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🚹 PAY ATTENTION Bitcoin’s next cycle bottom won’t be defined by price. The only thing that matters now: Time. Every Bitcoin cycle follows the same structure: 35 bars expansion + 12 bars contraction. 2015–2017: expansion 2018: contraction 2018–2021: expansion 2022: contraction Now look at where we are. The expansion...

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🚹 READ THIS CAREFULLY Bitcoin’s next cycle bottom won’t be where you think. The part most people ignore: Timing. Days from market cycle top → bottom: 2012: 405 days 2016: 362 days 2020: 376 days We haven’t reached that timing zone yet in this cycle. Purely on historical timing, the highest-probability window for the real bottom is July–November 2026. That matters more than any single number on your chart. Most traders only operate on price: “I’ll buy at X.” But the zone that feels “safe” is usually the zone where people do nothing. I don’t play that game. Below $50,000 I’m a buyer. Regardless of when it happens. July–November 2026 I’m a buyer. Regardless of price. If either condition is met, I buy. No hesitation. Yes, I started accumulating as soon as we entered the $60k range last month, even though the timing window isn’t here yet. Back in October, when Bitcoin was around $120,000, I said I’d be a strong buyer near $60k. People laughed. Sentiment was euphoric: “BTC will never see $100k again.” Now we’re here. There’s one more thing most people keep ignoring: NUPL. Every generational bottom: 2018, COVID, 2022, happened when NUPL entered the blue zone. We’re not there yet. For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

1,359,094 görĂŒntĂŒleme ‱ 3 ay önce

🚹 READ THIS TWICE Bitcoin’s next cycle bottom won’t be where you think. Everyone is focused on price. Nobody is talking about timing. Days from cycle top → bottom: 2012: 405 days 2016: 362 days 2020: 376 days We haven’t entered the historical timing window yet. The highest-probability zone for the real bottom: July–November 2026. That single fact matters more than any level on your chart. Most traders think like this: “I’ll buy at $40K.” But the zone that feels safe is exactly where people do nothing. My rules are simple: Below $60,000, I’m a buyer. July–November 2026, I’m a buyer. Either condition. No hesitation. Yes, I already started accumulating when we entered the $60K range 3 months ago. The timing window isn’t here yet. I don’t care. The price was right. Back in October, when Bitcoin was around $120,000, I said I’d be a strong buyer near $60K. People laughed. Sentiment was euphoric. “BTC will never see $100K again.” Now we’re here. One more thing almost nobody is watching: NUPL. Every generational bottom happened when NUPL entered the blue zone: 2018, 2022. When we get there, you’ll know. I’ll make sure of it. Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

673,019 görĂŒntĂŒleme ‱ 1 ay önce

🚹 READ THIS CAREFULLY Bitcoin has just entered the relief phase of the bear market. 2022 structure is repeating perfectly: 54% drop from ATH → complete Relief rally → now Final capitulation → next This is where the trap is. Most traders think the bottom is in during this phase. It isn’t. The part almost nobody understands: Timing. Days from cycle top → final bottom: 2012: 405 days 2016: 362 days 2020: 376 days Based on historical timing, the highest-probability window for the real bottom is: July–November 2026. That matters more than any price level people are watching. Most traders think like this: “I’ll buy at X.” But real bottoms don’t form where it feels obvious. They form where people give up. And before that happens: There has to be pain. - Forced selling (happening). - Liquidations (in progress). - Panic (almost there). - Sentiment collapse (soon). When people stop buying dips
 Narratives break
 Everyone turns bearish
 That’s when bottoms form. We’re not there yet. Yes, I started accumulating in the $60k range already. Even though the timing window isn’t here yet. Back in October, around $120k, I said I’d be a strong buyer near $60k. People laughed. “BTC will never go below $100k again.” Now we’re here. Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

2,309,012 görĂŒntĂŒleme ‱ 2 ay önce