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Pakistan has completely destroyed Ex-Nato Base currently in use by Afghan Taliban in Lal Pur, Nangarhar via precision artillery, VTOL & UCAV strikes 🚀 🇵🇰 Geo Location: 34°23'03.97"N 71°06'13.41"E

Pakistan Strategic Forum

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70,431 次观看 • 5 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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🚨🇵🇰 BREAKING Pakistan successfully destroyed an ex-NATO base, Shaheen base, and Taliban military headquarters in Nangarhar and Paktika in airstrikes. These bases were being used by Taliban to conduct terrorist attacks in Pakistan and globally; multiple terrorists were killed.

🚨🇵🇰 BREAKING Pakistan successfully destroyed an ex-NATO base, Shaheen base, and Taliban military headquarters in Nangarhar and Paktika in airstrikes. These bases were being used by Taliban to conduct terrorist attacks in Pakistan and globally; multiple terrorists were killed.

Zard si Gana

12,060 次观看 • 5 个月前

🚨🇵🇰 BREAKING Pakistan forces launch a massive response against Afghan Taliban along Pak-Afghan border near Landi Kotal, in areas including Waragha Sar, Maro Sar, and Shah Kot. Taliban post has been destroyed, and 15+ Taliban have been hit so far by Pakistan drone strikes.

🚨🇵🇰 BREAKING Pakistan forces launch a massive response against Afghan Taliban along Pak-Afghan border near Landi Kotal, in areas including Waragha Sar, Maro Sar, and Shah Kot. Taliban post has been destroyed, and 15+ Taliban have been hit so far by Pakistan drone strikes.

Zard si Gana

37,644 次观看 • 5 个月前

Pakistan has conducted airstrikes on at Shaheen Base, Paktika, a military infrastructure known for training militants. The base has been completely destroyed, all the storage facilities have been struck & casualties are expected. Geo location: 32°56'02.60"N 69°09'21.55"E

Pakistan has conducted airstrikes on at Shaheen Base, Paktika, a military infrastructure known for training militants. The base has been completely destroyed, all the storage facilities have been struck & casualties are expected. Geo location: 32°56'02.60"N 69°09'21.55"E

Pakistan Strategic Forum

17,204 次观看 • 5 个月前

Afghan Taliban "Delta Post" has been destroyed 🚀 Watch the complete video & observe how conventional army can destroy a ragtag militia in proper manner. Brilliance by Pakistan Army at a glance 🚨

Afghan Taliban "Delta Post" has been destroyed 🚀 Watch the complete video & observe how conventional army can destroy a ragtag militia in proper manner. Brilliance by Pakistan Army at a glance 🚨

Pakistan Strategic Forum

34,846 次观看 • 5 个月前

✅Operation Ghazb-lil-Haq ✅Update 1900 hours 18 March (TILL ANNOUNCEMENT OF CEASEFIRE) ✅Summary of Fitna Al Khawarij / Afghan Taliban losses ▪️707 Killed ▪️938+ Injured ▪️255 Posts destroyed ▪️44 Posts captured ▪️237 tanks, armoured vehicles, artillery guns destroyed ▪️81 terrorists and terrorist support infrastructure locations across Afghanistan effectively targeted by air ✅ On the night of March 16, Pakistan Armed Forces targeted Afghan military installations in Kabul and Nangarhar. ✅ In these strikes, Pakistan’s forces destroyed drone storage and technical support infrastructure and ammunition storage sites in Kabul and Nangarhar, which were being used by the Afghan Taliban and terrorist elements to carry out attacks against innocent Pakistani civilians. ✅ Similarly, Pakistan Armed Forces effectively targeted and destroyed Afghan Taliban posts in the Bajur, Kuram, Torkham Khyber, North and South Waziristan sectors. ✅ The attached video shows precision engagements carried out by Pakistan against these installations, posts, and terrorist camps that directly or indirectly support terrorism from Afghan soil. No civilian population or infrastructure was targeted, contrary to the false claims being propagated by Afghan regime officials and sections of the media.

✅Operation Ghazb-lil-Haq ✅Update 1900 hours 18 March (TILL ANNOUNCEMENT OF CEASEFIRE) ✅Summary of Fitna Al Khawarij / Afghan Taliban losses ▪️707 Killed ▪️938+ Injured ▪️255 Posts destroyed ▪️44 Posts captured ▪️237 tanks, armoured vehicles, artillery guns destroyed ▪️81 terrorists and terrorist support infrastructure locations across Afghanistan effectively targeted by air ✅ On the night of March 16, Pakistan Armed Forces targeted Afghan military installations in Kabul and Nangarhar. ✅ In these strikes, Pakistan’s forces destroyed drone storage and technical support infrastructure and ammunition storage sites in Kabul and Nangarhar, which were being used by the Afghan Taliban and terrorist elements to carry out attacks against innocent Pakistani civilians. ✅ Similarly, Pakistan Armed Forces effectively targeted and destroyed Afghan Taliban posts in the Bajur, Kuram, Torkham Khyber, North and South Waziristan sectors. ✅ The attached video shows precision engagements carried out by Pakistan against these installations, posts, and terrorist camps that directly or indirectly support terrorism from Afghan soil. No civilian population or infrastructure was targeted, contrary to the false claims being propagated by Afghan regime officials and sections of the media.

Attaullah Tarar

20,213 次观看 • 5 个月前

Pakistan Army's Ahmed Sharif Chaudhry on strikes against Afghanistan: So far, 274 personnel of the Taliban regime and Khwarij have been sent to hell. More than 400 are injured. 73 posts of the Afghan Taliban regime have been totally destroyed along the Pak-Afghan border. 18 posts are in our possession; they have been captured. According to a conservative estimate, 115 tanks, armored vehicles, and artillery pieces of the Afghan Taliban regime’s forces have been destroyed. Headquarters, defensive installations and locations that provide protection to terrorism and terrorist organizations like Fitna-ul-Khwarij and Fitna-ul-Hindustan were targeted one by one. In these airstrikes, targets were taken at 22 locations in Kabul, Kandahar, Paktia, Nangarhar, Khost, and Paktika.

Pakistan Army's Ahmed Sharif Chaudhry on strikes against Afghanistan: So far, 274 personnel of the Taliban regime and Khwarij have been sent to hell. More than 400 are injured. 73 posts of the Afghan Taliban regime have been totally destroyed along the Pak-Afghan border. 18 posts are in our possession; they have been captured. According to a conservative estimate, 115 tanks, armored vehicles, and artillery pieces of the Afghan Taliban regime’s forces have been destroyed. Headquarters, defensive installations and locations that provide protection to terrorism and terrorist organizations like Fitna-ul-Khwarij and Fitna-ul-Hindustan were targeted one by one. In these airstrikes, targets were taken at 22 locations in Kabul, Kandahar, Paktia, Nangarhar, Khost, and Paktika.

Clash Report

318,413 次观看 • 5 个月前

🚨🚨🚨#ISPR Rawalpindi, 12 Oct 2025 On the night of 11/12 Oct 2025, Afghan Taliban and Indian-sponsored Fitna al Khawarij launched an unprovoked attack on #Pakistan, along Pak -#Afghanistan border. The cowardly action, which included fire and few physical raids, was aimed at destabilising the border areas to facilitate terrorism, furthering FAK's nefarious designs. Exercising the right of self-defence, the alert Armed Forces of Pakistan repelled the assault decisively all along the border and inflicted heavy casualties on Taliban Forces and affiliated Khwarjis. Precision fires and strikes, as well as physical raids were directed against Taliban camps and posts, terrorist training facilities and support networks operating from Afghan territory, including elements linked to Fitna al Khwarij (FAK), Fitna al Hindustan (FAH) and ISKP/ Daesh. All possible measures were taken to avoid collateral damage and to protect civilian lives. As a result of these unrelenting operations, multiple Taliban locations were destroyed all along the border; twenty-one (21) hostile positions on the Afghan side of border were also briefly physically captured and multiple terrorist training camps, used to plan and facilitate attacks against Pakistan, were rendered inoperative. During overnight skirmishes, twenty-three (23) brave sons of Pakistan embraced shahadat while defending territorial integrity of our beloved country against this outrageous action while twenty-nine (29) soldiers are injured. According to credible intelligence estimates and damage assessment, more than two-hundred (200) Taliban and affiliated terrorists have been neutralized while the number of injured is much higher. The infra-structural damages to Taliban posts, camps, Headquarters and support networks of terrorists are extensive, all along the border and range from tactical to operational depth. The Armed Forces of Pakistan remain ever ready to protect the territorial integrity, life and property of the people of Pakistan. Our resolve to defend Pakistan's territorial integrity and to defeat those who threaten our security is unwavering. While the people of Pakistan prefer constructive diplomacy and dialogue over violence and belligerence, we will not tolerate the treacherous use of Afghan soil for terrorism against Pakistan. We have noted with concern that this serious provocation has occurred during the visit of Taliban Foreign Minister to India - the biggest sponsor of terrorism in the region. In the interest of regional peace and security, we call upon the Taliban Government to take immediate and verifiable actions to neutralize the terrorist groups, inter alia, FAK, FAH and ISKP/ Daesh operating from their territory. Otherwise, Pakistan will continue to exercise its right to defend its people by persistent neutralization of terror targets. The Taliban Government should shun any ill-begotten notions and prioritize well being, peace, prosperity and development of Afghan people over irresponsible sabre-rattling. Last night's episode vindicates Pakistan's long-standing position that the Taliban Government is actively facilitating the terrorists. If the Taliban Government continues to sponsor terrorist outfits, in cohorts with India, for shortsighted objective of destabilizing the region, the people and the state of Pakistan will not rest until the menace of terrorism emanating from Afghanistan is completely eliminated.

🚨🚨🚨#ISPR Rawalpindi, 12 Oct 2025 On the night of 11/12 Oct 2025, Afghan Taliban and Indian-sponsored Fitna al Khawarij launched an unprovoked attack on #Pakistan, along Pak -#Afghanistan border. The cowardly action, which included fire and few physical raids, was aimed at destabilising the border areas to facilitate terrorism, furthering FAK's nefarious designs. Exercising the right of self-defence, the alert Armed Forces of Pakistan repelled the assault decisively all along the border and inflicted heavy casualties on Taliban Forces and affiliated Khwarjis. Precision fires and strikes, as well as physical raids were directed against Taliban camps and posts, terrorist training facilities and support networks operating from Afghan territory, including elements linked to Fitna al Khwarij (FAK), Fitna al Hindustan (FAH) and ISKP/ Daesh. All possible measures were taken to avoid collateral damage and to protect civilian lives. As a result of these unrelenting operations, multiple Taliban locations were destroyed all along the border; twenty-one (21) hostile positions on the Afghan side of border were also briefly physically captured and multiple terrorist training camps, used to plan and facilitate attacks against Pakistan, were rendered inoperative. During overnight skirmishes, twenty-three (23) brave sons of Pakistan embraced shahadat while defending territorial integrity of our beloved country against this outrageous action while twenty-nine (29) soldiers are injured. According to credible intelligence estimates and damage assessment, more than two-hundred (200) Taliban and affiliated terrorists have been neutralized while the number of injured is much higher. The infra-structural damages to Taliban posts, camps, Headquarters and support networks of terrorists are extensive, all along the border and range from tactical to operational depth. The Armed Forces of Pakistan remain ever ready to protect the territorial integrity, life and property of the people of Pakistan. Our resolve to defend Pakistan's territorial integrity and to defeat those who threaten our security is unwavering. While the people of Pakistan prefer constructive diplomacy and dialogue over violence and belligerence, we will not tolerate the treacherous use of Afghan soil for terrorism against Pakistan. We have noted with concern that this serious provocation has occurred during the visit of Taliban Foreign Minister to India - the biggest sponsor of terrorism in the region. In the interest of regional peace and security, we call upon the Taliban Government to take immediate and verifiable actions to neutralize the terrorist groups, inter alia, FAK, FAH and ISKP/ Daesh operating from their territory. Otherwise, Pakistan will continue to exercise its right to defend its people by persistent neutralization of terror targets. The Taliban Government should shun any ill-begotten notions and prioritize well being, peace, prosperity and development of Afghan people over irresponsible sabre-rattling. Last night's episode vindicates Pakistan's long-standing position that the Taliban Government is actively facilitating the terrorists. If the Taliban Government continues to sponsor terrorist outfits, in cohorts with India, for shortsighted objective of destabilizing the region, the people and the state of Pakistan will not rest until the menace of terrorism emanating from Afghanistan is completely eliminated.

Pakistan Armed Forces News 🇵🇰

35,762 次观看 • 10 个月前

إِنَّا ِلِلَّٰهِ وَإِنَّا إِلَيْهِ رَاجِعُونَ #ISPR Lt Colonel Shahzada Gul Faraz (age: 43 years, resident of District Manshera #Pakistan), a brave commanding officer renowned for his daring actions, who was leading his troops from the front embraced shahadat alongwith Sepoy Karamat Shah (age: 28 years, resident of District Peshawar), On 21 February, in a cowardly attack, Security Forces convoy was targeted by Indian proxy Fitna al Khwarij in Bannu District while an intelligence based operation was being conducted on reported presence of Khwarij including a suicide bomber. A vehicle borne suicide bomber was intercepted by the leading group, foiling his nefarious design to target innocent civilians/ Law enforcement personnel in Bannu City, averting major catastrophe. During the conduct of operation, khwarij were located and after intense fire exchange, five khwarij were sent to hell by the security forces. However, in desperation, Khwarij rammed the explosive laden vehicle into one of the vehicles of the leading group. Khwarij are continuing with their terrorist activities inside Pakistan using Afghan soil, violating the sanctity of the holy month of Ramadan. This clearly indicates that they have no link with Islam. The Afghan Taliban Regime has yet again failed to stop the Khwarij from use of Afghan soil for terrorist activities inside Pakistan, that too in the holy month of Ramadan. Pakistan will not exercise any restrain and operations would continue against the perpetrators of this henious and cowardly act for justified retribution against Khwarij irrespective of their location. Counter Terrorism campaign under vision “Azm-e-Istehkam” (as approved by the Federal Apex Committee on National Action Plan) by Security Forces and Law Enforcement Agencies of Pakistan will continue at full pace to wipe out the menace of foreign-sponsored and supported terrorism from the country and such sacrifices of our brave soldiers further reinforce our unwavering commitment of safeguarding our nation at all costs.

إِنَّا ِلِلَّٰهِ وَإِنَّا إِلَيْهِ رَاجِعُونَ #ISPR Lt Colonel Shahzada Gul Faraz (age: 43 years, resident of District Manshera #Pakistan), a brave commanding officer renowned for his daring actions, who was leading his troops from the front embraced shahadat alongwith Sepoy Karamat Shah (age: 28 years, resident of District Peshawar), On 21 February, in a cowardly attack, Security Forces convoy was targeted by Indian proxy Fitna al Khwarij in Bannu District while an intelligence based operation was being conducted on reported presence of Khwarij including a suicide bomber. A vehicle borne suicide bomber was intercepted by the leading group, foiling his nefarious design to target innocent civilians/ Law enforcement personnel in Bannu City, averting major catastrophe. During the conduct of operation, khwarij were located and after intense fire exchange, five khwarij were sent to hell by the security forces. However, in desperation, Khwarij rammed the explosive laden vehicle into one of the vehicles of the leading group. Khwarij are continuing with their terrorist activities inside Pakistan using Afghan soil, violating the sanctity of the holy month of Ramadan. This clearly indicates that they have no link with Islam. The Afghan Taliban Regime has yet again failed to stop the Khwarij from use of Afghan soil for terrorist activities inside Pakistan, that too in the holy month of Ramadan. Pakistan will not exercise any restrain and operations would continue against the perpetrators of this henious and cowardly act for justified retribution against Khwarij irrespective of their location. Counter Terrorism campaign under vision “Azm-e-Istehkam” (as approved by the Federal Apex Committee on National Action Plan) by Security Forces and Law Enforcement Agencies of Pakistan will continue at full pace to wipe out the menace of foreign-sponsored and supported terrorism from the country and such sacrifices of our brave soldiers further reinforce our unwavering commitment of safeguarding our nation at all costs.

Pakistan Armed Forces News 🇵🇰

16,763 次观看 • 5 个月前

//The Wire//1300Z February 27, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: FINAL PREPARATIONS BEGIN FOR COMBAT OPERATIONS IN MIDDLE EAST. US MILITARY SHOOTS DOWN BORDER PATROL DRONE IN FRIENDLY FIRE INCIDENT. CONFLICT FLARES UP AGAIN BETWEEN PAKISTAN AND AFGHANISTAN.// -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -International Events- Middle East: As of this morning, Chinese satellite imagery indicates that Al-Udeid Airbase has been fully evacuated of tanker aircraft, with only a small number of other airframes remaining at this location. The *FORD* CSG has arrived on station off the coast of Israel, and most of the movement of fighter aircraft has slowed to a crawl, as all of the aircraft that have been forward-deployed throughout the region are in their final staging areas, awaiting the launch of the operation. Western Asia: Border clashes between the Taliban in Afghanistan and Pakistan have flared up again, as intense fighting has been reported along the border in the east. Pakistani forces have bombed a few ammo dumps in the Afghan district in Nangarhar, with Taliban forces responding in kind by shooting at Pakistani observation posts along the border. Taliban forces have also claimed to have conducted drone strikes of their own, with improvised explosive drones being used to target several Pakistani military installations overnight. -HomeFront- Texas: Yesterday evening a friendly-fire shootdown incident was reported involving US military forces shooting down a Customs and Border Patrol drone, which was conducting patrols along the southern US border. Analyst Comment: Many details have not been provided on this shootdown incident just yet, however it looks like a CBP drone was operating along the border in the vicinity of Fort Hancock, and due to a lack of deconfliction measures they shot down one of their own drones using a laser-based defense system similar to the system that was being used in El Paso last week. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: In the Middle East, so far everything is lining up for the next potential strike window to open up sometime this weekend, with weather conditions throughout Iran being favorable for most military operations. Lunar illumination is good, and there are no cloud ceilings throughout the nation for the next few days. This morning diplomatic efforts to draw down forces throughout the region continue as well. American Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee sent an email to staffers at the Embassy this morning, telling them that departure is authorized, and that anyone who wants to leave "should do so today". This timeline lines up with the American tradition of conducting strikes after the stock markets close on Friday, though as to the exact hour of the operation beginning, it's anyone's guess. More broadly, we're now in the most optimal targeting window, and this window will be open for the next few days. Analyst: S2A1 Research: Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report. //END REPORT//

//The Wire//1300Z February 27, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: FINAL PREPARATIONS BEGIN FOR COMBAT OPERATIONS IN MIDDLE EAST. US MILITARY SHOOTS DOWN BORDER PATROL DRONE IN FRIENDLY FIRE INCIDENT. CONFLICT FLARES UP AGAIN BETWEEN PAKISTAN AND AFGHANISTAN.// -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -International Events- Middle East: As of this morning, Chinese satellite imagery indicates that Al-Udeid Airbase has been fully evacuated of tanker aircraft, with only a small number of other airframes remaining at this location. The FORD CSG has arrived on station off the coast of Israel, and most of the movement of fighter aircraft has slowed to a crawl, as all of the aircraft that have been forward-deployed throughout the region are in their final staging areas, awaiting the launch of the operation. Western Asia: Border clashes between the Taliban in Afghanistan and Pakistan have flared up again, as intense fighting has been reported along the border in the east. Pakistani forces have bombed a few ammo dumps in the Afghan district in Nangarhar, with Taliban forces responding in kind by shooting at Pakistani observation posts along the border. Taliban forces have also claimed to have conducted drone strikes of their own, with improvised explosive drones being used to target several Pakistani military installations overnight. -HomeFront- Texas: Yesterday evening a friendly-fire shootdown incident was reported involving US military forces shooting down a Customs and Border Patrol drone, which was conducting patrols along the southern US border. Analyst Comment: Many details have not been provided on this shootdown incident just yet, however it looks like a CBP drone was operating along the border in the vicinity of Fort Hancock, and due to a lack of deconfliction measures they shot down one of their own drones using a laser-based defense system similar to the system that was being used in El Paso last week. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: In the Middle East, so far everything is lining up for the next potential strike window to open up sometime this weekend, with weather conditions throughout Iran being favorable for most military operations. Lunar illumination is good, and there are no cloud ceilings throughout the nation for the next few days. This morning diplomatic efforts to draw down forces throughout the region continue as well. American Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee sent an email to staffers at the Embassy this morning, telling them that departure is authorized, and that anyone who wants to leave "should do so today". This timeline lines up with the American tradition of conducting strikes after the stock markets close on Friday, though as to the exact hour of the operation beginning, it's anyone's guess. More broadly, we're now in the most optimal targeting window, and this window will be open for the next few days. Analyst: S2A1 Research: Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report. //END REPORT//

S2 Underground

24,199 次观看 • 5 个月前

🚨12 HOUR NEWS RECAP 1.⁠ Hamas has reportedly informed Israeli officials that it currently holds 20 living hostages and is prepared to begin their release today under the terms of the new ceasefire agreement brokered by Trump. 2.⁠ Aid convoys entered Gaza through the Rafah crossing, with queues of lorries moving into the territory. Under the Israel-Hamas ceasefire, "full aid" is expected to scale up immediately. Israel’s COGAT says 500 trucks have entered Gaza so far, with 300 distributed by the UN and aid groups. 3.⁠ Israeli Defense Minister Katz said he’s instructed the IDF to prepare for the total demolition of Hamas’s tunnel network in Gaza. He calls it Israel’s “major challenge” post-hostage phase, to be done both militarily and via an international mechanism led by the U.S. 4.⁠ A Taliban government spokesperson said fighting with Pakistan has stopped following mediation efforts requested by Qatar. It comes after a night of heavy cross-border warfare that saw the Taliban claim 58 Pakistani soldiers were killed, 30 wounded, and 3 border posts captured. 5.⁠ The U.S has been quietly helping Ukraine hit deep inside Russia, targeting oil refineries and energy infrastructure in a covert campaign to cripple Putin’s war economy. U.S intel guided Ukraine’s long-range drone strikes, enabling hits on at least 16 of Russia’s 38 refineries, disrupting over 1 million barrels/day of capacity. 6.⁠ Trump’s visit to Israel tomorrow will be the briefest trip by a U.S president to Israel in history, with Trump staying just 3 hours and 40 minutes. He won’t meet freed hostages - medical concerns cited - and won’t visit the Western Wall, departing in the afternoon for a Gaza summit in Egypt. 7.⁠ Madagascar’s President Andry Rajoelina said an “illegal and forceful attempt to seize power” is underway, as soldiers refused orders to shoot protesters and joined a youth-led uprising in Antananarivo. 8.⁠ Torrential rains have triggered catastrophic flooding across 5 Mexican states, claiming at least 42 lives. Veracruz, Puebla, Hidalgo, Queretaro, and San Luis Potosi have suffered massive destruction, with entire communities cut off and thousands without power. 9.⁠ Venezuela’s leader Nicolás Maduro kicked off a bunch of military drills in 8 states, claiming it’s all about “defending the homeland,” as the U.S. Navy flexes off the coast and fears of an imminent invasion heighten. 10.⁠ A helicopter crashed in Huntington Beac, California, near the Cars ‘n Copters on the Coast event site. Officials say 2 people were inside the aircraft and 3 bystanders were also hurt when it went down by the Waterfront Beach Resort.

🚨12 HOUR NEWS RECAP 1.⁠ Hamas has reportedly informed Israeli officials that it currently holds 20 living hostages and is prepared to begin their release today under the terms of the new ceasefire agreement brokered by Trump. 2.⁠ Aid convoys entered Gaza through the Rafah crossing, with queues of lorries moving into the territory. Under the Israel-Hamas ceasefire, "full aid" is expected to scale up immediately. Israel’s COGAT says 500 trucks have entered Gaza so far, with 300 distributed by the UN and aid groups. 3.⁠ Israeli Defense Minister Katz said he’s instructed the IDF to prepare for the total demolition of Hamas’s tunnel network in Gaza. He calls it Israel’s “major challenge” post-hostage phase, to be done both militarily and via an international mechanism led by the U.S. 4.⁠ A Taliban government spokesperson said fighting with Pakistan has stopped following mediation efforts requested by Qatar. It comes after a night of heavy cross-border warfare that saw the Taliban claim 58 Pakistani soldiers were killed, 30 wounded, and 3 border posts captured. 5.⁠ The U.S has been quietly helping Ukraine hit deep inside Russia, targeting oil refineries and energy infrastructure in a covert campaign to cripple Putin’s war economy. U.S intel guided Ukraine’s long-range drone strikes, enabling hits on at least 16 of Russia’s 38 refineries, disrupting over 1 million barrels/day of capacity. 6.⁠ Trump’s visit to Israel tomorrow will be the briefest trip by a U.S president to Israel in history, with Trump staying just 3 hours and 40 minutes. He won’t meet freed hostages - medical concerns cited - and won’t visit the Western Wall, departing in the afternoon for a Gaza summit in Egypt. 7.⁠ Madagascar’s President Andry Rajoelina said an “illegal and forceful attempt to seize power” is underway, as soldiers refused orders to shoot protesters and joined a youth-led uprising in Antananarivo. 8.⁠ Torrential rains have triggered catastrophic flooding across 5 Mexican states, claiming at least 42 lives. Veracruz, Puebla, Hidalgo, Queretaro, and San Luis Potosi have suffered massive destruction, with entire communities cut off and thousands without power. 9.⁠ Venezuela’s leader Nicolás Maduro kicked off a bunch of military drills in 8 states, claiming it’s all about “defending the homeland,” as the U.S. Navy flexes off the coast and fears of an imminent invasion heighten. 10.⁠ A helicopter crashed in Huntington Beac, California, near the Cars ‘n Copters on the Coast event site. Officials say 2 people were inside the aircraft and 3 bystanders were also hurt when it went down by the Waterfront Beach Resort.

Mario Nawfal

220,496 次观看 • 10 个月前

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC): - The IRGC Navy, during an extensive combined missile and drone operation in Wave 97 of Operation True Promise, with the blessed code name “Ya Qasim ibn al-Hasan (A)” and as a gift to all the hard-working employees of the Ministry of Energy, especially the dear colleagues at Tavanir, struck and destroyed several important targets belonging to American-zionist terrorists and their interests and assets in the Persian Gulf and the surrounding countries. 1. Destruction of the gathering place of American terrorist commanders and officers at a cover location near the Mohammed Al-Ahmad Naval Base in Kuwait, using several ballistic missiles and a large number of suicide drones with high precision. The gathering of a large number of ambulances in the area indicates heavy casualties following the attack. - It is noteworthy that, according to precise reports, during yesterday’s attack by the IRGC Navy on the gathering of trainers and officers of the terrorist American army in the UAE, 25 people have so far been confirmed killed or wounded. 2. In continuation of this operation, a zionist vessel with the commercial name “King Dao Star” in the Jebel Ali port channel in the UAE was precisely hit by a Qadir naval cruise missile. The ship is currently on fire. 3. Over the past day until now, as part of the smart control of the Strait of Hormuz, entry and exit of several vessels has been prevented due to lack of transit permits, and the aforementioned vessels have been directed to anchorages west and east of the strategic Strait of Hormuz. - The IRGC Navy advises the crew of oil tankers and commercial ships in the Persian Gulf and the Sea of Oman to disregard false news, not to endanger their own safety, and if necessary, to contact one of the IRGC Navy stations via International Channel 16.

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC): - The IRGC Navy, during an extensive combined missile and drone operation in Wave 97 of Operation True Promise, with the blessed code name “Ya Qasim ibn al-Hasan (A)” and as a gift to all the hard-working employees of the Ministry of Energy, especially the dear colleagues at Tavanir, struck and destroyed several important targets belonging to American-zionist terrorists and their interests and assets in the Persian Gulf and the surrounding countries. 1. Destruction of the gathering place of American terrorist commanders and officers at a cover location near the Mohammed Al-Ahmad Naval Base in Kuwait, using several ballistic missiles and a large number of suicide drones with high precision. The gathering of a large number of ambulances in the area indicates heavy casualties following the attack. - It is noteworthy that, according to precise reports, during yesterday’s attack by the IRGC Navy on the gathering of trainers and officers of the terrorist American army in the UAE, 25 people have so far been confirmed killed or wounded. 2. In continuation of this operation, a zionist vessel with the commercial name “King Dao Star” in the Jebel Ali port channel in the UAE was precisely hit by a Qadir naval cruise missile. The ship is currently on fire. 3. Over the past day until now, as part of the smart control of the Strait of Hormuz, entry and exit of several vessels has been prevented due to lack of transit permits, and the aforementioned vessels have been directed to anchorages west and east of the strategic Strait of Hormuz. - The IRGC Navy advises the crew of oil tankers and commercial ships in the Persian Gulf and the Sea of Oman to disregard false news, not to endanger their own safety, and if necessary, to contact one of the IRGC Navy stations via International Channel 16.

True Promise - الوعد الصادق ✪🇮🇷

20,440 次观看 • 4 个月前

🚨Mawlawi Zabihullah Mujahid, the spokesman for the Islamic Emirate, said in a press conference that the TTP emerged in 2002 in reaction to the bombings & unmanned attacks by the Americans in the tribal areas, which were carried out with the permission of the Pakistani militias½ 🔴The existence of TTP has been ongoing since 2002, & its cause was the misguided policies of the Pakistani military at that time, when it allied itself with America & then allowed the Americans to carry out drone strikes in the Waziristans & tribal areas. 🔴The Pakistani military itself took enmity with the helpless people of Waziristan, repeatedly announcing large and small operations against them, killing people, destroying homes, & filling prisons with tribal people. 🔴The TTP issue is not a matter of today or yesterday, & this issue has no connection whatsoever to Afghanistan, particularly the Islamic Emirate. 🔴A brief mention of the Pakistani military's operations & wars against the people and TTP in the tribal areas: In 2002, the TTP movement was formed in reaction to the Pakistani military allowing America open-handed bombing & drone strikes in the Waziristans. 🔴Since then, Pakistani forces have carried out various operations and attacks against it, & similarly, TTP has conducted large and small attacks in Pakistan from that time until now. 🔴For the first time in March 2002, the Pakistani military announced and conducted operations named (OPERATION AL-MIZAN) against TTP in South Waziristan, North Waziristan, & Orakzai Agency, resulting in up to 80,000 local people being displaced inside Pakistan. 🔴In 2007, the Pakistani military announced operations named (Rah-e-Rast) against TTP in Swat and Malakand, forcing four lakh people from Swat & Malakand into displacement, & some refugees also crossed into nearby areas of Afghanistan, where the government at that time settled them near the Durand Line. 🔴In 2008, the Pakistani military announced operations named (OPERATION SHER DIL) against TTP in Bajaur Agency, displacing nearly six lakh people. 🔴In October 2009, the Pakistani military again announced operations named (Najat) against TTP in South Waziristan, forcing approximately three to four lakh local people into displacement. 🔴In July 2011, the Pakistani military announced operations named Spin Ghar (Koh-e-Safaid) against TTP in Kurram Agency, resulting in about one lakh local people being forced into displacement. 🔴On June 15, 2014, the Pakistani military announced operations named Zarb-e-Azb against TTP in North Waziristan, displacing nearly up to one million people, more than half of whom crossed over the Durand Line, and the government at that time set up camps for these tribal refugees in Khost and Paktika. 🔴From 2014 to 2017, the Pakistani military conducted operations named Khyber 1, 2, 3, 4 against TTP & tribes in the Tirah & Bara areas of Khyber Agency, forcing three to five lakh people from their areas into displacement, a large portion of whom came to Nangarhar province and were settled in the relevant area by the previous administration. 🔴Report on Operation Al-Mizan: 🔴Reports on operations and displacement in Swat: 🔴Reports on refugees settled in Afghanistan before the Islamic Emirate's rule: 🔴These are the facts & documented information showing that the Pakistani military was engaged in war with Pashtun tribes & TTP even before the arrival of the Islamic Emirate. 🔴Before the Islamic Emirate came to power, they admitted that in the so-called war on terrorism, between 80,000 to 90,000 of their military personnel and people had been killed. 🔴Pakistani admission regarding military and civilian casualties before the Islamic Emirate's rule: Major incidents in Pakistan before the Islamic Emirate's rule: 🔴The issue of attacks and damages in Pakistan is not a new incident connected to the arrival of the Islamic Emirate; rather, large-scale attacks had occurred on Pakistani soil long before, causing heavy casualties, which clearly shows that this issue is Pakistan's own problem, not the Islamic Emirate's. 🔴In August 2007, TTP captured 300 Pakistani soldiers alive during operations in South Waziristan, who were later exchanged for forty imprisoned members of Baitullah Mehsud. 🔴On August 21, 2008, an attack was carried out on a weapons manufacturing factory in Punjab, Pakistan, killing numerous people. 🔴On June 2, 2008, a car bomb attack was carried out on the Danish embassy in Islamabad, killing several people. 🔴On October 28, 2009, a car bomb explosion occurred in Peshawar city's Meena Bazaar, killing numerous people. 🔴In October 2009, a car bomb attack in the Shangla area market of Swat killed up to 47 people. 🔴On May 22-23, 2011, an attack was carried out on the PNS Mehran naval base in Karachi, killing 18 naval officers & wounding 16, according to reports. 🔴On December 16, 2014, the Army Public School (APS) incident occurred in Peshawar, killing around 150 people and wounding 134. 🔴Many similar other incidents & attacks have also taken place in Pakistan; we have only mentioned a few examples. 🔴What the Islamic Emirate has done regarding the tribes displaced earlier after coming to power: 🔴We have facilitated meetings & gatherings between the Pakistani government, Pakistani parties, ulema, & the refugees who came to Afghanistan. 🔴The Islamic Emirate has transferred those tribal refugees settled in areas near the Durand Line—whom Pakistan feared—from the Durand Line to central areas & set up camps for them to ensure better control. 🔴Carrying weapons with tribal refugees has been prohibited. 🔴A reform commission has been established to resolve issues & provide ongoing oversight. 🔴 If anyone goes outside Afghanistan in the name of jihad without the Amir's permission, a Sharia ruling & fatwa have been announced against them. 🔴To promote peace and security in Pakistan, we facilitated direct negotiations between the Pakistani government & TTP, which resulted in a long-term ceasefire at that time, & talks made significant progress, but everything was sabotaged by a specific circle within the Pakistani military. 🔴Currently, the tribal refugees present in Afghanistan were settled here before the Islamic Emirate's arrival, & as mentioned, the reason for their migration was the misguided policies of a specific circle in the Pakistani military, violence, & operations in the tribal areas. 🔴The Islamic Emirate will warmly welcome all efforts & measures that result in these refugees returning to their areas. 🔴Likewise, despite all these measures, the Islamic Emirate still considers itself responsible for not allowing anyone from its soil to interfere in another country's affairs, but rather to prevent it.

