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Peter Thiel: In the 2000s, people thought Elon was really crazy. “When Elon was building both Tesla and SpaceX in the 2000s, people thought he was just really, really crazy, even a lot of those of us who'd worked with him at PayPal. There was this PayPal book that...

294,880 просмотров • 1 год назад •via X (Twitter)

Комментарии: 7

Фото профиля Elon Musk
Elon Musk1 год назад

❤️

Фото профиля ELON CLIPS
ELON CLIPS1 год назад

🙏❤️

Фото профиля UserInterface
UserInterface5 лет назад

Will Elon Musk and SpaceX Ever Reach Mars? #mars #elonmusk #science

Фото профиля Rennie Scranton
Rennie Scranton1 год назад

More of this, we need to shower X with these kinds of stories to support Elon. We all know what a hero he is. 👏🏻🇺🇸

Фото профиля ELON CLIPS
ELON CLIPS1 год назад

🙏❤️ doing our best

Фото профиля Manish Patel
Manish Patel1 год назад

Exactly. The so-called “crazy” guy built two trillion-dollar revolutions while the safe players built... PowerPoints. Elon didn’t misunderstand risk—he understood mediocrity was the real danger.

Фото профиля Plutus
Plutus1 год назад

If he succeeds in the government sector as well, nobody could ever doubt him again.

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Peter Thiel and David Sacks were going to write a book about PayPal. Elon Musk’s chapter was titled “The Man Who Knew Nothing About Risk.” The PayPal Mafia. The sharpest venture minds of a generation. People who had built with Musk. Watched him operate up close. They thought he was out of his mind. Thiel: “When Elon was building both Tesla and SpaceX in the 2000s, people thought he was just really, really crazy.” This was not the press misunderstanding a founder. This was his own people. And they were not wrong by accident. They were wrong by design. Because the framework everyone uses to calculate risk is built on one assumption. That the laws governing what is possible are fixed. Musk did not share that assumption. Thiel figured that out later. Thiel: “If one of the two companies had succeeded, you would say, well, maybe he still got really lucky. But when two out of two companies that people thought were completely harebrained both succeed, you have to reassess.” One success is luck. Two is a different kind of intelligence entirely. Musk was simultaneously trying to privatize space and electrify transportation. Two industries with the most entrenched players on Earth. Two that had eaten billions in failed attempts. Two that governments spent decades trying to move and couldn’t. He did both. At the same time. Nearly went bankrupt doing it. And came out the other side owning both. That is not luck. That is not even genius. That is a different relationship with reality itself. The conventional risk model measures one thing. The probability of losing what you already have. Capital at risk. Downside scenarios. Protect the position. Musk was running a different equation entirely. He was calculating the cost of not trying. The risk of building a reusable rocket and failing is a rounding error. The risk of humanity remaining trapped on a single planet forever is not. The conventional investor sees a 90% chance of losing everything and calls it irrational. Musk saw a 100% chance of civilizational stagnation if no one moved and called that the real risk. The math was never wrong. The lens was just incomprehensibly larger. Thiel: “Somehow the rest of us are too risk-averse, or there’s something about risk he knows that we don’t.” That is Peter Thiel. One of the most ruthless, clear-eyed thinkers in venture capital history admitting the model broke. Not that Musk got lucky. That the rest of them were running a flawed framework and didn’t know it. That should keep you up at night. Because if the PayPal Mafia had the wrong model, the question is not whether Musk is exceptional. The question is how many other things the conventional framework is catastrophically wrong about right now. How many ideas getting buried today look obvious in ten years. How many founders are being told they don’t understand risk when they are the only ones who do. The chapter never got written. The man it was supposed to warn us about built two of the most important companies in human history instead. They are still writing the explanation. He already moved on to the next impossible thing.

Dustin

49,454 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

🚨 $PLTR cofounder Peter Thiel: Palantir was created for Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency, if people at USAID should be charged with fraud, and how him and Karp got blocked at the NSA 👀🔮 “There are a lot of ways that something like Palantir ends up being a constraint on government action. A lot of the abuses, the most extreme overreach happens in contexts where people thought there would be no accountability ever inside the government. “Something like the Guantanamo stuff in Bush 43— nobody knew what was going on. If nobody knows, it can go really crazy. Then of course, at some point, people know, and the inmates take over the asylum. “There probably were a lot of deep state excesses that happen where, if Palantir had been used, there would have been more of a record of what people were doing. The NSA has not worked with Palantir. There’s all these different suspicions… Ifyou had this outside software system where you actually tracked how often this stuff was used, there would’ve been much more risk this stuff would’ve gotten exposed, there would have been a track record… “We somehow got blocked at NSA very early on. The explanation Alex [Karp] and I are sympathetic to was, the people at NSA believed that whatever power the software gave them, it also limited their power, because there would be more accountability. “At some point, you have a line item track record, where you know exactly where the money is going. “Something like this is what Oliver North was charged with in the 1980s, that he engaged in fraud because he had mischaracterized various payments. If we want to be aggressive, so many of the people working at USAID could be charged with fraud like Oliver North was charged with fraud. Via The Rubin Report Peter Thiel

Jawwwn

107,196 просмотров • 1 год назад