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Keralam Set for Change? JVC Exit Poll Projections | Total Seats: 140 LDF: 52–61 seats UDF: 72–84 seats NDA: 3–7 seats Watch as @Madhavgk and JVC Sreeram (Bulls Eye) decode what’s at stake for each party.

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A new poll has just dropped for Wales and it is fascinating. First Minister Eluned Morgan is expected to lose her seat while Reform have increased their vote share compared to previous polls. Plaid will be the largest party and, alongside the Greens, would command a majority in the Senedd. The Lib Dems would be totally wiped out under these results and the Welsh Tories would be down to just one MS. Let’s break down the details… This poll is by YouGov for ITV Wales in partnership with Cardiff University and has applied the latest MRP modelling to offer a predicted breakdown of how many seats each party will win in each of the 16 new constituencies. This is the breakdown of the vote percentage and how much it has changed compared to the last poll: Senedd voting intention: Plaid Cymru - 33 (-4) Reform UK - 27 (+4) Welsh Labour - 13 (+3) Wales Green Party - 12 (-1) Welsh Conservatives - 7 (-3) Welsh Liberal Democrats - 5 (n/c) What would this mean in terms of seats? In terms of the 96 seats in the Senedd these results would leave the new Welsh Parliament like this: Plaid Cymru - 43 seats Reform UK - 30 Welsh Labour - 12 Wales Green Party - 10 Welsh Conservatives - 1

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