Video yükleniyor...

Video Yüklenemedi

Ana Sayfaya Dön

Notre Dame QB commit Teddy Jarrard evades pressure, finds 2027 ATH Braylon Calais for a 30-yard gain. Really well done by Jarrard here.

MikeTSinger's profile picture

Mike Singer

30,971 subscribers

16,058 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

LIVE

Anya Rossi• Live Now

Private livecam show

0 Yorum

Yorum bulunmuyor

Orijinal gönderinin yorumları burada görünecek

Benzer Videolar

2027 Notre Dame QB commit Champ Monds (Wonderful “Champ” Monds IV) avoids the sack and finds a way into the end zone. Extremely impressive TD from the very talented signal caller. 🎥: ESPNWestPalm on YouTube
0:12

2027 Notre Dame QB commit Champ Monds (Wonderful “Champ” Monds IV) avoids the sack and finds a way into the end zone. Extremely impressive TD from the very talented signal caller. 🎥: ESPNWestPalm on YouTube

Notre Dame Recruiting

67,853 görüntüleme • 8 gün önce

Nutjobs want you to believe the following: A gunshot so violent that it literally stretched of Charlie's neck and back so violently that for a moment he looked like the Hunchback of Notre Dame COULD NOT have been done with a .30-06 under ANY circumstances... But, it could DEFINITELY have been caused by a guy with a "palm gun" standing 20 feet away which produced no visible muzzle flash, no visible gas expansion, no visible recoil of any kind, and did not visibly startle the dozens of people standing in his immediate vicinity. Ian should have left his crackpipe back in Portland.
0:13

Nutjobs want you to believe the following: A gunshot so violent that it literally stretched of Charlie's neck and back so violently that for a moment he looked like the Hunchback of Notre Dame COULD NOT have been done with a .30-06 under ANY circumstances... But, it could DEFINITELY have been caused by a guy with a "palm gun" standing 20 feet away which produced no visible muzzle flash, no visible gas expansion, no visible recoil of any kind, and did not visibly startle the dozens of people standing in his immediate vicinity. Ian should have left his crackpipe back in Portland.

Fenix Ammunition

55,047 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

BMW M550d, G30/G31. Looks like a normal M-Sport 5 Series, however underneath is B57 quad-turbo diesel straight-six making 394 hp and 760 Nm of torque. That already sounds excessive. The engine isn’t just boosted. It’s been reinforced internally to handle the pressure, which is why it can deliver that kind of performance reliably. And the result is surprising. This thing moves hard Built for long distances, autobahn runs and effortless speed. 250 km/h comes quickly, and without a limiter it can push well beyond that with 280 km/h stock and here where its tuned its even further. You wouldn’t know if you have ever walked by one or one has driven past you just because it never had badges. No aggressive look like an M5 really. Debadge it, and no one can tell what it is. That’s what makes it a real sleeper.
0:19

BMW M550d, G30/G31. Looks like a normal M-Sport 5 Series, however underneath is B57 quad-turbo diesel straight-six making 394 hp and 760 Nm of torque. That already sounds excessive. The engine isn’t just boosted. It’s been reinforced internally to handle the pressure, which is why it can deliver that kind of performance reliably. And the result is surprising. This thing moves hard Built for long distances, autobahn runs and effortless speed. 250 km/h comes quickly, and without a limiter it can push well beyond that with 280 km/h stock and here where its tuned its even further. You wouldn’t know if you have ever walked by one or one has driven past you just because it never had badges. No aggressive look like an M5 really. Debadge it, and no one can tell what it is. That’s what makes it a real sleeper.

Autowelt

26,087 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

Bryson DeChambeau’s next event after LIV Golf Andalucia is the US Open, where he’ll attempt to win his 3rd gold medal. He spoke to Flushing It Golf at Valderrama about his preparation ahead of Shinnecock Hills and whether he feels any pressure after missing the last 2 cuts in majors: “Well, Valderrama is a ball striker's golf course. So you have to control your golf ball and hit the right shots under the gun with a lot of wind out here. It really is a great ball strikers paradise. The same as, you know, in the US Open. I think this is a great test.” Bryson shot rounds of 70, 71, 71 and 70 to finish T11 at Valderrama. Does he feel any pressure to perform after missing the cut at the Masters and the PGA Championship? “No. To be honest, missed cuts are gonna happen. I might miss all 4 of them in majors this year. That's just golf. Like, I’m playing great. I just haven't shown up when it mattered most. But I've played well out here on LIV, and I’m working on my golf swing really hard, and, I feel like it's in a really solid place. It's very close to some of my best golf ever. “Last week (in Korea) I had a great opportunity to win for the third time this year and didn't close the door. And that's just more learning, you know, if I had a little bit more knowledge of what to do in the golf swing, to get the ball to go straight in a few scenarios. I could have taken that championship down too. “So, I feel like I'm actually playing the most consistent I've ever played on LIV, which is great. And I think it's attributed to the switch to four rounds. No question.” Bryson says he’s going to head to Shinnecock early to get some extended work in and thinks it will be a huge benefit after not playing the course since the 2018 US Open. If he were to win it, he would join Tiger Woods and Hale Irwin as the only players to win 3 gold medals. It would also put him just 1 championship shy of equalling the all time US Open winners record of 4, held by Jack Nicklaus, Ben Hogan, Bobby Jones and Willie Anderson. So, as he’s a great student of golf history, does he ever think about it? “I'm very blessed to have done what I've done so far. But I'm still trying to pursue as many wins as I can, and, with the time and opportunity, I’d love to have a chance to win some more.” Bryson DeChambeau Crushers GC LIV Golf U.S. Open
0:17

Bryson DeChambeau’s next event after LIV Golf Andalucia is the US Open, where he’ll attempt to win his 3rd gold medal. He spoke to Flushing It Golf at Valderrama about his preparation ahead of Shinnecock Hills and whether he feels any pressure after missing the last 2 cuts in majors: “Well, Valderrama is a ball striker's golf course. So you have to control your golf ball and hit the right shots under the gun with a lot of wind out here. It really is a great ball strikers paradise. The same as, you know, in the US Open. I think this is a great test.” Bryson shot rounds of 70, 71, 71 and 70 to finish T11 at Valderrama. Does he feel any pressure to perform after missing the cut at the Masters and the PGA Championship? “No. To be honest, missed cuts are gonna happen. I might miss all 4 of them in majors this year. That's just golf. Like, I’m playing great. I just haven't shown up when it mattered most. But I've played well out here on LIV, and I’m working on my golf swing really hard, and, I feel like it's in a really solid place. It's very close to some of my best golf ever. “Last week (in Korea) I had a great opportunity to win for the third time this year and didn't close the door. And that's just more learning, you know, if I had a little bit more knowledge of what to do in the golf swing, to get the ball to go straight in a few scenarios. I could have taken that championship down too. “So, I feel like I'm actually playing the most consistent I've ever played on LIV, which is great. And I think it's attributed to the switch to four rounds. No question.” Bryson says he’s going to head to Shinnecock early to get some extended work in and thinks it will be a huge benefit after not playing the course since the 2018 US Open. If he were to win it, he would join Tiger Woods and Hale Irwin as the only players to win 3 gold medals. It would also put him just 1 championship shy of equalling the all time US Open winners record of 4, held by Jack Nicklaus, Ben Hogan, Bobby Jones and Willie Anderson. So, as he’s a great student of golf history, does he ever think about it? “I'm very blessed to have done what I've done so far. But I'm still trying to pursue as many wins as I can, and, with the time and opportunity, I’d love to have a chance to win some more.” Bryson DeChambeau Crushers GC LIV Golf U.S. Open

Flushing It

150,633 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

This was a video of Kit I had animated with Atlabs AI in the past. I feel a bit more comfortable showing it because I have something better with similar scenes but extended, that I plan on posting later. Kit Bodega is obviously going through muscle growth here. Kit is owned by the maker of Gameoverse Rubber Ross. I really should have put Kit's arms were mechanical but oh well... Not much else that should be said, the new version that I plan on posting later has me considering a couple of ideas on how I can attempt MG content going forward. A link for the Atlabs website will be in the comments. If you have an atlabs account I hope the video I show on what models I use for my content helps you. Sorry for pushing the video creation back for September but I hope if you get adequate information it will be worth the wait. I also hope it gets some of you considering trying atlabs for Ai animations. The video I make might not cover muscle growth content but hopefully it should still help in showing how Ai video content can be directed. This video is sfw In every way. This video was animated with AtlabsAi. It was all done with Ai #AtlabsAi #musclegrowth #musclegrowthanimation #KitBodega
0:15

This was a video of Kit I had animated with Atlabs AI in the past. I feel a bit more comfortable showing it because I have something better with similar scenes but extended, that I plan on posting later. Kit Bodega is obviously going through muscle growth here. Kit is owned by the maker of Gameoverse Rubber Ross. I really should have put Kit's arms were mechanical but oh well... Not much else that should be said, the new version that I plan on posting later has me considering a couple of ideas on how I can attempt MG content going forward. A link for the Atlabs website will be in the comments. If you have an atlabs account I hope the video I show on what models I use for my content helps you. Sorry for pushing the video creation back for September but I hope if you get adequate information it will be worth the wait. I also hope it gets some of you considering trying atlabs for Ai animations. The video I make might not cover muscle growth content but hopefully it should still help in showing how Ai video content can be directed. This video is sfw In every way. This video was animated with AtlabsAi. It was all done with Ai #AtlabsAi #musclegrowth #musclegrowthanimation #KitBodega

CaleAi

15,083 görüntüleme • 6 gün önce

Kerry Roberts complained about being a “victim” of “harassment” for “the crime of telling the truth” yesterday on Good Morning America. Then she took the witness stand & admitted to lying under oath & committing perjury at a grand jury to protect Jen McCabe. The Feds are the ONLY reason we know this information. What does that tell you? These witnesses are comfortable lying under oath at the state grand jury because they know they’ve got immunity from DA Michael Morrissey’s Office. They’re protected. But suddenly, once under investigation by the Feds, and under the threat of federal perjury charges while on the witness stand at a federal grand jury, a whole lot of admissions and truth started coming out. This is also why Brian Higgins testified (at the federal grand jury) that he saw someone, that fit John O’Keefe’s criteria, enter the house. Higgins didn’t know what the Feds knew at the time, and being an ATF agent, he’s surely well aware of the fact that he could be facing prison time for lying to a federal agent. The only reason Kerry Roberts changed her testimony and told the truth—that she never heard Karen Read ask Jen McCabe to Google anything—was because she knew she no longer had the protection of her friends at the federal grand jury. This is what the general public finds so outrageous about these “witnesses”. It’s how they brazenly lie to your face to frame an innocent woman for a murder she did not commit, and then if you dare call them on it, they have to make themselves “victims” by whining and crying about “hawassment” and “witness intimidation”. The public is going to be critical and unfavorable of you when you willingly lie to coverup and frame someone else for murder. That’s a necessary age-old aspect of society called “shame”. If you don’t like it, don’t lie or do shameful things. It’s really that simple. #KarenRead #KarenReadTrial #KarenReadTrial2 #FreeKarenRead #JusticeForJohnOKeefe
0:05

Kerry Roberts complained about being a “victim” of “harassment” for “the crime of telling the truth” yesterday on Good Morning America. Then she took the witness stand & admitted to lying under oath & committing perjury at a grand jury to protect Jen McCabe. The Feds are the ONLY reason we know this information. What does that tell you? These witnesses are comfortable lying under oath at the state grand jury because they know they’ve got immunity from DA Michael Morrissey’s Office. They’re protected. But suddenly, once under investigation by the Feds, and under the threat of federal perjury charges while on the witness stand at a federal grand jury, a whole lot of admissions and truth started coming out. This is also why Brian Higgins testified (at the federal grand jury) that he saw someone, that fit John O’Keefe’s criteria, enter the house. Higgins didn’t know what the Feds knew at the time, and being an ATF agent, he’s surely well aware of the fact that he could be facing prison time for lying to a federal agent. The only reason Kerry Roberts changed her testimony and told the truth—that she never heard Karen Read ask Jen McCabe to Google anything—was because she knew she no longer had the protection of her friends at the federal grand jury. This is what the general public finds so outrageous about these “witnesses”. It’s how they brazenly lie to your face to frame an innocent woman for a murder she did not commit, and then if you dare call them on it, they have to make themselves “victims” by whining and crying about “hawassment” and “witness intimidation”. The public is going to be critical and unfavorable of you when you willingly lie to coverup and frame someone else for murder. That’s a necessary age-old aspect of society called “shame”. If you don’t like it, don’t lie or do shameful things. It’s really that simple. #KarenRead #KarenReadTrial #KarenReadTrial2 #FreeKarenRead #JusticeForJohnOKeefe

Olivia

58,743 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

It's easy to make up figures, but Russia shows you facts, what does Zelensky show to back up his claims? Nothing. For every 1 Russian casualty 20 Ukrainians fall. Russia dominates Ukraine 9 to 1 is fire power. A single FAB-3000 could eliminaтe 100+ soldiers. That's reality. You may not like it, CNN didn't say so, so that makes me wrong to you, but yet you show nothing to counter these figures. Drone warfare is fairly 1:1. Ballistic, heavy bombs, artillery is incomparable and you know it but can't accept these facts. I'm not here to celebrate over dеаd men, it hurts me to see Ukrainians dуing in such numbers. Russian soldiers are contracted, trained, well paid with high morale. Ukrainians? They are dragged off the streets into vans, 2 weeks of training if lucky and then off to the front. Do you criticize that? Or it's justified by Zelensky? Again, outside the physical domination by Russia, it is also psychologically more dominant. You either lie to yourself after reading this or you just ignorant. Western media has done more damage for the average Ukrainian than it has made gains in the PR warfare. Russia's win is slow, calculated, hold, devastate the lines and advance a few KMs. It's a conflict of attrition, many have been so brainwashed they believe the American war in Iraq is standard warfare or else Russia is losing. "Kiev in 3 days". Does Russia need to commit a genocide to win? Is that what you are asking. Be real with yourselves.
0:14

It's easy to make up figures, but Russia shows you facts, what does Zelensky show to back up his claims? Nothing. For every 1 Russian casualty 20 Ukrainians fall. Russia dominates Ukraine 9 to 1 is fire power. A single FAB-3000 could eliminaтe 100+ soldiers. That's reality. You may not like it, CNN didn't say so, so that makes me wrong to you, but yet you show nothing to counter these figures. Drone warfare is fairly 1:1. Ballistic, heavy bombs, artillery is incomparable and you know it but can't accept these facts. I'm not here to celebrate over dеаd men, it hurts me to see Ukrainians dуing in such numbers. Russian soldiers are contracted, trained, well paid with high morale. Ukrainians? They are dragged off the streets into vans, 2 weeks of training if lucky and then off to the front. Do you criticize that? Or it's justified by Zelensky? Again, outside the physical domination by Russia, it is also psychologically more dominant. You either lie to yourself after reading this or you just ignorant. Western media has done more damage for the average Ukrainian than it has made gains in the PR warfare. Russia's win is slow, calculated, hold, devastate the lines and advance a few KMs. It's a conflict of attrition, many have been so brainwashed they believe the American war in Iraq is standard warfare or else Russia is losing. "Kiev in 3 days". Does Russia need to commit a genocide to win? Is that what you are asking. Be real with yourselves.

Spetsnaℤ 007 🇷🇺

138,323 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

23 year old David Puig is having another great season, finishing inside the points in every event on the LIV Golf League to be 10th on the Standings and finishing T11 or better in all 3 DP World Tour starts. He’s been a model of consistency but is without a win and he says it’s something he’s looking forward to the challenge of trying to overcome: “I’ve been having a really good season and playing very consistent. I think I’ve been doing well in every part of the game if you look at my strokes gained. Lots of birdies, some eagles, but too many mistakes to be winning events and it’s something I’m really looking forward to, the challenge of minimising the mistakes and trying to get it done this year. “There’s times where I’ve made the right decision, it was just poorly executed and a few unlucky breaks here and there that stopped me from winning. But I’m looking forward to the challenge and really happy with how I’ve been playing.” David is an electric player to watch who is not scared to take on tough shots and can get hot at any time running off strings of birdies. His speed is his biggest asset but it’s something he says he needs to learn how to utilise: “I might be a little different than the average player. I hit the ball pretty far and that makes it a bit more challenging when I’m out of position in the rough. We’ve caught a couple of fliers where the ball reacts different than expected out of the different lies and that makes it more challenging. But I’ve just got to learn from those mistakes and keep getting better. “My game is getting into good shape. I’m positive with the way I’ve been working on and off the course to get to that point that I can get the win. I’m excited for it and I’m learning. I just need to keep the mistakes off the card.” David is playing this week at LIV Golf UK by JCB and it’s a course which he says he enjoys. He also played well here last season coming T11. Hopefully he can continue his great form this season and contend again this weekend at the JCB Golf and Country Club.
0:15

23 year old David Puig is having another great season, finishing inside the points in every event on the LIV Golf League to be 10th on the Standings and finishing T11 or better in all 3 DP World Tour starts. He’s been a model of consistency but is without a win and he says it’s something he’s looking forward to the challenge of trying to overcome: “I’ve been having a really good season and playing very consistent. I think I’ve been doing well in every part of the game if you look at my strokes gained. Lots of birdies, some eagles, but too many mistakes to be winning events and it’s something I’m really looking forward to, the challenge of minimising the mistakes and trying to get it done this year. “There’s times where I’ve made the right decision, it was just poorly executed and a few unlucky breaks here and there that stopped me from winning. But I’m looking forward to the challenge and really happy with how I’ve been playing.” David is an electric player to watch who is not scared to take on tough shots and can get hot at any time running off strings of birdies. His speed is his biggest asset but it’s something he says he needs to learn how to utilise: “I might be a little different than the average player. I hit the ball pretty far and that makes it a bit more challenging when I’m out of position in the rough. We’ve caught a couple of fliers where the ball reacts different than expected out of the different lies and that makes it more challenging. But I’ve just got to learn from those mistakes and keep getting better. “My game is getting into good shape. I’m positive with the way I’ve been working on and off the course to get to that point that I can get the win. I’m excited for it and I’m learning. I just need to keep the mistakes off the card.” David is playing this week at LIV Golf UK by JCB and it’s a course which he says he enjoys. He also played well here last season coming T11. Hopefully he can continue his great form this season and contend again this weekend at the JCB Golf and Country Club.

Flushing It

34,470 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

Where did you go, Charlie? Well, hello everyone! Yes, it is really me. I am back! As a great number of you had noticed, I have been missing online for almost two months now. I disappeared almost as soon as the trial for the Southport Massacre ended. Public opinion and concern has been split as to why I went missing; between those who thought I had a breakdown after covering the massacre, and those who thought I had caved to government pressure to stop reporting upon the cover-up. Neither of these, thanks to the strength of public feeling and the support of my colleagues, is true. What really happened? Three days after the trial ended, my X/Twitter account was hacked. My profile remained intact; live but inactive. Except for one thing...My viral timeline of the Southport massacre had been unpinned and DELETED. This timeline had been collated on the day of Axel Rudakubana's sentencing, and detailed exactly what had taken place on that dreadful summer's day in Southport. It exposed how the UK Government had failed time and time again to prevent this monster from moving about with freedom, and what they and other authorities had done to cover-up their incompetence, and the devastating consequences of their political agenda. This timeline had been see by 50 million people within 3 days – and was recognised as one of the most authoritative records of the Southport massacre. But, just as my account was gaining momentum, and I had the platform to explore the depth of the corruption in this case – including the anti-white sentiment of Rudakubana being glossed over by the Establishment and mainstream media – this detailed timeline of evidence was deleted, and I was locked out the account until this morning. (More on this to follow.) I do not know who did this to me, or what caused X to withhold my account from me for almost two months. But there is one thing of which I am certain: Whoever did this did not want the hideous truth about the Southport Massacre in the public domain...
0:12

Where did you go, Charlie? Well, hello everyone! Yes, it is really me. I am back! As a great number of you had noticed, I have been missing online for almost two months now. I disappeared almost as soon as the trial for the Southport Massacre ended. Public opinion and concern has been split as to why I went missing; between those who thought I had a breakdown after covering the massacre, and those who thought I had caved to government pressure to stop reporting upon the cover-up. Neither of these, thanks to the strength of public feeling and the support of my colleagues, is true. What really happened? Three days after the trial ended, my X/Twitter account was hacked. My profile remained intact; live but inactive. Except for one thing...My viral timeline of the Southport massacre had been unpinned and DELETED. This timeline had been collated on the day of Axel Rudakubana's sentencing, and detailed exactly what had taken place on that dreadful summer's day in Southport. It exposed how the UK Government had failed time and time again to prevent this monster from moving about with freedom, and what they and other authorities had done to cover-up their incompetence, and the devastating consequences of their political agenda. This timeline had been see by 50 million people within 3 days – and was recognised as one of the most authoritative records of the Southport massacre. But, just as my account was gaining momentum, and I had the platform to explore the depth of the corruption in this case – including the anti-white sentiment of Rudakubana being glossed over by the Establishment and mainstream media – this detailed timeline of evidence was deleted, and I was locked out the account until this morning. (More on this to follow.) I do not know who did this to me, or what caused X to withhold my account from me for almost two months. But there is one thing of which I am certain: Whoever did this did not want the hideous truth about the Southport Massacre in the public domain...

Charlie Bentley-Astor

462,159 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

There’s been some confusion/comments about my use of the phrase “pull the goalie” … so I’ll explain what it means, why I use it and why I think it’s the right starting point to use for defining urban Family Friendly housing Like from this clip from Marley and Me, it has simply meant a couple having sex, while being open to having kids. The word " trying" can feel really strange at first ... so it's just the shift from preventing a pregnancy to being willing for one to happen. And there’s a very big difference between getting pregnant and deciding to be willing to get pregnant. That difference is *key* when it comes both to designing housing and to making a City more family friendly. I know plenty of couples who have gotten pregnant immediately, like on the honeymoon. And for others it has taken years of ACTUAL trying (tracking cycles, having sex at specific times of day, hormones, IVF) ... and for some of our friends despite all efforts it just has not happened. Only God knows when or if a couple will have a baby. Babies truly are a miracle. (On a related note, Marley and Me is a beautiful movie in telling the story of wanting a family and losing a baby. My wife and I have lost children, so we know a *bit* of what the heartbreak of miscarriage is like) But the shift for a couple to become WILLING to have a baby is one of the core reasons people struggle to have kids in cities. If someone looks around their apartment and thinks, “There is no way we could raise a baby here,” then they’re less likely to stop using birth control. Your home has to feel like it could accommodate a baby. A "Baby Maybe" home: a second small bedroom or a tiny home office, that could have be a nursery in a pinch. It enables the small, almost subconscious, mental threshold where you say, “You know what … we’d be fine if this happened.” That’s the moment. And for each couple, there will be 1000 other things that go into the equation: Can we afford for 1 of us to stay home, or full-time childcare? Do we see other kids around us? Is it safe enough for kids? Are there parks nearby? Do we need to be closer to family and cousins? All will be different for each family, but they ALL require that their current home is sufficient to be able to have a kid Otherwise, as soon as a couple finds out they are pregnant ... they call their parents, friends and family and tell them the good news ... and then immediately look on Zillow to move right away so they aren't giving birth AND moving the same time. It's kind of a bummer in an otherwise wonderful magical moment. We've seen many many couples move out of the City at that exact period. "Well, since we are moving anyway, we might as well go to where we think we will live long term." But it doesn't need to be that. Babies are small. At least for the first year, if you have a place to put them you're probably better off just staying in your current place and then figuring things out later. Maybe you DO need to move to the suburbs or be closer to family or you want a house with a yard. But that decision doesn't need to be right away. TLDR: Family Friendly housing doesn’t begin at birth. It begins when a couple can imagine a child fitting into their current home ... whether that's a rowhome with tiny bedrooms or a 1BR+Den apartment.
0:19

There’s been some confusion/comments about my use of the phrase “pull the goalie” … so I’ll explain what it means, why I use it and why I think it’s the right starting point to use for defining urban Family Friendly housing Like from this clip from Marley and Me, it has simply meant a couple having sex, while being open to having kids. The word " trying" can feel really strange at first ... so it's just the shift from preventing a pregnancy to being willing for one to happen. And there’s a very big difference between getting pregnant and deciding to be willing to get pregnant. That difference is *key* when it comes both to designing housing and to making a City more family friendly. I know plenty of couples who have gotten pregnant immediately, like on the honeymoon. And for others it has taken years of ACTUAL trying (tracking cycles, having sex at specific times of day, hormones, IVF) ... and for some of our friends despite all efforts it just has not happened. Only God knows when or if a couple will have a baby. Babies truly are a miracle. (On a related note, Marley and Me is a beautiful movie in telling the story of wanting a family and losing a baby. My wife and I have lost children, so we know a *bit* of what the heartbreak of miscarriage is like) But the shift for a couple to become WILLING to have a baby is one of the core reasons people struggle to have kids in cities. If someone looks around their apartment and thinks, “There is no way we could raise a baby here,” then they’re less likely to stop using birth control. Your home has to feel like it could accommodate a baby. A "Baby Maybe" home: a second small bedroom or a tiny home office, that could have be a nursery in a pinch. It enables the small, almost subconscious, mental threshold where you say, “You know what … we’d be fine if this happened.” That’s the moment. And for each couple, there will be 1000 other things that go into the equation: Can we afford for 1 of us to stay home, or full-time childcare? Do we see other kids around us? Is it safe enough for kids? Are there parks nearby? Do we need to be closer to family and cousins? All will be different for each family, but they ALL require that their current home is sufficient to be able to have a kid Otherwise, as soon as a couple finds out they are pregnant ... they call their parents, friends and family and tell them the good news ... and then immediately look on Zillow to move right away so they aren't giving birth AND moving the same time. It's kind of a bummer in an otherwise wonderful magical moment. We've seen many many couples move out of the City at that exact period. "Well, since we are moving anyway, we might as well go to where we think we will live long term." But it doesn't need to be that. Babies are small. At least for the first year, if you have a place to put them you're probably better off just staying in your current place and then figuring things out later. Maybe you DO need to move to the suburbs or be closer to family or you want a house with a yard. But that decision doesn't need to be right away. TLDR: Family Friendly housing doesn’t begin at birth. It begins when a couple can imagine a child fitting into their current home ... whether that's a rowhome with tiny bedrooms or a 1BR+Den apartment.

Bobby Fijan

219,453 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

I genuinely want our 🇮🇳 economy to reach $5 trillion by 2027. But with GDP growth at 6.4% in Q2 FY26 & FII's pulling out ₹1.75 lakh crore in 2024-25, #Budget2026 on February 1st must deliver bold reforms ! 📈 👉Sharing my 7 critical expectations from our FM Nirmala Sitharaman ji 👇.. 📊 Cut LTCG tax back to 10% & double exemption to ₹2.5 lakh 12.5% tax is killing long term returns for every equity investor. Before July 2024 we paid only 10% above ₹1 lakh & people stayed invested happily. Government hiked it suddenly & broke confidence. Roll back to 10% now. Raise exemption from ₹1.25 lakh to ₹2.5 lakh so small SIP guys with ₹10k-20k monthly build wealth without tax on modest gains. Foreigners pulled ₹1.6 lakh crore in 2024-25 partly due to this. Want them back? Stop squeezing returns & protect investors. 📊 Bring STCG tax down from 20% to 15% Jump from 15% to 20% in July 2024 was brutal. Short term traders pay 33% more tax now. Volumes crashed & retail participation dropped hard in late 2024. Less trading means poor liquidity & bad prices for everyone. Drop to 15% now. Markets will wake up, volumes jump, exchanges compete globally. More action means better valuations & wealth for all. 📊 Abolish STT completely or cut by 50%, end double tax nonsense STT on every buy & sell plus capital gains tax on profit is pure double robbery. No major country does this. Government took ₹78000 crore from STT in FY26. Remove STT fully or slash rates half. Make trading cheap & retail will flood back huge. 📊 Massive infra push, commit ₹15-18 lakh crore capex & finish fast ₹11.2 lakh crore capex is too small for $5 trillion by 2027 or beating China on infra. Announce ₹15-18 lakh crore for roads, ports, airports, metros, defence & digital. But projects stuck years in clearances & land fights. Force single window clearance in 30 days. Set fast track courts for disputes in 6 months max. Give infra status to real estate & affordable housing for cheap loans. Every ₹1 spent creates ₹4-5 in cement steel construction. This pushes infra & capital goods stocks 100-150% in 3 years & millions jobs. 📊 Manufacturing boom, 10 year tax holiday plus 50% first year depreciation Make India better than Vietnam Bangladesh Mexico for factories. Give new units 10 years zero tax, especially Tier 2-3 cities. Allow 50% depreciation on machinery first year for cash flow boost. Extend PLI to 25 sectors like toys footwear auto parts chemicals. Cut customs slabs from 8 to 4 simple. One time amnesty to clear old stuck money. This means export boom, jobs, profits & engineering chemical stocks fly. 📊 Put ₹50k-75k extra cash in middle class pockets yearly Raise standard deduction to ₹1.5 lakh from ₹75000, saves ₹15k-22k tax. Increase 80D to ₹1 lakh from ₹25000 as medical costs exploded post COVID. Boost home loan deduction to ₹3 lakh from ₹2 lakh. These put ₹50k-75k extra in 10+ crore salaried hands yearly. Money goes to cars travel education. Consumption is 55% GDP & drives FMCG auto retail stocks up fast. 📊 GST 2.0, fix ITC delays & make business easy ITC refunds take 3-6 months & block crores cash. Give refunds in 30 days max. One single portal for all. Reduce high GST on EV batteries & parts. Faster refunds let companies invest hire grow. Profits rise, stocks valuations up, dividends better for investors ! Looking forward to a really proactive & well thought budget 2026. 👉 Folks, Are your ready for a blockbuster #Budget2026? @zerodhaonline Nirmala Sitharaman Ministry of Finance PIB India valuepickr Narendra Modi CA Anil Singhvi Zee Business ReserveBankOfIndia Nirmala Sitharamanoffc @varinder_bansal Kaushik Basu Arvind Subramanian Sanjeev Sanyal Prof. Krishnamurthy V Subramanian Jayati Ghosh Karan Bhasin Bibek Debroy @ArvindPanagariya Prof. Shamika Ravi @neelkanthmisra #Budget2026 #TaxReform #InvestInIndia #MakeInIndia #MiddleClassRelief #CapitalGainsTax #InfraPush #ManufacturingBoom #GSTReform #InvestorDemand
0:16

I genuinely want our 🇮🇳 economy to reach $5 trillion by 2027. But with GDP growth at 6.4% in Q2 FY26 & FII's pulling out ₹1.75 lakh crore in 2024-25, #Budget2026 on February 1st must deliver bold reforms ! 📈 👉Sharing my 7 critical expectations from our FM Nirmala Sitharaman ji 👇.. 📊 Cut LTCG tax back to 10% & double exemption to ₹2.5 lakh 12.5% tax is killing long term returns for every equity investor. Before July 2024 we paid only 10% above ₹1 lakh & people stayed invested happily. Government hiked it suddenly & broke confidence. Roll back to 10% now. Raise exemption from ₹1.25 lakh to ₹2.5 lakh so small SIP guys with ₹10k-20k monthly build wealth without tax on modest gains. Foreigners pulled ₹1.6 lakh crore in 2024-25 partly due to this. Want them back? Stop squeezing returns & protect investors. 📊 Bring STCG tax down from 20% to 15% Jump from 15% to 20% in July 2024 was brutal. Short term traders pay 33% more tax now. Volumes crashed & retail participation dropped hard in late 2024. Less trading means poor liquidity & bad prices for everyone. Drop to 15% now. Markets will wake up, volumes jump, exchanges compete globally. More action means better valuations & wealth for all. 📊 Abolish STT completely or cut by 50%, end double tax nonsense STT on every buy & sell plus capital gains tax on profit is pure double robbery. No major country does this. Government took ₹78000 crore from STT in FY26. Remove STT fully or slash rates half. Make trading cheap & retail will flood back huge. 📊 Massive infra push, commit ₹15-18 lakh crore capex & finish fast ₹11.2 lakh crore capex is too small for $5 trillion by 2027 or beating China on infra. Announce ₹15-18 lakh crore for roads, ports, airports, metros, defence & digital. But projects stuck years in clearances & land fights. Force single window clearance in 30 days. Set fast track courts for disputes in 6 months max. Give infra status to real estate & affordable housing for cheap loans. Every ₹1 spent creates ₹4-5 in cement steel construction. This pushes infra & capital goods stocks 100-150% in 3 years & millions jobs. 📊 Manufacturing boom, 10 year tax holiday plus 50% first year depreciation Make India better than Vietnam Bangladesh Mexico for factories. Give new units 10 years zero tax, especially Tier 2-3 cities. Allow 50% depreciation on machinery first year for cash flow boost. Extend PLI to 25 sectors like toys footwear auto parts chemicals. Cut customs slabs from 8 to 4 simple. One time amnesty to clear old stuck money. This means export boom, jobs, profits & engineering chemical stocks fly. 📊 Put ₹50k-75k extra cash in middle class pockets yearly Raise standard deduction to ₹1.5 lakh from ₹75000, saves ₹15k-22k tax. Increase 80D to ₹1 lakh from ₹25000 as medical costs exploded post COVID. Boost home loan deduction to ₹3 lakh from ₹2 lakh. These put ₹50k-75k extra in 10+ crore salaried hands yearly. Money goes to cars travel education. Consumption is 55% GDP & drives FMCG auto retail stocks up fast. 📊 GST 2.0, fix ITC delays & make business easy ITC refunds take 3-6 months & block crores cash. Give refunds in 30 days max. One single portal for all. Reduce high GST on EV batteries & parts. Faster refunds let companies invest hire grow. Profits rise, stocks valuations up, dividends better for investors ! Looking forward to a really proactive & well thought budget 2026. 👉 Folks, Are your ready for a blockbuster #Budget2026? @zerodhaonline Nirmala Sitharaman Ministry of Finance PIB India valuepickr Narendra Modi CA Anil Singhvi Zee Business ReserveBankOfIndia Nirmala Sitharamanoffc @varinder_bansal Kaushik Basu Arvind Subramanian Sanjeev Sanyal Prof. Krishnamurthy V Subramanian Jayati Ghosh Karan Bhasin Bibek Debroy @ArvindPanagariya Prof. Shamika Ravi @neelkanthmisra #Budget2026 #TaxReform #InvestInIndia #MakeInIndia #MiddleClassRelief #CapitalGainsTax #InfraPush #ManufacturingBoom #GSTReform #InvestorDemand

