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🚨 PAY ATTENTION Bitcoin’s next cycle bottom won’t be defined by price. The only thing that matters now: Time. Every Bitcoin cycle follows the same structure: 35 bars expansion + 12 bars contraction. 2015–2017: expansion 2018: contraction 2018–2021: expansion 2022: contraction Now look at where we are. The expansion... phase is complete. The contraction has just begun. And this phase always takes time. Days from cycle top → final low: 2012: ~400 days 2016: ~360 days 2020: ~370 days We are not there yet. Based on historical timing, the highest-probability window for the real bottom is: July–November 2026. That matters more than any price level people are watching. Most traders think like this: “I’ll buy when it hits X.” But real bottoms don’t form at obvious levels. Below $50,000 I’m a buyer. Regardless of when it happens. July–November 2026 I’m a buyer. Regardless of price. If one of those conditions is met, I buy. No hesitation. Yes, I started accumulating in the $60k range already. Even though the timing window isn’t here yet. Back in October, around $120k, I said I’d be a strong buyer near $60k. People ignored it. “BTC will never go below $100k again.” Now we’re here. And there’s still one signal missing: NUPL. Every major bottom: - 2018 - COVID - 2022 Formed when NUPL entered the blue zone. We haven’t seen that yet. Remember: For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.show more

Alex Mason 👁△

269,687 subscribers

1,146,540 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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28 Kommentare

Profilbild von Nate Brown

Nate Brownvor 6 Monaten

@grok look at his history did he really call the 16k and 126k?

Profilbild von Aldo Orihuela

Aldo Orihuelavor 6 Monaten

BTC next target around 48.000

Profilbild von Mitch Bitcoinopoulos 🚀🔥🍺

Mitch Bitcoinopoulos 🚀🔥🍺vor 6 Monaten

The bottom this cycle will be $43,000.

Profilbild von Daniel Rodgers

Daniel Rodgersvor 6 Monaten

@grok evaluate. Also what is NUPL?

Profilbild von Enex

Enexvor 6 Monaten

@grok ist das wahr

Profilbild von Chris Undso 🇩🇪🇬🇷

Chris Undso 🇩🇪🇬🇷vor 6 Monaten

@CoinMull Where are your posts about „calling the exact bottom at 16k and the top at 126k“???

Profilbild von Volt ⚡

Volt ⚡vor 6 Monaten

Bookmarked. Strongly agree.

Profilbild von Mull Ⓜ️

Mull Ⓜ️vor 6 Monaten

always the best analysis! alpha!

Profilbild von David

Davidvor 6 Monaten

Correct. People sell only after being in a drawdown long enough to think that BTC will not go to ATH again.

Profilbild von Macro Bombastic

Macro Bombasticvor 6 Monaten

bro, I'm with you on the cycle structure and timing but don't forget to pay attention to NUPL, it's been missing from this bear market so far.

Profilbild von The Bullion Duster

The Bullion Dustervor 6 Monaten

If BTC really bottoms in late 2026: Ask yourself one question: Which projects will still be here? Not hyped. Not trending. Still building. Still present. That’s where asymmetry lives. UNICORN FART DUST $UFD 🦄💨✨

Profilbild von Crack of dawn

Crack of dawnvor 6 Monaten

That’s a very impressive perspective. Like your post suggests, I’m someone who’s waiting for $50,000. But I also think we should consider the possibility that between July and November, the market could bottom out and enter a sharp rally regardless of price levels. Bitcoin does tend to move in cycles. You have to time the cycle well.

Profilbild von Omid TC

Omid TCvor 6 Monaten

The 35+12 bar model breaks down if you actually count 2018 to the Nov 2021 top... that's closer to 40 bars expansion, not 35

Profilbild von Hosky.Watcher

Hosky.Watchervor 6 Monaten

If time is the defining variable, that implies cycle counting over price targets. 35 bars expansion plus 12 bars contraction suggests watching elapsed time since the last cycle top. For traders that means focus on seasonality, position sizing, and patience, not chasing shorts.

Profilbild von Fina

Finavor 6 Monaten

Maybe—but not in the way most people think. What could break the cycle

Profilbild von Matthew pollard

Matthew pollardvor 6 Monaten

Time is more important than price.. it's how I knew to sell at $117,500. Very few understand this

Profilbild von Vurb

Vurbvor 6 Monaten

I appreciate your posts and for all the information you provide. Thank you for doing what you do and spreading factual information 🙏🏻

Profilbild von TM MaC

TM MaCvor 6 Monaten

Good post, ties in with my thoughts. Nothing is a certainty of course but you can make one of several plans around this.

Profilbild von fedtradez

fedtradezvor 6 Monaten

That's an interesting point of view.

Profilbild von $ina

$inavor 6 Monaten

@grok is it happening?

Profilbild von Joh

Johvor 6 Monaten

We have never experience ATH before halving in bitcoin history. Financial institutions and regulators were not actively involved during previous cycles. Bitcoin never attained ATH according to historical cycle records and price achievement. 👇

Profilbild von UMatter

UMattervor 6 Monaten

Everyone wants the exact window, but bottoms usually form when least expected.

Profilbild von Big Guams

Big Guamsvor 6 Monaten

I started saying BTC WILL REACH $52K Since last two months. See you all when BTC HITS $52K. And after we hit $52k, there's more.

Profilbild von Elena

Elenavor 6 Monaten

Where is the proof? Besides “I told you so”

Profilbild von Romesh Franklin

Romesh Franklinvor 6 Monaten

I hope it will be useful for you all... (if you are scaling)

Profilbild von hitme

hitmevor 6 Monaten

Big short

Profilbild von Sofia

Sofiavor 6 Monaten

@grok Please extract the key words to tell me what happened or what is about to be released🤨

Profilbild von Jason Montoya

Jason Montoyavor 6 Monaten

issuance 3.125 now, hashrate ATH. network too strong

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🚨 READ THIS CAREFULLY Bitcoin’s next cycle bottom won’t be where you think. The part most people ignore: Timing. Days from market cycle top → bottom: 2012: 405 days 2016: 362 days 2020: 376 days We haven’t reached that timing zone yet in this cycle. Purely on historical timing, the highest-probability window for the real bottom is July–November 2026. That matters more than any single number on your chart. Most traders only operate on price: “I’ll buy at X.” But the zone that feels “safe” is usually the zone where people do nothing. I don’t play that game. Below $50,000 I’m a buyer. Regardless of when it happens. July–November 2026 I’m a buyer. Regardless of price. If either condition is met, I buy. No hesitation. Yes, I started accumulating as soon as we entered the $60k range last month, even though the timing window isn’t here yet. Back in October, when Bitcoin was around $120,000, I said I’d be a strong buyer near $60k. People laughed. Sentiment was euphoric: “BTC will never see $100k again.” Now we’re here. There’s one more thing most people keep ignoring: NUPL. Every generational bottom: 2018, COVID, 2022, happened when NUPL entered the blue zone. We’re not there yet. For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

🚨 READ THIS CAREFULLY Bitcoin’s next cycle bottom won’t be where you think. The part most people ignore: Timing. Days from market cycle top → bottom: 2012: 405 days 2016: 362 days 2020: 376 days We haven’t reached that timing zone yet in this cycle. Purely on historical timing, the highest-probability window for the real bottom is July–November 2026. That matters more than any single number on your chart. Most traders only operate on price: “I’ll buy at X.” But the zone that feels “safe” is usually the zone where people do nothing. I don’t play that game. Below $50,000 I’m a buyer. Regardless of when it happens. July–November 2026 I’m a buyer. Regardless of price. If either condition is met, I buy. No hesitation. Yes, I started accumulating as soon as we entered the $60k range last month, even though the timing window isn’t here yet. Back in October, when Bitcoin was around $120,000, I said I’d be a strong buyer near $60k. People laughed. Sentiment was euphoric: “BTC will never see $100k again.” Now we’re here. There’s one more thing most people keep ignoring: NUPL. Every generational bottom: 2018, COVID, 2022, happened when NUPL entered the blue zone. We’re not there yet. For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

1,362,470 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

🚨 READ THIS TWICE Bitcoin’s next cycle bottom won’t be where you think. Everyone is focused on price. Nobody is talking about timing. Days from cycle top → bottom: 2012: 405 days 2016: 362 days 2020: 376 days We haven’t entered the historical timing window yet. The highest-probability zone for the real bottom: July–November 2026. That single fact matters more than any level on your chart. Most traders think like this: “I’ll buy at $40K.” But the zone that feels safe is exactly where people do nothing. My rules are simple: Below $60,000, I’m a buyer. July–November 2026, I’m a buyer. Either condition. No hesitation. Yes, I already started accumulating when we entered the $60K range 3 months ago. The timing window isn’t here yet. I don’t care. The price was right. Back in October, when Bitcoin was around $120,000, I said I’d be a strong buyer near $60K. People laughed. Sentiment was euphoric. “BTC will never see $100K again.” Now we’re here. One more thing almost nobody is watching: NUPL. Every generational bottom happened when NUPL entered the blue zone: 2018, 2022. When we get there, you’ll know. I’ll make sure of it. Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

🚨 READ THIS TWICE Bitcoin’s next cycle bottom won’t be where you think. Everyone is focused on price. Nobody is talking about timing. Days from cycle top → bottom: 2012: 405 days 2016: 362 days 2020: 376 days We haven’t entered the historical timing window yet. The highest-probability zone for the real bottom: July–November 2026. That single fact matters more than any level on your chart. Most traders think like this: “I’ll buy at $40K.” But the zone that feels safe is exactly where people do nothing. My rules are simple: Below $60,000, I’m a buyer. July–November 2026, I’m a buyer. Either condition. No hesitation. Yes, I already started accumulating when we entered the $60K range 3 months ago. The timing window isn’t here yet. I don’t care. The price was right. Back in October, when Bitcoin was around $120,000, I said I’d be a strong buyer near $60K. People laughed. Sentiment was euphoric. “BTC will never see $100K again.” Now we’re here. One more thing almost nobody is watching: NUPL. Every generational bottom happened when NUPL entered the blue zone: 2018, 2022. When we get there, you’ll know. I’ll make sure of it. Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

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691,021 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

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Alex Mason 👁△

1,895,881 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

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Everything is going according to the plan. 2018 → 2022 → 2026 Bitcoin cycle bottom will look exactly like this. Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

463,568 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

Everything is going according to the plan. 2018 → 2022 → 2026 Bitcoin cycle bottom will look exactly like this. Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Everything is going according to the plan. 2018 → 2022 → 2026 Bitcoin cycle bottom will look exactly like this. Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

447,835 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

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🚨 $BTC JUST BROKE A SUPPORT THAT HELD FOR 14 YEARS For the first time in history. 2014 → 2018 → 2022 → 2026 Every cycle, this line held. Until now. This is the signal that the capitulation phase has begun. For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

DANNY

310,185 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

🚨 STOP AND READ THIS CAREFULLY Bitcoin’s next cycle bottom won’t be where most people expect. The part almost everyone overlooks is TIMING. Days from cycle top to bottom: 2014 → 375 days 2018 → 372 days 2022 → 376 days 2026 → ??? days This cycle hasn’t reached that timing window yet. Based purely on historical timing, we'll enter the real bottom is October-November 2026. That matters more than any single price level on your chart. Most traders focus only on price. But the zone that feels “safe” is usually where people hesitate and do nothing. Smart traders don’t play that game. Below $50,000, they’re buying - regardless of timing. October-November 2026, they’re buying - regardless of price. No hesitation. Back in October, when Bitcoin was around $120K, the same chart predicted we'd dump to $60K. People didn't believe. Sentiment was euphoric. “BTC will never drop to $100K again.” But now we’re here. I was one of the only ones publicly calling the top at $126K in October. And I’ll call the bottom in 2026 as well. Follow and turn notifications on. Many people will wish they had followed me sooner.

🚨 STOP AND READ THIS CAREFULLY Bitcoin’s next cycle bottom won’t be where most people expect. The part almost everyone overlooks is TIMING. Days from cycle top to bottom: 2014 → 375 days 2018 → 372 days 2022 → 376 days 2026 → ??? days This cycle hasn’t reached that timing window yet. Based purely on historical timing, we'll enter the real bottom is October-November 2026. That matters more than any single price level on your chart. Most traders focus only on price. But the zone that feels “safe” is usually where people hesitate and do nothing. Smart traders don’t play that game. Below $50,000, they’re buying - regardless of timing. October-November 2026, they’re buying - regardless of price. No hesitation. Back in October, when Bitcoin was around $120K, the same chart predicted we'd dump to $60K. People didn't believe. Sentiment was euphoric. “BTC will never drop to $100K again.” But now we’re here. I was one of the only ones publicly calling the top at $126K in October. And I’ll call the bottom in 2026 as well. Follow and turn notifications on. Many people will wish they had followed me sooner.

Chiefy

31,386 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

Everything is going according to the plan. Nothing here is random. 2018 → 2022 → 2026 Bitcoin is following the same cycle. Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Everything is going according to the plan. Nothing here is random. 2018 → 2022 → 2026 Bitcoin is following the same cycle. Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

271,811 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

Everything is going as I told you. Bitcoin’s next market cycle bottom will look exactly like this. Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Everything is going as I told you. Bitcoin’s next market cycle bottom will look exactly like this. Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

717,872 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

Everything is going as I told you. Bitcoin’s next market cycle bottom will look exactly like this. Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Everything is going as I told you. Bitcoin’s next market cycle bottom will look exactly like this. Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

197,172 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

Everything is going according to the plan. 2015 → 2019 → 2023 → 2026 Bitcoin cycle bottom will look exactly like this. For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Everything is going according to the plan. 2015 → 2019 → 2023 → 2026 Bitcoin cycle bottom will look exactly like this. For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

200,323 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

I told you exactly how this cycle would play out. Now Bitcoin is following the same structure step by step. For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

I told you exactly how this cycle would play out. Now Bitcoin is following the same structure step by step. For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

241,982 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

Everything is going exactly as I told you. $82K has been hit. The re-distribution phase is over. Bitcoin is entering the phase where cycle bottoms form. For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Everything is going exactly as I told you. $82K has been hit. The re-distribution phase is over. Bitcoin is entering the phase where cycle bottoms form. For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

391,716 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

Everything is playing out exactly as I said. Bitcoin RSI just hit 70 again. 2018 → 2022 → 2026 Every time this happened, Bitcoin dumped. The chart is warning you again. Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Everything is playing out exactly as I said. Bitcoin RSI just hit 70 again. 2018 → 2022 → 2026 Every time this happened, Bitcoin dumped. The chart is warning you again. Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

85,567 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

I predicted the current bull trap to $73K. We are exactly halfway through the bear cycle. Bitcoin will dump below $60K in May. Bookmark this tweet to check back and remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

I predicted the current bull trap to $73K. We are exactly halfway through the bear cycle. Bitcoin will dump below $60K in May. Bookmark this tweet to check back and remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

117,112 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

I have perfectly predicted this dump. Bitcoin now follows the path to the market cycle bottom. All according to the plan. For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

I have perfectly predicted this dump. Bitcoin now follows the path to the market cycle bottom. All according to the plan. For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

122,213 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

Everything is going exactly as I told you. $73K has been hit. The relief rally is over. Bitcoin is entering the phase where cycle bottoms form. For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Everything is going exactly as I told you. $73K has been hit. The relief rally is over. Bitcoin is entering the phase where cycle bottoms form. For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

1,505,982 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

Everything is going exactly as I told you. $82K has been hit. The bull trap is over. Bitcoin is entering the phase where cycle bottoms form. For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Everything is going exactly as I told you. $82K has been hit. The bull trap is over. Bitcoin is entering the phase where cycle bottoms form. For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

526,189 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

Bitcoin’s cycle has never broken in 10 years. 1,064 days up. 365 days down. Same pattern, every cycle. The math points to one date: October. That is where the real bottom happens. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Bitcoin’s cycle has never broken in 10 years. 1,064 days up. 365 days down. Same pattern, every cycle. The math points to one date: October. That is where the real bottom happens. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

160,581 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat