Video wird geladen...

Video konnte nicht geladen werden

Beim Laden dieses Videos ist ein Problem aufgetreten. Dies könnte an einem vorübergehenden Netzwerkproblem liegen oder das Video ist möglicherweise nicht verfügbar.

Jeff Bezos: Thinking small is a self-fulfilling prophecy. It’s generally human nature to overestimate risk and underestimate opportunity. And so, I think entrepreneurs in general would be well advised to try and bias against that piece of human nature. The risks are probably not as big as you perceive,... show more

Arjun Khemani

33,885 subscribers

148,040 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr •via X (Twitter)

Gesundheit & Wellness Finanzen Bildung

Anya Rossi• Live Now

Private livecam show

10 Kommentare

Profilbild von Steven Buckman

Steven Buckmanvor 1 Jahr

Says the man who created the most successful company ever. Now look at the Chapter 11 filings in every courthouse and you'll see that there was plenty of risk takers where things didn't work out so well.

Profilbild von Daniel Evans

Daniel Evansvor 1 Jahr

Exactly what he is saying applies in principal to all Bitcoin stands for.

Profilbild von Velina Tchakarova

Velina Tchakarovavor 1 Jahr

Excellent!

Profilbild von Mark from AppOpti

Mark from AppOptivor 1 Jahr

Thinking small has a massive place in growth. You can’t get through the day building all of Rome, but you can think in smaller tasks in how to achieve it day by day.

Profilbild von Meister

Meistervor 1 Jahr

Rubbish. For Bezos, Musk, Gates, Swift, Trump, and many other "risk" taking entrepreneurs, there was little risk or downside when you come from wealth and your family has your back. For the rest of humanity, risk assessment and monitoring is paramount and essential to survival.

Profilbild von James Marsh

James Marshvor 1 Jahr

Dunno If I believe this

Profilbild von SpectralMetabolism

SpectralMetabolismvor 1 Jahr

you're all temporarily embarrassed billionaires. grim.

Profilbild von Haya Innovator

Haya Innovatorvor 1 Jahr

I love this advice! Thinking small is a self-fulfilling prophecy, I've seen it hold people back from achieving greatness. Biasing against that piece of human nature is crucial for entrepreneurs.

Profilbild von Arjun Batham

Arjun Bathamvor 1 Jahr

You are one of the people who makes me want to try. Although our names are same, but you are way smarter than me. Hopefully I'll get an chance to meet you.

Profilbild von Rahul Kahani

Rahul Kahanivor 1 Jahr

well this will have me re-thinking a lot, in a frustrating yet immensely helpful way

Ähnliche Videos

Jeff Bezos: “Thinking small is a self-fulfilling prophecy” Bezos is asked where he gets the confidence to even attempt to build companies of such massive scale, like Amazon and Blue Origin. He responds: “I think it’s generally human nature to overestimate risk and underestimate opportunity. And so I think entrepreneurs in general would be well-advised to try and bias against that. The risks are probably not as big as you perceive, and the opportunities may be bigger than you perceive… You say it’s confidence, but maybe I’m just accepting that human bias and trying to compensate against it. The second thing I would point out is that thinking small is a self-fulfilling prophecy.” Video source: New York Times Events (2024)

Jeff Bezos: “Thinking small is a self-fulfilling prophecy” Bezos is asked where he gets the confidence to even attempt to build companies of such massive scale, like Amazon and Blue Origin. He responds: “I think it’s generally human nature to overestimate risk and underestimate opportunity. And so I think entrepreneurs in general would be well-advised to try and bias against that. The risks are probably not as big as you perceive, and the opportunities may be bigger than you perceive… You say it’s confidence, but maybe I’m just accepting that human bias and trying to compensate against it. The second thing I would point out is that thinking small is a self-fulfilling prophecy.” Video source: New York Times Events (2024)

Startup Archive

272,292 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

I'm "in nature," but I am on a public footpath. Would I be more "in nature" if I strayed off this path and walked among this habitat mix of wildflower and seed? Surely, to do so would be nothing more than a selfish, human-centric act?

I'm "in nature," but I am on a public footpath. Would I be more "in nature" if I strayed off this path and walked among this habitat mix of wildflower and seed? Surely, to do so would be nothing more than a selfish, human-centric act?

Richard Negus

126,956 Aufrufe • vor 3 Jahren

The Onion Theory of Risk by Marc Andreessen: "I think the single biggest thing entrepreneurs are missing, both on fundraising and how they run their companies, is the relationship between risk and cash. The relationship between risk and raising cash, and then the relationship between risk and spending cash. So I've always been a fan of something that Andy Ratcliffe taught me years ago, which he called the onion theory of risk. Um, which basically is, you can think about a startup like on day one, um, as having every conceivable kind of risk, right? And you can basically just make a list of the risks. And so you've got, you know, founding team risk. You know, do the founders, are the founders gonna be able to work together? Do you have the right founders? You're gonna have product risk. You know, can you build a product? You'll have technical risk, right? Which is maybe you need a machine learning breakthrough or something to make it work. Are you gonna be able to do that? Um, you'll have, you know, launch risk. Will the launch go well? You'll have, you know, market acceptance risk. You'll have revenue risk. A big risk you get into in a lot of businesses that have a sales force is, can you actually sell the product for enough money to actually pay for the cost of sale? So you have the cost of sale risk. If you're a consumer product, you'll have a viral growth risk. Well, you get the thing of viral growth. And so, a startup at the very beginning is basically just this long list of risks. And then the way that I always think about running a startup is also the way I think about raising money, which is it's a process of peeling away layers of risk as you go. And so you raise seed money in order to peel away the first two or three risks. The founding team risk, the product risk, and maybe the initial launch risk. You raise the A round to peel away the next level of product risk. Maybe you peel away some recruiting risk because you get your full engineering team built. Maybe you peel away some customer risk because you get your first five beta customers. And so basically the way to think about it is you're peeling away risk as you go. You're peeling away risk by achieving milestones. And then as you achieve milestones, you're both making progress in your business, and you're justifying raising more capital. And so you come in, and you pitch somebody like us, and you say you're raising a B round. The best way to do that with us is you say, okay, I raised a seed round, I achieved these milestones, I eliminated these risks. I raised the A round, I achieved these milestones, and I eliminated these risks. Now I'm gonna raise a B round. Here are my milestones, here are my risks. And then by the time I go to raise a seed round, here's the state that I'll be in. And then you calibrate the amount of money that you raise to spend to the risks that you're pulling out of the business. And I go through all this, in a sense this sounds kind of obvious, but I go through all this because it's a systematic way to think about how the money gets raised and deployed. As compared to so much of what's happening, especially these days, which is just, my God, let me go raise as much money as I can. Let me go build the fancy offices, let me go hire as many people as I can, and just kind of hope for the best."

The Onion Theory of Risk by Marc Andreessen: "I think the single biggest thing entrepreneurs are missing, both on fundraising and how they run their companies, is the relationship between risk and cash. The relationship between risk and raising cash, and then the relationship between risk and spending cash. So I've always been a fan of something that Andy Ratcliffe taught me years ago, which he called the onion theory of risk. Um, which basically is, you can think about a startup like on day one, um, as having every conceivable kind of risk, right? And you can basically just make a list of the risks. And so you've got, you know, founding team risk. You know, do the founders, are the founders gonna be able to work together? Do you have the right founders? You're gonna have product risk. You know, can you build a product? You'll have technical risk, right? Which is maybe you need a machine learning breakthrough or something to make it work. Are you gonna be able to do that? Um, you'll have, you know, launch risk. Will the launch go well? You'll have, you know, market acceptance risk. You'll have revenue risk. A big risk you get into in a lot of businesses that have a sales force is, can you actually sell the product for enough money to actually pay for the cost of sale? So you have the cost of sale risk. If you're a consumer product, you'll have a viral growth risk. Well, you get the thing of viral growth. And so, a startup at the very beginning is basically just this long list of risks. And then the way that I always think about running a startup is also the way I think about raising money, which is it's a process of peeling away layers of risk as you go. And so you raise seed money in order to peel away the first two or three risks. The founding team risk, the product risk, and maybe the initial launch risk. You raise the A round to peel away the next level of product risk. Maybe you peel away some recruiting risk because you get your full engineering team built. Maybe you peel away some customer risk because you get your first five beta customers. And so basically the way to think about it is you're peeling away risk as you go. You're peeling away risk by achieving milestones. And then as you achieve milestones, you're both making progress in your business, and you're justifying raising more capital. And so you come in, and you pitch somebody like us, and you say you're raising a B round. The best way to do that with us is you say, okay, I raised a seed round, I achieved these milestones, I eliminated these risks. I raised the A round, I achieved these milestones, and I eliminated these risks. Now I'm gonna raise a B round. Here are my milestones, here are my risks. And then by the time I go to raise a seed round, here's the state that I'll be in. And then you calibrate the amount of money that you raise to spend to the risks that you're pulling out of the business. And I go through all this, in a sense this sounds kind of obvious, but I go through all this because it's a systematic way to think about how the money gets raised and deployed. As compared to so much of what's happening, especially these days, which is just, my God, let me go raise as much money as I can. Let me go build the fancy offices, let me go hire as many people as I can, and just kind of hope for the best."

Founder Mode

106,870 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

I'll tell it like it is: they're lying. Robots are getting better and better, and the goal now is not to support human labor, as suggested in the video, but in the long term they will replace human labor. In a market economy, profit is the only thing that counts, whether you like to criticize that or not. The fact is, however, that robots will be cheaper than human labor and will therefore be preferred. Moreover, robots are getting better and better, they will work longer hours than humans, are less prone to errors, do not fall ill and do not need vacations. They are superior to human labor.

I'll tell it like it is: they're lying. Robots are getting better and better, and the goal now is not to support human labor, as suggested in the video, but in the long term they will replace human labor. In a market economy, profit is the only thing that counts, whether you like to criticize that or not. The fact is, however, that robots will be cheaper than human labor and will therefore be preferred. Moreover, robots are getting better and better, they will work longer hours than humans, are less prone to errors, do not fall ill and do not need vacations. They are superior to human labor.

Chubby♨️

65,163 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

🚨 JUST IN: Matt Walsh says he wants the Right to work together and "DESTROY" leftist, anti-West ideology "If you're pushing that, then you're my ENEMY. You are my enemy, and I want to DESTROY your ideology. I want to destroy everything you stand for. That's what I want to do." 🔥 "But if you're against them, and that is to say you stand for American identity and for the sanctity of human life and the family and objective truth and reality, the church, faith - if you're on that side, then I consider you to be basically an ally, and we could disagree vehemently on a lot of other issues." "The divide, I think, ideologically in this country is so vast and so deep and so unbridgeable that we may as well be living in different universes. We may as well be aliens from different galaxies trying to live on a planet together, and it's just not working out. That's what it feels like." "For me, that's where the fight is. That's where I want the fight to remain." - Matt Walsh

🚨 JUST IN: Matt Walsh says he wants the Right to work together and "DESTROY" leftist, anti-West ideology "If you're pushing that, then you're my ENEMY. You are my enemy, and I want to DESTROY your ideology. I want to destroy everything you stand for. That's what I want to do." 🔥 "But if you're against them, and that is to say you stand for American identity and for the sanctity of human life and the family and objective truth and reality, the church, faith - if you're on that side, then I consider you to be basically an ally, and we could disagree vehemently on a lot of other issues." "The divide, I think, ideologically in this country is so vast and so deep and so unbridgeable that we may as well be living in different universes. We may as well be aliens from different galaxies trying to live on a planet together, and it's just not working out. That's what it feels like." "For me, that's where the fight is. That's where I want the fight to remain." - Matt Walsh

Eric Daugherty

129,223 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

Kurt Metzger EXPOSES The “Bloodline of Cain” Theory The “Bloodline of Cain” — a theory that’s been debated for years and tied to bigger questions about human nature and history. Whether you agree or not, it’s one of those topics that makes people stop and think Kurt Metzger

Kurt Metzger EXPOSES The “Bloodline of Cain” Theory The “Bloodline of Cain” — a theory that’s been debated for years and tied to bigger questions about human nature and history. Whether you agree or not, it’s one of those topics that makes people stop and think Kurt Metzger

Julian Dorey

74,897 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

If you do not educate your child, nature will educate your child. She's a mother, and her first priority is always to protect her babies. Even if you want to love them, she'll perceive that as a threat.

If you do not educate your child, nature will educate your child. She's a mother, and her first priority is always to protect her babies. Even if you want to love them, she'll perceive that as a threat.

The Figen

484,140 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Man and Woman are designed by nature to complement, not to compete with each other. As #Feminism seeks to invert nature, it is Anti-Human.

Man and Woman are designed by nature to complement, not to compete with each other. As #Feminism seeks to invert nature, it is Anti-Human.

M. Nageswara Rao IPS (Retired)

33,460 Aufrufe • vor 2 Jahren

SHOCKING? #Africa is not allowed to be developed and become a self-sufficient in #foodsecurity. Not even allowed to grow its own food. If you try, then you'll be sanctioned & labelled as dictator. Consequently, they'll cook "human rights & regime change" against you.

SHOCKING? #Africa is not allowed to be developed and become a self-sufficient in #foodsecurity. Not even allowed to grow its own food. If you try, then you'll be sanctioned & labelled as dictator. Consequently, they'll cook "human rights & regime change" against you.

ኤርትራ 🇪🇷 ERITREA

26,085 Aufrufe • vor 3 Jahren

.travis kalanick says building a company in stealth creates a culture of builders: "You build a culture of people that want to build and do not need to be famous when they do it, which basically means - emotional intelligence." It's human nature to want to be acknowledged for the things you do. You'd like the things you build to be seen and for somebody to know that you did it. When you cut against that core of human nature, you wind up with a very high EQ culture. "But - you have to go the extra mile to recruit, the extra mile in sales, etc."

.travis kalanick says building a company in stealth creates a culture of builders: "You build a culture of people that want to build and do not need to be famous when they do it, which basically means - emotional intelligence." It's human nature to want to be acknowledged for the things you do. You'd like the things you build to be seen and for somebody to know that you did it. When you cut against that core of human nature, you wind up with a very high EQ culture. "But - you have to go the extra mile to recruit, the extra mile in sales, etc."

TBPN

131,938 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

One of the most remarkable speeches by Pope Benedict XVI, delivered at the German Bundestag. “Yet I would like to underline a point that seems to me to be neglected, today as in the past: there is also an ecology of man. Man too has a nature that he must respect and that he cannot manipulate at will. Man is not merely self-creating freedom. Man does not create himself. He is intellect and will, but he is also nature, and his will is rightly ordered if he respects his nature, listens to it and accepts himself for who he is, as one who did not create himself. In this way, and in no other, is true human freedom fulfilled.”—Pope Benedict XVI

One of the most remarkable speeches by Pope Benedict XVI, delivered at the German Bundestag. “Yet I would like to underline a point that seems to me to be neglected, today as in the past: there is also an ecology of man. Man too has a nature that he must respect and that he cannot manipulate at will. Man is not merely self-creating freedom. Man does not create himself. He is intellect and will, but he is also nature, and his will is rightly ordered if he respects his nature, listens to it and accepts himself for who he is, as one who did not create himself. In this way, and in no other, is true human freedom fulfilled.”—Pope Benedict XVI

Coworkeroftruth

79,490 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

Historian Niall Ferguson: Despite risks, overthrowing the regime in Iran would be a positive step for Iranians, the region, and the world. “Is there a risk to toppling Khamenei? Yeah, there is. Is there a risk to leaving the guy in power and whoever succeeds him when he finally croaks? There’s a big risk to that. I would say, on balance, it’s a bigger risk to leave this regime in place. It’s just shown what it’s capable of.”

Historian Niall Ferguson: Despite risks, overthrowing the regime in Iran would be a positive step for Iranians, the region, and the world. “Is there a risk to toppling Khamenei? Yeah, there is. Is there a risk to leaving the guy in power and whoever succeeds him when he finally croaks? There’s a big risk to that. I would say, on balance, it’s a bigger risk to leave this regime in place. It’s just shown what it’s capable of.”

Conversations with Coleman

25,815 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

If Jesus is human and tempted as we are does that mean He inherited a sinful human nature? R.C. Sproul

If Jesus is human and tempted as we are does that mean He inherited a sinful human nature? R.C. Sproul

5 Solas

27,460 Aufrufe • vor 10 Monaten

Elon’s final closing remarks at the World Economic Forum. “Well I think generally, I think my last words would be… I would encourage everyone to be optimistic and excited about the future. And generally I think for quality of life, it is actually better to err on the side of being an optimistic and wrong, than be a pessimistic and right.” I 100% AGREE!!!

Elon’s final closing remarks at the World Economic Forum. “Well I think generally, I think my last words would be… I would encourage everyone to be optimistic and excited about the future. And generally I think for quality of life, it is actually better to err on the side of being an optimistic and wrong, than be a pessimistic and right.” I 100% AGREE!!!

Teslaconomics

91,916 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

“I think structurally the biggest beneficiary of a rate cut are probably going to be these preferreds on MicroStrategy.” - Jeff Park (Jeff Park) Michael Saylor has these preferreds in a position to consume capital as the rates lower and the spread on the yield widens. The fundamentals are impossible to ignore. BTC risk is mispriced and bitcoin treasury companies are going to be benefit from that. Listen to Anthony Pompliano 🌪 and Jeff talk about the BTCTC marketplace.

“I think structurally the biggest beneficiary of a rate cut are probably going to be these preferreds on MicroStrategy.” - Jeff Park (Jeff Park) Michael Saylor has these preferreds in a position to consume capital as the rates lower and the spread on the yield widens. The fundamentals are impossible to ignore. BTC risk is mispriced and bitcoin treasury companies are going to be benefit from that. Listen to Anthony Pompliano 🌪 and Jeff talk about the BTCTC marketplace.

J64

156,357 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten