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🇺🇸🇮🇷 No one walks away happy from this one. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar breaks down how Trump managed to alienate Israel, Iran, the Gulf states, American consumers, neocons, and his own four-star generals all at once. And despite severe U.S. munitions shortages, Anthony expects more strikes. "I think we... show more

Mario Nawfal

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69,593 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat •via X (Twitter)

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🇮🇱🇺🇸 One wrong move in the next 2 days rewrites the entire equation. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar breaks down how Iran is planning its strikes, and what a U.S. response costs. "If [it's] nothing, that is going to add to how Iran is preparing for a longer war." Anthony Aguilar

🇮🇱🇺🇸 One wrong move in the next 2 days rewrites the entire equation. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar breaks down how Iran is planning its strikes, and what a U.S. response costs. "If [it's] nothing, that is going to add to how Iran is preparing for a longer war." Anthony Aguilar

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🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran just fired a missile specifically engineered to sink an American warship, and 11 U.S. Navy ships are now boxed into waters Iran knows by heart. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar breaks down why the geometry is as dangerous as the weapon itself. "Iran really has an idea of where these U.S. ships are concentrated." This isn't a warning shot anymore. It's a targeting solution.

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran just fired a missile specifically engineered to sink an American warship, and 11 U.S. Navy ships are now boxed into waters Iran knows by heart. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar breaks down why the geometry is as dangerous as the weapon itself. "Iran really has an idea of where these U.S. ships are concentrated." This isn't a warning shot anymore. It's a targeting solution.

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Rapid escalation in proxy conflicts and severe interceptor drain are stretching Western capabilities dangerously thin across multiple fronts. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar warns that this growing power vacuum allows Iran and Russia to quickly capitalize and expand their regional influence. "Trump is going to come up with some type of solution, or other entities will fill the vacuum. To think that the conflict in Iran would maintain this bubble in the Persian Gulf between the United States and Gulf nations, and Iran. No, this has obviously expanded."

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Rapid escalation in proxy conflicts and severe interceptor drain are stretching Western capabilities dangerously thin across multiple fronts. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar warns that this growing power vacuum allows Iran and Russia to quickly capitalize and expand their regional influence. "Trump is going to come up with some type of solution, or other entities will fill the vacuum. To think that the conflict in Iran would maintain this bubble in the Persian Gulf between the United States and Gulf nations, and Iran. No, this has obviously expanded."

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran is still in the phase of working out how concession-prone Trump may be at this juncture of the standoff. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar breaks down why Tehran's 14-point proposal is nothing more than a calculated bluff. "To think that the U.S. would pull out from all bases, that's not going to happen. Could there be accords for going back to some sort of nuclear non-proliferation treaty? That's on the table." @AnthonyAgu88102

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran is still in the phase of working out how concession-prone Trump may be at this juncture of the standoff. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar breaks down why Tehran's 14-point proposal is nothing more than a calculated bluff. "To think that the U.S. would pull out from all bases, that's not going to happen. Could there be accords for going back to some sort of nuclear non-proliferation treaty? That's on the table." @AnthonyAgu88102

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 One man spoke up when every other general stayed silent, and it changed everything. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar served alongside General Dan Caine daily in the Special Operations Joint Task Force and says he has the principles to help Trump make the right choices. "Dan Caine was the one that voiced his position, as one of the lowest ranking generals in that room, that voiced the position of sir, we shouldn't do that." Now, as Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, he could hold the line on the U.S. making catastrophic mistakes in the Iran war. Anthony Aguilar

🇺🇸🇮🇷 One man spoke up when every other general stayed silent, and it changed everything. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar served alongside General Dan Caine daily in the Special Operations Joint Task Force and says he has the principles to help Trump make the right choices. "Dan Caine was the one that voiced his position, as one of the lowest ranking generals in that room, that voiced the position of sir, we shouldn't do that." Now, as Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, he could hold the line on the U.S. making catastrophic mistakes in the Iran war. Anthony Aguilar

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🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷 The biggest danger may be a slow escalation where every failed strategy just leads to a bigger one. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar says the U.S. and Israel are running out of options after decapitation strikes, infrastructure attacks, and military pressure all failed to break Iran’s capabilities. “We’ve wasted half of our munitions stockpiles and they’ve got 90% of it left.” He compares the situation to a mix of World War I and Vietnam: a grinding stalemate where every response creates an even larger conflict. @AnthonyAgu88102

🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷 The biggest danger may be a slow escalation where every failed strategy just leads to a bigger one. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar says the U.S. and Israel are running out of options after decapitation strikes, infrastructure attacks, and military pressure all failed to break Iran’s capabilities. “We’ve wasted half of our munitions stockpiles and they’ve got 90% of it left.” He compares the situation to a mix of World War I and Vietnam: a grinding stalemate where every response creates an even larger conflict. @AnthonyAgu88102

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25,403 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

🇮🇷🇺🇸 One sharp question is driving all of this: how far can Iran push before Trump is forced to respond? Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar just laid it all out. "Iran is trying to figure out, okay, where is that red line? Where is that point of response? Where is that button? So we know how far we can go." The UAE is getting hit, the Strait of Hormuz is in play, and nobody knows what's coming next. Anthony Aguilar

🇮🇷🇺🇸 One sharp question is driving all of this: how far can Iran push before Trump is forced to respond? Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar just laid it all out. "Iran is trying to figure out, okay, where is that red line? Where is that point of response? Where is that button? So we know how far we can go." The UAE is getting hit, the Strait of Hormuz is in play, and nobody knows what's coming next. Anthony Aguilar

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🇺🇸🇮🇷Lebanon comes before nukes, and Tehran is betting Washington won't force Israel's hand. Fmr. U.S. diplomat Alan Eyre says Iran's opening move in negotiations isn't the nuclear file at all. "They want to see if Trump is willing to exercise control over Netanyahu, because if Trump isn't, that's a whole nother ball of wax." If Trump can't deliver Israel, Iran walks away with the wedge it wanted all along. Alan Eyre

🇺🇸🇮🇷Lebanon comes before nukes, and Tehran is betting Washington won't force Israel's hand. Fmr. U.S. diplomat Alan Eyre says Iran's opening move in negotiations isn't the nuclear file at all. "They want to see if Trump is willing to exercise control over Netanyahu, because if Trump isn't, that's a whole nother ball of wax." If Trump can't deliver Israel, Iran walks away with the wedge it wanted all along. Alan Eyre

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Sinking a U.S. naval vessel could be Iran's most politically devastating move against Trump yet. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar breaks down how China and Russia are helping Iranian PhD engineers reverse engineer captured American weapons, the same way they turned a downed US drone into the Shahid 136. "The new norm is that Iran is now taking a different approach to their strikes. No longer is it going to be you did this, we'll do that." The rules just changed mid-conflict, and we're watching it happen in real time.

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Sinking a U.S. naval vessel could be Iran's most politically devastating move against Trump yet. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar breaks down how China and Russia are helping Iranian PhD engineers reverse engineer captured American weapons, the same way they turned a downed US drone into the Shahid 136. "The new norm is that Iran is now taking a different approach to their strikes. No longer is it going to be you did this, we'll do that." The rules just changed mid-conflict, and we're watching it happen in real time.

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🇮🇱🇮🇷 Rise and kill first. That is the doctrine, and it's already in motion. Retired Military Intelligence Officer Anthony Aguilar breaks down why Netanyahu will strike Iran regardless of any peace talks. "Is Israel going to sit by and take that for his word? No, because they know it's not happening." Israel already knows everything Trump knows. The only question is how hard they hit. @AnthonyAgu88102

🇮🇱🇮🇷 Rise and kill first. That is the doctrine, and it's already in motion. Retired Military Intelligence Officer Anthony Aguilar breaks down why Netanyahu will strike Iran regardless of any peace talks. "Is Israel going to sit by and take that for his word? No, because they know it's not happening." Israel already knows everything Trump knows. The only question is how hard they hit. @AnthonyAgu88102

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Nothing changed, no new negotiations, no new calls, and yet Trump pulled back anyway. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar touched on why that happened. "Everything I mentioned in terms of MBS talking to Trump happened. But when you go back to what I presented in the beginning, which is Tony's TACO Trump tweets timeline, it shows all of those times Trump has tweeted we are going to destroy Iran and then TACO'd." If this was always a bluff, he just spent his last one.

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Nothing changed, no new negotiations, no new calls, and yet Trump pulled back anyway. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar touched on why that happened. "Everything I mentioned in terms of MBS talking to Trump happened. But when you go back to what I presented in the beginning, which is Tony's TACO Trump tweets timeline, it shows all of those times Trump has tweeted we are going to destroy Iran and then TACO'd." If this was always a bluff, he just spent his last one.

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🇸🇦 🇾🇪 The Houthis have moved from potshots to deep strikes inside Saudi Arabia. That distinction matters because of what Riyadh signed. Under the Mecca pact, Pakistan and Turkey may find sitting this out harder than staying in. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar sees the escalation accelerating: "Yemen is going to become increasingly kinetic, because now we see the Houthis taking deep strikes into Saudi Arabia, not pop shots, deep strikes." One regional war could end up pulling in three nuclear-armed states.

🇸🇦 🇾🇪 The Houthis have moved from potshots to deep strikes inside Saudi Arabia. That distinction matters because of what Riyadh signed. Under the Mecca pact, Pakistan and Turkey may find sitting this out harder than staying in. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar sees the escalation accelerating: "Yemen is going to become increasingly kinetic, because now we see the Houthis taking deep strikes into Saudi Arabia, not pop shots, deep strikes." One regional war could end up pulling in three nuclear-armed states.

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 92% of Israelis believe Iran won the war. Only 10 to 15% of Americans agree. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar says the gap comes down to who actually felt the impact and who's paying attention to the fine print. "Print out the one and a half page 14 point MoU and read it. It is very clear from a strategic and operational framework that the United States of America lost this war." Most Americans are one Fox News segment away from believing we won.

🇺🇸🇮🇷 92% of Israelis believe Iran won the war. Only 10 to 15% of Americans agree. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar says the gap comes down to who actually felt the impact and who's paying attention to the fine print. "Print out the one and a half page 14 point MoU and read it. It is very clear from a strategic and operational framework that the United States of America lost this war." Most Americans are one Fox News segment away from believing we won.

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87,348 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱 A map of Iran being struck from all directions, threats of hitting them harder, posts about destroying satellites with Space Force... None of this is being written by Trump himself. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says a staffer drafts the posts, Trump signs off without full intelligence context, and the rhetoric is boxing him into a corner he can't walk away from. If the U.S. and Israel strike Iran's power grid, Iran strikes back at every Gulf state, countries far more vulnerable to grid destruction than Iran. "Very stupid decision." SonofNewAmericanRevolution

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱 A map of Iran being struck from all directions, threats of hitting them harder, posts about destroying satellites with Space Force... None of this is being written by Trump himself. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says a staffer drafts the posts, Trump signs off without full intelligence context, and the rhetoric is boxing him into a corner he can't walk away from. If the U.S. and Israel strike Iran's power grid, Iran strikes back at every Gulf state, countries far more vulnerable to grid destruction than Iran. "Very stupid decision." SonofNewAmericanRevolution

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63,313 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The rest of the world has already picked a side, and it isn't ours. Retired U.S. Air Force Lt. Col. Karen Kwiatkowski says Iran isn't budging because it doesn't have to. "There are a lot more people on Iran's side. A lot more countries, a lot more economic power, energy power, diplomatic power, and even military power on Iran's side beyond Iran than there is on the US side." Trump wants a win. Iran is offering nothing that looks like one. Karen Kwiatkowski

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The rest of the world has already picked a side, and it isn't ours. Retired U.S. Air Force Lt. Col. Karen Kwiatkowski says Iran isn't budging because it doesn't have to. "There are a lot more people on Iran's side. A lot more countries, a lot more economic power, energy power, diplomatic power, and even military power on Iran's side beyond Iran than there is on the US side." Trump wants a win. Iran is offering nothing that looks like one. Karen Kwiatkowski

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50,849 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

🇮🇱🇮🇷🇺🇸 Israel says it will strike Iran even if Trump signs a deal, and the mechanism to make that happen (with American backing) is already passing through Congress. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar, a former Green Beret and one of the most detailed military analysts covering this conflict, breaks down what most are missing: Saudi's munitions were 86% depleted in the first 38 days after the ceasefire alone, the U.S. is not far behind, yet Section 1217 of the NDAA, the bill that effectively integrates U.S. and Israeli military command, is on track to pass the Senate by October 1st. On the Strait of Hormuz: the question is no longer whether Iran collects fees, it's what currency they will be paid in, a stunning sentence to have to write... On whether a genuine peace deal is close: "I do not trust the president of the United States because of his continued use of disinformation throughout this conflict... IF there is negotiation happening, it is specifically about the mechanics of the Strait of Hormuz, and even that is FAR from settled." The best opportunity to end this cleanly was the 14-point agreement MONTHS ago... But that ship has long since sailed. Thank you to Lt. Col. Aguilar, once again, for joining me.

