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Japan could control global liquidity. One BOJ rate decision decides risk everywhere. Hike and the yen carry trade unwinds. Pause and liquidity floods back in. Crypto is downstream of Japan, not the driver. Full video in comments 👇

73,312 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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🚨THIS WEEK WILL BE THE WORST ONE IN 2026 Japan just begin biggest sell off EVER They are about to dump ~$6T of foreign securities, mostly U.S. Treasuries, stocks, and ETFs This will cause biggest crash, even bigger than it was on 10.10 flush crash While the rest of the world paid normal interest rates, Japan kept borrowing costs close to zero for decades Hedge funds, banks and institutions took full advantage of it They borrowed trillions of yen for almost nothing and deployed that capital wherever returns were higher - U.S. Treasuries - S&P 500 - Nasdaq stocks - Real estate - Emerging markets - Eventually, even crypto Wall Street called it the Yen Carry Trade It quietly became one of the biggest liquidity engines in modern financial history As long as Japan kept rates near zero, the machine kept running Cheap money kept flowing, risk assets kept benefiting, but that world is starting to change After decades of deflation, inflation has finally returned to Japan For the first time in years, the Bank of Japan is raising interest rates It sounds like a local story It's not Higher borrowing costs completely change the economics behind the carry trade The more expensive yen becomes, the less attractive the strategy is Instead of sending money overseas, investors start unwinding positions They repay yen loans and bring capital back home Markets call this a reverse carry trade And it destroys liquidity much faster than it creates it We already got a small preview in August 2024 Fears around the carry trade triggered a sharp sell-off across global markets and reminded everyone how dependent they had become on Japanese money Now imagine that process playing out over years instead of days Japan isn't just another investor It owns roughly $1.1 trillion in U.S. Treasuries It also holds around $6 trillion in net foreign assets, making it the largest overseas creditor in the world That doesn't mean Japan is about to dump $6 trillion tomorrow That's simply not how capital flows work The viral posts are massively oversimplifying the story But they are pointing at a real trend If even a small portion of that capital gradually comes home, global liquidity becomes much tighter than markets have been used to for decades And that's a much bigger deal than most investors realize - Stocks - Bonds - Private equity - Real estate - Crypto Almost every major bull market of the last 30 years was built during an era of abundant liquidity When liquidity expands, valuations become easier to justify When liquidity disappears, everything gets repriced That's why what happens in Japan over the next few years could become one of the biggest macro stories of this cycle Because the biggest risk isn't that Japan suddenly sells everything The biggest risk is that the world's largest source of cheap money quietly stops financing everyone else Remember that I am posting news daily and monitoring each major macro event to post and warn you So make sure to follow me and turn notifs on

Midas

57,917 Aufrufe • vor 15 Tagen

🚨WARNING: SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING TOMORROW!! The Bank of Japan will officially raise interest rates to 1.00%. Japan hasn't seen rates at 1.00% since the 1990s. And if you think Japan has no impact on global markets... YOU ARE COMPLETELY WRONG. Every time BOJ hiked rates, Bitcoin dumped by 20%+ in days. And this isn't just about Bitcoin. It's about global liquidity. It's about capital flows. And it's about a market that isn't prepared for what's coming. Let me explain. The last time Japan operated in this interest rate range, the global financial system was already showing signs of stress. In 1994, the infamous "Great Bond Massacre" wiped out roughly $1.5 TRILLION in bond market value. Then the pressure intensified. In early 1995, the Japanese yen went PARABOLIC. On April 19, 1995, USD/JPY fell to 79.75 - the lowest level ever recorded. Now here's the part almost nobody talks about. Japan tightened policy... Then was forced to reverse course. Later that same year, the BOJ cut its discount rate back to 0.50%. That single fact tells you everything you need to know. Because when Japan tightens into a fragile system, the consequences don't stay inside Japan. Japan is the backbone of global liquidity. Japan is the world's largest funding source. And Japan remains one of the largest foreign holders of U.S. debt. Today, Japan owns more than $1.25 TRILLION in U.S. Treasuries. Which means any major shift in Japanese policy will affect EVERY major asset class on the planet. THIS IS THE WARNING. Not because rates are rising. But because the last time Japan reached these levels, financial stress was already there. Markets aren't pricing that risk today. But eventually, they will. I've spent more than a decade studying macro and market cycles. I've called many market tops and bottoms, including the $126K Bitcoin ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I'll publicly post the next call here first.

0xNobler

200,965 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

🚨 WARNING: MONDAY WILL BE THE WORST DAY OF 2026!! Japan just hit the panic button. They will dump OVER $6 TRILLION of foreign securities, mostly U.S. Treasuries, stocks, and ETFs. If you hold any assets right now, you MUST be prepared for the biggest sell-off of the year: The BOJ is moving capital back into Japan. And the biggest carry trade in history is starting to unwind... This is NOT normal. Here's what's really happening: For decades, Japan kept interest rates near zero. That made the yen the cheapest funding currency in the world. Investors borrowed trillions of yen. And invested that money into U.S. Treasuries, stocks, real estate, crypto, and markets across the globe. That trade is now breaking. Japan is dealing with soaring debt. A rapidly aging population. Massive pension obligations. And years of pressure from a weak yen. Now policymakers want that capital to come home. By any means necessary. Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said pension funds, including GPIF, the world's largest pension fund, should make substantially larger investments in Japanese assets instead of foreign ones. GPIF alone manages around $1.8 trillion. Hundreds of billions of dollars are now at the center of this shift. Japanese investors have already sold tens of billions of dollars worth of U.S. Treasuries this year. And the Bank of Japan's latest rate hike only gives investors another reason to keep money at home. This is the Reverse Carry Trade. And it's one of the biggest liquidity risks in the world. Because when Japanese money comes home... Someone else has to buy what Japan is selling. More Treasuries hit the market. Bond yields move higher. Liquidity dries up. And financial conditions tighten everywhere. That's how market stress spreads. Quietly at first. Then all at once. After decades of financing global markets... Japan is starting to finance itself. And that changes everything. More volatility. Less liquidity. That's not a good combination. Pay attention. Most people won't realize why markets are collapsing until it's already happening. I’ve studied markets for over a decade and called nearly every major top and bottom. If you want to survive the 2026 cycle, follow and turn notifications on. I warned you before. And I'll warn you again soon. A lot of people will wish they paid attention earlier.

0xNobler

1,625,870 Aufrufe • vor 16 Tagen