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🇮🇱🇮🇷 One sharp question is driving every calculation right now: what happens if Iran goes too far? Ex-IDF Spox Jonathan Conricus breaks it down. A strike on a U.S. vessel changes everything. A strike on the UAE is murkier, and it comes down to casualties, damage, and whether the...

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Mario Nawfal

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86,825 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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🇺🇸🇮🇷🇦🇪 Silence from Washington would send a message to every ally watching. Ex-IDF Spox Jonathan Conricus says the UAE can't be left hanging. "An attack on the Emiratis is an indirect attack on U.S. interests." If America doesn't respond, the whole world takes notes. Jonathan Conricus
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🇺🇸🇮🇷🇦🇪 Silence from Washington would send a message to every ally watching. Ex-IDF Spox Jonathan Conricus says the UAE can't be left hanging. "An attack on the Emiratis is an indirect attack on U.S. interests." If America doesn't respond, the whole world takes notes. Jonathan Conricus

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. is firing Tomahawks but keeping a second pair of gloves on. Fmr. IDF spokesperson Jonathan Conricus breaks down why limited strikes won't force Iran to the table. "You don't bring them to signing a deal with striking a few military targets." If Iran widens its retaliation and pulls Israel in, this changes fast. Jonathan Conricus
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🇮🇱🇮🇷 JONATHAN CONRICUS: ALL IRAN DID WAS KILL CIVILIANS Former IDF Spokesperson, Jonathan Conricus: "Of course, nobody won this war because it wasn't all out and it wasn't conclusive, and there's still a lot of work to do. The only achievements that the Iranians can claim, if they can claim, is killing 27 Israeli civilians."

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🇮🇱🇱🇧 Nearly a quarter of Hezbollah's entire combat force has been eliminated since October 7th. Fmr. IDF Spox. Jonathan Conricus breaks down why that number changes everything. "8000 is a big number." And since Operation Roaring Lion alone, another 2,500 to 2,600 operatives are gone. The IDF is just getting started. Jonathan Conricus
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🇮🇱🇱🇧 Nearly a quarter of Hezbollah's entire combat force has been eliminated since October 7th. Fmr. IDF Spox. Jonathan Conricus breaks down why that number changes everything. "8000 is a big number." And since Operation Roaring Lion alone, another 2,500 to 2,600 operatives are gone. The IDF is just getting started. Jonathan Conricus

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🇮🇷🇦🇪 What does hitting energy sites actually signal here? Ex-IDF Spox Jonathan Conricus says Iran's missile strikes on UAE energy infrastructure aren't a show of strength, they're a desperate shuffle of the cards. "It's not a big foot, it's a chicken leg" Now the real question is whether the UAE crosses the Rubicon and finally fires back. Jonathan Conricus
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🇮🇷🇦🇪 What does hitting energy sites actually signal here? Ex-IDF Spox Jonathan Conricus says Iran's missile strikes on UAE energy infrastructure aren't a show of strength, they're a desperate shuffle of the cards. "It's not a big foot, it's a chicken leg" Now the real question is whether the UAE crosses the Rubicon and finally fires back. Jonathan Conricus

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🚨🇮🇷🇮🇱 IRAN IS CELEBRATING A WAR IT LOST Former IDF Spokesperson Jonathan Conricus dismantles the myth of military balance between Israel and Iran. Iran fires volume. Israel fires precision. There is no comparison in technical capability or intelligence superiority. Every Iranian "victory" is Pyrrhic, won on the rubble of their own obliterated infrastructure. "If the U.S. and Israel take the gloves off, Iran's remaining infrastructure is there for the taking." Iran didn't win this war. It survived it. Barely. And survival is not the same as victory. Jonathan Conricus
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🚨🇮🇷🇮🇱 IRAN IS CELEBRATING A WAR IT LOST Former IDF Spokesperson Jonathan Conricus dismantles the myth of military balance between Israel and Iran. Iran fires volume. Israel fires precision. There is no comparison in technical capability or intelligence superiority. Every Iranian "victory" is Pyrrhic, won on the rubble of their own obliterated infrastructure. "If the U.S. and Israel take the gloves off, Iran's remaining infrastructure is there for the taking." Iran didn't win this war. It survived it. Barely. And survival is not the same as victory. Jonathan Conricus

