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Nick breaks down the gap between narrow AI and actual AGI "AI is solving math, it's solving coding, it's going to solve physics, biology. But AGI is supposed to do all those things... I don't think they're there yet."

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This thread reminded me of Thiel's take on biology and the excuses of biologists for why we aren't solving hard problems (I have a biology background and work as a scientist and still agree with him). My take is that AI won't solve biology, but it will help us understand it at a deeper level. Saying that it is impossible is a lazy take. Saying that AI will solve all problems is a lazy take too. There is an in-between where AI will support and help scientists move things forward. I am really tired of the excuses of the gatekeeper boomer scientists and the hype of the AI bros.

This thread reminded me of Thiel's take on biology and the excuses of biologists for why we aren't solving hard problems (I have a biology background and work as a scientist and still agree with him). My take is that AI won't solve biology, but it will help us understand it at a deeper level. Saying that it is impossible is a lazy take. Saying that AI will solve all problems is a lazy take too. There is an in-between where AI will support and help scientists move things forward. I am really tired of the excuses of the gatekeeper boomer scientists and the hype of the AI bros.

Linden

67,241 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

🇺🇸 Elon says AI and robotics may be key to solving the U.S. deficit Now that would be wild, and I completely see it! "I think AI and robotics are the only way we're going to solve our budget deficit."

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Mario Nawfal

37,855 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

We asked Dwarkesh Patel to share his disagreements with tylercowen on AGI: "He believes AGI is here." "But then he also believes AGI is going to result in 0.5% more economic growth a year." "When AGI hits, we're going to see, like, 20% economic growth as a minimum." "Our current AI isn't AGI. The real AGI will come later."

We asked Dwarkesh Patel to share his disagreements with tylercowen on AGI: "He believes AGI is here." "But then he also believes AGI is going to result in 0.5% more economic growth a year." "When AGI hits, we're going to see, like, 20% economic growth as a minimum." "Our current AI isn't AGI. The real AGI will come later."

TBPN

69,217 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Jordi: I worry that we'll have a lost generation of people who have let it be ingrained in their heads that nothing is worth trying, because AI will eventually eat every opportunity. "There's this toxic idea that AGI is just going to do everything, and then we're all going to retire." "Because from everything we're seeing, it's going to be a group of talented people using AI tools to solve all the most pressing problems we have."

Jordi: I worry that we'll have a lost generation of people who have let it be ingrained in their heads that nothing is worth trying, because AI will eventually eat every opportunity. "There's this toxic idea that AGI is just going to do everything, and then we're all going to retire." "Because from everything we're seeing, it's going to be a group of talented people using AI tools to solve all the most pressing problems we have."

TBPN

26,977 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

Linus's views on AI: - “AI is clearly a bubble, but it will change how most skilled jobs get done.” - “Vibe coding is great for getting into programming, but it's a horrible thing to maintain.” - “I'm a huge believer in AI. I'm not a huge believer in the things around AI. I find the market and marketing to be sick. There is going to be a crash.”

Linus's views on AI: - “AI is clearly a bubble, but it will change how most skilled jobs get done.” - “Vibe coding is great for getting into programming, but it's a horrible thing to maintain.” - “I'm a huge believer in AI. I'm not a huge believer in the things around AI. I find the market and marketing to be sick. There is going to be a crash.”

Yuchen Jin

1,129,925 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

I think it's safe to say Excel is solved. The sign of an Excel rookie used to be manually using your mouse... now it's doing ANYTHING at all without AI. If you use Excel do yourself a favor and watch all 3 mins. It's a new world. Solving tasks in 20 mins that take teams days.

I think it's safe to say Excel is solved. The sign of an Excel rookie used to be manually using your mouse... now it's doing ANYTHING at all without AI. If you use Excel do yourself a favor and watch all 3 mins. It's a new world. Solving tasks in 20 mins that take teams days.

nico

351,749 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

NEAR AI is going to create the AGI for the world ✨ ✨ ✨ and give it away

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NEAR Protocol

166,808 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

.Ben Shapiro argues that AI will never be able to produce truly great writing: "In terms of the actual creativity of truly great writing, I don't think AI is ever going to be a great writer. It's all derivative."

.Ben Shapiro argues that AI will never be able to produce truly great writing: "In terms of the actual creativity of truly great writing, I don't think AI is ever going to be a great writer. It's all derivative."

Daily Wire

73,465 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

95% of Americans don't want a race to AGI and superintelligence, but instead want better AI tools to cure diseases and solve problems. Here at Web Summit, I discuss how this controllable "95% AI" can gives us almost all the AI upside, from provably bug-free code to unbiased news:

95% of Americans don't want a race to AGI and superintelligence, but instead want better AI tools to cure diseases and solve problems. Here at Web Summit, I discuss how this controllable "95% AI" can gives us almost all the AI upside, from provably bug-free code to unbiased news:

Max Tegmark

21,563 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

Travis Kalanick: “AGI is not here yet, and it's silly for folks to say it is.” “When it comes to big companies, I think the big thing about, let's call it the autonomous enterprise, is change management. And change management is about all the people that already work there, the middle managers, the technocrats, the bureaucrats. The change management is a human thing. And it's very tricky with very complex processes, many of which are not even documented. And in theory, it's just all going to happen real fast. But in practice, that's hard. So that's part one. Part two, what I'm seeing with true tech companies, they are fired up about the development, the productivity, the deployment schedule, and the new features they're able to roll out much, much, much faster because they've pivoted their culture, sort of very pro-AI development. Now, there are folks selling their book that are like, ‘Oh, we're at AGI,’ and all this. Anybody who has worked with these agents and done the AI dev stuff, there's a lot of good stuff, but they're not that smart yet. They're just not that smart.”

Travis Kalanick: “AGI is not here yet, and it's silly for folks to say it is.” “When it comes to big companies, I think the big thing about, let's call it the autonomous enterprise, is change management. And change management is about all the people that already work there, the middle managers, the technocrats, the bureaucrats. The change management is a human thing. And it's very tricky with very complex processes, many of which are not even documented. And in theory, it's just all going to happen real fast. But in practice, that's hard. So that's part one. Part two, what I'm seeing with true tech companies, they are fired up about the development, the productivity, the deployment schedule, and the new features they're able to roll out much, much, much faster because they've pivoted their culture, sort of very pro-AI development. Now, there are folks selling their book that are like, ‘Oh, we're at AGI,’ and all this. Anybody who has worked with these agents and done the AI dev stuff, there's a lot of good stuff, but they're not that smart yet. They're just not that smart.”

The All-In Podcast

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Elon Musk on the importance of establishing the right values in AGI: “I don't think anyone's ultimately going to have control over digital superintelligence any more than, say, a chimp would have control over humans. Like chimps don't have control over humans. There's nothing they could do. But I do think that it matters how you build the AI and what kind of values you instill in the AI. And my opinion on AI safety is, the most important thing is that it be maximally truth-seeking, like that you don't force the AI to believe things that are false.”

Elon Musk on the importance of establishing the right values in AGI: “I don't think anyone's ultimately going to have control over digital superintelligence any more than, say, a chimp would have control over humans. Like chimps don't have control over humans. There's nothing they could do. But I do think that it matters how you build the AI and what kind of values you instill in the AI. And my opinion on AI safety is, the most important thing is that it be maximally truth-seeking, like that you don't force the AI to believe things that are false.”

Eva Fo𝕏 🦊 Claudius Nero's Legion

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"What's he supposed to do? What is he supposed to do there?" "I really don't know. I think it's ridiculous." "It is ridiculous. It's football. It's absurd." Sean McDonough and Greg McElroy after a roughing the passer penalty negates a turnover for Notre Dame against Navy.

"What's he supposed to do? What is he supposed to do there?" "I really don't know. I think it's ridiculous." "It is ridiculous. It's football. It's absurd." Sean McDonough and Greg McElroy after a roughing the passer penalty negates a turnover for Notre Dame against Navy.

Awful Announcing

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🚨 OPENAI PRESIDENT GREG BROCKMAN ON WHEN WE HIT AGI 🚨 Greg Brockman was asked if he agrees with NVIDIA's CEO that AGI is already here. His answer? Not quite yet, as people may know I definitely agree and align with Sam and Demi’s that we are 2 breakthroughs away but we are entering the final stretch. Here is exactly where Greg believes we stand right now: The Percentage: "I'd say I'm basically like 70, 80% there. So I think we're quite close." • The Official Timeline: "I think it's extremely clear that we are going to have AGI within the next couple years." The Concept of "Jagged Intelligence": Brockman admits we are currently sitting in a weird middle ground where AI is "jagged"—it is already operating at an AGI level for highly complex tasks, but still fails at random, basic things. "It is absolutely superhuman at many tasks. When it comes to writing code those kinds of things, the AI can just do it... But there's some very basic tasks that a human can do that our AI still struggle with." How Do We Close the Final 20%? To hit full AGI, the absolute floor of the models' reliability needs to be raised across the board. "The floor of task will just be almost for any intellectual task of how you use your computer, the AI will be able to do that."

🚨 OPENAI PRESIDENT GREG BROCKMAN ON WHEN WE HIT AGI 🚨 Greg Brockman was asked if he agrees with NVIDIA's CEO that AGI is already here. His answer? Not quite yet, as people may know I definitely agree and align with Sam and Demi’s that we are 2 breakthroughs away but we are entering the final stretch. Here is exactly where Greg believes we stand right now: The Percentage: "I'd say I'm basically like 70, 80% there. So I think we're quite close." • The Official Timeline: "I think it's extremely clear that we are going to have AGI within the next couple years." The Concept of "Jagged Intelligence": Brockman admits we are currently sitting in a weird middle ground where AI is "jagged"—it is already operating at an AGI level for highly complex tasks, but still fails at random, basic things. "It is absolutely superhuman at many tasks. When it comes to writing code those kinds of things, the AI can just do it... But there's some very basic tasks that a human can do that our AI still struggle with." How Do We Close the Final 20%? To hit full AGI, the absolute floor of the models' reliability needs to be raised across the board. "The floor of task will just be almost for any intellectual task of how you use your computer, the AI will be able to do that."

Chris

87,282 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis on how big AGI really is: "I sometimes quantify the coming of AGI as 10 times the industrial revolution at 10 times the speed, unfolding over a decade instead of a century. Literally today, things are a bit overhyped in AI. There couldn't be any more hype in some ways. But on the other hand, I still think it's very underappreciated how revolutionary this is going to be on the timescale of about 10 years."

Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis on how big AGI really is: "I sometimes quantify the coming of AGI as 10 times the industrial revolution at 10 times the speed, unfolding over a decade instead of a century. Literally today, things are a bit overhyped in AI. There couldn't be any more hype in some ways. But on the other hand, I still think it's very underappreciated how revolutionary this is going to be on the timescale of about 10 years."

Wall St Engine

111,314 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Dario Amodei says AGI and superintelligence are meaningless terms It's designed to excite people, not explain real progress. "i don't know what AGI is… it sounds like a marketing term" you won’t hear from me using those terms

Dario Amodei says AGI and superintelligence are meaningless terms It's designed to excite people, not explain real progress. "i don't know what AGI is… it sounds like a marketing term" you won’t hear from me using those terms

Haider.

116,922 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Mistral CEO Arthur Mensch on why AGI is too simple of a concept: “There’s no such thing as one system that is going to be solving all of the problems of the world... It’s never going to exist.” “Just like you don't have any human that is able to solve every task in the world, you of course have to have some level of specialization to actually solve problems.” “We are back from magical thinking to system thinking.” “In real life enterprises are just complex systems. You can’t solve that with a single abstraction, which is AGI.” Arthur Mensch on Big Technology Podcast

Mistral CEO Arthur Mensch on why AGI is too simple of a concept: “There’s no such thing as one system that is going to be solving all of the problems of the world... It’s never going to exist.” “Just like you don't have any human that is able to solve every task in the world, you of course have to have some level of specialization to actually solve problems.” “We are back from magical thinking to system thinking.” “In real life enterprises are just complex systems. You can’t solve that with a single abstraction, which is AGI.” Arthur Mensch on Big Technology Podcast

a16z

37,667 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

I n t e l l i d y n a m i c s Current AI discourse is a sh!tshow dominated by “experts” who don't understand intellidynamics. Intellidynamics isn't about what a particular AI does; it's about WHAT INTELLIGENCE DOES. Intellidynamics is like the thermodynamics of AI. Thermodynamics isn't about the behavior of a particular engine; it's about the work that engines do. Total blindness to intellidynamics is why people claim AGI will be “aligned by default”, and why Sam Altman claims AGI will “matter much less than people expect”.

I n t e l l i d y n a m i c s Current AI discourse is a sh!tshow dominated by “experts” who don't understand intellidynamics. Intellidynamics isn't about what a particular AI does; it's about WHAT INTELLIGENCE DOES. Intellidynamics is like the thermodynamics of AI. Thermodynamics isn't about the behavior of a particular engine; it's about the work that engines do. Total blindness to intellidynamics is why people claim AGI will be “aligned by default”, and why Sam Altman claims AGI will “matter much less than people expect”.

Liron Shapira

21,058 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr