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It was an honour to host the first ever public dialogue between David Deutsch (David Deutsch) and Steven Pinker (Steven Pinker). They are longstanding admirers of each other's work. I view Steve's defence of the Enlightenment as more empirical, whereas David's is built more on first principles. But beyond... their shared rational optimism, what else do they agree – or disagree – about? Topics we discuss are well captured by the timestamps below. Links to YouTube, transcript, Apple Podcasts, & Spotify in tweet below. Enjoy! Timestamps: (0:00:00) - Introduction (0:03:09) - Is AGI even possible? (0:10:17) - Scientific method will constrain runaway superintelligence (0:11:56) - Does AGI need agency to be creative? (0:28:31) - Will AGIs be sentient? (0:37:06) - AGI & AI safety (0:47:44) - P(doom) & subjective probabilities (0:53:21) - Prediction markets (1:01:43) - Universal explainers & The Language Instinct (1:04:43) - Universal explainers & heritability of behavioural traits (1:27:59) - Differential technological development (1:36:09) - What explains the Great Stagnation? (1:46:13) - Should presumed physical limits to growth make us pessimistic?show more

Joseph Noel Walker

13,030 subscribers

111,747 просмотров • 2 лет назад •via X (Twitter)

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Комментарии: 10

Фото профиля Joseph Noel Walker

Joseph Noel Walker2 лет назад

YouTube: Apple Podcasts: Spotify: Transcript:

Фото профиля Aaron Stupple

Aaron Stupple2 лет назад

@DavidDeutschOxf @sapinker Phenomenal work Joseph!

Фото профиля CoinStad

CoinStad2 лет назад

What explains the Great stagnation TL;DR Steven: wokism David: "the science is settled" thinking wokism sacrifices the continuous search for truth for racial equity. science is settled thinking comes from a fear of offending the person who spoke a potentially wrong theory my own take is that a large contributing factor is because the money is broken. As they mention the stagnation starts in 1970s. The gold standard was abandoned 1971. Today people are more focused on careers as they say. This is because of the uncertainty of their financial future as most highly intelligent people consciously or subconsciously noticed that their money lost so much value over time that they had to focus on value retention methods like stock picking or careering instead of just saving a bit of money and focusing on their field of science. This thinking permeates society since money is superordinate to culture. Culture is affected by the structure of the form of money or monetary system used in society. Why? Because money incentivizes people, i.e. it affects peoples behavior and a collection of behaviors is culture. When money is continuously leaking people need to spend time compensating for the leak until the leak is fixed. Money has been leaking value since 1971. With Bitcoin it is fixed. In Bitcoin we see a surge in philosophy, long term thinking, deeper reflections on topics. The great stagnation will end when Bitcoin or another sound money system takes over from the fiat experiment that started 52 years ago. looking forward to it.

Фото профиля ∞ Philonico ∞ℵ

∞ Philonico ∞ℵ2 лет назад

@DavidDeutschOxf @sapinker Amazing, it's a lovely Christmas present, thank you very much,

Фото профиля Christian Dean

Christian Dean2 лет назад

@ToKTeacher @DavidDeutschOxf @sapinker Your original conversation with David Deutsch is one of my favourites. Thanks for another one

Фото профиля Terry Winters

Terry Winters2 лет назад

@DavidDeutschOxf @sapinker Such a great conversation, thanks!

Фото профиля Longterm thinking

Longterm thinking2 лет назад

@DavidDeutschOxf @sapinker Thanks for this, excellent work. Thank you @DavidDeutschOxf for all you do to share and critique important ideas, it's very inspirational.

Фото профиля Josh Leyshon

Josh Leyshon2 лет назад

@joewalkerpod @DavidDeutschOxf @sapinker Brilliant Joe, thank you. Best Christmas present ever. Cannot wait to listen

Фото профиля Audacious Denizen

Audacious Denizen2 лет назад

@DavidDeutschOxf @sapinker Christmas came early

Фото профиля Hector Wetherell McNeill

Hector Wetherell McNeill2 лет назад

Joseph, Many congratulations on getting these two together and for your pertinent questions. An excellent contribution to X. Topics covered have been an interest of mine for many years but more related to the here and now where, for example, in economics there is a need for a reformantion in overall perceptions and theory so as to achieve a form of social, and yes, advance in knowledge enabling a renaissance in human action and wellbeing.

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43,187 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

New episode with Francis Fukuyama (Francis Fukuyama). While The End of History and the Last Man is arguably the most influential work in political science of the past half-century, I wanted to focus on one of Frank's lesser-known books: Our Posthuman Future. In that book, he considers biotech and its potential to usher in a new, post-human history. I check in to see how his views have evolved since it was published (2002), then ask him about AI and its potential to restart "History". The goal was to discuss topics that are important and on which Frank has spoken little until now. Frank also gives me a preview of his forthcoming book, and shares some ideas on delegation and state capacity. (0:00:00) - Introduction. (0:00:41) - Are new biotechnologies restarting History? (0:03:52) - Why Fukuyama thinks life extension is a bad idea. (0:06:47) - Which biotechnology is most likely to drive transhumanism? (0:07:34) - Political orders are downstream of technology. (0:10:31) - Would Fukuyama have denied political rights to Denisovans or Neanderthals? (0:13:56) - Transhumanism and longevity's unintended consequences. (0:18:55) - Assortative mating vs. gene editing. (0:20:00) - How should we adjudicate disagreements between different sets of natural rights? (0:24:03) - How is Fukuyama thinking about AGI and ASI? (0:27:31) - Granting AIs political rights? (0:37:23) - Best political order for a society of non-thymotic AIs? (0:40:44) - Could an ASI design a better political order than liberal democracy for today's world? (0:44:08) - Why Asian cultures are more permissive of biotechnology. (0:47:04) - Do LLMs represent a victory of American soft power in China? (0:49:17) - If humanity is made economically redundant, where will megalothymia be channelled? (0:51:58) - Can Trump and Musk's relationship endure their mutual megalothymia? (0:53:23) - A future without work? Kojève's 1959 trip to Japan, & the early-modern landed gentry. (1:00:41) - Hegel vs. Kojève: wars after history? (1:02:26) - What more would have to happen for China to falsify the end of history thesis? (1:03:39) - What Fukuyama learned from having his thesis chronically misunderstood. (1:06:37) - Fukuyama's advice for public intellectuals who want sustainable careers. (1:08:52) - A sneak peek at Fukuyama's next book. (1:10:32) - Delegation in armies and bureaucracies. (1:15:48) - Why Fukuyama thinks DOGE was misguided. (1:17:53) - The relationship between talent, delegation and state capacity. Watch full episode on YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, etc. Transcript at my website jnwpod dot com. Enjoy!

New episode with Francis Fukuyama (Francis Fukuyama). While The End of History and the Last Man is arguably the most influential work in political science of the past half-century, I wanted to focus on one of Frank's lesser-known books: Our Posthuman Future. In that book, he considers biotech and its potential to usher in a new, post-human history. I check in to see how his views have evolved since it was published (2002), then ask him about AI and its potential to restart "History". The goal was to discuss topics that are important and on which Frank has spoken little until now. Frank also gives me a preview of his forthcoming book, and shares some ideas on delegation and state capacity. (0:00:00) - Introduction. (0:00:41) - Are new biotechnologies restarting History? (0:03:52) - Why Fukuyama thinks life extension is a bad idea. (0:06:47) - Which biotechnology is most likely to drive transhumanism? (0:07:34) - Political orders are downstream of technology. (0:10:31) - Would Fukuyama have denied political rights to Denisovans or Neanderthals? (0:13:56) - Transhumanism and longevity's unintended consequences. (0:18:55) - Assortative mating vs. gene editing. (0:20:00) - How should we adjudicate disagreements between different sets of natural rights? (0:24:03) - How is Fukuyama thinking about AGI and ASI? (0:27:31) - Granting AIs political rights? (0:37:23) - Best political order for a society of non-thymotic AIs? (0:40:44) - Could an ASI design a better political order than liberal democracy for today's world? (0:44:08) - Why Asian cultures are more permissive of biotechnology. (0:47:04) - Do LLMs represent a victory of American soft power in China? (0:49:17) - If humanity is made economically redundant, where will megalothymia be channelled? (0:51:58) - Can Trump and Musk's relationship endure their mutual megalothymia? (0:53:23) - A future without work? Kojève's 1959 trip to Japan, & the early-modern landed gentry. (1:00:41) - Hegel vs. Kojève: wars after history? (1:02:26) - What more would have to happen for China to falsify the end of history thesis? (1:03:39) - What Fukuyama learned from having his thesis chronically misunderstood. (1:06:37) - Fukuyama's advice for public intellectuals who want sustainable careers. (1:08:52) - A sneak peek at Fukuyama's next book. (1:10:32) - Delegation in armies and bureaucracies. (1:15:48) - Why Fukuyama thinks DOGE was misguided. (1:17:53) - The relationship between talent, delegation and state capacity. Watch full episode on YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, etc. Transcript at my website jnwpod dot com. Enjoy!

