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🚨 NEEDHAM ANALYST RYAN MACDONALD: PEPTIDES COULD BE A $30+ BILLION MARKET AND $HIMS IS POSITIONED TO WIN A BIG SHARE This is most thorough deep-dive we've done on the business side of peptides: We discuss the latest peptide news, how the FDA / PCAC process actually works, the...

85,085 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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BPC-157 causing cancer? FDA shutting down peptide trials? “No human RCTs have ever been done on peptides?” In this video, Dr. Alex Tatem — board-certified urologist and fellowship-trained men’s health specialist — reacts to viral claims made on Shawn Ryan Show about BPC-157, TB-500, peptides, angiogenesis, cancer risk, and peptide safety. We break down: • Whether BPC-157 actually causes cancer • The truth about angiogenesis and tumor growth • FDA regulation of peptides and compounding • Why the “no randomized controlled trials” claim is completely false • Human clinical trial data on peptides • The real history of BPC-157 clinical studies • Huberman’s correction of viral peptide misinformation • Why peptide fearmongering could push patients toward unsafe gray-market sourcing This is not bro-science or influencer hype. This is a deep dive into the actual published literature, peptide pharmacology, FDA policy, and performance medicine. Topics covered include: BPC-157, TB-500, peptides, angiogenesis, cancer biology, GLP-1 drugs, Ozempic, tirzepatide, semaglutide, TRT, peptide therapy, biohacking, longevity, anti-aging medicine, compounding pharmacies, peptide legality, Andrew D. Huberman, Ph.D. , Shawn Ryan Show, FDA peptide regulation, growth hormone history, and performance medicine. If you’ve ever wondered whether BPC-157 is dangerous, whether peptides are legal, or whether the internet is fearmongering about peptide therapy — this video is for you.

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21,218 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

$HIMS| Adjustment on Growth toward 2030🧵 Not Financial Advice! FY2025: Revenue: $2.35B or 58% YoY (weightloss $740), Core $1.61B FY2026: Revenue $3.2B(36%) where weightloss may be down by 10-15% or flat. FY2027: Revenue $4.16B(30%) FY2028: Revenue: $5.2B(25%) FY2029 Revenue: $6.5B(25%) FY2030 Revenue: $8.12B(25%) I expect management to ramp up buyback from FCF generation while company is trading at under 2x P/S andrewdudum. The discontinuation of Hims & Hers' compounded oral semaglutide pill in early February 2026(after 2 days), prompted by FDA regulatory actions and legal pressures from Novo Nordisk, introduces near-term challenges to the weight loss segment but does not derail the company's broader growth trajectory, as it pivots aggressively toward diversification and high-potential expansions The weight loss category bolstered by liraglutide injectables, generic semaglutide in Canada, and non-GLP-1 personalized kits retains strong momentum, contributing approximately 31% of total revenue in 2025 and projected to grow at 15-20% annually through 2030, down from prior 60%+ rates but still adding $150-250 million yearly through cross-selling and retention. Offsetting this moderation are ambitious new expansions: international markets, now accounting for an initial 5-10% of revenue but scaling to 20% by 2030 via Canada entry (projected 10% growth contribution in 2026 from generic semaglutide and Livewell acquisition) and Europe/UK via Zava (adding 8-12% incremental growth through telehealth in Germany, France, and Ireland); diagnostics and labs, launched in late 2025 with Quest Diagnostics partnership and YourBio Health's pain-free blood sampling tech, offering 50-120 biomarker tests across heart, metabolism, hormones, inflammation, and stress, expected to generate 12-18% of total revenue by 2027 and ramp to a standalone $1 billion segment by 2030. Preventive care and longevity initiatives, set for full 2026 rollout including peptide manufacturing (via acquired U.S. facility, contributing 10-15% to growth through vertical integration and supply control), coenzymes, GLP/GIP blends for performance and recovery, and a $325 million Grail investment enabling multi-cancer early detection blood tests (projected to add 8-12% revenue uplift starting in 2026 by enhancing subscription retention); and hormone health expansions like menopause/perimenopause and low testosterone treatments, already driving 10% of 2025 growth and poised for 20-25% annual expansion through data-driven personalization. Multi-cancer early detection (MCED) blood testing via the Galleri® test from GRAIL in the prior breakdown, even though it was bundled under longevity/preventive care. This is a significant new offering launched on February 4, 2026, providing subscribers (via the Labs platform) access to a simple annual blood test that screens for signals shared by over 50 types of cancer (including hard-to-detect ones like pancreatic, liver, ovarian, and lung) before symptoms appear. Hims & Hers is offering it at a discounted ~$700 (vs. retail $949), following their participation in GRAIL's $325 million private placement investment in late 2025, which strengthens the partnership and positions this as a core pillar of proactive/longevity care. This could help push Average growth to 30-35% vs 28.2%(my above revised projection). These levers, combined with a subscriber base exceeding 2.5 million (up 31% YoY) and AI-enhanced platform efficiency under new CTO leadership, support an upward revision to growth rates targeting 22-25% CAGR from 2026-2030 to meet the company's $6.5 billion revenue goal, far outpacing prior conservative estimates of mid-teens expansion. This high-growth scenario assumes execution on global scaling, regulatory navigation (FDA approvals for compounded alternatives), and margin recovery to 74-78% via vertical integration, positioning Hims & Hers as a comprehensive digital health ecosystem rather than a GLP-1-dependent player, with potential upside from emerging trends like peptide demand (up 144% in Google searches) and proactive wellness adoption. Not Financial Advice!

Mike

273,519 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

$HIMS Price Target in last 2 months & Eucalyptus✍️ Not Fianancial Advice! DYOR! Jefferies – lowered to $24.50 (from $25.50). Needham (Ryan MacDonald) – Buy, raised $30 → $35 BofA Securities (Allen Lutz) – Neutral, lowered $28 → $25 Leerink – Hold, $25 (maintain). Jun 3, 2026: Canaccord – Buy, $32 (maintain) JPMorgan (Cory Carpenter): Overweight, $35→ $33 Most of these analysts demand proof of re-accelerated growth, and refused to add Eucalyptus revenue in. Refused to build model/forecast on $HIMS scaling in 9 different countries. Q2 2026 will have 26-30% growth. Q3 and Q4 2026 will add Eucalyptue revenue in. But Eucalyptus entire year revenue belongs to $HIMS, but bears will say how much respect they have to reporting standard so they won't add it to Q1 Q2. That is fine, but as for investors u should be aware that Eucalyptus had an annualized revenue run-rate of ~$450M+ (as of early 2026) and now with with $HIMS growth will accelerate, where $HIMS raised guidance Full Year 2026: $2.8B – $3.0B did not include Eucalyptus. Eucalyptus is projected to have $600-$900M for FY2026(or $750m mid point) Q1 Q2 2026 adds around $120 and $150m estimated. $HIMS guidance for Q2 without Eucalyptus is $680-$700m Or consolidated $HIMS Q1 2026 $608.1m + $120m=$728.1m or 24.2% YoY Q2 2026 $680m(guide) + $150m=$800m or 52% YoY Q3 2026 $800m(est) +$200m= $1B or 67% YoY Q4 2026 $912m (est) + $280m= $1.192B or 93% YoY A. FY2027 when included all Eucalyptus revenue =$3.72B(conservative)-$4B(High end) or 58.2%-70.2% B. FY2027 when excluded Eucalyptus Q1 Q2 revenue =$3.48B(conseravtive)-$3.7B(High end) or 48%-57.4% Short sellers will say Eucalyptus is inorganic growth and they will only use B calculation above because they respect reporting standard. Or how they will wait until FY2027 so bears have time to exit at cheap share price. Eucalyptus is a strategic platform builder with synergy potential, not just a pure revenue add-on. The completion of Eucalyptus in June 2, 2026 marks a pivotal step in transforming Hims from a primarily U.S.-centric telehealth provider into a truly global consumer health platform. This deal accelerates Hims’ international footprint, giving it immediate leadership or strengthened positions in key markets and positioning the company to serve customers across approximately 9 countries through a combination of direct operations, local brands, and growing presence. Combined with Hims’ existing U.S. dominance, this creates a robust multi-continent platform focused on personalized, affordable care in areas like sexual health, hair loss, mental health, weight management (including GLP-1 offerings where regulated), and more. United States, United Kingdom, Australia, Canada, Germany, France, Ireland, Spain, Japan. $HIMS revenue growth internationally will accelerate growth and avoid US market concentration risk. Long term management guided $6.5 billion revenue and $1.3 billion Adjusted EBITDA by 2030. IMO this guidance will be reached by 2028/2029. Not Fianancial Advice! DYOR! Clip from :

Mike

64,664 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce