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More inversion days = deeper drawdowns We already hit +700 days This ONLY happened in 1929 → Right before the Great Depression
77,535 просмотров • 2 лет назад •via X (Twitter)
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Hey GoT (Game of Trades), I would agree that there is a similarity in the yield curves, but there is a key factor that is different now than it was back then, we are now a debt based economy that has the ability to print money to satisfy debt obligations, which ultimately destroys our credit rating, but nonetheless we can print our way out. There is no other currency that the rest of the world freely transacts in at the moment and the USD back then was backed by gold, now it no longer is backed by anything other than our military power. The government can easily kick the can down the road and never let a deflationary even happen. I can see both side happening, but it’s hard for me to wrap my head around the elites letting a 90% crash happen unless they all agree that they are okay with a “reset” in asset prices cause there is something else that is “worse” such as a revolution by an actual “woke” America that derails all the people in power. The people might ultimately rise up against the government and make radical changes, if that were on the table, I believe a “reset” could come as it would give those elites more time to stay in power. Power > Money

Except you ignore the times where this wasn't true like 66 and 98

Just because the yield curve undiverts does not mean we have to see some massive recession. This was inverted in the first place because of covid

👏👏

They say it’s crazy to compare it to 1929 but the data actually backs it up

"More inversion days = deeper drawdowns" someone posted elsewhere that this is not true. gave example of recent recession having longer# days but smaller % equity decline. Can't remember which recession.

Strap in. It’s about to get real.