🇮🇱🇮🇷🇺🇸 Israel says it will strike Iran even if Trump signs a deal, and the mechanism to make that happen (with American backing) is already passing through Congress. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar, a former Green Beret and one of the most detailed military analysts covering this conflict, breaks down what most are missing: Saudi's munitions were 86% depleted in the first 38 days after the ceasefire alone, the U.S. is not far behind, yet Section 1217 of the NDAA, the bill that effectively integrates U.S. and Israeli military command, is on track to pass the Senate by October 1st. On the Strait of Hormuz: the question is no longer whether Iran collects fees, it's what currency they will be paid in, a stunning sentence to have to write... On whether a genuine peace deal is close: "I do not trust the president of the United States because of his continued use of disinformation throughout this conflict... IF there is negotiation happening, it is specifically about the mechanics of the Strait of Hormuz, and even that is FAR from settled." The best opportunity to end this cleanly was the 14-point agreement MONTHS ago... But that ship has long since sailed. Thank you to Lt. Col. Aguilar, once again, for joining me.

Mario Nawfal

359,536 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The missiles already hit Bahrain and Kuwait, and Khamenei's burial is about to harden Iran's resolve even further. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar surveys where things actually stand: damage assessments from the strikes on Bahrain and Kuwait still unknown, a funeral galvanizing an entire nation, and a negotiating table that's effectively on fire: "I don't see the United States in a seat of power." His warning cuts at the assumption underneath the whole American strategy. If Washington blinks first from this position, there's no clean way back to the table.

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The missiles already hit Bahrain and Kuwait, and Khamenei's burial is about to harden Iran's resolve even further. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar surveys where things actually stand: damage assessments from the strikes on Bahrain and Kuwait still unknown, a funeral galvanizing an entire nation, and a negotiating table that's effectively on fire: "I don't see the United States in a seat of power." His warning cuts at the assumption underneath the whole American strategy. If Washington blinks first from this position, there's no clean way back to the table.

Mario Nawfal

51,880 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱 Netanyahu just moved the goalposts again, shifting from the nuclear program to ballistic missiles, and now to what they "might build someday." Retired Lt. Col. Karen Kwiatkowski says these are terms of total defeat being demanded of a country that hasn't been defeated. Iran has rebuilt faster than the U.S. destroyed it. Gulf bases hit in week one still haven't been repaired. "Netanyahu wants the U.S. hurt. He figures if we're hurt, we'll go crazy and strike Iran in a crazed way. That suits Netanyahu." Karen Kwiatkowski

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱 Netanyahu just moved the goalposts again, shifting from the nuclear program to ballistic missiles, and now to what they "might build someday." Retired Lt. Col. Karen Kwiatkowski says these are terms of total defeat being demanded of a country that hasn't been defeated. Iran has rebuilt faster than the U.S. destroyed it. Gulf bases hit in week one still haven't been repaired. "Netanyahu wants the U.S. hurt. He figures if we're hurt, we'll go crazy and strike Iran in a crazed way. That suits Netanyahu." Karen Kwiatkowski

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46,513 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Iran told Washington exactly how this ends: drag it out to the next administration and make Trump pay for it at home. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar says that's why the timeline no longer belongs to the United States, because the road back to diplomacy runs through Tehran and Tehran isn't in a hurry. Inside the administration he sees the seams pulling apart, with Gabbard and Kent already gone, general officers fired, Caine openly asking for an off-ramp, and now deputy national security adviser Andy Baker heading for the exit: "Escalation is imminent. That road to diplomacy is not controlled by the U.S."

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Iran told Washington exactly how this ends: drag it out to the next administration and make Trump pay for it at home. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar says that's why the timeline no longer belongs to the United States, because the road back to diplomacy runs through Tehran and Tehran isn't in a hurry. Inside the administration he sees the seams pulling apart, with Gabbard and Kent already gone, general officers fired, Caine openly asking for an off-ramp, and now deputy national security adviser Andy Baker heading for the exit: "Escalation is imminent. That road to diplomacy is not controlled by the U.S."

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156,974 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

🇺🇸 🇮🇷 The U.S. is methodically dismantling every piece of Iran's ability to project power into the strait. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar says these strikes are far more deliberate than they look. Rather than random target practice, he sees Washington systematically taking apart Iran's command and control and its capacity to reach into the Strait of Hormuz: "Striking that again, that's a concern that shows me the United States is specifically striking capabilities along the lines of command and control and the ability to project power." His read is the part most people are missing. Aguilar believes these are the opening moves of a joint forced entry operation, unfolding in plain sight.

🇺🇸 🇮🇷 The U.S. is methodically dismantling every piece of Iran's ability to project power into the strait. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar says these strikes are far more deliberate than they look. Rather than random target practice, he sees Washington systematically taking apart Iran's command and control and its capacity to reach into the Strait of Hormuz: "Striking that again, that's a concern that shows me the United States is specifically striking capabilities along the lines of command and control and the ability to project power." His read is the part most people are missing. Aguilar believes these are the opening moves of a joint forced entry operation, unfolding in plain sight.

Mario Nawfal

462,036 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten