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Not one CIO we are talking to is vibe coding a replacement to $NOW or $SAP or $ORCL or other critical business apps. It simply isn’t happening and it won’t. 👀 This doesn’t mean AI isn’t disrupting some software, but this is nuts. 🥜
64,109 次观看 • 7 个月前 •via X (Twitter)
20 条评论

@cvpayne No bank is replacing crowstrike with claude for their enterprise security Every dip is a discount

@cvpayne The SAP consulting ecosystem alone would take a decade to vibe code around

@cvpayne Service now is one ginormous table. Has the performance of a slug, defaults are dumb anti patterns, and the consultants all spend a year+ on integrations that should take weeks.

spot on. the disruption is happening at the edges not the core. nobody is replacing SAP but plenty of teams are vibe coding the internal tools that used to sit on top of SAP... the custom dashboards, approval workflows, reporting layers. that long tail of internal tooling is where the real market cap destruction is happening and it is invisible to anyone who only looks at the big enterprise vendors

Nuts were valuations in the AI space for a technology that isn't making any serious money yet. We're spending obscene amounts of money on something we still have to figure out how it will pay for itself on a consistent basis. Even if you believe in AI. If you're 65 - and boomers own most of the stocks - you should be selling and lock profits in. $MSFT has always been a great company, but its 2000 share price was not matched again until 2016. That's a cautionary tale most boomers remember.

@cvpayne this is the take nobody wants to hear. tried vibe coding an internal crm last month and it worked great, but there's no universe where i'd let it touch the billing system. the gap between demo and production hasn't shrunk as much as twitter thinks

@cvpayne The "Rip and Replace" discussion is back with a vengeance...If an enterprise or mid-size company wants to Vibe code their way to ERP, CRM and SCM solutions - have their board call us :)

@cvpayne Market manipulation at its finest right now.

@cvpayne Great segment today.

this. critical business apps at enterprises are vibe coded? never seen it. the reason is those apps need to handle a thousand integration points, compliance requirements, and edge cases - things you cant describe in a prompt. ai is great at the coding, not at knowing what the business actually needs

@cvpayne George Kurtz is absolutely one you can count on in this market. BUY 👏🏻THE 👏🏻DAMN 👏🏻 DIP $CRWD

@cvpayne It’s pretty clear to see that agents will be able to close simple help desk tickets and you will see subscriptions go down significantly.ServiceNow knows this and will try to pivot, but it’s not going to be easy and the market is pricing that correctly.

@cvpayne not surprised CIOs aren't vibe coding core app replacements. biggest barriers feel like integration, data cleanup and org politics, not the tech. what are CIOs saying about migration costs vs the upside?

@cvpayne One of the biggest problems I'd wish you'd discuss is control of policy by anti-democracy degenerates like this. Thiel is dangerous, and frankly anti-American.

@cvpayne 😭😭😭

@cvpayne Bravo! Excellent interview. You put common sense so eloquently.

@cvpayne keyword being “we are talking to”

@cvpayne 💯

@cvpayne Yep… same defensive play ran by analyst and media defending legacy companies in 99-00’… most are extinct. Software is dead

@cvpayne Even if some companies do in pockets, its just one part of software development process thats getting faster. There are 99 other elements thats there in enterprise and AI agent wont solve that!
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