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Netanyahu: Iran has launched an intercontinental ballistic missile towards Diego Garcia "That is 4000 km. I have always warned. Now they have that capability. They are penetrating deep into Europe. They have already targeted the European country Cyprus. They are taking everything under aim," he believes. 🇬🇧 Meanwhile, The...

25,856 views • 3 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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🇮🇷🇮🇱| A little more to understand... My opinion: The war may end in a few days or last a lot longer—all depending on whether or not the US joins Israel. Israel is not able to fight against Iran for much longer; its interceptors have a certain capability threshold, and reports already suggest it is rationing its interceptor missiles, and we've seen how 12-17 interceptors were launched, yet Iranian missiles still made an impact. It all comes down to whether the US is willing to go to war with Iran or not; it's likely they will if you consider Trump's administrative behavior since he took office. But honestly, if they are smart, they will not. - A little about Iran's missile situation: Israel says it's conducting operations in northwestern and western Iran to prevent the reactivation of missile bases in Tabriz, Kermanshah, and Khorramabad. A significant portion of the Israeli Air Force is now focused on these 3 sites to prevent further missile launches from those locations. This suggests that the sites they claim they destroyed did not suffer strategic damage, and the destroyed hangars were of minimal value. As a result, Israel continuously carries out operations and remains engaged to prevent Iran from reactivating its capabilities in the west. If these 3 regions are abandoned, Israel will move on to target other strategic sites. These 3 missile bases are among Iran's key assets. The missiles are intact and untouched, it's the launchers that are affected, and they can easily be reactivated, but it's difficult under continuous attacks. Other missile bases in the south remain untouched and have so far not been used, as they are probably being reserved for strikes against the US. Missile launches are mainly launched from the center and north of Iran, some from the western regions as well. The reason for limited and isolated launches these past few days has several explanations, mainly that Iran is testing to recognize new patterns everytime a serious attack is carried out, as Israel continuously changes its defensive behavior to prevent Iran's intelligence from learning it; thus, isolated launches, followed by a bigger, deadlier, and more accurate attack with 30 launches as we saw today.

Arya - آریا

55,523 views • 1 year ago

Iran launches symbolic missile attack against Israel, which retaliates strongly After Iran launched a symbolic attack against Israel in protest against the attacks on Beirut, hours later it was Israel's turn to retaliate, this time indeed with violence and hitting more than 10 targets in Iran, including Tehran airport and Tehran, Isfahan, Tabriz, Kermanshah, Karaj, and some other areas in western Iran. Israel used air-launched ballistic missiles from Iranian airspace and also dared to launch cruise missiles from ships stationed in the Mediterranean. The White House said the US had no part in the attack; however, strangely, American tanker planes were seen in the air. Refueling whom? It wasn't my motorcycle. There are two questions at this moment: One is that since the Iranian retaliation did not hit targets in Israel in a significant way, it is very likely that Iran still has a serious problem with the refurbishment and upgrade of its long-range missiles. And the other is that perhaps the US has not only reinstated THAAD radars and others but also added more batteries brought from Asia that were positioned in advance in the corridors. Be that as it may, the current situation forces Iran to retaliate and show that it possesses real means of inflicting damage on Israel. There will be no ceasefire in Lebanon in the way Iran desires, simply because Israel saw the quantity of missiles that Hezbollah accumulated in a short period of time and will not allow that again. Israel has its own agenda, its own interests, and they are completely antagonistic to the peace plan that has been discussed. Trump is trying to save his political skin, but Netanyahu will impose his agenda and Trump will be dragged along by it. But while Trump isn't dragged along, Iran seems to be wanting to settle scores with Israel, launching a new wave of missiles along with Yemen, which, by all accounts, has also decided to launch missiles against Israel. It remains to be seen what the level of these attacks will be. In the last few instances, the Houthis launched merely symbolic attacks. Join my substack and support my work:

Patricia Marins

200,195 views • 1 month ago

Backing Off on Attacks Against Iran At the request of Arab countries and Israel, the US has decided to indefinitely postpone plans to attack Iran. There are three points in this equation: 1 - Missiles would fly toward Israel without the country having prepared for it; 2 - The Strait of Hormuz would be closed, causing immense losses to oil-producing countries; 3 - American assets in the region would not be sufficient. I’ve said it several times here: Iran is a big player. In the 12-day war, the Iranian navy stayed out of the conflict, but today, knowing that the attack would be aimed at regime change, the Iranians would use everything they have. In those 12 days they practically lost nothing of their arsenal; not even long-range defense systems were destroyed. They hid everything, from aircraft to long range batteries. But today they would fight with everything they have. And that mainly means their three primary anti-ship missiles: Abu Mahdi, Talaiyeh, and Ghadr-380 (Qadr-380). All three with a range of 1,000–1,700 km. That is power not only to close the Strait of Hormuz, but to do the same in the Gulf of Aden and the part of Arabian Sea, causing chaos in the markets. How to take the opportunity and support the riots, without risking the main global trade route? A country of 90 million inhabitants that is as well-armed as Iran is not one that external agents can decide overnight to attack and change its government. For more than 50 years, the CIA and Mossad have been trying to overthrow the Iranian government without success. Now the regime is in a fragile moment, under popular pressure, but when we talk about Iran, nothing is so clear. The US options are limited to selective strikes, far from anything that could implode the regime. The truth is that anything of greater magnitude would put the regime in survival mode, attacking Israel, American bases, closing ship transit, and halting global markets. But I don’t think the US and Israel will let this opportunity pass so easily. New chapters will follow.

Patricia Marins

100,478 views • 6 months ago

No,it's not. They can be easily detected The Iran–US–Israel war is now a war of missile inventories, not armies. Here are the hard facts about Iran’s arsenal, underground launches, and how the war is evolving. 1️⃣ Iran’s Missile Arsenal (Before War) • ~2,500–3,000 ballistic missiles total • 14+ missile types • Largest missile stockpile in the Middle East • Ranges up to ~2,000 km (enough to strike Israel and US bases) This includes: • Shahab-3 • Ghadr-H • Sejjil-2 • Kheibar-Shekan • Khorramshahr-4 • Fateh-110 • Haj Qasem precision missiles Many travel Mach 10–15 and carry 500–1,500 kg warheads. 2️⃣ How many missiles Iran still has Estimates vary due to active combat: • ~2,000 heavy ballistic missiles may still remain in the arsenal • Some intelligence estimates put total remaining stock around 1,500–2,000 missiles • Western officials say launch rates are dropping due to destroyed launch sites Iran also has thousands of drones which are cheaper and easier to produce. 3️⃣ What weapons Iran is using now Primary strike systems: 🔹 Ballistic missiles • Kheibar-Shekan • Sejjil • Ghadr • Shahab-3 🔹 Hypersonic systems • Fattah-1 / Fattah-2 reportedly used recently 🔹 Cruise missiles • Soumar • Hoveyzeh 🔹 Drone swarms • Shahed-136 • Arash long-range drones The strategy: Overwhelm air defenses with mass launches. 4️⃣ Underground missile cities Iran launches missiles from: • mountain tunnels • underground depots • mobile TEL launchers Missiles roll out, erect, and launch within minutes — making pre-strike detection extremely difficult. This doctrine was built specifically to survive US air superiority. 5️⃣ How the war is going right now Current battlefield situation: • US-Israel strikes hit 2,000+ Iranian targets including missile bases • Iran launched hundreds of missiles and drones across the Gulf and Israel • IRGC continues retaliation despite leadership losses US and Israeli officials say: ➡ Iran’s missile capability may already be reduced by up to 80%+ in some regions due to strikes on launch infrastructure. But Iran still has enough missiles for sustained attacks. 6️⃣ Important reality Iran does NOT have a confirmed operational ICBM force yet. Most missiles are: • SRBM: 300–700 km • MRBM: 1,000–2,500 km Meaning: ✔ Israel ✔ US bases in Middle East ✔ Gulf oil infrastructure are within range. But continental US is not. 7️⃣ What happens next The war is entering a dangerous phase: • US moving air campaign deeper into Iran • Iran conserving remaining missiles • Drone and proxy attacks increasing This is becoming a long attrition war of missiles vs air defense interceptors. The side that runs out of missiles or interceptors first will lose the strategic edge.

Cultslinger07

42,652 views • 4 months ago

The US can apply pressure, but Iran is not Venezuela. The choice to arm groups in Iran instead of investing in peaceful protests eliminated all chances for the movement seeking greater change and freedom. Although President Trump is discussing support for the protesters and possible aid, I don't believe there are resources available for that. Although Iran is facing severe problems with electricity and water, in addition to high inflation and debts from the 12-day war, they have accelerated repairs on military installations as well as in the missile cities. The manufacturing and the pace of refurbishment of missiles produced before 2015 and with liquid fuel, such as the Shahab-3, Emad, Ghadr, and the Soumar cruise missiles, are proceeding at full steam. A country like Iran can recondition more than 1,000 of these missiles in 6 months. Anyone who thinks Iran's missile stock is somehow limited is deluding themselves. The missile cities are fully loaded. There may be shortages of water and electricity in the country, but missile production there has proven to be a priority. Furthermore, a new attack on Iran could unite the country and lead to violent retaliations against various American bases, in addition to closing the Strait of Hormuz with more than 20 submarines and thousands of anti-ship missiles with ranges exceeding 1,000 km, causing daily economic losses of billions to the world. And there's another thing to worry about. The US sent Israel more than 90,000 tons of bombs that were dropped on Gaza and Iran. This left American stocks in a position where they have not yet been replenished. The same goes for air defense missiles from both the US and Israel, which have not yet been restocked. The entire situation is being evaluated by the US. Iran used little of what it has in the 12-day war, mainly because it knew it had been caught by surprise and was without strategic air defense systems. It preserved a large part of its military units. Today, it is likely that Iran would treat any attack and the proportional retaliation as matters of survival. Furthermore, Iran is more under Chinese and Russian influence than American, another point that differs greatly from the Venezuela situation. President Trump is already dealing with problems in Venezuela and now this Greenland issue. Given the weapon stock issues, Iran's potential retaliations, and the matters Trump is still resolving, I don't think an attack on Iran is likely, unless it's something small and symbolic.

Patricia Marins

24,061 views • 6 months ago