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🚨 Never Struggle on Red Market Days Again, Watch Timestamped Recaps & Learn Life Changing strategies > VIX Setups > MTF Clouds > Gap Fills > Holding Winner > Trade the Open > Day2 Strategy > Trading Crypto Short $TSLA $AAPL $MSTR $LLY $IREN $CRWV X Video Youtube in comments

62,612 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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📺 $TSLA STILL STRONG BUT EXTENDED – YOU SHOULDN’T BE BUYING HERE Please ❤️like and 🔁share with fellow Tesla traders/investors #Tesla closed strong last week at $428.35. The stock is in a rising channel, with momentum still intact. However, it’s approaching a major resistance zone that could define the next multi-week move. * $442.26 – $444.99 is the critical area, which aligns with the rising channel top and is expected to cap price action through May and possibly June. Base case is #TSLA likely tests this zone this week, then struggles to break higher immediately. Expect then a pullback toward $418 (short-term) and $387.07 (key support), with the potential deeper move toward $347.63 (major support / Q3 bottom zone). * If $TSLA closes this week above $444.99, that’s a confirmed breakout that triggers a momentum “pull-away” move. Upside targets: – $498.83 (December high retest) → within 3–8 weeks – $541.30 → within 2–5 months Note: this only happens on confirmed strength, not intraday spikes. If $TSLA fails at $442–445, expect rotation lower. If it closes the week below $415.83, it will signal a short-term top and open the door to $387.07 (primary target) and potential acceleration lower. * So, what NOT to do: – Don’t chase in the low $440 s – that’s resistance, not opportunity. What to do instead: – Short-term traders may sell / short into $442–445 resistance. Target is $418 (quick trade) and $387 (swing trade). Alternative short trigger: breakdown below $415.83 → short continuation. – Long strategy: stay long above $418, buy dips at $387 (high-probability level) and possibly $347 (if deeper correction). – Breakout buyers: only get aggressive if confirmed close above $444.99. * So, $TSLA is still strong but extended. $442–445 is the decision zone: – Rejection → pullback and range – Breakout → fast move toward $500+ The smart play here isn’t chasing strength — it’s trading the levels and letting the market confirm direction. * Watch the full Trading Plan for May 11, 2026 in this short video🔽

Wicked Stocks

29,516 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

Here's exactly how a 22 year old returned 283% in last year's US Investing Championship: ∙Listening to the stocks you're trading ∙Managing risk, and fighting for huge R:R multiples ∙Martin's journey and key influences ∙Equity curve mindset Great work Martin Luk — Timestamps: 00:00 – How a 100% trade shifted Martin’s entire mindset 01:31 – Lessons from studying prior big movers 04:54 – Starting with $1,300 in 2020 and early influences 08:56 – From tripling his account to a brutal 50% drawdown 13:23 – Foundational growth through books, podcasts, and mentors 17:02 – Adopting a tighter stop strategy from Christian Kalayjian 24:27 – Martin’s swing trading style, low win rate, high R setups 30:50 – Why tight stops lead to parabolic R multiple gains 33:51 – Backtesting winners: Big movers rarely revisit breakout lows 36:00 – Ideal entry tactics: Inside days, ORH, and prior day highs 40:45 – Sell strategies: Into strength vs. trailing stops 47:50 – Case study: SMCI trade and painful exit mistake 55:10 – COIN trade driven by crypto correlation and pattern break 01:01:10 – GME & AMC: Fast gains using tight intraday structure 01:10:18 – Traditional breakout example: SOFI 01:16:33 – Parabolic trade and sell signals using volume and distance 01:21:19 – QUBT re-entry and lessons on precise breakout timing 01:24:52 – Best loss of the year: SMTC and honoring stops 01:26:50 – Mistakes from CSK and recognizing emotional entries 01:30:38 – Martin’s scanning system: Pre-market, daily, and leaders 01:35:22 – How watchlists reveal market health and trend 01:42:03 – Short setup breakdowns: Declining EMA + intraday resistance 01:50:12 – SMCI short and trailing rules for shorts vs. longs 01:55:03 – Using your equity curve as market feedback 02:01:09 – Martin’s top trading weaknesses and progress 02:03:07 – Reducing drawdowns: Lessons from SURF loss 02:08:01 – Final advice: Trading is a marathon, not a sprint Have a great weekend! 🦁