Joseph Noel Walker

15,483 просмотров • 1 год назад

My conversation with David Deutsch (David Deutsch). David is the author of The Fabric of Reality and The Beginning of Infinity. He is known as the father of quantum computing for his contributions to the field. He is an advocate of Taking Children Seriously, a new, non-paternalistic view of children. Topics we discuss are well captured by the timestamps below. Links to YouTube, Apple Podcasts, Spotify and transcript in thread below. Timestamps: 0:22 - Happiness is a state of continually solving one’s problems 4:54 - Both free-will and the self exist 12:06 - The principle of optimism 17:28 - Any ultimate explanation is a bad explanation 20:22 - The origins of Taking Children Seriously 25:33 - Why children are the most coerced members in society 31:33 - Anarcho-capitalism

My conversation with David Deutsch (David Deutsch). David is the author of The Fabric of Reality and The Beginning of Infinity. He is known as the father of quantum computing for his contributions to the field. He is an advocate of Taking Children Seriously, a new, non-paternalistic view of children. Topics we discuss are well captured by the timestamps below. Links to YouTube, Apple Podcasts, Spotify and transcript in thread below. Timestamps: 0:22 - Happiness is a state of continually solving one’s problems 4:54 - Both free-will and the self exist 12:06 - The principle of optimism 17:28 - Any ultimate explanation is a bad explanation 20:22 - The origins of Taking Children Seriously 25:33 - Why children are the most coerced members in society 31:33 - Anarcho-capitalism

Arjun Khemani

470,695 просмотров • 2 лет назад

Here's my conversation with Roman Yampolskiy (Dr. Roman Yampolskiy), AI safety researcher who believes that the chance of AGI eventually destroying human civilization is 99.9999%. I will continue to chat with many AI researchers & engineers, most of whom put p(doom) at <20%, but it's important to balance those technical conversations by understanding the long-term existential risks of AI. This was a terrifying and fascinating discussion. It's here on X in full, and is up on YouTube, Spotify, and everywhere else. Links in comment. Timestamps: 0:00 - Introduction 2:20 - Existential risk of AGI 8:32 - Ikigai risk 16:44 - Suffering risk 20:19 - Timeline to AGI 24:51 - AGI turing test 30:14 - Yann LeCun and open source AI 43:06 - AI control 45:33 - Social engineering 48:06 - Fearmongering 57:57 - AI deception 1:04:30 - Verification 1:11:29 - Self-improving AI 1:23:42 - Pausing AI development 1:29:59 - AI Safety 1:39:43 - Current AI 1:45:05 - Simulation 1:52:24 - Aliens 1:53:57 - Human mind 2:00:17 - Neuralink 2:09:23 - Hope for the future 2:13:18 - Meaning of life

Here's my conversation with Roman Yampolskiy (Dr. Roman Yampolskiy), AI safety researcher who believes that the chance of AGI eventually destroying human civilization is 99.9999%. I will continue to chat with many AI researchers & engineers, most of whom put p(doom) at <20%, but it's important to balance those technical conversations by understanding the long-term existential risks of AI. This was a terrifying and fascinating discussion. It's here on X in full, and is up on YouTube, Spotify, and everywhere else. Links in comment. Timestamps: 0:00 - Introduction 2:20 - Existential risk of AGI 8:32 - Ikigai risk 16:44 - Suffering risk 20:19 - Timeline to AGI 24:51 - AGI turing test 30:14 - Yann LeCun and open source AI 43:06 - AI control 45:33 - Social engineering 48:06 - Fearmongering 57:57 - AI deception 1:04:30 - Verification 1:11:29 - Self-improving AI 1:23:42 - Pausing AI development 1:29:59 - AI Safety 1:39:43 - Current AI 1:45:05 - Simulation 1:52:24 - Aliens 1:53:57 - Human mind 2:00:17 - Neuralink 2:09:23 - Hope for the future 2:13:18 - Meaning of life