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🇺🇸🇦🇪 The UAE has defended itself well, but silence invites more attacks. Ex-IDF Spox Jonathan Conricus breaks down the dilemma: fight alone and set a price, or wait for the coalition. "If I were an Emirati, I wouldn't agree to this kind of aggression and let it go unanswered." Deterrence costs something. So does doing nothing. Jonathan Conricus
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🇺🇸🇦🇪 The UAE has defended itself well, but silence invites more attacks. Ex-IDF Spox Jonathan Conricus breaks down the dilemma: fight alone and set a price, or wait for the coalition. "If I were an Emirati, I wouldn't agree to this kind of aggression and let it go unanswered." Deterrence costs something. So does doing nothing. Jonathan Conricus

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🚨🇮🇱🇺🇸🇮🇷 Fmr IDF spokesperson, just gave us the number no one is talking about. The total missiles Iran has fired at Israel is far, far below what they were expected to be capable of. That's not a coincidence. It means the Israeli-US suppression campaign is working, Iran is being stopped before it can even launch. The equation is simple: how many can Iran get off vs. how well can Israel shoot them down. Jonathan Conricus
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🚨🇮🇱🇺🇸🇮🇷 Fmr IDF spokesperson, just gave us the number no one is talking about. The total missiles Iran has fired at Israel is far, far below what they were expected to be capable of. That's not a coincidence. It means the Israeli-US suppression campaign is working, Iran is being stopped before it can even launch. The equation is simple: how many can Iran get off vs. how well can Israel shoot them down. Jonathan Conricus

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🚨🇮🇷 🇮🇱 IRAN’S DESPERATE ATTEMPT TO TERRORIZE While Iran continues to fire indiscriminately at population centers, former IDF spox Jonathan Conricus notes that not a single soldier has been killed by these strikes. The regime is focusing exclusively on civilians, but our air defenses remain excellent. Conricus explains that Israel is now using calculated risk to conserve munitions while learning the enemy’s systems. Eventually, the regime will run out of missiles while we maintain total air supremacy. Jonathan Conricus
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🇺🇸🇮🇷 On Iran, there’s been zero hesitation from day one. Ex-IDF Spox Jonathan Conricus says Trump has been locked in from the start: "He has said all along from the beginning, and the Iranian regime can only blame themselves for not listening." They chose arrogance over survival. Now they're paying for it. Jonathan Conricus

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🚨🇮🇱🇱🇧 Israelis are done tolerating a terrorist army on their border, and the ceasefire isn't sitting well. Former IDF Spokesperson Jonathan Conricus just laid it all out. "That situation cannot be allowed to continue. We fundamentally need to change it." The pressure is on every future Israeli government to finally deliver what the status quo never could. Jonathan Conricus
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🚨🇮🇷 REGIME COLLAPSE WITHOUT A U.S. INVASION Jonathan Conricus says sending large U.S. ground forces into Iran would likely backfire both politically and militarily. He says the goal is to weaken the regime until it collapses from within, with Iranians themselves rising up to overthrow it. Jonathan Conricus
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🚨🇮🇷 REGIME COLLAPSE WITHOUT A U.S. INVASION Jonathan Conricus says sending large U.S. ground forces into Iran would likely backfire both politically and militarily. He says the goal is to weaken the regime until it collapses from within, with Iranians themselves rising up to overthrow it. Jonathan Conricus

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🚨🇮🇱🇺🇸🇮🇷 Fmr IDF spokesperson just made it crystal clear: This isn't a limited strike to bring Iran to the table. The heads of the IRGC, Basij, army, navy, judiciary; all targeted in the opening wave. "This is a clear frontal assault on the centers of power. The first stage of bringing down the regime." Jonathan Conricus
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🚨🇮🇱🇺🇸🇮🇷 Fmr IDF spokesperson just made it crystal clear: This isn't a limited strike to bring Iran to the table. The heads of the IRGC, Basij, army, navy, judiciary; all targeted in the opening wave. "This is a clear frontal assault on the centers of power. The first stage of bringing down the regime." Jonathan Conricus

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🚨🇮🇱🇮🇷 THE OIL MESSAGE: A TASTE OF THEIR OWN MEDICINE The strike on the Tehran oil depot wasn't just about fuel; it was a strategic message to the regime that their own energy sector is vulnerable. Jonathan Conricus explains that since the IRGC uses this oil for its military efforts and air defenses, it remains a legitimate target. This serves as a signal to the Gulf nations that Israel and the U.S. can retaliate against Iranian aggression in kind. If the regime continues to strike regional infrastructure, they must realize the consequences for their own economy will be total disintegration. Jonathan Conricus
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🚨🇮🇱🇮🇷 THE OIL MESSAGE: A TASTE OF THEIR OWN MEDICINE The strike on the Tehran oil depot wasn't just about fuel; it was a strategic message to the regime that their own energy sector is vulnerable. Jonathan Conricus explains that since the IRGC uses this oil for its military efforts and air defenses, it remains a legitimate target. This serves as a signal to the Gulf nations that Israel and the U.S. can retaliate against Iranian aggression in kind. If the regime continues to strike regional infrastructure, they must realize the consequences for their own economy will be total disintegration. Jonathan Conricus

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🚨🇮🇷🇮🇱 Former IDF Spokesperson Jonathan Conricus says Iran is negotiating like a country that still has all its cards, but it doesn't. Tehran's industrial and military network has been systematically dismantled. The regime's strategic sting has effectively been removed. Yet Iran is still pushing maximalist demands that bear no relation to its weakened position on the ground. Conricus calls the demands "outlandish," the posture of a power that no longer exists. The bluff has been called. The leverage is gone. Jonathan Conricus
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🚨🇮🇷🇮🇱 Former IDF Spokesperson Jonathan Conricus says Iran is negotiating like a country that still has all its cards, but it doesn't. Tehran's industrial and military network has been systematically dismantled. The regime's strategic sting has effectively been removed. Yet Iran is still pushing maximalist demands that bear no relation to its weakened position on the ground. Conricus calls the demands "outlandish," the posture of a power that no longer exists. The bluff has been called. The leverage is gone. Jonathan Conricus

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🚨🇮🇱🇱🇧 Some towns in southern Lebanon are being heavily damaged. Others are not, and the difference comes down to local decisions. Former IDF spokesperson Jonathan Conricus explained it this way: "They don't allow Hezbollah to use their homes because they don't want the trouble that is associated with Hezbollah." He points to specific places like Ramesh, Ibn, and Debal. His argument is that cooperation, or refusal, can shape what happens on the ground. Jonathan Conricus
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🚨🇮🇱🇱🇧 Some towns in southern Lebanon are being heavily damaged. Others are not, and the difference comes down to local decisions. Former IDF spokesperson Jonathan Conricus explained it this way: "They don't allow Hezbollah to use their homes because they don't want the trouble that is associated with Hezbollah." He points to specific places like Ramesh, Ibn, and Debal. His argument is that cooperation, or refusal, can shape what happens on the ground. Jonathan Conricus

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran may finally be getting outplayed at the negotiating table. Ex. IDF spokesperson Jonathan Conricus says Tehran is showing frustration because it is no longer controlling the pace or direction of talks. He says this time they are facing a U.S. approach that is applying real pressure instead of giving concessions. "They aren't going to have this president's lunch." Jonathan Conricus
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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran may finally be getting outplayed at the negotiating table. Ex. IDF spokesperson Jonathan Conricus says Tehran is showing frustration because it is no longer controlling the pace or direction of talks. He says this time they are facing a U.S. approach that is applying real pressure instead of giving concessions. "They aren't going to have this president's lunch." Jonathan Conricus

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🚨🇮🇱 🇮🇷 PREVENTING A NUCLEAR CATASTROPHE The world should be thankful the original nuclear deal is behind us, argues Jonathan Conricus. As a former IDF spox, Jonathan warns that the previous agreement would have given Iran a legitimate, legal path to nuclear weapons by 2028. Intelligence is now focused on ensuring no desperate, "delusional" efforts by remaining regime scientists succeed. We must ensure the safe disposal of all enriched uranium still on Iranian soil. Jonathan Conricus
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🚨🇮🇱 🇮🇷 PREVENTING A NUCLEAR CATASTROPHE The world should be thankful the original nuclear deal is behind us, argues Jonathan Conricus. As a former IDF spox, Jonathan warns that the previous agreement would have given Iran a legitimate, legal path to nuclear weapons by 2028. Intelligence is now focused on ensuring no desperate, "delusional" efforts by remaining regime scientists succeed. We must ensure the safe disposal of all enriched uranium still on Iranian soil. Jonathan Conricus

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