.Martin Shkreli explains why he's both bearish on prediction markets...

Uploaded: 2026-01-21T18:15:21.000Z
Duration: PT116.958S
Channel: TBPN

2:53

Must-watch: Kai Brusch (Kai) Head of Data at Polymarket on strategies you can use to get good returns on Polymarket. "There are market making strategies. You can leverage a lot of interesting tools that are out there in the space to traditionally market make these markets. But I think that the most fun experience is actually just to trade on app on ours or on MetaMask app and just to express your own beliefs."

ascetic

65,710 views • 10 months ago

2:02

IF YOU TRADE PREDICTION MARKETS EVERY DAY you probably need a terminal instead of another prediction market app Predict Parity puts polymarket, polymarket us into one professional trading interface where you can search markets by category, volume, liquidity and odds. weather markets are a perfect example because i can scan the most liquid opportunities, save the markets i want to watch and trade without jumping between platforms. then i can do the same with traders by finding profitable weather wallets, bookmarking them and tracking their next moves. polymarket traders use one terminal for prediction markets, market discovery, trader tracking and execution. Parity is FREE to use and much cleaner than trading from a bunch of separate tabs. Enter to Parity only with invite access: Claim invite ➔

PolySuccubus

25,800 views • 1 month ago

0:44

I’ve seen a lot of “trading bots” that are basically just hype wrapped in a dashboard. PolyFill looks different. ( It connects to your Polymarket account, watches markets 24/7, processes a ton of live data, and executes only when the setup is there. More importantly, you can actually watch the bot activity alongside real Polymarket market action — which makes it a lot more interesting than the usual black-box claims. They also made the smart move of keeping paper trading free, so anyone can test it without risking real money first. Honestly, that’s how more products in this space should work. If you trade on Polymarket, this is one to keep an eye on.

Sparco DeFi

130,564 views • 4 months ago

0:50

What's Ansem's relationship with Bullpen? "Bullpen is my trading terminal that I'm the co-founder of, it's a frontend where you can trade Hyperliquid perps, Polymarket prediction markets and Solana on-chain" "Anything you want to trade in Crypto you can trade on Bullpen"

Bullpen

33,601 views • 2 months ago

0:34

Qullamaggie on To Make a Lot of Money, You Need to be in the Best Stocks “LVGO and FSLY are the two best stocks right now. I’m long those; this is why you focus on momentum leaders. You’re not going to get any big moves in this. Random stocks like ZNGA—someone mentioned it yesterday— and this GLUE and stuff like that. These are some random stocks that are just having breakouts. You need to focus on the momentum leaders that you really need to be in. If you want to make a lot of money, you need to be in the best stocks. You can’t trade these random pieces of sh*t stocks that you guys trade, or a lot of you, I know.”

Lone

15,828 views • 8 months ago

0:42

The whole industry is pivoting out of crypto right now "We saw Robinhood's crypto earnings down massively, but they replaced that with prediction markets and did well. Coinbase suffering because their volumes are down massively. Wintermute is beholden to the same trend, which is the depths of a bear market, apathy, very little trading volume, very little to market make" "They want to actually make money, so they're going to go to greener pastures where they can do so" "But just remember, our market makers are moving into other markets, our Bitcoin miners are becoming AI data centers, and our crypto exchanges are becoming everything apps focused more heavily on prediction markets than crypto volumes. That should show you everything you need to know about where we're at in the cycle right now"

The Wolf Of All Streets

49,371 views • 1 month ago

0:56

From the archive: Brian Armstrong on AI trading bots "We're going to get AI agents that can be your registered investment advisors." "Imagine you are in the Coinbase 🛡️ app and you tell them: I want to put in $10,000, go make me money." "It may make mistakes and there's a lot of details to figure out, but I think having a trading bot do a lot of that for you (is very cool)."

TBPN

66,252 views • 1 year ago

0:23

5 free GitHub bots for trading on Polymarket… 5 different strategies for 5 different trading situations. Each of these tools comes with a detailed step by step setup and usage guide in English: 1. This bot can automatically manage your limit orders to maximize liquidity rewards (useful for liquidity providers on Polymarket). GitHub: 2. The bot, which analyzes the real behavior of any Polymarket trader, finds repeated patterns in his trades, explains which strategies he uses and how you can actually adapt them to your own trading. GitHub: 3. A bot with 118+ ready to use strategies and tools for prediction markets, including Smart Money, Binance-Polymarket latency, Mean Reversion and more… The most interesting one is Polymarket - Kalshi Cross Arbitrage - it finds differences in prices between platforms and can manage trades automatically. GitHub: 4. A Chinese weather bot that analyzes multiple sources in real time, like forecasts, public airport data and aviation observations (METAR + SPECI) and then generates a detailed weather report for a specific city and day. GitHub: 5. This is a bot-toolkit that includes copy trading, arbitrage, market making, spread farming, whale alerts, sports trading and more… GitHub: Almost every tool here has a DRY RUN mode, so you can test them on real markets, but with fake funds.

