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🇮🇷 Middle East tensions update: US Sec. State Rubio tells Congress: Any sanctions relief for Iran is tied to its nuclear programme, not reopening the Strait of Hormuz. IAEA’s Grossi: Many Iranian nuclear activities have now stopped. US military disables Botswana-flagged tanker attempting to reach Iran’s Kharg Island. UN...

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‼️🇺🇸: TRUMP SIGNS IRAN MEMORANDUM OF UNDERSTANDING (PEACE DEAL) IN FRANCE 👀 And Israel is NOT HAPPY about it. Core elements include: Permanent end to hostilities on all fronts (including Lebanon). Respect for sovereignty and non-interference. 60-day window for a comprehensive final deal. US lifts naval blockade (phased over 30 days) and issues oil export waivers. Iran ensures toll-free commercial passage through the Strait of Hormuz (initially for 60 days), with demining and dialogue on future administration (involving Oman and per international law/sovereign rights of littoral states). At least $300 billion reconstruction/economic development plan (US + regional partners). Path to terminating all sanctions (UN, IAEA, US primary/secondary). Strong Iranian reaffirmation against nuclear weapons + framework to resolve enriched uranium stockpiles (e.g., possible on-site down-blending under IAEA supervision); enrichment and other nuclear needs discussed in final deal. Status quo maintenance pending final deal (Iran freezes nuclear program advances; US imposes no new sanctions or forces). Monitoring mechanism and UNSC endorsement for the final deal. What each side gains (multiple angles): US/Israel side: Ends active fighting and threats (including proxy fronts like Lebanon), secures Hormuz reopening (critical for ~20% of global oil trade, stabilizing energy markets and shipping), gains Iranian nuclear commitments and a negotiation track, and avoids prolonged conflict costs. Iran side: Immediate relief from blockade and sanctions pressure (oil exports resume with waivers; frozen assets become usable), reconstruction funding pathway, and breathing room to negotiate from a less isolated position while preserving core nuclear infrastructure (status quo). You think it will work? 🤔

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Military and political analyst Elijah Magnier says the clearest sign the U.S lost the Iran war is that nobody is talking about Tehran's nuclear program anymore; they're fighting over the Strait of Hormuz. America went into this focused on Iran's nuclear program, its ballistic missiles, and regional proxies. Now Trump is arguing about who gets to control Hormuz, and Elijah thinks that tells you everything about how badly the original strategy failed. Iran's missile programme is still operational, its nuclear programme has been pushed into future negotiations, and its regional proxies remain part of Tehran's strategic calculations. Yet Washington's attention is now almost entirely consumed by a source of Iranian leverage that barely existed before the war: Hormuz. Elijah says Iran has effectively pulled off a strategic sleight of hand. For years, the world obsessed over Tehran's nuclear programme while Iran quietly built an enormous missile arsenal. Those missiles eventually gave Iran the ability to absorb American and Israeli attacks and continue retaliating across the region. Now he thinks they're doing it again. Everyone is staring at the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, Iran is rebuilding missiles, maintaining its regional relationships, and buying time on the nuclear issue. Trump even briefly proposed charging ships a 20% fee to pass through the Strait. That lasted barely 24 hours before he replaced it with demands for massive Gulf investment in America. To Elijah, the whole episode exposed something much deeper. Washington says this is about freedom of navigation. But Trump accused Iran of monetizing Hormuz, then immediately tried to monetize it himself. Suddenly, the argument wasn't whether the Strait should be used as leverage; it was who gets to control it and collect the money, and Iran jumped on the contradiction immediately. Elijah's argument is that Trump has trapped himself. He entered the war determined to strip Iran of its leverage, but instead, he's handed Tehran a weapon it didn't have before. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

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🔶 Secretary of State Marco Rubio told Al Jazeera the war on Iran is progressing “ahead of schedule” and could conclude “in weeks, not months,” and without deploying U.S. ground troops. Here’s more from the new interview: ➤ Rubio, who champions the illegal US blockade on Cuba, said Iran was using a “tollbooth system” in the Strait of Hormuz, and called it “unacceptable” and “illegal.” He said the waterway will reopen “one way or another,” and that U.S. would not accept Iranian sovereignty over the strait after the war. ➤ He said operations aim to “substantially” and “dramatically reduce the number of missile launchers” and the goal is “eliminating Iran’s ability” to produce long-range weapons and stop “sponsoring terrorism.” U.S. outlined a new objective today which includes destroying Iran’s factories that could help with weapons production. ➤ He insisted Iran will “never acquire nuclear weapons” and must end its programs, and said talks are ongoing through intermediaries, citing “cautious optimism” due to “fractures” within Iran’s leadership. ➤ Rubio maintained that President Trump “prefers diplomacy,” even as strikes continue. He said the Iranian regime, which Trump falsely claims has successfully been changed, is “weaker than they’ve been in recent history.” 🎥 Iran expert Negar Mortazavi نگار مرتضوی spoke to Al Jazeera about Rubio and Trump’s latest remarks.