🚨Mawlawi Zabihullah Mujahid, the spokesman for the Islamic Emirate, said in a press conference that the TTP emerged in 2002 in reaction to the bombings & unmanned attacks by the Americans in the tribal areas, which were carried out with the permission of the Pakistani militias½ 🔴The existence of TTP has been ongoing since 2002, & its cause was the misguided policies of the Pakistani military at that time, when it allied itself with America & then allowed the Americans to carry out drone strikes in the Waziristans & tribal areas. 🔴The Pakistani military itself took enmity with the helpless people of Waziristan, repeatedly announcing large and small operations against them, killing people, destroying homes, & filling prisons with tribal people. 🔴The TTP issue is not a matter of today or yesterday, & this issue has no connection whatsoever to Afghanistan, particularly the Islamic Emirate. 🔴A brief mention of the Pakistani military's operations & wars against the people and TTP in the tribal areas: In 2002, the TTP movement was formed in reaction to the Pakistani military allowing America open-handed bombing & drone strikes in the Waziristans. 🔴Since then, Pakistani forces have carried out various operations and attacks against it, & similarly, TTP has conducted large and small attacks in Pakistan from that time until now. 🔴For the first time in March 2002, the Pakistani military announced and conducted operations named (OPERATION AL-MIZAN) against TTP in South Waziristan, North Waziristan, & Orakzai Agency, resulting in up to 80,000 local people being displaced inside Pakistan. 🔴In 2007, the Pakistani military announced operations named (Rah-e-Rast) against TTP in Swat and Malakand, forcing four lakh people from Swat & Malakand into displacement, & some refugees also crossed into nearby areas of Afghanistan, where the government at that time settled them near the Durand Line. 🔴In 2008, the Pakistani military announced operations named (OPERATION SHER DIL) against TTP in Bajaur Agency, displacing nearly six lakh people. 🔴In October 2009, the Pakistani military again announced operations named (Najat) against TTP in South Waziristan, forcing approximately three to four lakh local people into displacement. 🔴In July 2011, the Pakistani military announced operations named Spin Ghar (Koh-e-Safaid) against TTP in Kurram Agency, resulting in about one lakh local people being forced into displacement. 🔴On June 15, 2014, the Pakistani military announced operations named Zarb-e-Azb against TTP in North Waziristan, displacing nearly up to one million people, more than half of whom crossed over the Durand Line, and the government at that time set up camps for these tribal refugees in Khost and Paktika. 🔴From 2014 to 2017, the Pakistani military conducted operations named Khyber 1, 2, 3, 4 against TTP & tribes in the Tirah & Bara areas of Khyber Agency, forcing three to five lakh people from their areas into displacement, a large portion of whom came to Nangarhar province and were settled in the relevant area by the previous administration. 🔴Report on Operation Al-Mizan: 🔴Reports on operations and displacement in Swat: 🔴Reports on refugees settled in Afghanistan before the Islamic Emirate's rule: 🔴These are the facts & documented information showing that the Pakistani military was engaged in war with Pashtun tribes & TTP even before the arrival of the Islamic Emirate. 🔴Before the Islamic Emirate came to power, they admitted that in the so-called war on terrorism, between 80,000 to 90,000 of their military personnel and people had been killed. 🔴Pakistani admission regarding military and civilian casualties before the Islamic Emirate's rule: Major incidents in Pakistan before the Islamic Emirate's rule: 🔴The issue of attacks and damages in Pakistan is not a new incident connected to the arrival of the Islamic Emirate; rather, large-scale attacks had occurred on Pakistani soil long before, causing heavy casualties, which clearly shows that this issue is Pakistan's own problem, not the Islamic Emirate's. 🔴In August 2007, TTP captured 300 Pakistani soldiers alive during operations in South Waziristan, who were later exchanged for forty imprisoned members of Baitullah Mehsud. 🔴On August 21, 2008, an attack was carried out on a weapons manufacturing factory in Punjab, Pakistan, killing numerous people. 🔴On June 2, 2008, a car bomb attack was carried out on the Danish embassy in Islamabad, killing several people. 🔴On October 28, 2009, a car bomb explosion occurred in Peshawar city's Meena Bazaar, killing numerous people. 🔴In October 2009, a car bomb attack in the Shangla area market of Swat killed up to 47 people. 🔴On May 22-23, 2011, an attack was carried out on the PNS Mehran naval base in Karachi, killing 18 naval officers & wounding 16, according to reports. 🔴On December 16, 2014, the Army Public School (APS) incident occurred in Peshawar, killing around 150 people and wounding 134. 🔴Many similar other incidents & attacks have also taken place in Pakistan; we have only mentioned a few examples. 🔴What the Islamic Emirate has done regarding the tribes displaced earlier after coming to power: 🔴We have facilitated meetings & gatherings between the Pakistani government, Pakistani parties, ulema, & the refugees who came to Afghanistan. 🔴The Islamic Emirate has transferred those tribal refugees settled in areas near the Durand Line—whom Pakistan feared—from the Durand Line to central areas & set up camps for them to ensure better control. 🔴Carrying weapons with tribal refugees has been prohibited. 🔴A reform commission has been established to resolve issues & provide ongoing oversight. 🔴 If anyone goes outside Afghanistan in the name of jihad without the Amir's permission, a Sharia ruling & fatwa have been announced against them. 🔴To promote peace and security in Pakistan, we facilitated direct negotiations between the Pakistani government & TTP, which resulted in a long-term ceasefire at that time, & talks made significant progress, but everything was sabotaged by a specific circle within the Pakistani military. 🔴Currently, the tribal refugees present in Afghanistan were settled here before the Islamic Emirate's arrival, & as mentioned, the reason for their migration was the misguided policies of a specific circle in the Pakistani military, violence, & operations in the tribal areas. 🔴The Islamic Emirate will warmly welcome all efforts & measures that result in these refugees returning to their areas. 🔴Likewise, despite all these measures, the Islamic Emirate still considers itself responsible for not allowing anyone from its soil to interfere in another country's affairs, but rather to prevent it.

Afghanistan Defense

15,480 次观看 • 9 个月前

//The Wire//1500Z March 1, 2026// //PRIORITY// //BLUF: WAR CONTINUES IN MIDDLE EAST. US CONSULATE UNDER ATTACK IN KARACHI, 9X RIOTERS KILLED AS US MARINES DEFEND THE COMPOUND. AYATOLLAH CONFIRMED DEAD FOLLOWING AIRSTRIKE. MISSILE AND DRONE STRIKES CONTINUE AROUND THE REGION.// -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -International Events- Middle East: Yesterday afternoon, President Trump confirmed the death of Ayatollah Khamenei, who was killed in an airstrike in Tehran. Most of his senior advisors were also killed in the same engagement. On the maritime front, this morning one commercial tanker vessel was struck by an Iranian drone, with the crew of the M/T SKYLIGHT abandoning ship after their vessel was hit in the Strait of Hormuz. A few hours ago a second tanker was reportedly struck in the Strait, with the M/T MKD VYOM being struck also attempting to transit the waterway this morning. Analyst Comment: Of note, the SKYLIGHT does not appear to have been attempting to transit the Strait and has likely been anchored in the same place for a few years. This vessel was actually serving the Iranian oil industry, and was on the US sanctions list, so the Iranians appear to have targeted one of their own ships, possibly so that the Americans couldn't make use of it. Significant strikes have been reported at the Jebel Ali petroleum terminals in Dubai, and satellite imagery of Ali Al Salem Airbase in Kuwait has confirmed that the base fuel point was hit, with the fuel bladders/blivets at this location burning overnight. All total, drone and missile attacks have remained constant throughout the day and night, with the various Interior and Defense Ministries of the following nations providing data on how many interceptions have been conducted overnight: Qatar: 65 ballistic missiles and 12 drones intercepted. Bahrain: 45 missiles and 9 drones intercepted. Jordan: 49 missiles and drones (combined figure), 13 of which were intercepted. Israel: Over 200 missiles and drones intercepted U.A.E. - 137 missiles and 209 drones detected, 195 of which were intercepted successfully. Kuwait and Saudi Arabia have acknowledged strikes targeting their countries, however neither have confirmed how many drones/missiles have been intercepted. Analyst Comment: Note that these figures only encapsulate the munitions that were successfully intercepted and shot down; most countries don't want to publish the data of how many drones actually made it through their defenses, so the figure for how many strikes have been conducted so far is hard to discern. This time around all belligerents are exercising good operational security, so details of strikes are often hard to find via social media. This is most sharply demonstrated in Israel, where hundreds of strikes are occurring, but difficult to pinpoint on a map due to the exact location of strikes rarely being reported. Pakistan: Overnight, riots broke out at the US Consulate General in Karachi, which rapidly transitioned into an attempt to breach the American compound. After some time, rioters breached the outer security cordon, and US Marines which had taken up defensive positions inside the facility opened fire on the intruders before they could breach the secondary line of security around the perimeter. Analyst Comment: Details are extremely hard to verify, however local sources claim that a total of 9x Pakistani rioters were killed during the engagements so far, and the Marines have successfully held the Key Terrain around the Consulate for the past few hours. However tensions are rising, and if the videos of the riots are any indication, Pakistan is not up to the task of defending the American compound, as rioters were allowed to breach, destroy, and set the outer cordon of the American diplomatic post on fire, with no Pakistani security anywhere to be seen. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: Around the United States, various efforts are underway to enhance the security posture of various locations and entities. In Texas, Governor Greg Abbott has activated service members to take part in Operation FURY SHIELD, a defensive operation to strengthen security at critical infrastructure sites around the state, in the event that retaliatory efforts via lone-wolf actors attempt to conduct attacks within the homeland. Similarly, the NYPD in New York is increasing patrols throughout the city, and several military bases around the United States remain at an elevated security posture. Right now these efforts are probably being conducted out of an abundance of caution, however it does confirm that at least someone is thinking about the potential for events overseas, to impact the homeland in the form of terrorism. This has, of course, been a concern for decades, however based on the widening war in the Middle East, it would be wise to remain vigilant and situationally aware for the next few weeks, as the conflict continues to inflame tensions here at home. Analyst: S2A1 Research: Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report. //END REPORT//

//The Wire//1500Z March 1, 2026// //PRIORITY// //BLUF: WAR CONTINUES IN MIDDLE EAST. US CONSULATE UNDER ATTACK IN KARACHI, 9X RIOTERS KILLED AS US MARINES DEFEND THE COMPOUND. AYATOLLAH CONFIRMED DEAD FOLLOWING AIRSTRIKE. MISSILE AND DRONE STRIKES CONTINUE AROUND THE REGION.// -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -International Events- Middle East: Yesterday afternoon, President Trump confirmed the death of Ayatollah Khamenei, who was killed in an airstrike in Tehran. Most of his senior advisors were also killed in the same engagement. On the maritime front, this morning one commercial tanker vessel was struck by an Iranian drone, with the crew of the M/T SKYLIGHT abandoning ship after their vessel was hit in the Strait of Hormuz. A few hours ago a second tanker was reportedly struck in the Strait, with the M/T MKD VYOM being struck also attempting to transit the waterway this morning. Analyst Comment: Of note, the SKYLIGHT does not appear to have been attempting to transit the Strait and has likely been anchored in the same place for a few years. This vessel was actually serving the Iranian oil industry, and was on the US sanctions list, so the Iranians appear to have targeted one of their own ships, possibly so that the Americans couldn't make use of it. Significant strikes have been reported at the Jebel Ali petroleum terminals in Dubai, and satellite imagery of Ali Al Salem Airbase in Kuwait has confirmed that the base fuel point was hit, with the fuel bladders/blivets at this location burning overnight. All total, drone and missile attacks have remained constant throughout the day and night, with the various Interior and Defense Ministries of the following nations providing data on how many interceptions have been conducted overnight: Qatar: 65 ballistic missiles and 12 drones intercepted. Bahrain: 45 missiles and 9 drones intercepted. Jordan: 49 missiles and drones (combined figure), 13 of which were intercepted. Israel: Over 200 missiles and drones intercepted U.A.E. - 137 missiles and 209 drones detected, 195 of which were intercepted successfully. Kuwait and Saudi Arabia have acknowledged strikes targeting their countries, however neither have confirmed how many drones/missiles have been intercepted. Analyst Comment: Note that these figures only encapsulate the munitions that were successfully intercepted and shot down; most countries don't want to publish the data of how many drones actually made it through their defenses, so the figure for how many strikes have been conducted so far is hard to discern. This time around all belligerents are exercising good operational security, so details of strikes are often hard to find via social media. This is most sharply demonstrated in Israel, where hundreds of strikes are occurring, but difficult to pinpoint on a map due to the exact location of strikes rarely being reported. Pakistan: Overnight, riots broke out at the US Consulate General in Karachi, which rapidly transitioned into an attempt to breach the American compound. After some time, rioters breached the outer security cordon, and US Marines which had taken up defensive positions inside the facility opened fire on the intruders before they could breach the secondary line of security around the perimeter. Analyst Comment: Details are extremely hard to verify, however local sources claim that a total of 9x Pakistani rioters were killed during the engagements so far, and the Marines have successfully held the Key Terrain around the Consulate for the past few hours. However tensions are rising, and if the videos of the riots are any indication, Pakistan is not up to the task of defending the American compound, as rioters were allowed to breach, destroy, and set the outer cordon of the American diplomatic post on fire, with no Pakistani security anywhere to be seen. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: Around the United States, various efforts are underway to enhance the security posture of various locations and entities. In Texas, Governor Greg Abbott has activated service members to take part in Operation FURY SHIELD, a defensive operation to strengthen security at critical infrastructure sites around the state, in the event that retaliatory efforts via lone-wolf actors attempt to conduct attacks within the homeland. Similarly, the NYPD in New York is increasing patrols throughout the city, and several military bases around the United States remain at an elevated security posture. Right now these efforts are probably being conducted out of an abundance of caution, however it does confirm that at least someone is thinking about the potential for events overseas, to impact the homeland in the form of terrorism. This has, of course, been a concern for decades, however based on the widening war in the Middle East, it would be wise to remain vigilant and situationally aware for the next few weeks, as the conflict continues to inflame tensions here at home. Analyst: S2A1 Research: Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report. //END REPORT//

S2 Underground

20,716 次观看 • 5 个月前

//The Wire//2300Z March 31, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: STARLINK SATELLITE EXPERIENCES "ANOMALY" IN ORBIT. FPV DRONE ATTACKS REPORTED AT RUSSIAN BASE IN MALI. WAR IN MIDDLE EAST INTENSIFIES WITH INCREASE OF AMERICAN BOMBING AND IRANIAN DRONE ATTACKS.// -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -International Events- Middle East: Several escalations occurred overnight, with substantial strikes being reported throughout the region. Satellite imagery indicates that the strikes within Iran have increased in scope, though most of the targeting efforts remain concentrated in the western part of the country. Last night American forces struck an ammo dump in Isfahan, which resulted in significant secondary explosions at the site. This strike supplements many other strikes throughout the area, which have destroyed most of the military infrastructure throughout Isfahan. In the Persian Gulf itself, Iranian targeting of merchant vessels continued overnight, as two ships reported being targeted. The M/T AL SALMI was struck by an Iranian drone, sustaining damage from the subsequent fire that broke out on board after the strike. Another unidentified vessel reported a close-call, with an unidentified munition landing in the water close to the vessel. Pacific: Yesterday the Marshall Islands declared a state of emergency for at least the next 90 days, due to fuel shortages caused by the reduction of petroleum production in the Middle East and with travel through the Strait of Hormuz being restricted. President Heine signed the declaration yesterday, and various committees have been formed to determine what steps to take as the war continues. Mali: This morning a local insurgent group posted a video claiming credit for a drone attack on a military outpost in the remote town of Anefis. The Azawad Liberation Front (FLA) is a small insurgent group that has been waging war in the region for a while, with combat operations intensifying over the past few weeks. Analyst Comment: While a couple of FPV drone strikes are mostly insignificant on the battlefield, this does indicate that even in the most far-flung regions of the earth, drone warfare is becoming a concern that even large nationstates continue to struggle with. For instance, the site struck by FLA yesterday was also allegedly being used by Russian advisors, and this is the second instance in about a week of FLA militants using munitions attached to FPV drones to carry out attacks. -HomeFront- USA: Starlink announced a malfunction with one of their satellites, with the satellite experiencing some level of breakup in orbit. Satellite imagery from a craft with a higher orbit captured the satellite in orbit, which indicates it's still mostly intact even though hundreds of particles have been detected separating from this platform. The cause of the malfunction has not yet been disclosed, with this incident only being described as an "anomaly". -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: Indications and warnings are growing that the intensification of the war in Iran might be what is colloquially known in the targeting world as Shaping Fires, in other words blowing up a lot of stuff in preparation for a future objective. Since the start of the war, the United States has been working through a High Payoff Target List (HPTL), which is basically a list of targets arranged by which ones should be struck first. In an air war, the targets at the top of the list are usually missile defense sites, radar arrays, or any other targets which might be more important to take out first. As time goes on, eventually lower-priority targets can be struck. However, in going through this process, the world eventually finds out what targets were on that list. And right now, a month after the war began, the targets that are being struck are probably an indicator of what is being planned for. As an example, the US completely leveled the entire headquarters for the 33rd and the 44th Artillery Groups, which included dozens of impact craters being observed on satellite imagery in the boneyard of old artillery pieces that have been in this same location since the Iran-Iraq War. These field artillery units, while certainly valid military targets in a declared state of Armed Conflict, aren't exactly a high priority for meeting the strategic objectives conveyed by the White House. These artillery pieces, however, would have been of great use for defending against forces on the ground. As at least one Brigade Combat Team (BCT) from the 82nd Airborne arrives in CENTCOM to supplement the two MEU's already on station, many are speculating on the potential for a US ground invasion of Iran. This is debatable to the point that many people believe such a possibility is unthinkable, and the rhetoric of the war winding down any day now has been a constant factor for consideration. However, this rhetoric is not reflected by the raw information available at the present moment concerning the situation on the ground. Operations so far indicate that if a ground invasion were on the menu, the targets that are being struck right now are the exact sites that would need to be struck for any ground combat element to have any chance of success at all. Nevertheless, aside from the forward deployment of troops to the region, many more boxes must be checked before any ground operation would be feasible. Most military doctrine dictates that "the defensive form of warfare is stronger than the offense" (Clausewitz), which makes the task ahead much more difficult since the most effective way to conduct littoral operations in a contested environment is to effectively disrupt the enemy's kill-chain (i.e. their own manner of identifying and prosecuting their own targets) BEFORE operations are conducted within the enemy's weapons engagement zone (WEZ). Conducting operations within the WEZ is an expectation of the Marine forces currently deployed, as this mission set is their bread and butter. However, at this point, that kill-chain has not been disrupted to a sufficient degree, and Iranian forces routinely conduct over-the-horizon targeting capability. So in short, it may be some time before even the most basic ground operation will be feasible under current military doctrine. However, the textbook can always be disregarded at any point, and decision-makers are going to do whatever they so choose. Analyst: S2A1 Research: Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report. //END REPORT//

//The Wire//2300Z March 31, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: STARLINK SATELLITE EXPERIENCES "ANOMALY" IN ORBIT. FPV DRONE ATTACKS REPORTED AT RUSSIAN BASE IN MALI. WAR IN MIDDLE EAST INTENSIFIES WITH INCREASE OF AMERICAN BOMBING AND IRANIAN DRONE ATTACKS.// -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -International Events- Middle East: Several escalations occurred overnight, with substantial strikes being reported throughout the region. Satellite imagery indicates that the strikes within Iran have increased in scope, though most of the targeting efforts remain concentrated in the western part of the country. Last night American forces struck an ammo dump in Isfahan, which resulted in significant secondary explosions at the site. This strike supplements many other strikes throughout the area, which have destroyed most of the military infrastructure throughout Isfahan. In the Persian Gulf itself, Iranian targeting of merchant vessels continued overnight, as two ships reported being targeted. The M/T AL SALMI was struck by an Iranian drone, sustaining damage from the subsequent fire that broke out on board after the strike. Another unidentified vessel reported a close-call, with an unidentified munition landing in the water close to the vessel. Pacific: Yesterday the Marshall Islands declared a state of emergency for at least the next 90 days, due to fuel shortages caused by the reduction of petroleum production in the Middle East and with travel through the Strait of Hormuz being restricted. President Heine signed the declaration yesterday, and various committees have been formed to determine what steps to take as the war continues. Mali: This morning a local insurgent group posted a video claiming credit for a drone attack on a military outpost in the remote town of Anefis. The Azawad Liberation Front (FLA) is a small insurgent group that has been waging war in the region for a while, with combat operations intensifying over the past few weeks. Analyst Comment: While a couple of FPV drone strikes are mostly insignificant on the battlefield, this does indicate that even in the most far-flung regions of the earth, drone warfare is becoming a concern that even large nationstates continue to struggle with. For instance, the site struck by FLA yesterday was also allegedly being used by Russian advisors, and this is the second instance in about a week of FLA militants using munitions attached to FPV drones to carry out attacks. -HomeFront- USA: Starlink announced a malfunction with one of their satellites, with the satellite experiencing some level of breakup in orbit. Satellite imagery from a craft with a higher orbit captured the satellite in orbit, which indicates it's still mostly intact even though hundreds of particles have been detected separating from this platform. The cause of the malfunction has not yet been disclosed, with this incident only being described as an "anomaly". -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: Indications and warnings are growing that the intensification of the war in Iran might be what is colloquially known in the targeting world as Shaping Fires, in other words blowing up a lot of stuff in preparation for a future objective. Since the start of the war, the United States has been working through a High Payoff Target List (HPTL), which is basically a list of targets arranged by which ones should be struck first. In an air war, the targets at the top of the list are usually missile defense sites, radar arrays, or any other targets which might be more important to take out first. As time goes on, eventually lower-priority targets can be struck. However, in going through this process, the world eventually finds out what targets were on that list. And right now, a month after the war began, the targets that are being struck are probably an indicator of what is being planned for. As an example, the US completely leveled the entire headquarters for the 33rd and the 44th Artillery Groups, which included dozens of impact craters being observed on satellite imagery in the boneyard of old artillery pieces that have been in this same location since the Iran-Iraq War. These field artillery units, while certainly valid military targets in a declared state of Armed Conflict, aren't exactly a high priority for meeting the strategic objectives conveyed by the White House. These artillery pieces, however, would have been of great use for defending against forces on the ground. As at least one Brigade Combat Team (BCT) from the 82nd Airborne arrives in CENTCOM to supplement the two MEU's already on station, many are speculating on the potential for a US ground invasion of Iran. This is debatable to the point that many people believe such a possibility is unthinkable, and the rhetoric of the war winding down any day now has been a constant factor for consideration. However, this rhetoric is not reflected by the raw information available at the present moment concerning the situation on the ground. Operations so far indicate that if a ground invasion were on the menu, the targets that are being struck right now are the exact sites that would need to be struck for any ground combat element to have any chance of success at all. Nevertheless, aside from the forward deployment of troops to the region, many more boxes must be checked before any ground operation would be feasible. Most military doctrine dictates that "the defensive form of warfare is stronger than the offense" (Clausewitz), which makes the task ahead much more difficult since the most effective way to conduct littoral operations in a contested environment is to effectively disrupt the enemy's kill-chain (i.e. their own manner of identifying and prosecuting their own targets) BEFORE operations are conducted within the enemy's weapons engagement zone (WEZ). Conducting operations within the WEZ is an expectation of the Marine forces currently deployed, as this mission set is their bread and butter. However, at this point, that kill-chain has not been disrupted to a sufficient degree, and Iranian forces routinely conduct over-the-horizon targeting capability. So in short, it may be some time before even the most basic ground operation will be feasible under current military doctrine. However, the textbook can always be disregarded at any point, and decision-makers are going to do whatever they so choose. Analyst: S2A1 Research: Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report. //END REPORT//

S2 Underground

10,854 次观看 • 4 个月前

Iran war summary, day 71! Ukraine has breached the 3 day ceasefire Trump took credit for, not once but almost 9k times! IRGC Aerospace Force Commander Brigadier General Majid Mousavi: - missiles and drones are locked on US targets in the region and enemy ships - forces are awaiting the order to fire. Global oil reserves are declining at a record pace amid the Iran war Iran - Bloomberg -Supplies through SOH have almost completely stopped -Per Morgan Stanley, global oil reserves decreased by 4.8MMbpd (March-Apr) -This is largest reduction in reserves in the entire history of IEA observations -By June, the global system may reach an "operational stress level", - by Sept, will reach min level of reserves necessary for the operation of pipelines, refineries, & export infrastructure -Bloomberg most import-dependent Asian countries - Indonesia, Vietnam, Pakistan, and the Philippines will face critical shortage of fuel in 1 month -In Europe, aviation fuel reserves are rapidly decreasing ahead of summer -The US has been consuming strategic reserves for several weeks. -Diesel reserves in the country have dropped to their lowest level since 2005 Is Iran impacted? -Gregory Brew, Lead Analyst for Iran and Energy at Eurasia Group: A US naval blockade would not significantly damage Iran's oil infrastructure. Iran war is crushing Asia's farmers! -SOH blockade is threatening global food supply -Prices of fuel and fertilizer are pushing farmers to make irreversible cuts as they enter key planting seasons. In Thailand, the Philippines, Bangladesh and Australia, farmers are choosing to skip or reduce planting, or cut fertilizer use, which will lower yield. -India and Brazil, two of the world's biggest agricultural producers are facing significant yield loss -anticipate further food inflation How many sailers and ships remain stranded? - > 20,000 sailors aboard 800+ ships remain stranded in SOH via blockade, -vessels running low on food, water, fuel, and medicine, WSJ reports. -10 sailors have died and more than 30 vessels have been hit by Iranian drones or missiles since the crisis began. -Crews live under constant fear of missile strikes, drones, sea mines, and Iranian naval patrols -insurance costs soar and supply shortages worsen. -Some ships switched off trackers, changed flags, or used Chinese flags Iran is reshaping regional order through the SOH! Iran takes control of all 7 undersea internet cables passing through the SOH! NOTE: These cables are critical for data traffic between Europe, Asia, and the Gulf. 1. Under the new policy, “foreign operators” would be required to obtain permits to use these cables 2. This would include paying fees and following Iranian law 3. All management and maintenance would be handled by Iranian companies 4. The IRGC has previously warned it could target these same cables Meanwhile, Trump is entertaining his base with meaningless UFC fights to distract from his various failures and crimes! Another failed Trump ceasefire! -8,970 ceasefire violations by Ukrainian Armed Forces recorded in SMO -Ukrainian forces launched 12 attacks on positions of Russian units; -The Russian Armed Forces responded symmetrically to ceasefire violations -Russian Air Defense shot down 8 guided aerial bombs, a HIMARS rocket, and 467 UAVs of from Ukrainian terror forces Ukrainian Armed Forces units lost about 940 servicemen in the special military operation zone over the past 24 hours as a result of the Russian forces' repelling of enemy attacks.

Iran war summary, day 71! Ukraine has breached the 3 day ceasefire Trump took credit for, not once but almost 9k times! IRGC Aerospace Force Commander Brigadier General Majid Mousavi: - missiles and drones are locked on US targets in the region and enemy ships - forces are awaiting the order to fire. Global oil reserves are declining at a record pace amid the Iran war Iran - Bloomberg -Supplies through SOH have almost completely stopped -Per Morgan Stanley, global oil reserves decreased by 4.8MMbpd (March-Apr) -This is largest reduction in reserves in the entire history of IEA observations -By June, the global system may reach an "operational stress level", - by Sept, will reach min level of reserves necessary for the operation of pipelines, refineries, & export infrastructure -Bloomberg most import-dependent Asian countries - Indonesia, Vietnam, Pakistan, and the Philippines will face critical shortage of fuel in 1 month -In Europe, aviation fuel reserves are rapidly decreasing ahead of summer -The US has been consuming strategic reserves for several weeks. -Diesel reserves in the country have dropped to their lowest level since 2005 Is Iran impacted? -Gregory Brew, Lead Analyst for Iran and Energy at Eurasia Group: A US naval blockade would not significantly damage Iran's oil infrastructure. Iran war is crushing Asia's farmers! -SOH blockade is threatening global food supply -Prices of fuel and fertilizer are pushing farmers to make irreversible cuts as they enter key planting seasons. In Thailand, the Philippines, Bangladesh and Australia, farmers are choosing to skip or reduce planting, or cut fertilizer use, which will lower yield. -India and Brazil, two of the world's biggest agricultural producers are facing significant yield loss -anticipate further food inflation How many sailers and ships remain stranded? - > 20,000 sailors aboard 800+ ships remain stranded in SOH via blockade, -vessels running low on food, water, fuel, and medicine, WSJ reports. -10 sailors have died and more than 30 vessels have been hit by Iranian drones or missiles since the crisis began. -Crews live under constant fear of missile strikes, drones, sea mines, and Iranian naval patrols -insurance costs soar and supply shortages worsen. -Some ships switched off trackers, changed flags, or used Chinese flags Iran is reshaping regional order through the SOH! Iran takes control of all 7 undersea internet cables passing through the SOH! NOTE: These cables are critical for data traffic between Europe, Asia, and the Gulf. 1. Under the new policy, “foreign operators” would be required to obtain permits to use these cables 2. This would include paying fees and following Iranian law 3. All management and maintenance would be handled by Iranian companies 4. The IRGC has previously warned it could target these same cables Meanwhile, Trump is entertaining his base with meaningless UFC fights to distract from his various failures and crimes! Another failed Trump ceasefire! -8,970 ceasefire violations by Ukrainian Armed Forces recorded in SMO -Ukrainian forces launched 12 attacks on positions of Russian units; -The Russian Armed Forces responded symmetrically to ceasefire violations -Russian Air Defense shot down 8 guided aerial bombs, a HIMARS rocket, and 467 UAVs of from Ukrainian terror forces Ukrainian Armed Forces units lost about 940 servicemen in the special military operation zone over the past 24 hours as a result of the Russian forces' repelling of enemy attacks.

Truth_teller 🇷🇺

14,213 次观看 • 3 个月前

Hezbollah has been boasting how it could destroy the USS Gerald R. Ford (CVN-78) and its escorts. Lets dive into how Hezbollah Terrorists could attack a US Navy Aircraft carrier in the Med, what could happen, and the possible outcomes, assisted with Command Development Team simulation software. To understand the footage shown, let me break down some basic concepts of modern naval combat: Military ships often use a concept called "EMCON", which stands for EMission CONtrol, or "Radio silence" in laymans terms. Consider it like this: if you are with a flashlight in the night, you can spot a person say 500 Meters away by shining at him with the flashlight. You will however, be able to see that flashlight from many kilometers away, without being seen, even if it is directed at you, giving you the location of the person with the flashlight, without disclosing your presence. So ships really avoid "radio emissions", such as radar. Carrier Strike Groups (CSG) like the Ford CSG WANT Radar coverage for their own safety, but not in a way that their location can be known. This is done by Airplanes that fly in the general vicinity of the CSG, providing coverage, without compromising the CSG location. The US Navy uses the E-2 Hawkeye for this in most cases. In this case here, we are not using the E-2 Hawkeye, but the (likely in Theater anyway) E-3 Sentry from NATO. A system that is likely LESS sophisticated than the cutting edge E-2D Advanced Hawkeyes that were visible on the USS Ford pictures that surfaced recently. We do not simulate any carrier based "Combat Air Patrol" either, to test the "ship based" defenses. The composition of the Ford CSG is modeled using the actual ships listed. The CSG is moving on a nothern course at 15 knots, under full EMCON, 115 miles off the coast. The maximum range of the Russian Bastion-P coastal missle complex is about 100 miles, we have to assume that the US Navy will sail their ships outside of (possible) Hezbollah radar range. We also assume, as this is a time of very heightened alert, that the US Navy has Rules of Engagement that would allow it to shoot down any Hezbollah drones or craft coming at it with apparent hostile intention. I have assumed this to be 50 miles away from the CSG in this scenario. Now lets look at the Hezbollah side. We assume to have 6 Bastion-P complexes, with 2 missles per Transport-Erector-Launcher (TEL). So if it can be figured out where the CSG is, 12 P-800 Oniks missle with speeds over Mach 2 would be able to engage the CSG. The problem however is, that you can not "shoot" at a ship without knowing its location. While this may sound very simple indeed, when the ship you are looking for does not disclose its location voluntarily, you can not go to "marinetraffic" and look for the carrier. You can also not use your airforce, if you do not really have one, like Hezbollah. You can not use Sattelites, if you have none. You can try to use drones, if you know the overall direction, or use radar. Land based Radar? Out of Range. Drones? Yes, lets fly drones to the overall direction, hoping to see the carrier. Satellites? Nope. Wait, lets ask Putin. He will probably be nice enough to us, to have a liasion tell us in real time from a russian sattelite where the CSG is. And thats what we are running with here, as drones will not reach the carrier. A russian sattelite could provide rather real time information on the CSG location, allowing manual targeting. The video will provide you with the results. A US CSG with such powerful escorts will not be fundamentally threatened by the assets of Hezbollah. It will have to defend, but will do so rather easily. At the conclusion of the Engagement, the CSG still has literally 100s of SM-2, SM-6 and ESSM Missles. Note: this is done on commercially available software, the software uses NTDS/APP6 icons, white is air radar range, yellow surface, green sonar. The white cones off the missles are their onboard active radar seeker. If you have any questions understanding any of the things displyed, please ask. Note that this is a hobby analysis with publicly available data and tools, and not military research. Thanks for reading! #usnavy #HezbollahTerrorists #hezbullah #hezbollah #israel #IsraelUnderAttack #ukraine #russia #nato Naval News SubBrief Tyler Rogoway Status-6 (War & Military News) TheIntelFrog @CovertShores Raw Combat log output, starting with Hezbollah detecting CSG via RU Proxy: 13/10/2023 12:46:13 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SKUNK #1070 - Detected by Resurs P1 [Sensors: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at 177deg - 1149.3nm 13/10/2023 12:46:13 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SKUNK #1071 - Detected by Resurs P1 [Sensors: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at 177deg - 1149.3nm 13/10/2023 12:46:13 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SKUNK #1072 - Detected by Resurs P1 [Sensors: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at 177deg - 1149.3nm 13/10/2023 12:46:13 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SKUNK #1073 - Detected by Resurs P1 [Sensors: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at 177deg - 1145.4nm 13/10/2023 12:46:13 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SKUNK #1074 - Detected by Resurs P1 [Sensors: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at 177deg - 1153.3nm 13/10/2023 12:46:13 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SKUNK #1075 - Detected by Resurs P1 [Sensors: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at 177deg - 1148nm 13/10/2023 12:46:23 - [Hezbollah] Contact: SKUNK #1073 has been positively identified as: DDG 63 Carney [Arleigh Burke Flight I] - Determined as: Hostile (ID by: Resurs P1 [Sensor: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at Estimated 1121 nm) 13/10/2023 12:46:23 - [Hezbollah] Contact: SKUNK #1071 has been positively identified as: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] - Determined as: Hostile (ID by: Resurs P1 [Sensor: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at Estimated 1125 nm) 13/10/2023 12:46:23 - [Hezbollah] Contact: SKUNK #1070 has been positively identified as: CVN 78 Gerald R. Ford - Determined as: Hostile (ID by: Resurs P1 [Sensor: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at Estimated 1125 nm) 13/10/2023 12:46:23 - [Hezbollah] Contact: SKUNK #1072 has been positively identified as: DDG 61 Ramage [Arleigh Burke Flight I] - Determined as: Hostile (ID by: Resurs P1 [Sensor: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at Estimated 1125 nm) 13/10/2023 12:46:23 - [Hezbollah] Contact: SKUNK #1074 has been positively identified as: DDG 80 Roosevelt [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA] - Determined as: Hostile (ID by: Resurs P1 [Sensor: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at Estimated 1129 nm) 13/10/2023 12:46:23 - [Hezbollah] Contact: SKUNK #1075 has been positively identified as: CG 60 Normandy [Ticonderoga Baseline 3, VLS] - Determined as: Hostile (ID by: Resurs P1 [Sensor: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at Estimated 1124 nm) 13/10/2023 12:47:23 - [USA] Contact: BOGEY #24 has been classified as: Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] - Determined as: Unfriendly (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: AN/SPY-1D(V) MFR [ABM Mod]] [NCTR mode] at 56.9 nm) 13/10/2023 12:47:23 - [USA] Contact: BOGEY #26 has been classified as: Shahed-161 UAV - Determined as: Unfriendly (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: AN/SPY-1D(V) MFR [ABM Mod]] [NCTR mode] at 34.9 nm) 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3507 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 70deg - 95.2nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3508 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 69deg - 96.4nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3509 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 70deg - 95.6nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3510 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 69deg - 96.8nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3511 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 69deg - 96.1nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3512 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 69deg - 96.4nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3513 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 70deg - 97.1nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3514 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 69deg - 98nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3515 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 70deg - 97.2nm 13/10/2023 12:48:12 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3576 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 68deg - 91nm 13/10/2023 12:48:12 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3577 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 69deg - 89.9nm 13/10/2023 12:48:12 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3578 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 69deg - 90.7nm 13/10/2023 12:48:13 - Side 'Hezbollah' is now considered HOSTILE to USA 13/10/2023 12:48:13 - [USA] Contact: Shahed-161 UAV #26 has been manually marked as hostile! 13/10/2023 12:48:20 - [USA] Contact: BOGEY #22 has been manually marked as hostile! 13/10/2023 12:48:55 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SAM #1238 - Detected by Shahed-161 UAV [Sensors: Generic IRST] at 266deg - 10nm 13/10/2023 12:48:59 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SAM #1243 - Detected by Shahed-161 UAV [Sensors: Generic IRST] at 266deg - 8.6nm 13/10/2023 12:49:00 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SAM #1245 - Detected by Shahed-161 UAV [Sensors: Generic IRST] at 234deg - 13.3nm 13/10/2023 12:49:17 - Weapon: RIM-174A ERAM SM-6 Blk IA #40 is attacking Shahed-161 UAV with a base PH of 90%. PH adjusted for weapon speed: 36% (pure-aerodynamic attitude control). Intercept angle is 304 deg - hit probability adjusted to 25%.Final PH: 25%. Result: 30 - MISS 13/10/2023 12:49:17 - [Hezbollah] Hezbollah :Contact SAM #1238 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:49:25 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SAM #1271 - Detected by Shahed-161 UAV [Sensors: Generic IRST] at 248deg - 13.1nm 13/10/2023 12:49:34 - Weapon: RIM-174A ERAM SM-6 Blk IB #41 is attacking Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] with a base PH of 90%. Intercept angle is 51 deg - hit probability adjusted to 65%.Final PH: 65%. Result: 12 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:49:34 - [Hezbollah] Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] has suffered weapon damage: 89.9 DPs 13/10/2023 12:49:34 - [Hezbollah] Hezbollah :Contact SAM #1271 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:49:34 - [Hezbollah] Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] has been destroyed! 13/10/2023 12:49:34 - [USA] Contact Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] #23 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:49:39 - Weapon: RIM-174A ERAM SM-6 Blk IB #42 is attacking Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] with a base PH of 90%. Intercept angle is 313 deg - hit probability adjusted to 66%.Final PH: 66%. Result: 11 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:49:39 - [Hezbollah] Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] has suffered weapon damage: 89.9 DPs 13/10/2023 12:49:39 - [Hezbollah] Hezbollah :Contact SAM #1243 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:49:39 - [Hezbollah] Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] has been destroyed! 13/10/2023 12:49:39 - [USA] Contact Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] #24 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:49:43 - Weapon: RIM-174A ERAM SM-6 Blk IB #43 is attacking Shahed-161 UAV with a base PH of 90%. Intercept angle is 65 deg - hit probability adjusted to 57%.Final PH: 57%. Result: 11 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:49:43 - [Hezbollah] Shahed-161 UAV has suffered weapon damage: 89.9 DPs 13/10/2023 12:49:43 - [Hezbollah] Hezbollah :Contact SAM #1245 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:49:43 - [Hezbollah] Shahed-161 UAV has been destroyed! 13/10/2023 12:49:43 - [USA] Contact Shahed-161 UAV #25 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:49:54 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SAM #1301 - Detected by Shahed-161 UAV [Sensors: Generic IRST] at 258deg - 10.5nm 13/10/2023 12:50:10 - Weapon: RIM-174A ERAM SM-6 Blk IA #44 is attacking Shahed-161 UAV with a base PH of 90%. PH adjusted for weapon speed: 83% (pure-aerodynamic attitude control). Target signature modifier: -5% (Director [Active Radar Seeker] has tech-gen: Late 2010s). Intercept angle is 316 deg - hit probability adjusted to 59%.Final PH: 59%. Result: 42 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:50:10 - [Hezbollah] Shahed-161 UAV has suffered weapon damage: 89 DPs 13/10/2023 12:50:10 - [Hezbollah] Hezbollah :Contact SAM #1301 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:50:10 - [Hezbollah] Shahed-161 UAV has been destroyed! 13/10/2023 12:50:10 - [USA] Contact Shahed-161 UAV #26 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:51:58 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3507 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:51:59 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3508 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 13.9 nm) 13/10/2023 12:51:59 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3509 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:51:59 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3511 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:00 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3510 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 13.9 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:00 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3512 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:04 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3513 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:04 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3577 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:05 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3514 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 13.9 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:05 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3515 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:06 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3576 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 13.9 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:06 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3578 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:08 - Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #45 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #28 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 357 deg - hit probability adjusted to 79%.Final PH: 79%. Result: 34 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:08 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3507 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:09 - Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #46 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #29 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 358 deg - hit probability adjusted to 79%.Final PH: 79%. Result: 31 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:09 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3508 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:11 - Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #49 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #32 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 358 deg - hit probability adjusted to 79%.Final PH: 79%. Result: 36 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:11 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3511 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:11 - Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #52 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #31 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 355 deg - hit probability adjusted to 78%.Final PH: 78%. Result: 9 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:11 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #57 has been redirected to new target: GuidedWeapon #3515 13/10/2023 12:52:11 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3510 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:12 - Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #50 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #30 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 356 deg - hit probability adjusted to 78%.Final PH: 78%. Result: 25 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:12 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3509 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:12 - Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #55 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #33 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 355 deg - hit probability adjusted to 78%.Final PH: 78%. Result: 20 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:12 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #59 has been redirected to new target: GuidedWeapon #3576 13/10/2023 12:52:12 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3512 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:13 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #47 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:14 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #48 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:15 - Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #57 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #36 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 0 deg - hit probability adjusted to 80%.Final PH: 80%. Result: 71 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:15 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3515 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #60 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #34 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 360 deg - hit probability adjusted to 80%.Final PH: 80%. Result: 49 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #65 has no eligible alternative target to be redirected to... 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3513 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #51 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #54 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #58 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #59 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #38 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 357 deg - hit probability adjusted to 78%.Final PH: 78%. Result: 75 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3576 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #63 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #38 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 359 deg - hit probability adjusted to 79%.Final PH: 79%. Result: 57 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #70 has been redirected to new target: GuidedWeapon #3514 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3577 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:17 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #53 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:17 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #65 has no eligible alternative target to be redirected to... 13/10/2023 12:52:17 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #56 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:17 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #61 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:18 - Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #70 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #35 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 358 deg - hit probability adjusted to 79%.Final PH: 79%. Result: 63 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:18 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3514 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:18 - Weapon: RIM-174A ERAM SM-6 Blk IA #73 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #39 with a base PH of 90%. Intercept angle is 355 deg - hit probability adjusted to 88%.Final PH: 88%. Result: 34 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:18 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3578 has been lost.

Hezbollah has been boasting how it could destroy the USS Gerald R. Ford (CVN-78) and its escorts. Lets dive into how Hezbollah Terrorists could attack a US Navy Aircraft carrier in the Med, what could happen, and the possible outcomes, assisted with Command Development Team simulation software. To understand the footage shown, let me break down some basic concepts of modern naval combat: Military ships often use a concept called "EMCON", which stands for EMission CONtrol, or "Radio silence" in laymans terms. Consider it like this: if you are with a flashlight in the night, you can spot a person say 500 Meters away by shining at him with the flashlight. You will however, be able to see that flashlight from many kilometers away, without being seen, even if it is directed at you, giving you the location of the person with the flashlight, without disclosing your presence. So ships really avoid "radio emissions", such as radar. Carrier Strike Groups (CSG) like the Ford CSG WANT Radar coverage for their own safety, but not in a way that their location can be known. This is done by Airplanes that fly in the general vicinity of the CSG, providing coverage, without compromising the CSG location. The US Navy uses the E-2 Hawkeye for this in most cases. In this case here, we are not using the E-2 Hawkeye, but the (likely in Theater anyway) E-3 Sentry from NATO. A system that is likely LESS sophisticated than the cutting edge E-2D Advanced Hawkeyes that were visible on the USS Ford pictures that surfaced recently. We do not simulate any carrier based "Combat Air Patrol" either, to test the "ship based" defenses. The composition of the Ford CSG is modeled using the actual ships listed. The CSG is moving on a nothern course at 15 knots, under full EMCON, 115 miles off the coast. The maximum range of the Russian Bastion-P coastal missle complex is about 100 miles, we have to assume that the US Navy will sail their ships outside of (possible) Hezbollah radar range. We also assume, as this is a time of very heightened alert, that the US Navy has Rules of Engagement that would allow it to shoot down any Hezbollah drones or craft coming at it with apparent hostile intention. I have assumed this to be 50 miles away from the CSG in this scenario. Now lets look at the Hezbollah side. We assume to have 6 Bastion-P complexes, with 2 missles per Transport-Erector-Launcher (TEL). So if it can be figured out where the CSG is, 12 P-800 Oniks missle with speeds over Mach 2 would be able to engage the CSG. The problem however is, that you can not "shoot" at a ship without knowing its location. While this may sound very simple indeed, when the ship you are looking for does not disclose its location voluntarily, you can not go to "marinetraffic" and look for the carrier. You can also not use your airforce, if you do not really have one, like Hezbollah. You can not use Sattelites, if you have none. You can try to use drones, if you know the overall direction, or use radar. Land based Radar? Out of Range. Drones? Yes, lets fly drones to the overall direction, hoping to see the carrier. Satellites? Nope. Wait, lets ask Putin. He will probably be nice enough to us, to have a liasion tell us in real time from a russian sattelite where the CSG is. And thats what we are running with here, as drones will not reach the carrier. A russian sattelite could provide rather real time information on the CSG location, allowing manual targeting. The video will provide you with the results. A US CSG with such powerful escorts will not be fundamentally threatened by the assets of Hezbollah. It will have to defend, but will do so rather easily. At the conclusion of the Engagement, the CSG still has literally 100s of SM-2, SM-6 and ESSM Missles. Note: this is done on commercially available software, the software uses NTDS/APP6 icons, white is air radar range, yellow surface, green sonar. The white cones off the missles are their onboard active radar seeker. If you have any questions understanding any of the things displyed, please ask. Note that this is a hobby analysis with publicly available data and tools, and not military research. Thanks for reading! #usnavy #HezbollahTerrorists #hezbullah #hezbollah #israel #IsraelUnderAttack #ukraine #russia #nato Naval News SubBrief Tyler Rogoway Status-6 (War & Military News) TheIntelFrog @CovertShores Raw Combat log output, starting with Hezbollah detecting CSG via RU Proxy: 13/10/2023 12:46:13 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SKUNK #1070 - Detected by Resurs P1 [Sensors: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at 177deg - 1149.3nm 13/10/2023 12:46:13 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SKUNK #1071 - Detected by Resurs P1 [Sensors: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at 177deg - 1149.3nm 13/10/2023 12:46:13 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SKUNK #1072 - Detected by Resurs P1 [Sensors: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at 177deg - 1149.3nm 13/10/2023 12:46:13 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SKUNK #1073 - Detected by Resurs P1 [Sensors: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at 177deg - 1145.4nm 13/10/2023 12:46:13 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SKUNK #1074 - Detected by Resurs P1 [Sensors: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at 177deg - 1153.3nm 13/10/2023 12:46:13 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SKUNK #1075 - Detected by Resurs P1 [Sensors: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at 177deg - 1148nm 13/10/2023 12:46:23 - [Hezbollah] Contact: SKUNK #1073 has been positively identified as: DDG 63 Carney [Arleigh Burke Flight I] - Determined as: Hostile (ID by: Resurs P1 [Sensor: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at Estimated 1121 nm) 13/10/2023 12:46:23 - [Hezbollah] Contact: SKUNK #1071 has been positively identified as: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] - Determined as: Hostile (ID by: Resurs P1 [Sensor: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at Estimated 1125 nm) 13/10/2023 12:46:23 - [Hezbollah] Contact: SKUNK #1070 has been positively identified as: CVN 78 Gerald R. Ford - Determined as: Hostile (ID by: Resurs P1 [Sensor: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at Estimated 1125 nm) 13/10/2023 12:46:23 - [Hezbollah] Contact: SKUNK #1072 has been positively identified as: DDG 61 Ramage [Arleigh Burke Flight I] - Determined as: Hostile (ID by: Resurs P1 [Sensor: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at Estimated 1125 nm) 13/10/2023 12:46:23 - [Hezbollah] Contact: SKUNK #1074 has been positively identified as: DDG 80 Roosevelt [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA] - Determined as: Hostile (ID by: Resurs P1 [Sensor: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at Estimated 1129 nm) 13/10/2023 12:46:23 - [Hezbollah] Contact: SKUNK #1075 has been positively identified as: CG 60 Normandy [Ticonderoga Baseline 3, VLS] - Determined as: Hostile (ID by: Resurs P1 [Sensor: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at Estimated 1124 nm) 13/10/2023 12:47:23 - [USA] Contact: BOGEY #24 has been classified as: Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] - Determined as: Unfriendly (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: AN/SPY-1D(V) MFR [ABM Mod]] [NCTR mode] at 56.9 nm) 13/10/2023 12:47:23 - [USA] Contact: BOGEY #26 has been classified as: Shahed-161 UAV - Determined as: Unfriendly (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: AN/SPY-1D(V) MFR [ABM Mod]] [NCTR mode] at 34.9 nm) 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3507 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 70deg - 95.2nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3508 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 69deg - 96.4nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3509 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 70deg - 95.6nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3510 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 69deg - 96.8nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3511 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 69deg - 96.1nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3512 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 69deg - 96.4nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3513 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 70deg - 97.1nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3514 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 69deg - 98nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3515 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 70deg - 97.2nm 13/10/2023 12:48:12 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3576 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 68deg - 91nm 13/10/2023 12:48:12 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3577 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 69deg - 89.9nm 13/10/2023 12:48:12 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3578 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 69deg - 90.7nm 13/10/2023 12:48:13 - Side 'Hezbollah' is now considered HOSTILE to USA 13/10/2023 12:48:13 - [USA] Contact: Shahed-161 UAV #26 has been manually marked as hostile! 13/10/2023 12:48:20 - [USA] Contact: BOGEY #22 has been manually marked as hostile! 13/10/2023 12:48:55 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SAM #1238 - Detected by Shahed-161 UAV [Sensors: Generic IRST] at 266deg - 10nm 13/10/2023 12:48:59 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SAM #1243 - Detected by Shahed-161 UAV [Sensors: Generic IRST] at 266deg - 8.6nm 13/10/2023 12:49:00 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SAM #1245 - Detected by Shahed-161 UAV [Sensors: Generic IRST] at 234deg - 13.3nm 13/10/2023 12:49:17 - Weapon: RIM-174A ERAM SM-6 Blk IA #40 is attacking Shahed-161 UAV with a base PH of 90%. PH adjusted for weapon speed: 36% (pure-aerodynamic attitude control). Intercept angle is 304 deg - hit probability adjusted to 25%.Final PH: 25%. Result: 30 - MISS 13/10/2023 12:49:17 - [Hezbollah] Hezbollah :Contact SAM #1238 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:49:25 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SAM #1271 - Detected by Shahed-161 UAV [Sensors: Generic IRST] at 248deg - 13.1nm 13/10/2023 12:49:34 - Weapon: RIM-174A ERAM SM-6 Blk IB #41 is attacking Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] with a base PH of 90%. Intercept angle is 51 deg - hit probability adjusted to 65%.Final PH: 65%. Result: 12 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:49:34 - [Hezbollah] Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] has suffered weapon damage: 89.9 DPs 13/10/2023 12:49:34 - [Hezbollah] Hezbollah :Contact SAM #1271 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:49:34 - [Hezbollah] Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] has been destroyed! 13/10/2023 12:49:34 - [USA] Contact Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] #23 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:49:39 - Weapon: RIM-174A ERAM SM-6 Blk IB #42 is attacking Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] with a base PH of 90%. Intercept angle is 313 deg - hit probability adjusted to 66%.Final PH: 66%. Result: 11 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:49:39 - [Hezbollah] Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] has suffered weapon damage: 89.9 DPs 13/10/2023 12:49:39 - [Hezbollah] Hezbollah :Contact SAM #1243 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:49:39 - [Hezbollah] Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] has been destroyed! 13/10/2023 12:49:39 - [USA] Contact Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] #24 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:49:43 - Weapon: RIM-174A ERAM SM-6 Blk IB #43 is attacking Shahed-161 UAV with a base PH of 90%. Intercept angle is 65 deg - hit probability adjusted to 57%.Final PH: 57%. Result: 11 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:49:43 - [Hezbollah] Shahed-161 UAV has suffered weapon damage: 89.9 DPs 13/10/2023 12:49:43 - [Hezbollah] Hezbollah :Contact SAM #1245 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:49:43 - [Hezbollah] Shahed-161 UAV has been destroyed! 13/10/2023 12:49:43 - [USA] Contact Shahed-161 UAV #25 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:49:54 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SAM #1301 - Detected by Shahed-161 UAV [Sensors: Generic IRST] at 258deg - 10.5nm 13/10/2023 12:50:10 - Weapon: RIM-174A ERAM SM-6 Blk IA #44 is attacking Shahed-161 UAV with a base PH of 90%. PH adjusted for weapon speed: 83% (pure-aerodynamic attitude control). Target signature modifier: -5% (Director [Active Radar Seeker] has tech-gen: Late 2010s). Intercept angle is 316 deg - hit probability adjusted to 59%.Final PH: 59%. Result: 42 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:50:10 - [Hezbollah] Shahed-161 UAV has suffered weapon damage: 89 DPs 13/10/2023 12:50:10 - [Hezbollah] Hezbollah :Contact SAM #1301 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:50:10 - [Hezbollah] Shahed-161 UAV has been destroyed! 13/10/2023 12:50:10 - [USA] Contact Shahed-161 UAV #26 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:51:58 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3507 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:51:59 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3508 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 13.9 nm) 13/10/2023 12:51:59 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3509 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:51:59 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3511 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:00 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3510 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 13.9 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:00 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3512 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:04 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3513 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:04 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3577 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:05 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3514 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 13.9 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:05 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3515 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:06 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3576 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 13.9 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:06 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3578 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:08 - Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #45 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #28 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 357 deg - hit probability adjusted to 79%.Final PH: 79%. Result: 34 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:08 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3507 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:09 - Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #46 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #29 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 358 deg - hit probability adjusted to 79%.Final PH: 79%. Result: 31 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:09 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3508 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:11 - Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #49 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #32 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 358 deg - hit probability adjusted to 79%.Final PH: 79%. Result: 36 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:11 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3511 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:11 - Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #52 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #31 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 355 deg - hit probability adjusted to 78%.Final PH: 78%. Result: 9 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:11 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #57 has been redirected to new target: GuidedWeapon #3515 13/10/2023 12:52:11 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3510 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:12 - Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #50 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #30 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 356 deg - hit probability adjusted to 78%.Final PH: 78%. Result: 25 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:12 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3509 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:12 - Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #55 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #33 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 355 deg - hit probability adjusted to 78%.Final PH: 78%. Result: 20 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:12 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #59 has been redirected to new target: GuidedWeapon #3576 13/10/2023 12:52:12 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3512 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:13 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #47 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:14 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #48 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:15 - Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #57 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #36 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 0 deg - hit probability adjusted to 80%.Final PH: 80%. Result: 71 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:15 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3515 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #60 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #34 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 360 deg - hit probability adjusted to 80%.Final PH: 80%. Result: 49 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #65 has no eligible alternative target to be redirected to... 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3513 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #51 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #54 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #58 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #59 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #38 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 357 deg - hit probability adjusted to 78%.Final PH: 78%. Result: 75 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3576 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #63 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #38 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 359 deg - hit probability adjusted to 79%.Final PH: 79%. Result: 57 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #70 has been redirected to new target: GuidedWeapon #3514 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3577 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:17 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #53 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:17 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #65 has no eligible alternative target to be redirected to... 13/10/2023 12:52:17 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #56 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:17 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #61 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:18 - Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #70 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #35 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 358 deg - hit probability adjusted to 79%.Final PH: 79%. Result: 63 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:18 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3514 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:18 - Weapon: RIM-174A ERAM SM-6 Blk IA #73 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #39 with a base PH of 90%. Intercept angle is 355 deg - hit probability adjusted to 88%.Final PH: 88%. Result: 34 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:18 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3578 has been lost.

