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Just read a neat AI paper called SAMURAI -- it takes SAM 2 (Meta's "segment anything" model) and makes it way better at tracking objects in videos. Basic problem is SAM 2 gets confused when things move fast or there's a crowd of similar objects (big problem for VFX... and video intelligence alike). The fix? They basically gave it a sense of motion and smarter memory selection using our old friend the Kalman filter -- helps it remember where things were going instead of just where they are. No retraining needed and runs in realtime. Elegant solution that matches (and even beats!) a lot of purpose built tracking systems. Nice example of how sometimes you don't need fancy new architectures -- just smart ways to use what the model already knows, plus some tried & tested classical methods. Every time someone's like "we solved tracking!" I check the methods section and... yep, there's our boy Kalman, still crushing it after all these years. Sometimes the old school stuff just works.show more

Bilawal Sidhu

102,203 subscribers

47,246 次观看 • 1 年前 •via X (Twitter)

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9 条评论

Bilawal Sidhu 的头像

Bilawal Sidhu1 年前

Project/paper here: If y'all enjoyed this post, you might also enjoy my writing on all things spatial ai and creative tech:

Min Choi 的头像

Min Choi1 年前

This is genius. I'm playing with SAM 2 and this was the exact limitation that I was running into for my use

Bilawal Sidhu 的头像

Bilawal Sidhu1 年前

Same! @BlacePlugins ya'll need to implement this paper for your after effects SAM 2 plugin

Kishen Patel 的头像

Kishen Patel1 年前

very cool! there’s definitely something satisfying when intuitive ways of solving ML problems work. like kalman filter to track noisy movement just makes sense - basically a signal processing problem. another might be SSMs for modeling a differential system.

Bilawal Sidhu 的头像

Bilawal Sidhu1 年前

Totally — sometimes the best solutions come from recognizing when an ML problem is actually a classical problem in disguise!

subnet Sam 的头像

subnet Sam1 年前

wow this is incredibly cool! i woudl use this for non nefarious purposes

Bilawal Sidhu 的头像

Bilawal Sidhu1 年前

Lol. VFX and surveillance about to get a nice boost 😂

Maskai 的头像

Maskai1 年前

Very interesting 🧐

Wit Of Gold 的头像

Wit Of Gold1 年前

Impressive

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Today marks the six month anniversary of Pete's death. It feels like forever ago and it feels like yesterday. Time ticks by and we know there's a lot of uncertainty about what the future will hold. Many things are out of our control, but you know what isn't? Our actions. We - all of us - get to wake up each morning and decide how we're going to spend the day. We get to decide how we react to things. Choose to help Ukraine. There's a lot of noise online. Drown it out, stay focused. There are lives that rely on the fundraising done by ordinary people like us - like you. And if you get tired and wonder if it's worth the effort, just remember: Even if just one life is saved, it was all worth it. Even if just one soldier gets to return home because of your efforts, it was worth it. Razom do peremohy

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76,478 次观看 • 1 年前

Important reality check from WashPost's Josh Rogin about the age/condition of govt planes during after AF1 had electrical issues and turned around instead of continuing its flight to Davos.... "Over the course of 20 years of traveling on government aircraft, this happens all the time. You know, it's a really old fleet and there's a constant state of disrepair. It's much more rare for Air Force One than it is for like the planes that the vice president and the secretary of defense, the secretary of state, might fly on. But these things happen, and it's because the planes are very, very old. And so, I think the fact that they caught it early and they turned back, it shouldn't really be a big problem. But it is kind of shocking to people who don't know, but it's kind of an open secret amongst the reporters who travel with senior officials that the U.S. fleet is very old and the planes are not in good condition, and that doesn't justify taking a plane from Qatar for free or anything like that. But it's just kind of a thing that everybody knows that these are really old planes and they malfunction all the time. So, they caught it. They're going to go back, they're going to get on a couple other planes. They'll be a little late. It'll probably be okay, and they'll fix the plane. But these things happen because the U.S. government fleet is very, very old and these planes are very, very old."

Important reality check from WashPost's Josh Rogin about the age/condition of govt planes during after AF1 had electrical issues and turned around instead of continuing its flight to Davos.... "Over the course of 20 years of traveling on government aircraft, this happens all the time. You know, it's a really old fleet and there's a constant state of disrepair. It's much more rare for Air Force One than it is for like the planes that the vice president and the secretary of defense, the secretary of state, might fly on. But these things happen, and it's because the planes are very, very old. And so, I think the fact that they caught it early and they turned back, it shouldn't really be a big problem. But it is kind of shocking to people who don't know, but it's kind of an open secret amongst the reporters who travel with senior officials that the U.S. fleet is very old and the planes are not in good condition, and that doesn't justify taking a plane from Qatar for free or anything like that. But it's just kind of a thing that everybody knows that these are really old planes and they malfunction all the time. So, they caught it. They're going to go back, they're going to get on a couple other planes. They'll be a little late. It'll probably be okay, and they'll fix the plane. But these things happen because the U.S. government fleet is very, very old and these planes are very, very old."

Curtis Houck

47,464 次观看 • 6 个月前

Interview from 5 months ago with “RA” the new UFO whistleblower Randy Anderson by Gerb Here he describes the sphere encounter and the possible consciousness connection and how his memories of the incident are strangely fuzzy Link to full interview in comments H/T wow RA - “Both the items they had under there, they said somehow interacted with consciousness and, and the way he said it, this is why it's so fuzzy, he said, I wouldn't quote these things 'cause I'm gonna try to just remember the, the, the context. And I, and I can again, like when I meditate and I think about this, I can usually get more back. But just, just like sitting here talking to you and remembering it, it's difficult sometimes. But I remember him saying, we don't understand quite how to operate the systems or how they, but they do interact with consciousness so certain and some people they interact with and some people they don't. So certain people will go up to the object and it will respond. And some people go up to the object and it does nothing. So certain types of, I don't know if that's related to DNA or to consciousness or what, whatever, but it's different. People will have a different response and they, they had us kind of walked closer to the, the window and nothing happened. So we didn't, I mean, I don't know if we got closer or something would've happened, but they, I don't know if they were even looking for that, but maybe, you know, that they, that's one thing he said that like certain people will go near the object and will react. And he didn't describe how it would react. He instead it would react,” RA - “There's a really weird component to this, and I don't know what this means, but when I think back to this particular memory and, and this never happens to me in any other thing, I, I get real fuzzy. It gets real fuzzy, like, like almost like something was purposely done to to, to make it that way. Because I have a very photographic memory and things I've done in the military. Like I can tell you the color of the buttons on a shirt of a guy that I sniped from, you know, 800 feet, 800 meters away. So I mean, I, there's for me to not remember this is really bothers me, but there's, there's some cloudiness when I try to access this part of my brain, you know, I can definitely, maybe it's, it could definitely be the, the objects itself that had, and it felt this, this is why it's difficult because it obviously, it felt weird being down there. Okay. There's, there's something like, there was just, it is an unnatural feeling we're doing. It felt like we were doing something that wasn't normal. I mean, the fact that we were so deep underground, me and the dude were kind of freaked out and, and, but we didn't display that outwardly because we're trained to not do that, you know? But internally, yeah, I was like, what the hell is going on? And when they talk about optimal stuff, they didn't say it like, by the way, aliens are real like you or anything like of that sort. It was just, oh yeah, this is the off world technology division, this is Chuck, this is whatever. And just started talking like everything was normal and we just went along with it because we acted like it was normal, but the first time I'd ever been exposed to it and it, it was a lot to take in. So that could be part of it too.”

Interview from 5 months ago with “RA” the new UFO whistleblower Randy Anderson by Gerb Here he describes the sphere encounter and the possible consciousness connection and how his memories of the incident are strangely fuzzy Link to full interview in comments H/T wow RA - “Both the items they had under there, they said somehow interacted with consciousness and, and the way he said it, this is why it's so fuzzy, he said, I wouldn't quote these things 'cause I'm gonna try to just remember the, the, the context. And I, and I can again, like when I meditate and I think about this, I can usually get more back. But just, just like sitting here talking to you and remembering it, it's difficult sometimes. But I remember him saying, we don't understand quite how to operate the systems or how they, but they do interact with consciousness so certain and some people they interact with and some people they don't. So certain people will go up to the object and it will respond. And some people go up to the object and it does nothing. So certain types of, I don't know if that's related to DNA or to consciousness or what, whatever, but it's different. People will have a different response and they, they had us kind of walked closer to the, the window and nothing happened. So we didn't, I mean, I don't know if we got closer or something would've happened, but they, I don't know if they were even looking for that, but maybe, you know, that they, that's one thing he said that like certain people will go near the object and will react. And he didn't describe how it would react. He instead it would react,” RA - “There's a really weird component to this, and I don't know what this means, but when I think back to this particular memory and, and this never happens to me in any other thing, I, I get real fuzzy. It gets real fuzzy, like, like almost like something was purposely done to to, to make it that way. Because I have a very photographic memory and things I've done in the military. Like I can tell you the color of the buttons on a shirt of a guy that I sniped from, you know, 800 feet, 800 meters away. So I mean, I, there's for me to not remember this is really bothers me, but there's, there's some cloudiness when I try to access this part of my brain, you know, I can definitely, maybe it's, it could definitely be the, the objects itself that had, and it felt this, this is why it's difficult because it obviously, it felt weird being down there. Okay. There's, there's something like, there was just, it is an unnatural feeling we're doing. It felt like we were doing something that wasn't normal. I mean, the fact that we were so deep underground, me and the dude were kind of freaked out and, and, but we didn't display that outwardly because we're trained to not do that, you know? But internally, yeah, I was like, what the hell is going on? And when they talk about optimal stuff, they didn't say it like, by the way, aliens are real like you or anything like of that sort. It was just, oh yeah, this is the off world technology division, this is Chuck, this is whatever. And just started talking like everything was normal and we just went along with it because we acted like it was normal, but the first time I'd ever been exposed to it and it, it was a lot to take in. So that could be part of it too.”

neandrewthal

41,422 次观看 • 1 年前

From Eric Vishria on how the top AI founders are building products completely opposite of the SaaS era: "One of the things that is really different in the AI world versus the SaaS world, is that in the SaaS world, over and over again, you had people who really understood the customer. And the problem. And then they understood a domain. They understood what the technology was more or less capable of. But it wasn't a real question of if you could build something or not. For example, take Salesforce, Workday, and ServiceNow. CRM existed before Salesforce. HR management existed before Workday. Same thing with ServiceNow. So in every case, Salesforce followed Siebel. Workday followed Peoplesoft. ServiceNow followed Peregrine and Remedy, and others. So they were just kind of, cloud SaaS versions of the prior generation product. They just understood the customers. They understood the problem. And they were just like, here's a better version. And that evolved a little bit over time in SaaS land. But that's what it is. And so product development in that way was done by people who really understood the customer and the problems. And then just took advantage of the next wave. And this is almost diametrically opposite of product development in the AI era. When I look at the teams that are having the most success today, they have intimate knowledge of the models. They are right on the frontier of understanding which models are better at what, and why, and when. And what they're going to be good at and what they're not going to be good at. And what they're spending their time on, is figuring out how do I apply this capability of this model to this domain or to this user. So they're actually working inside out or technology out, versus customer problem in. And of course, they understand the customer problem. And a lot of times they have firsthand knowledge of it. But they're really close to the metal and capability, and they're applying it. And I think this is a really different way to develop products than in SaaS. I started my career as a product manager a long time ago, and it's almost the complete opposite of everything you learned. "Listen to the customer, understand it, then bring it back to the engineering and product teams." If you did that right now, ask a bunch of customers what they want out of AI, and you brought it back, for the most part, it may not be possible today with today's technology. Whereas the teams that are winning right now really understand the technology and are applying it out. And so I think this reversal matters. I think it's a big difference in terms of how companies are getting built. And maybe even the types of entrepreneurs that will be successful. I'm not sure. You're seeing some real change there. Look at the Bret Taylor's at Sierra. That's a super, super technical founder who really gets it. Brett and Clay really get it. You look at Michael and his co-founders at Cursor. They're super technical founders and they get it. They all really understand what these things can and can't do. And that's a pretty different dynamic relative to the way the best SaaS companies got built." Link in bio for the full conversation going deep on the current class of startups going from zero to $100m+ in ARR within 12 months.

From Eric Vishria on how the top AI founders are building products completely opposite of the SaaS era: "One of the things that is really different in the AI world versus the SaaS world, is that in the SaaS world, over and over again, you had people who really understood the customer. And the problem. And then they understood a domain. They understood what the technology was more or less capable of. But it wasn't a real question of if you could build something or not. For example, take Salesforce, Workday, and ServiceNow. CRM existed before Salesforce. HR management existed before Workday. Same thing with ServiceNow. So in every case, Salesforce followed Siebel. Workday followed Peoplesoft. ServiceNow followed Peregrine and Remedy, and others. So they were just kind of, cloud SaaS versions of the prior generation product. They just understood the customers. They understood the problem. And they were just like, here's a better version. And that evolved a little bit over time in SaaS land. But that's what it is. And so product development in that way was done by people who really understood the customer and the problems. And then just took advantage of the next wave. And this is almost diametrically opposite of product development in the AI era. When I look at the teams that are having the most success today, they have intimate knowledge of the models. They are right on the frontier of understanding which models are better at what, and why, and when. And what they're going to be good at and what they're not going to be good at. And what they're spending their time on, is figuring out how do I apply this capability of this model to this domain or to this user. So they're actually working inside out or technology out, versus customer problem in. And of course, they understand the customer problem. And a lot of times they have firsthand knowledge of it. But they're really close to the metal and capability, and they're applying it. And I think this is a really different way to develop products than in SaaS. I started my career as a product manager a long time ago, and it's almost the complete opposite of everything you learned. "Listen to the customer, understand it, then bring it back to the engineering and product teams." If you did that right now, ask a bunch of customers what they want out of AI, and you brought it back, for the most part, it may not be possible today with today's technology. Whereas the teams that are winning right now really understand the technology and are applying it out. And so I think this reversal matters. I think it's a big difference in terms of how companies are getting built. And maybe even the types of entrepreneurs that will be successful. I'm not sure. You're seeing some real change there. Look at the Bret Taylor's at Sierra. That's a super, super technical founder who really gets it. Brett and Clay really get it. You look at Michael and his co-founders at Cursor. They're super technical founders and they get it. They all really understand what these things can and can't do. And that's a pretty different dynamic relative to the way the best SaaS companies got built." Link in bio for the full conversation going deep on the current class of startups going from zero to $100m+ in ARR within 12 months.

The Peel

209,752 次观看 • 1 年前

.Marc Andreessen 🇺🇸 on why God models don't eat all AI usage: "There's one version of the world in which you have a small number of what we sometimes call God models... millions of processors, with billions or hundreds of billions or trillions of dollars of CapEx and training, investment behind it." "That's the equivalent of the world of search that we've been in for the last basically 20 years." "There's another scenario, what they sometimes call a race to the bottom, which is no, actually what happens is intelligence commoditizes." "The analogy there would be maybe what's happened in the microchip market... A really good one costs a few thousand dollars, there's companies like Arm that sell them for pennies. And you can put a microchip in anything, and it's super cheap, and everybody does it." "My guess basically is what we're about to see is something a lot like the microchip or the internet." "You'll be able to basically summon intelligence at some level into any application you need for basically very cheap or ultimately basically the same as free. And then you'll have the God models in the background when you need the super genius, but for most things, you don't actually need a super genius."

.Marc Andreessen 🇺🇸 on why God models don't eat all AI usage: "There's one version of the world in which you have a small number of what we sometimes call God models... millions of processors, with billions or hundreds of billions or trillions of dollars of CapEx and training, investment behind it." "That's the equivalent of the world of search that we've been in for the last basically 20 years." "There's another scenario, what they sometimes call a race to the bottom, which is no, actually what happens is intelligence commoditizes." "The analogy there would be maybe what's happened in the microchip market... A really good one costs a few thousand dollars, there's companies like Arm that sell them for pennies. And you can put a microchip in anything, and it's super cheap, and everybody does it." "My guess basically is what we're about to see is something a lot like the microchip or the internet." "You'll be able to basically summon intelligence at some level into any application you need for basically very cheap or ultimately basically the same as free. And then you'll have the God models in the background when you need the super genius, but for most things, you don't actually need a super genius."

a16z

104,395 次观看 • 1 个月前

"There's a tendency on our side (conservative) to just critique when things go wrong (in the City). Yes, crime is a problem. Yes, urban education needs to get better. But the best solution is to positively show what it would look like better." "If we want other states or cities to see the disparities is to go pick a piece of ground and just build a ton of stuff that's nice quality, beautiful and well run" "The best possible way to 'own the libs' would be to just build something awesome."

"There's a tendency on our side (conservative) to just critique when things go wrong (in the City). Yes, crime is a problem. Yes, urban education needs to get better. But the best solution is to positively show what it would look like better." "If we want other states or cities to see the disparities is to go pick a piece of ground and just build a ton of stuff that's nice quality, beautiful and well run" "The best possible way to 'own the libs' would be to just build something awesome."

Bobby Fijan

25,458 次观看 • 8 个月前

Palantir co-founder Joe Lonsdale reveals exact chain of events after 9/11 that made him and Peter Thiel realize they had to build Palantir "At PayPal we had to stop the Chinese and Russian mafia from stealing all of our money. So we got to know all the guys who were helping us arrest the bad guys, the Secret Service and the FBI. And right after this happened, it was 9/11" "These guys were spending billions of dollars on stuff that we thought didn't make any sense. They kept asking us for advice. They were confused about how to do things" "When you create a new department, people can't really fire people in government easily, so sometimes they'll have a lot of people they wanted to fire and then instead they just pushed them into the new department. So it was a bit of a mess" "It became really obvious to us that Silicon Valley, Google, PayPal, all these things were just way ahead technically of where the government was at that point" "The government was spending $38 billion a year gathering data, looking at the data, failing to stop the terrorists, but also abusing our civil liberties" "We said, there's actually a really important problem here to solve. I'd like to stop the bad guys from attacking us again. And I don't want everyone in the government seeing all of my data without any controls. That's crazy"

Palantir co-founder Joe Lonsdale reveals exact chain of events after 9/11 that made him and Peter Thiel realize they had to build Palantir "At PayPal we had to stop the Chinese and Russian mafia from stealing all of our money. So we got to know all the guys who were helping us arrest the bad guys, the Secret Service and the FBI. And right after this happened, it was 9/11" "These guys were spending billions of dollars on stuff that we thought didn't make any sense. They kept asking us for advice. They were confused about how to do things" "When you create a new department, people can't really fire people in government easily, so sometimes they'll have a lot of people they wanted to fire and then instead they just pushed them into the new department. So it was a bit of a mess" "It became really obvious to us that Silicon Valley, Google, PayPal, all these things were just way ahead technically of where the government was at that point" "The government was spending $38 billion a year gathering data, looking at the data, failing to stop the terrorists, but also abusing our civil liberties" "We said, there's actually a really important problem here to solve. I'd like to stop the bad guys from attacking us again. And I don't want everyone in the government seeing all of my data without any controls. That's crazy"

Jaynit

92,768 次观看 • 22 天前

How will we know if an AI take over is imminent? What are the warning signs? Connor Leahy: “Things will seem mostly normal, just… weird. Things will get weirder…and weirder… and then one day, we will just not be in control anymore. “There won't be a fight. There won't be a war. It won't be dramatic. It will just be that one day the machines are in control, and not us.” “The way I expect [AI take over] to feel is like, if you play chess against a grandmaster, it doesn’t feel like you're having a heroic battle against the Terminator…. it doesn’t feel like you're having this incredible back and forth, and then you lose... No, it feels more like you THINK you're playing well, you think everything is okay, and then suddenly… you lose… in one move, and you don't know why. This is what it feels like to play chess against a grandmaster, and this is what it's going to feel like for humanity to play against AGI. It won’t be some dramatic battle where the Terminators rise up and try to destroy humanity. No, it will be… things get more and more confusing. [Editor's note: Like Sam Altman, out of nowhere, raising up to 10% of world GDP?] More and more jobs get automated faster and faster... More and more technology gets built, which no one even quite knows how the technology works... There will be mass media movements that don't really make any sense... Like, do we really know the truth of what's going on in the world right now, even now with social media? Do you or I really know what's going on? How much of this is fake? How much of it is generated with AI or other methods? We don't know. And this will get much worse.” Imagine if you have extremely intelligent systems, much smarter than humans, that can generate any image, any video, anything, trying to manipulate you well...and being able to develop new technologies to interfere with politics.”

How will we know if an AI take over is imminent? What are the warning signs? Connor Leahy: “Things will seem mostly normal, just… weird. Things will get weirder…and weirder… and then one day, we will just not be in control anymore. “There won't be a fight. There won't be a war. It won't be dramatic. It will just be that one day the machines are in control, and not us.” “The way I expect [AI take over] to feel is like, if you play chess against a grandmaster, it doesn’t feel like you're having a heroic battle against the Terminator…. it doesn’t feel like you're having this incredible back and forth, and then you lose... No, it feels more like you THINK you're playing well, you think everything is okay, and then suddenly… you lose… in one move, and you don't know why. This is what it feels like to play chess against a grandmaster, and this is what it's going to feel like for humanity to play against AGI. It won’t be some dramatic battle where the Terminators rise up and try to destroy humanity. No, it will be… things get more and more confusing. [Editor's note: Like Sam Altman, out of nowhere, raising up to 10% of world GDP?] More and more jobs get automated faster and faster... More and more technology gets built, which no one even quite knows how the technology works... There will be mass media movements that don't really make any sense... Like, do we really know the truth of what's going on in the world right now, even now with social media? Do you or I really know what's going on? How much of this is fake? How much of it is generated with AI or other methods? We don't know. And this will get much worse.” Imagine if you have extremely intelligent systems, much smarter than humans, that can generate any image, any video, anything, trying to manipulate you well...and being able to develop new technologies to interfere with politics.”

AI Notkilleveryoneism Memes ⏸️

183,443 次观看 • 2 年前

Founders School is a new high school where tuition is $150k a year, but if students don't hit $1M in gross profit by graduation, they get their tuition back. Nat Eliason says AI will make this possible: "AI is the big thing that removes the bottleneck around why a 17-year-old can't build a million-dollar business." "You don't need to spend as long developing deep expertise in programming or software development because, certainly for a V1, you can prompt a lot of it." "You don't need to raise a ton of money for hiring, design, buildout, or any of these things. Because again, you can get an initial version going with AI." "So if you can just use AI to get started, and get your business going, you take out a lot of the capital requirements, a lot of the expertise build-up requirements, and it just shortens the timeline. It makes a lot more things possible for them."

Founders School is a new high school where tuition is $150k a year, but if students don't hit $1M in gross profit by graduation, they get their tuition back. Nat Eliason says AI will make this possible: "AI is the big thing that removes the bottleneck around why a 17-year-old can't build a million-dollar business." "You don't need to spend as long developing deep expertise in programming or software development because, certainly for a V1, you can prompt a lot of it." "You don't need to raise a ton of money for hiring, design, buildout, or any of these things. Because again, you can get an initial version going with AI." "So if you can just use AI to get started, and get your business going, you take out a lot of the capital requirements, a lot of the expertise build-up requirements, and it just shortens the timeline. It makes a lot more things possible for them."

TBPN

179,436 次观看 • 3 个月前