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🚨 IRGC Launches Missile Strikes on U.S. Bases in Kuwait; Explosions Also Reported in Bahrain and Iraq Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has claimed responsibility for missile strikes on U.S. military bases in Kuwait, saying the attacks were retaliation for an American strike on Qeshm Island, a strategically located island in the Strait of Hormuz. ▪️ Kuwait’s defense ministry confirmed it is under attack from drones and missiles; Iran’s state broadcaster IRIB said strikes hit both Camp Arifjan and Ali Al-Salem Airbase in at least two waves ▪️ Eight explosions reported in Bahrain, which is also under attack, according to various monitoring accounts ▪️ Explosions were reported near the village of Masan on the southern coast of Qeshm Island, Fars news reported ▪️ Iran also appears to be heavily striking Iranian-Kurdish opposition groups near Erbil in northern Iraq ▪️ Earlier, CENTCOM said U.S. forces fired a Hellfire missile into the engine room of a Botswana-flagged commercial tanker, the M/T Lexie, after its crew ignored warnings while attempting to reach Iran’s Kharg Island. CENTCOM says it has now disabled six commercial vessels and redirected 122 since imposing a naval blockade of Iranian ports on April 13. The IRGC warned: “The time of ‘strike and run’ has passed,” adding that any further aggression “will be met with a seismic, decisive, and crushing response.” 🎥 Kuwait - footage via Ryan Rozbiani

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🚨🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 BREAKING | If this is confirmed, we can say that the US has lost the war with Iran. The Iranian news agency Mehr, citing the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, has published all 14 clauses of the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) signed with the US: 1. Permanent and immediate cessation of war on all fronts, including Lebanon. 2. The US commitment to non-interference in Iran's internal affairs and respect for the sovereignty of the Islamic Republic of Iran. 3. Complete lifting of the naval blockade within 30 days. 4. The US commitment to withdraw its forces from around Iran. 5. Reopening of the Strait of Hormuz within 30 days under Iranian arrangements. 6. Suspension of sanctions on the sale of oil, petrochemical products, and derivatives, and full access of Iran to its financial resources. 7. The necessity for the US and its allies to present reconstruction plans for Iran amounting to at least 300 billion dollars. 8. 60 days of negotiations to reach a final agreement based on nuclear issues and the complete lifting of primary, secondary, US sanctions, and UN Security Council and IAEA Board of Governors resolutions. 9. Reiteration of Iran's commitment under the NPT treaty not to produce nuclear weapons. 10. During the negotiation period, the US has committed not to add forces in the region and not to impose new sanctions. 11. Release of 24 billion dollars of Iran's blocked funds during the 60-day final negotiation period. Half of this amount must be made available to Iran before the start of negotiations. 12. Formation of a supervisory mechanism to implement the agreement. 13. The final agreement will be approved by a UN Security Council resolution. 14. Final negotiations will not begin before the release of half of Iran's blocked funds, suspension of Iran's oil sanctions, and lifting of the naval blockade, and the final agreement will only cover the fate of enriched materials and enrichment, lifting of sanctions, and Iran's economic reconstruction plan. Discussions about Iran's missile program and support for resistance groups are definitively removed from the agenda. As a reminder, the official signing of the memorandum is scheduled for June 19 in Geneva. See the latest updates with us: Visioner

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⭕️ REPORT | US and Iran in “War of Endurance” Over Strait of Hormuz US and Iran are settling into a drawn-out fight over the Strait of Hormuz, with each side betting it can outlast the other, the Wall Street Journal wrote. 🔸U.S. forces fired missiles into the smokestack of a Curaçao-flagged oil tanker, the Belma, disabling it as it sailed toward Iran’s Kharg Island amid the reimposed U.S. blockade, Central Command said Wednesday, the first commercial ship the U.S. has struck since the blockade resumed. 🔸Two other ships have been redirected since the blockade was resumed. 🔸No Iranian attacks were reported on vessels in the Strait in the past 24 hours. Kelly Grieco (Kelly Grieco), a Stimson Center senior fellow, said on X that the U.S. strategy in the fight for control of the Strait of Hormuz could be following three paths: 1) “break Iran’s kill chain” by targeting the radars, surveillance sites and communications relays that connect “a sensor to a shooter”; 2) “catch the arrows” by intercepting large volume of Iranian missiles and drones before they hit ships; 3) pursue punishment by escalating costs on Iran by striking Iran until it stops attacking commercial vessels. She said the administration has not said which strategy it is pursuing, “possibly because it hasn’t decided.” Researcher Rosemary Kelanic said in comments to WSJ: "Iran basically thinks that it can attack enough vessels that they’ll effectively suppress shipping in the strait. Trump seems to think the U.S. has found a way to get significant quantities of oil out of Hormuz, even if the Iranians don’t cooperate.” “Who's right? We're currently running the experiment.” 🎥 Clip via Al Jazeera

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🇺🇸🇮🇷⚠️ Trump hoped reopening the Strait of Hormuz would give him an opportunity to declare victory and wind down the war with Iran, even without securing a nuclear agreement. Tehran, however, has dramatically raised the price of a deal. According to The Wall Street Journal, Iran is demanding the withdrawal of U.S. forces from the region, an end to the naval blockade, the lifting of sanctions, the release of frozen Iranian assets, and billions of dollars in war reparations before fully reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Those demands have significantly narrowed the Trump administration’s room for maneuver. Tehran reportedly believes Washington is increasingly eager to find an exit from the conflict and is therefore using its ability to disrupt the Strait of Hormuz, and consequently a crucial portion of global oil flows, as leverage at the negotiating table. The pressure is also growing inside the United States. Gasoline prices are hovering around $4 per gallon, while the approaching midterm elections give the Trump administration a strong political incentive to stabilize energy markets and reach an agreement with Iran. The situation leaves Washington facing an increasingly difficult calculation. Accepting Tehran’s sweeping demands would represent a major concession, while renewed military escalation risks further disruption of Hormuz and another surge in global energy prices. Iran appears to understand that pressure on the Strait directly translates into economic and political pressure on Washington, and Tehran is attempting to exploit that leverage to extract concessions it could never obtain under normal circumstances.

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