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Most traders use Silver Bullet to gamble on direction. I used probabilities instead. 5 days. 5 New York Silver Bullet 10am sessions. 5 trades toward the MORE probable side. 5x +2R 🔥 I stopped treating Silver Bullet like a guessing game. I kept getting the same DM over and... over: “How does Intelligent Balance perform during the 10AM New York Silver Bullet?” So I tested the ENTIRE week. Monday → Friday. Every single session was traded ONLY toward the more probable side mapped by Intelligent Balance. The outcome? ✅ Monday: +2R ✅ Tuesday: +2R ✅ Wednesday: +2R ✅ Thursday: +2R ✅ Friday: +2R No hindsight. No cherry-picked examples. No random bias. Just: • probabilities • historical behavior • statistical edge • basic ICT trade entry concepts Most traders are trying to predict what price MIGHT do. I’d rather align with what price is statistically MORE LIKELY to do. That changes everything. This video shows the FULL backtest week of New York Silver Bullet using Intelligent Balance indicator. Who else uses probabilities BEFORE taking a Silver Bullet setup? 👇 #NQ #silverbulletshow more

Herman Trading

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Every week I backtest the previous week’s ORB15 9:30–9:45. Not to predict with emotion. Not to cherry-pick winners. But to prove one rule: Trade ONLY toward the more probable side. Last week: Monday: delivered, but no valid trade Tuesday: delivered +2R Wednesday: delivered +2R Thursday: delivered +2R Friday: delivered +2R The entries were not complicated. iFVG. CISD. Basic ICT confirmation. The edge was not in the entry. The edge was knowing which direction NOT to trade. Direction first. Confirmation second. Execution third. How many more weekly backtests before traders stop calling probability “luck”?

Every week I backtest the previous week’s ORB15 9:30–9:45. Not to predict with emotion. Not to cherry-pick winners. But to prove one rule: Trade ONLY toward the more probable side. Last week: Monday: delivered, but no valid trade Tuesday: delivered +2R Wednesday: delivered +2R Thursday: delivered +2R Friday: delivered +2R The entries were not complicated. iFVG. CISD. Basic ICT confirmation. The edge was not in the entry. The edge was knowing which direction NOT to trade. Direction first. Confirmation second. Execution third. How many more weekly backtests before traders stop calling probability “luck”?

Herman Trading

41,232 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Yesterday, I MECHANICALLY backtested a simple London Session model: → iFVG trade entry → Only towards the more probable side → Fixed 2R target Today, we test the exact same concept on the NY Initial Balance 9:30–10:30 ET. Entire week. Monday to Friday. No cherry-picking. The rules stay simple: → Intelligent Balance identifies the more probable side → I ignore every setup in the opposite direction → I wait for an iFVG towards probability → Mechanical entry → Fixed 2R target No complicated execution model. No predicting every candle. No forcing trades. Just one simple question: Can a basic iFVG entry perform better when every trade is aligned with the statistically more probable side? Full Initial Balance weekly backtest in the video. Would you trade this model mechanically?

Yesterday, I MECHANICALLY backtested a simple London Session model: → iFVG trade entry → Only towards the more probable side → Fixed 2R target Today, we test the exact same concept on the NY Initial Balance 9:30–10:30 ET. Entire week. Monday to Friday. No cherry-picking. The rules stay simple: → Intelligent Balance identifies the more probable side → I ignore every setup in the opposite direction → I wait for an iFVG towards probability → Mechanical entry → Fixed 2R target No complicated execution model. No predicting every candle. No forcing trades. Just one simple question: Can a basic iFVG entry perform better when every trade is aligned with the statistically more probable side? Full Initial Balance weekly backtest in the video. Would you trade this model mechanically?

Herman Trading

29,991 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

84% BEARISH BIAS - New York ORB15 $NQ Not after the move. BEFORE IT Today’s ORB15 (9:30–9:45 NY time) on NQ showed a massive bearish imbalance: 84% probability to the downside. So the plan was simple: wait for confirmation → iFVG entry → execute. Result? 2R This is why probabilities change everything. Most traders enter New York Session guessing direction. I enter already knowing where the odds are leaning. Trade with probabilities. Not predictions. #NQ #ICT

84% BEARISH BIAS - New York ORB15 $NQ Not after the move. BEFORE IT Today’s ORB15 (9:30–9:45 NY time) on NQ showed a massive bearish imbalance: 84% probability to the downside. So the plan was simple: wait for confirmation → iFVG entry → execute. Result? 2R This is why probabilities change everything. Most traders enter New York Session guessing direction. I enter already knowing where the odds are leaning. Trade with probabilities. Not predictions. #NQ #ICT

Herman Trading

18,189 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Most traders make trading too complicated. My mechanical approach is simple: -Wait for Intelligent Balance. -Identify the more probable side. -Trade ONLY in that direction. -Use iFVG as execution. Target fixed R. No setup toward the bias = no trade. Today’s New York session was a perfect example. Intelligent Balance showed 70% for SHORTS. That means I was NOT interested in longs. I did not need to predict every candle. I did not need to catch the top. I did not need to trade both directions. My job was simple: Wait for price to show bearish confirmation toward the more probable side. Once the iFVG appeared in the short direction, that became the mechanical entry. Bias came from Intelligent Balance. Execution came from iFVG. Risk handled the rest. This is why direction matters more than entry. A basic ICT concept becomes much easier when you already know which side you are allowed to trade. Would your trading improve if you stopped asking “long or short?” every 5 minutes and only traded toward the higher probability side?

Most traders make trading too complicated. My mechanical approach is simple: -Wait for Intelligent Balance. -Identify the more probable side. -Trade ONLY in that direction. -Use iFVG as execution. Target fixed R. No setup toward the bias = no trade. Today’s New York session was a perfect example. Intelligent Balance showed 70% for SHORTS. That means I was NOT interested in longs. I did not need to predict every candle. I did not need to catch the top. I did not need to trade both directions. My job was simple: Wait for price to show bearish confirmation toward the more probable side. Once the iFVG appeared in the short direction, that became the mechanical entry. Bias came from Intelligent Balance. Execution came from iFVG. Risk handled the rest. This is why direction matters more than entry. A basic ICT concept becomes much easier when you already know which side you are allowed to trade. Would your trading improve if you stopped asking “long or short?” every 5 minutes and only traded toward the higher probability side?

Herman Trading

34,617 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

I tested my Intelligent Balance Indicator during the slowest session of the day - ASIA. The result surprised me. You asked if it works during Asia as well as it does during New York. So I tested it. Even during slower sessions like Asia, the indicator can still identify the more probable direction of the price move with impressive accuracy. That is the edge. You do not need to predict every candle. You do not need to chase random moves. Let the indicator show you the more probable direction. Then use your favorite trade entry model towards that side. Same indicator. Different session. Same probability-driven approach. Watch the video and judge for yourself. Trade with probabilities. Not predictions. Should I test London next?

I tested my Intelligent Balance Indicator during the slowest session of the day - ASIA. The result surprised me. You asked if it works during Asia as well as it does during New York. So I tested it. Even during slower sessions like Asia, the indicator can still identify the more probable direction of the price move with impressive accuracy. That is the edge. You do not need to predict every candle. You do not need to chase random moves. Let the indicator show you the more probable direction. Then use your favorite trade entry model towards that side. Same indicator. Different session. Same probability-driven approach. Watch the video and judge for yourself. Trade with probabilities. Not predictions. Should I test London next?

