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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Kharg Island reportedly hit for the first time since April, the red line Tehran named months ago, and the war may be back on... Brandon Weichert's verdict came out flat as the night unfolded: the war is back on the menu. Bandar Abbas, Sirik, Qeshm, then reports of...

280,539 views โ€ข 2 months ago โ€ขvia X (Twitter)

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The bridges Trump warned about for next week reportedly got hit tonight Per Tasnim, US strikes reportedly hit a key bridge around Bandar Abbas tonight, days after Axios reported Trump warning that next week brings the power plants and the bridges. While the two guests were still talking, an F-35 reportedly declared an inflight emergency over UAE airspace, and the WSJ reported Trump is leaning toward expanded operations, with Kharg Island ground options on the list. Jonathan Conricus, former IDF spokesman, argued the case for force: CENTCOM has planned the strait mission for decades, the targets that actually matter remain unstruck, and the West keeps crediting the regime with strength it lacks: "If the straits need to be opened, then they need to be opened by force." Brandon Weichert answered with arithmetic. Two Marine expeditionary units plus the 82nd Airborne against a tunneled coastline of anti ship missiles reads like Gallipoli to him, the Navy already keeps its distance, and by his count interceptor stocks drained fast in sea fighting the public never saw. His bottom line: the strategic loss already happened, and the exit runs through negotiation. Jonathan granted Washington never explained this war to its own public, and Brandon granted the escalation is coming regardless. The bridges outside Bandar Abbas were settling the question in real time. Two of the sharpest people on opposite sides of the same question. Brandon Weichert, Jonathan Conricus

Mario Nawfal

360,267 views โ€ข 2 months ago

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Washington named itself guardian of Hormuz and set a 20 PERCENT toll. The catch: the Navy may not have enough ships to collect it Brandon Weichert ran the enforcement math cold. A real blockade means sealing the waterway around the clock, then detaining every intercepted vessel while the cordon holds, and the fleet doesn't have the hulls. No European, Indian, or Japanese ships are volunteering. And the first time American guns open on a merchant hull, insurance markets and volatility start doing Tehran's work for free. The map kept widening as we spoke. Two Adnoc tankers took cruise missiles on the Omani side, one crew member reported killed, eight injured, while the IRGC broadcast live on the emergency channel that it was firing. Axios added the political bombshell: Trump gave MBS backing for military action against the Houthis before the Sana'a strike. Brandon's warning on that one was immediate: provoke the Houthis and they go after Saudi Arabia's Red Sea ports, the alternative to the alternative Riyadh spent the whole war building. His new Substack maps the next front: the Gulf of Aden, with forces staging toward Somaliland to suppress Yemen's missiles. The war, in his phrase, is expanding geometrically. And Iran's strategy, as he reads it, needs no invasion at all: their allies sit on every chokepoint, and they'll keep closing doors until the price of staying is a depression. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

317,336 views โ€ข 2 months ago

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท "There is no other deal." That's Prof. Mohammad Marandi's flat answer when asked if Iran might soften its demands under economic pressure. His starting point: the MOU Trump signed is the only deal on the table . And Iran says Washington has already violated nearly every article of it. Sanctions expanded instead of lifted. Frozen assets never returned. A U.S.-run corridor set up through the Strait in direct breach of the terms. Marandi's read: negotiating with this administration again isn't a strategy, it's a trap Iran already fell into once. He also shuts down the reporting Mario had flagged. That Iran's president signaled a softer line, wanting to "end the war while in a position of strength." Marandi says the clip was cut and spun by Persian-language outlets funded by the U.S., Israel, and Saudi Arabia. The real message, he insists, was about accepting the MOU as it stands, not caving. On the strikes against the UAE, Marandi denies Iran fired ballistic missiles at all . Only anti-ship missiles, he says, and Iranian missiles "don't fall into the sea." Whatever happened, he frames the UAE as strategically less important to Iran than it was even six months ago, since new trade corridors through Central Asia, Pakistan, Afghanistan, and the Caspian are maturing fast. Reducing Iran's dependence on Gulf ports altogether. His sharpest line, though, is about who holds the military advantage if this restarts. He points to footage released the same day: Iran's armed forces commander touring an underground missile factory that Israeli and US strikes never managed to touch. Missile and drone production, he says, is accelerating, while the U.S. Navy struggles to rebuild depleted stockpiles from scratch, on the other side of the planet. And on Turkey: no hedging at all. If Israel strikes Turkish forces, Marandi says Iran intervenes militarily. "No doubt." His closing frame reduces the entire war to one sentence: the wars in the region end, or the Strait doesn't open. Everything else, he says, is negotiable. That isn't. Seyed Mohammad Marandi

Mario Nawfal

366,247 views โ€ข 29 days ago

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Iran just struck a Himars battery in Kuwait, the first time since the ceasefire, and the U.S. answered with what's being described as 140 targets in a single wave. This isn't a skirmish anymore. Brandon Weichert, geopolitical analyst, joined me as the strikes pushed deeper into Iran than anything since the war paused, hitting Ahvaz airport and a heavy-water nuclear facility at Khondab for the first time in this round. His read: this isn't random escalation. It's a campaign to strip Iran of any ability to threaten the Strait of Hormuz, aimed at a scenario where a Marine expeditionary unit eventually seizes Kharg Island itself to physically control the chokepoint. "I don't think any of this is going to work, though, and I think it's going to get all of our troops either captured or killed." He doesn't think degrading Iran's capability makes the regime more compliant. He thinks it makes it more desperate, and a failed landing on Kharg could be the trigger that pushes the conflict toward nuclear escalation, not from Iran, but from an American president unwilling to absorb a defeat of that scale. Meanwhile Israel's gone quiet, reportedly stretched thin on interceptors and pulling back its own position in Lebanon rather than expanding it. If the objective really is a permanent grip on the Strait rather than a quick resolution, is this the kind of war that ends in months, or the kind that just becomes the new baseline for the region? Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

378,905 views โ€ข 2 months ago

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Iran's Foreign Ministry says Washington just breached Article 10 of the MOU, and the mystery deepening tonight: power outages hitting Bahrain AND Kuwait as the strikes roll on... The US wave continues into its second and third rounds, Sirik, Qeshm, Bandar Abbas, with officials telling reporters it could run for hours and is designed to punish, not to be proportionate. Larry Johnson's scorecard has Washington now in violation of clauses one, five, and TEN of a deal it signed three weeks ago, and Tehran's statement says exactly that, holding the US responsible for the consequences. Then the strangeness: both Gulf states that Iran traditionally answers through went partially dark at the same time, with no missile launches reported. Kuwait blamed transmission lines. Larry doesn't believe in coincidence, and reads it as possible sabotage or cyber, a retaliation that leaves no contrail. His larger warning was about timing. Fifteen MILLION people filled Tehran's streets, more than the population of most countries on Earth, with Najaf and Mashhad still ahead, and the crowds are chanting revenge. Striking into that, he argues, guarantees Iran skips the symbolic response, and Hezbollah may finally get the leash taken off. One more report landed tonight, from CNN: commanders allegedly bypassed warnings that targeting intelligence was a DECADE old before the Minab school strike that killed nearly 200, most of them children. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

Mario Nawfal

335,477 views โ€ข 2 months ago