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Luca bringing an Abstract game to Nintendo Switch?! "That's the alpha." Send it all higher, the whole lot. Luca Netz 🐧✳️ Pudgy Penguins

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craigscoinpurse

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29,804 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr •via X (Twitter)

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Pudgy makes $50M a year selling toys. So why did Luca build a whole blockchain? He already had Walmart, Target, 3,100 retail stores. TCG cards next to Pokemon on the shelf. He didn't need a chain to sell penguin plushies. So I looked at public company valuations. - Funko: $908M revenue. Trades at 0.6x. - Mattel: $5B revenue. Trades at 1.1x. - Hasbro: $4B revenue. Trades at 2.9x. Now look at tech platforms. - Roblox: trades at 4.2x revenue. - Spotify: trades at 4.1x revenue. Same $50M revenue, completely different valuation depending on what category investors put you in. $50M as a toy company = $30M valuation. $50M as a tech platform = $200M valuation. Luca said he wants to IPO by 2027. Told Decrypt he'd be "disappointed in himself" if it doesn't happen. Now ask yourself: would you IPO as a toy company at 0.6x? Or would you build a consumer chain, a global wallet, a gaming platform, and IPO as a tech company at 4x? He killed Pudgy Party (1M downloads) to focus everything on Abstract chain. Founders Fund put $11M into Abstract, not into toy manufacturing. Luca himself said "blockchain is the least interesting thing about the platform." He's not building Abstract because he loves decentralization. He's building it because the category you IPO in decides your price tag. I don't have insider info. This is just me connecting dots from public data. But the dots line up pretty clean. Not financial advice.
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Pudgy makes $50M a year selling toys. So why did Luca build a whole blockchain? He already had Walmart, Target, 3,100 retail stores. TCG cards next to Pokemon on the shelf. He didn't need a chain to sell penguin plushies. So I looked at public company valuations. - Funko: $908M revenue. Trades at 0.6x. - Mattel: $5B revenue. Trades at 1.1x. - Hasbro: $4B revenue. Trades at 2.9x. Now look at tech platforms. - Roblox: trades at 4.2x revenue. - Spotify: trades at 4.1x revenue. Same $50M revenue, completely different valuation depending on what category investors put you in. $50M as a toy company = $30M valuation. $50M as a tech platform = $200M valuation. Luca said he wants to IPO by 2027. Told Decrypt he'd be "disappointed in himself" if it doesn't happen. Now ask yourself: would you IPO as a toy company at 0.6x? Or would you build a consumer chain, a global wallet, a gaming platform, and IPO as a tech company at 4x? He killed Pudgy Party (1M downloads) to focus everything on Abstract chain. Founders Fund put $11M into Abstract, not into toy manufacturing. Luca himself said "blockchain is the least interesting thing about the platform." He's not building Abstract because he loves decentralization. He's building it because the category you IPO in decides your price tag. I don't have insider info. This is just me connecting dots from public data. But the dots line up pretty clean. Not financial advice.

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