Recogard

14,162 views • 4 months ago

0:37

This is Arbigab. The most advanced, off the shelf, profitable arbitrage trading bot for Polymarket & Kalshi. Built by senior developers and trading veterans, this software empowers beginners to capture their share of the market! To get the bot NOW or get more information, visit: Below is a live trading session using our rust trading engine for arbitrage on the BTC up/down 5 minutes market. It's a sample of 2 iterations. You can find this terminal on the website front page. It is connected to our production backend (with a 2 minutes delay).

Gabagool 22 Trading Bot

20,969 views • 6 months ago

0:32

Prediction markets have been going absolutely crazy over the last few weeks and I don't see that slowing down Prediction markets are platforms that you can bet on the outcome of future events Think politics, crypto, sports, really anything you could think of We have sites like Polymarket Kalshi MYRIAD & some others that are growing on a day to day basis If you enjoyed this type of content please like and share

BRODY

15,000 views • 1 year ago

35:23

A Chinese MIT professor explains how financial and prediction markets actually work. Everything you need to understand both. Most people lose money in markets not because they pick wrong - but because they dont understand the structure they're playing against. Who sets prices. How liquidity works. Why derivatives exist. How market makers profit from every trade regardless of direction. This lecture explains the actual mechanics. After it you'll see every Polymarket market differently - not as a bet, but as a pricing problem with a correct answer that the crowd hasn't found yet. That gap between the crowd's price and the correct price is where money gets made. One hour. Jake Xia. MIT. Bookmark this.

Atenov int.

25,654 views • 5 months ago

0:58

5.5 billion people on the internet. All of them use money. Lily Liu on the token supercycle. "What we're in the midst of right now is the token supercycle. Everything of value is becoming programmable." "Money, assets, ownership, and markets are always going to move towards the largest market, and that largest market is the internet capital market." "This is not just a market rally or a near-term narrative. It's a structural transformation of global capital markets."

Solana

136,272 views • 1 month ago

0:59

Chamath explains Warren Buffett’s secret to success: “Markets thrive when there's information asymmetry” “Now I'm gonna get a lot of people really upset with me.” “This is an example of Warren Buffet's returns pre- and post-Reg FD. Now what do you see?” “His returns were double the market returns when this kind of information sharing was legal.” “And the minute that it became illegal and you had to act on the same edge as everybody else, his returns went to the market return. He generated zero alpha. In fact, he probably, on the margins, lost a little bit.” “So this is the single best investor in the world. This is what happens when you have information symmetry.” “So it's just meant to explain that markets thrive when there's asymmetry. Billions and billions of dollars will be made in asymmetry.” “The prediction markets today, unless they are regulated out of existence or shut down, will look like the stock market pre-Reg FD, and there's nothing we can do except choose not to bet it, because otherwise what you're going to have are a ton of sharps taking advantage of a ton of squares.”

The All-In Podcast

393,305 views • 7 months ago

2:09

John: AI is actually doing very little for the economy right now. It's doing a lot for the markets, but in terms of the actual economic impact of AI, it's very low. If you add up the actual revenues from the AI labs, you're talking about $40 billion. Maybe there's like a 5x multiple on that, and so you're generating $200 billion of GDP on top of those tokens. But that's just not that much in the grand scheme of America's actual GDP. There's this disconnect between the market, which is pricing future GDP, future cash flows, future value creation. Then you have what is actually driving GDP, and then you have the actual workforce and what Americans do. What's actually holding up the American economy? It's healthcare jobs. The number of people that are software developers is less than 1% of America. The number of people that work at tech companies broadly is less than 10%.

TBPN

34,206 views • 7 months ago

1:04

Polymarket vs Sportsbooks: Why Betting Apps are Toast On E248, Chamath and Friedberg discussed why prediction markets like Polymarket are killing traditional sportsbooks. Friedberg: “I think gambling generally, as we call it, should be decriminalized.” “And I don't like this state-by-state set up with gambling.” “I think we should have a federal regulatory body.” “This is not going away. People love to bet on stuff. This is part of sports, this is part of the culture.” Chamath: “ Look at Polymarket.” “Polymarket raised at, whatever it was, $1-2B at $9B. Then the next weekend they announced sports betting and now they're raising money 30 days later at, allegedly, $12-15B.” “And you can see, by the way, the way that DraftKings and FanDuel stock have reacted to this, those companies are toast.” Friedberg: “ The Polymarket model is the best model because it creates a market.” “And so as information flows in, that market will dynamically adjust and everyone will get a more fair price.” “Polymarket actually has the news before the news does.” “And this is one of the most powerful outputs of Polymarket, is they're actually getting a read on what's going on in the world before the media recognizes it, before the public recognizes it.” “When you put money up, it actually turns out that when people have incentives, that market will find the truth.”

The All-In Podcast

348,251 views • 11 months ago

0:24

This is how real Polymarket empires are built. Everyone is still looking for that one Claude setup that will change their life. I keep thinking that vibe coding does nothing, and instead of wasting time, I build a real product. While you believe it’s impossible to trade arbitrage on five-minute markets, MANUAL CODE can do it. I have already connected data on: - Current Bitcoin price. - Live five-minute pool odds. - Real-time order book. In test mode, the results are already promising. I’m waiting for the next stages of validation, and then it can be launched as a bot with market-based calls. Should I publish this?

Raychi

42,128 views • 7 months ago

2:18

Chamath and Larry Summers Debate the Market Reaction to Trump's Tariffs Lawrence H. Summers: "If this is such a terrific thing, why do markets think it's so terrible for the American economy?" "Maybe the market's just completely wrong ... but the job of markets is to look forward." "It's to look passed the immediate." "It's to see what the long run consequences are going to be." "And markets are making a pretty devastatingly negative judgment on this step." Chamath Palihapitiya: " Larry, that's not true." " So let's just establish a couple facts about 'the markets.'" "Number one, there are two markets and they behave totally differently, and sometimes inversely to each other." "There's the stock market and there's the bond market." 1) Stocks: mean reversion "With respect to the stock market, what they are debating, and you're right Larry, is what is the effective long-term rate of return a dollar needs to generate in order to pay me back that dollar?" "That is what the fundamental stock market does." "And what we've seen for many years with trade imbalances, trade deficits, and close-to-zero interest rates, of which more of that happened under Democrats than Republicans, we have allowed the stock market to inflate past historical averages." " What we've actually seen happen in the last week is what most people would call mean reversion." "The stock market is still way above where it was last year, two years ago, three years ago." "What has happened is that the forward multiples have compressed. So that's number one. That's a fact." 2) Bonds: it's possible a major trade blew up "And then with respect to bonds, what we are seeing now is there are two very complicated issues." "In the last two days, we saw one part of the bond market totally get out of whack." "And what we know is that the yields changed materially in a very acute way, which is atypical of how the bond market typically digests a philosophical change in approach to policy." " What we heard in the last 24 hours is a lot of this move may have been attributed to an enormous levered bet on US treasuries by a Japanese hedge fund." " It will take three, and four, and five, and six weeks for us to really know." 3) Private credit: something to watch closely " Separately, what we do know, though, where the structural complexity of the market — and this is where, Larry, I agree with you — is acute and important to observe is in the credit markets for private companies." "And that is where you have to pay a lot of attention."

The All-In Podcast

98,290 views • 1 year ago

2:27

As prediction market betting becomes more prevalent in nearly every aspect of American culture, journalist and author David Hill says not everything needs to turn into a "betting proposition." "I don't think that it makes a lot of sense for us to want to turn every single proposition in American culture and life into a betting proposition," he told PBS News' Geoff Bennett. "But I do think there's clearly a market for it." Hill added that America needs to "reckon" with the rapid rise of prediction markets and put regulations around the industry to protect people and prevent "large-scale corruption." "There's real life-and-death stuff that's getting bet on that I think behooves the government to get involved and figure out how we can regulate what types of things people are allowed to, you know, predict," he said. "I think the notion that we're predicting is a little bit ridiculous. ... What people are essentially doing is gambling." Hill spoke to Geoff Bennett for the latest episode of PBS News' podcast, "Settle In," about America's love of betting and how prediction markets are changing the industry. For the full episode:

PBS News

11,154 views • 6 months ago

2:50

"He's a brilliant person." Martin Shkreli says there's no way it's over for Leopold, long-term. He got humbled by the market, but he'll be back. "A lot of people respect him quite a lot, no matter how this turned out." "I don't think it's the end, at all. And I hope he's keeping an even temperament about this." "He'll be back, and successful." "The market tends to humble you. And this is an extremely humbling moment." "There's a period of a few years where he can reset and take the learnings, take whatever talent and skill — and certainly genius, nobody denies he's a brilliant guy — and rebuild."

TBPN

168,224 views • 2 months ago

3:57

Former acting U.S. Trade Representative and General Counsel (USTR) Stephen Vaughn "Well, I think it's very important to understand, to begin with, no one has given Canada a better trade deal than the US this year so far." "In the first six months of this year, the United States imported $200 billion worth American dollars worth of goods from Canada. We're your best market." "Well, I think it is important to understand that the Trump, the people who voted for Donald Trump, wanted a different deal than the one that they had. And that's what the President is trying to get." "But at the end of the day, this has been a great deal for Canada, and whatever comes out of this, I continue to think the U.S. will give Canada a better deal than she can get from any other country." "If you want to have a closed dairy market, if you want to have closed markets and keep the Americans out of those markets, then you're not going to get as much access to the US market. That's just basic trade negotiation 101." Vaughn is a partner at King & Spadina Law King & Spalding

cbcwatcher

23,018 views • 1 month ago

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