🔥 INSIGHT: Crypto executives have been lying to you. Bitcoin probably isn't going to $1 million by 2030. In the latest episode of Trade Secrets, Ciaran Lyons sits down with Markus Thielen (Markus Thielen) of 10x Research (10x Research) to unpack why the $1M Bitcoin prediction may be more... hype than reality. "It's mathematically impossible," Thielen says. So why do crypto execs keep pushing it anyway? #TRADESECRETS 00:00 — Intro 01:00 — What Bitcoin metric are you most bullish on? 04:35 — Positive signs Bitcoin is making a low 08:45 — Will Bitcoin reach a new all-time high in 2027? 10:23 — Why Bitcoin returning to $100K would be a 'big achievement' 13:23 — Why Bitcoin mining is becoming less lucrative 17:28 — Has Strategy's sell-off added to Bitcoin market fear? 22:10 — Why $1 billion isn't enough to move Bitcoin's price higher 26:05 — How should you split $10K between Bitcoin, AI and gold? 30:00 — Is Bitcoin reaching $1 million by 2030 realistic? 34:00 — Why are crypto execs pushing the $1M Bitcoin prediction? 37:00 — Why Satoshis don't sound as good to investors as Bitcoin 42:00 — What will the next altcoin season look like?show more

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch Mathematically impossible is the wrong criticism. Bitcoin’s price is set at the margin. An implied market cap doesn’t require the same amount of fresh cash. The 2030 path may be implausible without being mathematically impossible. I don`t believe it anyway..

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch Time, attention, and energy are every person's first capital. Focus turns them into skills, work turns them into value, and patience turns them into wealth. Stop searching for one giant leap. Build a system that strengthens health, income, character, and freedom every day.

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch The market tests more than your knowledge; it tests ego, fear, and patience. The winner is not the loudest forecaster, but the person who protects capital, checks evidence, and can wait. Survival creates time, and time transforms sound judgment into an edge amid the noise.

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch Sounds like a lot of people are going to be disappointed. I'm not sure why anyone believed that.

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch finally someone talking without the hopium

@itsciaranlyons @10xResearch For $1m per BTC, maybe $18 trillion USD is needed …

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x Some of our research: Bear Market Watch: What Smart Money Is Seeing in Bitcoin’s Data

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch Everyone gets BTC at the price they deserve 😂

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch YOUR RIGHT #BITCOIN ISN'T BY 2030 HOWEVER WITH AN AVG OF A 15% TO 20% CAGR IN THE NEXT 15 OR SO YEARS #BTC WILL GET IN THE 1 MILLION TERRITORY HOWEVER 2030 IS TOTAL FANTASYLAND BULLSHIT BUY BITCOIN bitcoin:native $IBIT BE HAPPY

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch @grok how much new capital needs btc to arrive to 1m per coin?

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch Here’s the actual math. This is the most comprehensive forecast model. It incorporates variables chosen from published academic papers. 2033 is when it hits.

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch If Bitcoin even last that long you'll be dead and buried before it hits a million.

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch BTC has its limit in technical side and no one can help it

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch Dados da 10x Research so validam o pessimismo de curto prazo, mas a tese de longo prazo do Bitcoin como reserva de valor global continua intacta.

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch @grok is it mathematically impossible for Bitcoin to reach $1 million by 2030 as the guest says?

MARKUS THIELEN CALLS $1M BITCOIN BY 2030 "MATHEMATICALLY IMPOSSIBLE" – THE NUMBERS DON'T LIE, BUT CRYPTO CEOS KEEP PUSHING THE NARRATIVE @10xresearch. RETURNING TO $100K IS A "BIG ACHIEVEMENT" – AND THE NEXT ALTCOIN SEASON WILL LOOK VERY DIFFERENT FROM PAST CYCLES @itsciaranlyons. WHILE EXECS SELL HYPE, THE REAL OPPORTUNITY LIES IN MANAGING EXPECTATIONS AND FINDING REAL VALUE @cz_binance. #BitcoinReality #10xResearch

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch Tldr: corporate executives ONLY lie to you. Code doesn't.

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch yeah the 1m by 2030 thing was pure sales pitch the whole time

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch a whole industry runs on a number nobody has to be right about until 2030

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch $1M BTC by 2030 may be overly optimistic but the real question is whether Bitcoin can prove the skeptics wrong again. 👀

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch 😉

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch The $1M debate tends to miss what actually matters. Whether that number is reachable by 2030 is a different question from whether the current monetary system makes a structurally higher Bitcoin price inevitable over any longer time horizon.

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch In 2022 we had people pontificate that Bitcoin would never ever reach, let alone be above, 100k. And they were giving it the "intelligent guy's take" because, as we know, pessimistic takes make one sound like they did their homework and know better... Just saying

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch It’s all speculation. No one really knows the outcome of bitcoin. It’s comical all these guys are just really guessing and creating click bait content for views.

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch Bottom signal

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch the $1M by 2030 crowd is mostly selling you a narrative, not a liquidity map. bitcoin doesn't need a seven-figure target to be the best-performing asset of the decade. it needs spot buyers showing up when funding stops paying them to be long.

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch honest math beats exec hype, thanks for the reality check

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch Of course it isn't. It's got one more run before 2030 and it's not even getting to 200k in next 2 years. 160-180k maybe

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch Executives are lying so pay and subscribe to my research papers for $1000 a month and I’ll will tell you where the alpha is. Got it.

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch The $1M BTC debate is definitely getting more nuanced. I’d rather follow the data and market structure than big predictions, especially when tracking moves across crypto and TradFi on BingX.

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch Markus说美联储降息预期已经price in，但通胀黏性这关过不去的话，1M就是纯叙事，我去年抄底山寨就是这么被套的

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch the FED will hike rates and US chaos about to peak. did you know that the US is even trying to block other countries executing their legal free choice to sell US debt (T notes)? good morning.

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch The narrative for Bitcoin is "Digital Gold", always has been. Gold market cap: ~$31 trillion Bitcoin maximum supply: 21 million BTC Gold-parity BTC price: $31T ÷ 21M ≈ $1.48 million/BTC If you think Bitcoin isn't going to $1M per coin, GFY.

@itsciaranlyons @markus10x @10xResearch It doesn’t matter, since I bought it I already know my price to sell will be in millions.