C Schmitz

47,464 次观看 • 2 年前

//The Wire//2300Z March 26, 2025// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: STRATEGIC AMERICAN BOMBERS STAGE AT DIEGO GARCIA. FALLOUT FROM GROUP CHAT SCANDAL CONTINUES.// -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -International Events- Indian Ocean: Aviation watchers have noted a significant buildup of military aircraft at Diego Garcia. Several B2 bombers have forward deployed to the infamous island, along with almost a dozen KC-135R Stratotankers and other transport aircraft. AC: This morning, a Notice-to-Airmen (NOTAM) was issued for Diego Garcia announcing ramp parking spot closures for the runway, indicating preparations to stage large numbers of military aircraft. This NOTAM is active until May 1, 2025. Lithuania: Four American service members were found deceased after a training accident this morning. Initial reporting indicates that an M88 recovery vehicle drove/overturned into a lake during a routine training exercise. The soldiers were assigned to 1st Brigade, 3ID. -HomeFront- Washington D.C. - Fallout from the Atlantic scandal continues in a variety of means. Various liberal politicians have called for various resignations due to this scandal, while conservatives have stated that no resignations will occur. As the initial release of screenshots did not achieve the desired effect, The Atlantic released more screenshots of group chat messages. AC: This morning, the activist group American Oversight filed a lawsuit against SECDEF Hegseth for the leak, and the judge assigned to this case has been announced as D.C. District Court Judge James Boasberg, the same judge who is currently at the center of hot controversy for out-of-jurisdiction rulings. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: The events at Diego Garcia are a major indication and warning of an impending large-scale military conflict. Since these aircraft were not entirely covert in their movements, various intelligence services around the world know that this logistical staging is underway. What it's for, is anyone's guess. This could be for an escalation of the conflict in Yemen, or it could be staging for a large scale war with Iran. The use of Diego Garcia as a staging zone implies that the traditional staging sites (Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait, etc) probably do not want to be diplomatically involved in what is about to take place. The remote location of Diego Garcia (which is also not located in an Islamic nation) provides the added benefit of being out of range of most of Iran's weapons, and thus a vastly more secure site for the staging of strategic bombers. In short, if the United States were to seek a war with Iran, this is exactly the type of forward-deployment that would take place. Of course, despite the very clear and obvious military staging, a single phone call can result in all of these aircraft heading home without firing a shot. From the voyage of the Great White Fleet, to flying B-52's low and slow over various countries over the years, American history is full of examples of American power projection via the movement of very big weapons. However, using the information we have at the moment, the forward-deployment of national-level strategic assets indicates staging for a military campaign. Regarding the group chat scandal, now that we have a closer look at more screenshots provided by The Atlantic, a lot more information of questionable classification level has come to light. Even though the newly-posted screenshots are not the smoking-gun The Atlantic claims, if this information was not a deliberate plant, it would indeed have been a serious violation of Operational Security (OPSEC). Really the only communication that was a serious breach of OPSEC came from the SECDEF, who announced that the targeting missions against the Houthis in Yemen were a "GO", and detailed the number of strikes and estimated Time-on-Target. However, when determining the classification level of information, the source itself would dictate this. For instance, the SECDEF did not create this information himself, this was paraphrased from a slide deck or a briefing he was sent through proper channels. If an investigation were to be conducted, the classification of the information in that document would be the true source for whether or not Hegseth's comments were classified in any way. But therein lies the problem, he very likely paraphrased, and didn't copy directly from a classified intelligence product. It is this paraphrasing that gets into muddy waters really quickly, and highlights long-standing issues in government. When it comes to the higher levels of government organization, OPSEC is a nightmare under the best of conditions; regardless of party affiliation, anytime a politician gets their hands on any classified information one can rest assured that it will be held under the most lax security conditions possible. This does not excuse the behavior, but it does explain it. Similar story with the use of the Signal app in the first place; historically, this has very obviously not been an authorized form of communication. However it's been used for many years unofficially by staffers all over Washington (along with WhatsApp, before the security concerns prompted the general shift to Signal a few years ago). This morning DNI Tulsi Gabbard somewhat perplexingly confirmed that the Signal app is pre-installed on government-issued communications devices. If this is true, this would suggest a very new approach to the handling of official communications. Smartphones with access to classified information systems have existed for many years (such as the DMCC-S phones), but are highly compartmentalized and controlled, and do not usually have third party apps or app stores installed. However, if the DNI's testimony is to be believed, and the use of Signal itself was somehow authorized, the scandal then shifts to how an unauthorized person obtained access (since this clearly confirms that these communications were not compartmentalized in accordance with long-standing regulations). More generally, the use of Signal is mostly a byproduct of fast-paced comms being needed between high-ranking officials that are also convenient to use, even if they aren't as secure or official. This is also complicated by the fact that almost all politicians do not understand the concept of what's called Aggregation in the world of intelligence work. In short, a single detail can be unclassified...but if you get enough unclassified information together in the same report, this can add up to being a classified report. As Hegseth stated in response to the leak "No names. No targets. No locations. No units. No routes. No sources. No methods." were stated in the group chat. However, all of this data could have been easily discerned from other sources, in conjunction with what was provided. Notably, Mr. Hegseth left out the Time-on-Target information, which is almost certainly classified SECRET or higher, based on CENTCOM's own Classification Guide. If this group chat is indeed genuine, ignorance of the concept of Aggregation was probably the best explanation for what happened. Various officials "sanitizing" their remarks thinking that they are unclassified, but when put into the context of the larger conversation, their remarks should have been made by other means. This happens all the time, and is why the age-old spy tradecraft tactic of nationstates monitoring American Congressional hearings is still probably a wealth of information...all it takes is a Congressman getting a bit carried away and suddenly sensitive information is being alluded to, implied, or in some cases, stated openly. This has been the culture of Washington for a long time, but this is something that is really only accepted at the higher levels of organization. Once again, it doesn't make it right, but this is the reality of the way that classified information is handled by politicians; if any junior soldier had posted attack timeline details in a group chat, they would have been punished severely for this OPSEC breach, and their future career destroyed. If it were a low-ranking service member, the question of "is this classified?" would default to an answer of "yes, at bare minimum SECRET". When a politician is involved however, the answer defaults to a slap-on-the-wrist, at most. This is simply the reality of how things work. The official White House response has also shifted to denial, with the Press Secretary calling the event a "hoax". However, this statement is in opposition to the statements by other officials, such as the Vice President and SECDEF themselves. Both have not denied that the group chat was real, and both have spoken about the incident in terms of accepting that the chat is real, but also denying that anything damning was said (which is very obviously not true if a targeting timeline was posted). One possibility that must be considered is that these messages (or even the entire group chat itself) could have been run primarily by low-level staffers instead of the public figures themselves. In other words, it might not have actually been the SECDEF himself communicating the probably classified information, but a staffer instead. Historically speaking, it wouldn't be the first time that a staffer got their boss in trouble. However in this specific case, this is a hard argument to make. It's hard to believe that a low-level staffer would be posting targeting timetables in this manner. The sheepish responses by those implicated in the scandal also indicates that they were the ones behind the messages, especially since many words have been spoken on this scandal...none of which have been a flat-out denial of the identities of those involved. At this point, what the exact truth is will be impossible to verify with a high level of confidence. The whole affair could be fabricated from the ground up by the Atlantic, though this is unlikely based on the statements by those who were in the group chat. The group chat is almost certainly real, and the messages were probably sent by those as alleged. If the more controversial information was indeed taken from a classified briefing product, paraphrased, and posted in the group chat, this paraphrasing does not change the original classification of the intelligence product. The real question that remains is whether or not this was a deliberate deception attempt, or a deliberate leak of some kind. Whatever the truth is, it's unlikely to matter much in the long run, as this whole scandal has already turned into a political issue rather than the objective investigation and learning opportunity it should be. Also, the Secretary of Defense is an Original Classification Authority (OCA) per long standing mandate, so even if Hegseth (and others) did disclose classified information, he has the authority to retroactively declassify that information himself, at will. Analyst: S2A1 Research: //END REPORT//

