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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran emerged from the war with far more leverage than many expected. Prof. Fawaz Gerges argues the Trump administration is now trapped in a strategic box, facing an Iran that can exert enormous pressure on the global economy through the Strait of Hormuz. He says Washington entered the... show more

Mario Nawfal

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57,843 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Washington is trying to turn a costly setback into a diplomatic victory. Prof. Fawaz Gerges argues the White House is repackaging a bilateral arrangement with Iran as part of a broader regional realignment, while pressing Arab states to deepen ties through the Abraham Accords. He says the goal is to contain the fallout, avoid a wider war that military leaders believe would be extraordinarily costly, and shift attention away from what many now see as a major strategic miscalculation. The harder part may be convincing the world the plan worked. Fawaz Gerges

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Washington is trying to turn a costly setback into a diplomatic victory. Prof. Fawaz Gerges argues the White House is repackaging a bilateral arrangement with Iran as part of a broader regional realignment, while pressing Arab states to deepen ties through the Abraham Accords. He says the goal is to contain the fallout, avoid a wider war that military leaders believe would be extraordinarily costly, and shift attention away from what many now see as a major strategic miscalculation. The harder part may be convincing the world the plan worked. Fawaz Gerges

Mario Nawfal

57,273 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

🇮🇱🇵🇸 The idea that the Middle East could achieve stability while sidelining the Palestinian issue is starting to fall apart. Prof. Fawaz Gerges argues the Abraham Accords were built on the assumption that normalization with Israel could move forward while Palestinian statehood aspirations faded into the background. Instead, he says, the war in Gaza and the expansion of Israeli control over Palestinian territory are making regional stability even harder to achieve. The conflict keeps pulling the region back in. Fawaz Gerges

🇮🇱🇵🇸 The idea that the Middle East could achieve stability while sidelining the Palestinian issue is starting to fall apart. Prof. Fawaz Gerges argues the Abraham Accords were built on the assumption that normalization with Israel could move forward while Palestinian statehood aspirations faded into the background. Instead, he says, the war in Gaza and the expansion of Israeli control over Palestinian territory are making regional stability even harder to achieve. The conflict keeps pulling the region back in. Fawaz Gerges

Mario Nawfal

27,367 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Even if the Iran war ends tomorrow, the old Middle East isn’t coming back. Professor Fawaz Gerges thinks the war has fundamentally changed how America’s Gulf allies think about their own security. Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar and others spent decades building around one assumption: When things became truly dangerous, the United States would be there. Gerges argues that assumption has now been badly shaken. Gulf governments watched Washington coordinate the Iran war with Israel while, according to Gerges, leaving its Arab allies outside the decision-making process. When the regional consequences arrived, they began looking elsewhere for additional protection. Not necessarily instead of America. Alongside it. Saudi Arabia is building deeper security relationships with Turkey and Pakistan. Gulf states are exploring ties with Egypt, China, India and other powers. That is why Gerges thinks even a U.S.-Iran agreement cannot simply reset the region. “The Gulf will never be the same.” America can end a war. Rebuilding the assumption that only America can guarantee Gulf security may be considerably harder. Fawaz Gerges

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Even if the Iran war ends tomorrow, the old Middle East isn’t coming back. Professor Fawaz Gerges thinks the war has fundamentally changed how America’s Gulf allies think about their own security. Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar and others spent decades building around one assumption: When things became truly dangerous, the United States would be there. Gerges argues that assumption has now been badly shaken. Gulf governments watched Washington coordinate the Iran war with Israel while, according to Gerges, leaving its Arab allies outside the decision-making process. When the regional consequences arrived, they began looking elsewhere for additional protection. Not necessarily instead of America. Alongside it. Saudi Arabia is building deeper security relationships with Turkey and Pakistan. Gulf states are exploring ties with Egypt, China, India and other powers. That is why Gerges thinks even a U.S.-Iran agreement cannot simply reset the region. “The Gulf will never be the same.” America can end a war. Rebuilding the assumption that only America can guarantee Gulf security may be considerably harder. Fawaz Gerges

Mario Nawfal

227,864 görüntüleme • 4 gün önce

💢 Strait of Hormuz Commission — “Open for All or Closed to All” Richard Haass, former head of the Council on Foreign Relations, says Washington is not negotiating from strength and and that Iran has emerged from the war with greater leverage. 🔸On Hormuz, he suggests Washington should tell Iran that the Strait of Hormuz can be “open to all or closed to all.” ➤ Proposes an international governing commission, including Iran and Gulf states, to oversee transit though Hormuz ➤ Open to tolls and shared revenue as part of the framework 🔸Crucially, Haass says if Iran refuses, the U.S. should consider blockading Hormuz at the Gulf of Oman to stop Iranian oil exports. 🔸His view: ➤ Washington should not accept Iran’s sole control over Hormuz ➤ But also cannot realistically exclude Iran from the strait ➤ Haass says the war has made a return to the pre-war status quo impossible and U.S. has lost the war in a strategic and political sense. Separately. he calls on Trump to pressure Israel to stop what he describes as a “discretionary war” in Lebanon. “Knock it off,” he suggests Trump tell Netanyahu.