Herman Trading

14,652 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

This is what a textbook A+ setup on NQ looks like. The direction was already defined before the trade appeared. Today, the London Probability Map showed a 73.5% probability for the more probable LOW. So I was not interested in longs - SHORTS ONLY. I only needed one clean SHORT confirmation: • Sweep of liquidity • Bearish iFVG • Entry aligned with the statistically more probable direction That is it. Historical data and probabilities define the direction. Price action gives the entry. Trade entry + directional edge = A+ setup. The attached video shows the full London session execution step by step. How much simpler would your trading become if you stopped guessing the direction first?

This is what a textbook A+ setup on NQ looks like. The direction was already defined before the trade appeared. Today, the London Probability Map showed a 73.5% probability for the more probable LOW. So I was not interested in longs - SHORTS ONLY. I only needed one clean SHORT confirmation: • Sweep of liquidity • Bearish iFVG • Entry aligned with the statistically more probable direction That is it. Historical data and probabilities define the direction. Price action gives the entry. Trade entry + directional edge = A+ setup. The attached video shows the full London session execution step by step. How much simpler would your trading become if you stopped guessing the direction first?

Herman Trading

17,352 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

LONG or SHORT? Because right now… the odds are screaming one direction. 8:00am New York Session. Both indicators agree: • New York Probability Map • Intelligent Balance 75.8%+ probability of sweeping London’s Low first. So while most traders are about to randomly click buy or sell… I already know which side has the statistical advantage. That doesn’t guarantee the trade. But it changes the entire way you approach execution. Trading becomes calmer. Cleaner. More intentional. Because when probabilities align BEFORE New York opens… you stop guessing. You start trading with odds on your side. So be honest: Are you longing into 75.8% downside probability… or trading with the statistics?

LONG or SHORT? Because right now… the odds are screaming one direction. 8:00am New York Session. Both indicators agree: • New York Probability Map • Intelligent Balance 75.8%+ probability of sweeping London’s Low first. So while most traders are about to randomly click buy or sell… I already know which side has the statistical advantage. That doesn’t guarantee the trade. But it changes the entire way you approach execution. Trading becomes calmer. Cleaner. More intentional. Because when probabilities align BEFORE New York opens… you stop guessing. You start trading with odds on your side. So be honest: Are you longing into 75.8% downside probability… or trading with the statistics?

Herman Trading

17,870 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

My wife hates when I trade from my phone on holiday. 😅 So I did a quick sneak out just before NY time. New York Probability Map showed 71.8% probability to sweep London’s High first. Trade entry: First iFVG in the direction of the more probable side. TP hit 20 minutes later. Was it guaranteed? No. But I had probabilities on my side before the session even opened. That changes everything. Most traders search for entries first. Professionals search for directional bias first. Do you trade differently when you already know the more probable side?

My wife hates when I trade from my phone on holiday. 😅 So I did a quick sneak out just before NY time. New York Probability Map showed 71.8% probability to sweep London’s High first. Trade entry: First iFVG in the direction of the more probable side. TP hit 20 minutes later. Was it guaranteed? No. But I had probabilities on my side before the session even opened. That changes everything. Most traders search for entries first. Professionals search for directional bias first. Do you trade differently when you already know the more probable side?

Herman Trading

159,697 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Most traders still think the edge is the entry. It’s not. Today both probability models aligned with the same objective BEFORE price even got there. London Probability Map: 73.5% probability to sweep the LOW first. Price delivered exactly there. New York Probability Map: 72.8% probability to sweep the LOW first. Another textbook A+ setup. Another delivery. Trade entry in both cases? Basic ICT iFVG execution in the direction of the more probable side. That’s the part most traders miss. The iFVG is not the edge. The probabilities are. When you already know where price is statistically more likely to go first… execution becomes calmer, cleaner and far less emotional. Would your trading change if you started every session already knowing where the odds were leaning first? #NQ #ICT

Most traders still think the edge is the entry. It’s not. Today both probability models aligned with the same objective BEFORE price even got there. London Probability Map: 73.5% probability to sweep the LOW first. Price delivered exactly there. New York Probability Map: 72.8% probability to sweep the LOW first. Another textbook A+ setup. Another delivery. Trade entry in both cases? Basic ICT iFVG execution in the direction of the more probable side. That’s the part most traders miss. The iFVG is not the edge. The probabilities are. When you already know where price is statistically more likely to go first… execution becomes calmer, cleaner and far less emotional. Would your trading change if you started every session already knowing where the odds were leaning first? #NQ #ICT

Herman Trading

14,145 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Most traders don’t need better entries. They need to stop trading the wrong side. A sweep is not enough. An iFVG is not enough. CISD is not enough. MSS is not enough. All of them can appear in both directions. That is why I use Intelligent Balance. Before I look for entry, I want one answer: Which side is MORE PROBABLE? If Intelligent Balance shows LONGS (76% on this example), I only hunt longs. If it shows SHORTS, I only hunt shorts. Everything against that bias is noise. The indicator gives me direction. Price action gives me entry. Risk management handles the trade. Retail asks: “Where do I enter?” I ask: “Which side should I even be trading?” That is the difference. Would this one rule simplify your trading?

Most traders don’t need better entries. They need to stop trading the wrong side. A sweep is not enough. An iFVG is not enough. CISD is not enough. MSS is not enough. All of them can appear in both directions. That is why I use Intelligent Balance. Before I look for entry, I want one answer: Which side is MORE PROBABLE? If Intelligent Balance shows LONGS (76% on this example), I only hunt longs. If it shows SHORTS, I only hunt shorts. Everything against that bias is noise. The indicator gives me direction. Price action gives me entry. Risk management handles the trade. Retail asks: “Where do I enter?” I ask: “Which side should I even be trading?” That is the difference. Would this one rule simplify your trading?

Herman Trading

26,146 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

This is how traders donate money to the market. They see 69% SHORTS… And still try to find a reason to go LONG. In this example from the New York session on $NQ, Intelligent Balance showed the more probable side clearly: SHORTS 69% That is your job. Not to predict every candle. Not to catch every reversal. Not to prove you are smarter than price. Your job is to trade only in the direction where probability is stacked in your favour. If the more probable side is below price, I am not interested in longs. I wait. Short entry. Short confirmation. Short execution. iFVG, CISD, sweep, displacement - pick your model. But never flip the direction just because price tries to bait you. The market’s favourite trick is making the less probable side look obvious. That is exactly how traders get trapped. Direction first. Confirmation second. Execution third. 69% SHORTS means one thing: I am either short… or I am not trading. Would you still try to catch longs here?

This is how traders donate money to the market. They see 69% SHORTS… And still try to find a reason to go LONG. In this example from the New York session on $NQ, Intelligent Balance showed the more probable side clearly: SHORTS 69% That is your job. Not to predict every candle. Not to catch every reversal. Not to prove you are smarter than price. Your job is to trade only in the direction where probability is stacked in your favour. If the more probable side is below price, I am not interested in longs. I wait. Short entry. Short confirmation. Short execution. iFVG, CISD, sweep, displacement - pick your model. But never flip the direction just because price tries to bait you. The market’s favourite trick is making the less probable side look obvious. That is exactly how traders get trapped. Direction first. Confirmation second. Execution third. 69% SHORTS means one thing: I am either short… or I am not trading. Would you still try to catch longs here?

Herman Trading

23,771 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Latest UPDATE from Swiss expert J. Staiger on the precious metals markets🚨 CHINA has just pulled the trigger on silver ✅ In China, you can only trade gold or silver futures if the metal is physically deposited. 🚫 This past Friday, the Chinese said: "No more deliveries. We're keeping our metal." Shipping metal from China to London might delay a default by 3-6 months, but the stop is now. "I received a email from a London LBMA broker this morning. He writes that the gold price is being driven by China and other BRICS central banks... due to de-dollarization and a move into hard assets. We expect this de-dollarization to spill over to other hard assets, including silver." The Blueprint is Already There ✅ "The Russians showed how it's done. They bought over $500 million of silver for their central bank last year. 🔥 If that trend continues globally, things will get very interesting." HT: - Youtube Rohstoff Investor

Latest UPDATE from Swiss expert J. Staiger on the precious metals markets🚨 CHINA has just pulled the trigger on silver ✅ In China, you can only trade gold or silver futures if the metal is physically deposited. 🚫 This past Friday, the Chinese said: "No more deliveries. We're keeping our metal." Shipping metal from China to London might delay a default by 3-6 months, but the stop is now. "I received a email from a London LBMA broker this morning. He writes that the gold price is being driven by China and other BRICS central banks... due to de-dollarization and a move into hard assets. We expect this de-dollarization to spill over to other hard assets, including silver." The Blueprint is Already There ✅ "The Russians showed how it's done. They bought over $500 million of silver for their central bank last year. 🔥 If that trend continues globally, things will get very interesting." HT: - Youtube Rohstoff Investor

Mark

323,915 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten

JIM ROGERS' URGENT WARNING: DON'T SELL YOUR SILVER & GOLD! Legendary investor Jim Rogers, speaking from Singapore in a fresh February 2026 interview, drops timeless wisdom amid massive money printing and currency debasement fears. His clear message? Protect yourself with real assets—because history proves it works. THE BIG PICTURE: MONEY PRINTING IS EVERYWHERE ✅ There's been a gigantic amount of money printing all over the world. ➡️ Many people know this and are protecting themselves from currency debasement. ➡️ Historically, that protection has always included metals like gold, silver, copper, and more. WHY METALS ARE THE GO-TO HEDGE ➡️ When currencies get debased, people turn to real assets for safety. ➡️ This includes silver, gold, nickel, copper—even oil and wheat in tough times. ➡️ Rogers reminds us: "For a few hundred years... people need a way to protect themselves and... that has included silver and gold." THE HISTORICAL PROOF – EVEN BIBLICAL ✅ Rogers points straight back: "Jesus Christ was sold for 30 pieces of silver because even then... silver was extremely important and extremely valuable." ⚡ The lesson? Silver has been prized for thousands of years—and it always will be. HIS PERSONAL STANCE: HOLD AND BUY DIPS ✅ "I still own silver. I still own gold. I have not sold any." ➡️ On corrections: "If they go down, I hope I'm smart enough to buy more." 🔄 He bought more recently during drops and hopes his children inherit his stack someday. DON'T SELL – NO MATTER WHAT ✅ "Don't sell your silver. Don't sell your gold." ❌ He's not pushing everyone to buy right now—just sharing facts: those who needed protection historically used these metals. 💡 "I'm not advocating we all go out and buy... I'm just telling you that historically those have been the facts." THE BOTTOM LINE In a world of endless printing, endless protection needs, and endless volatility, Jim Rogers keeps it simple: real assets like silver and gold stand the test of time—hold tight, buy weakness if you can, and never let go. HT: YouTube CapitalCosm CapitalCosm #Silver #Gold #JimRogers #PreciousMetals #InflationHedge #Stacking

JIM ROGERS' URGENT WARNING: DON'T SELL YOUR SILVER & GOLD! Legendary investor Jim Rogers, speaking from Singapore in a fresh February 2026 interview, drops timeless wisdom amid massive money printing and currency debasement fears. His clear message? Protect yourself with real assets—because history proves it works. THE BIG PICTURE: MONEY PRINTING IS EVERYWHERE ✅ There's been a gigantic amount of money printing all over the world. ➡️ Many people know this and are protecting themselves from currency debasement. ➡️ Historically, that protection has always included metals like gold, silver, copper, and more. WHY METALS ARE THE GO-TO HEDGE ➡️ When currencies get debased, people turn to real assets for safety. ➡️ This includes silver, gold, nickel, copper—even oil and wheat in tough times. ➡️ Rogers reminds us: "For a few hundred years... people need a way to protect themselves and... that has included silver and gold." THE HISTORICAL PROOF – EVEN BIBLICAL ✅ Rogers points straight back: "Jesus Christ was sold for 30 pieces of silver because even then... silver was extremely important and extremely valuable." ⚡ The lesson? Silver has been prized for thousands of years—and it always will be. HIS PERSONAL STANCE: HOLD AND BUY DIPS ✅ "I still own silver. I still own gold. I have not sold any." ➡️ On corrections: "If they go down, I hope I'm smart enough to buy more." 🔄 He bought more recently during drops and hopes his children inherit his stack someday. DON'T SELL – NO MATTER WHAT ✅ "Don't sell your silver. Don't sell your gold." ❌ He's not pushing everyone to buy right now—just sharing facts: those who needed protection historically used these metals. 💡 "I'm not advocating we all go out and buy... I'm just telling you that historically those have been the facts." THE BOTTOM LINE In a world of endless printing, endless protection needs, and endless volatility, Jim Rogers keeps it simple: real assets like silver and gold stand the test of time—hold tight, buy weakness if you can, and never let go. HT: YouTube CapitalCosm CapitalCosm #Silver #Gold #JimRogers #PreciousMetals #InflationHedge #Stacking

Mark

138,167 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

“NOTHING WILL INCREASE SUPPLY” – FIRST MAJESTIC PRESIDENT ON BROKEN SILVER MARKET $AG First Majestic's new President Mani Akafaji just dropped massive updates that every silver investor needs to hear right now. 2025 WAS TRANSFORMATIONAL - RECORDS SMASHED ✅ Silver production exploded +80% year-over-year 🔥 Fully integrated Gatos Silver acquisition on time 📈 Hit the high end of revised guidance after bumping it mid-year 🏆 Multiple all-time company records crushed DIVIDEND JUST GOT DOUBLED - HERE'S WHY ✅ Dividend policy jumped from 1% to 2% of net revenue. 💰 Tied directly to metal prices - shareholders get full upside ⚡ Balance sheet "continues to strengthen quarter over quarter" 🔒 "We never want to increase dividend then cut it back" - rock solid confidence WHY 2026 PRODUCTION LOOKS LOWER (THIS IS ACTUALLY BULLISH) ✅ Dropping cut-off grades because $110 silver makes lower-grade ore massively profitable ⛏️ Mining material that was uneconomical at $30-50 now prints money 🌟 Extending mine life dramatically instead of high-grading 🚀 Expanding plant capacity: Santa Elena to 3,500 tpd, Gatos to 4,000 tpd ZERO HEDGING - FULL EXPOSURE TO TRIPLE-DIGIT SILVER ❌ Absolutely NO hedging - never have, never will 😎 "That's why shareholders love us" - pure silver price leverage 💪 Using monster cash flow to expand plants, explore, and pay bigger dividends JERRITT CANYON COMING BACK HOT ($5,000+ GOLD CHANGES EVERYTHING) 🔥 Shut down when gold was $1,700 - now gold over $5,100 ⏰ Full management focus shifting to Jerritt after Gatos integration 📊 Complete new mine plan with current prices coming Q1 2026 🦄 Fully permitted gold asset in Nevada with unique processing plant SILVER SUPPLY IS PERMANENTLY BROKEN ❌ "Nothing we're seeing shows increase in supply" ⏳ 18 years average from discovery to production ⚠️ Structural deficit for 5+ years and growing ☀️ Industrial demand (solar, tech, EVs) only accelerating MINT BUSINESS IS ON FIRE 🔥 Retail orders "flying in daily" 🪙 First Majestic mint capturing huge premiums over spot 📦 Getting calls from institutions and other mints begging for silver 🏭 Industrial users now approaching producers directly THE BOTTOM LINE First Majestic is perfectly positioned with expanding production, zero hedging, exploding dividends, and massive optionality on Jerritt Canyon - all while silver trades at triple digits with supply permanently broken and industrial users scrambling. This is what winning the silver bull market looks like. HT: YouTube Soar Financially First Majestic Kai Hoffmann #Silver #FirstMajestic #SilverSqueeze #MiningStocks #PreciousMetals #Silver110 #Gold5000

“NOTHING WILL INCREASE SUPPLY” – FIRST MAJESTIC PRESIDENT ON BROKEN SILVER MARKET $AG First Majestic's new President Mani Akafaji just dropped massive updates that every silver investor needs to hear right now. 2025 WAS TRANSFORMATIONAL - RECORDS SMASHED ✅ Silver production exploded +80% year-over-year 🔥 Fully integrated Gatos Silver acquisition on time 📈 Hit the high end of revised guidance after bumping it mid-year 🏆 Multiple all-time company records crushed DIVIDEND JUST GOT DOUBLED - HERE'S WHY ✅ Dividend policy jumped from 1% to 2% of net revenue. 💰 Tied directly to metal prices - shareholders get full upside ⚡ Balance sheet "continues to strengthen quarter over quarter" 🔒 "We never want to increase dividend then cut it back" - rock solid confidence WHY 2026 PRODUCTION LOOKS LOWER (THIS IS ACTUALLY BULLISH) ✅ Dropping cut-off grades because $110 silver makes lower-grade ore massively profitable ⛏️ Mining material that was uneconomical at $30-50 now prints money 🌟 Extending mine life dramatically instead of high-grading 🚀 Expanding plant capacity: Santa Elena to 3,500 tpd, Gatos to 4,000 tpd ZERO HEDGING - FULL EXPOSURE TO TRIPLE-DIGIT SILVER ❌ Absolutely NO hedging - never have, never will 😎 "That's why shareholders love us" - pure silver price leverage 💪 Using monster cash flow to expand plants, explore, and pay bigger dividends JERRITT CANYON COMING BACK HOT ($5,000+ GOLD CHANGES EVERYTHING) 🔥 Shut down when gold was $1,700 - now gold over $5,100 ⏰ Full management focus shifting to Jerritt after Gatos integration 📊 Complete new mine plan with current prices coming Q1 2026 🦄 Fully permitted gold asset in Nevada with unique processing plant SILVER SUPPLY IS PERMANENTLY BROKEN ❌ "Nothing we're seeing shows increase in supply" ⏳ 18 years average from discovery to production ⚠️ Structural deficit for 5+ years and growing ☀️ Industrial demand (solar, tech, EVs) only accelerating MINT BUSINESS IS ON FIRE 🔥 Retail orders "flying in daily" 🪙 First Majestic mint capturing huge premiums over spot 📦 Getting calls from institutions and other mints begging for silver 🏭 Industrial users now approaching producers directly THE BOTTOM LINE First Majestic is perfectly positioned with expanding production, zero hedging, exploding dividends, and massive optionality on Jerritt Canyon - all while silver trades at triple digits with supply permanently broken and industrial users scrambling. This is what winning the silver bull market looks like. HT: YouTube Soar Financially First Majestic Kai Hoffmann #Silver #FirstMajestic #SilverSqueeze #MiningStocks #PreciousMetals #Silver110 #Gold5000

Mark

64,840 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

SILVER'S RUBBER BAND IS ABOUT TO SNAP: 80:1 BACK TO HISTORIC 15:1 Austrian silver expert Ernst Gratz just laid out the most extreme valuation gap in monetary history. Gold and silver are the oldest currencies on earth, yet the paper market has stretched their relationship to a breaking point never seen before. What happens when that rubber band finally snaps back will rewrite portfolios overnight. THE GEOLOGICAL AND HISTORICAL TRUTH ➡️ In the Earth’s crust silver is only 15 to 19 times more abundant than gold. ➡️ Ancient Egypt under King Menes set the ratio as low as 2.5 to 1. ➡️ The Roman Empire fixed it by law at 12 to 1. Julius Caesar adjusted it to 11.5 to 1. ➡️ The United States Coin Act of 1792 locked the official ratio at exactly 15 to 1 for generations. THE MODERN MADNESS ➡️ Today the paper market trades the ratio at 80 to 1 or higher. ➡️ This is not a free market price. It is a historic anomaly created by derivatives, industrial classification, and institutional blindness. WHY THE BAND IS STRETCHED SO FAR ➡️ Gold is treated as pure money and is hoarded. Silver is treated as an industrial metal and is consumed. ➡️ Over 50 percent of annual silver demand now comes from industry: electric vehicles, electronics, and AI data centers. ➡️ Paper markets and futures contracts systematically suppress the physical silver price. ➡️ In every crisis the big institutions, central banks, and sovereign funds flee almost exclusively into gold and overlook silver completely. THE SUPPLY TIME BOMB ➡️ The world has run a structural silver deficit for six consecutive years. ➡️ The cumulative shortfall has already reached roughly 700 million ounces — an entire year of global mine production. ➡️ The green energy transition and the AI boom require enormous additional volumes. Silver is the best electrical conductor on the planet and has no substitute. THE HISTORICAL PATTERN ➡️ Every time the gold-silver ratio has crossed 80 or 100 to 1 — in 1980, 2008, and 2020 — silver launched an epic catch-up rally that dramatically outperformed gold. THE FINAL SHAKEOUT ➡️ Before the rubber band snaps, the system always tries to force the last true believers out of the market. ➡️ Capitulation by the remaining physical holders is the classic final signal that the upside is about to open. THE BOTTOM LINE The rubber band is stretched to its absolute limit. When financial stress meets physical tightness, silver will not gently re-rate. It will snap back toward its 15-to-1 reality with historic force. This is the highest-conviction asymmetric trade left in the precious metals complex. #Silver #GoldSilverRatio #SilverDeficit #PreciousMetals #SilverSqueeze #MonetaryMetals #SilverVsGold

SILVER'S RUBBER BAND IS ABOUT TO SNAP: 80:1 BACK TO HISTORIC 15:1 Austrian silver expert Ernst Gratz just laid out the most extreme valuation gap in monetary history. Gold and silver are the oldest currencies on earth, yet the paper market has stretched their relationship to a breaking point never seen before. What happens when that rubber band finally snaps back will rewrite portfolios overnight. THE GEOLOGICAL AND HISTORICAL TRUTH ➡️ In the Earth’s crust silver is only 15 to 19 times more abundant than gold. ➡️ Ancient Egypt under King Menes set the ratio as low as 2.5 to 1. ➡️ The Roman Empire fixed it by law at 12 to 1. Julius Caesar adjusted it to 11.5 to 1. ➡️ The United States Coin Act of 1792 locked the official ratio at exactly 15 to 1 for generations. THE MODERN MADNESS ➡️ Today the paper market trades the ratio at 80 to 1 or higher. ➡️ This is not a free market price. It is a historic anomaly created by derivatives, industrial classification, and institutional blindness. WHY THE BAND IS STRETCHED SO FAR ➡️ Gold is treated as pure money and is hoarded. Silver is treated as an industrial metal and is consumed. ➡️ Over 50 percent of annual silver demand now comes from industry: electric vehicles, electronics, and AI data centers. ➡️ Paper markets and futures contracts systematically suppress the physical silver price. ➡️ In every crisis the big institutions, central banks, and sovereign funds flee almost exclusively into gold and overlook silver completely. THE SUPPLY TIME BOMB ➡️ The world has run a structural silver deficit for six consecutive years. ➡️ The cumulative shortfall has already reached roughly 700 million ounces — an entire year of global mine production. ➡️ The green energy transition and the AI boom require enormous additional volumes. Silver is the best electrical conductor on the planet and has no substitute. THE HISTORICAL PATTERN ➡️ Every time the gold-silver ratio has crossed 80 or 100 to 1 — in 1980, 2008, and 2020 — silver launched an epic catch-up rally that dramatically outperformed gold. THE FINAL SHAKEOUT ➡️ Before the rubber band snaps, the system always tries to force the last true believers out of the market. ➡️ Capitulation by the remaining physical holders is the classic final signal that the upside is about to open. THE BOTTOM LINE The rubber band is stretched to its absolute limit. When financial stress meets physical tightness, silver will not gently re-rate. It will snap back toward its 15-to-1 reality with historic force. This is the highest-conviction asymmetric trade left in the precious metals complex. #Silver #GoldSilverRatio #SilverDeficit #PreciousMetals #SilverSqueeze #MonetaryMetals #SilverVsGold

Mark

47,942 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

DAVID JENSEN: SILVER NEEDS A MASSIVE RESET – VAULTS ARE EMPTYING FAST! In a powerful new interview on Commodity Culture, precious metals analyst David Jensen breaks down the explosive silver market. From the brutal January 30 crash to accelerating global shortages, the message is clear: physical demand is overwhelming paper markets, and prices must rise dramatically to restore balance. THE JANUARY 30 CRASH: WHAT REALLY HAPPENED ✅ Silver plunged 26% in one day on COMEX after international markets closed. ➡️ An 18% drop in under an hour – should have triggered dynamic circuit breakers at ±10%. ❌ But breakers failed to pause trading visibly; only hidden "velocity logics" activated briefly. 🔍 High-frequency traders can reset guardrails easily – "circuit breakers in name only." THE GROWING SUPPLY DEFICIT: 7 YEARS AND COUNTING ➡️Silver Institute shows deficits for seven straight years when including ETF investment demand. ➡️ UBS forecasts a 300 million ounce deficit this year in a ~1.25 billion ounce market. ➡️ COMEX vaults down to ~102 million ounces, with 25% drawdown in the last 30 days. ➡️ Shanghai vaults at ~25-26 million ounces – 90% drop since 2020, with 8-9% single-day drains recently. SHANGHAI PREMIUM: THE EAST-WEST DIVIDE ✅ Post-crash, Shanghai traded at up to 29% premium; now ~7-13% spot, but wholesale (with VAT) hits ~$99/oz. ➡️ That's a $15-19 spread over Western ~$80-85/oz prices. ➡️ Massive incentive to ship metal East – draining Western vaults rapidly. 📍 "Asia will determine the price" – physical reality trumps paper suppression. THE END OF PRICE FIXING & THE RISE OF SOUND MONEY ✅ Decades of paper promises worked while no one demanded delivery. ➡️ Now true shortages from suppressed mining + surging safe-haven buying collide. ➡️ Parallel economy emerging: people using physical silver for transactions as trust in fiat collapses. ➡️ "Gold and silver are money... you don't sell money, you use money." THE PATH AHEAD: MULTIPLES HIGHER ✅ Current prices (~$80-85/oz) won't solve the crisis – need "multiples" higher for liquidity. ➡️ Currency crisis looms as debt bubbles burst and fiat weakens. ➡️ Gold as official money, silver as parallel private money – inevitable in unstable times. THE BOTTOM LINE David Jensen sees silver's run driven by undeniable physical shortages, failed suppression tactics, and a historic East-West shift – setting the stage for explosive upside as vaults empty and real demand takes over. No top in Silver – it's just getting started in a new monetary reality. Stack accordingly. HT: YouTube Commodity Culture Jesse Day #Silver #PreciousMetals #SoundMoney #SilverShortage #GoldAndSilver

DAVID JENSEN: SILVER NEEDS A MASSIVE RESET – VAULTS ARE EMPTYING FAST! In a powerful new interview on Commodity Culture, precious metals analyst David Jensen breaks down the explosive silver market. From the brutal January 30 crash to accelerating global shortages, the message is clear: physical demand is overwhelming paper markets, and prices must rise dramatically to restore balance. THE JANUARY 30 CRASH: WHAT REALLY HAPPENED ✅ Silver plunged 26% in one day on COMEX after international markets closed. ➡️ An 18% drop in under an hour – should have triggered dynamic circuit breakers at ±10%. ❌ But breakers failed to pause trading visibly; only hidden "velocity logics" activated briefly. 🔍 High-frequency traders can reset guardrails easily – "circuit breakers in name only." THE GROWING SUPPLY DEFICIT: 7 YEARS AND COUNTING ➡️Silver Institute shows deficits for seven straight years when including ETF investment demand. ➡️ UBS forecasts a 300 million ounce deficit this year in a ~1.25 billion ounce market. ➡️ COMEX vaults down to ~102 million ounces, with 25% drawdown in the last 30 days. ➡️ Shanghai vaults at ~25-26 million ounces – 90% drop since 2020, with 8-9% single-day drains recently. SHANGHAI PREMIUM: THE EAST-WEST DIVIDE ✅ Post-crash, Shanghai traded at up to 29% premium; now ~7-13% spot, but wholesale (with VAT) hits ~$99/oz. ➡️ That's a $15-19 spread over Western ~$80-85/oz prices. ➡️ Massive incentive to ship metal East – draining Western vaults rapidly. 📍 "Asia will determine the price" – physical reality trumps paper suppression. THE END OF PRICE FIXING & THE RISE OF SOUND MONEY ✅ Decades of paper promises worked while no one demanded delivery. ➡️ Now true shortages from suppressed mining + surging safe-haven buying collide. ➡️ Parallel economy emerging: people using physical silver for transactions as trust in fiat collapses. ➡️ "Gold and silver are money... you don't sell money, you use money." THE PATH AHEAD: MULTIPLES HIGHER ✅ Current prices (~$80-85/oz) won't solve the crisis – need "multiples" higher for liquidity. ➡️ Currency crisis looms as debt bubbles burst and fiat weakens. ➡️ Gold as official money, silver as parallel private money – inevitable in unstable times. THE BOTTOM LINE David Jensen sees silver's run driven by undeniable physical shortages, failed suppression tactics, and a historic East-West shift – setting the stage for explosive upside as vaults empty and real demand takes over. No top in Silver – it's just getting started in a new monetary reality. Stack accordingly. HT: YouTube Commodity Culture Jesse Day #Silver #PreciousMetals #SoundMoney #SilverShortage #GoldAndSilver

