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🚨New Interview: "I can unequivocally tell you that technical analysis is 20% as effective today as it was." Stanley Druckenmiller

The Tech Investor

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327,567 次观看 • 7 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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Stanley Druckenmiller, who has relied heavily on technical analysis during his career, recently said: “I can unequivocally tell you that technical analysis is about 20% as effective today as it was 30 years ago, because no one was using it. But when everybody’s using it, it doesn’t work anymore because you don’t have a unique thing to act against.” If even Druckenmiller says this, it reinforces a simple idea: What really matters is buying great companies and avoiding overpaying for them. As Peter Lynch used to say, in the long run the price of a stock will follow the company’s economic results — regardless of the “drawings” on a chart. “If charts could really predict the future, technical analysts would all be billionaires.” Technical analysis is more of a distraction than anything else. The real edge isn’t drawing lines. It’s understanding businesses.

Stanley Druckenmiller, who has relied heavily on technical analysis during his career, recently said: “I can unequivocally tell you that technical analysis is about 20% as effective today as it was 30 years ago, because no one was using it. But when everybody’s using it, it doesn’t work anymore because you don’t have a unique thing to act against.” If even Druckenmiller says this, it reinforces a simple idea: What really matters is buying great companies and avoiding overpaying for them. As Peter Lynch used to say, in the long run the price of a stock will follow the company’s economic results — regardless of the “drawings” on a chart. “If charts could really predict the future, technical analysts would all be billionaires.” Technical analysis is more of a distraction than anything else. The real edge isn’t drawing lines. It’s understanding businesses.

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