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🇮🇷 Iran's highest military alert may be less about preparing for war than preparing its response Middle East analyst Nima Rostami says Tehran was expecting a U.S. strike and believes any future attack on Iran's energy infrastructure would likely trigger a response focused on Israel rather than Gulf states....

68,663 次观看 • 2 天前 •via X (Twitter)

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump may be preparing to make the biggest gamble of his presidency. Iranian analyst Nima Rostami Alkhorshid says reports of U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran's energy infrastructure would mark a major escalation, one that Tehran has spent years preparing for. Start with the targets. The reported plan isn't just to hit missile launchers or military sites. It's to strike the infrastructure that powers Iran's economy, while degrading its ability to retaliate over a campaign that could last days or even weeks. Nima believes Iran's response has already been mapped out. Israel would remain the primary target, but Gulf oil facilities, power infrastructure and American military assets across the region would also come into play. Not because Tehran wants a wider war. Because it wants Washington to understand that attacks on Iran's economy will immediately become attacks on the region's economy. That brings him to the Strait of Hormuz. Nima argues the dispute isn't really about charging ships a transit fee. It's all about security. Iran wants control over what enters the Gulf after watching weapons, missiles and military equipment flow through the region during the conflict. In his view, controlling inbound traffic is now seen in Tehran as essential to preventing another war. He believes it's a struggle over whether the Middle East remains under American dominance or moves toward a new regional balance of power. And if neither side is willing to concede that question, the military campaign may last far longer than anyone currently expects. Dialogue works

Mario Nawfal

272,254 次观看 • 2 天前

🚨 WATER WARS: WHY DESALINATION PLANTS ARE THE GULF’S LIFELINE When missiles fly in the Middle East, people usually think of oil fields, pipelines, or military bases, but in the Gulf, there is another target that may be even more critical, water. The Iranian drone strike on a Bahraini desalination plant, and Iran’s claim that the U.S. targeted a similar facility on Qeshm Island, signals a dangerous new phase in the war. Because in the Gulf, desalination plants are essential for survival. Unlike most regions of the world, the Gulf has almost no natural freshwater. Rainfall is scarce, rivers are nonexistent, and groundwater reserves are limited and rapidly depleting. So Gulf states turned to the sea. Today, massive desalination plants pull salt from seawater and convert it into drinkable water for cities, industries, and agriculture. Without them, daily life across the region would collapse almost overnight. The Gulf Cooperation Council countries control roughly 60% of the world’s desalination capacity and produce about 40% of all desalinated water globally. More than 400 desalination plants operate across the region, quietly supplying the water that keeps cities running. In Kuwait, about 90% of drinking water comes from desalination. In Oman, it’s 86%. Even the United Arab Emirates, with one of the most advanced infrastructure systems on the planet, gets about 42% of its drinking water from the sea. That’s what makes attacks on these facilities so alarming. Unlike oil infrastructure, which affects markets and government revenue, desalination plants affect people immediately. Take out a refinery and the economy suffers. Take out a desalination plant and millions could lose access to drinking water. Energy infrastructure has always been part of regional conflict, but targeting water infrastructure raises the stakes dramatically.

Mario Nawfal

271,019 次观看 • 4 个月前