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Predicting Trump's next tariff move! The Trump 2.0 tariff has caught many by surprise. But, regardless whether we agree with it or not, there is actually a very concrete plan, published months in advance! Trump advisor Stephen Miran laid out the playbook in detail in one of his research...

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Michael Yuan

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17,758 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce •via X (Twitter)

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Introduction of the international trade system, and why Americans are unhappy about it. Who would pay for tariffs? Is it the American consumers or the exporting nations?

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The Dollar Dilemma. The root of dissatisfaction in America.

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How the Americans could change the status-quo without destroying the world?

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Are tariffs inflationary? Who pays for the tariffs?

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How Tariffs could change the international order and world financial markets?

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What are the risks of Tariffs? It is a double-edged sword.

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Currency policies and the need to carefully manage the US dollar, especially during a Tariff war. What are the second-round effects when currency exchange rate moves?

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The Mar-a-Lago Accord of multilateral currency approach. Shall we weaken the US dollar?

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How the US government can unilaterally manage the US dollar currency to achieve its goals to reform international trading.

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Market and volatility considerations for the tariff war. That's how YOU can make money from the markets!

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How America's trading partners can get lower tariffs? What's the perpetual (or super-long term) US Treasury?

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Unilateral currency actions the US could take, and their risks.

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How global politics will affect trade? Shall US allies "pay" for the security umbrella the US provides? How do they "pay" for it? Tariffs or buying perpetual US Treasury?

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The Trump effect. What would Trump do?

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The paper: "A User’s Guide to Restructuring the Global Trading System"

JJ profil fotoğrafı
JJ1 yıl önce

He was handed an economy that was the envy of the world. The dumbest president to ever be allowed into the Oval Office.

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It's crucial to review Miran’s research now.

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linken1 yıl önce

Some MAGA folks, whether they’ve got the smarts or are part of that 21% of Americans who can’t read well, have sadly lost their grip on reality because of their views.

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Published research deserves respect and consideration.

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I mean when you only put it on 1.8% of GDP, and the "minimal" effects were you had to bail out farmers and lost 75k jobs....

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🚨EXCLUSIVE: Here’s How Donald Trump Can Break China’s Battery Monopoly What do YOU think about this idea? Let us know in the comments ⬇️ Be sure to follow @NewsSlingshot for more exclusive reports!

Benzer Videolar

Businesses in America have moved quickly and are now demanding refunds for the tariffs they paid after the pronouncement by the United States Supreme Court that Donald Trump’s tariffs were illegal. So this is how the tariffs worked. If you imported goods from South Africa and there was an illegal 30 percent tariff on them, the company importing the goods from South Africa would have had to pay that 30 percent tariff to the American government and then pass that cost on to the consumer. For instance, if an American company ordered a bottle of wine from South Africa and there was a 30 percent tariff on it, which the Supreme Court has now pronounced illegal, and that bottle cost US$1 to import, once it reached America the importer would have to add the 30 percent tariff, taking the cost to US$1.30. The importing company would then add its own margin, say another US$0.30 as profit. Ordinarily, without the tariff, that bottle might have retailed at around US$1.30, but because of the additional 30 percent tariff, it would end up costing the consumer about US$1.60. In effect, the 30 percent tariff was passed directly on to the consumer through higher retail prices. What American businesses are now saying is that they want that 30 percent tariff refunded. So the company that imported the bottle of wine from South Africa and sold it for US$1.60, comprising 30 percent tariff and 30 percent profit, now wants the tariff component returned to them. How consumers themselves will be reimbursed, if at all, remains unclear, and that is likely to become the next area of legal and commercial contestation. Meanwhile, American media is reporting that Donald Trump has gone into meltdown after the Supreme Court delivered this important ruling, which many had already predicted because it was clear to numerous legal experts that the tariffs were unlawful. Only his most loyal supporters insisted that the court would uphold them. The decision has triggered not only political shockwaves in Washington but also significant financial and legal consequences, as businesses begin positioning themselves to recover the money improperly collected by Trump’s government.
1:33

Businesses in America have moved quickly and are now demanding refunds for the tariffs they paid after the pronouncement by the United States Supreme Court that Donald Trump’s tariffs were illegal. So this is how the tariffs worked. If you imported goods from South Africa and there was an illegal 30 percent tariff on them, the company importing the goods from South Africa would have had to pay that 30 percent tariff to the American government and then pass that cost on to the consumer. For instance, if an American company ordered a bottle of wine from South Africa and there was a 30 percent tariff on it, which the Supreme Court has now pronounced illegal, and that bottle cost US$1 to import, once it reached America the importer would have to add the 30 percent tariff, taking the cost to US$1.30. The importing company would then add its own margin, say another US$0.30 as profit. Ordinarily, without the tariff, that bottle might have retailed at around US$1.30, but because of the additional 30 percent tariff, it would end up costing the consumer about US$1.60. In effect, the 30 percent tariff was passed directly on to the consumer through higher retail prices. What American businesses are now saying is that they want that 30 percent tariff refunded. So the company that imported the bottle of wine from South Africa and sold it for US$1.60, comprising 30 percent tariff and 30 percent profit, now wants the tariff component returned to them. How consumers themselves will be reimbursed, if at all, remains unclear, and that is likely to become the next area of legal and commercial contestation. Meanwhile, American media is reporting that Donald Trump has gone into meltdown after the Supreme Court delivered this important ruling, which many had already predicted because it was clear to numerous legal experts that the tariffs were unlawful. Only his most loyal supporters insisted that the court would uphold them. The decision has triggered not only political shockwaves in Washington but also significant financial and legal consequences, as businesses begin positioning themselves to recover the money improperly collected by Trump’s government.

Hopewell Chin’ono

42,592 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

Trump made a stunning reversal today - and that’s why stock markets are soaring. After the President repeatedly said he wasn’t going to pause his massive tariff plan, Trump is now putting a 90-day pause on most tariffs - reducing them to 10% But the US-China trade war is escalating. The US is raising its tariff of Chinese goods to a total of 125% and in response, China is raising its total tariff rate on US goods to 84%. The world’s superpowers are in this risky game of chicken- looking to see who is going to blink first. #trump #tariffs #china #pause #stockmarket #bonds ABC News ABC NewsNewsLive
1:56

Trump made a stunning reversal today - and that’s why stock markets are soaring. After the President repeatedly said he wasn’t going to pause his massive tariff plan, Trump is now putting a 90-day pause on most tariffs - reducing them to 10% But the US-China trade war is escalating. The US is raising its tariff of Chinese goods to a total of 125% and in response, China is raising its total tariff rate on US goods to 84%. The world’s superpowers are in this risky game of chicken- looking to see who is going to blink first. #trump #tariffs #china #pause #stockmarket #bonds ABC News ABC NewsNewsLive

Selina Wang

10,515 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

russia is not on the US tariff list because the US does not trade with russia, says the US Treasury Secretary. In fact, they do trade, even more than with Mauritius or Brunei, for example, which were added to the tariff list. Cuba, Belarus, and North Korea were also not included in the list "because the existing tariffs and sanctions against them are already very high," explained the White House press secretary.
0:22

russia is not on the US tariff list because the US does not trade with russia, says the US Treasury Secretary. In fact, they do trade, even more than with Mauritius or Brunei, for example, which were added to the tariff list. Cuba, Belarus, and North Korea were also not included in the list "because the existing tariffs and sanctions against them are already very high," explained the White House press secretary.

Jürgen Nauditt 🇩🇪🇺🇦

200,265 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

#WATCH | New York | On 50% US Tariffs on India, Executive Director of the Observer Research Foundation America, Dhruva Jaishankar, says, "... From India's point of view, there is a very clear understanding that the 50% tariff is unusually high, and that, particularly, the 25% extra tariff that the Trump administration has imposed for the purchase of Russian oil needs to be brought down, and that it is having consequences for bilateral trade and also for the broader environment... The fact that both sides are working towards this is now a positive after about two months of a frigid relationship at the top levels between the US and India."
1:22

#WATCH | New York | On 50% US Tariffs on India, Executive Director of the Observer Research Foundation America, Dhruva Jaishankar, says, "... From India's point of view, there is a very clear understanding that the 50% tariff is unusually high, and that, particularly, the 25% extra tariff that the Trump administration has imposed for the purchase of Russian oil needs to be brought down, and that it is having consequences for bilateral trade and also for the broader environment... The fact that both sides are working towards this is now a positive after about two months of a frigid relationship at the top levels between the US and India."

ANI

494,302 görüntüleme • 11 ay önce

#WATCH | On announcing 25% tariff, plus a penalty on India, US President Donald Trump says, "...Prime Minister Modi is a friend of mine, but they don't do very much business in terms of business with us. They sell a lot to us, but we don't buy from them...Because the tariff is so high. They have one of the highest tariffs in the world now. They are willing to cut it very substantially. But we will see what happens...." He further says, "We are negotiating right now and it's also BRICS. BRICS, which is basically a group of countries that are anti the United States and India is a member of that...It is an attack on the dollar and we are not going to let anybody attack the dollar. So it's partially BRICS and it's partially trade...We had a tremendous deficit. Prime Minister Modi is a friend of mine, but they don't do very much business in terms of business with us. They sell a lot to us, but we don't buy from them...Because the tariff is so high. They have one of the highest tariffs in the world. Now, they are willing to cut it very substantially. But we will see what happens. We are talking to India now. We will see what happens. It doesn't matter too much whether we have a deal or we charge them a certain tariff. But you will know at the end of this week..." (Source: The White House)
1:12

#WATCH | On announcing 25% tariff, plus a penalty on India, US President Donald Trump says, "...Prime Minister Modi is a friend of mine, but they don't do very much business in terms of business with us. They sell a lot to us, but we don't buy from them...Because the tariff is so high. They have one of the highest tariffs in the world now. They are willing to cut it very substantially. But we will see what happens...." He further says, "We are negotiating right now and it's also BRICS. BRICS, which is basically a group of countries that are anti the United States and India is a member of that...It is an attack on the dollar and we are not going to let anybody attack the dollar. So it's partially BRICS and it's partially trade...We had a tremendous deficit. Prime Minister Modi is a friend of mine, but they don't do very much business in terms of business with us. They sell a lot to us, but we don't buy from them...Because the tariff is so high. They have one of the highest tariffs in the world. Now, they are willing to cut it very substantially. But we will see what happens. We are talking to India now. We will see what happens. It doesn't matter too much whether we have a deal or we charge them a certain tariff. But you will know at the end of this week..." (Source: The White House)

ANI

591,429 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

Wes Anderson in #Cannes mocks Donald Trump's plan for movie tariffs. “The tariff is interesting because the 100% tariff, I’ve never heard of a 100% tariff before. I’m not an expert in that area of economics, but I feel that means he’s saying he’s going to take all the money and then what do we what do we get? So it’s complicated to me. Can you hold up the movie in customs? It doesn’t ship that way.”
0:45

Wes Anderson in #Cannes mocks Donald Trump's plan for movie tariffs. “The tariff is interesting because the 100% tariff, I’ve never heard of a 100% tariff before. I’m not an expert in that area of economics, but I feel that means he’s saying he’s going to take all the money and then what do we what do we get? So it’s complicated to me. Can you hold up the movie in customs? It doesn’t ship that way.”

Variety

2,081,390 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

Distinguished UChicago Prof. John Mearsheimer on the fallout from Trump's tariff threats: "Countries are realizing that a partnership with the US is not in their best interest... they want to have alternative trading partners."
1:07

Distinguished UChicago Prof. John Mearsheimer on the fallout from Trump's tariff threats: "Countries are realizing that a partnership with the US is not in their best interest... they want to have alternative trading partners."

Steve Hanke

14,961 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

🚨🇺🇸 TRUMP: MY FAVORITE WORD IS TARIFF “The word, remember when I said tariff? My favorite word is tariff. But then I got a lot of heat from the fake news... It’s turning out, you know, tariffs are bringing us hundreds of billions of dollars. I just helped our farmers out because they’re starting to do really well. But in order to try and negotiate, some countries played a little cute and we just gave them right out of a tariff. Money cost us nothing. Right? Out of the billion, hundreds of billions that we’ve taken in. We gave the farmers a little help, $12 billion, and they are so happy, and all they want is a level playing field and now it’s happening, and the tariffs are making them rich.” Source: RSBN
1:29

🚨🇺🇸 TRUMP: MY FAVORITE WORD IS TARIFF “The word, remember when I said tariff? My favorite word is tariff. But then I got a lot of heat from the fake news... It’s turning out, you know, tariffs are bringing us hundreds of billions of dollars. I just helped our farmers out because they’re starting to do really well. But in order to try and negotiate, some countries played a little cute and we just gave them right out of a tariff. Money cost us nothing. Right? Out of the billion, hundreds of billions that we’ve taken in. We gave the farmers a little help, $12 billion, and they are so happy, and all they want is a level playing field and now it’s happening, and the tariffs are making them rich.” Source: RSBN

Mario Nawfal

35,625 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

WATCH: The Bloomberg Host tried to claim that Trump's tariffs will hurt America's economy but ended up getting schooled by Trump on the facts "The higher the tariff, the more likely it is that the company will come into the United States and build a factory in the US so it doesn't have to pay the tariff." Trump also revealed how his tariff on Chinese steel saved America's steel industry, and the host had no comeback. This is what happens when the "experts" get confronted with reality and not the fictitious theoretical world they live in.
3:08

WATCH: The Bloomberg Host tried to claim that Trump's tariffs will hurt America's economy but ended up getting schooled by Trump on the facts "The higher the tariff, the more likely it is that the company will come into the United States and build a factory in the US so it doesn't have to pay the tariff." Trump also revealed how his tariff on Chinese steel saved America's steel industry, and the host had no comeback. This is what happens when the "experts" get confronted with reality and not the fictitious theoretical world they live in.

George

390,885 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

Femi Oluwole, "Trump's position is if we want to get rid of the tariffs he's just put on us" "We need to copy his rules and follow his regulations, not be close to the EU" "We need to make the NHS pay more for drugs so the Americans can pay less" "Given that we do 3x as much trade with the EU as we do with America, anybody saying we should prioritise trade with America and not with the EU doesn't care about the UK" "And in terms of agriculture Trump says he wants to sell American food here which would undercut British farmers, because America puts chlorine in its chicken, hormones in its beef. That would damage food security in the UK" "It would hurt farmers in the UK significantly, farmers who are already being undercut by Australian beef because of the post Brexit trade deal" "Trump is also compromising our security because he's giving a blank cheque to Putin saying take Europe for all I care" "And Trump's policies in the middle east are basically compromising our security by painting a target on our back" Ed Balls, "You're saying to Keir Starmer, don't do a deal with Donald Trump to reduce the 10% tariff" Femi Oluwole then explains the cost of the 10% tariff with the cost of Brexit, but Ed Balls interjects saying the explanation is too complicated - that's experts for you 🤷‍♂️ Ed Balls, "Is it better to accept the 10% tariff or try and do a deal on tech regulation, drugs and food, to try and reduce the tariff?" Femi Oluwole, "The cost of getting rid of that 10% tariff would be significantly more"
2:02

Femi Oluwole, "Trump's position is if we want to get rid of the tariffs he's just put on us" "We need to copy his rules and follow his regulations, not be close to the EU" "We need to make the NHS pay more for drugs so the Americans can pay less" "Given that we do 3x as much trade with the EU as we do with America, anybody saying we should prioritise trade with America and not with the EU doesn't care about the UK" "And in terms of agriculture Trump says he wants to sell American food here which would undercut British farmers, because America puts chlorine in its chicken, hormones in its beef. That would damage food security in the UK" "It would hurt farmers in the UK significantly, farmers who are already being undercut by Australian beef because of the post Brexit trade deal" "Trump is also compromising our security because he's giving a blank cheque to Putin saying take Europe for all I care" "And Trump's policies in the middle east are basically compromising our security by painting a target on our back" Ed Balls, "You're saying to Keir Starmer, don't do a deal with Donald Trump to reduce the 10% tariff" Femi Oluwole then explains the cost of the 10% tariff with the cost of Brexit, but Ed Balls interjects saying the explanation is too complicated - that's experts for you 🤷‍♂️ Ed Balls, "Is it better to accept the 10% tariff or try and do a deal on tech regulation, drugs and food, to try and reduce the tariff?" Femi Oluwole, "The cost of getting rid of that 10% tariff would be significantly more"

Farrukh

334,718 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

BARTIROMO: If you put that 100% tariff on top of what's in place already, you'd have a 157% tariff on China. What is that gonna do to the economy? TRUMP: It's not sustainable, but that's what the number is. It's probably not. You know, it could stand. But they forced me to do that.
0:44

BARTIROMO: If you put that 100% tariff on top of what's in place already, you'd have a 157% tariff on China. What is that gonna do to the economy? TRUMP: It's not sustainable, but that's what the number is. It's probably not. You know, it could stand. But they forced me to do that.

Aaron Rupar

671,982 görüntüleme • 10 ay önce

Reporter: What are you hoping to achieve with a 50% tariff on the E.U.? Trump: There is no tariff. What they will do is they will send their companies into the US Reporter: Are you looking for a deal in 9 days? Trump: I’m not looking for a deal. We’ve set the deal at 50%
0:46

Reporter: What are you hoping to achieve with a 50% tariff on the E.U.? Trump: There is no tariff. What they will do is they will send their companies into the US Reporter: Are you looking for a deal in 9 days? Trump: I’m not looking for a deal. We’ve set the deal at 50%

Acyn

1,780,685 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

EXPLAINER: Why did stock markets go back to falling today? Reality setting in that US-China trade war is only going to get worse. Total tariff rate on goods from China to US: 145% Total tariff rate on goods from US to China: 84% Trump today sounded optimistic that China would come to the table for a deal, but China experts are telling me Xi Jinping is playing hardball. Xi wants to show the Chinese people that China can withstand the economic pain from Trump’s tariffs and what Beijing is calling Americas “bullying”. Trump's trade war also feeds into the strategy that Xi has been working on for years: become less reliant on the United States. But this is going to be painful for BOTH countries. Last year, the US imported more than $400 billion worth of goods from China – everything from electronics, cell phones, to toys, furniture, clothing and more. US importers have to pay more than double the cost now to import those goods. And the US exports a lot of soybeans to China, so china’s retaliatory tariffs, could hit American farmers the hardest. ABC News ABC NewsNewsLive ABC NewsPolitics
2:38

EXPLAINER: Why did stock markets go back to falling today? Reality setting in that US-China trade war is only going to get worse. Total tariff rate on goods from China to US: 145% Total tariff rate on goods from US to China: 84% Trump today sounded optimistic that China would come to the table for a deal, but China experts are telling me Xi Jinping is playing hardball. Xi wants to show the Chinese people that China can withstand the economic pain from Trump’s tariffs and what Beijing is calling Americas “bullying”. Trump's trade war also feeds into the strategy that Xi has been working on for years: become less reliant on the United States. But this is going to be painful for BOTH countries. Last year, the US imported more than $400 billion worth of goods from China – everything from electronics, cell phones, to toys, furniture, clothing and more. US importers have to pay more than double the cost now to import those goods. And the US exports a lot of soybeans to China, so china’s retaliatory tariffs, could hit American farmers the hardest. ABC News ABC NewsNewsLive ABC NewsPolitics

Selina Wang

12,411 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

Reporter: Were you worried about the 145% tariffs were doing to small businesses in the U.S.? Trump: No.. I said it is a high tariff, but I have not brought it down. It means China is not doing any business with us because it is a very high number. China is not doing any business. They were doing $1.1 trillion. Think of that. 1.1 trillion dollars. Do you know what that is? It was very unfair to us
1:02

Reporter: Were you worried about the 145% tariffs were doing to small businesses in the U.S.? Trump: No.. I said it is a high tariff, but I have not brought it down. It means China is not doing any business with us because it is a very high number. China is not doing any business. They were doing $1.1 trillion. Think of that. 1.1 trillion dollars. Do you know what that is? It was very unfair to us

Acyn

1,181,852 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

MULCAIR: "Prior to Donald Trump winning his second election, we put ourselves in lockstep with the Americans for a 100% tariff on Chinese EVs. What did that get us in return from the US? It got us beaten up with tariffs and an intentional attack on our economy."
0:53

MULCAIR: "Prior to Donald Trump winning his second election, we put ourselves in lockstep with the Americans for a 100% tariff on Chinese EVs. What did that get us in return from the US? It got us beaten up with tariffs and an intentional attack on our economy."

Scott Robertson

106,517 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce