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🚨JP MORGAN WANTS TO DESTORY MSTR?!?!?!?!🫣 - Current risks facing MSTR..? - MSCI review on Bitcoin Treasury Co's..? - JP Morgan's attack plan & hidden next steps..? Let's discuss:

53,795 Aufrufe • vor 10 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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Strategy $MSTR is one of the most misunderstood stocks in the market. And Robin Seyr believes it could eventually become the most valuable company in the world. In our latest conversation, we went deep into: → Why $MSTR could massively outperform Bitcoin in the next bull market → Strategy selling Bitcoin to support $STRC → The rapidly growing $4.65B USD reserve → Why $STRC could return to par → Strategy vs. Strive $ASST & Metaplanet $MPJPY $MTPLF → The hidden custody risks of Bitcoin treasury companies → The Coldcard incident & the future of self-custody → The risk of Bitcoin rehypothecation → And Robin's extraordinary long-term 200–300x $MSTR thesis Robin went from dismissing Strategy entirely to believing it may be the biggest investment opportunity he's ever seen. This was a fun one. 00:00 From Tesla to Bitcoin — Robin’s Investment Journey 07:31 Why Robin Is So Bullish on Strategy (MSTR) 14:36 Could 2026 Be Strategy’s Best Bitcoin Accumulation Year Ever? 21:24 Why $STRC Will Return to $100 25:30 Why Is $MSTR So Cheap Right Now? 34:01 Strategy’s $4.65B Cash Reserve — Is It Too Big? 39:50 Would Robin Buy Strategy Preferred Stock? 44:49 Strategy vs. Strive, Metaplanet & Other Bitcoin Treasuries 53:27 The Coldcard Incident Changed Bitcoin Self-Custody 59:09 The Biggest Risks When Investing in Strategy (MSTR) 01:04:33 Is Bitcoin Rehypothecation a Real Risk for Strategy? 01:12:08 The 200–300x Long-Term Strategy Thesis 01:14:40 Robin’s Most Important Advice for Bitcoin Investors 01:15:59 Where to Follow Robin Seyr Full episode 👇

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Most people still think Metaplanet $MPJPY $MTPLF is just "Japan's" $MSTR. They're missing the bigger picture. Metaplanet isn't copying Strategy. It's building a global Bitcoin capital machine that could become impossible to compete with. In this conversation with THE BITCOIN PHARAOH, we discuss: • Why Metaplanet's strategy is fundamentally different • The hidden advantage of operating in Japan • What $STRC and $SATA taught every Bitcoin treasury • Why cash-flow businesses may be the next evolution of Bitcoin treasury companies • Why Strive $ASST is emerging as a serious contender • What Metaplanet could become in a Bitcoin standard 00:00 Introduction: The BTCPharaoh's Bitcoin Journey 07:09 Why Metaplanet Is Different From Every Other Bitcoin Treasury 11:03 Mercury & Mars: The Next Bitcoin Financial Products? 11:52 What Metaplanet Learned From Strategy's STRC Depeg 15:26 Will Bitcoin Preferred Shares Become Truly Stable? 19:05 Is Metaplanet About to Launch a U.S. Preferred Stock? 20:57 Why Japan Gives Metaplanet a Massive Advantage 22:47 The "Double Carry Trade" That Could Supercharge Bitcoin Buying 26:34 Why Metaplanet Isn't Just Copying Strategy 29:39 Simon Gerovich's Long-Term Vision Is Finally Making Sense 30:12 Will Metaplanet Build Bitcoin Infrastructure Beyond Finance? 32:27 Why the New Board Members Could Change Everything 34:08 Why Less Communication Might Actually Be Bullish 37:56 The One Question He Would Ask Simon Gerovich 39:45 Is NAKA a Hidden Opportunity... or a Value Trap? 45:01 The Most Underrated Bitcoin Treasury Company Right Now 47:55 Europe Could Be the Next Bitcoin Treasury Battleground 48:40 Bitcoin Price Outlook: Bull Market or Bear Market? 50:55 The Biggest Mistake Bitcoin Investors Keep Making 52:19 Where to Follow TheBTCPharaoh Watch the full episode 👇

