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Prediction markets hit 38M weekly transactions but still rely on opaque oracles and humans to resolve outcomes. What we need: AI to create and resolve the markets. Verifiable data streams that can be seen onchain. Decentralised compute for trust. We have all the components for this with Somnia. Building...

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paul.somi

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17,732 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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We believe the future of prediction markets is decentralised and permissionless. Anyone being able to make a market on anything. In order to do this you need AI and data you can verify and trust. This will all run on the Somnia blockchain.
1:11

We believe the future of prediction markets is decentralised and permissionless. Anyone being able to make a market on anything. In order to do this you need AI and data you can verify and trust. This will all run on the Somnia blockchain.

paul.somi

18,452 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

Reactivity is going to be a game changer for Somnia. It will allow you to react to state a data changes fully onchain. No offchain compute needed. This will enable new strategies in DeFi, more types of prediction markets and fully onchain games. New primitives create new apps
1:06

Reactivity is going to be a game changer for Somnia. It will allow you to react to state a data changes fully onchain. No offchain compute needed. This will enable new strategies in DeFi, more types of prediction markets and fully onchain games. New primitives create new apps

paul.somi

20,784 görüntüleme • 10 ay önce

Coinbase’s Shan Aggarwal on why everything in finance is moving onchain. “We think that all assets are going to get tokenized and be onchain in some capacity. It just provides better infrastructure for financial transactions.” That vision is driving Coinbase’s push to build what they call the “everything exchange”, not just for crypto, but for equities, prediction markets, and even trading directly on Dexs. As Shan put it, the lines between off-chain and on-chain finance are already starting to blur, and Coinbase wants to be the platform where it all converges.
1:12

Coinbase’s Shan Aggarwal on why everything in finance is moving onchain. “We think that all assets are going to get tokenized and be onchain in some capacity. It just provides better infrastructure for financial transactions.” That vision is driving Coinbase’s push to build what they call the “everything exchange”, not just for crypto, but for equities, prediction markets, and even trading directly on Dexs. As Shan put it, the lines between off-chain and on-chain finance are already starting to blur, and Coinbase wants to be the platform where it all converges.

TBPN

54,076 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

Smart contracts can't read the world, so we bolt on layers: ❖ Oracles for data ❖ Keepers to schedule ❖ Co-processors for compute Every fix adds layers of trust to a trustless system. Ritual restores trustlessness to the L1, with all the world's compute natively onchain.
0:33

Smart contracts can't read the world, so we bolt on layers: ❖ Oracles for data ❖ Keepers to schedule ❖ Co-processors for compute Every fix adds layers of trust to a trustless system. Ritual restores trustlessness to the L1, with all the world's compute natively onchain.

Ritual Foundation

24,072 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

The biggest marketplace on earth won't be assets humans own. It'll be the data AI needs. And we won't see any of it. I sat down with Jordi Visser to map out Reed's Law, the invisible economy, the AI supercycle, and what it all means for capital markets. As ever, please enjoy!
1:12:10

The biggest marketplace on earth won't be assets humans own. It'll be the data AI needs. And we won't see any of it. I sat down with Jordi Visser to map out Reed's Law, the invisible economy, the AI supercycle, and what it all means for capital markets. As ever, please enjoy!

Raoul Pal

167,465 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

If we want to resolve our current income, wealth, and productivity gap, we need to get back to the basics. We need good education, so our children are productive and can work well together. We need a civil society with rule of law, and good capital markets that produce good income. And we need to double down on the fundamentals — earning more than we spend, and having more assets than liabilities. Do all of that, and we’ll be in great shape.
0:37

If we want to resolve our current income, wealth, and productivity gap, we need to get back to the basics. We need good education, so our children are productive and can work well together. We need a civil society with rule of law, and good capital markets that produce good income. And we need to double down on the fundamentals — earning more than we spend, and having more assets than liabilities. Do all of that, and we’ll be in great shape.

Ray Dalio

92,406 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

“In Predictive Allocation you are allocating capital to where you think markets need to exist next. Prediction markets are for bets on what you think is true, they create asymmetric upside but not the actual outcomes. What if you could do that, while bootstrapping new markets?”
5:07

“In Predictive Allocation you are allocating capital to where you think markets need to exist next. Prediction markets are for bets on what you think is true, they create asymmetric upside but not the actual outcomes. What if you could do that, while bootstrapping new markets?”

Aerodrome

26,482 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

This might be another possible utility for $POLY. Creating your own markets feature Polymarket team applied for "Create your own market" trademark Now we def know we'll be able to create markets ourselves And, imo, it would be cool if ppl had to use $POLY for that feature Because it would resolve several issues at once: > The real utility for the token > Preventing the creation of low-quality markets > Ensuring liquidity But here's a question. What will come first: $POLY or that feature?
0:20

This might be another possible utility for $POLY. Creating your own markets feature Polymarket team applied for "Create your own market" trademark Now we def know we'll be able to create markets ourselves And, imo, it would be cool if ppl had to use $POLY for that feature Because it would resolve several issues at once: > The real utility for the token > Preventing the creation of low-quality markets > Ensuring liquidity But here's a question. What will come first: $POLY or that feature?

banana0x

19,530 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

Prediction markets are shaping up to be crypto’s defining consumer app We discuss Polymarket's $2B raise and what it means for the future of prediction markets Santiago R Santos
1:10

Prediction markets are shaping up to be crypto’s defining consumer app We discuss Polymarket's $2B raise and what it means for the future of prediction markets Santiago R Santos

Empire 🟪

14,152 görüntüleme • 10 ay önce

oracles are already fully implemented in crypto exchanges and prediction markets the next big implementation is actually going to be in AI (not just stablecoin pricing for settlements by agents, that’s a given) access to data that’s privatized ie real world asset price feeds
0:27

oracles are already fully implemented in crypto exchanges and prediction markets the next big implementation is actually going to be in AI (not just stablecoin pricing for settlements by agents, that’s a given) access to data that’s privatized ie real world asset price feeds

gainzy

19,143 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

David Friedberg's forecast for 2026: Prediction markets become the news “I think Polymarket's evolved from being kind of this one-off quirky prediction market to actually really providing insights into current events and the news in a way that none of us anticipated.” “And I do expect that after the deal we saw with NYSE, that all of the exchanges, and we're already seeing this with Robinhood and Coinbase, and we should expect something from Nasdaq this year … but I do think that prediction markets could become not just markets, but also news.” “And I think Polymarket’s just in such a position to have a breakout year.”
0:36

David Friedberg's forecast for 2026: Prediction markets become the news “I think Polymarket's evolved from being kind of this one-off quirky prediction market to actually really providing insights into current events and the news in a way that none of us anticipated.” “And I do expect that after the deal we saw with NYSE, that all of the exchanges, and we're already seeing this with Robinhood and Coinbase, and we should expect something from Nasdaq this year … but I do think that prediction markets could become not just markets, but also news.” “And I think Polymarket’s just in such a position to have a breakout year.”

The All-In Podcast

78,434 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

During Binance Blockchain Week, we launched Predictions in Trust Wallet! The first ever wallet-native prediction markets powered by Myriad. Farokh sat with Trust Wallet CMO Sami to talk all things prediction markets and why Trust Wallet made the move to natively integrate them.
6:06

During Binance Blockchain Week, we launched Predictions in Trust Wallet! The first ever wallet-native prediction markets powered by Myriad. Farokh sat with Trust Wallet CMO Sami to talk all things prediction markets and why Trust Wallet made the move to natively integrate them.

MYRIAD

10,969 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

Tony Blair and Oracle co-founder Larry Ellison plan to use digital ID to "unify" all data on each country's citizens "so it can be consumed and used by" their AI models. "We have to take all of this data... and move it into a single... unified data platform." "When we want to ask a question, we've provided that AI model with all the data they need to understand our country." "We need to unify all of the national data, put it into a database where it's easily consumable by the AI model, and then ask whatever question you like."
1:06

Tony Blair and Oracle co-founder Larry Ellison plan to use digital ID to "unify" all data on each country's citizens "so it can be consumed and used by" their AI models. "We have to take all of this data... and move it into a single... unified data platform." "When we want to ask a question, we've provided that AI model with all the data they need to understand our country." "We need to unify all of the national data, put it into a database where it's easily consumable by the AI model, and then ask whatever question you like."

Wide Awake Media

54,156 görüntüleme • 10 ay önce

President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, on Wednesday in Lagos, inaugurated a Committee on Strategy, Conflict Resolution and Mobilisation to resolve conflicts within the All Progressives Congress as it approaches the 2027 general elections. "We must continue to be resolute that this democracy that we take in our hands must not fail. We say we are bigger. We are larger and taller. But it should now be in our hearts to be accommodating. That's the only way we can be resilient, we must be tolerant."
1:42

President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, on Wednesday in Lagos, inaugurated a Committee on Strategy, Conflict Resolution and Mobilisation to resolve conflicts within the All Progressives Congress as it approaches the 2027 general elections. "We must continue to be resolute that this democracy that we take in our hands must not fail. We say we are bigger. We are larger and taller. But it should now be in our hearts to be accommodating. That's the only way we can be resilient, we must be tolerant."

Daddy D.O🇳🇬

26,264 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

Mert on physics, incentives, and what comes next: "Just building a network is extremely difficult. There's a reason people haven't been able to drastically surpass Solana's scale without taking all sorts of shortcuts." "From a physics perspective, this is the most usable, most battle tested system that still allows permissionless global access, entrepreneurs and users all coming to one place." "The next wave is onchain prediction markets, onchain tokenized equities, institutional payments and privacy."
0:50

Mert on physics, incentives, and what comes next: "Just building a network is extremely difficult. There's a reason people haven't been able to drastically surpass Solana's scale without taking all sorts of shortcuts." "From a physics perspective, this is the most usable, most battle tested system that still allows permissionless global access, entrepreneurs and users all coming to one place." "The next wave is onchain prediction markets, onchain tokenized equities, institutional payments and privacy."

Solana

71,552 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

One of the things we wanted to get right with Prophecy is resolution transparency. You can see the exact prompt the AI uses, which data sources it pulls from, and how it reaches consensus. We think this is essential to be able to trust markets and attract larger capital.
1:15

One of the things we wanted to get right with Prophecy is resolution transparency. You can see the exact prompt the AI uses, which data sources it pulls from, and how it reaches consensus. We think this is essential to be able to trust markets and attract larger capital.

paul.somi

17,124 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

“What we launched is the ability to assign a unique identifier to an AI agent, and relate that to a human” - evin, on the Deep Trust framework. Billions is creating a trust framework that makes AI: ✅ Unique ✅ Verifiable ✅ Assignable It’s how AI begins to work with us, not just for us.
0:43

“What we launched is the ability to assign a unique identifier to an AI agent, and relate that to a human” - evin, on the Deep Trust framework. Billions is creating a trust framework that makes AI: ✅ Unique ✅ Verifiable ✅ Assignable It’s how AI begins to work with us, not just for us.

Billions Network

21,179 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

Meiselas: We need to really reevaluate and reflect on what the hell is happening with Israel. We have to all acknowledge the genocide taking place in Palestine right now. We have to all work to make sure that it is American policy to stop this genocide. And it should be disqualifying for anybody who doesn't call it a genocide and who doesn't work to end the genocide and who doesn't work for a Palestinian state.
1:02

Meiselas: We need to really reevaluate and reflect on what the hell is happening with Israel. We have to all acknowledge the genocide taking place in Palestine right now. We have to all work to make sure that it is American policy to stop this genocide. And it should be disqualifying for anybody who doesn't call it a genocide and who doesn't work to end the genocide and who doesn't work for a Palestinian state.

MeidasClips

11,809 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

I created a prediction market trading terminal with a real-time news feed that matches alpha with relevant markets. This enables you to snipe markets before they resolve to Yes with confirmed results. Let me know if you would be interested in the beta!
0:26

I created a prediction market trading terminal with a real-time news feed that matches alpha with relevant markets. This enables you to snipe markets before they resolve to Yes with confirmed results. Let me know if you would be interested in the beta!

Agape Keleta

220,345 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

🇷🇺🇺🇸 PUTIN CONFIRMS: “DISCUSSIONS WITH TRUMP IN ALASKA REMAIN OUR BASIS FOR PEACE” “We did not reveal what exactly was discussed during the Anchorage meeting. We said that there is a general understanding from the United States and an understanding on the Russian side about where we can move and what can be done to resolve this conflict through peaceful means. And those are not simple issues. So we agreed with Trump that I will go back to Moscow and think about this issue and consult with my allies. And he said the same. This is a complicated set of questions that require a thorough review. But we are still grounded in that discussion that took place in Anchorage. We don’t change anything here. And we still believe there is work to be done on all of the sides. But we are still within the framework of the agreements reached in Alaska.” Source: RNA
1:23

🇷🇺🇺🇸 PUTIN CONFIRMS: “DISCUSSIONS WITH TRUMP IN ALASKA REMAIN OUR BASIS FOR PEACE” “We did not reveal what exactly was discussed during the Anchorage meeting. We said that there is a general understanding from the United States and an understanding on the Russian side about where we can move and what can be done to resolve this conflict through peaceful means. And those are not simple issues. So we agreed with Trump that I will go back to Moscow and think about this issue and consult with my allies. And he said the same. This is a complicated set of questions that require a thorough review. But we are still grounded in that discussion that took place in Anchorage. We don’t change anything here. And we still believe there is work to be done on all of the sides. But we are still within the framework of the agreements reached in Alaska.” Source: RNA

Mario Nawfal

247,568 görüntüleme • 10 ay önce