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Republican Identification Shrunk 27.5% Since November 2024, Falling 11 Points; Now, 1 in 5 Independents Say They're 'Former America First/MAGA' | Inside The Numbers with THE PEOPLE'S PUNDIT The percentage of registered voters who identify as Republican has fallen from ≈40% in November 2024 to ≈29% now as July... show more

Rich Baris THE PEOPLE'S PUNDIT

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33,189 görüntüleme • 4 gün önce •via X (Twitter)

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🇺🇸 Robert Barnes is watching a number most coverage has skipped: Republican party affiliation is falling, and fast. Gallup has the swing at roughly 14 points toward Democrats since late 2024, from a 4-point Republican lead in Q4 2024 to a double-digit Democratic edge by early 2026. Unleaned Republican ID sits near its historic low, with a record 45% of Americans now calling themselves independents. Barnes's read: the base didn't sign up for this war, and the affiliation numbers are where it's finally showing. If that's what's driving it, does a deal bring them back? Or is this the kind of drift that doesn't reverse? Robert Barnes

🇺🇸 Robert Barnes is watching a number most coverage has skipped: Republican party affiliation is falling, and fast. Gallup has the swing at roughly 14 points toward Democrats since late 2024, from a 4-point Republican lead in Q4 2024 to a double-digit Democratic edge by early 2026. Unleaned Republican ID sits near its historic low, with a record 45% of Americans now calling themselves independents. Barnes's read: the base didn't sign up for this war, and the affiliation numbers are where it's finally showing. If that's what's driving it, does a deal bring them back? Or is this the kind of drift that doesn't reverse? Robert Barnes

Mario Nawfal

88,517 görüntüleme • 4 gün önce

Non-CIA Funded Polls Showed Iranians Originally Did NOT Want to Build Nukes | Barnes and Baris: What Are the Odds? Iranians did NOT want to build nuclear weapons. But now, U.S.-Israeli attacks provoked a change in public opinion, making it far more difficult to get a deal. Pre-Order "Burn It Down: What the Polls Say Young Americans Really Want"

Non-CIA Funded Polls Showed Iranians Originally Did NOT Want to Build Nukes | Barnes and Baris: What Are the Odds? Iranians did NOT want to build nuclear weapons. But now, U.S.-Israeli attacks provoked a change in public opinion, making it far more difficult to get a deal. Pre-Order "Burn It Down: What the Polls Say Young Americans Really Want"

Rich Baris THE PEOPLE'S PUNDIT

22,727 görüntüleme • 6 gün önce

WHOA: CNN’s own data analyst proves how Democrats have become the party of the unpatriotic. Meanwhile, Republican admiration for America has stayed exactly the same for 25 years. CNN: “Look at how we have an increasing polarization on this issue.” “Will display the flag on July 4th, the American flag.” “Back in July 2001, look at this. You had 68% of Republicans, 65% of Democrats saying that they would in fact display the flag on July 4th.” “You come over to this side of the screen, Republicans are basically where they were 25 years ago...” “But look at that Democratic percentage. Absolutely PLUMMETING!” “Just 27% of Democrats say they will in fact display the flag on July 4th.” “What about this idea, are you proud to be an American?” “Extremely or very proud to be an American.” “Again, look at this divide, a growing divide on this question.” “Back in January of 2001, 90% of Republicans, 85% of Democrats.” “You come over to this side of the screen in 2026, look at this!” “Again, the Democrat percentage absolutely plummets to just 29% of Democrats say they’re extremely or very proud to be an American.” “That Republican percentage, the EXACT same. 90 and 90.”

WHOA: CNN’s own data analyst proves how Democrats have become the party of the unpatriotic. Meanwhile, Republican admiration for America has stayed exactly the same for 25 years. CNN: “Look at how we have an increasing polarization on this issue.” “Will display the flag on July 4th, the American flag.” “Back in July 2001, look at this. You had 68% of Republicans, 65% of Democrats saying that they would in fact display the flag on July 4th.” “You come over to this side of the screen, Republicans are basically where they were 25 years ago...” “But look at that Democratic percentage. Absolutely PLUMMETING!” “Just 27% of Democrats say they will in fact display the flag on July 4th.” “What about this idea, are you proud to be an American?” “Extremely or very proud to be an American.” “Again, look at this divide, a growing divide on this question.” “Back in January of 2001, 90% of Republicans, 85% of Democrats.” “You come over to this side of the screen in 2026, look at this!” “Again, the Democrat percentage absolutely plummets to just 29% of Democrats say they’re extremely or very proud to be an American.” “That Republican percentage, the EXACT same. 90 and 90.”

