🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran’s nuclear red line may no longer be permanent For years, Tehran’s position was relatively straightforward: Iran would remain inside the NPT, maintain that nuclear weapons were forbidden, and use enrichment as leverage rather than build a bomb. Prof. Mohammad Marandi says that position still stands. But for... the first time in this conversation, it sounds conditional. Iranian security official Mohsen Rezaei has now warned that future U.S. and Israeli actions could push Tehran to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, while stressing that no decision has been made and Iran’s nuclear doctrine has not changed. Marandi sees several possible steps. Iran could leave the NPT without building a weapon, using withdrawal itself as leverage. Or, if circumstances deteriorate further, Tehran could reconsider its nuclear posture entirely. “𝘈𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘮𝘰𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘵, 𝘐𝘳𝘢𝘯 𝘩𝘢𝘴 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘥𝘦𝘤𝘪𝘥𝘦𝘥 𝘵𝘰 𝘥𝘰 𝘴𝘰.” But he argues that if Iran ever does change course, its technological capability means it could move quickly. And that nuclear question sits inside a much larger strategy. Marandi says Iran is expanding underground bases, factories and command-and-control infrastructure while preparing for the possibility of another major war. At Hormuz, meanwhile, he argues Tehran is deliberately managing pressure rather than simply shutting everything down, allowing some oil traffic while retaining the ability to tighten the screws. “𝘐 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘯𝘬 𝘐𝘳𝘢𝘯 𝘪𝘴 𝘨𝘰𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘰 𝘮𝘢𝘬𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘯𝘨𝘴 𝘨𝘳𝘢𝘥𝘶𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘺 𝘮𝘰𝘳𝘦 𝘥𝘪𝘧𝘧𝘪𝘤𝘶𝘭𝘵 𝘧𝘰𝘳 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘜𝘯𝘪𝘵𝘦𝘥 𝘚𝘵𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘴 𝘢𝘴 𝘸𝘦 𝘨𝘦𝘵 𝘤𝘭𝘰𝘴𝘦𝘳 𝘵𝘰 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘮𝘪𝘥𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘮 𝘦𝘭𝘦𝘤𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘴.” That may be the larger message of the interview. Iran is not saying it has decided to build a nuclear weapon. However, the assumptions that kept it from doing so are becoming negotiable. Seyed Mohammad Marandishow more

Mario Nawfal

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