Mark

24,678 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

THE SILVER SELL-OFF IS BRUTAL – BUT DON’T MAKE THE MISTAKE OF SELLING TOO Silver just broke hard. Gold slipped under 4000. Silver crashed to 56. If you bought anywhere near the January high near 121, roughly half your position has vanished and it feels like the bottom may never arrive. But the number flashing on the screen is lying about what is actually happening. The sellers dumping metal right now are handing their ounces to buyers who see a sale, not a verdict. THE CORE THESIS Silver didn't get less valuable this week. The dollar got stronger. And that is a completely different thing. ➡️ The US dollar index just pushed above 101 for the first time in about a year. ➡️ When the dollar rips, every asset priced in dollars gets repriced lower almost automatically because it now takes fewer of those stronger dollars to buy the same ounce. ➡️ This is not the market rejecting silver. This is the measuring stick getting longer. ➡️ The Fed's new dot plot shows roughly half the committee projecting at least one rate hike this year, with traders pricing in as many as three quarter-point hikes before year end. THE DOUBLE HIT SILVER ALWAYS TAKES Silver wears two hats and both are getting slammed at the same time. ➡️ It is a monetary metal fighting the strong dollar. ➡️ It is also an industrial metal facing slower growth fears from higher rates. ➡️ That combination is exactly why silver falls roughly twice as hard as gold in moves like this. ➡️ The gold to silver ratio blows out because it is the nature of silver, not a flaw in silver. THE MECHANICAL SELLING DRIVING THE PAIN A lot of this selling is not anyone deciding silver is a bad investment. It is forced. ➡️ Margin requirements got jacked up. Leverage players had to dump their most liquid holdings to raise cash. ➡️ Stop losses tripped. ETFs rebalanced. The selling turned violent and mechanical. ➡️ This kind of forced selling eventually burns out when the sellers run out of metal they are willing to dump. ➡️ Conviction buyers do not run out of conviction. They are the ones quietly stepping in. THE PHYSICAL MARKET TELLS THE TRUTH The spot price is getting shoved around by macro forces and margin. The physical market is doing something very different underneath. ➡️ When metal gets crushed on the screen you would expect a flood of people dumping physical. That is not mostly what is walking in the door. ➡️ Yes, capitulation sellers who bought the top are handing over ounces. ➡️ But serious buyers are stepping in with both hands because to them a strong dollar selloff is a sale, not a verdict. "The weak hands are handing their ounces to the strong hands. That's what a bottoming process actually looks like." ➡️ Premiums on real coins and bars are holding firm and even rising. Demand is alive and well if you watch the all-in price instead of just spot. THE LONG-TERM MATH HAS NOT CHANGED The reasons you own silver in the first place are still sitting right there. ➡️ The debt has not gone anywhere. ➡️ Currency debasement over time has not gone anywhere. ➡️ Central banks are still net buyers. ➡️ The long-term destination remains 120 silver. This selloff does not erase the thesis. WHAT TO DO THIS WEEK ➡️ Do not sell into this panic unless you genuinely need the cash inside the next two years. ➡️ If you must raise cash, sell generic rounds and bars first. Protect your sovereign coins and anything inside your IRA. ➡️ For long-term buyers this is a sale, but watch the all-in price not just spot. Ladder your buys and keep dry powder. ➡️ Stress test how you hold your metal. If you have paper claims this is the week to move toward allocated segregated storage or take delivery. THE BOTTOM LINE The metal did not change this week. The dollar did. Don't let a strong dollar and a scary headline talk you out of the one asset they cannot print. Before you hit that button ask yourself one honest question. Do I actually need this money in the next 24 months? If the answer is no, you are not escaping a collapse. You are selling your insurance in the middle of the storm to the very people who will be happy to sell it back to you later at a much higher price. HT: YouTube Summit Metals #SilverSelloff #DontSellSilver #DollarStrength #PhysicalSilver #Stacking #PreciousMetals #SilverStacker

THE SILVER SELL-OFF IS BRUTAL – BUT DON’T MAKE THE MISTAKE OF SELLING TOO Silver just broke hard. Gold slipped under 4000. Silver crashed to 56. If you bought anywhere near the January high near 121, roughly half your position has vanished and it feels like the bottom may never arrive. But the number flashing on the screen is lying about what is actually happening. The sellers dumping metal right now are handing their ounces to buyers who see a sale, not a verdict. THE CORE THESIS Silver didn't get less valuable this week. The dollar got stronger. And that is a completely different thing. ➡️ The US dollar index just pushed above 101 for the first time in about a year. ➡️ When the dollar rips, every asset priced in dollars gets repriced lower almost automatically because it now takes fewer of those stronger dollars to buy the same ounce. ➡️ This is not the market rejecting silver. This is the measuring stick getting longer. ➡️ The Fed's new dot plot shows roughly half the committee projecting at least one rate hike this year, with traders pricing in as many as three quarter-point hikes before year end. THE DOUBLE HIT SILVER ALWAYS TAKES Silver wears two hats and both are getting slammed at the same time. ➡️ It is a monetary metal fighting the strong dollar. ➡️ It is also an industrial metal facing slower growth fears from higher rates. ➡️ That combination is exactly why silver falls roughly twice as hard as gold in moves like this. ➡️ The gold to silver ratio blows out because it is the nature of silver, not a flaw in silver. THE MECHANICAL SELLING DRIVING THE PAIN A lot of this selling is not anyone deciding silver is a bad investment. It is forced. ➡️ Margin requirements got jacked up. Leverage players had to dump their most liquid holdings to raise cash. ➡️ Stop losses tripped. ETFs rebalanced. The selling turned violent and mechanical. ➡️ This kind of forced selling eventually burns out when the sellers run out of metal they are willing to dump. ➡️ Conviction buyers do not run out of conviction. They are the ones quietly stepping in. THE PHYSICAL MARKET TELLS THE TRUTH The spot price is getting shoved around by macro forces and margin. The physical market is doing something very different underneath. ➡️ When metal gets crushed on the screen you would expect a flood of people dumping physical. That is not mostly what is walking in the door. ➡️ Yes, capitulation sellers who bought the top are handing over ounces. ➡️ But serious buyers are stepping in with both hands because to them a strong dollar selloff is a sale, not a verdict. "The weak hands are handing their ounces to the strong hands. That's what a bottoming process actually looks like." ➡️ Premiums on real coins and bars are holding firm and even rising. Demand is alive and well if you watch the all-in price instead of just spot. THE LONG-TERM MATH HAS NOT CHANGED The reasons you own silver in the first place are still sitting right there. ➡️ The debt has not gone anywhere. ➡️ Currency debasement over time has not gone anywhere. ➡️ Central banks are still net buyers. ➡️ The long-term destination remains 120 silver. This selloff does not erase the thesis. WHAT TO DO THIS WEEK ➡️ Do not sell into this panic unless you genuinely need the cash inside the next two years. ➡️ If you must raise cash, sell generic rounds and bars first. Protect your sovereign coins and anything inside your IRA. ➡️ For long-term buyers this is a sale, but watch the all-in price not just spot. Ladder your buys and keep dry powder. ➡️ Stress test how you hold your metal. If you have paper claims this is the week to move toward allocated segregated storage or take delivery. THE BOTTOM LINE The metal did not change this week. The dollar did. Don't let a strong dollar and a scary headline talk you out of the one asset they cannot print. Before you hit that button ask yourself one honest question. Do I actually need this money in the next 24 months? If the answer is no, you are not escaping a collapse. You are selling your insurance in the middle of the storm to the very people who will be happy to sell it back to you later at a much higher price. HT: YouTube Summit Metals #SilverSelloff #DontSellSilver #DollarStrength #PhysicalSilver #Stacking #PreciousMetals #SilverStacker

Mark

34,639 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

The data just forced me to make a change to the public experiment. And it’s a BIG ONE. Fridays are officially REMOVED from the forward test. Here’s why. While reviewing the full backtest dataset, one statistic stood out immediately. The system behaves very differently on Fridays. Win rate by day: • Monday → 88.4% • Tuesday → 84.2% • Wednesday → 80.5% • Thursday → 84.3% • Friday → 52.0% Every other day of the week sits around 80–88%. Friday drops to 52%. That’s not a small difference. That’s a completely different market behavior. — Why does this matter? Because this experiment is not about forcing trades. It’s about executing a statistical edge. If the data clearly shows that one day behaves differently, the rational decision is simple: Remove the noise. So from now on the public forward test will run: • Monday – Thursday only • 2:00 AM New York time • 1 MNQ micro contract • TP $300 / SL $300 • BE lock at +$250 → +$200 One trade per day. No discretion. — So the public experiment continues. But now with a cleaner structure. Monday → Thursday only. Day 1 of forward testing already closed +$300. Day 2 of forward testing already closed +$300. Let’s see how the next trades unfold. — One question for other traders: Have you ever found that one specific day of the week completely breaks an otherwise profitable system? #AlgoTrading #FuturesTrading

The data just forced me to make a change to the public experiment. And it’s a BIG ONE. Fridays are officially REMOVED from the forward test. Here’s why. While reviewing the full backtest dataset, one statistic stood out immediately. The system behaves very differently on Fridays. Win rate by day: • Monday → 88.4% • Tuesday → 84.2% • Wednesday → 80.5% • Thursday → 84.3% • Friday → 52.0% Every other day of the week sits around 80–88%. Friday drops to 52%. That’s not a small difference. That’s a completely different market behavior. — Why does this matter? Because this experiment is not about forcing trades. It’s about executing a statistical edge. If the data clearly shows that one day behaves differently, the rational decision is simple: Remove the noise. So from now on the public forward test will run: • Monday – Thursday only • 2:00 AM New York time • 1 MNQ micro contract • TP $300 / SL $300 • BE lock at +$250 → +$200 One trade per day. No discretion. — So the public experiment continues. But now with a cleaner structure. Monday → Thursday only. Day 1 of forward testing already closed +$300. Day 2 of forward testing already closed +$300. Let’s see how the next trades unfold. — One question for other traders: Have you ever found that one specific day of the week completely breaks an otherwise profitable system? #AlgoTrading #FuturesTrading

Herman Trading

56,889 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

SWISS EXPERT JOCHEN STAIGER: THE BIGGEST SILVER BETRAYAL EVER – AND WHY $184+ IS STILL COMING In a raw, no-holds-barred interview after the historic crash, Silver Expert Jochen Staiger calls out the January 30, 2026 silver plunge as outright fraud. From manipulation claims to the shift to Asia, here's the unfiltered truth shaking the precious metals world. THE CRASH OF JANUARY 30: BIGGEST SINCE 1980 ➡️ Silver plunged over 30% in one brutal day – from peaks above $120 down to the $70s. ➡️ Jochen calls it "the biggest $100 billion fraud of all time" – no limits down, regulators silent. ➡️ It started right after London fixing at 15:12 CET, then $26 drop in 180 minutes. "Total madness, I've never seen anything like it." THE MANIPULATION FINGER POINTS TO JP MORGAN & COMEX ➡️ JP Morgan closed massive shorts exactly at the bottom – after past $900M+ fines for silver spoofing. ➡️ COMEX ignored circuit breakers on a thin Friday trade. "High criminal" in Jochen's eyes. "Crimex" – that's what he now calls it. Paper traded 1.83 billion ounces that day – zero physical moved. THE EAST-WEST DIVIDE: ASIA TAKES CONTROL ✅ Shanghai premiums exploded to 40%+ while COMEX crashed. ➡️ China cracked down hard on naked shorts (banned traders, 180 cases ongoing). "They did what regulators are paid for." 📍 "Asia will set the price for sure" – LBMA and COMEX fading fast. THE PHYSICAL REALITY: EMPTY VAULTS AHEAD? ➡️ COMEX registered silver dropping fast – down to low levels, potential March delivery squeeze. ➡️ China warrant gold surged from 5 to 105 tons – prepping for massive deliveries. ➡️ "If it goes under 50M oz, force majeure – then the exchange is done." JOCHEN'S BOLD TARGETS FOR 2026 & BEYOND ➡️ Silver: $184 by Christmas, possibly $200–300 on default. ➡️ Longer term (12–15 months): $208+. ➡️ Gold: $6,000–6,200 this year, up to $10,150 eventually. ANLEGERTIP FROM THE PRO: STAY STRONG & BUY DIPS ✅ Physical silver never spoils – "The ounce stays an ounce." ➡️ Buy more on pullbacks, average down. "If convinced, add when cheaper – no pain." ➡️Volatility stays high (Year of the Fire Horse), but this is wealth protection, not speculation. THE BOTTOM LINE Jochen sees the crash as desperate suppression failing against exploding physical demand and Asia's rise – the real silver revolution is just starting, and patient holders win big. #Silver #Gold #PreciousMetals #Manipulation #SilverSqueeze #Investing #WealthProtection

SWISS EXPERT JOCHEN STAIGER: THE BIGGEST SILVER BETRAYAL EVER – AND WHY $184+ IS STILL COMING In a raw, no-holds-barred interview after the historic crash, Silver Expert Jochen Staiger calls out the January 30, 2026 silver plunge as outright fraud. From manipulation claims to the shift to Asia, here's the unfiltered truth shaking the precious metals world. THE CRASH OF JANUARY 30: BIGGEST SINCE 1980 ➡️ Silver plunged over 30% in one brutal day – from peaks above $120 down to the $70s. ➡️ Jochen calls it "the biggest $100 billion fraud of all time" – no limits down, regulators silent. ➡️ It started right after London fixing at 15:12 CET, then $26 drop in 180 minutes. "Total madness, I've never seen anything like it." THE MANIPULATION FINGER POINTS TO JP MORGAN & COMEX ➡️ JP Morgan closed massive shorts exactly at the bottom – after past $900M+ fines for silver spoofing. ➡️ COMEX ignored circuit breakers on a thin Friday trade. "High criminal" in Jochen's eyes. "Crimex" – that's what he now calls it. Paper traded 1.83 billion ounces that day – zero physical moved. THE EAST-WEST DIVIDE: ASIA TAKES CONTROL ✅ Shanghai premiums exploded to 40%+ while COMEX crashed. ➡️ China cracked down hard on naked shorts (banned traders, 180 cases ongoing). "They did what regulators are paid for." 📍 "Asia will set the price for sure" – LBMA and COMEX fading fast. THE PHYSICAL REALITY: EMPTY VAULTS AHEAD? ➡️ COMEX registered silver dropping fast – down to low levels, potential March delivery squeeze. ➡️ China warrant gold surged from 5 to 105 tons – prepping for massive deliveries. ➡️ "If it goes under 50M oz, force majeure – then the exchange is done." JOCHEN'S BOLD TARGETS FOR 2026 & BEYOND ➡️ Silver: $184 by Christmas, possibly $200–300 on default. ➡️ Longer term (12–15 months): $208+. ➡️ Gold: $6,000–6,200 this year, up to $10,150 eventually. ANLEGERTIP FROM THE PRO: STAY STRONG & BUY DIPS ✅ Physical silver never spoils – "The ounce stays an ounce." ➡️ Buy more on pullbacks, average down. "If convinced, add when cheaper – no pain." ➡️Volatility stays high (Year of the Fire Horse), but this is wealth protection, not speculation. THE BOTTOM LINE Jochen sees the crash as desperate suppression failing against exploding physical demand and Asia's rise – the real silver revolution is just starting, and patient holders win big. #Silver #Gold #PreciousMetals #Manipulation #SilverSqueeze #Investing #WealthProtection

Mark

71,623 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

🚨NEW EPISODE🚨 WHY BUY GOLD & SILVER? “This is about being short the behaviour of your government. If you think they're going to be disciplined & they're going to raise rates above inflation & give you a real return on your cash, then don't do it.” This week on The Master Investor Podcast I am joined by Ned Naylor Leyland – Manager of $3bn Jupiter Gold & Silver Fund, & recently crowned Investment Week Fund Manager Of The Year. “You can ask yourself – the Treasury Secretary & the Fed Chair, are they politicians? I mean in my view, absolutely. I mean the idea of independence in my view is rather fanciful – these people say one thing & do another. The idea that there'll be a genuine pullback in the scale of central bank balance sheets is in my view unlikely.” GOLD MINERS: “The producers have never been cheaper than they are today. Ever. So these are the most profitable companies in the world - 50% free cashflow margin is probably double & in some cases triple the free cashflow that tech is making.” SILVER: "Silver is like gold in that you are short politicians, but you're also long the future. So your long green tech, tech, the military, everything really that's running the modern economy, but you're also short politicians. So silver has a nice dual feel to it.” IF TECH SELLS OFF? “It's very likely that if the equity market does go lower, then that creates a more dovish background, which is the fuel for the space I invest in. So you see a very big decoupling then of performance between the wider equity market & this particular part of it.” BITCOIN: "My personal investment style is I want to be early & I don't want to be there for the last two months of the pregnancy. I'd rather be there right at the beginning & then once I reach the point where other people are starting to get excited & jump in & there's a kind of critical mass feel, that doesn't make me feel comfortable. This is a genuine contrarian thing where I don't want to be there." GOLD vs BITCOIN: "You own gold & silver because you are thinking about this over the long term, whereas you might want to trade Bitcoin as a way to fund your holiday." WHERE IS THE GOLD: “Should these bars be audited? They should also be checked for encumbrances, which is really the more important point, presuming they're all there, who owns them? How many times over have they been leased, loaned, swapped into the system? There's one thing that is there. The other thing is how many post-it notes on each bar?" Timestamps: 0:00 Intro 3:05 Long term case for gold 6:14 Long term case for silver 7:06 Why no other metals? 9:54 What drove 2025 surge in gold & silver 13:06 Did Gold peak in January? 15:20 Is debasement priced in? 17:15 Central banks are NOT independent 22:00 Gold not risk-on or risk-off – its risk-free 23:15 Gold vs Bitcoin 27:14 Physical commodity + producers + development assets 29:52 Miners cheaper than ever 33:10 Portfolio construction 34:56 Gold & Silver not normal commodities 37:25 Where Is The Gold? 42:26 Physical gold vs his fund? 43:40 Revaluation of US gold reserves? 50:13 Why buy gold & silver NOW? 51:47 Could governments behave? 54:37 Conclusion

🚨NEW EPISODE🚨 WHY BUY GOLD & SILVER? “This is about being short the behaviour of your government. If you think they're going to be disciplined & they're going to raise rates above inflation & give you a real return on your cash, then don't do it.” This week on The Master Investor Podcast I am joined by Ned Naylor Leyland – Manager of $3bn Jupiter Gold & Silver Fund, & recently crowned Investment Week Fund Manager Of The Year. “You can ask yourself – the Treasury Secretary & the Fed Chair, are they politicians? I mean in my view, absolutely. I mean the idea of independence in my view is rather fanciful – these people say one thing & do another. The idea that there'll be a genuine pullback in the scale of central bank balance sheets is in my view unlikely.” GOLD MINERS: “The producers have never been cheaper than they are today. Ever. So these are the most profitable companies in the world - 50% free cashflow margin is probably double & in some cases triple the free cashflow that tech is making.” SILVER: "Silver is like gold in that you are short politicians, but you're also long the future. So your long green tech, tech, the military, everything really that's running the modern economy, but you're also short politicians. So silver has a nice dual feel to it.” IF TECH SELLS OFF? “It's very likely that if the equity market does go lower, then that creates a more dovish background, which is the fuel for the space I invest in. So you see a very big decoupling then of performance between the wider equity market & this particular part of it.” BITCOIN: "My personal investment style is I want to be early & I don't want to be there for the last two months of the pregnancy. I'd rather be there right at the beginning & then once I reach the point where other people are starting to get excited & jump in & there's a kind of critical mass feel, that doesn't make me feel comfortable. This is a genuine contrarian thing where I don't want to be there." GOLD vs BITCOIN: "You own gold & silver because you are thinking about this over the long term, whereas you might want to trade Bitcoin as a way to fund your holiday." WHERE IS THE GOLD: “Should these bars be audited? They should also be checked for encumbrances, which is really the more important point, presuming they're all there, who owns them? How many times over have they been leased, loaned, swapped into the system? There's one thing that is there. The other thing is how many post-it notes on each bar?" Timestamps: 0:00 Intro 3:05 Long term case for gold 6:14 Long term case for silver 7:06 Why no other metals? 9:54 What drove 2025 surge in gold & silver 13:06 Did Gold peak in January? 15:20 Is debasement priced in? 17:15 Central banks are NOT independent 22:00 Gold not risk-on or risk-off – its risk-free 23:15 Gold vs Bitcoin 27:14 Physical commodity + producers + development assets 29:52 Miners cheaper than ever 33:10 Portfolio construction 34:56 Gold & Silver not normal commodities 37:25 Where Is The Gold? 42:26 Physical gold vs his fund? 43:40 Revaluation of US gold reserves? 50:13 Why buy gold & silver NOW? 51:47 Could governments behave? 54:37 Conclusion

Wilfred Frost

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