TraderLion

13,458 просмотров • 1 год назад

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Unity Academy

786,658 просмотров • 2 лет назад

Making Sense Of Strategy What is happening with $MSTR? If you’ve been following me on X for any meaningful length of time, you will know that I have been attempting to calibrate people’s expectations of the stock's performance for the best part of 2025. Here I have synthesised all of my thoughts and distilled them into a single video. If you prefer YouTube, you can watch it here: If you prefer written format, continue reading. The first thing we need to understand is what Strategy is and why people invest in it. Strategy At the highest level, Strategy is leveraged Bitcoin. That’s it. Strategy leverages debt to acquire more Bitcoin. Therefore, the main reason you invest in Strategy is because you want to outperform Bitcoin. The only thing better than Bitcoin is more Bitcoin. The second thing we need to understand is mNAV. mNAV Generally speaking for a pure-play Bitcoin Treasury Company like Strategy, mNAV is a reflection of the market's expectation of future Bitcoin Yield. Bitcoin Yield comes with diminishing returns because each additional Bitcoin purchase contributes less to Bitcoin Per Share. Thus, the larger your Bitcoin stack, the harder it becomes to generate Bitcoin Yield and by extension the harder it becomes to outperform Bitcoin. This is why on a Bitcoin Standard, over a long enough time horizon, mNAV trends towards 1 since the maximum amount of Bitcoin you can own is 21M. With all this in mind, why is Strategy trading where it is and why is it trading at such a low mNAV? There are a few reasons. 1. Strategy Is A Different Company In 2025 Firstly, Strategy is a totally different company in 2025 to the one it was in 2020. For context, believe it or not, the company only introduced Bitcoin Yield and Bitcoin Per Share in the July 2024 Q2 Earnings Call and so it was only after that that they began optimising for those metrics. In my view, that is also when Michael Saylor truly started to understand the opportunity that was in front of him, which is why in October 2024 we saw Strategy announce the 21/21 plan which became the catalyst for the parabolic run we saw in November 2024 where $MSTR went on to briefly hit an all-time-high of around $550. Since people are comparing $MSTR this cycle to the $MSTR of last cycle when it briefly traded at an mNAV of over 8x, it is distorting their expectations. Again, Strategy is a totally different company today with a totally different set of dynamics. 2. New Industry Secondly, we need to recognise that the Bitcoin Treasury Company industry is entirely new which means that the market has been forced to learn and adapt in real-time. With Strategy being the first and by far the largest Bitcoin Treasury Company, it has gained a disproportionate amount of attention and as a result it has attracted a disproportionate amount of speculative capital along the way while everyone has been trying to figure out how to value it. Consequently, in my view, the move we saw in November 2024 was an over-correction to the upside — which by the way coincided with Bitcoin’s parabolic run following Donald Trump’s election win — and what we’re now seeing is an over-correction to the downside. 3. Bitcoin Yield Thirdly, as I mentioned at the beginning, Bitcoin Treasury Companies are currently valued based on how much Bitcoin Yield they are expected to generate in the future. At the time of recording, Strategy currently holds precisely 637,460 Bitcoin — that’s over 3% of the total Bitcoin supply — which means that it is much, much harder to generate meaningful Bitcoin Yield, which again is why we’re seeing the mNAV compress. However, there is a caveat here. There is another metric that Strategy have introduced which is Bitcoin $ Gain. Bitcoin $ Gain is defined as the $ value of newly acquired Bitcoin within any period. Strategy — and I don’t blame them — have been attempting to encourage the market to interpret Bitcoin $ Gain as “earnings” and to value the company based on how much earnings it is expected to generate in the future. For full disclosure, I personally dislike Bitcoin $ Gain as a valuation metric. I think framing it as “earnings” is misleading and disingenuous. I understand why it has been introduced because it speaks the language of Wall Street. However, traditional earnings are final. Bitcoin $ Gain is not because it is forever subject to the price of Bitcoin. Therefore, for Bitcoin $ Gain to be embraced by Wall Street, the market must collectively agree that Bitcoin is going up forever. I remain very sceptical of that happening — especially in the short-to-medium term. However, I am also not attached to my beliefs and so if Wall Street does decide to embrace Bitcoin $ Gain as its primary valuation metric, then $MSTR is likely undervalued by a factor of 5-10x. If not, then $MSTR is likely undervalued by a factor of 1-2x. If you’re not content with the latter being the worst case scenario, then the stock probably isn’t for you. 4. Preferred Products Fourthly, the Strategy thesis right now revolves entirely around the success of its preferred products. Remember, Michael Saylor wants Strategy to become the Amazon of the fixed income market. Thus, we’re not talking about a small innovation here — we are talking about completely transforming global finance. This means that the process of generating awareness and educating the market that will ultimately drive demand for these products is going to take years — not months — which is why you need to have a long time-horizon. Presently, the market is completely discounting the success of Strategy’s preferred products. What it’s not factoring in however is that the capital markets are desperate for yield right now. Thus, when — not if — but when, they eventually wake up to Bitcoin, how do you think they’re going to get that yield? Who is going to be the entity that is offering Bitcoin-backed credit instruments at scale? The answer is obviously Strategy, but again, this is a 5-to-10 year and beyond story. So with all that said, if you’re reading this right now, what should you do? Valuing Strategy There are 3 steps you need to take: 1. Firstly, you need to define your time horizon. In other words, how long do you intend on holding the stock for? 2. Secondly, you need to estimate either — depending on your preferred metric — how much Bitcoin Yield or how much Bitcoin $ Gain you expect Strategy to generate during that period and then calculate how much you expect $MSTR to outperform Bitcoin based on those values. 3. Thirdly, ask yourself whether you’d be satisfied with the level of outperformance you have calculated? In other words, is the trade-off worth it? Or would you be better off investing in either spot Bitcoin, an alternative Bitcoin Treasury Company or a Bitcoin ETF. If you’re satisfied with the level of outperformance that you’ve calculated, then $MSTR it probably a good choice of investment for you. If you're not satisfied, then $MSTR is probably a bad choice of investment for you. I personally believe that $MSTR will outperform Bitcoin by a minimum factor of 1-2x over the next 5/10 years and potentially much more if Bitcoin $ Gain becomes the primary metric by which it is valued, but again, I remain sceptical of that happening. Regardless, the best is yet to come.

Chris Millas

36,835 просмотров • 11 месяцев назад

I spent and hour of my Saturday reviewing hundreds of charts. These are the setups that stood out and what you should focus on this week Friday changed the tone of this market. The AI trade is under pressure. Software is pulling back. Relative strength is starting to stand out. $GOOGL held up. $AAPL barely cracked. $C continues to show strength while growth stocks unwind. Here’s the watchlist and recording: $SPX: One of the ugliest days we've seen in months. Closed near the lows after breaking the 20-day. 7330-7290 is the first support zone. Below that opens 7273 and potentially 7150. $QQQ: Nearly 5% down on Friday. AI leadership is under pressure. Watching 695 support closely. $IWM: Back to 280 support. Watching whether this becomes a swing low or just another bounce that gets sold. $BTC: Still under pressure. Failed reclaim of the 200-day. No clear setup here. $SMH: Nearly 9% down Friday. Semis finally cracked. Watching for either a relief bounce or continuation lower. $MSFT: Failed after briefly reclaiming the 200-day. Still holding trend support but needs buyers soon. $AAPL: One of the stronger mega caps. Technical damage is limited compared to the rest of the market. Worth watching. $GOOGL: One of the better-looking charts. Holding the earnings gap and showing relative strength. Above 373 could trigger a relief move. $AMZN: Broke the 50-day and looks vulnerable. Could see a move toward the 200-day near 232. $NVDA: Momentum has faded. Sitting on the 50-day near 203. Must hold. $TSLA: Significant technical damage. Lost the 200-day, 50-day, 20-day, and 9-day. Needs major repair work. $META: Still holding the lower end of its range. 600 remains the key level. $AMD: Looks like it wants to fill the gap lower. Semis remain under pressure. $AAPL: Relative strength remains notable. One of the few mega caps still acting well. $NFLX: Quiet relative strength. Not an easy trade, but worth noting. $LLY: Strong healthcare leadership. Above 1165 opens another attempt at highs. Must hold 1100. $JPM: Financials are starting to show relative strength. $C: One of the stronger bank charts. Pullback remains very controlled. $WFC: Held up well and continues to show relative strength. $GS: Large engulfing pullback. Watching for stabilization. $GE: Rotational strength worth monitoring. $CROX: Continues to hold the 9-day and trend higher. Relative strength stands out. $SNOW: Pulling back into the 9-day after earnings. Watching for support. $DDOG: Pulling back with software but still one of the stronger charts in the group. $PLTR: Rejected at the 200-day. Needs more work. $IBM: Back below the 9-day. Harder chart for now. $DELL: Pulling back into the 9-day after earnings. Watching for buyers to step in. $HOOD: Pulling back into range support. $CRWD: Watching 670 as a potential support area after earnings. $NET: Backtesting the 9-day. One of the better software recovery stories. $BE: Still consolidating near highs. No major damage yet. $MU: Sharp pullback. Watching for a bounce near current levels. $WDC: Big pullback after a huge run. $SNDK: Pulling back but no major technical damage yet. Watching closely. Overall theme: Friday changed the character of the market. The focus shifts from chasing momentum to identifying what held up during the selloff. $GOOGL, $AAPL, $C, $WFC, $CROX, and select software names are showing the best relative strength. For now, caution is warranted. Let the market prove it wants to bounce before getting aggressive.

spacemonkey

37,634 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

📺 $TSLA TESTS CRITICAL SELL ZONE AS MOMENTUM WEAKENS Please ❤️like and 🔁share with fellow Tesla traders/investors #Tesla was down significantly on Friday and is trading lower on Monday, which materially changes the tone versus the bullish breakout scenario that was developing above the mid-$440s. $TSLA reached a major resistance cluster in the low-$450s, failed to generate sustained follow-through buying, and is now increasingly vulnerable to a bearish rotation lower over the next several weeks. Several overlapping technical structures converged in that area: – $451.39 is a key intraday resistance level on the daily chart – $452.57 is a rising channel top – $453.29–$453.91 is a descending channel resistance zone The importance of this region is that #TSLA tested it multiple times but repeatedly failed to attract continuation buying. The market briefly traded above some of these levels intraday, but the move lacked momentum and quickly faded. * The low-$450s remain the key battleground for Tesla. As long as the price stays below this zone, the setup increasingly favors a bearish rotation rather than a bullish breakout continuation. * The bullish case still exists, but it requires very specific confirmation levels: – A daily close above $453.91 would likely trigger momentum buying toward $474.07 relatively quickly – A Friday weekly close above $453.91 would significantly strengthen the chart and open the door for a move toward $498.83, the prior all-time high from December – If Tesla can firmly reclaim and hold above both $444.60 and $453.91, the longer-term upside projection expands dramatically, with a 2–3 month target near $541.84 BUT $TSLA is not in that bullish breakout regime yet. Right now, the stock is instead reacting negatively to meaningful resistance. * Key downside levels now: – $430.74 — a near-term trigger level. Trading below this shifts momentum bearish. – $409.03 — the 3/8 Fibonacci retracement level and a primary downside objective over the next 3–5 days. – $398.08 — rising channel support and an extremely important support zone. – $349.97 — the larger bearish rotation target if support fails. A gap-open under $422 materially increases the probability of an immediate move toward $409.03, potentially even during Monday’s session itself. * Tesla may trade inside a very large range for weeks or even months: – Resistance in the low-$450s – Support in the $398–$409 zone That creates a tactical two-sided trading environment: – Traders could potentially short rallies into the low-$450s, anticipating another rejection – Conversely, if #TSLA drops into the $398–$409 support region and stabilizes, the stock could rebound back toward the $450 s within 1–2 weeks * The most important bearish trigger is a decisive breakdown below $398.08. If $TSLA closes below that level over the next couple of weeks, the odds of a fast move back toward the original $349.97 channel bottom rise substantially, potentially within 3–5 weeks or sooner. * Watch the full analysis for May 18, 2026 in this short video🔽

Wicked Stocks

12,961 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

I spent 2 hours of my Saturday reviewing hundreds of charts. These are the setups that stood out and what you should focus on this week. Software and healthcare are starting to catch a bid. Semiconductors are showing fatigue. The next rotation may already be underway. 📼 Video attached (8m 25s) $SNOW is breaking higher from a strong earnings base. $PANW is reclaiming 300 and looks ready for continuation. $LLY continues to show exceptional relative strength. Here’s the watchlist and recording: $SPX: Still trapped in a range. 7338 remains the key support. Holding it keeps the higher-low thesis intact. Below 7236 opens downside toward 7150. Above 7500 would be a strong signal that the pullback is complete. $QQQ: Showing relative weakness versus SPX. Holding the 50-day moving average for now, but a break below 700 could open a move toward 685. $IWM: One of the strongest indices right now. Watching 300 closely. A breakout could trigger a move into all-time highs and potentially much higher. $SMH: Starting to roll over. Unable to hold the 9-day moving average. Below 600 could open a larger pullback toward 550. $IGV: One of the most interesting charts in the market. Software finally caught a strong bid on Friday after weeks of selling. Watching for continuation. $AAPL: Strong relative strength Friday. Above 286 could trigger a gap-fill toward 293. Above 302 would be very bullish. $MSFT: Potential swing low forming. Failed breakdown at yearly lows and a strong reversal Friday. Needs 376-380 reclaimed before confidence returns. $GOOGL: Nice bounce but still lacking a clear setup. Watching for follow-through from Friday’s strength. $AMZN: Still fighting with the 200-day moving average. Worth monitoring if the rotation into mega caps continues. $NFLX: One of the stronger recoveries. Holding 70 and reclaiming 75 could trigger a failed-breakdown move back toward highs. $NVDA: Still weak. Watching 109 and the 200-day moving average. A break there could lead to another leg lower. $TSLA: Remains difficult. Needs a move back above 400 before becoming interesting. Bigger level remains 418 near the 200-day moving average. $FCEL: Huge momentum. Watching a break above 25-26 for continuation. $MRNA: Healthcare remains strong. Watching above 68 for continuation. $NOW: Attempting to bottom. Watching for a reclaim of the 50-day moving average. $SNOW: One of the better software charts. Holding the earnings gap and breaking trend. Watching 248-250. $DDOG: Strong software setup. Holding its earnings gap and building a higher low. Watching 242. $BROS: Breaking a major daily trendline. Watching above 72 for continuation toward 80+. $CROX: Strong relative strength. Watching 130 for continuation. $LLY: One of the strongest charts in healthcare. Watching continuation above 1200 or a pullback into support. $UBER: Excellent recovery. Reclaimed the 50-day moving average. Watching 76.5-77. $XYZ: Strong close near range highs. Above 78 could open a move toward 82-85. $NET: Software leadership candidate. Watching above 240. $HUT: Strong setup. Watching a breakout above 127-130. $OKTA: Similar setup to SNOW and DDOG. Watching 125 for continuation. $OSCR: Healthcare continues to lead. Above 30 could open a move toward 37 and all-time highs. $XLV: One of the strongest sectors in the market. Healthcare continues to attract capital. $PANW: One of my favorite charts. Holding 300 and reclaiming 305-306 could trigger a major move. $CRWD: Looking constructive. Holding 700 is key. Watching 704-705. $ABNB: Watching the important 148-150 area. $SN: Strong trend. Watching 145-146 for continuation. $SPCX: Holding the 150 area. No trade for now unless it breaks below 148 or reclaims momentum higher. $MU: Pulling back after a huge run. Watching 1000 and 1100. $QCOM: Looking tired. A break below 186 could open further downside. $SNDK: Needs to hold 2000. Below that, 1850 becomes the next major area. Overall theme: Money appears to be rotating out of semiconductors and AI leaders. Software is finally showing signs of life. Healthcare continues to outperform. The best opportunities may no longer be where they’ve been for the last few months. SNOW, PANW, LLY, DDOG, CRWD, and FCEL are some of my favorite charts going into next week. If you like this, please like it ❤️

