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Netanyahu struck Qatar despite warnings from the Mossad that it was a bad idea. Due to a lack of cooperation, it failed. Now the Hamas leaders are alive, and the Abraham Accords are at risk. The hostage negotiations have also been significantly set back. Why was this such a disaster?

27,322 просмотров • 10 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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🚨Netanyahu, Trump and Rubio say they're seeking alternatives to free the hostages. Shortly I'll outline what I understand is being considered. But first: it's a completely coordinated move. Netanyahu, Trump, Rubio had a phone call revealing that Hamas, contrary to many reports (even here in Israel) is stalling talks, and as Trump and Witkoff have said, Hamas never wanted a deal in this round of talks. Hamas seems to think domestic and international pressure will force Israel to end the war. So Trump, Rubio, and Netanyahu are saying, in different words, that Israel's about to take new steps. Now, what could these steps be? It could be several things. One example: pressuring Hamas leadership abroad. Assassinations in Qatar. An American and Israeli demand to extradite Hamas leaders in Qatar, correctly claiming they committed war crimes against 1,200 Israelis, dozens of whom are also American. Second example: threats of land seizure or exile if Hamas doesn’t release hostages within a set timeframe. Other options are being considered, but Trump and Rubio are signaling that they're giving Israel a carte blanche for a major shift in the war. They see it's at an impasse due to the constant stop-start hostage release negotiations, and are claiming that Hamas is using this to prolong the war indefinitely and force Israel to end it on Hamas’ terms. There’s also confusion about what ending the war means. Everyone wants the war to end. The question is, what kind of ending? Even if Trump might be Netanyahu's puppet and if Rubio's clueless, senior officials from the previous government repeatedly said — despite their opposition to the current government — that Hamas was the main obstacle all along. This portrayal of Hamas wanting to end the war, and the cruel Israel, which for political reasons wants to war to go on forever is simply false. Hamas wants something that no Israeli leader, including opposition figures, is willing to accept. Hamas wants the war to end with a full IDF withdrawal from Gaza, without a single centimeter between Gaza and Israeli communities. Yair Lapid and Naftali Bennett previously spoke about remaining on the perimeter. That's great. I wish it were possible. Hamas simply doesn't agree. It seems to me that if this isn't merely a negotiation tactic to pressure Hamas and show American support for Israel, then we're heading towards a major turning point in this war.

Amit Segal

124,624 просмотров • 1 год назад