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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iran's path to victory is closing doors, one chokepoint at a time, until the West is in a depression. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert lays out how Tehran wins without winning a single battle: "They just call up their buddies in the Houthis and say, okay, close the next...

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Mario Nawfal

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53,484 views โ€ข 1 month ago โ€ขvia X (Twitter)

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท One phone call to Lloyd's of London, and the entire global economy seizes up. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert explains just how little it would take for Iran to bring the world economy to its knees. No massive military operation required, just a threat: "All they have to do is even just threaten, call up Lloyd's of London and say, yo, we're closing it, this thing's going down, and the whole world economy shuts down again." The reality underneath it is stark. Iran can wield this kind of power with a single strait and a single phone call, no ordnance anywhere in sight. Brandon Weichert
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท One phone call to Lloyd's of London, and the entire global economy seizes up. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert explains just how little it would take for Iran to bring the world economy to its knees. No massive military operation required, just a threat: "All they have to do is even just threaten, call up Lloyd's of London and say, yo, we're closing it, this thing's going down, and the whole world economy shuts down again." The reality underneath it is stark. Iran can wield this kind of power with a single strait and a single phone call, no ordnance anywhere in sight. Brandon Weichert

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ The world's most critical food and energy waterways are all closing at once. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert connects the dots nobody wants connected: Ukraine striking Russian wheat exports, Houthi blockades threatening the Bab el Mandeb, the Red Sea, and the Suez Canal, all converging into a single catastrophic squeeze: "We are talking about global famine conditions happening in real time, and we're heading into it right now." One spark in any of these chokepoints and the whole system breaks together. Brandon Weichert
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ The world's most critical food and energy waterways are all closing at once. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert connects the dots nobody wants connected: Ukraine striking Russian wheat exports, Houthi blockades threatening the Bab el Mandeb, the Red Sea, and the Suez Canal, all converging into a single catastrophic squeeze: "We are talking about global famine conditions happening in real time, and we're heading into it right now." One spark in any of these chokepoints and the whole system breaks together. Brandon Weichert

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท One phone call to Lloydโ€™s of London could shake the global economy. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert argues Iran doesnโ€™t need to fully close the Strait of Hormuz. It only needs the credible ability to disrupt shipping long enough for insurers, markets, and governments to panic. โ€œAll they have to do is have the believable ability to disrupt shipping for a protracted period of time through the Strait of Hormuz.โ€ Brandon Weichert
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท One phone call to Lloydโ€™s of London could shake the global economy. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert argues Iran doesnโ€™t need to fully close the Strait of Hormuz. It only needs the credible ability to disrupt shipping long enough for insurers, markets, and governments to panic. โ€œAll they have to do is have the believable ability to disrupt shipping for a protracted period of time through the Strait of Hormuz.โ€ Brandon Weichert

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The Persian Gulf is being pulled apart, and Tehran is doing it on purpose. Geopolitics Expert Brandon Weichert explains how Iran's Supreme Leader is using Islamic unity as a weapon to strip Gulf states away from the American and Israeli security umbrella. "Things are going to get very weird over the next 10 to 20 years in the Middle East." The 19th century is back, and the smaller Gulf states are caught in the middle. Brandon Weichert
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The Persian Gulf is being pulled apart, and Tehran is doing it on purpose. Geopolitics Expert Brandon Weichert explains how Iran's Supreme Leader is using Islamic unity as a weapon to strip Gulf states away from the American and Israeli security umbrella. "Things are going to get very weird over the next 10 to 20 years in the Middle East." The 19th century is back, and the smaller Gulf states are caught in the middle. Brandon Weichert

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Advisors allegedly had to talk the president out of reaching for nuclear weapons. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert names the two moves that would turn a bad war into a catastrophic one: hitting Iran's energy infrastructure at scale, or putting American boots on the ground: "If they strike energy infrastructure at scale, this is a suicidal idea." We're all in the backseat, and nobody seems to be touching the wheel. Brandon Weichert
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Advisors allegedly had to talk the president out of reaching for nuclear weapons. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert names the two moves that would turn a bad war into a catastrophic one: hitting Iran's energy infrastructure at scale, or putting American boots on the ground: "If they strike energy infrastructure at scale, this is a suicidal idea." We're all in the backseat, and nobody seems to be touching the wheel. Brandon Weichert

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Trump is swinging for a knockout in a fight Iran has already booked out for years. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert says the whole American strategy rests on a calendar Tehran never agreed to. Washington keeps hunting for the one strike that finally ends this. Iran keeps filing each one away as another chapter: "He may think this is the last round, but the Iranians are going to say, no, this is just another round." One side is racing a clock. The other doesn't own one. Brandon Weichert
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Trump is swinging for a knockout in a fight Iran has already booked out for years. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert says the whole American strategy rests on a calendar Tehran never agreed to. Washington keeps hunting for the one strike that finally ends this. Iran keeps filing each one away as another chapter: "He may think this is the last round, but the Iranians are going to say, no, this is just another round." One side is racing a clock. The other doesn't own one. Brandon Weichert

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The clock is ticking on U.S. oil reserves, and Iran doesn't need to fire a single shot. Geopolitics Expert Brandon Weichert says Tehran's entire strategy is to sit back and watch America speed toward zero. "Time is an advantage for the Iranians in this war. It is not an advantage for the United States." Push a country to the edge, and it stops thinking straight. That's when it loses. Brandon Weichert
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The clock is ticking on U.S. oil reserves, and Iran doesn't need to fire a single shot. Geopolitics Expert Brandon Weichert says Tehran's entire strategy is to sit back and watch America speed toward zero. "Time is an advantage for the Iranians in this war. It is not an advantage for the United States." Push a country to the edge, and it stops thinking straight. That's when it loses. Brandon Weichert

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Geopolitics Expert Brandon Weichert just summed up America's strategic collapse in one brutal line. "The surgery was a success, but the patient still died." Walking away from the Persian Gulf sounds clean until the financial system built on that presence walks away too. Brandon Weichert
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Geopolitics Expert Brandon Weichert just summed up America's strategic collapse in one brutal line. "The surgery was a success, but the patient still died." Walking away from the Persian Gulf sounds clean until the financial system built on that presence walks away too. Brandon Weichert

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ A desperate Ukraine could build a bomb, and the pieces are already in place. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert lays out exactly how Ukraine could assemble a bomb, and why desperation may force their hand. The know-how already exists, the alliances provide cover, and the front lines keep tilting in Russia's favor: "As the situation deteriorates along the front and it's in Russia's favor, the fear that I have is that the Ukrainians will do something drastic to try to keep the enemy at bay." This is the scenario nobody in Washington dares to touch. Brandon Weichert
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ A desperate Ukraine could build a bomb, and the pieces are already in place. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert lays out exactly how Ukraine could assemble a bomb, and why desperation may force their hand. The know-how already exists, the alliances provide cover, and the front lines keep tilting in Russia's favor: "As the situation deteriorates along the front and it's in Russia's favor, the fear that I have is that the Ukrainians will do something drastic to try to keep the enemy at bay." This is the scenario nobody in Washington dares to touch. Brandon Weichert

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The attack on Kharg Island was just the opening move. Geopolitics Expert Brandon Weichert breaks down why Trump is targeting every single layer of Iran's energy supply chain at once. "He's going after their entire energy profile." Most of Iran's crude ships out through Kharg, and the railway to China is next. The coastline, the rails, the exports. Nothing gets out. Brandon Weichert
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The attack on Kharg Island was just the opening move. Geopolitics Expert Brandon Weichert breaks down why Trump is targeting every single layer of Iran's energy supply chain at once. "He's going after their entire energy profile." Most of Iran's crude ships out through Kharg, and the railway to China is next. The coastline, the rails, the exports. Nothing gets out. Brandon Weichert

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Iran came within a phone call of firing a ballistic missile at a Ukrainian Black Sea port. Geopolitical analyst Brandon Weichert says the strike on Iran's Caspian vessel nearly merged two wars into one, with Tehran preparing a symbolic missile answer until direct calls between foreign ministers pulled it back. And the stage management runs deeper than anyone admits. Key leaders are refusing even private side-meetings, Brandon notes, specifically to keep these war theaters from publicly becoming one. The wars stayed separate this time by the width of a phone line. Brandon Weichert
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Iran came within a phone call of firing a ballistic missile at a Ukrainian Black Sea port. Geopolitical analyst Brandon Weichert says the strike on Iran's Caspian vessel nearly merged two wars into one, with Tehran preparing a symbolic missile answer until direct calls between foreign ministers pulled it back. And the stage management runs deeper than anyone admits. Key leaders are refusing even private side-meetings, Brandon notes, specifically to keep these war theaters from publicly becoming one. The wars stayed separate this time by the width of a phone line. Brandon Weichert

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The negotiations aren't real. They're a clock running down to the next strike. Geopolitics Expert Brandon Weichert just laid it all out. "This is just a lull. And in three weeks or 30 days or 70 days or whatever, the world will be back at war again over this ridiculous issue." Oman is cracking, Iran is stalling, and Washington is sabotaging its own diplomacy. Brandon Weichert
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The negotiations aren't real. They're a clock running down to the next strike. Geopolitics Expert Brandon Weichert just laid it all out. "This is just a lull. And in three weeks or 30 days or 70 days or whatever, the world will be back at war again over this ridiculous issue." Oman is cracking, Iran is stalling, and Washington is sabotaging its own diplomacy. Brandon Weichert

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Washington named itself guardian of Hormuz and set a 20 PERCENT toll. The catch: the Navy may not have enough ships to collect it Brandon Weichert ran the enforcement math cold. A real blockade means sealing the waterway around the clock, then detaining every intercepted vessel while the cordon holds, and the fleet doesn't have the hulls. No European, Indian, or Japanese ships are volunteering. And the first time American guns open on a merchant hull, insurance markets and volatility start doing Tehran's work for free. The map kept widening as we spoke. Two Adnoc tankers took cruise missiles on the Omani side, one crew member reported killed, eight injured, while the IRGC broadcast live on the emergency channel that it was firing. Axios added the political bombshell: Trump gave MBS backing for military action against the Houthis before the Sana'a strike. Brandon's warning on that one was immediate: provoke the Houthis and they go after Saudi Arabia's Red Sea ports, the alternative to the alternative Riyadh spent the whole war building. His new Substack maps the next front: the Gulf of Aden, with forces staging toward Somaliland to suppress Yemen's missiles. The war, in his phrase, is expanding geometrically. And Iran's strategy, as he reads it, needs no invasion at all: their allies sit on every chokepoint, and they'll keep closing doors until the price of staying is a depression. Brandon Weichert
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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Washington named itself guardian of Hormuz and set a 20 PERCENT toll. The catch: the Navy may not have enough ships to collect it Brandon Weichert ran the enforcement math cold. A real blockade means sealing the waterway around the clock, then detaining every intercepted vessel while the cordon holds, and the fleet doesn't have the hulls. No European, Indian, or Japanese ships are volunteering. And the first time American guns open on a merchant hull, insurance markets and volatility start doing Tehran's work for free. The map kept widening as we spoke. Two Adnoc tankers took cruise missiles on the Omani side, one crew member reported killed, eight injured, while the IRGC broadcast live on the emergency channel that it was firing. Axios added the political bombshell: Trump gave MBS backing for military action against the Houthis before the Sana'a strike. Brandon's warning on that one was immediate: provoke the Houthis and they go after Saudi Arabia's Red Sea ports, the alternative to the alternative Riyadh spent the whole war building. His new Substack maps the next front: the Gulf of Aden, with forces staging toward Somaliland to suppress Yemen's missiles. The war, in his phrase, is expanding geometrically. And Iran's strategy, as he reads it, needs no invasion at all: their allies sit on every chokepoint, and they'll keep closing doors until the price of staying is a depression. Brandon Weichert

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Six months into this war, nobody in the White House can agree on what winning looks like. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert says that confusion is why the battlefield wins keep adding up to nothing: "We have had a series of tactical victories, but are facing a strategic defeat without clear policy, guidance or decision about where this is going." You can't finish a war when the people running it are chasing three different finish lines at once. Brandon Weichert
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Six months into this war, nobody in the White House can agree on what winning looks like. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert says that confusion is why the battlefield wins keep adding up to nothing: "We have had a series of tactical victories, but are facing a strategic defeat without clear policy, guidance or decision about where this is going." You can't finish a war when the people running it are chasing three different finish lines at once. Brandon Weichert

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ช A New Year's Eve conversation may have set this entire war in motion. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert says Netanyahu allegedly pitched Trump on a simple idea at a party: Venezuela and Iran are paper tigers. "They'll fall over as soon as you push on them." Six months later, one of those countries is still standing and firing back, and Trump is too committed to walk away from the promise he was sold. Brandon Weichert
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ช A New Year's Eve conversation may have set this entire war in motion. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert says Netanyahu allegedly pitched Trump on a simple idea at a party: Venezuela and Iran are paper tigers. "They'll fall over as soon as you push on them." Six months later, one of those countries is still standing and firing back, and Trump is too committed to walk away from the promise he was sold. Brandon Weichert

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82,938 views โ€ข 1 month ago

BRANDON WEICHERT: We are still not close to a deal. Any deal that sees the Iranians in control of the Strait of Hormuz, in any way, is going to be perceived as a failure. โ€” The fear in Riyadh and elsewhere in the Arab states is if that Strait remains closed, then nobody is selling oil. Brandon Weichert
6:08

BRANDON WEICHERT: We are still not close to a deal. Any deal that sees the Iranians in control of the Strait of Hormuz, in any way, is going to be perceived as a failure. โ€” The fear in Riyadh and elsewhere in the Arab states is if that Strait remains closed, then nobody is selling oil. Brandon Weichert

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35,449 views โ€ข 4 months ago

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Holding a gun to Iran's head during negotiations turned diplomacy into a zero-sum game. Geopolitical analyst Brandon Weichert says the coercive playbook is backfiring in real time, because the region learned to answer pressure with pressure. Joint U.S.-Saudi strikes in Iraq are the latest rung, and Iran keeps climbing right alongside. The deeper shift is the one Washington won't say out loud to itself: the unchallenged hegemon era is over, and Iran now matches American leverage militarily and diplomatically. When both sides hold guns, nobody gets to call it a negotiation. Brandon Weichert
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Holding a gun to Iran's head during negotiations turned diplomacy into a zero-sum game. Geopolitical analyst Brandon Weichert says the coercive playbook is backfiring in real time, because the region learned to answer pressure with pressure. Joint U.S.-Saudi strikes in Iraq are the latest rung, and Iran keeps climbing right alongside. The deeper shift is the one Washington won't say out loud to itself: the unchallenged hegemon era is over, and Iran now matches American leverage militarily and diplomatically. When both sides hold guns, nobody gets to call it a negotiation. Brandon Weichert

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Iran's oil exports have collapsed 90% and inflation is running near 80%, yet it's still the one setting the terms. Brandon Weichert frames this as a race to depletion, a question of who runs out of weapons or money first. The near term favors Tehran, though he doubts Iran can sustain it if the standoff drags past a few months. The real hazard sits in what both capitals believe about themselves. "It takes two to tango. Everybody thinks they've got the better hand and they don't." Which, as Brandon puts it, is not a good spot to be in if you're the world. Brandon Weichert
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Iran's oil exports have collapsed 90% and inflation is running near 80%, yet it's still the one setting the terms. Brandon Weichert frames this as a race to depletion, a question of who runs out of weapons or money first. The near term favors Tehran, though he doubts Iran can sustain it if the standoff drags past a few months. The real hazard sits in what both capitals believe about themselves. "It takes two to tango. Everybody thinks they've got the better hand and they don't." Which, as Brandon puts it, is not a good spot to be in if you're the world. Brandon Weichert

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Once a war reaches full escalation, history says it doesn't stop until it burns itself out. Geopolitics Expert Brandon Weichert says the people driving this aren't statecraft professionals, they're amateurs who hate expertise. "This is not a good position for the United States to be in." He points to Herman Kahn, the Cold War nuclear theorist who basically said wars like this run themselves, and good luck stopping one once it's going. A war on autopilot, and everyone's just bracing for the crash. Brandon Weichert
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Once a war reaches full escalation, history says it doesn't stop until it burns itself out. Geopolitics Expert Brandon Weichert says the people driving this aren't statecraft professionals, they're amateurs who hate expertise. "This is not a good position for the United States to be in." He points to Herman Kahn, the Cold War nuclear theorist who basically said wars like this run themselves, and good luck stopping one once it's going. A war on autopilot, and everyone's just bracing for the crash. Brandon Weichert

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท 47 years of economic warfare and the regime never buckled once. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert says Washington is repeating its oldest miscalculation on Iran, betting on a collapse that half a century of pressure never delivered. And this time, he warns, the price of being wrong is terminal: "It's going to be the end of the American empire in the Middle East. And it'll be a spectacular defeat." Everyone will see it. No one will be able to deny it. Brandon Weichert
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท 47 years of economic warfare and the regime never buckled once. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert says Washington is repeating its oldest miscalculation on Iran, betting on a collapse that half a century of pressure never delivered. And this time, he warns, the price of being wrong is terminal: "It's going to be the end of the American empire in the Middle East. And it'll be a spectacular defeat." Everyone will see it. No one will be able to deny it. Brandon Weichert

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