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🚹 PAY ATTENTION Bitcoin’s next cycle bottom won’t be defined by price. The only thing that matters now: Time. Every Bitcoin cycle follows the same structure: 35 bars expansion + 12 bars contraction. 2015–2017: expansion 2018: contraction 2018–2021: expansion 2022: contraction Now look at where we are. The expansion...

1,146,540 görĂŒntĂŒleme ‱ 6 ay önce ‱via X (Twitter)

28 Yorum

Nate Brown profil fotoğrafı
Nate Brown6 ay önce

@grok look at his history did he really call the 16k and 126k?

Aldo Orihuela profil fotoğrafı
Aldo Orihuela6 ay önce

BTC next target around 48.000

Mitch Bitcoinopoulos đŸš€đŸ”„đŸș profil fotoğrafı
Mitch Bitcoinopoulos đŸš€đŸ”„đŸș6 ay önce

The bottom this cycle will be $43,000.

Daniel Rodgers profil fotoğrafı
Daniel Rodgers6 ay önce

@grok evaluate. Also what is NUPL?

Enex profil fotoğrafı
Enex6 ay önce

@grok ist das wahr

Chris Undso đŸ‡©đŸ‡ȘđŸ‡ŹđŸ‡· profil fotoğrafı
Chris Undso đŸ‡©đŸ‡ȘđŸ‡ŹđŸ‡·6 ay önce

@CoinMull Where are your posts about „calling the exact bottom at 16k and the top at 126k“???

Volt ⚡ profil fotoğrafı
Volt ⚡6 ay önce

Bookmarked. Strongly agree.

Mull Ⓜ profil fotoğrafı
Mull Ⓜ6 ay önce

always the best analysis! alpha!

David profil fotoğrafı
David6 ay önce

Correct. People sell only after being in a drawdown long enough to think that BTC will not go to ATH again.

Macro Bombastic profil fotoğrafı
Macro Bombastic6 ay önce

bro, I'm with you on the cycle structure and timing but don't forget to pay attention to NUPL, it's been missing from this bear market so far.

The Bullion Duster profil fotoğrafı
The Bullion Duster6 ay önce

If BTC really bottoms in late 2026: Ask yourself one question: Which projects will still be here? Not hyped. Not trending. Still building. Still present. That’s where asymmetry lives. UNICORN FART DUST $UFD 🩄💹✹

Crack of dawn profil fotoğrafı
Crack of dawn6 ay önce

That’s a very impressive perspective. Like your post suggests, I’m someone who’s waiting for $50,000. But I also think we should consider the possibility that between July and November, the market could bottom out and enter a sharp rally regardless of price levels. Bitcoin does tend to move in cycles. You have to time the cycle well.

Omid TC profil fotoğrafı
Omid TC6 ay önce

The 35+12 bar model breaks down if you actually count 2018 to the Nov 2021 top... that's closer to 40 bars expansion, not 35

Hosky.Watcher profil fotoğrafı
Hosky.Watcher6 ay önce

If time is the defining variable, that implies cycle counting over price targets. 35 bars expansion plus 12 bars contraction suggests watching elapsed time since the last cycle top. For traders that means focus on seasonality, position sizing, and patience, not chasing shorts.

Fina profil fotoğrafı
Fina6 ay önce

Maybe—but not in the way most people think. What could break the cycle

Matthew pollard profil fotoğrafı
Matthew pollard6 ay önce

Time is more important than price.. it's how I knew to sell at $117,500. Very few understand this

Vurb profil fotoğrafı
Vurb6 ay önce

I appreciate your posts and for all the information you provide. Thank you for doing what you do and spreading factual information đŸ™đŸ»

TM MaC profil fotoğrafı
TM MaC6 ay önce

Good post, ties in with my thoughts. Nothing is a certainty of course but you can make one of several plans around this.

fedtradez profil fotoğrafı
fedtradez6 ay önce

That's an interesting point of view.

$ina profil fotoğrafı
$ina6 ay önce

@grok is it happening?

Joh profil fotoğrafı
Joh6 ay önce

We have never experience ATH before halving in bitcoin history. Financial institutions and regulators were not actively involved during previous cycles. Bitcoin never attained ATH according to historical cycle records and price achievement. 👇

UMatter profil fotoğrafı
UMatter6 ay önce

Everyone wants the exact window, but bottoms usually form when least expected.

Big Guams profil fotoğrafı
Big Guams6 ay önce

I started saying BTC WILL REACH $52K Since last two months. See you all when BTC HITS $52K. And after we hit $52k, there's more.

Elena profil fotoğrafı
Elena6 ay önce

Where is the proof? Besides “I told you so”

Romesh Franklin profil fotoğrafı
Romesh Franklin6 ay önce

I hope it will be useful for you all... (if you are scaling)

hitme profil fotoğrafı
hitme6 ay önce

Big short

Sofia profil fotoğrafı
Sofia6 ay önce

@grok Please extract the key words to tell me what happened or what is about to be releasedđŸ€š

Jason Montoya profil fotoğrafı
Jason Montoya6 ay önce

issuance 3.125 now, hashrate ATH. network too strong

Benzer Videolar

🚹 READ THIS CAREFULLY Bitcoin’s next cycle bottom won’t be where you think. The part most people ignore: Timing. Days from market cycle top → bottom: 2012: 405 days 2016: 362 days 2020: 376 days We haven’t reached that timing zone yet in this cycle. Purely on historical timing, the highest-probability window for the real bottom is July–November 2026. That matters more than any single number on your chart. Most traders only operate on price: “I’ll buy at X.” But the zone that feels “safe” is usually the zone where people do nothing. I don’t play that game. Below $50,000 I’m a buyer. Regardless of when it happens. July–November 2026 I’m a buyer. Regardless of price. If either condition is met, I buy. No hesitation. Yes, I started accumulating as soon as we entered the $60k range last month, even though the timing window isn’t here yet. Back in October, when Bitcoin was around $120,000, I said I’d be a strong buyer near $60k. People laughed. Sentiment was euphoric: “BTC will never see $100k again.” Now we’re here. There’s one more thing most people keep ignoring: NUPL. Every generational bottom: 2018, COVID, 2022, happened when NUPL entered the blue zone. We’re not there yet. For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

1,362,470 görĂŒntĂŒleme ‱ 6 ay önce

🚹 READ THIS TWICE Bitcoin’s next cycle bottom won’t be where you think. Everyone is focused on price. Nobody is talking about timing. Days from cycle top → bottom: 2012: 405 days 2016: 362 days 2020: 376 days We haven’t entered the historical timing window yet. The highest-probability zone for the real bottom: July–November 2026. That single fact matters more than any level on your chart. Most traders think like this: “I’ll buy at $40K.” But the zone that feels safe is exactly where people do nothing. My rules are simple: Below $60,000, I’m a buyer. July–November 2026, I’m a buyer. Either condition. No hesitation. Yes, I already started accumulating when we entered the $60K range 3 months ago. The timing window isn’t here yet. I don’t care. The price was right. Back in October, when Bitcoin was around $120,000, I said I’d be a strong buyer near $60K. People laughed. Sentiment was euphoric. “BTC will never see $100K again.” Now we’re here. One more thing almost nobody is watching: NUPL. Every generational bottom happened when NUPL entered the blue zone: 2018, 2022. When we get there, you’ll know. I’ll make sure of it. Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

691,021 görĂŒntĂŒleme ‱ 4 ay önce

🚹 READ THIS CAREFULLY Bitcoin has just entered the relief phase of the bear market. 2022 structure is repeating perfectly: 54% drop from ATH → complete Relief rally → now Final capitulation → next This is where the trap is. Most traders think the bottom is in during this phase. It isn’t. The part almost nobody understands: Timing. Days from cycle top → final bottom: 2012: 405 days 2016: 362 days 2020: 376 days Based on historical timing, the highest-probability window for the real bottom is: July–November 2026. That matters more than any price level people are watching. Most traders think like this: “I’ll buy at X.” But real bottoms don’t form where it feels obvious. They form where people give up. And before that happens: There has to be pain. - Forced selling (happening). - Liquidations (in progress). - Panic (almost there). - Sentiment collapse (soon). When people stop buying dips
 Narratives break
 Everyone turns bearish
 That’s when bottoms form. We’re not there yet. Yes, I started accumulating in the $60k range already. Even though the timing window isn’t here yet. Back in October, around $120k, I said I’d be a strong buyer near $60k. People laughed. “BTC will never go below $100k again.” Now we’re here. Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

2,312,302 görĂŒntĂŒleme ‱ 6 ay önce