Overton

11,978 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

🚨 HOLY CRAP! CNN was just forced to report that MAGA is STRONG, President Trump has near-RECORD enthusiasm in the Republican Party "When you're a Republican and go against Trump, you get VOTED OFF THE ISLAND!" 🔥 "As Indiana goes, so goes the NATION when it comes to Republican voters and Donald John Trump! He ABSOLUTELY has the juice." "There's this MYTH: 'Oh, Trump is really losing support among Republicans!' He's JUST as popular with Republicans as he's ever been at this point in midterm cycles." MAGA is alive and well 🇺🇸

🚨 HOLY CRAP! CNN was just forced to report that MAGA is STRONG, President Trump has near-RECORD enthusiasm in the Republican Party "When you're a Republican and go against Trump, you get VOTED OFF THE ISLAND!" 🔥 "As Indiana goes, so goes the NATION when it comes to Republican voters and Donald John Trump! He ABSOLUTELY has the juice." "There's this MYTH: 'Oh, Trump is really losing support among Republicans!' He's JUST as popular with Republicans as he's ever been at this point in midterm cycles." MAGA is alive and well 🇺🇸

Eric Daugherty

52,257 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

Voters who didn't cast a ballot in 2024 are pissed off, & it could reshape the midterms. Trump's net approval with them is down 54 pt since Nov 2024 to -50 pt now! A lot (48%) of these non-2024 voters say they're at least very likely to vote in 2026 & they favor Dems by 31 pt.

Voters who didn't cast a ballot in 2024 are pissed off, & it could reshape the midterms. Trump's net approval with them is down 54 pt since Nov 2024 to -50 pt now! A lot (48%) of these non-2024 voters say they're at least very likely to vote in 2026 & they favor Dems by 31 pt.

(((Harry Enten)))

180,217 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

CNN is sweating! They’re forced to admit that both California Governor candidates could be Republicans “Could Democrats be in for a California nightmare? — 2 MAGA-aligned Republicans could end up being the only 2 names on the November ballot” “The crowded race for governor has no clear leader, and in the primary, now just weeks away, all the candidates run on the same ballot with the top two vote-getters advancing to November, regardless of party. — If the Republicans draw enough of the vote to finish in the top two” “Democrats outnumber Republicans about two to one in voter registration. It's a small chance, I think, I mean, it's probably five or 10% chance. Can you imagine that? I could imagine it two Republicans as your only choice in November would be a huge shock” Now why do you think Democrats outnumber Republicans on voter registrations in California….. It’s because California is on the “honor system” for voter registration. People in other countries have been exposed as registered to vote in California. Illegals are everywhere and registered It’s all rigged

CNN is sweating! They’re forced to admit that both California Governor candidates could be Republicans “Could Democrats be in for a California nightmare? — 2 MAGA-aligned Republicans could end up being the only 2 names on the November ballot” “The crowded race for governor has no clear leader, and in the primary, now just weeks away, all the candidates run on the same ballot with the top two vote-getters advancing to November, regardless of party. — If the Republicans draw enough of the vote to finish in the top two” “Democrats outnumber Republicans about two to one in voter registration. It's a small chance, I think, I mean, it's probably five or 10% chance. Can you imagine that? I could imagine it two Republicans as your only choice in November would be a huge shock” Now why do you think Democrats outnumber Republicans on voter registrations in California….. It’s because California is on the “honor system” for voter registration. People in other countries have been exposed as registered to vote in California. Illegals are everywhere and registered It’s all rigged

Wall Street Apes

42,951 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

CNN: Democrats are winning local elections everywhere throughout 2025 and now throughout 2026, and they're doing it all over the map. In ruby red states like Florida, in Georgia, in Mississippi, in Texas, in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The math speaks plainly as day. Democrats have huge enthusiasm behind them right now, and Republicans keep losing in places where just in November of 2024, they were winning big.

CNN: Democrats are winning local elections everywhere throughout 2025 and now throughout 2026, and they're doing it all over the map. In ruby red states like Florida, in Georgia, in Mississippi, in Texas, in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The math speaks plainly as day. Democrats have huge enthusiasm behind them right now, and Republicans keep losing in places where just in November of 2024, they were winning big.

Acyn

663,945 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

As the Republican party sits in the best position they've been in for the past 20 years, Harry Enten inversely compares the Democratic brand to the new Cracker Barrel logo: "Bad, bad, bad!" "My goodness gracious for Republicans, they are converting old former Democrats to their side of the ledger, as well as picking up new voters, registering new voters. And it absolutely paid off for them back in the 2024 election."

DeVory Darkins

431,724 görüntüleme • 11 ay önce

Lydia Moynihan nailed what Washington still refuses to understand. The Republican base is not confused. It is not moving away from President Trump. It is getting more motivated to actually enact his agenda and remove Republicans who stand in the way. Massie losing so overwhelmingly sends a brutal message to every weak Republican in DC. You cannot run as conservative, vote against the MAGA agenda when it matters, then act shocked when the voters finally replace you. That is why Cornyn is in trouble. That is why Massie was in trouble. Republican voters are not asking for more speeches, excuses, or “principled” obstruction that helps Democrats. They want Trump’s agenda passed. They want fighters. They want results. And if Republicans refuse to align with that, the base is going to keep cleaning house.

Lydia Moynihan nailed what Washington still refuses to understand. The Republican base is not confused. It is not moving away from President Trump. It is getting more motivated to actually enact his agenda and remove Republicans who stand in the way. Massie losing so overwhelmingly sends a brutal message to every weak Republican in DC. You cannot run as conservative, vote against the MAGA agenda when it matters, then act shocked when the voters finally replace you. That is why Cornyn is in trouble. That is why Massie was in trouble. Republican voters are not asking for more speeches, excuses, or “principled” obstruction that helps Democrats. They want Trump’s agenda passed. They want fighters. They want results. And if Republicans refuse to align with that, the base is going to keep cleaning house.

ⁿᵉʷˢ Barron Trump 🇺🇸

20,258 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

🚨 NOW: Voters are preparing to SURGE to the polls to oust Sen. Bill Cassidy in Louisiana, who now has an 82% CHANCE of losing to Trump-endorsed Julia Letlow in the primary — Polymarket Cassidy voted to CONVICT Trump during impeachment Trump won Louisiana with over 60% of the vote in 2024 THIS IS A NO-BRAINER! Time for Cassidy to be ousted! 🔥

🚨 NOW: Voters are preparing to SURGE to the polls to oust Sen. Bill Cassidy in Louisiana, who now has an 82% CHANCE of losing to Trump-endorsed Julia Letlow in the primary — Polymarket Cassidy voted to CONVICT Trump during impeachment Trump won Louisiana with over 60% of the vote in 2024 THIS IS A NO-BRAINER! Time for Cassidy to be ousted! 🔥

Eric Daugherty

278,363 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

Donors vs. the Base — Why the GOP Betrays | Barnes and Baris: What Are the Odds? The GOP donor class doesn't at all share the values of the GOP base, and when they win elections, the donor class wants payback and the base wants promises kept. The donor class wins every single time. Robert Barnes and Rich Baris THE PEOPLE'S PUNDIT explain to Chat. Pre-Order "Burn It Down: What the Polls Say Young Americans Really Want"

Donors vs. the Base — Why the GOP Betrays | Barnes and Baris: What Are the Odds? The GOP donor class doesn't at all share the values of the GOP base, and when they win elections, the donor class wants payback and the base wants promises kept. The donor class wins every single time. Robert Barnes and Rich Baris THE PEOPLE'S PUNDIT explain to Chat. Pre-Order "Burn It Down: What the Polls Say Young Americans Really Want"

Rich Baris THE PEOPLE'S PUNDIT

12,861 görüntüleme • 13 gün önce

Fox News has released its first 2026 midterm power rankings: the U.S. Senate remains a toss-up, with the balance of power likely coming down to four key seats in Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Alaska. On the House side, Democrats hold a narrow projected edge to flip the chamber at 211-208, with 16 seats currently rated as toss-ups. Bill Melugin: “As of right now, voters prefer Democrats on the general ballot against Republicans at about 4%. That’s a flip from 2024 when Republicans led that by 1%.”

Fox News has released its first 2026 midterm power rankings: the U.S. Senate remains a toss-up, with the balance of power likely coming down to four key seats in Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Alaska. On the House side, Democrats hold a narrow projected edge to flip the chamber at 211-208, with 16 seats currently rated as toss-ups. Bill Melugin: “As of right now, voters prefer Democrats on the general ballot against Republicans at about 4%. That’s a flip from 2024 when Republicans led that by 1%.”

RedWave Press

131,389 görüntüleme • 6 gün önce

This one surprised me a bit, but Americans say Democrats cannot hack it on foreign policy. The GOP holds a 6 pt lead in July on who is more trusted. The same as Trump's lead over Harris in 2024. Also, net approval of the U.S. airstrikes on Iran has risen & is now at a +2 pt.

This one surprised me a bit, but Americans say Democrats cannot hack it on foreign policy. The GOP holds a 6 pt lead in July on who is more trusted. The same as Trump's lead over Harris in 2024. Also, net approval of the U.S. airstrikes on Iran has risen & is now at a +2 pt.

(((Harry Enten)))

187,063 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

McGovern: Protest and dissent work. As we get closer to the election, Republicans are realizing that not just Democrats or Independents but a lot of Republican voters are horrified by what’s happening at DHS. And they are just puzzled why someone as incompetent as Kristi Noem is in charge of DHS. They just passed the Save America Act. America doe not want to be saved by you guys. One of the provisions of the bill requires their voting rolls be turned over to Kristi Noem. What the hell are these people thinking?

McGovern: Protest and dissent work. As we get closer to the election, Republicans are realizing that not just Democrats or Independents but a lot of Republican voters are horrified by what’s happening at DHS. And they are just puzzled why someone as incompetent as Kristi Noem is in charge of DHS. They just passed the Save America Act. America doe not want to be saved by you guys. One of the provisions of the bill requires their voting rolls be turned over to Kristi Noem. What the hell are these people thinking?

Acyn

47,378 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

Jessica: You can mock Democratic messengers all that you want, but that just says something terrible about the Republicans because we are lapping you when it comes to this. Washington Post, 17 percentage points as to who is responsible. Marist, New York Times, Morning Consult. Should we extend the ACA subsidies: 78% say yes, including a majority of Republicans, including a majority of Maga Republicans. Washington post 71% yes. The Wall Street journal reporting today, inside the white house, aides are discussing proposals to extend the enhanced subsidies for the ACA. Republicans know they're being blamed for it and rightly so

Jessica: You can mock Democratic messengers all that you want, but that just says something terrible about the Republicans because we are lapping you when it comes to this. Washington Post, 17 percentage points as to who is responsible. Marist, New York Times, Morning Consult. Should we extend the ACA subsidies: 78% say yes, including a majority of Republicans, including a majority of Maga Republicans. Washington post 71% yes. The Wall Street journal reporting today, inside the white house, aides are discussing proposals to extend the enhanced subsidies for the ACA. Republicans know they're being blamed for it and rightly so

Acyn

162,764 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

CNN analyst Harry Enten warns Democrats they are 'way behind' Republicans | Andrew Chapados, Blaze Media 'Their lead is less than half, less than half of where it was in either 2017 or 2005 in July of those years.' CNN analyst Harry Enten warned Democrats this week they could trail Republicans by the largest margins in decades if they do not turn things around. Enten, the resident stats expert at CNN, told Democrats to "hold the phone" if they think criticizing the Trump administration over the Jeffrey Epstein files is going to save them. Instead, Trump's support has been resilient among likely voters, with the Democrats in danger of taking a monumental backstep in the 2026 midterm elections. Enten delivered the shocking numbers to CNN's John Berman, giving him the grim "bottom line" for the Democrats. "Democrats are behind their 2006 and 2018 paces when it comes to the generic congressional ballot." In Democrat versus Republican congressional ballot margins, the Democrat lead has shrunk by more than two times when compared to July 2005, when it was a +7-point margin. The gap remained the same in 2017, but in July 2025, the margin is now just a +2 for Democrats. "Donald Trump may be unpopular, but Democrats have not come anywhere close to sealing the deal at this particular point," Enten told his colleague. The devastating numbers somehow got way worse for Democrats when breaking down the midterms race by race. When comparing chances for seat changes ahead of previous midterms under Republican presidents, Democrats were favored by +7 in 2005 and a whopping +33 in 2017, CNN showed. The Democrats over performed in both cases, picking up 31 seats in the 2006 midterms and 41 seats in the 2018 midterms. Now, CNN's Enten showed Republicans are up a shocking 12 points at the same time this year ahead of the 2026 midterms. "So it's not just on the generic ballot where Democrats are behind their 2017 and 2005 pace. It's actually when it comes seat by seat, you see that at least at this particular point, Republicans actually have more net pick-up opportunities," Enten stressed. "This doesn't look anything like those wave elections back in 2006 or 2018," he added. The stat guru concluded by showing the congressional ballot margin numbers were the same among voters in October 2024, before the presidential election, as they are now. "Reality check," Enten wrote on his X account. "Dems are way behind their 2006 & 2018 pace ... at this point in the cycle." The analyst emphasized that the numbers he is seeing are indicative of when Republicans have held onto a House majority and appear strikingly similar to the 2024 election cycle. Read more:

CNN analyst Harry Enten warns Democrats they are 'way behind' Republicans | Andrew Chapados, Blaze Media 'Their lead is less than half, less than half of where it was in either 2017 or 2005 in July of those years.' CNN analyst Harry Enten warned Democrats this week they could trail Republicans by the largest margins in decades if they do not turn things around. Enten, the resident stats expert at CNN, told Democrats to "hold the phone" if they think criticizing the Trump administration over the Jeffrey Epstein files is going to save them. Instead, Trump's support has been resilient among likely voters, with the Democrats in danger of taking a monumental backstep in the 2026 midterm elections. Enten delivered the shocking numbers to CNN's John Berman, giving him the grim "bottom line" for the Democrats. "Democrats are behind their 2006 and 2018 paces when it comes to the generic congressional ballot." In Democrat versus Republican congressional ballot margins, the Democrat lead has shrunk by more than two times when compared to July 2005, when it was a +7-point margin. The gap remained the same in 2017, but in July 2025, the margin is now just a +2 for Democrats. "Donald Trump may be unpopular, but Democrats have not come anywhere close to sealing the deal at this particular point," Enten told his colleague. The devastating numbers somehow got way worse for Democrats when breaking down the midterms race by race. When comparing chances for seat changes ahead of previous midterms under Republican presidents, Democrats were favored by +7 in 2005 and a whopping +33 in 2017, CNN showed. The Democrats over performed in both cases, picking up 31 seats in the 2006 midterms and 41 seats in the 2018 midterms. Now, CNN's Enten showed Republicans are up a shocking 12 points at the same time this year ahead of the 2026 midterms. "So it's not just on the generic ballot where Democrats are behind their 2017 and 2005 pace. It's actually when it comes seat by seat, you see that at least at this particular point, Republicans actually have more net pick-up opportunities," Enten stressed. "This doesn't look anything like those wave elections back in 2006 or 2018," he added. The stat guru concluded by showing the congressional ballot margin numbers were the same among voters in October 2024, before the presidential election, as they are now. "Reality check," Enten wrote on his X account. "Dems are way behind their 2006 & 2018 pace ... at this point in the cycle." The analyst emphasized that the numbers he is seeing are indicative of when Republicans have held onto a House majority and appear strikingly similar to the 2024 election cycle. Read more:

Owen Gregorian

74,992 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

Ohio Issue 1 has officially been voted down. That means that Republicans who have been pushing to make it more difficult to add amendments to the Constitution of Ohio have lost. That means that Democrats who have been pushing for women's right to choose in Ohio have won. The vote wasn't even close. 'No' won with approximately 57% of the vote to just 43% for 'Yes.' This means that it will not become harder to add Amendments to the Constitution, which in turn means that this November election will likely see an Amendment on the ballot that could wipe out Ohio's 6-week abortion ban. This really seems to be a winning issue for Democrats. If Dems keep pushing for pro-choice rights in 2024, will it give them an edge over Republicans? Are Republicans going to have to rethink their abortion battle?

Ohio Issue 1 has officially been voted down. That means that Republicans who have been pushing to make it more difficult to add amendments to the Constitution of Ohio have lost. That means that Democrats who have been pushing for women's right to choose in Ohio have won. The vote wasn't even close. 'No' won with approximately 57% of the vote to just 43% for 'Yes.' This means that it will not become harder to add Amendments to the Constitution, which in turn means that this November election will likely see an Amendment on the ballot that could wipe out Ohio's 6-week abortion ban. This really seems to be a winning issue for Democrats. If Dems keep pushing for pro-choice rights in 2024, will it give them an edge over Republicans? Are Republicans going to have to rethink their abortion battle?

Ed Krassenstein

163,034 görüntüleme • 3 yıl önce