💢 Strait of Hormuz Commission — “Open for All or Closed to All” Richard Haass, former head of the Council on Foreign Relations, says Washington is not negotiating from strength and and that Iran has emerged from the war with greater leverage. 🔸On Hormuz, he suggests Washington should tell Iran that the Strait of Hormuz can be “open to all or closed to all.” ➤ Proposes an international governing commission, including Iran and Gulf states, to oversee transit though Hormuz ➤ Open to tolls and shared revenue as part of the framework 🔸Crucially, Haass says if Iran refuses, the U.S. should consider blockading Hormuz at the Gulf of Oman to stop Iranian oil exports. 🔸His view: ➤ Washington should not accept Iran’s sole control over Hormuz ➤ But also cannot realistically exclude Iran from the strait ➤ Haass says the war has made a return to the pre-war status quo impossible and U.S. has lost the war in a strategic and political sense. Separately. he calls on Trump to pressure Israel to stop what he describes as a “discretionary war” in Lebanon. “Knock it off,” he suggests Trump tell Netanyahu.

Drop Site

109,995 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Mohammad Marandi: Iran is negotiating, but it is preparing for war Iran has offered Washington a path back to the previous MoU, this time with much faster implementation on both sides. Trump rejected it. But Mohammad Marandi argues that Tehran’s offer shouldn’t be mistaken for desperation. He says Iran is deliberately allowing much of the traffic currently moving through the Strait of Hormuz because Tehran doesn’t want to crash the global economy or inflict unnecessary damage on countries such as China and Pakistan. “Most of the ships that go through do go with Iranian consent.” That gives Iran something more useful than simply closing Hormuz: a pressure valve it can tighten gradually. The negotiations serve another purpose. Marandi says demonstrating that Iran remains willing to return to the MoU strengthens Beijing’s hand as China deals with Washington. Tehran can tell its partners it offered a settlement and Washington refused it. None of that makes him optimistic. The probability of renewed U.S.-Iran military conflict is now “substantial,” potentially before or after the midterms. So Tehran’s strategy appears to be running on two tracks: Keep offering Washington an exit. And keep preparing for the very real possibility that Washington doesn’t take it. Seyed Mohammad Marandi

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Mohammad Marandi: Iran is negotiating, but it is preparing for war Iran has offered Washington a path back to the previous MoU, this time with much faster implementation on both sides. Trump rejected it. But Mohammad Marandi argues that Tehran’s offer shouldn’t be mistaken for desperation. He says Iran is deliberately allowing much of the traffic currently moving through the Strait of Hormuz because Tehran doesn’t want to crash the global economy or inflict unnecessary damage on countries such as China and Pakistan. “Most of the ships that go through do go with Iranian consent.” That gives Iran something more useful than simply closing Hormuz: a pressure valve it can tighten gradually. The negotiations serve another purpose. Marandi says demonstrating that Iran remains willing to return to the MoU strengthens Beijing’s hand as China deals with Washington. Tehran can tell its partners it offered a settlement and Washington refused it. None of that makes him optimistic. The probability of renewed U.S.-Iran military conflict is now “substantial,” potentially before or after the midterms. So Tehran’s strategy appears to be running on two tracks: Keep offering Washington an exit. And keep preparing for the very real possibility that Washington doesn’t take it. Seyed Mohammad Marandi

Mario Nawfal

331,289 görüntüleme • 6 gün önce

JUST IN 🇮🇷🇺🇸: U.S. and Iranian Negotiations hit a BIG WALL, The Strait of Hormuz Iran stressed the Strait of Hormuz, won't return to its pre-war status, and a new transit protocol must be established. The U.S. wants to return to what it was before the war. The 40-day War on Iran gave them a nuke, the Strait of Hormuz, and they will not give it up! This was a problem created by Netanyahu lying and starting this war on Iran and the world is paying the price. Thanks again Bibi...

JUST IN 🇮🇷🇺🇸: U.S. and Iranian Negotiations hit a BIG WALL, The Strait of Hormuz Iran stressed the Strait of Hormuz, won't return to its pre-war status, and a new transit protocol must be established. The U.S. wants to return to what it was before the war. The 40-day War on Iran gave them a nuke, the Strait of Hormuz, and they will not give it up! This was a problem created by Netanyahu lying and starting this war on Iran and the world is paying the price. Thanks again Bibi...

Ryan Rozbiani

147,375 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Ana Kasparian says the U.S. entered the war with depleted missile-interceptor stocks, then watched Iran turn the Strait of Hormuz into its biggest source of leverage. Her argument is that Washington now faces a brutal choice: absorb the economic costs of a prolonged blockade or find a diplomatic way out. And she believes Trump’s refusal to acknowledge that reality is making the situation worse. “Iran has quite a bit of leverage.” Ana Kasparian

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Ana Kasparian says the U.S. entered the war with depleted missile-interceptor stocks, then watched Iran turn the Strait of Hormuz into its biggest source of leverage. Her argument is that Washington now faces a brutal choice: absorb the economic costs of a prolonged blockade or find a diplomatic way out. And she believes Trump’s refusal to acknowledge that reality is making the situation worse. “Iran has quite a bit of leverage.” Ana Kasparian

Mario Nawfal

108,994 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

JUST IN: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump may end Iran war without nuclear deal Trump has privately told senior aides he could be willing to end the war with Iran without a nuclear agreement if Tehran fully reopens the Strait of Hormuz, according to WSJ. But Iran’s sweeping new demands are making Trump’s search for an exit far more complicated. The Strait of Hormuz could now be the key bargaining chip in ending the conflict.

JUST IN: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump may end Iran war without nuclear deal Trump has privately told senior aides he could be willing to end the war with Iran without a nuclear agreement if Tehran fully reopens the Strait of Hormuz, according to WSJ. But Iran’s sweeping new demands are making Trump’s search for an exit far more complicated. The Strait of Hormuz could now be the key bargaining chip in ending the conflict.

War Radar

20,899 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

🚨🇮🇷 🇮🇱 THE GLOBAL THREAT: WAR ON THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ Eylon Levy warns that the Iranian regime has effectively declared war on the global economy by threatening the Strait of Hormuz. Closing the Strait is a desperate "nuclear option" intended to force a humiliating retreat from international pressure. The world must recognize that leaving Iran with these military capabilities only invites future global blackmail. Eylon Levy

🚨🇮🇷 🇮🇱 THE GLOBAL THREAT: WAR ON THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ Eylon Levy warns that the Iranian regime has effectively declared war on the global economy by threatening the Strait of Hormuz. Closing the Strait is a desperate "nuclear option" intended to force a humiliating retreat from international pressure. The world must recognize that leaving Iran with these military capabilities only invites future global blackmail. Eylon Levy

Mario Nawfal

110,340 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Col. Douglas Macgregor says the Iran war was never a case of Washington misunderstanding the risks. He claims Trump was aware that Iran could become a long, costly conflict with consequences reaching far beyond the battlefield. The question now, Macgregor argues, is whether Trump accepts the limits of the situation or doubles down on a war he was already warned would be difficult to win. "He understood the dangers. He understood the difficulties. And he started the war anyway." Douglas Macgregor

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Col. Douglas Macgregor says the Iran war was never a case of Washington misunderstanding the risks. He claims Trump was aware that Iran could become a long, costly conflict with consequences reaching far beyond the battlefield. The question now, Macgregor argues, is whether Trump accepts the limits of the situation or doubles down on a war he was already warned would be difficult to win. "He understood the dangers. He understood the difficulties. And he started the war anyway." Douglas Macgregor

Mario Nawfal

111,646 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump has restarted a war he no longer controls, and Iran intends to make escape painfully difficult Middle East analyst Trita Parsi says Trump believed he could inflict enough military pressure to force Iran back to the negotiating table, then declare victory and end the conflict whenever it became politically convenient. Instead, rather than giving him an easy off-ramp, Iran is trying to make the war so costly that he never thinks of doing it again. That's why Trita believes the economic pressure matters just as much as the missiles, because every additional cost increases the political pain of continuing the conflict. At the heart of the war is the Strait of Hormuz, and Trita argues this isn't really about shipping fees; it's about leverage. Iran believes control of the Strait is its single biggest deterrent against a full-scale American attack. Give that up, and Washington can launch another war with far fewer consequences. That's why he says Tehran is extremely unlikely to compromise on the issue, regardless of the military pressure. His warning is that this creates a dangerous cycle, because every failed attempt to force a breakthrough creates pressure for another escalation. Trita says that's how wars stop being short campaigns and start becoming open-ended conflicts. He puts the chances of the fighting escalating over the next month at more than 80%. Not because either side necessarily wants a forever war, but because both sides now believe backing down today makes an even bigger war tomorrow more likely. Trita Parsi

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump has restarted a war he no longer controls, and Iran intends to make escape painfully difficult Middle East analyst Trita Parsi says Trump believed he could inflict enough military pressure to force Iran back to the negotiating table, then declare victory and end the conflict whenever it became politically convenient. Instead, rather than giving him an easy off-ramp, Iran is trying to make the war so costly that he never thinks of doing it again. That's why Trita believes the economic pressure matters just as much as the missiles, because every additional cost increases the political pain of continuing the conflict. At the heart of the war is the Strait of Hormuz, and Trita argues this isn't really about shipping fees; it's about leverage. Iran believes control of the Strait is its single biggest deterrent against a full-scale American attack. Give that up, and Washington can launch another war with far fewer consequences. That's why he says Tehran is extremely unlikely to compromise on the issue, regardless of the military pressure. His warning is that this creates a dangerous cycle, because every failed attempt to force a breakthrough creates pressure for another escalation. Trita says that's how wars stop being short campaigns and start becoming open-ended conflicts. He puts the chances of the fighting escalating over the next month at more than 80%. Not because either side necessarily wants a forever war, but because both sides now believe backing down today makes an even bigger war tomorrow more likely. Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

287,770 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

Absolute disaster for Washington. A former White House advisor admits on 60 Minutes that the Trump administration is completely powerless to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Iran has total strategic dominance. Trump started a catastrophic war he literally cannot win!

Absolute disaster for Washington. A former White House advisor admits on 60 Minutes that the Trump administration is completely powerless to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Iran has total strategic dominance. Trump started a catastrophic war he literally cannot win!

Furkan Gözükara

56,562 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

🇺🇸🇮🇷⚠️ Trump hoped reopening the Strait of Hormuz would give him an opportunity to declare victory and wind down the war with Iran, even without securing a nuclear agreement. Tehran, however, has dramatically raised the price of a deal. According to The Wall Street Journal, Iran is demanding the withdrawal of U.S. forces from the region, an end to the naval blockade, the lifting of sanctions, the release of frozen Iranian assets, and billions of dollars in war reparations before fully reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Those demands have significantly narrowed the Trump administration’s room for maneuver. Tehran reportedly believes Washington is increasingly eager to find an exit from the conflict and is therefore using its ability to disrupt the Strait of Hormuz, and consequently a crucial portion of global oil flows, as leverage at the negotiating table. The pressure is also growing inside the United States. Gasoline prices are hovering around $4 per gallon, while the approaching midterm elections give the Trump administration a strong political incentive to stabilize energy markets and reach an agreement with Iran. The situation leaves Washington facing an increasingly difficult calculation. Accepting Tehran’s sweeping demands would represent a major concession, while renewed military escalation risks further disruption of Hormuz and another surge in global energy prices. Iran appears to understand that pressure on the Strait directly translates into economic and political pressure on Washington, and Tehran is attempting to exploit that leverage to extract concessions it could never obtain under normal circumstances.

🇺🇸🇮🇷⚠️ Trump hoped reopening the Strait of Hormuz would give him an opportunity to declare victory and wind down the war with Iran, even without securing a nuclear agreement. Tehran, however, has dramatically raised the price of a deal. According to The Wall Street Journal, Iran is demanding the withdrawal of U.S. forces from the region, an end to the naval blockade, the lifting of sanctions, the release of frozen Iranian assets, and billions of dollars in war reparations before fully reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Those demands have significantly narrowed the Trump administration’s room for maneuver. Tehran reportedly believes Washington is increasingly eager to find an exit from the conflict and is therefore using its ability to disrupt the Strait of Hormuz, and consequently a crucial portion of global oil flows, as leverage at the negotiating table. The pressure is also growing inside the United States. Gasoline prices are hovering around $4 per gallon, while the approaching midterm elections give the Trump administration a strong political incentive to stabilize energy markets and reach an agreement with Iran. The situation leaves Washington facing an increasingly difficult calculation. Accepting Tehran’s sweeping demands would represent a major concession, while renewed military escalation risks further disruption of Hormuz and another surge in global energy prices. Iran appears to understand that pressure on the Strait directly translates into economic and political pressure on Washington, and Tehran is attempting to exploit that leverage to extract concessions it could never obtain under normal circumstances.

NSTRIKE

19,620 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

🚨🇮🇷 The real center of this war may not be Iran itself. Pravin Sawhney, former military officer and defense analyst, says control of the Strait of Hormuz is the true strategic focus. That is what gives Iran global leverage. Pravin Sawhney

🚨🇮🇷 The real center of this war may not be Iran itself. Pravin Sawhney, former military officer and defense analyst, says control of the Strait of Hormuz is the true strategic focus. That is what gives Iran global leverage. Pravin Sawhney

Mario Nawfal

21,083 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

IRAN WAR BOMBSHELL: It Has Now Been Confirmed That The Office Of National Intelligence And The Pentagon Warned President Trump One Week Before the Iran War Began That In Most Scenarios, The United States Would Fail Massively With Regime Change In Iran And Potentially Trigger A Global Catastrophe

IRAN WAR BOMBSHELL: It Has Now Been Confirmed That The Office Of National Intelligence And The Pentagon Warned President Trump One Week Before the Iran War Began That In Most Scenarios, The United States Would Fail Massively With Regime Change In Iran And Potentially Trigger A Global Catastrophe

Alex Jones

2,036,670 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

🚨 BREAKING: Prominent Prof. Mohammad Marandi confirms a massive strategic victory. He reveals Iran brilliantly used the Strait of Hormuz to completely trap the Trump administration. Washington is finally being forced to prioritize the US economy over the Zionist regime.

🚨 BREAKING: Prominent Prof. Mohammad Marandi confirms a massive strategic victory. He reveals Iran brilliantly used the Strait of Hormuz to completely trap the Trump administration. Washington is finally being forced to prioritize the US economy over the Zionist regime.

Furkan Gözükara

499,512 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

🇮🇷 Put simply: Iran entered this war without the Strait card and leaves with it. 40 days of getting bombed back to the stone age and Iran walks into Islamabad holding something it didn't have before. The country that "lost big" is negotiating from a stronger position than when the war started. What will this lead to? Sky News

🇮🇷 Put simply: Iran entered this war without the Strait card and leaves with it. 40 days of getting bombed back to the stone age and Iran walks into Islamabad holding something it didn't have before. The country that "lost big" is negotiating from a stronger position than when the war started. What will this lead to? Sky News

Mario Nawfal

114,209 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The original arguments over Iran’s nuclear program and missiles are becoming secondary. The real impasse is now control of the Strait of Hormuz. Brandon points to reported departures of anti-war officials and discussions of periodic strikes as signs Trump may be settling into a longer campaign. Washington won’t accept Iranian control of Hormuz. Iran won’t return to the pre-war status quo. That leaves remarkably little room between them. Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The original arguments over Iran’s nuclear program and missiles are becoming secondary. The real impasse is now control of the Strait of Hormuz. Brandon points to reported departures of anti-war officials and discussions of periodic strikes as signs Trump may be settling into a longer campaign. Washington won’t accept Iranian control of Hormuz. Iran won’t return to the pre-war status quo. That leaves remarkably little room between them. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

64,715 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 IRAN COULD FORCE AMERICA TO STAY IN THE WAR Lt. Col. Karen Kwiatkowski says Iran may now hold the momentum in the conflict. If Tehran keeps striking U.S. bases or closing the Strait of Hormuz, Washington could be pulled deeper into the war whether it wants it or not. Karen Kwiatkowski

🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 IRAN COULD FORCE AMERICA TO STAY IN THE WAR Lt. Col. Karen Kwiatkowski says Iran may now hold the momentum in the conflict. If Tehran keeps striking U.S. bases or closing the Strait of Hormuz, Washington could be pulled deeper into the war whether it wants it or not. Karen Kwiatkowski

Mario Nawfal

78,318 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

Sky News confirms a brilliant strategic move by Iran. By opening the Strait of Hormuz only during the ceasefire, Tehran has completely trapped the Trump administration. Washington is now under massive global pressure to abandon their disastrous military campaign.

Sky News confirms a brilliant strategic move by Iran. By opening the Strait of Hormuz only during the ceasefire, Tehran has completely trapped the Trump administration. Washington is now under massive global pressure to abandon their disastrous military campaign.

Furkan Gözükara

651,325 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce