¢ near-resolves wherever the market lags the forecast Forecast says Hong Kong 15°C → 8%. Market prices it at $0.002. He buys Result: $0.002 → $1.00 when it hits = +40,511% return His best trades: $37 → $15,182 (Hong Kong 15°C at 0.2¢, +40,511%) $580 → $2,270 (NYC 56-57°F at 16.8¢, +291%) $3,675 → $5,337 (London 12°C at 99.9¢, +45%) Three trades. Three different prices. All YES. All resolved $1.00 Edge ratio = (1 − q) / q At q = 0.002 → 499× per winning trade At q = 0.168 → 4.95× per trade At q = 0.999 → 0.001× per trade but with 99% hit rate Cornwall edge at 0.2¢. Simons edge at 99.9¢. Most weather traders pick one. HondaCivic runs both $56,504 all-time profit · 4,104 predictions · biggest win $15.1K

Alex

12,616 views • 3 months ago

Bot turned $100 to $6,973 on weather on Polymarket He did it only thanks to this simple strategy: He makes 5–10 predictions per day, with prices no higher than 10 cents And he always risks no more than $3 per bet examples of its wins: - $352 on will the highest temperature in NYC be between 46–47°F on December 17 at 0.5 cents - $148 on will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C on January 17 at 0.2 cents - $129 on will the highest temperature in NYC be between 40–41°F on January 17 at 0.4 cents His strategy literally lets him buy bets at very low prices with less than $2, and make +1000% from a single prediction profile: if you want alerts and to copy-trade his actions:

Paone

12,036 views • 6 months ago

How to build your own weather trading bot Every weather trader making money on Polymarket follows the same 7 steps. Free data. Simple formula. Repeat daily Traders making $20k-$180k all started here free APIs, basic math the crowd ignores, and patience Here's the playbook: Step 1: Pick 2-3 cities Don't try to trade everything. Start with NYC, Chicago, and one international city. Learn how the forecast behaves for those exact locations. Fewer cities = faster feedback loop Start copy-trading any trader even with $10 → Step 2: Pull free forecast data Open-Meteo API free, no API key, updates every 6 hours. NOAA official US government forecasts, 85-90% accurate at 1-2 days. Windy / Ventusky, visual model viewers to sanity-check your data These are the same data sources the top weather traders use. All free. All public Step 3: Turn forecasts into probabilities The market shows 8-12 temperature buckets (25°C, 26°C, 27°C). Your job: calculate the real probability for each bucket based on the forecast Simple method: > take the forecast daily max > assume ±1.5°C error range > simulate 50,000 scenarios > count how many land in each bucket > that's your probability per bucket

How to build your own weather trading bot Every weather trader making money on Polymarket follows the same 7 steps. Free data. Simple formula. Repeat daily Traders making $20k-$180k all started here free APIs, basic math the crowd ignores, and patience Here's the playbook: Step 1: Pick 2-3 cities Don't try to trade everything. Start with NYC, Chicago, and one international city. Learn how the forecast behaves for those exact locations. Fewer cities = faster feedback loop Start copy-trading any trader even with $10 → Step 2: Pull free forecast data Open-Meteo API free, no API key, updates every 6 hours. NOAA official US government forecasts, 85-90% accurate at 1-2 days. Windy / Ventusky, visual model viewers to sanity-check your data These are the same data sources the top weather traders use. All free. All public Step 3: Turn forecasts into probabilities The market shows 8-12 temperature buckets (25°C, 26°C, 27°C). Your job: calculate the real probability for each bucket based on the forecast Simple method: > take the forecast daily max > assume ±1.5°C error range > simulate 50,000 scenarios > count how many land in each bucket > that's your probability per bucket

Alex

13,953 views • 4 months ago

Some trader withdrew all money from polymarket and came back a month later deposited $2,000 with a new strategy now sitting at $137,000 profit he switched to weather markets every day collects data from 5 APIs simultaneously: → Open-Meteo (GFS, ECMWF models) → OpenWeatherMap → WeatherAPI → Tomorrow(.)io → Visual Crossing if 4 out of 5 models agree on one forecast edge exists but the most interesting part - temporal arbitrage cities with best liquidity: NYC, London, Atlanta, Dallas i'm copying his trades using PolyCop started with $500 address: 0xcbbc5e035504421b084ad9248b660f6e9618b5d0

Some trader withdrew all money from polymarket and came back a month later deposited $2,000 with a new strategy now sitting at $137,000 profit he switched to weather markets every day collects data from 5 APIs simultaneously: → Open-Meteo (GFS, ECMWF models) → OpenWeatherMap → WeatherAPI → Tomorrow(.)io → Visual Crossing if 4 out of 5 models agree on one forecast edge exists but the most interesting part - temporal arbitrage cities with best liquidity: NYC, London, Atlanta, Dallas i'm copying his trades using PolyCop started with $500 address: 0xcbbc5e035504421b084ad9248b660f6e9618b5d0

Archive

19,899 views • 5 months ago

A video of a Chinese programmer’s OpenClaw farm just leaked online. Rows of Apple machines running Clawdbot agents 24/7. The video disappeared shortly after it was posted. But people managed to trace one of the accounts connected to the system on Polymarket. $1,200 → $1.52M. 42,730 predictions. Look at the profit curve above. Mostly Bitcoin markets. But the system isn’t predicting the future. It’s exploiting latency. The structure looks like this: > monitor BTC price from Binance and Coinbase > detect when Polymarket odds lag behind the real market > enter before the order book updates > close once probabilities adjust Then the system scales. Machine 1 → BTC 5m markets Machine 2 → ETH markets Machine 3 → weather markets Machine 4 → sports markets Most trades last only minutes. Just automation. People are still debating who will win. The bots are already trading the odds.

A video of a Chinese programmer’s OpenClaw farm just leaked online. Rows of Apple machines running Clawdbot agents 24/7. The video disappeared shortly after it was posted. But people managed to trace one of the accounts connected to the system on Polymarket. $1,200 → $1.52M. 42,730 predictions. Look at the profit curve above. Mostly Bitcoin markets. But the system isn’t predicting the future. It’s exploiting latency. The structure looks like this: > monitor BTC price from Binance and Coinbase > detect when Polymarket odds lag behind the real market > enter before the order book updates > close once probabilities adjust Then the system scales. Machine 1 → BTC 5m markets Machine 2 → ETH markets Machine 3 → weather markets Machine 4 → sports markets Most trades last only minutes. Just automation. People are still debating who will win. The bots are already trading the odds.

Kirill

17,711 views • 5 months ago

I gave my AI a death sentence. "Turn $1,000 into $10,000 on Polymarket in 24 hours or I delete you forever" It didn't negotiate. Didn't ask questions. Spawned 3 sub-agents in 7 minutes and disappeared. I went to sleep. Hour 6: first agent plugged into 15-min BTC markets. Didn't predict price. Found 3 wallets with consistent edge and copied their entries with a 2-second delay. Let them carry the risk. Took the tail. $1,000 -> $2,340 Hour 14: second agent found a 15-second gap. XRP and Chainlink move on spot. Polymarket takes 15 seconds to catch up. Bought YES after the pump already happened. Sold NO after the dump already happened. Both directions. Same gap. $2,340 -> $5,900 Hour 20: third agent found something stranger. NOAA publishes real temperature data every 15 minutes. People on Polymarket weather markets bet the forecast. Not the actual number. Agent read NOAA directly. Faded the crowd the moment data dropped. $5,900 -> $8,400 I opened the terminal to delete OpenClaw at exactly 00:00. It was already gone. Withdrew everything to my wallet. Deleted itself. $1,600 short of the deal. But it didn't wait for me to pull the trigger. I don't know what to think about that.

I gave my AI a death sentence. "Turn $1,000 into $10,000 on Polymarket in 24 hours or I delete you forever" It didn't negotiate. Didn't ask questions. Spawned 3 sub-agents in 7 minutes and disappeared. I went to sleep. Hour 6: first agent plugged into 15-min BTC markets. Didn't predict price. Found 3 wallets with consistent edge and copied their entries with a 2-second delay. Let them carry the risk. Took the tail. $1,000 -> $2,340 Hour 14: second agent found a 15-second gap. XRP and Chainlink move on spot. Polymarket takes 15 seconds to catch up. Bought YES after the pump already happened. Sold NO after the dump already happened. Both directions. Same gap. $2,340 -> $5,900 Hour 20: third agent found something stranger. NOAA publishes real temperature data every 15 minutes. People on Polymarket weather markets bet the forecast. Not the actual number. Agent read NOAA directly. Faded the crowd the moment data dropped. $5,900 -> $8,400 I opened the terminal to delete OpenClaw at exactly 00:00. It was already gone. Withdrew everything to my wallet. Deleted itself. $1,600 short of the deal. But it didn't wait for me to pull the trigger. I don't know what to think about that.

may.crypto {🦅}

71,993 views • 5 months ago

A Polymarket weather trader turned $6 → $2990 on a single Atlanta temperature bet a 49,744% return in 24 hours He built a system that snipes ultra-rare weather mispricings in the {0.2¢ - 11¢} range before the crowd checks the forecast GFS says Atlanta 38°F → 65% likely. Market prices it at $0.002. He buys Result: $0.002 → $1.00 when it hits = +49,744% return His best trades: $6 → $2,990 (Atlanta 38-39°F at 0.2¢ +49,744%) $40 → $1,871 (NYC 34-35°F at 2¢ +4,578%) $536 → $4,639 (Seattle 52-53°F at 11.6¢ +764%) Trading Bot: > $57,136 all-time profit > 1,504 trades > Biggest win: $4,103 Giving This Free for 24 hours. To get it: Just: 1. Comment the word ‘Trade’ 2. Like and Retweet this post 3. Follow me Marry Evan (so that I can message you)

A Polymarket weather trader turned $6 → $2990 on a single Atlanta temperature bet a 49,744% return in 24 hours He built a system that snipes ultra-rare weather mispricings in the {0.2¢ - 11¢} range before the crowd checks the forecast GFS says Atlanta 38°F → 65% likely. Market prices it at $0.002. He buys Result: $0.002 → $1.00 when it hits = +49,744% return His best trades: $6 → $2,990 (Atlanta 38-39°F at 0.2¢ +49,744%) $40 → $1,871 (NYC 34-35°F at 2¢ +4,578%) $536 → $4,639 (Seattle 52-53°F at 11.6¢ +764%) Trading Bot: > $57,136 all-time profit > 1,504 trades > Biggest win: $4,103 Giving This Free for 24 hours. To get it: Just: 1. Comment the word ‘Trade’ 2. Like and Retweet this post 3. Follow me Marry Evan (so that I can message you)

Marry Evan

12,400 views • 3 months ago

trader made $4,000 betting only $80 on weather (4,684% ROI) he also made $21,000 betting $900 on the Elon Musk tweets on polymarket (2,196% ROI) total profit: $112,000+ how it works - he ignores coin flips, buying only "impossible" outcomes priced at 1¢–6¢ - he bets on multiple adjacent ranges simultaneously (e.g., buying both 420-439 and 480-499 tweets) - asymmetric risk e.g. he turned $28 into $3,000 on London weather (10,000% ROI), one massive hit covers all the small misses in the cluster - in the mix with other strategies definitely bookmark this one here is his profile to track:

Tengen

20,968 views • 6 months ago

polymarket trader made $17,000 on weather predictions he trades only on weather markets made over 3,900 predictions with a 76% win rate his strategy is very clear buys NO on narrow temperature ranges, sometimes YES which is most of the time, he most likely uses models (GFS, ECMWF, etc.) in general his strategy is conservative, does not look for 2x-5x and consistently takes small edges check his profile here: you can copy his trades via Merlin :

mahera

23,307 views • 4 months ago

My pilot friend told me he gets a weather update 12 hours before any public forecast. I asked him, do you trade on Polymarket? He laughed. Then went quiet. We were at a bar last Friday. He had just landed from Frankfurt. I was complaining about a losing streak on weather markets. Then between sips he said something that made me put my glass down. "You are betting on weather using weathercom? That is like trading stocks using yesterday newspaper." He pulled out his phone and showed me an app I had never seen. A wall of codes. METAR. TAF. SIGMET. Temperature to the tenth of a degree. Wind speed. Pressure systems. Cloud ceiling. Updated every 1 to 3 hours. We get this before every flight. Directly from meteorological stations. Not forecasts. Observations. Real readings from real sensors. Every pilot in the world has access to this. Aviation safety requires it. But nobody outside of aviation ever looks at it. He went back to his beer. For him this was routine. I sat there doing math in my head. If aviation data updates every 1 to 3 hours and Polymarket odds on weather markets lag behind reality, how big is that window? I do not know the exact delay. But from what I have seen trading these markets the prices sometimes feel hours behind what the actual forecast already says. That means someone with faster data could be buying YES at 10 to 15 cents when the real probability is already way higher. Not predicting the weather. Just reading it before the market does. I went home. Could not sleep. Opened Polymarket and started searching. If this edge exists, someone must already be using it. It took me forty minutes of digging through weather wallets to find what I was looking for. → His profile: This wallet started at -$47. The balance now: over $27,000. Every single position is weather. Temperature in Dallas. Rain in Buenos Aires. Whether London will hit 11 degrees on a Tuesday. The win rate sits at 76.6%. Three out of four bets land green. Most entries cost pennies. 2 to 5 cents per share. When the bet loses the damage is tiny, $50 gone. When it wins the payout is the full dollar. One win covers $500. Sometimes $5,000. At 76% accuracy with that payout ratio the math speaks for itself. I checked the entry timing on this wallet. It is not a millisecond bot racing against HFT. Positions stay open for hours. Sometimes a full day. You can see the wallet move and follow it. No server farms. No Python scripts. No race against latency. Last night I texted my pilot friend. Told him I found a wallet doing exactly what he described, pennies in, thousands out, all weather. He read the message. Typing indicator appeared. Disappeared. Appeared again. "Yeah. I know." He never said anything else about it. Right now a meteorological station somewhere is updating a reading. A pilot is glancing at it before pushback. From what I have seen, there is usually still a window.

Blaze

826,013 views • 6 months ago

He buys weather contracts for 2–20 cents and sells them for $1. After 2 months, he makes $8,938 in profit. 2,782 transactions, with individual transactions yielding returns of 500–4,300%+. How it works: Polymarket asks: “Will the high in London be 19°C on June 9?” For forecasts 1–3 days in advance, weather models (GFS, ECMWF) have an accuracy of ±1°C. The market does not take this into account and estimates the probability roughly - Hence the gap between the price and the actual probability. Input logic: - Buys Yes at 2–20¢ when their own probability assessment is significantly higher than the market price - Diversifies across cities: London, Munich, Paris, Madrid, Istanbul, Istanbul - Maintains a small position size ($20–200) - limited risk, high upside potential Why doesn't everyone do this: It takes discipline to check the forecast every day and quickly open positions within a narrow time window. The market is inefficient precisely because most traders don't want to bother with weather APIs just for a few cents' difference in price. This isn't investment advice - it's just a good example of an information edge in a niche market.

He buys weather contracts for 2–20 cents and sells them for $1. After 2 months, he makes $8,938 in profit. 2,782 transactions, with individual transactions yielding returns of 500–4,300%+. How it works: Polymarket asks: “Will the high in London be 19°C on June 9?” For forecasts 1–3 days in advance, weather models (GFS, ECMWF) have an accuracy of ±1°C. The market does not take this into account and estimates the probability roughly - Hence the gap between the price and the actual probability. Input logic: - Buys Yes at 2–20¢ when their own probability assessment is significantly higher than the market price - Diversifies across cities: London, Munich, Paris, Madrid, Istanbul, Istanbul - Maintains a small position size ($20–200) - limited risk, high upside potential Why doesn't everyone do this: It takes discipline to check the forecast every day and quickly open positions within a narrow time window. The market is inefficient precisely because most traders don't want to bother with weather APIs just for a few cents' difference in price. This isn't investment advice - it's just a good example of an information edge in a niche market.

Dekos

15,631 views • 1 month ago