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$MSTR MicroStrategy: A Pyramid Scheme Lying To Investors? (Part 2) As of 9/30/2024, MSTR had 252,220 BTC on their balance sheet and 235,100,000 shares outstanding. ➡️This equates to .0010728 BTC /share. On November 20th, MSTR decided to raise $2.6B via convertibles, which is enough money to buy 25,490 new Bitcoin. For the convertible, the conversion price was set at $672.40 and the conversion ratio was set at 1.48. This means upon conversion, 3,866,720 new shares will be issued and outstanding. ➡️With full purchasing power, these investors should be entitled to 3,866,720/25,490=.0065922 BTC /share, as this was their contribution to the balance sheet. ➡️However, following the deal, the "New MicroStrategy" now has 277,710 Bitcoin on their balance sheet and 238,866,720 shares outstanding, which equates to just .0011621 BTC /share (a far cry from what they're entitled). ➡️These investors took a loss up front on their purchasing power (down to .0011621 BTC /share) because of "intelligent leverage," or the thought that more capital would come in after them and prop their own BTC /share up. After all, the holders of MSTR stock on 9/30/2024 saw an 8.32% increase in their BTC /share as a result of this financing round. Now, let's say MicroStrategy repeats this financing round. $2.6B in convertible debt that converts into 3,866,720 shares. ➡️Skipping the math, (for the same amount of financing) shareholders only saw a 7.44% increase in their BTC /share this time, which now sits at .0012486. ➡️This demonstrates that MSTR needs larger and larger financing rounds (endless funding) to prop up BTC /share, or their financing deals will keep making a smaller and smaller impact and investors will never reach the BTC /share that they're entitled to. 💥For exposure to MSTR's Bitcoin to be worth it, you need your BTC /share to rise from the current .0012486 to .0065922 (a 427.96% increase) or higher. Otherwise, you'd be better off buying your own Bitcoin because you'd own more if it in your pocket than you would in MSTR's balance sheet. Bull or bear market, there are better options for Bitcoin exposure right now. If any $MSTR bull wants to have a civil discussion about this, I'm open to it. I'm open to new thoughts or being proven wrong. But, I'm tired of the power trips and people degrading me as a human simply because I have an alternative thesis to theirs. My DMs are open.

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64,239 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Bitcoin treasury companies are evolving FAST. In this conversation with Joe Burnett, MSBA, we discussed: • Why digital credit $STRC $SATA could be Bitcoin’s next major catalyst • How Strive $ASST is becoming one of Bitcoin’s most important treasury companies • Michael Saylor’s latest move with Strategy $MSTR • Why altcoins may struggle going forward • The rise of “amplified Bitcoin” • How Bitcoin-backed yield products could reshape Wall Street • Why Bitcoin could eventually reach $1.6M One of the biggest takeaways: Bitcoin is no longer just an asset: an entire financial system is being built on top of it. This feels a lot like Bitcoin in 2015… most people still don’t understand what’s coming. 00:00 Joe Burnett's Journey into Bitcoin 06:42 What Joe Burnett Actually Does at Strive 07:53 Why Strive Is Moving Faster Than Every Other Bitcoin Treasury Company 13:09 Strategy’s Shocking New Bitcoin Selling Plan Explained 19:06 The Most Important Takeaway from Strategy’s Earnings Call 25:18 Why Altcoins May Never Recover Against Bitcoin 28:11 Why Debt Is Dangerous for Bitcoin Treasury Companies 30:43 “The World Will Change This Week” — What Is Strive Building? 31:44 Strive’s New Digital Credit ETF Explained 34:31 Joe Burnett Reacts to Jeff Walton vs Coffeezilla 39:07 The Insurance Analogy That Changed the Debate 43:07 Which Bitcoin Treasury Companies Actually Matter? 47:58 Will Digital Credit Replace the 60/40 Portfolio? 52:17 Could Digital Credit Dividend Rates Stay High Forever? 57:58 Why Joe Thinks Bitcoin Is Entering a Historic New Era Full episode 👇

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🇨🇭 A Swiss Bitcoin Treasury built with Adam Back is about to attack 600 BILLION in zero-yield Swiss fixed income. "Bitcoin treasuries are the release valve of the fiat Ponzi" -Richard Byworth ∞/21M 📺Full interview: The Chairman of Future & ex-Nomura trader reveals why Switzerland is the PERFECT market for Bitcoin credit: THE SETUP: Swiss 10-year government bonds: 12 basis points Swiss National Bank: Zero rates (going negative again) 600B seeking yield in Swiss francs Future can offer 3-5% Bitcoin-backed credit. "Imagine locking up money for 10 years to get 12 basis points. It's insanity." BREAKTHROUGH FRAMEWORK: "A Bitcoin treasury is a hedge fund sitting on top of an ETF" This is THE analogy that makes traditional finance understand. Richard spent 3 hours at dinner with Adam Back that led to founding & designing products for Future. Now they're launching with a team / board including: Adam Back, co-founder Julian Liniger, CEO of Relai 🇨🇭 Sebastien Hess , serial entrepreneur Vijay Selvam , Attorney, Author, ex-Goldman Teana Baker-Taylor , founder, @SYZCAP , Hedge Fund Partner at Syz Capital Ex-Citadel credit traders CONTROVERSIAL TAKE: "If you can buy Bitcoin at a 20% discount, you should SELL Bitcoin to buy back your shares" H100 trading at 20% below NAV? That's buying Bitcoin at a discount. Religious zealotry around "never sell" is killing shareholder value. He breaks down: ✅ Why Saylor's €620M Stream IPO was genius (waking up institutional Europe) ✅ Metaplanet's put underwriting strategy (generate free Bitcoin premium) ✅ Why family offices understand Bitcoin better than hedge funds ✅ The coming JP Morgan rebellion against treasury companies Best line: "You would never lend money at zero in a real market. The market is being manipulated." Switzerland has negative rates coming. Future is positioned to capture the wave. Follow: Richard Byworth ∞/21M Future: Future STAY ORANGE 🟠

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24,043 Aufrufe • vor 10 Monaten

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25,422 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

Michael Saylor just went on CNBC and said that if Bitcoin drops 90%, he'll simply "refinance the debt" and "roll it forward." This guy is a desperate fraud who has NO CLUE what he's talking about. Let's actually look at what "rolling it forward" means in reality: Strategy holds 714,644 Bitcoin purchased at an average cost of $76,056 per coin. Total acquisition cost: $54.35 billion. Bitcoin is trading around $68,000. Already below their cost basis. The company carries over $8 billion in debt. 100% of its convertible notes are now out of the money. Now imagine Saylor's own scenario. Bitcoin drops 90%. That takes it to roughly $6,800. Strategy's 714,644 Bitcoin would be worth approximately $4.9 billion. Against $8 billion in debt. The assets don't cover the liabilities. Period. And he thinks banks are going to refinance that? On what collateral? On what cash flow? Because Strategy's operating cash flow was negative $138 million in 2025. Down from negative $53 million the year before. The trajectory is going the wrong direction. When asked: "You think banks would lend to you at that point?" Saylor just laughed it off. But here's who's not laughing: 11 state pension funds that bought MSTR as a "regulated proxy" for Bitcoin exposure. CalPERS. New York State. Florida. Wisconsin. New Jersey. Teachers. Firefighters. Police officers. Together they hold 1.8 million shares. Their original investment: $577 million. Current value: $240 million. That's $337 million in paper losses. Most funds are down 60%. CalPERS, the largest public pension fund in the country, bought 448,000 shares for $144 million. That position has been cut nearly in half. These aren't hedge fund cowboys who can stomach a drawdown. These are retirement systems with fiduciary obligations to millions of public workers. Meanwhile $MSTR has fallen from $543 to roughly $123. Down 77% from its all-time high. Saylor says he'll buy Bitcoin "every quarter forever" and will never sell. But that's not how debt works. You don't get to choose when your creditors come calling. You don't get to "roll forward" $8 billion in debt when your only asset has collapsed and your operating business generates negative cash flow. The people who say "we'll just refinance" are always the ones who can't. The question isn't whether Saylor believes in Bitcoin. The question is whether pension funds managing trillions in retirement savings should be exposed to a leveraged single-asset bet run by a man who laughs off a 90% drawdown scenario on national tv. Teachers. Firefighters. State employees. Their retirement savings are sitting inside a company that just posted a $12.4 billion loss and whose chairman's contingency plan is "we'll figure it out." That's STUPID. And the people who'll pay the price aren't on CNBC. They're counting on those pensions to be there when they retire.

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136,473 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

BITCOIN RAILS #59: Post-Quantum Bitcoin Signatures (+ their tradeoffs) | with BIP 360 co-author Ethan ✨ is on BlueSky✨ Heilman 🐱 and Blockstream Head of Research Jonas Nick 🔗 YOUTUBE: 🌿 SPOTIFY: According to BIP 360 co-author Ethan Heilman, Bitcoin needs a minimum of two soft forks to become quantum resistant: P2MR (or an output type that can safely execute PQ signatures) + a post-quantum checksig (signature scheme). Ethan and the BIP 360 team (including myself and Hunter Beast 🕯️) introduced the P2MR part via a BIP 360 update late last year—but the question remains, what’s the most appropriate PQ signature scheme for Bitcoin? They all have substantive tradeoffs, but hash-based signatures seem to be leading technical discourse—likely due to recent optimizations by Jonas Nick and the broader Blockstream research team. It was an honor to sit down with both of these men - arguably the two most influential and productive cryptographers in Bitcoin quantum mitigation right now - for an in-depth review of the leading PQ signature schemes and a temperature check on Bitcoin’s post-quantum planning process. TBH, if you want to skip the noise and jump straight to the signal on quantum, this is the interview to watch. In this episode, we discuss: - What needs to happen at the soft fork, infra, and mitigation levels to fully quantum-harden Bitcoin - Recent updates to BIP 360 + breakdown of the leading hash-based signatures schemes for Bitcoin (SHRINCS + SHRIMPS) - Why we may actually get consensus around a stateful scheme for Bitcoin - Comparisons of hash-based signatures vs Lattice and Isogeny-based schemes - Assessing the risks of both waiting too long and acting too fast (and why quantum is a better threat to be facing than a potential classical attack) This episode of Bitcoin Rails is brought to you by my NEW sponsors: - LayerTwo Labs LayerTwo Labs — developing research, software, and technologies for scaling Bitcoin via the integration of Drivechains (BIP 300/301) - Hashi on Sui — a primitive for executing Bitcoin Defi transactions, without having to trust a federated bridge or other centralized entity - BitBox BitBox — an open-source Bitcoin-only hardware wallet, with smooth UX and no compromises on security. Check out Bitbox [dot] swiss and use code BITCOINRAILS to get a discount TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 02:18 Ethan’s Quantum Wakeup 05:18 How Blockstream Enters Post Quantum 09:25 BIP 360 Explained 12:11 How Bitcoin Transitions to PQ 17:35 Choosing Post Quantum Signatures 23:20 How Blockstream Created SHRINCS 27:22 Signature Budgets Importance Explained 41:13 What are SHRIMPS? 44:51 SHRIMPS vs SHRINCS 47:48 Why SLH-DSA Alone Won’t Cut It 49:24 Is a SHRIMPS + SHRINCS BIP Coming? 51:51 Blockstream’s Big Plans for Liquid 59:04 Quantum Readiness Roadmap 01:02:22 Importance of a PQ Recovery Plan 01:05:35 How Long Would a PQ Migration Take 01:11:17 Quantum Watchlist Recommendations

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24,109 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten