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🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 IRAN WON STRATEGICALLY, BUT DON'T EXAGGERATE IT Professor & Editor Glenn Diesen urges realism on Iran's post-war position. Energy infrastructure, military hardware, and the economy took devastating hits and internal dissent is growing, with many Iranians blaming the IRGC's foreign policy for the country's ruin. "You can compare... show more

Mario Nawfal

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62,814 次观看 • 4 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 U.S., IRAN BOTH WANT THIS WAR TO END, BUT DEMANDS ARE TOO FAR APART Norwegian political scientist Glenn Diesen sees a parallel between the U.S. war with Iran and the Russo-Ukrainian war. A forever war. Not a comforting comparison. "I think the war will continue. I hope I'm wrong… because this is going to have consequences far beyond the Middle East.” Glenn Diesen

🇺🇸🇮🇷 U.S., IRAN BOTH WANT THIS WAR TO END, BUT DEMANDS ARE TOO FAR APART Norwegian political scientist Glenn Diesen sees a parallel between the U.S. war with Iran and the Russo-Ukrainian war. A forever war. Not a comforting comparison. "I think the war will continue. I hope I'm wrong… because this is going to have consequences far beyond the Middle East.” Glenn Diesen

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 A $300 billion reconstruction fund, sanctions relief, and a nuclear deal that hands Iran the win may be required for a peace deal. Glenn Diesen acknowledges that Iran has won the war, but the aggressiveness of their demands makes him pessimistic about the prospect of a straightforward deal landing in the foreseeable future. "My only source of optimism is that a war cannot be won by the U.S. anymore." Glenn Diesen

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 A $300 billion reconstruction fund, sanctions relief, and a nuclear deal that hands Iran the win may be required for a peace deal. Glenn Diesen acknowledges that Iran has won the war, but the aggressiveness of their demands makes him pessimistic about the prospect of a straightforward deal landing in the foreseeable future. "My only source of optimism is that a war cannot be won by the U.S. anymore." Glenn Diesen

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🇮🇷 Bombing Iran's energy grid will start a different war, instead of ending the current one. Analyst Glenn Diesen breaks down why the escalation math is catastrophic for everyone in the region. "Once you burn down the entire energy infrastructure of the Gulf states, there's no coming back from this." The U.S. has always controlled the escalation ladder. Iran may be about to take it from them. Glenn Diesen

🇮🇷 Bombing Iran's energy grid will start a different war, instead of ending the current one. Analyst Glenn Diesen breaks down why the escalation math is catastrophic for everyone in the region. "Once you burn down the entire energy infrastructure of the Gulf states, there's no coming back from this." The U.S. has always controlled the escalation ladder. Iran may be about to take it from them. Glenn Diesen

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🚨 🇮🇷 🇷🇺 THE PROPAGANDA WAR: ABSORBING PAIN VS DEALING DAMAGE Reports of total Iranian decimation are often organized around the need to show strength while hiding internal vulnerabilities. Editor of Russian Foreign Policy and Geoeconomics Glenn Diesen explains that in an exhaustion war, communications are designed to prove you can absorb pain better than your enemy. While the West claims victory, Iran continues to demonstrate its ability to strike back within hours of being hit. Glenn Diesen

🚨 🇮🇷 🇷🇺 THE PROPAGANDA WAR: ABSORBING PAIN VS DEALING DAMAGE Reports of total Iranian decimation are often organized around the need to show strength while hiding internal vulnerabilities. Editor of Russian Foreign Policy and Geoeconomics Glenn Diesen explains that in an exhaustion war, communications are designed to prove you can absorb pain better than your enemy. While the West claims victory, Iran continues to demonstrate its ability to strike back within hours of being hit. Glenn Diesen

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🚨IRAN DOESN'T NEED TO WIN... IT JUST NEEDS TO SURVIVE. The U.S. and Israel have hit launchers and hardware. But Glenn Diesen says that's not how this ends. If Iran stays militarily viable, even barely, it drags its opponents into a war of attrition that bleeds resources and missiles by the day. A decade of recovery for Iran. But a political cost for the West that compounds every single week. Glenn Diesen

🚨IRAN DOESN'T NEED TO WIN... IT JUST NEEDS TO SURVIVE. The U.S. and Israel have hit launchers and hardware. But Glenn Diesen says that's not how this ends. If Iran stays militarily viable, even barely, it drags its opponents into a war of attrition that bleeds resources and missiles by the day. A decade of recovery for Iran. But a political cost for the West that compounds every single week. Glenn Diesen

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🇮🇷 The man who may actually decide whether Iran goes to war is not the president, not the parliament. It is IRGC chief Ahmad Vahidi, and he has decades of bombings, assassinations, and proxy networks behind him. Glenn Diesen warns the real danger is hubris on the winning side and desperation on the losing one. "Iran can go from being a punching bag for America for the next few decades to becoming a regional power with its security intact." If Vahidi overplays his hand, no deal gets done and the whole region pays the price. Glenn Diesen

🇮🇷 The man who may actually decide whether Iran goes to war is not the president, not the parliament. It is IRGC chief Ahmad Vahidi, and he has decades of bombings, assassinations, and proxy networks behind him. Glenn Diesen warns the real danger is hubris on the winning side and desperation on the losing one. "Iran can go from being a punching bag for America for the next few decades to becoming a regional power with its security intact." If Vahidi overplays his hand, no deal gets done and the whole region pays the price. Glenn Diesen

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🚨🇮🇷 THE GULF WAR NARRATIVE IS COLLAPSING Despite official statements claiming Iran would stop attacking its neighbors, the reality on the ground tells a different story with continued strikes on Dubai and Bahrain. As Glenn Diesen explains, these mixed signals suggest a dangerous disconnect between Tehran’s political rhetoric and its military actions. The "apology" to Gulf states may have been a calculated move to prevent regional fighters from joining the U.S. and Israeli side. Glenn Diesen

🚨🇮🇷 THE GULF WAR NARRATIVE IS COLLAPSING Despite official statements claiming Iran would stop attacking its neighbors, the reality on the ground tells a different story with continued strikes on Dubai and Bahrain. As Glenn Diesen explains, these mixed signals suggest a dangerous disconnect between Tehran’s political rhetoric and its military actions. The "apology" to Gulf states may have been a calculated move to prevent regional fighters from joining the U.S. and Israeli side. Glenn Diesen

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🇷🇺🇺🇸 Most Western politicians have never actually read the NATO charter they keep invoking. Geopolitical Analyst Glenn Diesen breaks down why the "obligatory war" assumption could collapse the moment it's tested. "Each country should consider it as an attack on everyone, and they can take the decisions themselves, how they want to respond to this, so they can write a strongly worded letter or they can join in on the war." If Russia strikes European infrastructure and NATO blinks, the bluff that has held for decades is over. Glenn Diesen

🇷🇺🇺🇸 Most Western politicians have never actually read the NATO charter they keep invoking. Geopolitical Analyst Glenn Diesen breaks down why the "obligatory war" assumption could collapse the moment it's tested. "Each country should consider it as an attack on everyone, and they can take the decisions themselves, how they want to respond to this, so they can write a strongly worded letter or they can join in on the war." If Russia strikes European infrastructure and NATO blinks, the bluff that has held for decades is over. Glenn Diesen

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Every fake threat, every walk-back, and every “maybe tomorrow” strike is slowly destroying the one thing diplomacy actually needs to function: trust. Geopolitical analyst Glenn Diesen says Trump’s strategy of bluffing, deceiving, and keeping opponents guessing may work tactically, but it poisons any chance of a lasting agreement with Iran. “If there's no trust, it's very difficult to have any agreement.” The more Washington turns negotiations into psychological warfare, the more both sides start preparing for war instead of peace. Glenn Diesen

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Every fake threat, every walk-back, and every “maybe tomorrow” strike is slowly destroying the one thing diplomacy actually needs to function: trust. Geopolitical analyst Glenn Diesen says Trump’s strategy of bluffing, deceiving, and keeping opponents guessing may work tactically, but it poisons any chance of a lasting agreement with Iran. “If there's no trust, it's very difficult to have any agreement.” The more Washington turns negotiations into psychological warfare, the more both sides start preparing for war instead of peace. Glenn Diesen

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🚨🇮🇷🇺🇦 IRAN WAR FALLOUT WILL HELP END UKRAINE WAR Norwegian political scientist Glenn Diesen says the ripple effects of the war will reach Kyiv. Ukraine is bleeding weapons, money, and manpower while Russia is stacking cash thanks to the increased price of oil, and the Iran conflict is draining NATO stockpiles fast, leaving Kyiv with fewer options and harder choices. "The only way the war can end, either a nuclear exchange or Russia wins. You can't defeat the world's largest nuclear power facing an existential threat." Glenn Diesen

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🚨🌍 THE WAR IS ESCALATING BECAUSE THE QUICK WIN FAILED Glenn Diesen says Washington expected a rapid decapitation strike to trigger collapse, but nationalism is rallying Iranians around the state instead. He warns that if internal unrest does not materialize, escalation becomes the next step, drawing in European powers and potentially opening the door for Russia to counter the West indirectly. Glenn Diesen

🚨🌍 THE WAR IS ESCALATING BECAUSE THE QUICK WIN FAILED Glenn Diesen says Washington expected a rapid decapitation strike to trigger collapse, but nationalism is rallying Iranians around the state instead. He warns that if internal unrest does not materialize, escalation becomes the next step, drawing in European powers and potentially opening the door for Russia to counter the West indirectly. Glenn Diesen

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🚨 🇺🇸 🇮🇷THE POINT OF NO RETURN. TRUMP’S STRATEGIC BOX President Trump may have reached a stage where a clean exit from the Iranian conflict is no longer possible. Glenn Diesen, a leading Professor of Geoeconomics and Russian Foreign Policy, argues that the global economic fallout is now forcing a search for an urgent off ramp. As energy shortages hit Asia and nations declare force majeure, the pressure to end the war is becoming an existential threat to the administration. Glenn Diesen

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 There is no middle ground here, and Professor Glenn Diesen just explained exactly why. "Both sides are willing to absorb a lot of pain." When neither side can afford to lose, a deal was never really on the table. Glenn Diesen

🇺🇸🇮🇷 There is no middle ground here, and Professor Glenn Diesen just explained exactly why. "Both sides are willing to absorb a lot of pain." When neither side can afford to lose, a deal was never really on the table. Glenn Diesen

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$🚨🇮🇷 PROXY WAR MEANS BREAKING IRAN, NOT REPLACING IT Glenn Diesen says arming Kurdish groups signals a shift from decapitation to fragmentation, using proxies to fracture Iran from within. He argues there is no viable replacement government waiting in the wings, meaning collapse would likely mean civil war in a country of 90 million, with shockwaves across the region. Glenn Diesen$

🚨🇮🇷 PROXY WAR MEANS BREAKING IRAN, NOT REPLACING IT Glenn Diesen says arming Kurdish groups signals a shift from decapitation to fragmentation, using proxies to fracture Iran from within. He argues there is no viable replacement government waiting in the wings, meaning collapse would likely mean civil war in a country of 90 million, with shockwaves across the region. Glenn Diesen

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🚨🇮🇱🇮🇷 Israel hit Beirut on the day a deal with Iran is meant to be signed. Glenn Diesen explains why Iran may be forced to include Lebanon in its terms of peace. "The Iranians might have to demand it. They are worried about a common strategy by the U.S. That is to take something off the intense fighting and put it on the slow burner. Israelis can just move in more incrementally." Glenn Diesen

🚨🇮🇱🇮🇷 Israel hit Beirut on the day a deal with Iran is meant to be signed. Glenn Diesen explains why Iran may be forced to include Lebanon in its terms of peace. "The Iranians might have to demand it. They are worried about a common strategy by the U.S. That is to take something off the intense fighting and put it on the slow burner. Israelis can just move in more incrementally." Glenn Diesen

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 U.S. vs. Iran: A third aircraft carrier sent, more jets, more air defenses, and diplomacy just publicly collapsed. Professor Glenn Diesen says the public breakdown may be exactly what's happening behind closed doors. "It just seems like a war is almost imminent." If the “talks” were ever real… the clock has officially run out. Glenn Diesen

🇺🇸🇮🇷 U.S. vs. Iran: A third aircraft carrier sent, more jets, more air defenses, and diplomacy just publicly collapsed. Professor Glenn Diesen says the public breakdown may be exactly what's happening behind closed doors. "It just seems like a war is almost imminent." If the “talks” were ever real… the clock has officially run out. Glenn Diesen

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🚨🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Want a cheaper toll through the Strait of Hormuz? Iran's price is cutting your ties with Washington. Geopolitical analyst Glenn Diesen says the toll booth is now permanent and beyond negotiation, with rates set to vary by country based on participation in sanctions and the hosting of U.S. bases. The less aligned with Washington a country is, the cheaper its passage. He sees flexibility on the nuclear file but none on the strait, which Tehran treats as core to its survival. The only real card the U.S. holds is sanctions relief, and Glenn doubts it will ever be offered. Glenn Diesen

🚨🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Want a cheaper toll through the Strait of Hormuz? Iran's price is cutting your ties with Washington. Geopolitical analyst Glenn Diesen says the toll booth is now permanent and beyond negotiation, with rates set to vary by country based on participation in sanctions and the hosting of U.S. bases. The less aligned with Washington a country is, the cheaper its passage. He sees flexibility on the nuclear file but none on the strait, which Tehran treats as core to its survival. The only real card the U.S. holds is sanctions relief, and Glenn doubts it will ever be offered. Glenn Diesen

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The same leader coordinating a Middle East ceasefire was raging at an ally in real time, on the record, to multiple outlets. Glenn Diesen warns this is what backroom diplomacy looks like when the walls come down. "If they retaliate against Israel, Israel has said it will strike back at full force against Iran and you have a high intensity war." Glenn Diesen

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The same leader coordinating a Middle East ceasefire was raging at an ally in real time, on the record, to multiple outlets. Glenn Diesen warns this is what backroom diplomacy looks like when the walls come down. "If they retaliate against Israel, Israel has said it will strike back at full force against Iran and you have a high intensity war." Glenn Diesen

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🇮🇱🇺🇸 ISRAEL ESSENTIALLY HAS VETO OVER WHEN U.S. ENDS WAR Norwegian political scientist Glenn Diesen says Israel had role in U.S. getting into war with Iran, and they will have role in when it gets out. But only to a certain extent. “If the core national security of the United States is under threat, it is possible that the U.S. would make a decision and just tell the Israelis that they have to adjust.” Glenn Diesen

🇮🇱🇺🇸 ISRAEL ESSENTIALLY HAS VETO OVER WHEN U.S. ENDS WAR Norwegian political scientist Glenn Diesen says Israel had role in U.S. getting into war with Iran, and they will have role in when it gets out. But only to a certain extent. “If the core national security of the United States is under threat, it is possible that the U.S. would make a decision and just tell the Israelis that they have to adjust.” Glenn Diesen

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🚨🇮🇱 NETANYAHU: “YOU WIN THE PROPAGANDA WAR BY WINNING THE WAR AND WINNING THE PEACE” "We have to contend with it and stand up and tell the truth - probably at a greater frequency than we're doing now. If you want to win this war, end it speedily. Expose the lies as much as you can. You win the propaganda war by winning the war and winning the peace." Source: Benjamin Netanyahu - בנימין נתניהו, Prime Minister of Israel

🚨🇮🇱 NETANYAHU: “YOU WIN THE PROPAGANDA WAR BY WINNING THE WAR AND WINNING THE PEACE” "We have to contend with it and stand up and tell the truth - probably at a greater frequency than we're doing now. If you want to win this war, end it speedily. Expose the lies as much as you can. You win the propaganda war by winning the war and winning the peace." Source: Benjamin Netanyahu - בנימין נתניהו, Prime Minister of Israel

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