Lex Fridman

30,193,549 просмотров • 2 лет назад

No author has shaped my worldview more than Nassim Taleb (Nassim Nicholas Taleb). I stumbled on The Black Swan eight years ago, then inhaled the rest of the Incerto. I've increasingly come to appreciate the importance of its ideas to prolonging the human story. Was an honour to speak with Nassim on the podcast. Hard to summarise our conversation, but the timestamps below capture the gist. Enjoy! Timestamps: (0:00:55) - Heuristics for knowing when you're in Mediocristan versus Extremistan. (0:06:06) - Are certain tail exponents intrinsic? (0:10:30) - Why hasn't Universa's tail hedging strategy now been fully priced in? (0:11:52) - Does the power law distribution of startup returns mean VCs should concentrate their bets, or spray and pray? (0:15:20) - Nassim's 30-minute take on the field of behavioural economics. (0:48:57) - Nassim's 20-minute take on superforecasting. (1:11:03) - The Precautionary Principle and AI. (1:17:28) - What are LLMs doing? (1:23:10) - War, violence, & "the empirical mean is not the real mean". (1:39:17) - Covid, & how Western governments think about tail risk. (1:43:38) - What's the most important thing people in social science get wrong about correlation? (1:52:58) - How does Nassim explain the perspicacity of the Russian school of probability? (1:55:56) - Why doesn't Hayek's knowledge argument extend to prediction markets? (1:58:26) - If mean absolute deviation is a better measure than standard deviation, why has the latter become commonplace? (2:01:09) - Nassim's next book, and what he's up to at the moment.

No author has shaped my worldview more than Nassim Taleb (Nassim Nicholas Taleb). I stumbled on The Black Swan eight years ago, then inhaled the rest of the Incerto. I've increasingly come to appreciate the importance of its ideas to prolonging the human story. Was an honour to speak with Nassim on the podcast. Hard to summarise our conversation, but the timestamps below capture the gist. Enjoy! Timestamps: (0:00:55) - Heuristics for knowing when you're in Mediocristan versus Extremistan. (0:06:06) - Are certain tail exponents intrinsic? (0:10:30) - Why hasn't Universa's tail hedging strategy now been fully priced in? (0:11:52) - Does the power law distribution of startup returns mean VCs should concentrate their bets, or spray and pray? (0:15:20) - Nassim's 30-minute take on the field of behavioural economics. (0:48:57) - Nassim's 20-minute take on superforecasting. (1:11:03) - The Precautionary Principle and AI. (1:17:28) - What are LLMs doing? (1:23:10) - War, violence, & "the empirical mean is not the real mean". (1:39:17) - Covid, & how Western governments think about tail risk. (1:43:38) - What's the most important thing people in social science get wrong about correlation? (1:52:58) - How does Nassim explain the perspicacity of the Russian school of probability? (1:55:56) - Why doesn't Hayek's knowledge argument extend to prediction markets? (1:58:26) - If mean absolute deviation is a better measure than standard deviation, why has the latter become commonplace? (2:01:09) - Nassim's next book, and what he's up to at the moment.

Joseph Noel Walker

578,089 просмотров • 1 год назад

THE TRUTH ABOUT MARIJUANA! Know the risks of modern marijuana! Stefan Molyneux lays down the Truth About Marijuana, discussing the recent rise in use, and modern marijuana's risks of mental and physical damage, not just to yourself, but tp everyone around you. Sources: 0:00:00 The Truth About Marijuana 0:00:57 Definitions and Cannabis Basics 0:01:51 Rising Use in America 0:03:54 Heavy Use Surges 0:05:03 Age Trends and Youth Use 0:06:56 Young Adults and Seniors 0:08:27 Past-Month Use by Age 0:10:14 High School Use Declines 0:11:05 Adolescent Trends and COVID 0:12:42 Vaping and Cannabis Delivery 0:13:46 Gender Differences in Use 0:15:05 Racial Disparities in Usage 0:16:48 Heavy Use and ACEs 0:19:19 Childhood Trauma and Drug Use 0:22:38 Rising THC Potency 0:24:28 Concentrates and Ratios 0:26:06 Mental Illness History 0:27:46 Addiction and Psychosis 0:30:07 Psychosis Harms Families 0:33:01 THC and Brain Chemistry 0:34:41 Schizophrenia Consequences 0:37:14 Mental Health Risks 0:38:52 Medical Uses and Limits 0:41:13 Early Use Damages 0:42:56 ABCD Study Findings 0:44:31 IQ Decline and Income 0:48:36 Brain Function Changes 0:52:20 Heavy Use and Brain Activation 0:54:30 Cannabis and Cortisol 0:57:26 Hormones and Lung Damage 0:59:40 Smoking Damage on CT Scans 1:01:44 Vaping Risks and Injury 1:03:43 Marijuana Versus Alcohol 1:04:45 Driving and Workplace Dangers 1:07:53 Sexual and Fertility Risks 1:09:44 Pregnancy and Parenting 1:11:21 Legalization Effects 1:13:16 Legalization History 1:16:39 Funding and Politics 1:18:43 International Drug Treaties 1:21:06 Could We Have Known? 1:23:16 Final Takeaways 1:23:52 Childhood Trauma Revisited GET FREEDOMAIN MERCH! SUBSCRIBE TO ME ON X! Follow me on Youtube! GET MY NEW BOOK 'PEACEFUL PARENTING', THE INTERACTIVE PEACEFUL PARENTING AI, AND THE FULL AUDIOBOOK! Join the PREMIUM philosophy community on the web for free! Subscribers get 12 HOURS on the "Truth About the French Revolution," multiple interactive multi-lingual philosophy AIs trained on thousands of hours of my material - as well as AIs for Real-Time Relationships, Bitcoin, Peaceful Parenting, and Call-In Shows! You also receive private livestreams, HUNDREDS of exclusive premium shows, early release podcasts, the 22 Part History of Philosophers series and much more! See you soon!

THE TRUTH ABOUT MARIJUANA! Know the risks of modern marijuana! Stefan Molyneux lays down the Truth About Marijuana, discussing the recent rise in use, and modern marijuana's risks of mental and physical damage, not just to yourself, but tp everyone around you. Sources: 0:00:00 The Truth About Marijuana 0:00:57 Definitions and Cannabis Basics 0:01:51 Rising Use in America 0:03:54 Heavy Use Surges 0:05:03 Age Trends and Youth Use 0:06:56 Young Adults and Seniors 0:08:27 Past-Month Use by Age 0:10:14 High School Use Declines 0:11:05 Adolescent Trends and COVID 0:12:42 Vaping and Cannabis Delivery 0:13:46 Gender Differences in Use 0:15:05 Racial Disparities in Usage 0:16:48 Heavy Use and ACEs 0:19:19 Childhood Trauma and Drug Use 0:22:38 Rising THC Potency 0:24:28 Concentrates and Ratios 0:26:06 Mental Illness History 0:27:46 Addiction and Psychosis 0:30:07 Psychosis Harms Families 0:33:01 THC and Brain Chemistry 0:34:41 Schizophrenia Consequences 0:37:14 Mental Health Risks 0:38:52 Medical Uses and Limits 0:41:13 Early Use Damages 0:42:56 ABCD Study Findings 0:44:31 IQ Decline and Income 0:48:36 Brain Function Changes 0:52:20 Heavy Use and Brain Activation 0:54:30 Cannabis and Cortisol 0:57:26 Hormones and Lung Damage 0:59:40 Smoking Damage on CT Scans 1:01:44 Vaping Risks and Injury 1:03:43 Marijuana Versus Alcohol 1:04:45 Driving and Workplace Dangers 1:07:53 Sexual and Fertility Risks 1:09:44 Pregnancy and Parenting 1:11:21 Legalization Effects 1:13:16 Legalization History 1:16:39 Funding and Politics 1:18:43 International Drug Treaties 1:21:06 Could We Have Known? 1:23:16 Final Takeaways 1:23:52 Childhood Trauma Revisited GET FREEDOMAIN MERCH! SUBSCRIBE TO ME ON X! Follow me on Youtube! GET MY NEW BOOK 'PEACEFUL PARENTING', THE INTERACTIVE PEACEFUL PARENTING AI, AND THE FULL AUDIOBOOK! Join the PREMIUM philosophy community on the web for free! Subscribers get 12 HOURS on the "Truth About the French Revolution," multiple interactive multi-lingual philosophy AIs trained on thousands of hours of my material - as well as AIs for Real-Time Relationships, Bitcoin, Peaceful Parenting, and Call-In Shows! You also receive private livestreams, HUNDREDS of exclusive premium shows, early release podcasts, the 22 Part History of Philosophers series and much more! See you soon!

Freedomain - with Stefan Molyneux, MA

15,236 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Jorge Masvidal’s Prediction For UFC 302 / Fighting McGregor?! | TSS | EP.287 0:00:00 - Intro 0:00:20 - Montana Trip Recap 0:01:13 - Dumb & Dumber To 0:03:45 - Fast Food Challenge 0:07:33 - Schmitty Goes On A Date 0:08:50 - Suga & Tim’s Chickens 0:10:00 - Tammy Might Be Preg.. 0:11:25 - Does Dustin Guillotine Islam? 0:15:04 - Strickland Vs Coasta Prediction 0:17:46 - Tim’s New Tesla 0:18:55 - McGregor Explains Comments Towards Suga 0:21:10 - Suga’s Warehouse Upgrades 0:23:53 - Suga Announces Next Fight 0:26:08 - Schmitty Vs Merab Beef 0:27:27 - Private Jet Scare Story 0:28:40 - Stoicism Levels 0:32:12 - Upcoming Business Trips 0:34:16 - Types Of Humor 0:36:50 - Do You Care What People Think About You? 0:38:55 - Ozempic For Weight Loss 0:40:10 - First Neuralink Patient 0:41:50 - Suga Meeting Masvidal For The First Time 0:42:42 - Jobin TV Show Update 0:44:55 - Chito Vera Vs Figgy Prediction 0:45:55 - Ian Gary Vs MVP Prediction 0:48:25 - Everyone Sings For Each Other 0:49:00 - Suga Visiting His Home He Grew Up In 0:52:32 - Tim Debates W/ His Mom 0:54:45 - Schmitty Has A Flare Up 0:55:44 - Henry Cejudo Turning Down Fights 0:56:55 - Movie Night 0:58:24 - Welcome Jorge Masvidal 0:59:00 - Boxing Camp For Nate Diaz 1:01:07 - Difference From Prepping For An MMA Fight 1:02:28 - How Masvidal’s Diet Has Changed With Age 1:03:50 - The Biggest Fear Going Into A Fight 1:05:12 - The Risk Of Going For A Flying Knee Against Ben Askren 1:06:55 - Downtown During Camp 1:08:10 - Studying Boxing Film 1:09:50 - Fighting Jake Paul In MMA 1:10:55 - Jorge’s Prediction For Dustin Vs Islam 1:12:55 - Masvidal Vs McGregor? 1:13:30 - Chael Vs Anderson Boxing Prediction 1:14:35 - Miami Lifestyle 1:15:33 - Masvidal’s Biggest Regret In His Fight Career 1:19:20 - Masvidal Gives Suga Advice 1:22:30 - Rumors On Merab Fight 1:24:00 - Chandler Vs McGregor Prediction

Jorge Masvidal’s Prediction For UFC 302 / Fighting McGregor?! | TSS | EP.287 0:00:00 - Intro 0:00:20 - Montana Trip Recap 0:01:13 - Dumb & Dumber To 0:03:45 - Fast Food Challenge 0:07:33 - Schmitty Goes On A Date 0:08:50 - Suga & Tim’s Chickens 0:10:00 - Tammy Might Be Preg.. 0:11:25 - Does Dustin Guillotine Islam? 0:15:04 - Strickland Vs Coasta Prediction 0:17:46 - Tim’s New Tesla 0:18:55 - McGregor Explains Comments Towards Suga 0:21:10 - Suga’s Warehouse Upgrades 0:23:53 - Suga Announces Next Fight 0:26:08 - Schmitty Vs Merab Beef 0:27:27 - Private Jet Scare Story 0:28:40 - Stoicism Levels 0:32:12 - Upcoming Business Trips 0:34:16 - Types Of Humor 0:36:50 - Do You Care What People Think About You? 0:38:55 - Ozempic For Weight Loss 0:40:10 - First Neuralink Patient 0:41:50 - Suga Meeting Masvidal For The First Time 0:42:42 - Jobin TV Show Update 0:44:55 - Chito Vera Vs Figgy Prediction 0:45:55 - Ian Gary Vs MVP Prediction 0:48:25 - Everyone Sings For Each Other 0:49:00 - Suga Visiting His Home He Grew Up In 0:52:32 - Tim Debates W/ His Mom 0:54:45 - Schmitty Has A Flare Up 0:55:44 - Henry Cejudo Turning Down Fights 0:56:55 - Movie Night 0:58:24 - Welcome Jorge Masvidal 0:59:00 - Boxing Camp For Nate Diaz 1:01:07 - Difference From Prepping For An MMA Fight 1:02:28 - How Masvidal’s Diet Has Changed With Age 1:03:50 - The Biggest Fear Going Into A Fight 1:05:12 - The Risk Of Going For A Flying Knee Against Ben Askren 1:06:55 - Downtown During Camp 1:08:10 - Studying Boxing Film 1:09:50 - Fighting Jake Paul In MMA 1:10:55 - Jorge’s Prediction For Dustin Vs Islam 1:12:55 - Masvidal Vs McGregor? 1:13:30 - Chael Vs Anderson Boxing Prediction 1:14:35 - Miami Lifestyle 1:15:33 - Masvidal’s Biggest Regret In His Fight Career 1:19:20 - Masvidal Gives Suga Advice 1:22:30 - Rumors On Merab Fight 1:24:00 - Chandler Vs McGregor Prediction

Sean O'Malley

118,091 просмотров • 2 лет назад

one thing that has saved my projects more time than I can count is evals boy was I excited when florian, quite literally an expert in benchmarks, agreed to hop into a ~2h interview to do a walkthrough of what the eval landscape looks like in 2026 (and also answer my personal business questions on the subject) given that now running frontier model through benchmarks is a vector for hacking other systems in order to avoid doing work (looking at you sol), I think it's more important than ever to educate folks on the evals situation. had a lot of fun throughout this session and I hope that you learn a thing or two! enjoy! 🌹 table of content: 0:00:00: are AI Benchmark broken? 0:05:45: Florian Brand background 0:09:00: what motivates florian to work on evaluation? 0:13:33: what is the mirrorcode benchmark about? 0:18:20: cheating in agent benchmark is insaneeeee 0:24:08: LLM benchmarks in era of agents 0:26:30: what’s up with the pelican man 0:28:27: evals are about capabilities 0:31:46: components of running evals 0:35:30: the volume of things to audit is huge!!! 0:40:20: expert answers are wrong hahahaha 0:46:00: api providers aren’t the same 0:48:00: benchmark narrow capabilities (synthetically) 0:50:56: link between eval and environment 0:53:45: small validated benchmark or massive bench? 0:56:11: what is your flow to review a benchmark? 0:58:30: tracking work capabilities with evaluation 1:00:20: slide deck in industry is all vibecoded 1:03:30: harness impact in the evaluation 1:07:39: hardware/sandboxes impact evaluation too! 1:11:00: “is it going to get worse?” 1:12:40: all components influence the final score 1:13:50: training models on different harnesses? 1:17:20: is the model just the weights or it’s all of it? 1:19:30: how to craft benchmark that prevent to cheating and undereliciting models in 2026 1:23:19: ways agents cheat and steal 1:26:00: correct elicitation of capabilities is important 1:36:00: building evaluation on prime intellect 1:45:10: how do you design interactivity benchmarks? 1:48:40: do you think evals are well set to reflect real world performance? 1:52:50: what will the benchmarking landscape will look like in 1 year

Yacine Mahdid

12,923 просмотров • 1 месяц назад