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Rerendered this animation cuz perhaps a less harsh shadow might work better :p #REPO募集 #repo #blender3d #b3d #animation

11,374 görüntüleme • 11 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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An Anthropic engineer watched my screen from the next table at a cafe in SF. "Are you running Claude against live prediction markets right now" I told him yes. Then I showed him the stack. 214 trades. 74% win rate. +$9,437 in 19 days. Here's what actually happened: I gave Claude two repos and a simple job. First repo: A full market archive. Wallet behavior, entries, exits, and timing across the board. Second repo: Three commands. 500+ markets. No API key. Just a clean way to score the board fast. The system does not try to predict the world. It tries to find which wallets consistently exit better than the crowd, isolate the pattern, and only fire when the same structure shows up again. Main filter: captured value / expected value > 0.70 If a wallet wins often but leaks the move on exit, it gets ignored. If it captures most of the move and cuts losers fast, it becomes signal. Sizing uses Kelly: f* = (p*b - q) / b That is what stops the terminal from apeing into weak edges. Most of the time it does nothing. No edge - no position. Three trades from the run: > AMD Xilinx - entered 52c. Model said 59c. Closed +7c in 2h40m. > Artemis launch - entered 63c. Model said 85c. Closed +22c in 5h10m. > Derecho MW - entered 71c. Model said 87c. Closed +16c in 1h50m. When he saw the repo links and the live terminal, he stopped talking for a second. Then he said: "We tested something close to this internally." That was the whole joke. The data is public. The repos are public. The market is public. But most Polymarket traders still trade headlines, hold too long, and call it conviction. Polymarket does not reward the smartest story. It rewards the cleaner exit.

st1ne

171,039 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

I built a custom TradingView indicator with Claude Code & Fable 5. It's called the Storm Gauge and is built off a real quant trading strategy. I open-sourced the full code on GitHub. Free to install, free to fork, yours to improve. Here's how to install a quant indicator on your TradingView chart: What it actually is The Storm Gauge is a live implementation of the GARCH model, a Nobel Prize-winning volatility framework that real quant desks run daily. It forecasts how "violent" tomorrow's market could be by combining three inputs: an asset's baseline volatility, yesterday's shock, and where volatility was already sitting before that shock happened. It doesn't predict market direction. Instead, it measures risk, in real time, on your actual chart. How to install it Method 1. Plugin command Open the GitHub repo: Find the installation section, copy the command, and paste it into Claude Code. It runs the plugin install automatically. Method 2. Manual config Open garchmethod.md in the repo, copy the entire file, and paste it into Claude Code. It fetches the skill files directly and verifies the strategy for you. (you only need one method; I'm just showing both) Getting it onto your TradingView chart Inside the repo, there's a Pine Script folder. Open it, copy the entire file. Go into TradingView's Pine Editor, paste it in, hit Enter, and refresh. That's it. The Storm Gauge now runs live on your chart as a real number. Once it's installed, just talk to it: → "What's the volatility forecast on Bitcoin?" → "Explain what the current volatility forecast means on $BTC and how it should impact my position sizing" → "Help me size my S&P500 position according to current market volatility" Does it actually work? I backtested the same EMA cross strategy two ways across 15 years of BTC data. Same entries, same exits. → Fixed position sizing: $17,957 final equity → Storm Gauge (GARCH) sizing: $21,205 final equity Fewer drawdowns, less risk, better result. Full breakdown of the entire build process in my recent article - pinned on my profile.

Miles Deutscher

54,598 görüntüleme • 5 gün önce

Dagknight technical progress As would be mentioned in a still unshared post by Michael Sutton, the dagknight effort is split into v0 devnet, v1 testnet and v2 mainnet candidate. I’ve been testing the current v0-based implementation in a small devnet with the help of some testers who run nodes and miners with me. The DK work can be thought of as split into two parts: (1) implementing the actual protocol and (2) wiring it up and using it. The testing and development over the last month has been focused on (2). Obviously, DK is a consensus change for selecting parents. What’s not so obvious is that such a change affects DAA, coinbase, IBD, pruning and a lot more. Each of these areas is very sensitive and requires proper understanding to wire correctly. An important consideration and difference from GD is that DK does not focus on maximizing a property like blue work. So to maintain topological properties of blue work, an independent (free) GD implementation is kept running specifically for maintaining blue work. This allows us to keep using the property for topology. Coloring and blue score use the megachain induced by DK. The wiring around DK as of this posting is in a working state, but still needs to be reviewed. Next efforts will be focused on protocol specific components, particularly Tie-Breaking and incremental UMC. Attached are some captures from the internal devnet. The dense DAG image is what happens when things related to DAA or other similar consensus parameter causes a node to insist on their POV. The video is a recent snippet of the KGI running on the devnet showing (perhaps not obviously) DK at work. The current “dagknight” branch is now posted on the main repo. A topic in the Public R&D has been opened for Dagknight development.

coderofstuff

52,857 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

I went from ZERO($0) to 5 figures in less than 5 months The year 2024 was a defining year for me and a lot of my friends. This story is one I should have told since but was waiting for the right time It all began in August after losing a cumulative of $20,000. That was literally all I had left with me and was down to less than $300. They say it all begins when you are down to your last 1 million and funny how I didn't even have up to a million Over the course of several days I began asking myself questions as to what I would have done with the money. I could have given my parent their dream house or gotten a car for myself, my mum and started my Agric business. Well, that was how Anxiety started with heavy palpitations and a pulse of 130 Not to bore you, allow me explain step by step as to how I bounced back 1) God - I wont lie to you, God and Prayers are very important in this WEB3. We have very few Normal people on here as this space is toxic enough to destroy you and your mental health 2) Network - See, I know all your idolos are telling you to grind hard which is factually correct but the real profits in this life are from who you know. Check SAYRAAH #WID 📈📉📊 content on networking for more information 2) Excellence - One little lesson I've learned from life is that excellence in itself is not restricted to a particular sphere but its a way of life. I strongly believe the reason all my clients refer me like their lives depend on it is because I handle my job with a unique style of excellence. Starting from my personal page to my clients jobs and even mannerisms 3) Hard work - This aspect has been misused so much. Hard work although very vital must be accompanied with a lot of smart work for you to have results. Scripture shows us that there is a possibility for two people to engage in similar work while they get different result. The one with the smaller result was termed a FOOLISH MAN and the one with better results was called a WISE MAN. The difference is in the knowing, you need to learn how to actually work hard 4) Voice out - Make sure you always voice out when you are not doing as much as you are supposed to. I have a lot of my guys that I tell intricate stuffs about my money-making journey and everyone puts heads together to ensure we all make money I might sound like aspire to perspire but the reality is, bouncing back is difficult but I want you to know that your hard work will eventually pay off I could have just said GOD DID but I know there's someone out there that might need this. Don't stop and don't settle, your future will thank you for it Over the next few days, I would be sharing some opportunities I recently found that I'm sure will print you money. Stay glued

Noah {♟,♟} 🦇🔊

87,775 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce