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NVIDIA's new Blackwell chips need 800V DC. Bloom Energy's box outside data centers outputs exactly that, using natural gas. Coincidence or genius? AI needs reliable, 24/7 power that solar & turbines can't fully provide. $NVDA

32,156 次观看 • 8 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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Dylan Patel just mapped out the most important investment theme in AI infrastructure (Save this). "In about two years, solar plus battery will be cheaper than gas." Every new NVIDIA Blackwell rack pulls 120 kilowatts, Rubin Ultra rack pulls 600 kilowatts and the next generation hits a megawatt. The US grid cannot keep up, interconnection queues now run five years in many markets so the entire industry is being forced to solve power from first principles. The solar thesis is already happening. BloombergNEF's 2026 LCOE report, covering 800+ financed projects across 50+ markets puts solar plus 4 hour battery storage at $57 per megawatt-hour. Combined cycle gas turbines hit $102 per megawatt hour, the highest on record, up 16% year over year. In California and parts of Texas, solar plus storage is already cheaper than gas for data center power today and solar panel costs are expected to drop another 30% by 2035. Getting power from the grid into the form chips actually require is an entire industry unto itself and NVIDIA just rewrote the rules. The 800 volt DC transition is the most important infrastructure shift that's happening right now. Today's data centers run on 48 volt DC power delivery, a single next-generation GPU pulls over 2,500 watts and at 48 volts, the current required to power a megawatt rack would melt the copper wiring. The investment thesis breaks into four layers and the first layer is power semiconductors, specifically silicon carbide and gallium nitride. At 800 volts, traditional silicon based IGBTs hit their physical limits. SiC and GaN devices are the mandatory replacement. Infineon estimates $175,000 of semiconductor content per megawatt of AI rack power, versus almost nothing today and by 2030, power semiconductor content per AI cabinet grows from $15,000 to $115,000+. The names here are Infineon ($IFNNY), ON Semiconductor ($ON), Wolfspeed ($WOLF), Navitas ($NVTS), and STMicroelectronics ($STM). The second layer is power management and conversion. Vertiv ($VRT) is NVIDIA's lead architectural collaborator for the 800V transition, building the hardware that converts grid AC to 800V DC and the DC to DC power shelves for ultra dense racks. Eaton ($ETN) and Monolithic Power Systems ($MPWR) round out this layer. The third layer is grid to site infrastructure, GE Vernova ($GEV) builds the heavy electrical equipment that connects utility power to the data center campus. Orders are running at twice the rate of shipments, the classic leading indicator of sustained multi year revenue growth. The fourth layer is behind the meter power generation like your bloom energy because grid interconnection queues run five years, hyperscalers are bypassing the grid entirely, building dedicated gas, solar and battery systems on site. Make sure to follow me Melvin for more opportunities across the AI supply chain.

Melvin

108,068 次观看 • 2 个月前

Elon Musk just revealed what’s actually holding AI back. It’s not chips. Not models. Not data. It’s concrete. Someone asked him the obvious question. Why not just build private power plants next to data centers? Bypass the grid entirely. His answer was four words. Musk: “The power plant makers.” There aren’t enough of them. You can design the best chip on earth. Train a frontier model. Raise $10 billion for a hyperscale data center. None of it matters if you can’t power it. Musk: “You can drill down a level further.” GPUs need power. Power needs turbines. Turbines need factories. Factories need permits. Permits need a government that hasn’t paralyzed itself. Every link in the chain is physical. And every one of them is breaking. We can train a frontier model in weeks. We can’t permit a power plant in under five years. The country that invented the assembly line now needs 40 agencies to approve a gas turbine. China doesn’t have this problem. They don’t run 7-year environmental reviews on infrastructure they need tomorrow. They break ground while America requests approval to break ground. The AI race won’t be decided by whoever writes the best algorithm. It’ll be decided by whoever can still build in the physical world. We spent 30 years getting faster in software and slower in steel. Outsourcing manufacturing. Hollowing out supply chains. Treating builders like liabilities instead of assets. Now the bill is due. Every breakthrough in AI is gated by atoms. Steel. Concrete. Turbines that take years to manufacture and decades to approve. The smartest code on earth is worthless without electricity. Musk didn’t give a speech about this. He didn’t need to. He answered one question and the whole infrastructure myth collapsed. “Where do you get the power plants from?” Follow that thread far enough and you stop finding a technology problem. You find a civilization that mastered thinking and forgot how to build.

Dustin

986,912 次观看 • 4 个月前

Jensen Huang just doubled NVIDIA's demand forecast to $1 Trillion through 2027 🤯 Then spent two hours explaining why that number is conservative… Here's everything today from GTC: - NemoClaw: NVIDIA's open-source enterprise AI agent stack built around OpenClaw. Jensen called OpenClaw "the operating system for personal AI" and said every company needs a strategy for it. - Space-1: NVIDIA is putting Vera Rubin data centers in orbit. Not a concept. An actual system being designed for space deployment right now. - DLSS 5: 3D-guided neural rendering that blends raw graphics with generative AI. Jensen called it the future of real-time rendering. - AWS: Deploying 1 million+ NVIDIA GPUs starting this year. Azure was the first hyperscaler to power up Vera Rubin. - Vera Rubin: NVIDIA's next-gen AI supercomputer. 10x more performance per watt than Blackwell, 700 million tokens per second, shipping later this year. - Groq 3 LPU: First chip from NVIDIA's $20B Groq acquisition. A purpose-built inference accelerator that ships Q3. NVIDIA now owns training AND inference. -Feynman: The architecture after Rubin, coming 2028. New GPU, new LPU, new CPU. NVIDIA is on a 12-month chip cadence and the treadmill never stops. - Autonomous driving: BYD, Hyundai, Nissan, and Geely building Level 4 vehicles on NVIDIA. Uber deploying NVIDIA-powered robotaxis across 28 cities by 2028. The man doubled his demand forecast to a trillion dollars, announced data centers in space, and closed the show with a robot singing country music. This is NVIDIA's world. Everyone else is just renting compute in it.

Josh Kale

45,875 次观看 • 6 个月前