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Pay packets are growing at pretty solid 4.1% (annual). It’s beating inflation. Does that put pressure on the RBA to hike interest rates? ⁦ABC News⁩

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David Taylor

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21,416 просмотров • 2 лет назад •via X (Twitter)

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Inflation has soared to 4.6% under the Albanese Government in the highest monthly increase on record. The RBA is now almost certain to hike interest rates next Tuesday, the 3rd in a row. Worryingly, Jim Chalmers says inflation is likely to go even higher
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Inflation has soared to 4.6% under the Albanese Government in the highest monthly increase on record. The RBA is now almost certain to hike interest rates next Tuesday, the 3rd in a row. Worryingly, Jim Chalmers says inflation is likely to go even higher

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"The Fed is right to look at the balance between inflation that is still going down and the potential of the economy weakening to decide on interest rates." IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva on U.S. interest rates.
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"The Fed is right to look at the balance between inflation that is still going down and the potential of the economy weakening to decide on interest rates." IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva on U.S. interest rates.

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US job growth unexpectedly accelerated in Dec. while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1% as the labor market ended the year on a solid footing, reinforcing views that the Fed would keep interest rates unchanged this month
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The RBA has done it again, hiking interest rates to an 11 year high. Business groups will be keen to blame wages, but remember, excess profits are the main culprit driving this inflation. Greg Jericho explains. #auspol
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The RBA has done it again, hiking interest rates to an 11 year high. Business groups will be keen to blame wages, but remember, excess profits are the main culprit driving this inflation. Greg Jericho explains. #auspol

Australia Institute

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Rates won't be going up! 📉🏦 Australia’s latest inflation figures have come in better than expected, strengthening the case for the Reserve Bank to leave interest rates on hold in August. With inflation continuing to ease, another rate rise now could unnecessarily damage confidence in an already fragile property market. Sometimes the smartest move isn’t doing more—it’s giving previous rate rises time to work. 🤔 #InterestRates #Inflation #PropertyMarket #RBA #RealEstate #Australia
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Rates won't be going up! 📉🏦 Australia’s latest inflation figures have come in better than expected, strengthening the case for the Reserve Bank to leave interest rates on hold in August. With inflation continuing to ease, another rate rise now could unnecessarily damage confidence in an already fragile property market. Sometimes the smartest move isn’t doing more—it’s giving previous rate rises time to work. 🤔 #InterestRates #Inflation #PropertyMarket #RBA #RealEstate #Australia

TOM PANOS

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Inflation and interest rates were trending down before Trump launched his tariffs and the Iran War. Now prices are spiking, and the Fed is expected to hike rates this year. That means higher costs for Americans for gas, groceries, credit cards & mortgages. 📸: Morning Joe
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Inflation and interest rates were trending down before Trump launched his tariffs and the Iran War. Now prices are spiking, and the Fed is expected to hike rates this year. That means higher costs for Americans for gas, groceries, credit cards & mortgages. 📸: Morning Joe

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BREAKING: The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady on Wednesday at its first meeting since the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran drove up gasoline prices and risked a wider bout of inflation. ABC News’ Elizabeth Schulze has the latest.
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BREAKING: The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady on Wednesday at its first meeting since the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran drove up gasoline prices and risked a wider bout of inflation. ABC News’ Elizabeth Schulze has the latest.

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RBA Governor Michele Bullock confirms Labor has turned the economy around with wages now rising, inflation down, interest rates down, taxes down. “Real per capita wages are now above what they were pre COVID” Lisa Darmanin “so overall that’s a pretty good story?” Bullock “Yes”✅
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RBA Governor Michele Bullock confirms Labor has turned the economy around with wages now rising, inflation down, interest rates down, taxes down. “Real per capita wages are now above what they were pre COVID” Lisa Darmanin “so overall that’s a pretty good story?” Bullock “Yes”✅

stranger

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Rick Rule: Politically, the Fed will ultimately have to lower interest rates. We have entered an inflationary era similar to the 70s, but the fiscal situation is vastly different. - Debt/GDP: ~30% then vs ~123% now - Interest expense: ~$50B then vs ~$1.2T now - Deficits: ~1–4% then vs ~6% now In fact, the government now pays more in annual interest expenses than the entire US debt was in the late 70s. But it’s not just the government that can’t afford higher rates. Markets will feel it too: - Private credit - Consumer durables - Real estate All are heavily impacted by higher interest rates. Sooner rather than later, political pressure will force the Fed to lower rates. Volcker was able to hike aggressively because debt/GDP had been inflated away after WW2. Today, debt/GDP is above WW2-era levels, which is why the US can’t fight inflation the same way it did in the early 80s. First you inflate the debt away to a more manageable level... Then you raise rates to kill inflation. Not the other way around.
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Rick Rule: Politically, the Fed will ultimately have to lower interest rates. We have entered an inflationary era similar to the 70s, but the fiscal situation is vastly different. - Debt/GDP: ~30% then vs ~123% now - Interest expense: ~$50B then vs ~$1.2T now - Deficits: ~1–4% then vs ~6% now In fact, the government now pays more in annual interest expenses than the entire US debt was in the late 70s. But it’s not just the government that can’t afford higher rates. Markets will feel it too: - Private credit - Consumer durables - Real estate All are heavily impacted by higher interest rates. Sooner rather than later, political pressure will force the Fed to lower rates. Volcker was able to hike aggressively because debt/GDP had been inflated away after WW2. Today, debt/GDP is above WW2-era levels, which is why the US can’t fight inflation the same way it did in the early 80s. First you inflate the debt away to a more manageable level... Then you raise rates to kill inflation. Not the other way around.

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Inflation is awake and your cash is having a nap. Bad portfolio strategy, mate.⁣ ⁣ If rates are up, money sitting in a zero-interest account is volunteering for a pay cut.⁣ ⁣ More on how to navigate inflation:
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Inflation is awake and your cash is having a nap. Bad portfolio strategy, mate.⁣ ⁣ If rates are up, money sitting in a zero-interest account is volunteering for a pay cut.⁣ ⁣ More on how to navigate inflation:

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unusual_whales

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Jerome Powell has signaled the Fed intends to keep raising interest rates. Remember: Raising rates puts the burden of fighting inflation mostly on middle-class and low-wage workers and does nothing to address corporate price gouging.
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Jerome Powell has signaled the Fed intends to keep raising interest rates. Remember: Raising rates puts the burden of fighting inflation mostly on middle-class and low-wage workers and does nothing to address corporate price gouging.

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Relying on the Fed to raise interest rates puts the burden of fighting inflation mostly on lower-wage workers, who are already hurting most from rising prices. Stop raising interest rates. Better solutions? A windfall profits tax, price controls, and antitrust enforcement.
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Relying on the Fed to raise interest rates puts the burden of fighting inflation mostly on lower-wage workers, who are already hurting most from rising prices. Stop raising interest rates. Better solutions? A windfall profits tax, price controls, and antitrust enforcement.

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Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell hinted Friday at the possibility of a change to interest rates. ABC News' Alexis Christoforous has more on how Powell's statements affected the market.

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Angus Taylor MP

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MAJOR WARNING ⚠️ Bank of Canada held interest rate at 2.25% Persistent weak economic growth & pressure on inflation due to high energy prices has handcuffed the BOC If the war is not settled soon rates are going up. Even if our economy is WEAK Things are about to get BUMPY

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