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Introducing AI Lab Monetization Play. AI Lab Monetization Play tracks the revenue run-rate of major AI laboratories in real time using public and alternative data signals. The Play provides a continuously updated view of commercial scale across the frontier AI landscape. ARR Dashboard The dashboard estimates annual recurring revenue...

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30,511 views • 11 days ago •via X (Twitter)

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The reason $META is a winner in the AI economy is that it can embed AI directly into products already used by billions of consumers and millions of businesses. This lets them turn model improvements into better ads, WhatsApp agents, AI glasses, recommendation systems and creative tools almost immediately. Those products may look separate but they all run on same infrastructure, models, proprietary data and distribution creating a shared AI stack that can compound across multiple revenue streams.
1:15

The reason $META is a winner in the AI economy is that it can embed AI directly into products already used by billions of consumers and millions of businesses. This lets them turn model improvements into better ads, WhatsApp agents, AI glasses, recommendation systems and creative tools almost immediately. Those products may look separate but they all run on same infrastructure, models, proprietary data and distribution creating a shared AI stack that can compound across multiple revenue streams.

Shay Boloor

70,752 views • 18 days ago

🚀 Massive Momentum at Suede AI We’re building the first multichain, full-stack platform for creators — and it’s not a promise, it’s live. 📊 Traction Update • 3000+ eligible vetted creator applications submitted • $500K+ in $SUEDE staked — most locked for 4 years • 4,000+ ambassadors across the globe educating and onboarding into Suede • Real Revenue for 5 months straight 🛠️ What’s Live • Full-stack ecosystem on Solana and Base • Creator Launchpad: fund, mint, and scale artist-owned projects • AI tools for music, voice, art — protecting IP in all its forms • Onchain voiceprints + model provenance already in use 🔜 What’s Next • Drop of the patented SuedeMic™ — the first AI-native mic with real-time onchain voice ownership • Omnichain scaling across major EVMs and other Virtual Machines • Fully onchain, artist-owned record label infrastructure • Major liquidity deployment incoming 🎤 For Creators Protect your royalties. Own your work. Scale without compromise. 🟡 For Users Stake. Govern. Share the upside of the new creative economy. The future is creator-owned, AI-powered, and fully onchain. This is Suede AI. 👉 Try it now (
2:15

🚀 Massive Momentum at Suede AI We’re building the first multichain, full-stack platform for creators — and it’s not a promise, it’s live. 📊 Traction Update • 3000+ eligible vetted creator applications submitted • $500K+ in $SUEDE staked — most locked for 4 years • 4,000+ ambassadors across the globe educating and onboarding into Suede • Real Revenue for 5 months straight 🛠️ What’s Live • Full-stack ecosystem on Solana and Base • Creator Launchpad: fund, mint, and scale artist-owned projects • AI tools for music, voice, art — protecting IP in all its forms • Onchain voiceprints + model provenance already in use 🔜 What’s Next • Drop of the patented SuedeMic™ — the first AI-native mic with real-time onchain voice ownership • Omnichain scaling across major EVMs and other Virtual Machines • Fully onchain, artist-owned record label infrastructure • Major liquidity deployment incoming 🎤 For Creators Protect your royalties. Own your work. Scale without compromise. 🟡 For Users Stake. Govern. Share the upside of the new creative economy. The future is creator-owned, AI-powered, and fully onchain. This is Suede AI. 👉 Try it now (

SUEDE AI

12,683 views • 11 months ago

Morgan Stanley just raised their 2027 AI capex forecast to $1.1 trillion and that number still doesn't include SpaceX or a lot of the other AI companies (Save this). When you factor those in, the real 2027 figure is probably closer to $1.5 trillion and AI lab inference revenue combined is tracking toward $300 billion in 2027. On its surface that ratio sounds alarming, spending $1.5 trillion in capex to generate $300 billion in revenue. But the framing collapses the moment you examine two things the bears consistently ignore, gross margins and the revenue trajectory. Gross margins on inference revenue are running at 60 to 70 percent. That means the $300 billion in inference revenue generates $180 to $210 billion in gross profit and that number compounds rapidly as utilization scales on infrastructure that is already built and paid for. The Capex is not being deployed against today's revenue but rather being deployed against a revenue trajectory that has shown no signs of decelerating. To understand how aggressive that trajectory actually is, consider that Morgan Stanley's $1.1 trillion hyperscaler forecast is nearly double what analysts projected for the same year just twelve months ago And they described the demand as inelastic, meaning it is not slowing down regardless of rising costs, tighter financing conditions or geopolitical risk. The AI industry ended 2025 tracking well over $200 billion in combined inference revenue and the growth rate since then has continued to accelerate rather than flatten. Anthropic alone scaled from negligible revenue to a $30 billion annualized run rate in approximately 18 months while OpenAI is tracking toward $280 billion in annual revenue by 2030 from $13 billion in 2025. There is also a structural reality in the capex number that the bears never account for. Roughly 35 percent of total AI spending goes toward training, building the next model generation which is not revenue-generating in the current period. That means only about 65 percent of the $1.5 trillion in capex is actually deployed against the inference infrastructure that earns revenue today. When you apply the 60 to 70 percent gross margin to the revenue that sits on top of that 65 percent figure, the economics look substantially better than the headline capex to revenue ratio implies. Every CEO who has been closest to this buildout has consistently underestimated it and Jensen Huang projected $1 trillion in AI capex two years ago and was called delusional. Dario Amodei said in early 2026 that AI revenues would reach the low hundreds of billions by 2028 and trillions before 2030 and given where Anthropic's own revenue trajectory is today, he is likely revising those numbers upward. The pattern here is consistent, every time someone models the revenue ceiling, the actual number breaks through it faster than expected. Come join Milk Road Pro for our full breakdown, the real unit economics of the AI inference buildout, how the capex to revenue ratio evolves over the next three years, and our entire AI thesis! Link below!
4:04

Morgan Stanley just raised their 2027 AI capex forecast to $1.1 trillion and that number still doesn't include SpaceX or a lot of the other AI companies (Save this). When you factor those in, the real 2027 figure is probably closer to $1.5 trillion and AI lab inference revenue combined is tracking toward $300 billion in 2027. On its surface that ratio sounds alarming, spending $1.5 trillion in capex to generate $300 billion in revenue. But the framing collapses the moment you examine two things the bears consistently ignore, gross margins and the revenue trajectory. Gross margins on inference revenue are running at 60 to 70 percent. That means the $300 billion in inference revenue generates $180 to $210 billion in gross profit and that number compounds rapidly as utilization scales on infrastructure that is already built and paid for. The Capex is not being deployed against today's revenue but rather being deployed against a revenue trajectory that has shown no signs of decelerating. To understand how aggressive that trajectory actually is, consider that Morgan Stanley's $1.1 trillion hyperscaler forecast is nearly double what analysts projected for the same year just twelve months ago And they described the demand as inelastic, meaning it is not slowing down regardless of rising costs, tighter financing conditions or geopolitical risk. The AI industry ended 2025 tracking well over $200 billion in combined inference revenue and the growth rate since then has continued to accelerate rather than flatten. Anthropic alone scaled from negligible revenue to a $30 billion annualized run rate in approximately 18 months while OpenAI is tracking toward $280 billion in annual revenue by 2030 from $13 billion in 2025. There is also a structural reality in the capex number that the bears never account for. Roughly 35 percent of total AI spending goes toward training, building the next model generation which is not revenue-generating in the current period. That means only about 65 percent of the $1.5 trillion in capex is actually deployed against the inference infrastructure that earns revenue today. When you apply the 60 to 70 percent gross margin to the revenue that sits on top of that 65 percent figure, the economics look substantially better than the headline capex to revenue ratio implies. Every CEO who has been closest to this buildout has consistently underestimated it and Jensen Huang projected $1 trillion in AI capex two years ago and was called delusional. Dario Amodei said in early 2026 that AI revenues would reach the low hundreds of billions by 2028 and trillions before 2030 and given where Anthropic's own revenue trajectory is today, he is likely revising those numbers upward. The pattern here is consistent, every time someone models the revenue ceiling, the actual number breaks through it faster than expected. Come join Milk Road Pro for our full breakdown, the real unit economics of the AI inference buildout, how the capex to revenue ratio evolves over the next three years, and our entire AI thesis! Link below!

Milk Road AI

21,141 views • 1 month ago

Today Reactor is coming out of stealth. We’ve raised $59M in Seed and Series A funding, led by Lightspeed, with participation from Amplify Partners, wndrco, Sky9 Capital, and FPV Ventures. Reactor is the platform for building in the World Model era: the infrastructure that lets developers build with them at global scale for the first time. Stream from a frontier World Model to your app, in real time, all in under 10 lines of code. World Models represent the next major shift in AI: pixels, audio and actions are generated on the fly, in real-time, in response to user inputs, and to the environment. Every time computing has made a shift from passive to interactive, entire industries appeared that didn't exist before. We're standing in front of such moment again. Over the last 6 months, we’ve assembled an all-star team with alumni from Apple, Meta, Google, Luma AI, Netflix, and Replicate. We're already partnering with some of the biggest names and labs in the world, and hundreds of developers are already building on Reactor. The World Model era starts now.
1:52

Today Reactor is coming out of stealth. We’ve raised $59M in Seed and Series A funding, led by Lightspeed, with participation from Amplify Partners, wndrco, Sky9 Capital, and FPV Ventures. Reactor is the platform for building in the World Model era: the infrastructure that lets developers build with them at global scale for the first time. Stream from a frontier World Model to your app, in real time, all in under 10 lines of code. World Models represent the next major shift in AI: pixels, audio and actions are generated on the fly, in real-time, in response to user inputs, and to the environment. Every time computing has made a shift from passive to interactive, entire industries appeared that didn't exist before. We're standing in front of such moment again. Over the last 6 months, we’ve assembled an all-star team with alumni from Apple, Meta, Google, Luma AI, Netflix, and Replicate. We're already partnering with some of the biggest names and labs in the world, and hundreds of developers are already building on Reactor. The World Model era starts now.

reactor

12,735,221 views • 2 months ago

🚨🇨🇳 China could crash the U.S. stock market Not with tariffs With AI MODEL DUMPING The same playbook they used in SOLAR and EVs Make it almost as good Sell it much cheaper Take the market Now they are doing it with AI Open models are getting close to U.S. frontier models But some run at just a fraction of the cost If a company can cut a $100M AI bill to a few million It will switch And that is the real problem OpenAI and Anthropic are not priced like normal companies They are priced like they have unlimited PRICING POWER China is trying to destroy that The AI BUBBLE was never about whether AI works It was about how much companies can charge for it
0:21

🚨🇨🇳 China could crash the U.S. stock market Not with tariffs With AI MODEL DUMPING The same playbook they used in SOLAR and EVs Make it almost as good Sell it much cheaper Take the market Now they are doing it with AI Open models are getting close to U.S. frontier models But some run at just a fraction of the cost If a company can cut a $100M AI bill to a few million It will switch And that is the real problem OpenAI and Anthropic are not priced like normal companies They are priced like they have unlimited PRICING POWER China is trying to destroy that The AI BUBBLE was never about whether AI works It was about how much companies can charge for it

Leshka.eth ⛩

11,737 views • 29 days ago

SpaceX is reportedly moving toward an IPO — and investors are starting to ask which public-market tickers stand to benefit most as the commercial space sector draws fresh capital. This is what Aerospace Catalyst Tracker is built to answer. The Play tracks the operational signals that drive stock-level repricing — launch cadence, Starlink deployment, and competitive dynamics — across the companies most exposed to space-sector catalysts. Here's what the Play covers today: Launch Cadence & Multi-Operator Tracking Every orbital launch is tracked in real time — operator, vehicle, payload, outcome, and schedule changes. The Play covers SpaceX (Falcon 9 / Starship), Rocket Lab (Electron / Neutron), ULA (Vulcan Centaur), and Blue Origin (New Glenn) — the four operators defining the current competitive landscape. For each, we monitor launch frequency trends, success rates, manifest backlogs, and quarter-over-quarter share shifts. SpaceX booster reuse and turnaround cadence are tracked separately as a leading indicator of cost-curve compression. Starlink Deployment & Constellation Growth A dedicated module tracks Starlink satellite launches, orbital deployment counts, and multi-country pricing. We map deployment cadence against constellation build-out milestones — useful for investors sizing the revenue trajectory ahead of any IPO filing. Alert System The Play monitors large-value aerospace contract awards as they are disclosed — flagging dollar amounts, recipient tickers, and related news signals in real time. Recent alerts include multi-billion-dollar awards to LMT and BA, and NASA infrastructure contracts. When a contract hits that moves a name in the supply chain, it surfaces immediately in your feed. Aerospace Catalyst Tracker is now live on FUNDA for institutional clients. For a limited time, all paid Substack subscribers can access the full set through June 15, 2026.
0:39

SpaceX is reportedly moving toward an IPO — and investors are starting to ask which public-market tickers stand to benefit most as the commercial space sector draws fresh capital. This is what Aerospace Catalyst Tracker is built to answer. The Play tracks the operational signals that drive stock-level repricing — launch cadence, Starlink deployment, and competitive dynamics — across the companies most exposed to space-sector catalysts. Here's what the Play covers today: Launch Cadence & Multi-Operator Tracking Every orbital launch is tracked in real time — operator, vehicle, payload, outcome, and schedule changes. The Play covers SpaceX (Falcon 9 / Starship), Rocket Lab (Electron / Neutron), ULA (Vulcan Centaur), and Blue Origin (New Glenn) — the four operators defining the current competitive landscape. For each, we monitor launch frequency trends, success rates, manifest backlogs, and quarter-over-quarter share shifts. SpaceX booster reuse and turnaround cadence are tracked separately as a leading indicator of cost-curve compression. Starlink Deployment & Constellation Growth A dedicated module tracks Starlink satellite launches, orbital deployment counts, and multi-country pricing. We map deployment cadence against constellation build-out milestones — useful for investors sizing the revenue trajectory ahead of any IPO filing. Alert System The Play monitors large-value aerospace contract awards as they are disclosed — flagging dollar amounts, recipient tickers, and related news signals in real time. Recent alerts include multi-billion-dollar awards to LMT and BA, and NASA infrastructure contracts. When a contract hits that moves a name in the supply chain, it surfaces immediately in your feed. Aerospace Catalyst Tracker is now live on FUNDA for institutional clients. For a limited time, all paid Substack subscribers can access the full set through June 15, 2026.

FUNDA

12,162 views • 1 month ago

China just released an open source AI model that matches the best closed models from OpenAI and Anthropic. Gavin Baker explained exactly how they did it and the answer should concern every American AI lab. The model is called GLM 5.2. It was built by Z. AI. You get 744 billion parameters, 1 million token context window and its MIT license, meaning anyone can download it, fork it, build a company on it, with no restrictions and no Dario. It scored 51 points on the artificial analysis intelligence index. The highest score any open weight model has ever achieved. It beat GPT 5.5 on the frontier software engineering benchmark. It trails Claude Opus 4.8 by less than one percentage point. And it costs 85% less to run than GPT 5.5 for comparable performance. Gavin Baker said on the All-In podcast that this model has challenged some of his beliefs. Then he explained how China built it. The method is called distillation. Just think of tens of thousands of phones and computers running simultaneously, all hitting the frontier model APIs through masked accounts, asking specific questions, and harvesting what happens inside the model when it answers. Every reasoning step, every token. The entire thinking process gets recorded and fed back into the Chinese model during training. It is a cheat sheet. It is the answer key to the exam. And here is the part that should worry everyone. Sacks said it plainly. China was already nine months behind American models. But now that GLM 5.2 is good enough to run its own reinforcement learning, it can improve itself without needing to distill from American models anymore. The cheat sheet let them get close enough to start writing their own answers. Sacks said we are six months behind on the model and 24 months behind on silicon and they are only a few months behind in total. The Z. AI founder told Elon Musk directly that open weight fable-level capability will be here before Q1 2027. Every restriction Anthropic lobbied for, every self-imposed safety guardrail, every month of delay in releasing American frontier models accelerated this. The Chinese labs were not under those restrictions. They were not going to wait. The composable model future Gavin described, where every enterprise runs a frontier model alongside their own fine-tuned open weight model, is coming regardless of what American labs do next. The question is just whether the open weight half of that stack is American or Chinese. Right now it is Chinese. WATCH THE FULL PODCAST ON The All-In Podcast
3:21

China just released an open source AI model that matches the best closed models from OpenAI and Anthropic. Gavin Baker explained exactly how they did it and the answer should concern every American AI lab. The model is called GLM 5.2. It was built by Z. AI. You get 744 billion parameters, 1 million token context window and its MIT license, meaning anyone can download it, fork it, build a company on it, with no restrictions and no Dario. It scored 51 points on the artificial analysis intelligence index. The highest score any open weight model has ever achieved. It beat GPT 5.5 on the frontier software engineering benchmark. It trails Claude Opus 4.8 by less than one percentage point. And it costs 85% less to run than GPT 5.5 for comparable performance. Gavin Baker said on the All-In podcast that this model has challenged some of his beliefs. Then he explained how China built it. The method is called distillation. Just think of tens of thousands of phones and computers running simultaneously, all hitting the frontier model APIs through masked accounts, asking specific questions, and harvesting what happens inside the model when it answers. Every reasoning step, every token. The entire thinking process gets recorded and fed back into the Chinese model during training. It is a cheat sheet. It is the answer key to the exam. And here is the part that should worry everyone. Sacks said it plainly. China was already nine months behind American models. But now that GLM 5.2 is good enough to run its own reinforcement learning, it can improve itself without needing to distill from American models anymore. The cheat sheet let them get close enough to start writing their own answers. Sacks said we are six months behind on the model and 24 months behind on silicon and they are only a few months behind in total. The Z. AI founder told Elon Musk directly that open weight fable-level capability will be here before Q1 2027. Every restriction Anthropic lobbied for, every self-imposed safety guardrail, every month of delay in releasing American frontier models accelerated this. The Chinese labs were not under those restrictions. They were not going to wait. The composable model future Gavin described, where every enterprise runs a frontier model alongside their own fine-tuned open weight model, is coming regardless of what American labs do next. The question is just whether the open weight half of that stack is American or Chinese. Right now it is Chinese. WATCH THE FULL PODCAST ON The All-In Podcast

Ihtesham Ali

86,295 views • 1 month ago

Like play like play we are doing it. Hi, my name is Kwaku Effa, Founder of Aaenics . We are one of Ghana’s fastest growing tech and robotics companies. One of our major operation is the designing and setting up of Makerspaces, STEM and Robotics labs and the supply of equipment for the same. Over the years we have set up about 20 labs and counting across various regions in Ghana for both private and public institutions. As software and digital literacy is on the rise in Ghana we owe it to the economy to also contribute to hardware technology creation and knowledge acquisition of the same. *Our commitment to contribute to this is seen in our model labs and our locally designed and manufactured education technologies and STEM products* We believe that these labs and makerspace are a critical infrastructure for the advancement of tech and robotics knowledge acquisition and adoption of the same in Ghana. A big hello to our future clients who will be inviting us to fund the establishment of more makerspaces and hardware labs in both educational and general community settings. We are proud to carry a vision that wants Ghana to own its local solutions, and we thank all parties and clients for helping in the execution of the same. Have a fruitful week ahead! Aaenics, Circuiting the future!
0:21

Like play like play we are doing it. Hi, my name is Kwaku Effa, Founder of Aaenics . We are one of Ghana’s fastest growing tech and robotics companies. One of our major operation is the designing and setting up of Makerspaces, STEM and Robotics labs and the supply of equipment for the same. Over the years we have set up about 20 labs and counting across various regions in Ghana for both private and public institutions. As software and digital literacy is on the rise in Ghana we owe it to the economy to also contribute to hardware technology creation and knowledge acquisition of the same. *Our commitment to contribute to this is seen in our model labs and our locally designed and manufactured education technologies and STEM products* We believe that these labs and makerspace are a critical infrastructure for the advancement of tech and robotics knowledge acquisition and adoption of the same in Ghana. A big hello to our future clients who will be inviting us to fund the establishment of more makerspaces and hardware labs in both educational and general community settings. We are proud to carry a vision that wants Ghana to own its local solutions, and we thank all parties and clients for helping in the execution of the same. Have a fruitful week ahead! Aaenics, Circuiting the future!

Kwaku Effa

10,103 views • 3 months ago

🚨 CHINA'S AI PRICE WAR IS BECOMING A NIGHTMARE FOR US AI COMPANIES. DeepSeek just made its 75% API price cut permanent. Days later, Xiaomi slashed its API costs by up to 99% to match it. The biggest threat to OpenAI and Anthropic was never another frontier model. It's developers realizing they can get competitive performance for a fraction of the cost. Now Chinese labs are turning AI into a commodity. Pricing it like electricity. Giving it away to WIN the market. The West is still selling AI like a premium product. China is selling it like electricity...
0:22

🚨 CHINA'S AI PRICE WAR IS BECOMING A NIGHTMARE FOR US AI COMPANIES. DeepSeek just made its 75% API price cut permanent. Days later, Xiaomi slashed its API costs by up to 99% to match it. The biggest threat to OpenAI and Anthropic was never another frontier model. It's developers realizing they can get competitive performance for a fraction of the cost. Now Chinese labs are turning AI into a commodity. Pricing it like electricity. Giving it away to WIN the market. The West is still selling AI like a premium product. China is selling it like electricity...

CryptoGoos

39,046 views • 2 months ago

Mark Zuckerberg is explaining one of the most misunderstood dynamics in AI and it has direct investment implications (Save this). The concept he's describing is model distillation, and it's one of the most important techniques to emerge in AI over the past year. Here's how it works. You train a massive, enormously expensive model, in Meta's case, Llama 4 Behemoth, a 2 trillion parameter teacher model and then you use that model to teach a much smaller, cheaper model. The smaller model inherits roughly 90 to 95% of the intelligence of the giant while running at 10% of the cost and on a fraction of the compute. Meta already did this with the Llama 4 family and Behemoth serves as the teacher. Llama 4 Scout and Maverick, the publicly released open-source models were distilled from it. Scout runs on a single H100 GPU with a 10 million token context window and outperforms models that cost far more to operate. Maverick, at 17 billion active parameters, rivals DeepSeek V3 in coding at half the parameter count and beats GPT-4o on multimodal benchmarks. Both are completely free for commercial use. What Zuckerberg is pointing at is a structural shift in how AI gets deployed in the real world. Companies aren't taking a frontier model off the shelf and running it as-is but rather taking open-source models, fine-tuning them on their own proprietary data, distilling them into even smaller custom models tailored to their specific use case, and running them on infrastructure they control at a fraction of the cost of a closed frontier API. The investment implication of this is significant and runs in two directions. For Meta specifically, this is a strategic masterstroke. Every company that builds on Llama, fine-tunes it, distills it, or deploys it through their infrastructure is pulling into Meta's orbit while Meta builds the most powerful open teacher model. The ecosystem of companies using it grows and that ecosystem generates commercial activity across Meta's platforms and data services. Meta's AI research benefits from billions of real world deployment signals and it's a flywheel that closed model providers cannot replicate because their strategy requires charging per token, which is now a 65x cost disadvantage against the open-source alternative. For the broader market, distillation changes the economics of inference in a way that has barely been priced in. As intelligence becomes extractable into smaller and cheaper models, the absolute demand for compute doesn't decline but rather it explodes, because now the number of applications that are economically viable expands by orders of magnitude. Every task that was previously too expensive to automate at $3.25 per call becomes viable at $0.05 that means more total token usage, more total GPU utilization, and more demand for the infrastructure companies, the Nebiuses, the GE Vernovas, the Constellation Energies that supply the underlying compute and power.
1:05

Mark Zuckerberg is explaining one of the most misunderstood dynamics in AI and it has direct investment implications (Save this). The concept he's describing is model distillation, and it's one of the most important techniques to emerge in AI over the past year. Here's how it works. You train a massive, enormously expensive model, in Meta's case, Llama 4 Behemoth, a 2 trillion parameter teacher model and then you use that model to teach a much smaller, cheaper model. The smaller model inherits roughly 90 to 95% of the intelligence of the giant while running at 10% of the cost and on a fraction of the compute. Meta already did this with the Llama 4 family and Behemoth serves as the teacher. Llama 4 Scout and Maverick, the publicly released open-source models were distilled from it. Scout runs on a single H100 GPU with a 10 million token context window and outperforms models that cost far more to operate. Maverick, at 17 billion active parameters, rivals DeepSeek V3 in coding at half the parameter count and beats GPT-4o on multimodal benchmarks. Both are completely free for commercial use. What Zuckerberg is pointing at is a structural shift in how AI gets deployed in the real world. Companies aren't taking a frontier model off the shelf and running it as-is but rather taking open-source models, fine-tuning them on their own proprietary data, distilling them into even smaller custom models tailored to their specific use case, and running them on infrastructure they control at a fraction of the cost of a closed frontier API. The investment implication of this is significant and runs in two directions. For Meta specifically, this is a strategic masterstroke. Every company that builds on Llama, fine-tunes it, distills it, or deploys it through their infrastructure is pulling into Meta's orbit while Meta builds the most powerful open teacher model. The ecosystem of companies using it grows and that ecosystem generates commercial activity across Meta's platforms and data services. Meta's AI research benefits from billions of real world deployment signals and it's a flywheel that closed model providers cannot replicate because their strategy requires charging per token, which is now a 65x cost disadvantage against the open-source alternative. For the broader market, distillation changes the economics of inference in a way that has barely been priced in. As intelligence becomes extractable into smaller and cheaper models, the absolute demand for compute doesn't decline but rather it explodes, because now the number of applications that are economically viable expands by orders of magnitude. Every task that was previously too expensive to automate at $3.25 per call becomes viable at $0.05 that means more total token usage, more total GPU utilization, and more demand for the infrastructure companies, the Nebiuses, the GE Vernovas, the Constellation Energies that supply the underlying compute and power.

Milk Road AI

27,869 views • 27 days ago

Microsoft just betrayed OpenAI and Anthropic, the two companies it helped build. And it could break the entire AI trade... Here's what happened: Inside Excel and Outlook, two of the most used business apps on Earth, Microsoft has started routing tens of thousands of AI requests every week to its own in-house models instead of OpenAI and Anthropic. Microsoft's own AI chief, Mustafa Suleyman, said himself: "We pay a lot of money to Anthropic, so our goal is to reduce and ultimately ELIMINATE that cost." This is the company that poured $13 billion into OpenAI and effectively created the modern AI industry, and it just decided the most advanced models on the market are NOT worth paying for. And here's the thing... Microsoft is not just ripping out OpenAI everywhere - it is being surgical about it. The hardest and rarest tasks can still go to OpenAI or Anthropic. What Microsoft is taking back is the boring, high-volume work, like the email replies, the thread summaries, and the simple spreadsheet formulas. Why does that matter so much? Because that boring, repetitive work is where the actual money lives. The frontier labs assumed businesses would push BILLIONS of these tiny requests through expensive models forever. That endless river of tokens is the entire reason OpenAI and Anthropic are valued in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Microsoft looked at that river, decided it was massively overpaying, and rerouted it to models it owns outright. So the single biggest customer in the industry just walked off with the most profitable part of the business. And it is not only Microsoft: That same week, CNBC reported that American companies have been escaping to Chinese AI models to dodge rising US prices. Chinese models now handle more than 30% of US companies' AI usage on one major platform, peaking at 46%, up from an average of 11% a year earlier. They cost 60 to 90% less, and on some benchmarks they land within a single point of the best American model. One US startup moved ALL of its AI traffic off Claude and onto China's DeepSeek, and expects to save millions. Meanwhile Meta just admitted it has "excess" AI compute it wants to sell, becoming the first giant to concede it built far too much. Do you see the pattern forming? For two years, the entire AI story rested on one assumption: Every company on Earth would happily pay premium prices for the best model, forever. That assumption literally died in a single week. And the market noticed. More than a trillion dollars has been wiped off AI and chip stocks in a matter of days, as Wall Street finally started asking whether all of this spending will ever pay for itself. What this means for OpenAI and Anthropic: Their models are extraordinary, and it may not matter because their own biggest customers have decided they do not NEED the best model in the world to answer an email, and "good enough" now costs a fraction of the price. When even Microsoft refuses to pay full price for AI, the real question becomes who exactly IS left to pay it. What do you think?
1:05

Microsoft just betrayed OpenAI and Anthropic, the two companies it helped build. And it could break the entire AI trade... Here's what happened: Inside Excel and Outlook, two of the most used business apps on Earth, Microsoft has started routing tens of thousands of AI requests every week to its own in-house models instead of OpenAI and Anthropic. Microsoft's own AI chief, Mustafa Suleyman, said himself: "We pay a lot of money to Anthropic, so our goal is to reduce and ultimately ELIMINATE that cost." This is the company that poured $13 billion into OpenAI and effectively created the modern AI industry, and it just decided the most advanced models on the market are NOT worth paying for. And here's the thing... Microsoft is not just ripping out OpenAI everywhere - it is being surgical about it. The hardest and rarest tasks can still go to OpenAI or Anthropic. What Microsoft is taking back is the boring, high-volume work, like the email replies, the thread summaries, and the simple spreadsheet formulas. Why does that matter so much? Because that boring, repetitive work is where the actual money lives. The frontier labs assumed businesses would push BILLIONS of these tiny requests through expensive models forever. That endless river of tokens is the entire reason OpenAI and Anthropic are valued in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Microsoft looked at that river, decided it was massively overpaying, and rerouted it to models it owns outright. So the single biggest customer in the industry just walked off with the most profitable part of the business. And it is not only Microsoft: That same week, CNBC reported that American companies have been escaping to Chinese AI models to dodge rising US prices. Chinese models now handle more than 30% of US companies' AI usage on one major platform, peaking at 46%, up from an average of 11% a year earlier. They cost 60 to 90% less, and on some benchmarks they land within a single point of the best American model. One US startup moved ALL of its AI traffic off Claude and onto China's DeepSeek, and expects to save millions. Meanwhile Meta just admitted it has "excess" AI compute it wants to sell, becoming the first giant to concede it built far too much. Do you see the pattern forming? For two years, the entire AI story rested on one assumption: Every company on Earth would happily pay premium prices for the best model, forever. That assumption literally died in a single week. And the market noticed. More than a trillion dollars has been wiped off AI and chip stocks in a matter of days, as Wall Street finally started asking whether all of this spending will ever pay for itself. What this means for OpenAI and Anthropic: Their models are extraordinary, and it may not matter because their own biggest customers have decided they do not NEED the best model in the world to answer an email, and "good enough" now costs a fraction of the price. When even Microsoft refuses to pay full price for AI, the real question becomes who exactly IS left to pay it. What do you think?

Ricardo

92,971 views • 23 days ago

Jensen Huang explains the AI industry as a five layer cake, and why "model only" companies are missing the real map. "AI is not just a model. AI is really a five layer cake to think about it." "From the lowest level, it requires energy because AI is produced, generated in real time, just like you and I right now. We need calories, we need energy." "The next level is chips. This is where Nvidia is and where a lot of the companies in Taiwan are." "The layer above that is infrastructure: land, power, data center, as well as the cloud service software that turns the chips into a cloud service." "The layer above that is where most people think about when they think about AI, which is models. ChatGPT was revolutionary. Claude Code is now incredibly successful. But AI is much more than just human language." Most people are still debating the model layer. Jensen is describing an industrial stack: energy, chips, infrastructure, models, and applications. If you are building in AI, this is the map that matters. The winning product may look like software, but the bottlenecks are calories, land, power, data centers, chips, and distribution. - Jensen Huang (NVIDIA), CEO of Nvidia, on CNA
1:48

Jensen Huang explains the AI industry as a five layer cake, and why "model only" companies are missing the real map. "AI is not just a model. AI is really a five layer cake to think about it." "From the lowest level, it requires energy because AI is produced, generated in real time, just like you and I right now. We need calories, we need energy." "The next level is chips. This is where Nvidia is and where a lot of the companies in Taiwan are." "The layer above that is infrastructure: land, power, data center, as well as the cloud service software that turns the chips into a cloud service." "The layer above that is where most people think about when they think about AI, which is models. ChatGPT was revolutionary. Claude Code is now incredibly successful. But AI is much more than just human language." Most people are still debating the model layer. Jensen is describing an industrial stack: energy, chips, infrastructure, models, and applications. If you are building in AI, this is the map that matters. The winning product may look like software, but the bottlenecks are calories, land, power, data centers, chips, and distribution. - Jensen Huang (NVIDIA), CEO of Nvidia, on CNA

Karl Mehta

14,983 views • 26 days ago

The German Federal Innovation Agency is running a €125m competition to fund 3 new Frontier AI labs in Europe! "Next Frontier AI" is a pan-European initiative led by SPRIND, Federal Agency for Breakthrough Innovation to create three globally relevant Frontier AI labs. It starts with a €125m challenge where up to 10 teams receive funding over 24 months to build frontier-lab capabilities, including team, infrastructure, prototypes, evaluation discipline, and early pilots. The best-performing teams will then receive structured support toward raising ~€1 billion each. Europe has some of the top AI companies in the world, but as a continent we are massively dependent on frontier labs from other countries. This initiative seeks to change that and I am HERE FOR IT.
1:30

The German Federal Innovation Agency is running a €125m competition to fund 3 new Frontier AI labs in Europe! "Next Frontier AI" is a pan-European initiative led by SPRIND, Federal Agency for Breakthrough Innovation to create three globally relevant Frontier AI labs. It starts with a €125m challenge where up to 10 teams receive funding over 24 months to build frontier-lab capabilities, including team, infrastructure, prototypes, evaluation discipline, and early pilots. The best-performing teams will then receive structured support toward raising ~€1 billion each. Europe has some of the top AI companies in the world, but as a continent we are massively dependent on frontier labs from other countries. This initiative seeks to change that and I am HERE FOR IT.

Seb Johnson

24,124 views • 3 months ago

AI agents are about to redefine the internet. The mistake we made with Large Language Models? We let a handful of corporations capture all the value. Action Model is building a different path. By training through our extension, users gain fractional ownership in the Large Action Model, giving them a real stake in the future of AI. When LLMs emerged, the upside flowed to Big Tech. This time, it doesn’t have to. They’re building AI on our data, and keeping the upside for themselves. Community-owned Large Action Model is how we take it back.
0:49

AI agents are about to redefine the internet. The mistake we made with Large Language Models? We let a handful of corporations capture all the value. Action Model is building a different path. By training through our extension, users gain fractional ownership in the Large Action Model, giving them a real stake in the future of AI. When LLMs emerged, the upside flowed to Big Tech. This time, it doesn’t have to. They’re building AI on our data, and keeping the upside for themselves. Community-owned Large Action Model is how we take it back.

Action Model

77,049 views • 5 months ago

Today we are introducing Tara. Biological datasets are a source of insights and a means to train biological AI models. As the ability to reason at scale emerges, they take on a new role: the ground truth for testing what reasoning models produce, and the environment in which those models operate, get feedback, and improve. Tara, our autonomous research agent, is embedded in our ever-expanding datasets, lab-generated and synthetic, and built to test and evolve the hypotheses frontier models generate, matching the pace at which they produce new ideas. By keeping those models grounded in a vast space of high-precision biological data, we believe we can compound biological reasoning and close the impedance mismatch between hypothesis generation and validation.
4:03

Today we are introducing Tara. Biological datasets are a source of insights and a means to train biological AI models. As the ability to reason at scale emerges, they take on a new role: the ground truth for testing what reasoning models produce, and the environment in which those models operate, get feedback, and improve. Tara, our autonomous research agent, is embedded in our ever-expanding datasets, lab-generated and synthetic, and built to test and evolve the hypotheses frontier models generate, matching the pace at which they produce new ideas. By keeping those models grounded in a vast space of high-precision biological data, we believe we can compound biological reasoning and close the impedance mismatch between hypothesis generation and validation.

Nima Alidoust

27,670 views • 1 month ago

In Ackman's latest interview he divides the AI market, stating that it is not a bubble at the foundational layer, but highly risky at the software/model layer. He sees "near infinite demand" for compute. He believes infrastructure providers such as Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and even SpaceX will earn massive returns on their data center investments. He is highly skeptical of pure model layer businesses like OpenAI and Anthropic. He notes they face massive capital burn rates and an existential threat from open-source models such as Chinese model and SpaceX that are driving the cost of AI access effectively to zero. A business model reliant on charging for proprietary models will collapse if open-source alternatives are essentially free. $AMZN $META $MSFT $SPCX
3:09

In Ackman's latest interview he divides the AI market, stating that it is not a bubble at the foundational layer, but highly risky at the software/model layer. He sees "near infinite demand" for compute. He believes infrastructure providers such as Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and even SpaceX will earn massive returns on their data center investments. He is highly skeptical of pure model layer businesses like OpenAI and Anthropic. He notes they face massive capital burn rates and an existential threat from open-source models such as Chinese model and SpaceX that are driving the cost of AI access effectively to zero. A business model reliant on charging for proprietary models will collapse if open-source alternatives are essentially free. $AMZN $META $MSFT $SPCX

CapexAndChill

137,346 views • 17 days ago

The entire AI industry is racing to build the smartest model. Satya Nadella just admitted that is not where the money is. The model is not the product. The harness is. That is the exact line. And it changes what Microsoft is actually competing on. OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, xAI, Meta every frontier lab is pouring hundreds of billions into training compute, chasing the next capability jump. Each betting that raw model intelligence is the moat. Microsoft is doing the opposite. It is building the harness the orchestration layer that sits above the model, connecting it to tools, data, permissions, sub-agents, and enterprise workflows. And it is letting OpenAI, Anthropic, and MAI compete to plug into it. "You need the model. But the model is not the product. The harness is." So do the math on what a harness actually does. A raw model dropped into an enterprise answers questions. That is a chatbot. A harness turns that same model into an agent that reads the SharePoint, edits the ERP entry, pulls the GitHub PR, updates Salesforce, and files the Excel report with the right permissions, the right audit trail, and the right sub-agent for each sub-task. The model provides the intelligence. The harness converts intelligence into work. Now here's where it gets interesting. "Even the best model in the world will feel broken without a great harness. And an okay model with a great harness can feel like magic." If that is true, the enterprise buyer is not buying model quality. The enterprise buyer is buying the harness. Which means model quality becomes a commodity input over time, and harness quality becomes the sustainable moat. Compare that to the strategy the entire frontier lab industry is executing. Everyone else is chasing the numerator raw intelligence. Almost nobody at scale is racing to build the denominator the orchestration layer that determines whether that intelligence can actually be deployed profitably inside a real company. The frontier model race has a 10 to 20 percent chance of producing a single dominant winner. Nadella just told the industry he does not need to be that winner. If OpenAI wins, Microsoft wins. If Anthropic wins, Microsoft wins. If MAI wins, Microsoft wins. If someone Microsoft has never heard of trains a better model in 2027, Microsoft still wins. Because the compute they train on, the harness they get plugged into, the enterprise contracts they get delivered through, and the products they sit inside are all Microsoft. He is not building the best AI model. He is building the layer that the best AI model has to run on to make anyone money. I wonder which position looks more valuable in ten years.
3:19

The entire AI industry is racing to build the smartest model. Satya Nadella just admitted that is not where the money is. The model is not the product. The harness is. That is the exact line. And it changes what Microsoft is actually competing on. OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, xAI, Meta every frontier lab is pouring hundreds of billions into training compute, chasing the next capability jump. Each betting that raw model intelligence is the moat. Microsoft is doing the opposite. It is building the harness the orchestration layer that sits above the model, connecting it to tools, data, permissions, sub-agents, and enterprise workflows. And it is letting OpenAI, Anthropic, and MAI compete to plug into it. "You need the model. But the model is not the product. The harness is." So do the math on what a harness actually does. A raw model dropped into an enterprise answers questions. That is a chatbot. A harness turns that same model into an agent that reads the SharePoint, edits the ERP entry, pulls the GitHub PR, updates Salesforce, and files the Excel report with the right permissions, the right audit trail, and the right sub-agent for each sub-task. The model provides the intelligence. The harness converts intelligence into work. Now here's where it gets interesting. "Even the best model in the world will feel broken without a great harness. And an okay model with a great harness can feel like magic." If that is true, the enterprise buyer is not buying model quality. The enterprise buyer is buying the harness. Which means model quality becomes a commodity input over time, and harness quality becomes the sustainable moat. Compare that to the strategy the entire frontier lab industry is executing. Everyone else is chasing the numerator raw intelligence. Almost nobody at scale is racing to build the denominator the orchestration layer that determines whether that intelligence can actually be deployed profitably inside a real company. The frontier model race has a 10 to 20 percent chance of producing a single dominant winner. Nadella just told the industry he does not need to be that winner. If OpenAI wins, Microsoft wins. If Anthropic wins, Microsoft wins. If MAI wins, Microsoft wins. If someone Microsoft has never heard of trains a better model in 2027, Microsoft still wins. Because the compute they train on, the harness they get plugged into, the enterprise contracts they get delivered through, and the products they sit inside are all Microsoft. He is not building the best AI model. He is building the layer that the best AI model has to run on to make anyone money. I wonder which position looks more valuable in ten years.

Vikram M

21,463 views • 27 days ago

SITUATION EXPLAINED: 70% of frontier model queries could run locally for free. clem 🤗, co-founder and CEO of Hugging Face: "There was an interesting study from Stanford published last year showing that 70% of the queries that people ask to ChatGPT could be accurately answered locally on your laptop. For free." "Most of the AI workloads that people do today with frontier models could be done by models that are cheaper, faster, more customizable, more controllable. And they don't do it because frankly it's a pain to pick the right model." "You're subsidized so you don't have to care because you have your subscription, so you route everything to Einstein. 'Hey Einstein, what's the weather today?'" "In normal life, he would be like, 'I'm not answering your silly question.' But because it's AI and subsidized by the AI labs, all the questions are getting routed to Einstein versus in an ideal world you have different models that are more specialized and better at answering your questions in different domains." "It's possible that routing is gonna redistribute a lot of the value capture from frontier models to a more long tail of models. It's like AI maturing... we are in the first phase where it's very simple, everyone using just one giant model. Now we're moving to the second phase."
3:35

SITUATION EXPLAINED: 70% of frontier model queries could run locally for free. clem 🤗, co-founder and CEO of Hugging Face: "There was an interesting study from Stanford published last year showing that 70% of the queries that people ask to ChatGPT could be accurately answered locally on your laptop. For free." "Most of the AI workloads that people do today with frontier models could be done by models that are cheaper, faster, more customizable, more controllable. And they don't do it because frankly it's a pain to pick the right model." "You're subsidized so you don't have to care because you have your subscription, so you route everything to Einstein. 'Hey Einstein, what's the weather today?'" "In normal life, he would be like, 'I'm not answering your silly question.' But because it's AI and subsidized by the AI labs, all the questions are getting routed to Einstein versus in an ideal world you have different models that are more specialized and better at answering your questions in different domains." "It's possible that routing is gonna redistribute a lot of the value capture from frontier models to a more long tail of models. It's like AI maturing... we are in the first phase where it's very simple, everyone using just one giant model. Now we're moving to the second phase."

MTS

49,884 views • 1 month ago

Today, we’re excited to announce our $50M Series B, led by Greenfield Partners, with participation from Lightspeed and Notable Capital. 🚀 At Patronus AI, we develop simulations and evals to train and improve AI. The first phase of AI was built on static benchmarks, but that era is over. As agents are used to solve longer and longer tasks, they need to practice in dynamic, living worlds to get better. Simulations are the critical infrastructure powering this next phase. As a company, we’re behind the most influential research and products in AI evaluation, like FinanceBench, Lynx, and Percival. And things have moved at the speed of light since.⚡ We partner with the world's leading frontier AI labs and enterprises, and our revenue has grown more than 15x over the past year. Additionally, today, we’re introducing a preview of the first Digital World Model for AI agent training and simulation: Patronus-DWM. Digital World Models are language diffusion world models that predict realistic environment behaviors and steer agent actions across digital workflows. Just as physical world models predict how objects move through space, we’re developing the equivalent for the digital world: predicting how agents act in digital workflows, then using that to scale the creation of high-quality training data for LLMs. Digital World Models help us push the frontier of ultra long horizon workflows, and unlock a new class of self-improving RL environments. This is our scalable approach to simulating all of the world’s intelligence. The round was also joined by Datadog, Inc., Samsung Ventures, Gokul Rajaram, Factorial Capital, and a large cohort of amazing AI leaders across Anthropic, OpenAI, Google DeepMind, NVIDIA, Recursive, and more.✨ It has been the ride of a lifetime. But we’re just getting started. The best is yet to come. "Do not go gentle into that good night, Rage, rage against the dying of the light" - Dylan Thomas (1954)
1:50

Today, we’re excited to announce our $50M Series B, led by Greenfield Partners, with participation from Lightspeed and Notable Capital. 🚀 At Patronus AI, we develop simulations and evals to train and improve AI. The first phase of AI was built on static benchmarks, but that era is over. As agents are used to solve longer and longer tasks, they need to practice in dynamic, living worlds to get better. Simulations are the critical infrastructure powering this next phase. As a company, we’re behind the most influential research and products in AI evaluation, like FinanceBench, Lynx, and Percival. And things have moved at the speed of light since.⚡ We partner with the world's leading frontier AI labs and enterprises, and our revenue has grown more than 15x over the past year. Additionally, today, we’re introducing a preview of the first Digital World Model for AI agent training and simulation: Patronus-DWM. Digital World Models are language diffusion world models that predict realistic environment behaviors and steer agent actions across digital workflows. Just as physical world models predict how objects move through space, we’re developing the equivalent for the digital world: predicting how agents act in digital workflows, then using that to scale the creation of high-quality training data for LLMs. Digital World Models help us push the frontier of ultra long horizon workflows, and unlock a new class of self-improving RL environments. This is our scalable approach to simulating all of the world’s intelligence. The round was also joined by Datadog, Inc., Samsung Ventures, Gokul Rajaram, Factorial Capital, and a large cohort of amazing AI leaders across Anthropic, OpenAI, Google DeepMind, NVIDIA, Recursive, and more.✨ It has been the ride of a lifetime. But we’re just getting started. The best is yet to come. "Do not go gentle into that good night, Rage, rage against the dying of the light" - Dylan Thomas (1954)

PatronusAI

94,569 views • 1 month ago

JD Vance just admitted the White House could take ownership of every major AI company in the US. Why? Because even governments are starting to realize the same thing: AI will create trillions in value, and at this rate, only a few Big Tech companies will benefit. Right now, billions of people are training AI every day through their data, actions, and online behavior. Yet almost all of the value flows back to a few billionaires and shareholders. That doesn't seem fair. At Action Model, we're building a different future. A people-owned AI model where those helping train it can share in the value they help create. If AI is built by the people, it should benefit the people too. Sign up to the Action Model movement and join the 500k+ users already contributing to a community-owned AI.
1:16

JD Vance just admitted the White House could take ownership of every major AI company in the US. Why? Because even governments are starting to realize the same thing: AI will create trillions in value, and at this rate, only a few Big Tech companies will benefit. Right now, billions of people are training AI every day through their data, actions, and online behavior. Yet almost all of the value flows back to a few billionaires and shareholders. That doesn't seem fair. At Action Model, we're building a different future. A people-owned AI model where those helping train it can share in the value they help create. If AI is built by the people, it should benefit the people too. Sign up to the Action Model movement and join the 500k+ users already contributing to a community-owned AI.

Action Model

19,654 views • 1 month ago