Advait Arora

24,580 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

Reading with your baby isn’t always as simple as it might seem. Earlier this week, a parent asked how I’d advise reading to a toddler who may not have the attention span for a full book and who, when handling them, often tears the pages. I’m so glad you asked! This fantastic video, shared to TT a couple years back by hanzcakess, illustrates both the realities of - and several important lessons for - parents and caregivers when it comes to reading with infants and toddlers. First, when reading with very young children it’s important to begin with realistic expectations. At this little guy’s age (which I’m going to guess is around a year, give or take 2 months) babies‘ attention spans are VERY limited. Think 1-2 minutes tops. What does that mean for you? First it means that you’re unlikely to make it through an entire book. And that’s just fine. Rest assured that there’s still great value in the activity. Further, don’t be surprised if your child is more interested in interacting with (or at the earliest stages, even chewing on) the book itself rather than attending to the story it contains. That’s ok too. For both reasons, beginning with sturdy, laminated board books is well advised. Not only do these tend to be super short (with most intended to accommodate for babies’ brief attention spans), but they’re made to withstand the rigors of handling by infants and toddlers. Now, some might look at this video and (on first glance, at least) see primarily inattention. But not me! Here’s what I see: First, I see a completely normal toddler who’s already putting some really impressive book knowledge on display. Notice he’s advancing front to back and left to right as he turns pages sequentially. They’ve done this often. Also want to shout out what a truly fantastic job Dad is doing here. Notice that he’s totally letting his son dictate the terms the activity. He’s not insistent on completing the text, but goes with the flow as his son turns the pages. As the pages turn he’s helping to illustrate that the print on each one contains a unique message. And he’s singing the text! Brown Bear is a great book for this and many board books lend themselves particularly well here. Your baby isn’t judging your singing voice. Kudos on making the experience engaging. In light of all the above, don’t be afraid to stray from the text altogether as needed and use this time to simply engage in conversation about the pictures and introduce some new vocabulary. Finally, while lap reading is fantastic, at this age you may also find benefit in reading face to face, allowing your child to tune into your expressions alongside the book. Remember, there’s nothing your baby loves seeing more than you. Rest assured this stage doesn’t last forever. You’ll be snuggling up for longer sessions in no time. And while we’re on the topic of reading, I want to give a special shout out to my friends at Reach Out and Read, which is a fantastic program you may know from distributing books and sharing advice like this via your pediatrician’s office. Today I’m thrilled to be the guest on their newest podcast, discussing my book The Daycare Myth. I’ll include a link in the first reply below.
0:18

Reading with your baby isn’t always as simple as it might seem. Earlier this week, a parent asked how I’d advise reading to a toddler who may not have the attention span for a full book and who, when handling them, often tears the pages. I’m so glad you asked! This fantastic video, shared to TT a couple years back by hanzcakess, illustrates both the realities of - and several important lessons for - parents and caregivers when it comes to reading with infants and toddlers. First, when reading with very young children it’s important to begin with realistic expectations. At this little guy’s age (which I’m going to guess is around a year, give or take 2 months) babies‘ attention spans are VERY limited. Think 1-2 minutes tops. What does that mean for you? First it means that you’re unlikely to make it through an entire book. And that’s just fine. Rest assured that there’s still great value in the activity. Further, don’t be surprised if your child is more interested in interacting with (or at the earliest stages, even chewing on) the book itself rather than attending to the story it contains. That’s ok too. For both reasons, beginning with sturdy, laminated board books is well advised. Not only do these tend to be super short (with most intended to accommodate for babies’ brief attention spans), but they’re made to withstand the rigors of handling by infants and toddlers. Now, some might look at this video and (on first glance, at least) see primarily inattention. But not me! Here’s what I see: First, I see a completely normal toddler who’s already putting some really impressive book knowledge on display. Notice he’s advancing front to back and left to right as he turns pages sequentially. They’ve done this often. Also want to shout out what a truly fantastic job Dad is doing here. Notice that he’s totally letting his son dictate the terms the activity. He’s not insistent on completing the text, but goes with the flow as his son turns the pages. As the pages turn he’s helping to illustrate that the print on each one contains a unique message. And he’s singing the text! Brown Bear is a great book for this and many board books lend themselves particularly well here. Your baby isn’t judging your singing voice. Kudos on making the experience engaging. In light of all the above, don’t be afraid to stray from the text altogether as needed and use this time to simply engage in conversation about the pictures and introduce some new vocabulary. Finally, while lap reading is fantastic, at this age you may also find benefit in reading face to face, allowing your child to tune into your expressions alongside the book. Remember, there’s nothing your baby loves seeing more than you. Rest assured this stage doesn’t last forever. You’ll be snuggling up for longer sessions in no time. And while we’re on the topic of reading, I want to give a special shout out to my friends at Reach Out and Read, which is a fantastic program you may know from distributing books and sharing advice like this via your pediatrician’s office. Today I’m thrilled to be the guest on their newest podcast, discussing my book The Daycare Myth. I’ll include a link in the first reply below.

Dan Wuori

57,124 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

I watched so you did not have to and here is the breakdown!!!! Nearly 2 hours. Plenty of nostalgia. Plenty of vibes. Lots of feelings. But when the net was wide open for actual clarification? Dead air. Total time Chris Albert spoke 1,501 seconds Which is 25 min and 1 sec. So on an almost 2 hour show, he spoke for about 25 minutes total. Roughly 21% of the entire show The remaining time was largely filled by the hosts themselves frequently cutting him off, reframing questions, finishing answers for him, or moving the conversation along before he ever had to sit in discomfort or explain anything fully. 0 minutes of that time addressed the major unresolved timeline and movement issues Oddly missing from this fact-based discussion No explanation for how Colin got home 20 min AFTER Chris that night, despite a four-minute head start No explanation for why Chris’s wife that went to 34 Fairview with donuts for brian Jr. pulled behind a car that was not there only an hour earlier with no explanation then, turned around, came back to get him, returned again, stayed 30 min, then left, all on the morning John was found. No mention of parents allegedly coordinating to quietly clean up a house-destroying party involving minors in which his son was one No discussion of repeated allegations of Colin being removed from bars for underage drinking. We were told this channel is about facts, not opinion. So we treated it like a data exercise. We timed everything Chris talked about, so you didn’t have to. Here’s how nearly two hours were spent 2 min saying they tried to “let the court system play out,” while explaining his New Year’s Day Twitter Space tour and condemning Sean McCabe’s comments 37 sec on moving to Canton in 1974 35 sec explaining it’s normal to work in the town you grew up in (we agree) 35 sec on Canton no longer being blue-collar and now very expensive 44 sec reminiscing about red paint stains in his childhood garage was misrepresented by the defense 1 min on town politics 15 sec explaining what a Select Board is 50 sec on handling public comment and being a “First Amendment guy… to a degree” 38 sec announcing he’s not running again 25 sec on how he keeps his cool during public comment 15 sec on pineapple pizza 52 sec explaining Colin was 17 when John died and can’t play college football with his cousin 45 sec expressing loss for how his family has been treated 10 sec referencing a blogger saying “horrible things” about Colin 26 sec blaming the media for selling and sensationalizing a story 20 sec saying he’s mind-boggled 48 sec explaining why the term “McAlberts” is dehumanizing 28 sec criticizing Yannetti’s performance was upsetting to him while stating John was his friend 42 sec explaining the fence-straddling photo was a joke 1:50 on “Nebbercracker” and a childhood yard incident 10 sec about his wife bringing donuts to a nephew for his birthday was not weird 32 sec blaming Karen for making his family look like villains 1 min on selling his house and convincing his brother to sell 24 sec saying Nebbercracker was the best part of the trial 1:12 on knowing Michael Proctor but not really knowing him 10 sec saying he was never alone with Proctor 11 sec correcting the “pin it on the girl” claim (which we agree with) 1 min praising Jillian Daniels as a great family supporter and defender 1 min explaining early lack of support made him sad 15 sec thanking the hosts 31 sec discussing starting a “Defend the Truth” media page 30 sec saying both sides were horrible and doxxed people 24 sec on feeling isolated at first 33 sec minimizing the Proctor gift as “just gratitude for solving a murder in one day” 28 sec saying he’s still friends with the O’Keefes and they eat at his pizza shop 38 sec saying Mr. O’Keefe sits with him for long periods of time 43 sec lamenting being made into villains 30 sec saying the case took years off his parents’ lives 35 sec thanking supporters and saying “the truth is on our side”
0:15

I watched so you did not have to and here is the breakdown!!!! Nearly 2 hours. Plenty of nostalgia. Plenty of vibes. Lots of feelings. But when the net was wide open for actual clarification? Dead air. Total time Chris Albert spoke 1,501 seconds Which is 25 min and 1 sec. So on an almost 2 hour show, he spoke for about 25 minutes total. Roughly 21% of the entire show The remaining time was largely filled by the hosts themselves frequently cutting him off, reframing questions, finishing answers for him, or moving the conversation along before he ever had to sit in discomfort or explain anything fully. 0 minutes of that time addressed the major unresolved timeline and movement issues Oddly missing from this fact-based discussion No explanation for how Colin got home 20 min AFTER Chris that night, despite a four-minute head start No explanation for why Chris’s wife that went to 34 Fairview with donuts for brian Jr. pulled behind a car that was not there only an hour earlier with no explanation then, turned around, came back to get him, returned again, stayed 30 min, then left, all on the morning John was found. No mention of parents allegedly coordinating to quietly clean up a house-destroying party involving minors in which his son was one No discussion of repeated allegations of Colin being removed from bars for underage drinking. We were told this channel is about facts, not opinion. So we treated it like a data exercise. We timed everything Chris talked about, so you didn’t have to. Here’s how nearly two hours were spent 2 min saying they tried to “let the court system play out,” while explaining his New Year’s Day Twitter Space tour and condemning Sean McCabe’s comments 37 sec on moving to Canton in 1974 35 sec explaining it’s normal to work in the town you grew up in (we agree) 35 sec on Canton no longer being blue-collar and now very expensive 44 sec reminiscing about red paint stains in his childhood garage was misrepresented by the defense 1 min on town politics 15 sec explaining what a Select Board is 50 sec on handling public comment and being a “First Amendment guy… to a degree” 38 sec announcing he’s not running again 25 sec on how he keeps his cool during public comment 15 sec on pineapple pizza 52 sec explaining Colin was 17 when John died and can’t play college football with his cousin 45 sec expressing loss for how his family has been treated 10 sec referencing a blogger saying “horrible things” about Colin 26 sec blaming the media for selling and sensationalizing a story 20 sec saying he’s mind-boggled 48 sec explaining why the term “McAlberts” is dehumanizing 28 sec criticizing Yannetti’s performance was upsetting to him while stating John was his friend 42 sec explaining the fence-straddling photo was a joke 1:50 on “Nebbercracker” and a childhood yard incident 10 sec about his wife bringing donuts to a nephew for his birthday was not weird 32 sec blaming Karen for making his family look like villains 1 min on selling his house and convincing his brother to sell 24 sec saying Nebbercracker was the best part of the trial 1:12 on knowing Michael Proctor but not really knowing him 10 sec saying he was never alone with Proctor 11 sec correcting the “pin it on the girl” claim (which we agree with) 1 min praising Jillian Daniels as a great family supporter and defender 1 min explaining early lack of support made him sad 15 sec thanking the hosts 31 sec discussing starting a “Defend the Truth” media page 30 sec saying both sides were horrible and doxxed people 24 sec on feeling isolated at first 33 sec minimizing the Proctor gift as “just gratitude for solving a murder in one day” 28 sec saying he’s still friends with the O’Keefes and they eat at his pizza shop 38 sec saying Mr. O’Keefe sits with him for long periods of time 43 sec lamenting being made into villains 30 sec saying the case took years off his parents’ lives 35 sec thanking supporters and saying “the truth is on our side”

Dixie Normus

17,063 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

I reported my abuse in 2010. I decided that day I need to get justice. I drove down to Coventry from Huddersfield, walked into Little park street police station and made my complaint. Over 3 days I did multiple interviews in special units in Coventry and Halifax. I had to take myself back and relive the trauma, and at times I felt I was there again re living everything. Lucky for me all the files from the children's home of the groomers turning up, ringing the unit phones was very well documented in my daily staff logs which are in archive in Coventry city Council buildings for 70 years. Also Coventry Evening Telegraph did a piece on me in 1999. They sent an undercover journalist into my children's home who then reported about the groomers calling us on the units phone and collecting us. The men also made telephone cards with thier numbers on advertising me which were found by the staff. Despite all this this, and hospital reports of some of my attacks 3 or 4 months into the investigation, my case was closed down. I gave up. Now I have hope. All the proof is there. For the first time in 30 years I feel like im going to be heard, and those responsible will face justice. The life long damage this has done to me has been difficult to live with, as ive also lost a baby girl who was forced adopted because the UK social services believed I would never be able to parent because of the damage caused. Imagine, I gave birth and they walked into the delivery room and took her even before the placenta was delivered. UK social services have alot to answer to. Locking us victims up for months at a time to keep us safe....but groomers allowed to roam free. Today my journey for justice really begins. If there are any UK solicitors that see this and want to help, please get in touch. A massive thank you goes to Tommy Robinson 🇬🇧 for being our voice while the world stayed silent. GB News WestMidsPCC Camilla Tominey
0:17

I reported my abuse in 2010. I decided that day I need to get justice. I drove down to Coventry from Huddersfield, walked into Little park street police station and made my complaint. Over 3 days I did multiple interviews in special units in Coventry and Halifax. I had to take myself back and relive the trauma, and at times I felt I was there again re living everything. Lucky for me all the files from the children's home of the groomers turning up, ringing the unit phones was very well documented in my daily staff logs which are in archive in Coventry city Council buildings for 70 years. Also Coventry Evening Telegraph did a piece on me in 1999. They sent an undercover journalist into my children's home who then reported about the groomers calling us on the units phone and collecting us. The men also made telephone cards with thier numbers on advertising me which were found by the staff. Despite all this this, and hospital reports of some of my attacks 3 or 4 months into the investigation, my case was closed down. I gave up. Now I have hope. All the proof is there. For the first time in 30 years I feel like im going to be heard, and those responsible will face justice. The life long damage this has done to me has been difficult to live with, as ive also lost a baby girl who was forced adopted because the UK social services believed I would never be able to parent because of the damage caused. Imagine, I gave birth and they walked into the delivery room and took her even before the placenta was delivered. UK social services have alot to answer to. Locking us victims up for months at a time to keep us safe....but groomers allowed to roam free. Today my journey for justice really begins. If there are any UK solicitors that see this and want to help, please get in touch. A massive thank you goes to Tommy Robinson 🇬🇧 for being our voice while the world stayed silent. GB News WestMidsPCC Camilla Tominey

TruckeressCarla

91,993 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

Cole Tomas Allen, the man accused of opening fire at the White House Correspondents’ dinner at the Washington Hilton in Washington, D.C. Saturday, reported released a manifesto to his close family members only minutes before the shooting took place. The dinner, an annual event with President Donald Trump, First Lady Melania Trump, and other Trump administration officials in attendance, was cancelled and its attendees evacuated after gun shots rang out late Saturday night. On Sunday, the New York Post obtained and published what they report to be Allen’s full, 1,052-word manifesto in which he refers to himself as “Cole ‘coldForce’ ‘Friendly Federal Assassin’ Allen.” Among the many chilling details laid out in the manifesto, included in full below, are the following: Allen maintained he was “no longer willing to permit a pedophile, rapist, and traitor”(referencing left-wing conspiracies related to President Trump) to commit crimes. He planned to target numerous Trump administration officials “prioritized from highest-ranking to lowest.” Allen was willing to “go through most everyone” in attendance at the event “if it were absolutely necessary,” rationalizing the violence because all those present “[chose] to attend a speech by a pedophile, rapist, and traitor and are thus complicit.” Various talking points and accusations levied against President Trump in the note appear to come directly from various misleading left-wing conspiracies and talking points spread by Democratic Party members and other U.S. leftists. What follows is Allen’s manifesto, as released by the New York Post, in full, with one minor edit to remove profanity: Hello everybody! So I may have given a lot of people a surprise today. Let me start off by apologizing to everyone whose trust I abused. I apologize to my parents for saying I had an interview without specifying it was for “Most Wanted.” apologize to my colleagues and students for saying I had a personal emergency (by the time anyone reads this, I probably most certainly DO need to go to the ER, but can hardly call that not a self-inflicted status.) I apologize to all of the people I traveled next to, all the workers who handled my luggage, and all the other non-targeted people at the hotel who I put in danger simply by being near. I apologize to everyone who was abused and/or murdered before this, to all those who suffered before I was able to attempt this, to all who may still suffer after, regardless of my success or failure. I don’t expect forgiveness, but if I could have seen any other way to get this close, I would have taken it. Again, my sincere apologies. On to why I did any of this:I am a citizen of the United States of America. What my representatives do reflects on me. And I am no longer willing to permit a pedophile, rapist, and traitor to coat my hands with his crimes. (Well, to be completely honest, I was no longer willing a long time ago, but this is the first real opportunity I’ve had to do something about it.) While I’m discussing this, I’ll also go over my expected rules of engagement (probably in a terrible format, but I’m not military so too bad.) Administration officials (not including Mr. Patel): they are targets, prioritized from highest-ranking to lowest Secret Service: they are targets only if necessary, and to be incapacitated non-lethally if possible (aka, I hope they’re wearing body armor because center mass with shotguns messes up people who *aren’t* Hotel Security: not targets if at all possible (aka unless they shoot at me) Capitol Police: same as Hotel Security National Guard: same as Hotel Security Hotel Employees: not targets at all Guests: not targets at all In order to minimize casualties I will also be using buckshot rather than slugs (less penetration through walls) I would still go through most everyone here to get to the targets if it were absolutely necessary (on the basis that most people *chose* to attend a speech by a pedophile, rapist, and traitor, and are thus complicit) but I really hope it doesn’t come to that. Rebuttals to objections: Objection 1: As a Christian, you should turn the other cheek. Rebuttal: Turning the other cheek is for when you yourself are oppressed. I’m not the person raped in a detention camp. I’m not the fisherman executed without trial. I’m not a school kid blown up or a child starved or a teenage girl abused by the many criminals in this administration. Turning the other cheek when *someone else* is oppressed is not Christian behavior; it is complicity in the oppressor’s crimes. Objection 2: This is not a convenient time for you to do this. Rebuttal: I need whoever thinks this way to take a couple minutes and realize that the world isn’t about them. Do you think that when I see someone raped or murdered or abused, I should walk on by because it would be “inconvenient” for people who aren’t the victim? This was the best timing and chance of success I could come up with. Objection 3: You didn’t get them all. Rebuttal: Gotta start somewhere. Objection 4: As a half-black, half-white person, you shouldn’t be the one doing this. Rebuttal: I don’t see anyone else picking up the slack Objection 5: Yield unto Caesar what is Caesar’s. Rebuttal: The United States of America are ruled by the law, not by any one or several people. In so far as representatives and judges do not follow the law, no one is required to yield them anything so unlawfully ordered. I would also like to extend my appreciation to a great many people since I will not be likely to be able to talk with them again (unless the Secret Service is *astoundingly* incompetent.) Thank you to my family, both personal and church, for your love over these 31 years. Thank you to my friends, for your companionship over many years. Thank you to my colleagues over many jobs, for your positivity and professionalism. Thank you to my students for your enthusiasm and love of learning. Thank you to the many acquaintances I’ve met, in person and online, for short interactions and long-term relationships, for your perspectives and inspiration. Thank you all for everything. Sincerely, Cole “coldForce” “Friendly Federal Assassin” Allen PS: Ok now that all the sappy stuff is done, what the hell is the Secret Service doing? Sorry, gonna rant a bit here and drop the formal tone. Like, I expected security cameras at every bend, bugged hotel rooms, armed agents every 10 feet, metal detectors out the wazoo. What I got (who knows, maybe they’re pranking me!) is nothing. No damn security. Not in transport. Not in the hotel. Not in the event. Like, the one thing that I immediately noticed walking into the hotel is the sense of arrogance. I walk in with multiple weapons and not a single person there considers the possibility that I could be a threat. The security at the event is all outside, focused on protestors and current arrivals, because apparently no one thought about what happens if someone checks in the day before. Like, this level of incompetence is insane, and I very sincerely hope it’s corrected by the time this country gets actually competent leadership again. Like, if I was an Iranian agent, instead of an American citizen, I could have brought a damn Ma Deuce in here and no one would have noticed s**t. Actually insane. Oh and if anyone is curious is how doing something like feels: it’s awful. I want to throw up; I want to cry for all the things I wanted to do and never will, for all the people whose trust this betrays; I experience rage thinking about everything this administration has done. Can’t really recommend it! Stay in school, kids.
0:19

Cole Tomas Allen, the man accused of opening fire at the White House Correspondents’ dinner at the Washington Hilton in Washington, D.C. Saturday, reported released a manifesto to his close family members only minutes before the shooting took place. The dinner, an annual event with President Donald Trump, First Lady Melania Trump, and other Trump administration officials in attendance, was cancelled and its attendees evacuated after gun shots rang out late Saturday night. On Sunday, the New York Post obtained and published what they report to be Allen’s full, 1,052-word manifesto in which he refers to himself as “Cole ‘coldForce’ ‘Friendly Federal Assassin’ Allen.” Among the many chilling details laid out in the manifesto, included in full below, are the following: Allen maintained he was “no longer willing to permit a pedophile, rapist, and traitor”(referencing left-wing conspiracies related to President Trump) to commit crimes. He planned to target numerous Trump administration officials “prioritized from highest-ranking to lowest.” Allen was willing to “go through most everyone” in attendance at the event “if it were absolutely necessary,” rationalizing the violence because all those present “[chose] to attend a speech by a pedophile, rapist, and traitor and are thus complicit.” Various talking points and accusations levied against President Trump in the note appear to come directly from various misleading left-wing conspiracies and talking points spread by Democratic Party members and other U.S. leftists. What follows is Allen’s manifesto, as released by the New York Post, in full, with one minor edit to remove profanity: Hello everybody! So I may have given a lot of people a surprise today. Let me start off by apologizing to everyone whose trust I abused. I apologize to my parents for saying I had an interview without specifying it was for “Most Wanted.” apologize to my colleagues and students for saying I had a personal emergency (by the time anyone reads this, I probably most certainly DO need to go to the ER, but can hardly call that not a self-inflicted status.) I apologize to all of the people I traveled next to, all the workers who handled my luggage, and all the other non-targeted people at the hotel who I put in danger simply by being near. I apologize to everyone who was abused and/or murdered before this, to all those who suffered before I was able to attempt this, to all who may still suffer after, regardless of my success or failure. I don’t expect forgiveness, but if I could have seen any other way to get this close, I would have taken it. Again, my sincere apologies. On to why I did any of this:I am a citizen of the United States of America. What my representatives do reflects on me. And I am no longer willing to permit a pedophile, rapist, and traitor to coat my hands with his crimes. (Well, to be completely honest, I was no longer willing a long time ago, but this is the first real opportunity I’ve had to do something about it.) While I’m discussing this, I’ll also go over my expected rules of engagement (probably in a terrible format, but I’m not military so too bad.) Administration officials (not including Mr. Patel): they are targets, prioritized from highest-ranking to lowest Secret Service: they are targets only if necessary, and to be incapacitated non-lethally if possible (aka, I hope they’re wearing body armor because center mass with shotguns messes up people who *aren’t* Hotel Security: not targets if at all possible (aka unless they shoot at me) Capitol Police: same as Hotel Security National Guard: same as Hotel Security Hotel Employees: not targets at all Guests: not targets at all In order to minimize casualties I will also be using buckshot rather than slugs (less penetration through walls) I would still go through most everyone here to get to the targets if it were absolutely necessary (on the basis that most people *chose* to attend a speech by a pedophile, rapist, and traitor, and are thus complicit) but I really hope it doesn’t come to that. Rebuttals to objections: Objection 1: As a Christian, you should turn the other cheek. Rebuttal: Turning the other cheek is for when you yourself are oppressed. I’m not the person raped in a detention camp. I’m not the fisherman executed without trial. I’m not a school kid blown up or a child starved or a teenage girl abused by the many criminals in this administration. Turning the other cheek when *someone else* is oppressed is not Christian behavior; it is complicity in the oppressor’s crimes. Objection 2: This is not a convenient time for you to do this. Rebuttal: I need whoever thinks this way to take a couple minutes and realize that the world isn’t about them. Do you think that when I see someone raped or murdered or abused, I should walk on by because it would be “inconvenient” for people who aren’t the victim? This was the best timing and chance of success I could come up with. Objection 3: You didn’t get them all. Rebuttal: Gotta start somewhere. Objection 4: As a half-black, half-white person, you shouldn’t be the one doing this. Rebuttal: I don’t see anyone else picking up the slack Objection 5: Yield unto Caesar what is Caesar’s. Rebuttal: The United States of America are ruled by the law, not by any one or several people. In so far as representatives and judges do not follow the law, no one is required to yield them anything so unlawfully ordered. I would also like to extend my appreciation to a great many people since I will not be likely to be able to talk with them again (unless the Secret Service is *astoundingly* incompetent.) Thank you to my family, both personal and church, for your love over these 31 years. Thank you to my friends, for your companionship over many years. Thank you to my colleagues over many jobs, for your positivity and professionalism. Thank you to my students for your enthusiasm and love of learning. Thank you to the many acquaintances I’ve met, in person and online, for short interactions and long-term relationships, for your perspectives and inspiration. Thank you all for everything. Sincerely, Cole “coldForce” “Friendly Federal Assassin” Allen PS: Ok now that all the sappy stuff is done, what the hell is the Secret Service doing? Sorry, gonna rant a bit here and drop the formal tone. Like, I expected security cameras at every bend, bugged hotel rooms, armed agents every 10 feet, metal detectors out the wazoo. What I got (who knows, maybe they’re pranking me!) is nothing. No damn security. Not in transport. Not in the hotel. Not in the event. Like, the one thing that I immediately noticed walking into the hotel is the sense of arrogance. I walk in with multiple weapons and not a single person there considers the possibility that I could be a threat. The security at the event is all outside, focused on protestors and current arrivals, because apparently no one thought about what happens if someone checks in the day before. Like, this level of incompetence is insane, and I very sincerely hope it’s corrected by the time this country gets actually competent leadership again. Like, if I was an Iranian agent, instead of an American citizen, I could have brought a damn Ma Deuce in here and no one would have noticed s**t. Actually insane. Oh and if anyone is curious is how doing something like feels: it’s awful. I want to throw up; I want to cry for all the things I wanted to do and never will, for all the people whose trust this betrays; I experience rage thinking about everything this administration has done. Can’t really recommend it! Stay in school, kids.

The Western Journal

104,655 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

I lost some of my faith in people yesterday. Do you all remember this story of the woman we found on the road carrying a dead child? Around 3pm yesterday while I was at the hospital, I got a call from Ope Ola Grace. She sounded really confused. I asked what’s wrong then she said she saw this woman at Lafenwa begging for alms among the beggars. I told her to wait there and make sure she doesn’t leave, that I am on my way to confirm with my eyes because it can’t be possible. I got there with Seeker of Truth and it was indeed true. I couldn’t believe what I saw. How’s this possible?? We set up a business worth around N300k for her last December, gave her money, gave her husband extra money to keep. Enrolled her kids (all 3 of them) in school, supplied all needed school materials for one year. Bought at least 3 months worth of food supply for them as well. The Hon Commissioner for women affairs Hon. Motunrayo Adijat Adeleye also sent delegates to her with lots of needed items; 25kg bags of rice twice in the last 5 months, 10 crates of soft drink for the wife in January. The commissioner also made sure that her husband was among the 100 beneficiaries of the N100,000 disability grant of the RHI shared on the 17th of April by First Lady Remi Tinubu in Abeokuta. He confirmed that he received the N100k the same day. I called her at the spot to show her the woman and she was confused too. Like, “Jack, what else could we have done?” I asked people there, they said she’s been begging with them for more than a month. When I explained in details all the help we have provided for her in the last 5 months, they got angry, saying she should leave. That’s not even the worst part of this story. The worst, I fear, is she appears pregnant again. However she insisted she’s not, that she just ate eba, that’s why her stomach is big. We took her back home, the husband (visually impaired as I stated then) said he was not aware that she has been begging, and he can’t see, so no way to confirm if she’s pregnant. Everyone in her community said she goes out for 3-4hours everyday when the kids have gone to school to get ‘supplies’ for their mini-stall. They said some other troubling things about her that I won’t want to share here. I am confused on what to do next.
0:17

I lost some of my faith in people yesterday. Do you all remember this story of the woman we found on the road carrying a dead child? Around 3pm yesterday while I was at the hospital, I got a call from Ope Ola Grace. She sounded really confused. I asked what’s wrong then she said she saw this woman at Lafenwa begging for alms among the beggars. I told her to wait there and make sure she doesn’t leave, that I am on my way to confirm with my eyes because it can’t be possible. I got there with Seeker of Truth and it was indeed true. I couldn’t believe what I saw. How’s this possible?? We set up a business worth around N300k for her last December, gave her money, gave her husband extra money to keep. Enrolled her kids (all 3 of them) in school, supplied all needed school materials for one year. Bought at least 3 months worth of food supply for them as well. The Hon Commissioner for women affairs Hon. Motunrayo Adijat Adeleye also sent delegates to her with lots of needed items; 25kg bags of rice twice in the last 5 months, 10 crates of soft drink for the wife in January. The commissioner also made sure that her husband was among the 100 beneficiaries of the N100,000 disability grant of the RHI shared on the 17th of April by First Lady Remi Tinubu in Abeokuta. He confirmed that he received the N100k the same day. I called her at the spot to show her the woman and she was confused too. Like, “Jack, what else could we have done?” I asked people there, they said she’s been begging with them for more than a month. When I explained in details all the help we have provided for her in the last 5 months, they got angry, saying she should leave. That’s not even the worst part of this story. The worst, I fear, is she appears pregnant again. However she insisted she’s not, that she just ate eba, that’s why her stomach is big. We took her back home, the husband (visually impaired as I stated then) said he was not aware that she has been begging, and he can’t see, so no way to confirm if she’s pregnant. Everyone in her community said she goes out for 3-4hours everyday when the kids have gone to school to get ‘supplies’ for their mini-stall. They said some other troubling things about her that I won’t want to share here. I am confused on what to do next.

Man of Letters.

856,625 görüntüleme • 2 yıl önce

Played Kingdoms of the Dump for 30 hours, here is my review: -The game is a loving homage to classic SNES RPGs like Chrono Trigger and Final Fantasy, perfectly capturing their atmosphere -A tactical turn-based combat system with active elements, reminiscent of Super Mario RPG or more recently Expedition 33 -One of the most unique settings ever in an RPG -Incredible variety of enemies, all beautifully rendered in pixel art (boss design by Look Outside pixel artist) -The game is divided into multiple acts, taking you through a wide variety of regions and kingdoms -It’s full of charm and incredible attention to detail. Heal with rotting items, fight flying jellyshorts, and save using toilet paper rolls on toilets. Just lovely. -Fun fact: Game is made by 2 real janitors -The original soundtrack is an absolute banger, instantly transporting you back to the SNES era -There’s a Mode 7-style overworld that you can explore on foot, on a mount, or by airship -The overworld invites exploration and is packed with secrets and hidden areas -What brings the game into the modern era is a dedicated jump button. You can jump pretty much anywhere and explore the world on entirely new levels -There are also various characters, each with unique abilities outside of combat, and you can switch between them at any time -Characters are just lovely -The game is wonderfully written and well paced, full of great story moments and twists, but it’s only available in English at the moment -I would compare the difficulty to Chrono Trigger. It’s challenging but never unfair, and grinding is never necessary -If you die in a battle, you can retry it immediately -Enemies are visible before battle and can be avoided -Fast battles, quick in and out -Various battle themes -Fallen characters and those outside your active party still gain experience -The game is pure indie at heart, over eight years in the making and packed with content -Lots of side quests -Dedicated character quests that explore each character’s backstory -Secret weapons and bosses -Dungeons with puzzle elements -25 hours of story content (more with side stuff) -Only 20 bucks (discount right now) -Great on Steam Deck -Full controller support -Sometimes the jumping sections demand too much precision -I ran into a few bugs during my playtime. The game froze, I got stuck in walls, the music sometimes cut out, and I wasn’t able to use an item at one point -I reached out to the developers, and they have already responded with multiple updates Kingdoms of the Dump is a love letter to an era that produced some of the greatest RPGs of all time. It’s a modern classic, only held back by some technical issues. For me, it’s the best SNES game that was never actually released on a Super Nintendo. Verdict: 9/10 #KingdomsoftheDump 👑 Kingdoms of the Dump - OUT NOW
0:12

Played Kingdoms of the Dump for 30 hours, here is my review: -The game is a loving homage to classic SNES RPGs like Chrono Trigger and Final Fantasy, perfectly capturing their atmosphere -A tactical turn-based combat system with active elements, reminiscent of Super Mario RPG or more recently Expedition 33 -One of the most unique settings ever in an RPG -Incredible variety of enemies, all beautifully rendered in pixel art (boss design by Look Outside pixel artist) -The game is divided into multiple acts, taking you through a wide variety of regions and kingdoms -It’s full of charm and incredible attention to detail. Heal with rotting items, fight flying jellyshorts, and save using toilet paper rolls on toilets. Just lovely. -Fun fact: Game is made by 2 real janitors -The original soundtrack is an absolute banger, instantly transporting you back to the SNES era -There’s a Mode 7-style overworld that you can explore on foot, on a mount, or by airship -The overworld invites exploration and is packed with secrets and hidden areas -What brings the game into the modern era is a dedicated jump button. You can jump pretty much anywhere and explore the world on entirely new levels -There are also various characters, each with unique abilities outside of combat, and you can switch between them at any time -Characters are just lovely -The game is wonderfully written and well paced, full of great story moments and twists, but it’s only available in English at the moment -I would compare the difficulty to Chrono Trigger. It’s challenging but never unfair, and grinding is never necessary -If you die in a battle, you can retry it immediately -Enemies are visible before battle and can be avoided -Fast battles, quick in and out -Various battle themes -Fallen characters and those outside your active party still gain experience -The game is pure indie at heart, over eight years in the making and packed with content -Lots of side quests -Dedicated character quests that explore each character’s backstory -Secret weapons and bosses -Dungeons with puzzle elements -25 hours of story content (more with side stuff) -Only 20 bucks (discount right now) -Great on Steam Deck -Full controller support -Sometimes the jumping sections demand too much precision -I ran into a few bugs during my playtime. The game froze, I got stuck in walls, the music sometimes cut out, and I wasn’t able to use an item at one point -I reached out to the developers, and they have already responded with multiple updates Kingdoms of the Dump is a love letter to an era that produced some of the greatest RPGs of all time. It’s a modern classic, only held back by some technical issues. For me, it’s the best SNES game that was never actually released on a Super Nintendo. Verdict: 9/10 #KingdomsoftheDump 👑 Kingdoms of the Dump - OUT NOW

GermanStrands

36,817 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

🚨PREPARE FOR A -20% MARKET DROP: Everyone thinks the Iran conflict is an oil story. It’s not. Let me explain what this is really about. The Strait of Hormuz has been closed for 8 days. Markets are focused on crude prices. That’s the wrong variable. The real cascade nobody’s mapping: 92% of the world’s sulfur comes from refining oil and gas. Close Hormuz, you don’t just lose 20 million barrels of crude per day. You lose the feedstock for sulfuric acid m, the single most produced chemical on Earth. Sulfuric acid is how we extract copper. How we extract cobalt. Without it, you can’t make transformers, EV batteries, or the substrates inside every data center on the planet. One chemical. One feedstock. One 21-nautical-mile chokepoint. It gets worse. Qatar ships 30% of Taiwan’s LNG through Hormuz. Taiwan has 11 days of reserves. $TSMC, the company making 90% of the world’s advanced chips, draws 8.9% of Taiwan’s entire electricity grid. No gas → no power → no chips. Then food. 33% of global nitrogen fertilizer feedstock moves through that same strait. Half of all humans alive exist because of synthetic nitrogen. Sulfur. Semiconductors. Food. Three supply chains. One chokepoint. Zero domestic alternatives at scale. The economic math from here: Oil holds $80-100+ per barrel if closure persists beyond weeks. Inflation climbs 0.5-1% above baseline. Fed delays rate cuts, 1-2 reductions instead of 3. GDP growth slows to 1.5-2%. Stagflation risk over the next 3-6 months is real. S&P/Nasdaq: 5-10% correction base case. Tech/growth down 10-15% on higher yields and risk-off. Energy and defensives up 5-10%. Market is currently pricing a 4-week conflict duration. If this extends? 15-20% drawdown. What I’m watching: The US objective isn’t just degrading Iran’s military. It’s economic strangulation, destroy the refinery infrastructure, induce blackouts, impair logistics, accelerate regime instability without a full ground invasion. The short-term pain is intentional and accepted. The strategic calculus: weaken Iran’s ability to project power, sever proxy support, and neutralize a nuclear threat permanently. China feels this differently. Iran was supplying 1M+ barrels daily of discounted sanctioned crude. That’s gone. Now Beijing is forced into costlier alternatives while already under U.S. economic pressure. This isn’t about oil. Oil is just the vector. The real targets are the supply chains that run through it. How I’m positioning into this: If this escalates and markets reprice, here’s my expected drawdown map on BETA stocks: > $ASTS, -15 to -35% (beta amplification, rate sensitivity in space telecom) > $IREN, -20 to -30% (rising energy costs crushing margins) > $CIFR, 15-20% (rising energy costs crushing margins) > $AMPX, -15 to -30% (cobalt + sulfur supply chain disruption hits batteries hard) > $RKLB, -10% to 25% (higher yields compressing aerospace valuations) > $ONDS, -10% to 25% (industrial wireless demand slowdown in tight credit) > $NBIS, -5% to 20% (AI cloud risk-off but lower beta buffers the downside) > $KRKNF, -5% to 15% (low beta, robotics holds relatively well) > $OSS, -5% to 15% (hardware stability, limited tech sector contagion) I still hold cash. That cash exists for exactly this scenario. My plan: I don’t hold enough cash as of now, which is why my strategy will be to buy the hardest-hit names on the way down, DCA monthly through the pressure, and let the timeline work. If this plays out as I expect, escalation through summer, then resolution, the relief rally sets up Oct/Nov. That’s 7-8 months of accumulation before the market re-rates. The biggest mistakes in geopolitical dislocations are panic selling and waiting for the all-clear. By the time the all-clear comes, the move is already over. Note: This is not financial advice.
0:14

🚨PREPARE FOR A -20% MARKET DROP: Everyone thinks the Iran conflict is an oil story. It’s not. Let me explain what this is really about. The Strait of Hormuz has been closed for 8 days. Markets are focused on crude prices. That’s the wrong variable. The real cascade nobody’s mapping: 92% of the world’s sulfur comes from refining oil and gas. Close Hormuz, you don’t just lose 20 million barrels of crude per day. You lose the feedstock for sulfuric acid m, the single most produced chemical on Earth. Sulfuric acid is how we extract copper. How we extract cobalt. Without it, you can’t make transformers, EV batteries, or the substrates inside every data center on the planet. One chemical. One feedstock. One 21-nautical-mile chokepoint. It gets worse. Qatar ships 30% of Taiwan’s LNG through Hormuz. Taiwan has 11 days of reserves. $TSMC, the company making 90% of the world’s advanced chips, draws 8.9% of Taiwan’s entire electricity grid. No gas → no power → no chips. Then food. 33% of global nitrogen fertilizer feedstock moves through that same strait. Half of all humans alive exist because of synthetic nitrogen. Sulfur. Semiconductors. Food. Three supply chains. One chokepoint. Zero domestic alternatives at scale. The economic math from here: Oil holds $80-100+ per barrel if closure persists beyond weeks. Inflation climbs 0.5-1% above baseline. Fed delays rate cuts, 1-2 reductions instead of 3. GDP growth slows to 1.5-2%. Stagflation risk over the next 3-6 months is real. S&P/Nasdaq: 5-10% correction base case. Tech/growth down 10-15% on higher yields and risk-off. Energy and defensives up 5-10%. Market is currently pricing a 4-week conflict duration. If this extends? 15-20% drawdown. What I’m watching: The US objective isn’t just degrading Iran’s military. It’s economic strangulation, destroy the refinery infrastructure, induce blackouts, impair logistics, accelerate regime instability without a full ground invasion. The short-term pain is intentional and accepted. The strategic calculus: weaken Iran’s ability to project power, sever proxy support, and neutralize a nuclear threat permanently. China feels this differently. Iran was supplying 1M+ barrels daily of discounted sanctioned crude. That’s gone. Now Beijing is forced into costlier alternatives while already under U.S. economic pressure. This isn’t about oil. Oil is just the vector. The real targets are the supply chains that run through it. How I’m positioning into this: If this escalates and markets reprice, here’s my expected drawdown map on BETA stocks: > $ASTS, -15 to -35% (beta amplification, rate sensitivity in space telecom) > $IREN, -20 to -30% (rising energy costs crushing margins) > $CIFR, 15-20% (rising energy costs crushing margins) > $AMPX, -15 to -30% (cobalt + sulfur supply chain disruption hits batteries hard) > $RKLB, -10% to 25% (higher yields compressing aerospace valuations) > $ONDS, -10% to 25% (industrial wireless demand slowdown in tight credit) > $NBIS, -5% to 20% (AI cloud risk-off but lower beta buffers the downside) > $KRKNF, -5% to 15% (low beta, robotics holds relatively well) > $OSS, -5% to 15% (hardware stability, limited tech sector contagion) I still hold cash. That cash exists for exactly this scenario. My plan: I don’t hold enough cash as of now, which is why my strategy will be to buy the hardest-hit names on the way down, DCA monthly through the pressure, and let the timeline work. If this plays out as I expect, escalation through summer, then resolution, the relief rally sets up Oct/Nov. That’s 7-8 months of accumulation before the market re-rates. The biggest mistakes in geopolitical dislocations are panic selling and waiting for the all-clear. By the time the all-clear comes, the move is already over. Note: This is not financial advice.

Black Panther Capital

1,746,563 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

Instead of just talking about it, I wanted to go through it and really break it down to figure out the exact reason for the difference in Jalen Duren's play between the regular season and the playoffs. *LONG BREAKDOWN COMING* First, lets list how much the difference was: Iso in RS: 82nd %ile Iso in PS: 21st %ile Post-ups in RS: 88th %ile Post-ups in PS: 59th %ile PPP on drives in RS: 1.18 ppp PPP on drives in PS: 0.80 Layups in RS: 79th %ile Layups in PS: 19th %ile It was a staggering drop off. Shocking to many of us who watched him all season. So, what happened? Well, #1 I think mentally he was letting his struggles get to him and he started to play out of control. Something that suggests this to me is this stat: He started to figure some things out himself in isolation over the last 2 games against the Cavs. He had six isolation possessions in the final two games against the Cavs; he scored on five of those possessions and drew a foul on the other. Game 6 he started to look confident and really made them pay out of isolation. I really think a ton of it was he got hit with a punch early against ORL and really struggled to handle the pressure and struggles after, and just kept stacking and stacking. So, him being in his own head is #1 for me. #2: His handle got exposed quite a bit. In the regular season, he only had a 4.2 TO% in isolation, which is incredible. In the playoffs, though, that spiked to 20 TO%. On drives in the RS, he had a TO% of 4%. In the PS, it jumped to 13.3%. The first clip below shows how the right-to-left cross he loved doing all season was really taken away from him. Too loose of a handle, and he often got his pocket picked trying this exact move over and over. I think having his go-to move taken from him shook him a bit and left him scrambling a bit in his head to find a counter. The second clip shows, imo, him starting to lose trust in his handle. He immediately turns his back to the defender, which is what you do when you're worried about losing the ball. But, even then, he loses control of the handle and it ends up in a turnover. If I'm the Pistons, I'm showing all his turnovers due to his handle and working with him on tightening his handle and also helping him get comfortable with a counter/second move so defenders don't just sit on the right-to-left cross. #3: I think he really struggled to adjust to the playoff whistle. In the regular season, he drew free throws on 21% of his isolations and 31% of his post-ups. In the PS, it dropped to 14% and 11%, respectively. There were many possessions where in the RS he would've got free throws, but did not in the PS and he was frustrated. In the third clip, you'll see how physical he was being played by Mobley (which we all want physicality in the game). But, in the RS, he probably is getting FTA's here. There are many examples of this where it felt like a lot of his value during the RS was being able to draw FTA's on his drives, and in the PS, refs just allowed more physicality, and he struggled to deal with it. #4: Ausar-Duren duo. I believe in this duo, and I do not think this was the main reason Duren struggled. However, I am not blind to the fact that there were obviously some possessions that hurt Duren. In the regular season, Duen actually got less efficient when Ausar wasn't on the floor. However, in the playoffs, Duren went from 51 TS% with Ausar on the floor (302 minutes) to 64 TS% with Ausar off the floor (121 minutes). In the 4th clip, you really see how the lack of spacing caused a tough shot from Duren. He gets a step on WCJ going right, and probably would prefer to then just use his strength to create spearation. However, he sees Suggs sitting in the right gap off of Ausar, which forces him to spin left. Once he spins left, Paolo is completely leaving Tobias open. This is one of the reasons I really think DET needs a spacing 4 because this should be an easy kickout from Duren to a shooter. He still should've made this pass to Tobias, but a legit shooting 4 I think would relocate to the corner and make an easier outlet/easier to see for Duren. But, he still coulda made the pass, tbf. Either way, you see how the lack of spacing from both Ausar and Tobias forced Duren into a really awkward drive where he was forced into an extremely tough shot. I think if the passing returned from Duren, some of these situations wouldn't happen. Hitting Ausar early as he cuts into the space would work, or hitting Tobias (who again shoulda be making himself more available) beyond the arc results in better offense. But, also, having better spacing probably allows Duren to just get to his original move once he beats WCJ off the dribble. and lastly #5: He really just didn't play well. I can't include any more clips (I'll put some in the immediate thread reply to display), but he really just didn't play well. Missed *a lot* of looks we're used to him making. His touch around the rim left him, looked like he really felt rushed in the paint. He was struggling to secure rebounds after dominating the glass all season (during the RS, he averaged 4.3 second chance points a game, in the PS it dropped to 2.3). During RS, he had a 22.0 DREB%, which dropped to 16.0% in the playoffs. So, I think a lot of factors played into why he struggled so much in the playoffs. My takeaway is I don't think these things are unfixable; actually, I think they're very fixable. Experience of dealing with what playoff physicality is I think is going to help moving forward. All young players have to adjust to that--I think Cade really learned that from NY series to this playoff run. Tightening his handle and just having a second move to go to is not something that should be considered impossible. I'd like to believe it's pretty likely with how much he works and the raw skill he already has with his handle. Pistons adding a legit spacer at the four I think solves a lot and will make Duren's life a lot easier. The most concerning part is mental. And we won't know an answer to that until the next playoffs. Did this experience help him on his journey towards becoming mentally strong and prepared enough to move forward? Did this run help him find a routine that helps him lock in mentally, as many players have said they had to discover? Or will the pressure from struggling last postseason get to him this upcoming postseason? Will he let mistakes get into his head, compound them, and start playing rashly? I don't think the second option will be the case, but no one will know until the next postseason. Honestly, I'm more concerned and critical of his defense in the playoffs (which at times was pretty good and at other times was an incredible struggle), but that would require its own thread. My ending thoughts: I still very much believe in Duren. This playoff run showed he has areas he must sharpen up and learn from, but at 22 that shouldn't be a shocker. He is incredibly talented and made a large jump during the RS. The PS posed challenges he didn't quite have answers to yet. But another run of experience, another offseason of training, and another year older should lead him down a good path. I am fully supportive of paying Duren and extending him. I am not at close to 50 million dollars. 35-40 million is where I think they'll settle on, and I'm fine with that. But, he's gotta learn from these playoffs! Every offseason he's gotten better, I don't have a reason to believe Jalen Duren won't learn and improve again this summer. He's only 22.
0:15

Instead of just talking about it, I wanted to go through it and really break it down to figure out the exact reason for the difference in Jalen Duren's play between the regular season and the playoffs. *LONG BREAKDOWN COMING* First, lets list how much the difference was: Iso in RS: 82nd %ile Iso in PS: 21st %ile Post-ups in RS: 88th %ile Post-ups in PS: 59th %ile PPP on drives in RS: 1.18 ppp PPP on drives in PS: 0.80 Layups in RS: 79th %ile Layups in PS: 19th %ile It was a staggering drop off. Shocking to many of us who watched him all season. So, what happened? Well, #1 I think mentally he was letting his struggles get to him and he started to play out of control. Something that suggests this to me is this stat: He started to figure some things out himself in isolation over the last 2 games against the Cavs. He had six isolation possessions in the final two games against the Cavs; he scored on five of those possessions and drew a foul on the other. Game 6 he started to look confident and really made them pay out of isolation. I really think a ton of it was he got hit with a punch early against ORL and really struggled to handle the pressure and struggles after, and just kept stacking and stacking. So, him being in his own head is #1 for me. #2: His handle got exposed quite a bit. In the regular season, he only had a 4.2 TO% in isolation, which is incredible. In the playoffs, though, that spiked to 20 TO%. On drives in the RS, he had a TO% of 4%. In the PS, it jumped to 13.3%. The first clip below shows how the right-to-left cross he loved doing all season was really taken away from him. Too loose of a handle, and he often got his pocket picked trying this exact move over and over. I think having his go-to move taken from him shook him a bit and left him scrambling a bit in his head to find a counter. The second clip shows, imo, him starting to lose trust in his handle. He immediately turns his back to the defender, which is what you do when you're worried about losing the ball. But, even then, he loses control of the handle and it ends up in a turnover. If I'm the Pistons, I'm showing all his turnovers due to his handle and working with him on tightening his handle and also helping him get comfortable with a counter/second move so defenders don't just sit on the right-to-left cross. #3: I think he really struggled to adjust to the playoff whistle. In the regular season, he drew free throws on 21% of his isolations and 31% of his post-ups. In the PS, it dropped to 14% and 11%, respectively. There were many possessions where in the RS he would've got free throws, but did not in the PS and he was frustrated. In the third clip, you'll see how physical he was being played by Mobley (which we all want physicality in the game). But, in the RS, he probably is getting FTA's here. There are many examples of this where it felt like a lot of his value during the RS was being able to draw FTA's on his drives, and in the PS, refs just allowed more physicality, and he struggled to deal with it. #4: Ausar-Duren duo. I believe in this duo, and I do not think this was the main reason Duren struggled. However, I am not blind to the fact that there were obviously some possessions that hurt Duren. In the regular season, Duen actually got less efficient when Ausar wasn't on the floor. However, in the playoffs, Duren went from 51 TS% with Ausar on the floor (302 minutes) to 64 TS% with Ausar off the floor (121 minutes). In the 4th clip, you really see how the lack of spacing caused a tough shot from Duren. He gets a step on WCJ going right, and probably would prefer to then just use his strength to create spearation. However, he sees Suggs sitting in the right gap off of Ausar, which forces him to spin left. Once he spins left, Paolo is completely leaving Tobias open. This is one of the reasons I really think DET needs a spacing 4 because this should be an easy kickout from Duren to a shooter. He still should've made this pass to Tobias, but a legit shooting 4 I think would relocate to the corner and make an easier outlet/easier to see for Duren. But, he still coulda made the pass, tbf. Either way, you see how the lack of spacing from both Ausar and Tobias forced Duren into a really awkward drive where he was forced into an extremely tough shot. I think if the passing returned from Duren, some of these situations wouldn't happen. Hitting Ausar early as he cuts into the space would work, or hitting Tobias (who again shoulda be making himself more available) beyond the arc results in better offense. But, also, having better spacing probably allows Duren to just get to his original move once he beats WCJ off the dribble. and lastly #5: He really just didn't play well. I can't include any more clips (I'll put some in the immediate thread reply to display), but he really just didn't play well. Missed *a lot* of looks we're used to him making. His touch around the rim left him, looked like he really felt rushed in the paint. He was struggling to secure rebounds after dominating the glass all season (during the RS, he averaged 4.3 second chance points a game, in the PS it dropped to 2.3). During RS, he had a 22.0 DREB%, which dropped to 16.0% in the playoffs. So, I think a lot of factors played into why he struggled so much in the playoffs. My takeaway is I don't think these things are unfixable; actually, I think they're very fixable. Experience of dealing with what playoff physicality is I think is going to help moving forward. All young players have to adjust to that--I think Cade really learned that from NY series to this playoff run. Tightening his handle and just having a second move to go to is not something that should be considered impossible. I'd like to believe it's pretty likely with how much he works and the raw skill he already has with his handle. Pistons adding a legit spacer at the four I think solves a lot and will make Duren's life a lot easier. The most concerning part is mental. And we won't know an answer to that until the next playoffs. Did this experience help him on his journey towards becoming mentally strong and prepared enough to move forward? Did this run help him find a routine that helps him lock in mentally, as many players have said they had to discover? Or will the pressure from struggling last postseason get to him this upcoming postseason? Will he let mistakes get into his head, compound them, and start playing rashly? I don't think the second option will be the case, but no one will know until the next postseason. Honestly, I'm more concerned and critical of his defense in the playoffs (which at times was pretty good and at other times was an incredible struggle), but that would require its own thread. My ending thoughts: I still very much believe in Duren. This playoff run showed he has areas he must sharpen up and learn from, but at 22 that shouldn't be a shocker. He is incredibly talented and made a large jump during the RS. The PS posed challenges he didn't quite have answers to yet. But another run of experience, another offseason of training, and another year older should lead him down a good path. I am fully supportive of paying Duren and extending him. I am not at close to 50 million dollars. 35-40 million is where I think they'll settle on, and I'm fine with that. But, he's gotta learn from these playoffs! Every offseason he's gotten better, I don't have a reason to believe Jalen Duren won't learn and improve again this summer. He's only 22.

Ku 🦉

33,635 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce