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RANT ALERT! Here is a clip from my weekly update to subs talking about why the fixed strike surface moves on SPX clearly indicate the market maker community is back to long gamma positioning on the latest rally in markets. Using common sense and tracking the price action in...

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Imran Lakha | Options Insight

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22,534 görüntüleme • 3 yıl önce •via X (Twitter)

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Bitcoin opened above the weekly Bollinger Bands basis If we are in a bull market, price will rally to the upper band and walk the band higher If are still in a bear market, one candle above the Bollinger Band basis is typically all we get 2-min video here, full vid on Slice
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Bitcoin opened above the weekly Bollinger Bands basis If we are in a bull market, price will rally to the upper band and walk the band higher If are still in a bear market, one candle above the Bollinger Band basis is typically all we get 2-min video here, full vid on Slice

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The oil market is about to break. Not in price. In availability. Jeffrey Currie 🆔++ on CNBC yesterday and the market still isn’t listening. “It’s not the price of oil that matters here. It’s the availability of oil.” A thread on why the next few weeks could be the most important in the oil market this decade. 🧵
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The oil market is about to break. Not in price. In availability. Jeffrey Currie 🆔++ on CNBC yesterday and the market still isn’t listening. “It’s not the price of oil that matters here. It’s the availability of oil.” A thread on why the next few weeks could be the most important in the oil market this decade. 🧵

Qasem Al-Ali

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One for the $KAS community. I’ve noticed so many people turning on eachother lately. Why? Price. Nobody is happy with price, all long term believes are down and didn’t sell at a ‘good’ price. Yet the tech only got better. If $KAS is to succeed, and it deserves to, we as a community need to support eachother, the developers and the builders more than ever. Those that sold, are still watching, there is capital ready to flood back in with the right sentiment and a shift in the macro market. Stop taking your anger and depression out on others, keep supporting eachother or you’ll push people away from building and the liquidity waiting on the sidelines may also shift away, at least partially.
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One for the $KAS community. I’ve noticed so many people turning on eachother lately. Why? Price. Nobody is happy with price, all long term believes are down and didn’t sell at a ‘good’ price. Yet the tech only got better. If $KAS is to succeed, and it deserves to, we as a community need to support eachother, the developers and the builders more than ever. Those that sold, are still watching, there is capital ready to flood back in with the right sentiment and a shift in the macro market. Stop taking your anger and depression out on others, keep supporting eachother or you’ll push people away from building and the liquidity waiting on the sidelines may also shift away, at least partially.

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Here is a clip showing how to use the Market Finder at a weekly level to search the entire world and identify all markets with panic cycles this week and next. There is no system in the world that provides such technical and timing analysis globally in minutes.
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Here is a clip showing how to use the Market Finder at a weekly level to search the entire world and identify all markets with panic cycles this week and next. There is no system in the world that provides such technical and timing analysis globally in minutes.

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Go back through my posts this morning and add the posts to a Tradingview chart... then watch the Market Maker in action...
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Go back through my posts this morning and add the posts to a Tradingview chart... then watch the Market Maker in action...

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Mr. Rakesh Jhunjhunwala on how he dealt with losses in the stock market 📈📉 It is very important to be humble, accept mistakes and learn from them in the stock market. Only way to survive in the long term. Credit: A clip taken from Moneycontrol YouTube channel

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Will

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a citadel execution trader posted his resignation letter two years ago buried in paragraph three: "the retail positioning data we received was the single most reliable signal in our entire book" nobody talked about it. i couldn't stop thinking about it every time you place a market order on robinhood or webull, it hits a wholesaler before any exchange ever sees it. citadel pays $3 billion a year for that privilege - to know exactly where retail is leaning before price moves that data is technically public. the SEC mandates quarterly PFOF disclosures on EDGAR, every wholesaler, every quarter so i built a model off it: when retail is net long >68% on SPY options, market makers are holding the offsetting short gamma - and market makers don't speculate, they hedge immediately, mechanically, in the same direction every single time that hedge pressure moves price against retail positioning in 71% of cases on a 3-5 day window only question worth asking isn't "where will the market go?" - it's where is retail positioned right now, and where does the mechanical hedge force price as a direct consequence data is free, EDGAR has all of it, weekend of python to build Bookmark this they've been showing you the wrong scoreboard your entire trading life. the one that matters is the one where the people who bought your order flow are keeping score
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a citadel execution trader posted his resignation letter two years ago buried in paragraph three: "the retail positioning data we received was the single most reliable signal in our entire book" nobody talked about it. i couldn't stop thinking about it every time you place a market order on robinhood or webull, it hits a wholesaler before any exchange ever sees it. citadel pays $3 billion a year for that privilege - to know exactly where retail is leaning before price moves that data is technically public. the SEC mandates quarterly PFOF disclosures on EDGAR, every wholesaler, every quarter so i built a model off it: when retail is net long >68% on SPY options, market makers are holding the offsetting short gamma - and market makers don't speculate, they hedge immediately, mechanically, in the same direction every single time that hedge pressure moves price against retail positioning in 71% of cases on a 3-5 day window only question worth asking isn't "where will the market go?" - it's where is retail positioned right now, and where does the mechanical hedge force price as a direct consequence data is free, EDGAR has all of it, weekend of python to build Bookmark this they've been showing you the wrong scoreboard your entire trading life. the one that matters is the one where the people who bought your order flow are keeping score

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Six categories have defined market data for decades. There's now a seventh: positioning. How much of a stock is passive. How much is truly active. How much is short. On the latest Risk & Return, Bob Sloan makes the case for the data investors need to understand markets now. Links to full episode in next post.
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Six categories have defined market data for decades. There's now a seventh: positioning. How much of a stock is passive. How much is truly active. How much is short. On the latest Risk & Return, Bob Sloan makes the case for the data investors need to understand markets now. Links to full episode in next post.

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In my latest video, I explain the key factors of the crypto market, why we still have a long way to go in 2025 & why it’s the best investment of our generation. + The 2 best strategies to build wealth in this market. Don’t miss it. Full Video:
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In my latest video, I explain the key factors of the crypto market, why we still have a long way to go in 2025 & why it’s the best investment of our generation. + The 2 best strategies to build wealth in this market. Don’t miss it. Full Video:

Vandell | Black Swan Capitalist

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5.5 billion people on the internet. All of them use money. Lily Liu on the token supercycle. "What we're in the midst of right now is the token supercycle. Everything of value is becoming programmable." "Money, assets, ownership, and markets are always going to move towards the largest market, and that largest market is the internet capital market." "This is not just a market rally or a near-term narrative. It's a structural transformation of global capital markets."
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5.5 billion people on the internet. All of them use money. Lily Liu on the token supercycle. "What we're in the midst of right now is the token supercycle. Everything of value is becoming programmable." "Money, assets, ownership, and markets are always going to move towards the largest market, and that largest market is the internet capital market." "This is not just a market rally or a near-term narrative. It's a structural transformation of global capital markets."

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Potential surge back for Memes? Or Utilities just getting started? With the recent resurgence of #Ethereum, utility projects in #DeFi, #AI, and #Gaming have experienced a notable surge in price action and social attention. These shifts have led to a subtle rotation in market focus, raising questions about the current positioning of #memecoins in the spotlight. Using the Spectre AI On-Chain Search Engine, we’ve been closely analyzing sector performance through advanced charts and sentiment data. One key observation is a slight curl in the meme sector charts. While memes have been leading the charge for much of this cycle, the last few weeks have seen their dominance ease slightly. However, the sector remains strong and continues to hold significant attention. $DOGE, as a prime driver of the meme sector, is one to watch closely. Its price action and sentiment may provide valuable clues about whether memecoins are poised to reclaim even greater momentum in the evolving market landscape. Murad 💹🧲 has a thesis on the upcoming meme super cycle. But, has it happened? Or is it about to roar? We’ll keep analyzing the trends and sharing insights. What’s your perspective on the current sector dynamics? #ai #eth #bitcoin $ETH $BTC $SPECT
2:06

Potential surge back for Memes? Or Utilities just getting started? With the recent resurgence of #Ethereum, utility projects in #DeFi, #AI, and #Gaming have experienced a notable surge in price action and social attention. These shifts have led to a subtle rotation in market focus, raising questions about the current positioning of #memecoins in the spotlight. Using the Spectre AI On-Chain Search Engine, we’ve been closely analyzing sector performance through advanced charts and sentiment data. One key observation is a slight curl in the meme sector charts. While memes have been leading the charge for much of this cycle, the last few weeks have seen their dominance ease slightly. However, the sector remains strong and continues to hold significant attention. $DOGE, as a prime driver of the meme sector, is one to watch closely. Its price action and sentiment may provide valuable clues about whether memecoins are poised to reclaim even greater momentum in the evolving market landscape. Murad 💹🧲 has a thesis on the upcoming meme super cycle. But, has it happened? Or is it about to roar? We’ll keep analyzing the trends and sharing insights. What’s your perspective on the current sector dynamics? #ai #eth #bitcoin $ETH $BTC $SPECT

SPECTRE AI

19,375 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

implied vol was 11.42% on Feb 19, 2020 realized vol over the next 30 days: 95.33% the market was pricing a normal week. what actually happened was one of the most violent moves in financial history that gap between implied and realized volatility is the single most important number quant desks watch implied vol is what options are pricing in for the future realized vol is what actually happened when implied is far below realized, options are cheap relative to what the market will actually do when implied is far above realized, options are expensive relative to what the market will actually do that spread has a name: the volatility risk premium Citadel, Susquehanna, Optiver built entire options desks around one question: what's the expected value of shorting overpriced vol vs buying underpriced vol? the scatter plot in the video shows every data point over years of history regression line: y = -0.73x + 18.5% translation: when implied vol is low, realized vol tends to explode. when implied vol is high, realized vol tends to collapse that's mean reversion in volatility itself. not price. vol retail buys calls hoping the stock goes up quant desks measure whether the option itself is mispriced relative to statistical expectation, and trade the premium one is a directional bet the other is arbitraging the gap between what people expect and what actually happens > volatility risk premium: documented in academic literature since the 1980s > average VRP on S&P 500: implied vol overprices realized vol by 3-5% historically > data: free from CBOE, Yahoo Finance, options chains > implementation: 20 lines of Python Feb 19, 2020 was a warning the math had been printing for weeks nobody in retail was reading it full breakdown in the video below
0:42

implied vol was 11.42% on Feb 19, 2020 realized vol over the next 30 days: 95.33% the market was pricing a normal week. what actually happened was one of the most violent moves in financial history that gap between implied and realized volatility is the single most important number quant desks watch implied vol is what options are pricing in for the future realized vol is what actually happened when implied is far below realized, options are cheap relative to what the market will actually do when implied is far above realized, options are expensive relative to what the market will actually do that spread has a name: the volatility risk premium Citadel, Susquehanna, Optiver built entire options desks around one question: what's the expected value of shorting overpriced vol vs buying underpriced vol? the scatter plot in the video shows every data point over years of history regression line: y = -0.73x + 18.5% translation: when implied vol is low, realized vol tends to explode. when implied vol is high, realized vol tends to collapse that's mean reversion in volatility itself. not price. vol retail buys calls hoping the stock goes up quant desks measure whether the option itself is mispriced relative to statistical expectation, and trade the premium one is a directional bet the other is arbitraging the gap between what people expect and what actually happens > volatility risk premium: documented in academic literature since the 1980s > average VRP on S&P 500: implied vol overprices realized vol by 3-5% historically > data: free from CBOE, Yahoo Finance, options chains > implementation: 20 lines of Python Feb 19, 2020 was a warning the math had been printing for weeks nobody in retail was reading it full breakdown in the video below

delost

28,202 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

US inflation is forecast to come in at 2.7% in the 12 months to June, which would indicate that tariffs are working their way into the prices Americans pay. Find out what's moving markets with the Reuters Market Rundown. Read more:
2:31

US inflation is forecast to come in at 2.7% in the 12 months to June, which would indicate that tariffs are working their way into the prices Americans pay. Find out what's moving markets with the Reuters Market Rundown. Read more:

Reuters Business

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"People made a fundamental miscalculation about the market DeFi is going after. If you think DeFi is servicing the crypto market that is a $2 trillion market. But DeFi is going to service crypto equities and bonds. That is a $300 trillion market. A 150x error" Matt Hougan on why DeFi is being rerated and why the phase shift happening in these assets is just getting started "You are now lending tokenized stocks on Morpho. That was not something we were talking about a year ago. It was a fantasy" "Rerate the market up 150x and rerate value capture from zero to something. That is why you are getting a phase shift in these assets" "People are realizing they need to adjust to the crypto takes the entire capital market phase. In which case DeFi is probably a lot bigger than it looks today"
1:33

"People made a fundamental miscalculation about the market DeFi is going after. If you think DeFi is servicing the crypto market that is a $2 trillion market. But DeFi is going to service crypto equities and bonds. That is a $300 trillion market. A 150x error" Matt Hougan on why DeFi is being rerated and why the phase shift happening in these assets is just getting started "You are now lending tokenized stocks on Morpho. That was not something we were talking about a year ago. It was a fantasy" "Rerate the market up 150x and rerate value capture from zero to something. That is why you are getting a phase shift in these assets" "People are realizing they need to adjust to the crypto takes the entire capital market phase. In which case DeFi is probably a lot bigger than it looks today"

The Wolf Of All Streets

36,903 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

I think Josh is spot on here. There are many names in the stock market that retail isn’t talking about and there are many names that could have parabolic moves other than the semi stocks. When the market gets too focused on one certain sector, that leaves a whole bunch of sectors wide open for opportunity.
1:22

I think Josh is spot on here. There are many names in the stock market that retail isn’t talking about and there are many names that could have parabolic moves other than the semi stocks. When the market gets too focused on one certain sector, that leaves a whole bunch of sectors wide open for opportunity.

Cole Grinde

43,449 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

$NVDA NVIDIA reports earnings today, so let’s break down its Gamma Exposure (GEX) 🧲 The heat map shows a significant concentration of positive Gamma at $230, indicating notable long-gamma positioning from market makers. That signal is reinforced when we look at Gamma Exposure by strike — the $230 level is far above every other Gamma level, making it especially important heading into earnings. I break down the full setup in this video. 📊👇
14:28

$NVDA NVIDIA reports earnings today, so let’s break down its Gamma Exposure (GEX) 🧲 The heat map shows a significant concentration of positive Gamma at $230, indicating notable long-gamma positioning from market makers. That signal is reinforced when we look at Gamma Exposure by strike — the $230 level is far above every other Gamma level, making it especially important heading into earnings. I break down the full setup in this video. 📊👇

Scholar

15,695 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

Commodity market guru Jeff Currie on the temporary drop in oil prices: "The market is overshooting to the downside... Basically you've had a buyer strike... In terms of thinking about what that means a month from now, you have a lot of pent-up demand that's going to come back."
0:20

Commodity market guru Jeff Currie on the temporary drop in oil prices: "The market is overshooting to the downside... Basically you've had a buyer strike... In terms of thinking about what that means a month from now, you have a lot of pent-up demand that's going to come back."

Steve Hanke

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“Why did the market lose ₦3 TRILLION in just one week?” 👀 There’s a major factor many investors aren’t talking about enough: Dangote Refinery Private Placement! Not all declines are bad news, Sometimes it’s just money moving, not money leaving. Are you following the crowd… or positioning ahead of it? Watch the full conversation on YouTube Nairametrics.tv
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“Why did the market lose ₦3 TRILLION in just one week?” 👀 There’s a major factor many investors aren’t talking about enough: Dangote Refinery Private Placement! Not all declines are bad news, Sometimes it’s just money moving, not money leaving. Are you following the crowd… or positioning ahead of it? Watch the full conversation on YouTube Nairametrics.tv

Nairametrics

15,841 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce