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Iran Launches Heavy Attacks on American Bases In response to American strikes that today even hit a mineral water bottling plant and multiple strategic targets across the country, Iran reacted forcefully, launching 15-20 missiles and at least 50 drones against Bahrain, Kuwait, and Jordan. War escalation is now fully...

175,031 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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Iran launches symbolic missile attack against Israel, which retaliates strongly After Iran launched a symbolic attack against Israel in protest against the attacks on Beirut, hours later it was Israel's turn to retaliate, this time indeed with violence and hitting more than 10 targets in Iran, including Tehran airport and Tehran, Isfahan, Tabriz, Kermanshah, Karaj, and some other areas in western Iran. Israel used air-launched ballistic missiles from Iranian airspace and also dared to launch cruise missiles from ships stationed in the Mediterranean. The White House said the US had no part in the attack; however, strangely, American tanker planes were seen in the air. Refueling whom? It wasn't my motorcycle. There are two questions at this moment: One is that since the Iranian retaliation did not hit targets in Israel in a significant way, it is very likely that Iran still has a serious problem with the refurbishment and upgrade of its long-range missiles. And the other is that perhaps the US has not only reinstated THAAD radars and others but also added more batteries brought from Asia that were positioned in advance in the corridors. Be that as it may, the current situation forces Iran to retaliate and show that it possesses real means of inflicting damage on Israel. There will be no ceasefire in Lebanon in the way Iran desires, simply because Israel saw the quantity of missiles that Hezbollah accumulated in a short period of time and will not allow that again. Israel has its own agenda, its own interests, and they are completely antagonistic to the peace plan that has been discussed. Trump is trying to save his political skin, but Netanyahu will impose his agenda and Trump will be dragged along by it. But while Trump isn't dragged along, Iran seems to be wanting to settle scores with Israel, launching a new wave of missiles along with Yemen, which, by all accounts, has also decided to launch missiles against Israel. It remains to be seen what the level of these attacks will be. In the last few instances, the Houthis launched merely symbolic attacks. Join my substack and support my work:

Patricia Marins

200,620 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

🚨SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING THIS MONDAY!! Most people are still completely UNPREPARED for what could happen next. The Iran conflict is now entering its most dangerous phase yet. Trump has already ordered strikes against Iran in the coming days, according to the WSJ. They will begin as early as this weekend. This will become one of the MOST aggressive bombing campaigns of the entire conflict. And Iran is not waiting. Tehran says it has already prepared a “comprehensive” response if the attacks begin. Read that again. The strikes may already be ordered. The targets may already be selected. And Iran’s retaliation may already be prepared. Now connect the dots: → Trump orders strikes on Iran → U.S. and Israel target energy infrastructure → Iran launches a major retaliation → Gulf oil facilities and U.S. bases come under threat → The Strait of Hormuz becomes the center of the war This is no longer another temporary escalation. This is the setup for a direct U.S.-Iran war. And once the first strike happens, the retaliation loop could become impossible to stop: → Iranian energy facilities are destroyed → Iran attacks U.S., Israeli, or Gulf targets → Oil infrastructure across the region comes under fire → The U.S. launches an even larger response → The entire Middle East moves closer to full-scale war The Strait of Hormuz is already unstable. Saudi vessels have already been attacked. The Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb are becoming active military zones again. Now Iran’s energy infrastructure could be hit directly. That puts the world’s most important oil routes at risk at the exact same time. But here is the part almost nobody understands. Iran is not promising a symbolic response. It is preparing a comprehensive one. That could mean attacks on: → U.S. military bases → Israeli cities and infrastructure → Saudi and Gulf oil facilities → Commercial tankers → The Strait of Hormuz One successful strike on a major oil facility could send markets into complete panic. And one closure of the Strait of Hormuz could change the global economy overnight. Markets are still acting like this is another headline that will disappear in 24 hours. They may not understand what is happening until oil is exploding and risk assets are already collapsing. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE the market realizes how serious this is.

Wimar.X

361,594 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Vulnerable Oil Pipelines and the UAE’s Existential Delusion If the problem is the closure of the Strait of Hormuz in the event of a conflict, I would say that these ideas only last until the conflict actually begins. Once it starts, both the terminals and the oil pipelines will be bombed. The Gulf countries have not yet understood that they need to reach some kind of arrangement among themselves. And the United States should encourage this, focusing on regional stability. It has become clear that U.S military control of the region no longer exists. The bases only serve to waste money and expose the Arab countries to confrontation with Iran. The Emirates are living in an existential delusion, believing they can return to previous levels of prosperity while maintaining a confrontational stance toward Iran. The UAE is face-to-face with Iran. After what happened in this war, who will invest in Dubai without the certainty that the country has reached an understanding with Iran? The illusion of American protection no longer exists. The same applies to all Gulf countries. Both the appeasement of Iranian-backed militias and the reduction of the American military presence around Iran are political decisions that need to mature through greater dialogue, something that will not be achieved with the confrontational tone the Emirates have maintained. On the contrary, the Emirates are deluded and will see their economy face serious difficulties if they continue down this path. Carrying out persuasion through military encirclement with bases against a missile power is no longer viable today. Decades ago, those bases might have received the occasional imprecise Scud. Today, they face showers of missiles and drones. These bases are no longer practical in the current era, and the same applies to bases in Asia surrounding China, or NATO bases surrounding Russia. The new reality is simple: only underground bases supported by a vast ecosystem will survive future conflicts. The Cold War strategy of containment has proven to be a failure in modern wars. It merely exposes troops to grave danger without delivering real security. The entire model must be completely rethought. The war with Iran has demonstrated that military bases now require a minimum safe distance from adversary missile and drone threats, and even then, they must be built underground. Surface bases have become liabilities rather than assets.

Patricia Marins

218,335 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

The US can apply pressure, but Iran is not Venezuela. The choice to arm groups in Iran instead of investing in peaceful protests eliminated all chances for the movement seeking greater change and freedom. Although President Trump is discussing support for the protesters and possible aid, I don't believe there are resources available for that. Although Iran is facing severe problems with electricity and water, in addition to high inflation and debts from the 12-day war, they have accelerated repairs on military installations as well as in the missile cities. The manufacturing and the pace of refurbishment of missiles produced before 2015 and with liquid fuel, such as the Shahab-3, Emad, Ghadr, and the Soumar cruise missiles, are proceeding at full steam. A country like Iran can recondition more than 1,000 of these missiles in 6 months. Anyone who thinks Iran's missile stock is somehow limited is deluding themselves. The missile cities are fully loaded. There may be shortages of water and electricity in the country, but missile production there has proven to be a priority. Furthermore, a new attack on Iran could unite the country and lead to violent retaliations against various American bases, in addition to closing the Strait of Hormuz with more than 20 submarines and thousands of anti-ship missiles with ranges exceeding 1,000 km, causing daily economic losses of billions to the world. And there's another thing to worry about. The US sent Israel more than 90,000 tons of bombs that were dropped on Gaza and Iran. This left American stocks in a position where they have not yet been replenished. The same goes for air defense missiles from both the US and Israel, which have not yet been restocked. The entire situation is being evaluated by the US. Iran used little of what it has in the 12-day war, mainly because it knew it had been caught by surprise and was without strategic air defense systems. It preserved a large part of its military units. Today, it is likely that Iran would treat any attack and the proportional retaliation as matters of survival. Furthermore, Iran is more under Chinese and Russian influence than American, another point that differs greatly from the Venezuela situation. President Trump is already dealing with problems in Venezuela and now this Greenland issue. Given the weapon stock issues, Iran's potential retaliations, and the matters Trump is still resolving, I don't think an attack on Iran is likely, unless it's something small and symbolic.

Patricia Marins

24,061 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад

Iran war, day 63 summary! Charlatan in chief never skips a beat! -Trump says he's "not satisfied" with the peace deal proposal What peace deal? -Iran demands end to fake blockade -nuclear and missile program remain -SOH remains restricted New unhinged Trump rant! -“We destroyed everything in Iran thanks to our Israeli ally and the wonderful blockade that prevented them from exporting.” -The Iranian navy, which was the strongest regionally (it was?), has been completely destroyed -159 of its ships are now at the bottom of the sea -Iran is now without air defenses or radar systems, and its military capabilities have been completely paralyzed. -Iran should not have nuclear weapons, and military confrontation with it was necessary. -Gas prices will drop quickly once the situation in Iran is over, and may be cheaper than they were. Ex-Trump national advisor Bolton: “Trump talks about a deal with Iran to lower oil prices” Meanwhile, -“I think [his words] are a kind of market manipulation to show that everything is fine.” This is market manipulation! -He says a deal could happen at any moment and the blockade is working great. His main goal is to lower oil prices. -There has been a big jump in oil prices now, and I think Trump is reacting to this again The Trump regime only cares about the stock market and price of oil! And that’s why Mossad agents representing the negotiating team!! Kushner, Witkoff and their ulterior motives! (NY Times) The Trump regime has turned the art of peacemaking, into a business Representative Jamie Raskin wrote: -"You cannot be a loyal representative of the US while billions of dollars of Saudi and UAE money are priority -Kushner’s property is affinity partners -both kosher agents previous meetings with Iran failed because they did not fully grasp the complexities of nuclear issues. In fact they fully grasp the issue from Israel’s perspective, which is that Iran cannot have a viable nuclear program. Iran demands reparations from the US, Israel and the GCC terror states! Iran's Rep to the UN responds to a letter from Qatar, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait, and Jordan to the United Nations and the Security Council: “Those countries participated in the aggression against Iran through bases on their territories from which the fire and air raids were launched.” “Iran exercised its legitimate right to self-defense, which is enshrined in the UN Charter, in response to the aggression.” “Iran was not the initiator of the fighting.” “The countries that participated or allowed the use of their bases, airspace, waters, and territories to launch aggression against Iran are responsible and must be held accountable.” “The failure of the UNSC to condemn the aggression and identify the aggressors has played a role in encouraging the aggressors to continue the aggression.” “We demand that each of Qatar, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait, and Jordan bear responsibility for full compensation to Iran for the damage.” Operation Stargate has been impeded! Amazon Closures in UAE and Bahrain Amazon announced: -Direct damage to hardware equipment estimated at over $850 million. -there’s complete outage of 37 critical services -disruption of access for over 12,000 enterprise and government customers across the region. -Tech reports indicate that over 40% of data storage capacity in the affected centers requires physical recovery.

Truth_teller 🇷🇺

13,570 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

Iran Loses Frigate and Yak-130 and Decides to Deploy Jet-Powered Kamikaze Drones An Iranian frigate was sunk near Sri Lanka, nearly 4,000 km from the theater of operations. Another Iranian catamaran was hit by a missile launched from a drone and headed for repairs. Tehran was heavily bombed today in a day that, according to Iranian authorities, 900 civilians were killed. Iran also reported downing another drone, this time a Heron. However, an F-35I shot down a YAK-130, with both pilots ejecting safely. Facing these recent losses, Iran decided to deploy two jet-powered drones: the Arash-2 and the Hadid-110. Both are stealth drones that reach more than 450 km/h, with the Hadid exceeding 500 km/h. The targets of these drones were more high-cost radars existing in the region, with the Arash-2 in this version achieving hundreds of kilometers in range. Iran maintains an average of 300–500 drones launched per day. While these numbers have been decreasing, the drone models seem to have greater explosive payload and to be more modern. Despite all the surveillance and attacks that the US and Israel carry out, there is a limit to the ability to inhibit Iranian capabilities due to various tactical, geographical, and armament diversity factors. Today Iran is still launching hundreds of drones and between 30–50 missiles, a level that should stabilize or stay slightly below that. However, the big issue that will not be resolved is the reopening of Hormuz and relief for the markets. Iran still possesses around 5,000 mines, which if dumped in Hormuz will seal the closure for long periods. As I have been saying, it is not the capacity for destruction that dictates the rules in this type of war, but the asymmetric nuances of the theater, giving Iran the advantage. For example, if Iran starts mining the Strait tomorrow, oil prices should exceed $100 and gas $70/MWh. This control of the Strait will not be taken from Iran anytime soon, since the American navy still remains 700 km from the Iranian coast out of fear of anti-ship missiles. I even have the impression that Iran does not want to sink any American ship, as this would cause outrage in America and could escalate the war, even increasing support for the government. I say this because the American fleet is within range of Iranian anti-ship missiles even at 750 km. The true enemy of the US-Israel coalition today is not Iran, but the global economy and the political pressure both internal and from the Gulf countries. Can the US-Israel sustain this pressure for much longer?

Patricia Marins

367,534 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

Backing Off on Attacks Against Iran At the request of Arab countries and Israel, the US has decided to indefinitely postpone plans to attack Iran. There are three points in this equation: 1 - Missiles would fly toward Israel without the country having prepared for it; 2 - The Strait of Hormuz would be closed, causing immense losses to oil-producing countries; 3 - American assets in the region would not be sufficient. I’ve said it several times here: Iran is a big player. In the 12-day war, the Iranian navy stayed out of the conflict, but today, knowing that the attack would be aimed at regime change, the Iranians would use everything they have. In those 12 days they practically lost nothing of their arsenal; not even long-range defense systems were destroyed. They hid everything, from aircraft to long range batteries. But today they would fight with everything they have. And that mainly means their three primary anti-ship missiles: Abu Mahdi, Talaiyeh, and Ghadr-380 (Qadr-380). All three with a range of 1,000–1,700 km. That is power not only to close the Strait of Hormuz, but to do the same in the Gulf of Aden and the part of Arabian Sea, causing chaos in the markets. How to take the opportunity and support the riots, without risking the main global trade route? A country of 90 million inhabitants that is as well-armed as Iran is not one that external agents can decide overnight to attack and change its government. For more than 50 years, the CIA and Mossad have been trying to overthrow the Iranian government without success. Now the regime is in a fragile moment, under popular pressure, but when we talk about Iran, nothing is so clear. The US options are limited to selective strikes, far from anything that could implode the regime. The truth is that anything of greater magnitude would put the regime in survival mode, attacking Israel, American bases, closing ship transit, and halting global markets. But I don’t think the US and Israel will let this opportunity pass so easily. New chapters will follow.

Patricia Marins

100,478 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад

Here's what you missed over the weekend in the ongoing conflict in Iran. Get caught up below👇 🚨 OPERATIONAL UPDATE: ISRAEL U.S. WAR WITH THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC - Reporting Window: 3/27 - 3/30 *⃣ Israel sustained a wide strike campaign inside Tehran, targeting missile production, air defense systems, and core regime infrastructure in the capital. *⃣ The IAEA confirmed Iran’s Khondab heavy water facility at Arak is no longer operational after Israeli strikes, marking one of the clearest verified hits to nuclear-linked infrastructure. *⃣ Iran continued missile attacks into Israel, including impacts near the Neot Hovav industrial zone that caused fires and industrial disruption without mass casualties. *⃣ The Houthis in Yemen officially entered the war, launching ballistic missiles and drones toward Israel and signaling continued attacks. *⃣ The Gulf front intensified, with damage to infrastructure in Kuwait and sustained pressure tied to the Strait of Hormuz and regional energy systems. *⃣ The United States is now weighing escalation options tied to Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile while maintaining a public posture of diplomacy. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ✈️ STRATEGIC AIR CAMPAIGN OVER IRAN Israel’s campaign seems to have shifted from targeting regime objectives and symbols, like Basij headquarters, to industrial and military complex infrastructure. This is likely due to a prioritization to degrade the long term capabilities of the regime should the conflict end before regime change objectives can be achieved. Sustained strikes across Tehran, combined with the confirmed disabling of the Arak heavy water facility, show a shift toward dismantling Iran’s military and nuclear backbone. This is now a campaign against production, command, and regeneration capacity. Power disruptions and secondary infrastructure damage across Tehran reinforce that this is expanding beyond military sites into the broader ecosystem that sustains the regime’s ability to fight. This is not a temporary degradation effort. It is structural. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🚀 IRANIAN ATTACKS ON ISRAEL Iran is still firing. But the pattern has changed. Missile attacks continue across Israel, including impacts in the south and repeated alerts across multiple regions. The strike near Neot Hovav fits the current model: disruption, not mass casualties. Launch tempo is down significantly from earlier phases, but the capability remains intact. What matters now is not volume. It’s persistence. Iran can still impose pressure. It just can’t dominate the battlefield in any meaningful way. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🟥 YEMEN FRONT: HOUTHIS ENTER THE WAR The Houthis officially joined the war on March 28, launching ballistic missiles toward Israel for the first time in this conflict and signaling continued operations going forward. Since then additional drone launches toward Israel have been reported and intercepted. The group has framed its attacks as part of a unified “resistance front” alongside Iran, Hezbollah, and Iraqi militias. This matters for three reasons: 1. Range and geography - Yemen is over 2,000 km away. These are long-range strikes that stretch Israel’s defensive envelope. 2. Multi-front pressure - Israel is now dealing with Iran (direct), Hezbollah (north), Houthis (south / long-range). That is a true multi-front war. 3. Escalation pathway - The Houthis are not limited to Israel. They sit on the Bab al-Mandeb Strait, one of the most critical shipping chokepoints in the world. If they escalate there, it links directly with Hormuz. This could even further choke critical shipping lanes in the global economy. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🌍 GULF / HORMUZ / ENERGY WAR Iran is now fully leaning into economic warfare. Confirmed damage to infrastructure in Kuwait, combined with continued disruption around Hormuz, shows a deliberate strategy: expand the cost of the war beyond Israel. This is not incidental escalation. It is strategic leverage. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🇺🇸 POLITICAL / STRATEGIC DEVELOPMENTS The United States is now the pivot. The public posture is diplomacy and de-escalation messaging. The operational reality is that troop deployments are increasing, escalation planning is underway, and uranium-targeting scenarios are under consideration. At the same time, Iran is not signaling compromise. It is mobilizing, expanding proxy activity, and behaving like a regime preparing for a longer war and signaling it can outwait it's adversaries. That gap is now one of the most important dynamics in the conflict. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📌 WHAT MATTERS MOST RIGHT NOW ➡️ Israel is systematically dismantling Iran’s military and nuclear-supporting infrastructure, with Tehran now a primary focus. ➡️ Iran still has strike capability, but its attacks are increasingly intermittent but now beginning to be supplemented by proxy fronts in Lebanon and Yemen. ➡️ The Gulf and global energy system are a growing target for the IRGC's war trajectory. ➡️ The United States is positioned between diplomacy and escalation, with the ability to decisively shift the war if it acts. Bottom line, this is no longer just Israel vs Iran. It is now: Iran, Hezbollah, Houthis VS the US, Israel, Gulf States, and the global economy.

Inside_Israel_Intel

39,012 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

🚨OPERATIONAL UPDATE: ISRAEL U.S. WAR WITH THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC - Reporting Window: 3/14 to 3/16 • The war widened further into the Gulf economy, with drone incidents near Dubai Airport, disruption at Fujairah energy infrastructure (also in the UAE), and continued pressure around the Strait of Hormuz • Israel continued deep strike waves inside Iran while expanding ground operations against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon • Iran continued missile salvos toward Israel while activating proxy pressure fronts across Iraq • The U.S. began pushing for a multinational Hormuz security coalition while calibrating escalation to avoid a global oil shock The last 48 hours showed that the war is no longer just about missile exchanges between Israel and Iran. It is increasingly a contest over the regional system itself: energy flows, maritime routes, proxy networks, and command infrastructure. While Israel continues to degrade Iran’s military capabilities, Iran is trying to widen the battlefield economically and geographically. 📽️VIDEO 1: U.S. strikes on Iran’s Kharg Island oil export hub. 📽️VIDEO 2: Smoke rising from oil infrastructure in Fujairah after drone debris caused a fire. *⃣ GULF FRONT: THE ECONOMIC WAR DEEPENED This remained the most strategically important development. Following earlier strikes around Kharg Island and threats to the Strait of Hormuz, pressure on Gulf infrastructure continued. Drone incidents and debris related fires disrupted operations near Fujairah’s energy infrastructure, one of the world’s largest bunkering hubs in the UAE. Shortly afterward, a drone related incident near Dubai International Airport ignited a fuel tank and temporarily disrupted flight operations before authorities contained the fire and resumed traffic. These incidents show the war repeatedly touching civilian energy and logistics infrastructure in the UAE, not just military facilities. Even limited disruptions matter in this region. The Strait of Hormuz handles roughly 20 percent of global oil supply, and repeated incidents have pushed oil prices above $100 during the week. Iran does not need to fully close Hormuz to achieve strategic leverage. Persistent disruption alone can force insurance spikes, rerouting of shipping, and higher global energy prices. *⃣ KHARG ISLAND: IRAN’S ECONOMIC JUGULAR IS NOW UNDER DIRECT PRESSURE One of the most consequential developments in the war involves Kharg Island, Iran’s primary oil export terminal. Historically, roughly 85 to 90 percent of Iran’s crude exports pass through Kharg, making it the single most important node in the country’s energy economy. Recent U.S. strikes targeted military infrastructure associated with IRGC naval operations near the island, particularly facilities linked to mine laying capability and coastal missile systems. These strikes appear connected to Washington’s warning that Iran must not deploy naval mines in the Strait of Hormuz. There are also scattered reports of secondary explosions and possible infrastructure damage near the port, though there is no credible confirmation that the export terminal itself has been destroyed. That distinction is important. Destroying Kharg outright would cripple Iran’s oil exports overnight and likely trigger a massive oil price spike. Instead, the current targeting pattern appears designed to threaten Iran’s economic lifeline without fully collapsing it, maintaining pressure while avoiding the most extreme global economic consequences. *⃣ IRAN: STRIKES INSIDE THE CORE CONTINUED Inside Iran, Israeli strike activity remained intense. Over the last 48 hours, strikes targeted command infrastructure, missile launch systems, air defense networks, and military production sites across Tehran and other strategic locations. The campaign also hit Mehrabad Airport, where Israeli officials reported destroying aircraft associated with Iran’s leadership. Across central and western Iran, the strike map remains broad. Tehran, Karaj, and several other military zones have continued to appear in overnight strike reporting. This suggests the campaign is still focused on systematically degrading Iran’s military capacity, particularly missile infrastructure and command networks. Rather than shifting toward a narrow endgame phase, the strikes indicate a continued effort to keep Iran’s launch capabilities suppressed. *⃣ LEBANON: THE NORTHERN FRONT IS EXPANDING The Lebanon front also escalated further. Israeli forces expanded ground operations in southern Lebanon and reportedly encircled Khiyam, pushing westward toward the Litani River. This represents a larger ground posture than earlier border operations and indicates Israel is attempting to shape the battlefield against Hezbollah rather than simply retaliating against rocket launches. At the same time, Hezbollah continued firing rockets and drones toward northern Israel, maintaining pressure on the northern front even after suffering extensive infrastructure losses earlier in the war. Israel has continued heavy strikes on Hezbollah infrastructure in Lebanon, including operational sites and logistical facilities tied to the group’s missile network. The northern theater now appears to be entering a phase of attrition and positional pressure, rather than the limited cross border exchanges that characterized earlier weeks. *⃣ IRAQ: PROXY PRESSURE ON THE UNITED STATES CONTINUES Iran aligned militias continued attacks on U.S. positions across Iraq. Over the past several days these groups have launched drones and rockets against American bases and diplomatic infrastructure, including a missile strike on the helipad area of the U.S. embassy compound in Baghdad. These attacks serve two purposes: ➡️First, they impose direct costs on U.S. operations in the region. ➡️Second, they force the United States to divert resources toward base defense and interception missions. Even when damage is limited, the attacks expand the battlefield and complicate the operational environment for U.S. forces. *⃣ IRANIAN MISSILE ATTACKS CONTINUE Iran continued launching missiles toward Israel during this period. Several salvos targeted southern Israel and the Negev region, triggering repeated air raid alerts. Despite continued launches, the overall military impact of these attacks appears limited. Israeli air defense systems including Iron Dome, David’s Sling, and U.S. systems such as THAAD have maintained high interception rates. Iran is still able to launch missiles and drones, but the sustained strikes on launchers, command centers, and production facilities appear to be reducing the scale of its barrages compared to the opening days of the war. *⃣ WASHINGTON: TRUMP SIGNALS A LONGER STRATEGIC GAME The political messaging from Washington over the past 48 hours has also clarified the broader strategic direction. Publicly, Trump has suggested the war could end soon and that most major Iranian targets have already been struck. Operationally, however, the signals point toward preparation for a longer campaign. Washington has begun pushing for a multinational coalition to secure the Strait of Hormuz, urging countries that depend on Gulf energy flows to participate in maritime security operations. At the same time, the United States has been careful not to push escalation to the point of triggering a global energy shock. This balancing act helps explain why certain targets, such as Kharg Island’s export terminal, have been threatened but not completely destroyed. The strategic posture appears to be: ➡️sustain pressure on Iran’s military capability ➡️protect global energy flows ➡️avoid triggering a catastrophic oil price spike Israel’s priorities are somewhat different. Israel is focused primarily on maximizing military degradation of Iran and Hezbollah, even if that increases regional escalation risks. The dynamic between Washington’s economic caution and Israel’s military pressure is likely to shape the next phase of the conflict. *⃣ WHAT CHANGED IN THE LAST 48 HOURS Three developments stand out: ➡️First, the Gulf economic front is becoming central to the war. Drone incidents near Dubai and Fujairah show that the conflict is now directly touching regional infrastructure and global energy flows. ➡️Second, Israel continues to widen the battlefield rather than narrow it. Deep strikes inside Iran and expanded operations in Lebanon suggest the campaign is still in a degradation phase. ➡️Third, the United States is beginning to shift toward coalition management of the conflict, particularly around Hormuz, while trying to prevent the war from triggering a global energy crisis. In short, the war is evolving from a direct military confrontation into a broader struggle over regional stability, energy flows, and long term strategic balance in the Middle East.

Inside_Israel_Intel

460,417 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

Today is September 9. It is Day 193 of Trump's "2-3 week war" to overthrow Iran's government and send Iran "back to the stone age" that started on February 28. Today, after carrying out three different attacks on American military infrastructure without the U.S. responding, Iran launched a massive retaliatory attack on U.S. bases in Jordan with 30-40 ballistic missiles in response to U.S. attacks on Iranian oil tankers. Despite false claims by CENTCOM, the Strait of Hormuz remains largely impassable due to the actions of the IRGC Navy, which Trump claims to have completely destroyed. American gas prices remain at an all-time high for this war as a result. Most/all Iranian missile bases remain fully functional, and only a few of Iran's hundreds of ballistic missile launchers have been targeted by U.S. airstrikes in the last few months. Iran retains thousands of ballistic missiles in their underground cities. America's interceptor stockpiles are becoming more and more critically low as days go by - a trend that is only being worsened for them after they launched over 100 Patriot PAC-2/3 interceptors during today's Iranian attack. The Iranian government and military command structure remains firmly in place, and there are no signs of cracks within their chain of command or inner circles. This was has exposed America's weaknesses for the entire world to see, and they aren't even fighting a great power like Russia or China, but rather a middling/regional power. America's remaining reputation on the international stage is now extremely tarnished, and even their allies are beginning to turn towards China as a more reliable trading partner. I can say that as someone in New Zealand, while my country has historically been one of, if not the most politically "anti-American" western countries in the world, any confidence or trust in the U.S. here has completely collapsed, as we now view them as an imperialist joke. More people here view China as a "friend" compared to the U.S. for the first time ever. I can imagine other countries are experiencing a similar phenomenon.

AMK Mapping 🇳🇿

55,977 просмотров • 5 дней назад

Day 20: Iran reminded West Asia who the superpower is in the region! Tehran struck 9 countries in less than 24 hours, including all of the gulf slave states, Occupied Palestine, Jordan, Iraq and additional U.S. assets after all of the targets were forewarned in advance not to touch Iranian energy infrastructure. They FAFO and now they’re crying about the consequences. And the U.S. and Israel still think decapitation strikes work while the Straight of Hormuz remains closed and oil is above $110/barrel! GCC states are stupid enough to think the U.S. can protect them and Iran is the least bit intimidated by their barking. -Occupied Palestine: Ballistic missiles and cluster munitions over central Israel. 100s killed and injured and there is significant infrastructure damage. Kosher terrorists are trapped in a burning building in Tel Aviv. -Qatar: 14 ballistic missiles fired. Ras Laffan LNG hub suffered "extensive damage" confirmed by QatarEnergy. -UAE: 13 ballistic missiles plus drones struck energy facilities. -Saudi Arabia: Evacuation orders issued for Samref Refinery and Jubail Petrochemical Complex. Waves of missiles struck Riyadh’s oil facilities. -Kuwait: Ballistic missiles struck oil facilities and U.S. facilities targeted again. -Bahrain: U.S. 5th Fleet headquarters under continued assault throughout the war. -Oman: Drone strikes on industrial zones. Workers killed. -Jordan: U.S. bases struck as part of the widening multi-front campaign. -Iraq: U.S. Embassy in Baghdad under nightly drone siege. The GCC slave states have yet to take any responsibility for their complicity in the attacks on Iran, nor do they condemn the kosher American attacks on Iranian civilian targets that led to murdered women and children. Meanwhile there is an Iranian submunition missile strike in the skies of "Tel Aviv" in the midst of occupied Palestine and the activation of sirens. There are kosher terrorists stranded in a building that was destroyed in the Tel Aviv area after an Iranian missile attack. Kosher first responders are scrambling to keep up! American missile defence systems and radars remain inoperable or useless!

Truth_teller 🇷🇺

35,935 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад