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🔍 Introducing BackSearch. LLMs are increasingly asked to predict the future, but a good backtest requires a snapshot of the internet at a point in time. BackSearch allows LLMs to search the web as it was on a particular date. It’s great for: 🔮 Forecasting and prediction markets. 📈...

419,098 views • 1 month ago •via X (Twitter)

35 Comments

will brown's profile picture
will brown1 month ago

oh hell yeah this is gonna print

General Reasoning's profile picture
General Reasoning1 month ago

Details on how to try BackSearch out here:

Daniel Lougen's profile picture
Daniel Lougen1 month ago

Wayback machine for AI, fuck thats smart. I wonder what kind of training data we might get out of this

Sam Z Liu's profile picture
Sam Z Liu1 month ago

but upgraded?

Cruncher Jean's profile picture
Cruncher Jean1 month ago

You will still inject lookahead bias from the model if it's not completely retrain from scratch. Good for basic RL env but bad for rigorous backtesting. Check ChronosLLM:

Sriraam's profile picture
Sriraam1 month ago

We were just talking about this yesterday lol 🔥🔥

Josh Harris's profile picture
Josh Harris1 month ago

This is exactly what we need when we were building our frontier financial judgement benchmark - will try to integrate for v2 :)

Vivek Iyer's profile picture
Vivek Iyer1 month ago

best data product released in a minute damn

jakedineenasu's profile picture
jakedineenasu1 month ago

This is what we target in our paper "Hindcast: Replaying Prediction Markets to Evaluate LLM Forecasters", although we look at frozen slices of Reddit as a proxy for general markets against replayed Polymarket events.

Muratcan Koylan's profile picture
Muratcan Koylan1 month ago

The timing is perfect; I really needed this.

Albert Catalán Tatjer's profile picture
Albert Catalán Tatjer1 month ago

I was just looking for something like this

M's profile picture
M1 month ago

watch out ppl are gonna do so much prime-rl on this

λux's profile picture
λux1 month ago

this is super cool!! 🙌🏻

Anthony Tamasi's profile picture
Anthony Tamasi1 month ago

This is a great idea, but models are pretrained on info up to some cutoff date. Wouldn’t there still be data leakage from future events even without tool use?

prady's profile picture
prady1 month ago

Woah!

Alex Peng's profile picture
Alex Peng1 month ago

This is so cool

Robin Salimans's profile picture
Robin Salimans1 month ago

this looks super useful

Anirudh Ravichandran's profile picture
Anirudh Ravichandran1 month ago

excellent, I can totally see the hill climbing with reproducible reward on search environments going brrr @willcb

Mani 🪽's profile picture
Mani 🪽1 month ago

this is super cool !!!!

Vantix AI Agency's profile picture
Vantix AI Agency1 month ago

Searching the web from any past date changes how models get tested

Shreyas Pimpalgaonkar's profile picture
Shreyas Pimpalgaonkar1 month ago

Wow, this is actually so useful! Congratulations

Nayeem's profile picture
Nayeem1 month ago

Incredible

Thomas Mattimore 🇺🇸's profile picture
Thomas Mattimore 🇺🇸1 month ago

Will be a cool way to track various predictions made over time

Restitutor's profile picture
Restitutor1 month ago

Awesome, I can think of other uses for this

Oscar Hong's profile picture
Oscar Hong1 month ago

this is genius. always wondered why there wasn’t a benchmark for predictions. does this only work for events that happened after a model’s training date?

Matan Halevy's profile picture
Matan Halevy1 month ago

unreal, we’re working on a benchmark this would be useful for. Excited to give it a try

Luigi Pagani's profile picture
Luigi Pagani1 month ago

Wow, so cool!

Jia Ming (إحسان)'s profile picture
Jia Ming (إحسان)1 month ago

Google should be doing this

callum's profile picture
callum1 month ago

super cool! and very useful

आशीष खरे's profile picture
आशीष खरे1 month ago

This is new. I like the general idea. Great one!

Yusuf's profile picture
Yusuf1 month ago

Need this

Ha Hoang's profile picture
Ha Hoang1 month ago

is this way back machine but for AI agent?

ethan's profile picture
ethan1 month ago

great idea

2cents's profile picture
2cents1 month ago

@teortaxesTex This is very useful utility

BowTiedStingray's profile picture
BowTiedStingray1 month ago

Beautiful - thank you for this

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