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Is This The Collapse We Have Been Warned About For Decades? A new study published in Nature Climate Change by researchers at Utrecht University reports that the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation survived 5°C of warming in one model run and collapsed at 2°C in another — with the only...

54,198 views • 5 days ago •via X (Twitter)

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Many scientists and members of the public believe “we are on the brink of an irreversible climate disaster” and that “much of the very fabric of life on Earth is imperiled.” The UN Secretary General says climate change is a “time bomb” ticking toward detonation. Johan Rockström, director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, warns that six of nine “planetary boundaries” have been transgressed and that humanity is approaching “irreversible tipping points.” The World Economic Forum reports that climate change may cause an additional 14.5 million deaths by 2050, citing research suggesting one billion deaths are possible by 2100 if warming exceeds two degrees Celsius. The public has received the message. A study of 10,000 people in 10 nations found that 56 percent said “humanity is doomed” and nearly half said climate change had negatively impacted their daily life.” And yet the apocalypse described in these warnings bears little resemblance to the one revealed by the data. In 2024, approximately 16,753 people died from natural disasters globally, well below the twenty-year average of 65,566, continuing a long-term decline of roughly 90 percent over the past century. U.S. crop yields set records in 2024. Rockström’s planetary boundaries lack any objective biophysical threshold and instead reflect subjective political judgments about how much of nature humans should use. A NASA-funded study found that between 25 and 50 percent of the world’s vegetated area has grown greener over the past four decades, with CO2 fertilization accounting for approximately 70 percent of the greening. Global warming projections have fallen from 3 to 3.5 degrees Celsius in 2015 to 2.6 degrees.... Please subscribe now to support Public's award-winning investigative journalism, read the rest of the story, and watch the full video!

Michael Shellenberger

37,204 views • 5 months ago

“There’s a doomsday view of climate change,” said Bill Gates on Tuesday. “Fortunately for all of us, this view is wrong….People will be able to live and thrive in most places on Earth for the foreseeable future. Emissions projections have gone down, and with the right policies and investments, innovation will allow us to drive emissions down much further.” In truth, Gates significantly understates just how wrong the doomsday problem is, says one of the world’s most influential climate scientists. “The weakest part of the argument has always been that warming is dangerous,” says Judy Curry, professor emerita at Georgia Tech University, in a new podcast with me. “It isn’t really. More people die from the cold than the heat. So this is probably a net benefit globally. Where’s the danger here?” Some climate scientists say Curry is a global warming denier, hasn’t done the research that they have done, and participated in a Trump administration misinformation effort. But Curry recognizes that the Earth is warming and that humans are contributing. Curry points out that “the modern warming started in the mid-19th century, somewhere between 1820 and 1860, following the end of the Little Ice Age. We’ve been warming since then. Nothing particularly surprising or unusual in my opinion. Is increasing CO₂ contributing to that? Yes.” The fact that warming has been beneficial “doesn’t mean that we should ignore the problem” she stresses and “doesn’t mean that we should keep pouring junk into the atmosphere. And Curry’s qualifications are exemplary. She frequently testifies before Congress and was one of five American scientists who conducted an independent review of climate science for the Department of Energy. And has done significantly more climate research than many of her critics. “I’m the one who’s done more climate dynamics research,” she noted. In truth, scientists have for decades been exaggerating the human impact compared to what nature does. When asked what percentage of the warming she would ascribe to humans, Curry said, “I would say I wouldn’t go much more than 50%.” Curry says, “We’ve mischaracterized the contributions from the sun and also from internal variability of the large-scale ocean circulation.” As a result, she said, “We cannot control the climate. There’s a whole lot of complicated processes going on in the climate system that have been oversimplified or ignored and fall broadly under the rubric of natural climate variability.” Curry notes that science supporting the benefits of additional carbon dioxide and warming is strong and not in dispute. “There are lots of benefits in terms of agricultural productivity, greening of the planet, fewer cold events, more rain in certain regions that with high populations that could use it,” said Curry. We discussed the criticisms of her and four colleagues who wrote the independent review of climate science commissioned by the Trump administration. “They say, ‘Oh, it’s not just CO₂, it’s also warmer temperatures and more rainfall,’” she said, referring to one of the criticisms by other scientists in Carbon Brief. “‘Aren’t you telling us that’s also caused by CO₂?’ So I don’t get what the gripe is. We’re gone through that section and added some updated references, but the fundamental story is unchanged.” As I documented at length at Forbes in 2019, in Apocalypse Never in 2020, and here at Public since 2021, including earlier this week, climate scientists, activists, and journalists have grossly exaggerated climate change to such an extent that much of what they say today must be considered disinformation, in that they know they are leaving the public with false ideas. “Global greening gets very short shrift in the [United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change] IPCC report,” she notes. “They don’t talk about the reduction in mortality from reduced number of cold events. They only talk about the mortality from heat events. It’s part of the rules – we’re only talking about dangerous human-caused climate change, not about any benefits from human cause.” But what is the reason for this? What explains why the scientific community has misled the public about the nature of the problem for so long? Please subscribe now to support Public's award-winning investigative reporting, read the full article, and listen to the entire podcast! FULL VIDEO AND ARTICLE CLICK BELOW

Michael Shellenberger

66,497 views • 9 months ago