//The Wire//2300Z March 26, 2025// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: STRATEGIC AMERICAN BOMBERS STAGE AT DIEGO GARCIA. FALLOUT FROM GROUP CHAT SCANDAL CONTINUES.// -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -International Events- Indian Ocean: Aviation watchers have noted a significant buildup of military aircraft at Diego Garcia. Several B2 bombers have forward deployed to the infamous island, along with almost a dozen KC-135R Stratotankers and other transport aircraft. AC: This morning, a Notice-to-Airmen (NOTAM) was issued for Diego Garcia announcing ramp parking spot closures for the runway, indicating preparations to stage large numbers of military aircraft. This NOTAM is active until May 1, 2025. Lithuania: Four American service members were found deceased after a training accident this morning. Initial reporting indicates that an M88 recovery vehicle drove/overturned into a lake during a routine training exercise. The soldiers were assigned to 1st Brigade, 3ID. -HomeFront- Washington D.C. - Fallout from the Atlantic scandal continues in a variety of means. Various liberal politicians have called for various resignations due to this scandal, while conservatives have stated that no resignations will occur. As the initial release of screenshots did not achieve the desired effect, The Atlantic released more screenshots of group chat messages. AC: This morning, the activist group American Oversight filed a lawsuit against SECDEF Hegseth for the leak, and the judge assigned to this case has been announced as D.C. District Court Judge James Boasberg, the same judge who is currently at the center of hot controversy for out-of-jurisdiction rulings. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: The events at Diego Garcia are a major indication and warning of an impending large-scale military conflict. Since these aircraft were not entirely covert in their movements, various intelligence services around the world know that this logistical staging is underway. What it's for, is anyone's guess. This could be for an escalation of the conflict in Yemen, or it could be staging for a large scale war with Iran. The use of Diego Garcia as a staging zone implies that the traditional staging sites (Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait, etc) probably do not want to be diplomatically involved in what is about to take place. The remote location of Diego Garcia (which is also not located in an Islamic nation) provides the added benefit of being out of range of most of Iran's weapons, and thus a vastly more secure site for the staging of strategic bombers. In short, if the United States were to seek a war with Iran, this is exactly the type of forward-deployment that would take place. Of course, despite the very clear and obvious military staging, a single phone call can result in all of these aircraft heading home without firing a shot. From the voyage of the Great White Fleet, to flying B-52's low and slow over various countries over the years, American history is full of examples of American power projection via the movement of very big weapons. However, using the information we have at the moment, the forward-deployment of national-level strategic assets indicates staging for a military campaign. Regarding the group chat scandal, now that we have a closer look at more screenshots provided by The Atlantic, a lot more information of questionable classification level has come to light. Even though the newly-posted screenshots are not the smoking-gun The Atlantic claims, if this information was not a deliberate plant, it would indeed have been a serious violation of Operational Security (OPSEC). Really the only communication that was a serious breach of OPSEC came from the SECDEF, who announced that the targeting missions against the Houthis in Yemen were a "GO", and detailed the number of strikes and estimated Time-on-Target. However, when determining the classification level of information, the source itself would dictate this. For instance, the SECDEF did not create this information himself, this was paraphrased from a slide deck or a briefing he was sent through proper channels. If an investigation were to be conducted, the classification of the information in that document would be the true source for whether or not Hegseth's comments were classified in any way. But therein lies the problem, he very likely paraphrased, and didn't copy directly from a classified intelligence product. It is this paraphrasing that gets into muddy waters really quickly, and highlights long-standing issues in government. When it comes to the higher levels of government organization, OPSEC is a nightmare under the best of conditions; regardless of party affiliation, anytime a politician gets their hands on any classified information one can rest assured that it will be held under the most lax security conditions possible. This does not excuse the behavior, but it does explain it. Similar story with the use of the Signal app in the first place; historically, this has very obviously not been an authorized form of communication. However it's been used for many years unofficially by staffers all over Washington (along with WhatsApp, before the security concerns prompted the general shift to Signal a few years ago). This morning DNI Tulsi Gabbard somewhat perplexingly confirmed that the Signal app is pre-installed on government-issued communications devices. If this is true, this would suggest a very new approach to the handling of official communications. Smartphones with access to classified information systems have existed for many years (such as the DMCC-S phones), but are highly compartmentalized and controlled, and do not usually have third party apps or app stores installed. However, if the DNI's testimony is to be believed, and the use of Signal itself was somehow authorized, the scandal then shifts to how an unauthorized person obtained access (since this clearly confirms that these communications were not compartmentalized in accordance with long-standing regulations). More generally, the use of Signal is mostly a byproduct of fast-paced comms being needed between high-ranking officials that are also convenient to use, even if they aren't as secure or official. This is also complicated by the fact that almost all politicians do not understand the concept of what's called Aggregation in the world of intelligence work. In short, a single detail can be unclassified...but if you get enough unclassified information together in the same report, this can add up to being a classified report. As Hegseth stated in response to the leak "No names. No targets. No locations. No units. No routes. No sources. No methods." were stated in the group chat. However, all of this data could have been easily discerned from other sources, in conjunction with what was provided. Notably, Mr. Hegseth left out the Time-on-Target information, which is almost certainly classified SECRET or higher, based on CENTCOM's own Classification Guide. If this group chat is indeed genuine, ignorance of the concept of Aggregation was probably the best explanation for what happened. Various officials "sanitizing" their remarks thinking that they are unclassified, but when put into the context of the larger conversation, their remarks should have been made by other means. This happens all the time, and is why the age-old spy tradecraft tactic of nationstates monitoring American Congressional hearings is still probably a wealth of information...all it takes is a Congressman getting a bit carried away and suddenly sensitive information is being alluded to, implied, or in some cases, stated openly. This has been the culture of Washington for a long time, but this is something that is really only accepted at the higher levels of organization. Once again, it doesn't make it right, but this is the reality of the way that classified information is handled by politicians; if any junior soldier had posted attack timeline details in a group chat, they would have been punished severely for this OPSEC breach, and their future career destroyed. If it were a low-ranking service member, the question of "is this classified?" would default to an answer of "yes, at bare minimum SECRET". When a politician is involved however, the answer defaults to a slap-on-the-wrist, at most. This is simply the reality of how things work. The official White House response has also shifted to denial, with the Press Secretary calling the event a "hoax". However, this statement is in opposition to the statements by other officials, such as the Vice President and SECDEF themselves. Both have not denied that the group chat was real, and both have spoken about the incident in terms of accepting that the chat is real, but also denying that anything damning was said (which is very obviously not true if a targeting timeline was posted). One possibility that must be considered is that these messages (or even the entire group chat itself) could have been run primarily by low-level staffers instead of the public figures themselves. In other words, it might not have actually been the SECDEF himself communicating the probably classified information, but a staffer instead. Historically speaking, it wouldn't be the first time that a staffer got their boss in trouble. However in this specific case, this is a hard argument to make. It's hard to believe that a low-level staffer would be posting targeting timetables in this manner. The sheepish responses by those implicated in the scandal also indicates that they were the ones behind the messages, especially since many words have been spoken on this scandal...none of which have been a flat-out denial of the identities of those involved. At this point, what the exact truth is will be impossible to verify with a high level of confidence. The whole affair could be fabricated from the ground up by the Atlantic, though this is unlikely based on the statements by those who were in the group chat. The group chat is almost certainly real, and the messages were probably sent by those as alleged. If the more controversial information was indeed taken from a classified briefing product, paraphrased, and posted in the group chat, this paraphrasing does not change the original classification of the intelligence product. The real question that remains is whether or not this was a deliberate deception attempt, or a deliberate leak of some kind. Whatever the truth is, it's unlikely to matter much in the long run, as this whole scandal has already turned into a political issue rather than the objective investigation and learning opportunity it should be. Also, the Secretary of Defense is an Original Classification Authority (OCA) per long standing mandate, so even if Hegseth (and others) did disclose classified information, he has the authority to retroactively declassify that information himself, at will. Analyst: S2A1 Research: //END REPORT//

S2 Underground

10,527 次观看 • 1 年前

When Elon Musk beams in virtually for a high-stakes fireside chat with JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon, the conversation goes completely out of this world. The discussion was packed with massive milestones—from the bombshell that SpaceX is going public to plans for lunar AI data centers and the urgent need for the Terafab chip revolution. Here is the ultimate breakdown of their discussion: 💵 SpaceX has been self-funding and cash-flow positive for a decade Before the decision to go public, SpaceX didn't actually need to raise money to survive. The company has been cash-flow positive since around 2014–2015, meaning its private equity rounds were exclusively held to provide liquidity for employees and early investors. "We've been positive cash flow for quite a long time, I think, since around 2014-2015. And we've been self-funding. In fact, in our sort of private equity rounds, they actually have not been fundraising rounds. They've been liquidity rounds for investors and employees because we give everyone at the company stock." 🚀 The upcoming capital growth phase requires massive funding The primary trigger for going public now is an unprecedented capital expenditure phase. SpaceX is preparing to deploy an immense constellation of over 100,000 Next-Gen communication satellites and construct massive AI data centers in orbit. "we are embarking on a significant capital growth phase where we're going to put in over probably 100,000 satellites, probably over 100,000 satellites, just for communications... And then we're also doing the AI data centers in space, which is another massive capital endeavor." 📡 Starlink V3 introduces a massive bandwidth breakthrough The custom chips designed by SpaceX for the V3 satellites will completely alter global communications, offering 100 times the bandwidth of the current system and slashing latency in half by operating at a lower altitude. They are so large—the size of a small bus—that Starship is the only rocket on Earth capable of launching them, carrying 50 at a time. "The version three is, depending on how you count it, 10 to 20 times more capable than the version two satellite. And there were three chips that the SpaceX chip design team taped out that are specific to this... Which means it's 100 times more bandwidth than the SpaceX's Starlink system currently on the surface. And also half the latency because the altitude will be about half altitude." 🤖 AI and robots possess an insatiable appetite for data Musk points out that expanding infrastructure into space is vital because future AI and robotic systems will demand an astronomical amount of bandwidth compared to the relatively low data transmission rates of human beings. "And the future with AI and robots is actually going to require a lot more bandwidth than we currently use. Because you can imagine like what's the bandwidth of a human? Peak bandwidth of the human is a few hundred bits per second. But bandwidth of a computer can be a trillion bits a second. So the appetite for bandwidth of AI and robots is going to be enormous." ☀️ Space solves the looming terrestrial power plant crisis Building traditional power plants on Earth faces heavy community resistance. Moving data centers into space unlocks unlimited energy generation via solar power ("star power") without disrupting Earth's environment, tapping into an energy source that accounts for 99.8% of the solar system's mass. "It's increasingly difficult to build power plants on the ground. There are very few people who want a power plant in their backyard... But actually if we go to space, we can go far beyond the electricity generation of both. In fact, this is going to sound kind of crazy. But you could actually increase human energy by a factor of a million and still be using much less than a millionth of the sun's energy." 🌕 The Moon is a 1,000-Terawatt compute launchpad While Mars remains the long-term goal, the Moon is the immediate fast-track location for massive scaling. Because it lacks an atmosphere and has low gravity, SpaceX can use electromagnetic rail guns to shoot AI data centers into deep space from the lunar surface, scaling power to an incredible 1,000 terawatts per year. "I just think that we can build a self-sustaining city on the moon faster than we could do so on Mars. And there's also the potential... you can use an electromagnetic accelerator, a rail gun or mass driver. Basically, you don't need to use rockets to do AI data centers into deep space from the moon... We can do a thousand terawatts or more from the moon." 🪐 Mars is the ultimate "fixer-upper" planet Mars is being targeted as a full-scale terraforming project. Due to its atmosphere and gravity levels, warming up the planet could eventually unlock liquid oceans and allow humans to walk around without spacesuits. "And if you warm up Mars, you could one day make Mars like Earth. And with like liquid oceans and life. And where you could walk outside without a spacesuit type of thing. So Mars is, I call Mars a fixer upper of a planet. But it's got a lot of potential." 🚂 SpaceX is the modern-day Union Pacific Railroad Musk rejects the idea that SpaceX is moving into the hospitality or hotel business for space tourism. Instead, he views the company as a foundational infrastructure provider, comparable to the historic railroads that opened up the American West. "We're kind of like Union Pacific, you know. You know, when they built Union Pacific back in the day, people thought they were crazy. Because like, why are you trying to carry all this cargo and people to California? No one's there. But now California is the biggest state in the country." ♻️ Starship's core disruption is 100% reusability The true holy grail of Starship is full reusability, which drops orbit access costs down to the mere price of fuel. Because it utilizes ultra-cheap liquid oxygen and methane, shipping cargo to space will become more economical than flying cargo across Earth's oceans on an airplane. "The fundamental breakthrough of Starship is that it will be the first orbital rocket that is fully reusable... And the propellant we use for Starship is liquid oxygen and liquid methane, which is the cheapest propellant you could possibly get... which means that you should be able to actually send cargo to space for less than the cost of cargo on an airplane going on a trans-oceanic trip." 🔄 Starship V4 targets hourly launch cadences SpaceX's engineering pipeline is aiming for staggering operational frequencies and massive payloads. While Starship V3 targets 100 tons to orbit, the upcoming V4 variant is designed to carry over 200 tons and launch on an hourly schedule. "Because Starship V3 is aiming to do 100 tons to orbit with full reusability. And then Starship V4 we're aiming for over 200 tons per mission. And then being able to launch every hour." ☁️ Orbital data centers are entirely weather-proof Space-based AI data centers are highly practical because they are simpler to construct than communication satellites. Data is beamed via lasers between satellites, and then beamed to the ground using cloud-penetrating radio frequencies that completely bypass bad weather. "The AI data center would be much simpler by comparison. Because it's really just solar power plus radiator... The connection would happen no matter what the weather is. Because once you connect via the lasers to the Starlink communication constellation, the Starlink communication to the ground uses frequencies that are cloud penetrating." 🇺🇸 The U.S. faces a catastrophic "Zero Memory Fab" crisis A major vulnerability in domestic tech infrastructure is that the U.S. currently manufactures zero high-volume computer memory chips. Even with new facilities arriving online between 2028 and 2030, domestic supply will not match the exponential requirements of AI, which is why Musk is aggressively building the Terafab. "there's not a single high volume computer memory fab in America right now. Zero. There's one being built in Idaho by Micron. But that will not reach volume production until I believe 2028. And there's something being built in New York, but they are in, I think, 29 and 30. And this is a tiny fraction of the memory that's needed... That's why we need to do the Terafab." 🧠 SpaceX will offer proprietary AI chips and software While the orbital data center network will remain an open marketplace capable of running third-party hardware like NVIDIA GPUs, Google TPUs, or Amazon Trainium, SpaceX plans to deploy its own in-house AI chips and software stack in the near future. "So if NVIDIA GPUs can be put on it, Google TPUs can be put on it, Amazon Trainium or any other chips that you want to put on, can be put on. We'll also offer our chips in the future and I think we also want to offer our software, our AI software as well in the future." 🛡️ Starshield handles critical national intelligence Musk emphasizes his deeply pro-American stance, highlighting SpaceX's specialized Starshield division as a crucial backbone for the U.S. military and national intelligence agencies. "We have a division called Starshield which provides military communications. And you know, there's some other stuff that's kind of classified, I guess. We can't be talking about that. But we are helping the Department of War and intelligence part of the government. We're a vital element of that." 👥 Executive retention fuels the mission The core leadership bench at SpaceX is defined by extreme longevity, driven by a deep collective belief in turning science fiction into reality. Top executives like Gwynne Shotwell have remained with Musk for over two decades. "I guess Gwynne was, I think, around the seventh person to join the company. And that was 2002. It's just went to like 24 years. And generally the senior executives at the company, you have a very long tenure. I think Brent Johnson's been, you see, over 15 years... because people really believe in the mission, I think they want to stay and they want to keep building it." ❤️ Character overrides IQ in leadership Reflecting on how he has evolved over 20 years, Musk notes that he has become significantly more laid back. He has also learned that a candidate's moral character and heart are just as vital to a company's success as raw intellectual horsepower. "Well, I think I'm probably more chill than I used to be... And one of the things I've found over time... is that like in terms of like recruiting people to the company and having people work with the company, like their individual abilities and their intellectual capabilities matter a lot, but it also matters if they have a good heart. It's not just about whether somebody has a certain IQ or whatever, but just are they like a good person, that matters a lot."

When Elon Musk beams in virtually for a high-stakes fireside chat with JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon, the conversation goes completely out of this world. The discussion was packed with massive milestones—from the bombshell that SpaceX is going public to plans for lunar AI data centers and the urgent need for the Terafab chip revolution. Here is the ultimate breakdown of their discussion: 💵 SpaceX has been self-funding and cash-flow positive for a decade Before the decision to go public, SpaceX didn't actually need to raise money to survive. The company has been cash-flow positive since around 2014–2015, meaning its private equity rounds were exclusively held to provide liquidity for employees and early investors. "We've been positive cash flow for quite a long time, I think, since around 2014-2015. And we've been self-funding. In fact, in our sort of private equity rounds, they actually have not been fundraising rounds. They've been liquidity rounds for investors and employees because we give everyone at the company stock." 🚀 The upcoming capital growth phase requires massive funding The primary trigger for going public now is an unprecedented capital expenditure phase. SpaceX is preparing to deploy an immense constellation of over 100,000 Next-Gen communication satellites and construct massive AI data centers in orbit. "we are embarking on a significant capital growth phase where we're going to put in over probably 100,000 satellites, probably over 100,000 satellites, just for communications... And then we're also doing the AI data centers in space, which is another massive capital endeavor." 📡 Starlink V3 introduces a massive bandwidth breakthrough The custom chips designed by SpaceX for the V3 satellites will completely alter global communications, offering 100 times the bandwidth of the current system and slashing latency in half by operating at a lower altitude. They are so large—the size of a small bus—that Starship is the only rocket on Earth capable of launching them, carrying 50 at a time. "The version three is, depending on how you count it, 10 to 20 times more capable than the version two satellite. And there were three chips that the SpaceX chip design team taped out that are specific to this... Which means it's 100 times more bandwidth than the SpaceX's Starlink system currently on the surface. And also half the latency because the altitude will be about half altitude." 🤖 AI and robots possess an insatiable appetite for data Musk points out that expanding infrastructure into space is vital because future AI and robotic systems will demand an astronomical amount of bandwidth compared to the relatively low data transmission rates of human beings. "And the future with AI and robots is actually going to require a lot more bandwidth than we currently use. Because you can imagine like what's the bandwidth of a human? Peak bandwidth of the human is a few hundred bits per second. But bandwidth of a computer can be a trillion bits a second. So the appetite for bandwidth of AI and robots is going to be enormous." ☀️ Space solves the looming terrestrial power plant crisis Building traditional power plants on Earth faces heavy community resistance. Moving data centers into space unlocks unlimited energy generation via solar power ("star power") without disrupting Earth's environment, tapping into an energy source that accounts for 99.8% of the solar system's mass. "It's increasingly difficult to build power plants on the ground. There are very few people who want a power plant in their backyard... But actually if we go to space, we can go far beyond the electricity generation of both. In fact, this is going to sound kind of crazy. But you could actually increase human energy by a factor of a million and still be using much less than a millionth of the sun's energy." 🌕 The Moon is a 1,000-Terawatt compute launchpad While Mars remains the long-term goal, the Moon is the immediate fast-track location for massive scaling. Because it lacks an atmosphere and has low gravity, SpaceX can use electromagnetic rail guns to shoot AI data centers into deep space from the lunar surface, scaling power to an incredible 1,000 terawatts per year. "I just think that we can build a self-sustaining city on the moon faster than we could do so on Mars. And there's also the potential... you can use an electromagnetic accelerator, a rail gun or mass driver. Basically, you don't need to use rockets to do AI data centers into deep space from the moon... We can do a thousand terawatts or more from the moon." 🪐 Mars is the ultimate "fixer-upper" planet Mars is being targeted as a full-scale terraforming project. Due to its atmosphere and gravity levels, warming up the planet could eventually unlock liquid oceans and allow humans to walk around without spacesuits. "And if you warm up Mars, you could one day make Mars like Earth. And with like liquid oceans and life. And where you could walk outside without a spacesuit type of thing. So Mars is, I call Mars a fixer upper of a planet. But it's got a lot of potential." 🚂 SpaceX is the modern-day Union Pacific Railroad Musk rejects the idea that SpaceX is moving into the hospitality or hotel business for space tourism. Instead, he views the company as a foundational infrastructure provider, comparable to the historic railroads that opened up the American West. "We're kind of like Union Pacific, you know. You know, when they built Union Pacific back in the day, people thought they were crazy. Because like, why are you trying to carry all this cargo and people to California? No one's there. But now California is the biggest state in the country." ♻️ Starship's core disruption is 100% reusability The true holy grail of Starship is full reusability, which drops orbit access costs down to the mere price of fuel. Because it utilizes ultra-cheap liquid oxygen and methane, shipping cargo to space will become more economical than flying cargo across Earth's oceans on an airplane. "The fundamental breakthrough of Starship is that it will be the first orbital rocket that is fully reusable... And the propellant we use for Starship is liquid oxygen and liquid methane, which is the cheapest propellant you could possibly get... which means that you should be able to actually send cargo to space for less than the cost of cargo on an airplane going on a trans-oceanic trip." 🔄 Starship V4 targets hourly launch cadences SpaceX's engineering pipeline is aiming for staggering operational frequencies and massive payloads. While Starship V3 targets 100 tons to orbit, the upcoming V4 variant is designed to carry over 200 tons and launch on an hourly schedule. "Because Starship V3 is aiming to do 100 tons to orbit with full reusability. And then Starship V4 we're aiming for over 200 tons per mission. And then being able to launch every hour." ☁️ Orbital data centers are entirely weather-proof Space-based AI data centers are highly practical because they are simpler to construct than communication satellites. Data is beamed via lasers between satellites, and then beamed to the ground using cloud-penetrating radio frequencies that completely bypass bad weather. "The AI data center would be much simpler by comparison. Because it's really just solar power plus radiator... The connection would happen no matter what the weather is. Because once you connect via the lasers to the Starlink communication constellation, the Starlink communication to the ground uses frequencies that are cloud penetrating." 🇺🇸 The U.S. faces a catastrophic "Zero Memory Fab" crisis A major vulnerability in domestic tech infrastructure is that the U.S. currently manufactures zero high-volume computer memory chips. Even with new facilities arriving online between 2028 and 2030, domestic supply will not match the exponential requirements of AI, which is why Musk is aggressively building the Terafab. "there's not a single high volume computer memory fab in America right now. Zero. There's one being built in Idaho by Micron. But that will not reach volume production until I believe 2028. And there's something being built in New York, but they are in, I think, 29 and 30. And this is a tiny fraction of the memory that's needed... That's why we need to do the Terafab." 🧠 SpaceX will offer proprietary AI chips and software While the orbital data center network will remain an open marketplace capable of running third-party hardware like NVIDIA GPUs, Google TPUs, or Amazon Trainium, SpaceX plans to deploy its own in-house AI chips and software stack in the near future. "So if NVIDIA GPUs can be put on it, Google TPUs can be put on it, Amazon Trainium or any other chips that you want to put on, can be put on. We'll also offer our chips in the future and I think we also want to offer our software, our AI software as well in the future." 🛡️ Starshield handles critical national intelligence Musk emphasizes his deeply pro-American stance, highlighting SpaceX's specialized Starshield division as a crucial backbone for the U.S. military and national intelligence agencies. "We have a division called Starshield which provides military communications. And you know, there's some other stuff that's kind of classified, I guess. We can't be talking about that. But we are helping the Department of War and intelligence part of the government. We're a vital element of that." 👥 Executive retention fuels the mission The core leadership bench at SpaceX is defined by extreme longevity, driven by a deep collective belief in turning science fiction into reality. Top executives like Gwynne Shotwell have remained with Musk for over two decades. "I guess Gwynne was, I think, around the seventh person to join the company. And that was 2002. It's just went to like 24 years. And generally the senior executives at the company, you have a very long tenure. I think Brent Johnson's been, you see, over 15 years... because people really believe in the mission, I think they want to stay and they want to keep building it." ❤️ Character overrides IQ in leadership Reflecting on how he has evolved over 20 years, Musk notes that he has become significantly more laid back. He has also learned that a candidate's moral character and heart are just as vital to a company's success as raw intellectual horsepower. "Well, I think I'm probably more chill than I used to be... And one of the things I've found over time... is that like in terms of like recruiting people to the company and having people work with the company, like their individual abilities and their intellectual capabilities matter a lot, but it also matters if they have a good heart. It's not just about whether somebody has a certain IQ or whatever, but just are they like a good person, that matters a lot."

Ming

60,910 次观看 • 2 个月前

$Our current timeline began in the 1800s. All modern "inventions" we see today are rehashed versions of what already existed in ancient times, stripped of its sovereignty-producing aspects, and drip-fed back to us in a lower-vibration, monetizeable form for optimal loosh production. (NOTE: The parasites cannot create. They can only subvert, so they wait for the divinely-ensouled humans to use their inherent creative energy to build new, consciousness-increasing technologies, which can then be captured & subverted into consciousness-DECREASING technologies during the next reset cycle. Their ultimate goal is to create the lowest-consciousness living environment possible, in order to squeeze maximum loosh out of that cycle's soul harvest. This is not an easy operation for the parasites to keep running, however, and just like any video game final boss, the top brass has exploitable weaknesses, as (A) the souls in this loosh farm have an extremely strong internal desire to break free from the loop they're imprisoned within, and (B) every reset deployed burns through a huge amount of loosh reserves. Not to mention, the background Black Hat alliances involved in keeping the system running are also a vulnerable house of cards, but that's a whole different conversation for another day.) Bringing us back to the technology-subversion loop we call "innovation"... The clearest example of this process, is all tech around ENERGY. If you've been following my posts for a while, you know that the narrative telling us electricity as we know it was kicked off by the invention of the lightbulb in the late-19th century, is a hilariously-false lie. In reality, that was just one example of the mass-rehashing of subverted ancient tech. Before the 1800s reset, all energy/electricity production & distribution was far more sophisticated than what we have now, and was designed to be FREE and harmonious with Earth's natural electric resonance. Following the last reset, the free energy grid from the previous civilization(s) have been deactivated, dismantled, and stripped from the Tartarian/Old World buildings, most*** aetheric transport has been shitcanned under false flags (ex: the staged Hindenburg "disaster" for airships), the expansive multi-city pneumatic-powered underground transport systems have been completely built over and replaced with trains that pump consciousness-suppressing AC frequencies into its 9-to-5 zombified passengers, etc... ***Some aetheric transport technologies were KEPT, and are still in use today, but have a phony story of fuel-consumption built around them as a means of siphoning financial energy out of passengers. The most glaring example of this is the modern aviation industry. For those who didn't know, modern commercial airliners use practically zero fuel. They only need a tiny bit to get off the ground, then once in the air, switch to free energy mode and run purely on high-altitude aether. Pilots are completely unaware this is happening due to the design of the planes, the construction of which is consolidated into a small group of in-cahoots, parasite-connected companies. (This is a whole rabbit hole on its own that will blow your brains out if you haven't looked into it yet...check out the "Jet Fuel Hoax" playlist on my Rumble channel for the deep-dive) Anyways, to review, all electricity on Earth has been downgraded into a fractured, inefficient Alternating Current (AC) form, which allows the parasitic controllers to (A) charge the human cattle money for it via their meter-based control grid, and (B) keep our cells & pineal glands under a constant state of damaging stress, as AC current (unlike the "cold" form of electricity from the Old World), produces electromagnetic frequencies that are destructive to human biology. As a final mocking touch to this modern energy grid theft & switch, the pylons used to distribute the AC powerlines across the world, are baphomet-shaped. If you thought that was just a coincidence...bless your heart. Zooming back out to the bigger historical picture once again (this has turned into a very scattered rant, bear with me lol)... Earth has been clean-wipe reset and restarted from scratch SEVERAL different times over the last roughly 6,000 years since the 3D holographic overlay was installed. Based on my personal research, I'm leaning toward there being 7 past major resets deployed in total, and we are currently locked in a war to prevent #8. But the debate is ongoing, and I'm fully open to adjusting this estimate. The signs of there definitely being MORE than just 2-3 resets as some believe, are everywhere for those with the eyes to see. Cities-turned-gutted-quarries like the Grand Canyon, petrified giants & chopped-down titan trees in some places, melted buildings in others, mudflood-BURIED buildings in others still, seashells atop mountains proving massive floods that covered the entire realm...I could go on. The reason why history is such a daunting puzzle to solve, is because we aren't just looking at one gradual timeline...we're looking at SEVERAL completely different timelines all piled on top of each other, each containing different civilizations, different destroyed technology remnants, different races (many of which non-human), all meeting different demises, over different centuries/millennia. And if it wasn't obvious by now...ALL of the official history books are useless, as different stories/A.I.-written religious texts are fabricated & mass-distributed as a core part of each reset operation, each with their own fake lore, in order to give each new population iteration a fabricated tale of a gradual ascension/family tree preceding them (as well as fake gods to keep them on their knees praying for an external savior), which ultimately is to prevent each new crop of human-vesseled souls from understanding the reality of the reset-looping world they just spawned into. (Search my posts on the 1800s "Orphan Trains" for more on the most recent example of this process being conducted at scale). To summarize all of this in the most blunt way possible, it appears as if whoever (or whatever) is managing the Earth realm, is haphazardly pressing different buttons on a video game controller every few hundred years, shooting off all sorts of different types of cataclysms left and right, in what can be broadly categorized as a "Sims"-like simulation environment. I know all of this is a very dark, jarring realization once the dots start connecting in your brain...but it's important to remember that there is no reason to despair, as CYCLES ARE MEANT TO BE BROKEN, and just because this one has been going for an extremely long time in human-lifetime terms...does NOT mean it's unstoppable. To the contrary, actually. We are NOT powerless pawns in this process, but active participants in it, primarily due to lack of education, and the repeated falling into the same parasite-laid traps that prevent us from awakening to our true potential, rising up, and blowing the whole game to smithereens. There are many threads pointing toward a huge shift happening behind the scenes as we speak, which is actively crippling the most critical power structures that were provably involved in at least the most recent 1800s reset, if not ALL of them. In short, as humans placed on this Earth with consciousness and problem-solving ability, I believe it's our highest duty to figure out what in the world is going on with this constantly-repeating cataclysm loop, WHO or WHAT is at the helm of it, and how we escape the cycle, so we can finally discover our true spiritual & dimensional potential as free beings without restraint. Personally, despite all of the above text-vomit having a doozy of a depressing tone...I am VERY optimistic that we are on the verge of destroying the doom-loop once and for all, and ushering in a future more beautiful than any of us can imagine under our current, intentionally-devolved 3D brainstate. But until we fully-realize this bright future through our collective rising in frequency, there is no doubt that, up until this point, we have, for millennia, been ragdolled all over the place at the whim of a mysterious reset-button-presser, and once again find ourselves scratching our heads trying to figure out what the hell happened before us considering the carnage we see everywhere...just as every other previously-reset population surely did at one point as well. But the past does not dictate the future. It provides us with information on how we can CREATE our own, desired future. What happens next is up to us. Keep learning, keep spreading your ascension-energy with those around you, and as always, STAY LOCKED IN. -B ~ ~ ~ [video cred: MY LUNCH BREAK]$

Our current timeline began in the 1800s. All modern "inventions" we see today are rehashed versions of what already existed in ancient times, stripped of its sovereignty-producing aspects, and drip-fed back to us in a lower-vibration, monetizeable form for optimal loosh production. (NOTE: The parasites cannot create. They can only subvert, so they wait for the divinely-ensouled humans to use their inherent creative energy to build new, consciousness-increasing technologies, which can then be captured & subverted into consciousness-DECREASING technologies during the next reset cycle. Their ultimate goal is to create the lowest-consciousness living environment possible, in order to squeeze maximum loosh out of that cycle's soul harvest. This is not an easy operation for the parasites to keep running, however, and just like any video game final boss, the top brass has exploitable weaknesses, as (A) the souls in this loosh farm have an extremely strong internal desire to break free from the loop they're imprisoned within, and (B) every reset deployed burns through a huge amount of loosh reserves. Not to mention, the background Black Hat alliances involved in keeping the system running are also a vulnerable house of cards, but that's a whole different conversation for another day.) Bringing us back to the technology-subversion loop we call "innovation"... The clearest example of this process, is all tech around ENERGY. If you've been following my posts for a while, you know that the narrative telling us electricity as we know it was kicked off by the invention of the lightbulb in the late-19th century, is a hilariously-false lie. In reality, that was just one example of the mass-rehashing of subverted ancient tech. Before the 1800s reset, all energy/electricity production & distribution was far more sophisticated than what we have now, and was designed to be FREE and harmonious with Earth's natural electric resonance. Following the last reset, the free energy grid from the previous civilization(s) have been deactivated, dismantled, and stripped from the Tartarian/Old World buildings, most* aetheric transport has been shitcanned under false flags (ex: the staged Hindenburg "disaster" for airships), the expansive multi-city pneumatic-powered underground transport systems have been completely built over and replaced with trains that pump consciousness-suppressing AC frequencies into its 9-to-5 zombified passengers, etc... *Some aetheric transport technologies were KEPT, and are still in use today, but have a phony story of fuel-consumption built around them as a means of siphoning financial energy out of passengers. The most glaring example of this is the modern aviation industry. For those who didn't know, modern commercial airliners use practically zero fuel. They only need a tiny bit to get off the ground, then once in the air, switch to free energy mode and run purely on high-altitude aether. Pilots are completely unaware this is happening due to the design of the planes, the construction of which is consolidated into a small group of in-cahoots, parasite-connected companies. (This is a whole rabbit hole on its own that will blow your brains out if you haven't looked into it yet...check out the "Jet Fuel Hoax" playlist on my Rumble channel for the deep-dive) Anyways, to review, all electricity on Earth has been downgraded into a fractured, inefficient Alternating Current (AC) form, which allows the parasitic controllers to (A) charge the human cattle money for it via their meter-based control grid, and (B) keep our cells & pineal glands under a constant state of damaging stress, as AC current (unlike the "cold" form of electricity from the Old World), produces electromagnetic frequencies that are destructive to human biology. As a final mocking touch to this modern energy grid theft & switch, the pylons used to distribute the AC powerlines across the world, are baphomet-shaped. If you thought that was just a coincidence...bless your heart. Zooming back out to the bigger historical picture once again (this has turned into a very scattered rant, bear with me lol)... Earth has been clean-wipe reset and restarted from scratch SEVERAL different times over the last roughly 6,000 years since the 3D holographic overlay was installed. Based on my personal research, I'm leaning toward there being 7 past major resets deployed in total, and we are currently locked in a war to prevent #8. But the debate is ongoing, and I'm fully open to adjusting this estimate. The signs of there definitely being MORE than just 2-3 resets as some believe, are everywhere for those with the eyes to see. Cities-turned-gutted-quarries like the Grand Canyon, petrified giants & chopped-down titan trees in some places, melted buildings in others, mudflood-BURIED buildings in others still, seashells atop mountains proving massive floods that covered the entire realm...I could go on. The reason why history is such a daunting puzzle to solve, is because we aren't just looking at one gradual timeline...we're looking at SEVERAL completely different timelines all piled on top of each other, each containing different civilizations, different destroyed technology remnants, different races (many of which non-human), all meeting different demises, over different centuries/millennia. And if it wasn't obvious by now...ALL of the official history books are useless, as different stories/A.I.-written religious texts are fabricated & mass-distributed as a core part of each reset operation, each with their own fake lore, in order to give each new population iteration a fabricated tale of a gradual ascension/family tree preceding them (as well as fake gods to keep them on their knees praying for an external savior), which ultimately is to prevent each new crop of human-vesseled souls from understanding the reality of the reset-looping world they just spawned into. (Search my posts on the 1800s "Orphan Trains" for more on the most recent example of this process being conducted at scale). To summarize all of this in the most blunt way possible, it appears as if whoever (or whatever) is managing the Earth realm, is haphazardly pressing different buttons on a video game controller every few hundred years, shooting off all sorts of different types of cataclysms left and right, in what can be broadly categorized as a "Sims"-like simulation environment. I know all of this is a very dark, jarring realization once the dots start connecting in your brain...but it's important to remember that there is no reason to despair, as CYCLES ARE MEANT TO BE BROKEN, and just because this one has been going for an extremely long time in human-lifetime terms...does NOT mean it's unstoppable. To the contrary, actually. We are NOT powerless pawns in this process, but active participants in it, primarily due to lack of education, and the repeated falling into the same parasite-laid traps that prevent us from awakening to our true potential, rising up, and blowing the whole game to smithereens. There are many threads pointing toward a huge shift happening behind the scenes as we speak, which is actively crippling the most critical power structures that were provably involved in at least the most recent 1800s reset, if not ALL of them. In short, as humans placed on this Earth with consciousness and problem-solving ability, I believe it's our highest duty to figure out what in the world is going on with this constantly-repeating cataclysm loop, WHO or WHAT is at the helm of it, and how we escape the cycle, so we can finally discover our true spiritual & dimensional potential as free beings without restraint. Personally, despite all of the above text-vomit having a doozy of a depressing tone...I am VERY optimistic that we are on the verge of destroying the doom-loop once and for all, and ushering in a future more beautiful than any of us can imagine under our current, intentionally-devolved 3D brainstate. But until we fully-realize this bright future through our collective rising in frequency, there is no doubt that, up until this point, we have, for millennia, been ragdolled all over the place at the whim of a mysterious reset-button-presser, and once again find ourselves scratching our heads trying to figure out what the hell happened before us considering the carnage we see everywhere...just as every other previously-reset population surely did at one point as well. But the past does not dictate the future. It provides us with information on how we can CREATE our own, desired future. What happens next is up to us. Keep learning, keep spreading your ascension-energy with those around you, and as always, STAY LOCKED IN. -B ~ ~ ~ [video cred: MY LUNCH BREAK]

Ben Wehrman

43,364 次观看 • 22 天前