Refining our draft process to get closer to our goal.

Love the analysis. Id say iosivas is a hit below 73 if your going for role players. Hes a great wr 4 bad wr 3

Yeah I included him as one I just didn't say it in the video while recording

Are you worried about over fitting with adjusting this formula after the fact? Are you combatting this in some way?

We're not just adjusting based on Bengals scores. We're adjusting based on the league and what the top players at each position look like. The game changes, the player types change. We also adjust when new data emerges that has predictive value.

Right, the concern is more if you make these adjustments now and it leads to better outcomes or predictiveness there is the possibility you are biasing the results and the success may not replicate to future players/draft. Not sure what the answer is here just food for thought

Yep. That's why we try not to make drastic changes. The changes I've showed are over 6 years.

Can you break down the whole League to see what percent above 73 were hits

Love the work! This year’s draft class will be super helpful to test the board.

Yeah. I can't wait to see how it plays out.

Joe, can you do this breakdown with some other teams who are perhaps known more for their development? I’d like to see if they get more success out of lower scored players

What adjusted in the formula to have ADG (massively) and Markus Bailey lower, and Pratt/Knight/Carter higher?

Is anyone else getting a massive audio echo when they click on the post and play it full screen?

I noticed for players that don’t test, you often put 50 for RAS & RAS is 1/3 of the final avg. Could you instead exclude RAS from the avg for those guys & instead do a 10%ish penalty to their score? And/or adjust the RAS weight? RAS helped Jenkins and Lee, hurt Lew and Fairchild