spacemonkey

56,205 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

I spent my Sunday mapping the setups that matter most this shortened week. Tech is still leading this market. Software earnings may decide what happens next. $QCOM is setting up above 242. $ASTS continues to show momentum in the space trade. $ZS software earnings could shift the tone for the entire group. Here’s the watchlist and recording: $SPX: Healthy week overall. Reclaimed the 9-day and pushed back above 7500 before fading into Friday’s close. Trend remains intact. A higher low here could set up another breakout attempt above 7500. $QQQ: Still rangebound between roughly 695 and ATHs near 722. Tech leadership remains intact, but there’s a mild double top warning if momentum stalls. $IWM: Constructive range near highs. 270 double bottom held perfectly. Not bearish at all. Still one of the cleaner consolidation setups if rates cooperate. $BTC #BTC: No trade for now. Sitting below major moving averages. Needs 84–85K reclaim before momentum becomes interesting again. $SMH: New ATH Friday despite $NVDA weakness. Semiconductor rotation remains alive. Above 583 opens the door toward 600. $AAPL: Extremely strong. Multiple new highs. 303 is first warning. 300 is must-hold. As long as buyers defend breakout levels, trend remains intact. $MSFT: Harder trade, but very large cup-and-handle structure. Above 530 opens 542. Bigger breakout potential if momentum follows. $AMZN: One of the better big tech setups. Friday was a clean backtest of breakout trendline. Above 270 gets interesting quickly. $GOOGL: Looking tired. 380 reclaim could trigger failed breakdown reversal. Otherwise, not much here. $TSLA: Interesting setup. 420 and 435 are the key levels. Above 435 opens gap-fill toward 442. $NVDA: Weak post-earnings reaction. Pulling back into prior breakout zone around 215–217 and the 20-day. Needs to hold that area. $AMD: New ATH Friday but failed to hold the move. Above 470 could re-ignite momentum. $AVGO: Large range consolidation. Harder trade for now. $NVTS: One of the cleaner semiconductor momentum setups. One-time framing higher. Above 30 keeps continuation alive. $DELL: Fantastic structure. 298 opens 300. Above 300 could accelerate. $QCOM: One of the cleaner setups this week. 242 breakout opens 248–250. $RGTI: Quantum momentum remains alive. Above 27 opens 30+. $QBTS: Similar quantum continuation setup. $AXTI: One of the strongest photonics names right now. Clear leadership. $AAOI: Laggard vs AXTI but above 193 opens 200. $LITE: Looking constructive. 1000 reclaim could trigger momentum. SWKS: Quiet semiconductor strength. Above 83.50 opens 92, then potentially 100. LUNR: One of the stronger space setups. Above 38.30 opens continuation. $RKLB: Failed breakout Friday. Above 140 becomes interesting again. $ASTS: Strong recovery. Hold 100, break 108, and momentum could continue toward ATHs. $SMTC: Big Friday move but messy close. Harder setup. $ZS: Big software earnings this week. Important for group sentiment. $CRWD: Extremely strong. New ATH continuation setup. $PANW: Beautiful one-time framing higher. Momentum remains intact. $NET: Laggard, but could benefit if software earnings surprise positively. $DDOG: Monster move. Gap never backtested. Momentum remains very strong. $SNOW: Earnings this week. Worth watching. ON: Quiet strength. $FSLR: Solar remains hot. Above 260 opens 300 potential. $ENPH: Vertical momentum move. Needs continuation. $ARM: Monster breakout from prior balance. Hold 300 and continuation remains alive. $MRVL: Grinding higher. 200 is the key breakout. NOW: Holding 100 well. Trump positioning narrative still in play. $LLY: Strong above 1000. 1070 breakout could open ATH move. $INTC: Looks ready. Above 123 could trigger fresh highs. LRCX: Strong breakout. Holding above 300 keeps dip-buy thesis alive. $GS: Strong breakout and leadership among banks. $JPM: Reclaiming key moving averages. MS: New ATHs. Very strong bank setup. $IBM: Needs reclaim above 260. $MU: Ugly Friday reversal. Harder trade for now. $SNDK: Better than MU. Above 1530 gets interesting. $WDC: Looking constructive. Above 490 could move toward 500. $COST: Big move but sold off. Harder setup. WMT: Ugly post-earnings reaction. TGT: Holding gains better. Above 128 becomes interesting. If you like this, then ❤️ it! sm

spacemonkey

86,861 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

📺 $TSLA COULD BE DAYS AWAY FROM A MAJOR BREAKOUT SIGNAL Please ❤️like and 🔁share with fellow Tesla traders/investors #Tesla is currently sitting directly in the middle of a major technical battleground between key support in the low-$410s and major resistance in the mid-$440s to low-$450s. It remains inside a large “ping-pong” trading structure unless it can decisively break above the critical $451.12 resistance level on a weekly closing basis. * $TSLA successfully rallied into the former channel bottom near $446.94 several weeks ago and even briefly pushed through it, eventually topping near an alternative upper channel formation around $451.12. However, despite the temporary breakout attempt, the structure ultimately held as resistance. The daily chart resistance is now around $449.02, which is #TSLA primary near-term ceiling. So, Tesla is now trapped between these channel extremes: – Lower range support: roughly $350–$352 – Upper range resistance: roughly $449–$451 This range could dominate trading through June and possibly into July unless a decisive breakout occurs. * The bullish scenario centers entirely around a confirmed weekly close above $451.12. This would represent “phase two” of the rally that began at the $352.31 bottom. If #Tesla can achieve that breakout confirmation, the next major upside target becomes $498.83 — near the December high from last year — and the move could unfold surprisingly quickly, potentially within 2–3 weeks. In that breakout case: – Shorts should exit positions – Momentum traders should flip bullish – The expectation becomes a sustained rally through the entire Q3 * On the shorter-term chart, $430.57 is the immediate pivot level. This level represents a 5/8 Fibonacci retracement from the prior two-week trading extremes and was already tested the previous Friday. That creates a very clear near-term roadmap: 1. Closing above $430.57: – Keeps bullish momentum intact – Makes $449.02 likely within days – Reinforces the thesis that the recent $410.54 support test was successful – Suggests Tesla can challenge the upper resistance again this week 2. Failing at or below $430.57: – Raises odds of another pullback toward $410.54 – Keeps Tesla trapped inside the broader consolidation range $410.54 is the critical short-term support and rising channel bottom. Importantly, $TSLA never officially closed below it before, so no true sell signal was triggered despite intraday weakness. Because of that: – Holding above $410.54 keeps the bullish recovery structure alive – It maintains $449.02 as an active 1–2 week upside target – It supports the idea that buyers are still defending the trend * However, the downside risks become aggressive if $TSLA loses that level on a closing basis. A close below $410.54 would: – Reverse short-term momentum bearish – Signal that the recent rally attempt likely failed – Open the door to a rapid decline toward $381.61 within 3–5 trading days The $381.61 level is another key Fibonacci support zone and is the next area capable of absorbing selling pressure. If that fails, the larger bearish retracement scenario back toward the major $352.31 channel bottom comes back into play. * So, $TSLA is sitting almost exactly on the key pivot zone. Bulls need sustained strength above $430.57 to regain momentum toward $449, while bears need a decisive break below $410.54 to trigger downside acceleration toward $381. The ultimate macro signal remains the same: weekly close above $451.12 would likely trigger a much larger breakout toward the $500 area and potentially shift Tesla into a powerful Q3 uptrend phase. * Watch the full analysis for May 26, 2026 in this short video🔽

Wicked Stocks

15,323 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

🚨 WARNING: SOMETHING TERRIBLE WILL HAPPEN IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS!! On July 24, China will ban paper gold trading. Meanwhile, they're sitting on 30,000 TONNES of physical gold. We've seen THE SAME manipulation before. If you hold any assets today, you MUST know what's coming: Let me explain. Most people think gold is priced by people buying and selling physical bars. It isn't. The majority of gold trading happens through something called "paper gold." Paper gold is simply a financial contract. And for every ounce of physical gold that exists, there are many more ounces traded on paper. This creates enormous leverage. It keeps markets liquid. It suppresses volatility. It allows massive amounts of trading without requiring the transfer of real metal. As long as everyone trusts the system, everything functions normally. BUT CHINA JUST MADE A DIFFERENT BET. While most of the world continues trading paper gold... China has been accumulating physical gold for years. Month after month. Its central bank has continued adding to its reserves. That isn't a short-term trade. It's a long-term strategy. WHAT HAPPENS IF PHYSICAL MATTERS MORE THAN PAPER? This is where things become interesting. If confidence in paper gold weakens... The entire pricing mechanism comes under pressure. Because paper markets depend on one key assumption: That very few participants will ever demand physical delivery. And when that assumption changes, the leverage built into the system suddenly becomes its weakness. What happens if more people start demanding physical gold instead of paper claims? Markets will reprice much faster than people expect. WE'VE SEEN THIS BEFORE. Oil dumped hard during the EXACT same type of market pressure in 2024. Extreme positioning. Forced liquidations. Shifting sentiment. The market became disconnected from the broader picture. Crowded trades are fragile when conditions change. And when the world's largest commodity consumer starts changing how it participates in a market... Smart money pays attention. This isn't simply about gold prices. It's about who controls price discovery. I’ve studied markets for over 10 years and called nearly every major top and bottom. And I’ll call it again in 2026. Follow me and turn on notifications before it’s too late. Don’t make the most expensive mistake of your life.

0xNobler

167,579 просмотров • 28 дней назад

🚨 BTC UPDATE - THIS IS IMPORTANT 🚨 I called the top at 126k. I had short position from $117k until now That trade is now closed with a massive gain Every altcoin short from the last nine months - also closed This phase of the bear trade is done Here's how i see situation: [ BUYING SPOT ] For the second time since the fall 2025 - I'm buying Bitcoin spot First entry: 63k (No leverage) Everyone who followed my 115k-125k distribution strategy knows how it worked Every day BTC was in that zone, I sold 10% of spot and added shorts Now I'm doing the exact same thing in reverse Every day Bitcoin stays between 54k-64k - I buy 5% of allocated capital Not 10% this time - I want to spread accumulation across a wider range 62k, 58k, 56k, 54k - doesn't matter. As long as we're in this zone, I'm buying 20 days max [ ON SENTIMENT ] This thing really annoys me Six months ago nobody was calling for 40k Right now every account on X has the same target: 40k-50k That's exactly the problem When the entire crowd stands on one side of the boat - the market almost never delivers what they're waiting for I'd rather buy while others are waiting for lower [TECHNICAL ZONE] The weekly MA200 sits right in this region and is being tested from below The top of the 2024 consolidation box aligns here too This isn't just one signal - it's three zones overlapping at the same level [ FRONT-RUNNING THE HERD ] Since I called 50k-40k as the bear market target - the entire X copied it The market knows retail is sitting in cash waiting below 50k Too scared to buy 64k because they've convinced themselves 40k is coming I'm not standing behind the herd begging for the same price I'm front-running them [ ON THE FOUR-YEAR CYCLE ] BULLSHIT! Ask anyone when they plan to buy - September or October Ask why - "four-year cycle" - Bulls waiting - Bears waiting Everyone using the same indicator for the same timing What if the bottom comes three weeks early? Everyone in cash misses it Markets don't reward the majority for memorizing a calendar [ STRUCTURAL SHIFT ] The deeper reason for my change isn't technical - it's structural BlackRock's ETF is fully operational. CLARITY Act could pass August 10 DTCC tokenization pilot is live right now - Microsoft shares, SPY, QQQ, US Treasuries moving on-chain Citadel just deployed $400M into crypto at a $20B valuation The biggest capital in the world is moving in before retail understands what's happening [ S&P 500 ] Every S&P 500 short stays open BTC dropped 52% while S&P made new all-time highs Crypto has already been repriced. Stocks haven't When the correction comes - capital moves from overvalued into undervalued In the era of tokenization and the CLARITY Act - that capital moves into crypto [ FINAL TAKE ] I called 40k-50k. Now I'm changing my view - and I'm not ashamed of it When the entire crowd copies the same target - the market almost never delivers it Six months ago nobody was calling sub-$50k. Today everyone is That's exactly when the target gets taken off the table I'd rather be early and right than late and waiting for a bottom that won't come the way they want

NoName

53,209 просмотров • 1 месяц назад